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Q3 2022


QUANTITATIVE PERSPECTIVES: US MARKET INSIGHTS

September 26, 2022

Download report
Inflation, falling stocks, and recession scares: How macro trends are shaping
private markets

When we published our inaugural US Market Insights report one year ago, the
stock market was strong and the potential for investor returns seemingly
endless. A year on, the downturn has shaped a starkly different landscape and
dealmaking has pulled back—but opportunities remain.

Our latest Quantitative Perspectives report examines the key trends in
macroeconomics and financial markets, providing commentary on how our analysts
see the world today. The report, which also includes a spotlight on allocator
momentum, features nearly 70 pages of data and more than 80 charts exploring the
most interesting aspects of the current economy.

Key takeaways:
 
 * At $91 billion, VC funds had the highest amount of new capital allocations in
   2021, though the momentum has slowed in 2022. Relative to asset class size,
   real estate & infrastructure debt saw the largest increase, with 21.5%
   growth.

 
 * Aggregate unicorn valuations now surpass $2.3 trillion, yet the pace of
   unicorn creation has slowed significantly in 2022, as market headwinds limit
   VC investment in large startups.

 
 * Our estimates for the total value of venture-backed companies in the US has
   reached $3.3 trillion, trailing the total PE-backed market cap by only 3%.


Table of contents

Macro overview 3 Spotlight: Tracking allocator momentum 16 Equity markets 25
Real estate 45 Real assets 56 Debt markets 63

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