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LATEST UPDATE – NOVEMBER 18, 2024

Domestic food price inflation remains high in many low- and middle-income
countries. Inflation higher than 5% is experienced in 70% of low-income
countries (6.2 percentage points lower), 47.8% of lower-middle-income countries
(3. percentage points lower), 36% of upper-middle-income countries (2.0
percentage points lower), and 9.1% of high-income countries (0.2 percentage
points higher). In real terms, food price inflation exceeded overall inflation
in 59.8% of the 164 countries where data is available.

Download the latest brief on rising food insecurity and World Bank responses

Since the last update on October 18, 2024, the agricultural and cereal price
indices closed 1 and 2 percent higher, respectively; the export price index
closed at the same level. Maize prices closed 7% higher, while wheat and rice
prices closed 5% lower respectively. On a year-on-year basis, maize prices are
9% lower and rice prices 8% lower, while wheat prices are 1% higher. Compared to
January 2020, maize prices are 9% higher, wheat prices 3% lower, and rice prices
29% higher. (See “pink sheet” data for agricultural commodity and food commodity
prices indices, updated monthly.)

The November 2024 Agricultural Market Information System (AMIS) Market Monitor
highlighted a range of price fluctuations and policy changes in global
agriculture in October. Wheat prices reached multi-month highs, largely because
of weather-related planting delays in the northern hemisphere, but later eased
as conditions improved. Maize prices also increased slightly, even with swift
harvest progress in the United States, whereas rice and soybean prices fell. In
policy moves, India removed the minimum export price for non-basmati white rice,
and Bangladesh and Türkiye relaxed import restrictions on maize, rice, and
vegetable oils.

In the most recent Commodity Markets Outlook, the World Bank is projecting a 4%
decrease in the agriculture commodity prices index in 2025 before stabilizing in
2026, after a 2% increase in 2024. The report also summarizes concerns about
food insecurity and noted that the world remains far from achieving the goal of
zero hunger by 2030. Conflict, extreme weather, and economic shocks are the
major drivers of food insecurity. It is projected that food prices will decrease
by 4% in 2025 before stabilizing in 2026.

The latest Hunger Hotspots Report by the Food and Agriculture Organization of
the United Nations (FAO) and the World Food Program (WFP) warns about worsening
acute food insecurity in 16 hunger hotspots (covering 22 countries and
territories) that will require urgent action between November 2024 and May 2025.
Conflict, climate, and the economy are the primary drivers of food insecurity.
Conflict continues to be the primary drivers of hunger in 15 hotspots.

Following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, trade-related policies imposed by
countries have surged. The global food crisis has been partially made worse by
the growing number of food and fertilizer trade restrictions put in place by
countries with a goal of increasing domestic supply and reducing prices. As of
November 2024, 17 countries have implemented 22 food export bans, and 8 have
implemented 12 export-limiting measures.

 


WORLD BANK ACTION

Our food and nutrition security portfolio now spans across 90 countries. It
includes both short term interventions such as expanding social protection, also
longer-term resilience such as boosting productivity and climate-smart
agriculture. The Bank's intervention is expected to benefit 296 million people.
Some examples include:

 * In Honduras, the Rural Competitiveness Project series (COMRURAL II and III)
   aims to generate entrepreneurship and employment opportunities while
   promoting a climate-conscious, nutrition-smart strategy in agri-food value
   chains. To date, the program is benefiting around 6,287 rural small-scale
   producers (of which 33% are women, 15% youth, and 11% indigenous) of coffee,
   vegetables, dairy, honey, and other commodities through enhanced market
   connections and adoption of improved agricultural technologies and has
   created 6,678 new jobs.
 * In Honduras, the Corredor Seco Food Security Project (PROSASUR) strives to
   enhance food security for impoverished and vulnerable rural households in the
   country’s Dry Corridor. This project has supported 12,202 extremely
   vulnerable families through nutrition-smart agricultural subprojects, food
   security plans, community nutrition plans, and nutrition and hygiene
   education. Within the beneficiary population, 70% of children under the age
   of five and their mothers now have a dietary diversity score of at least 4
   (i.e., consume at least four food groups).
 * The $2.75 billion Food Systems Resilience Program for Eastern and Southern
   Africa, helps countries in Eastern and Southern Africa increase the
   resilience of the region’s food systems and ability to tackle growing food
   insecurity. Now in phase three, the program will enhance inter-agency food
   crisis response also boost medium- and long-term efforts for resilient
   agricultural production, sustainable development of natural resources,
   expanded market access, and a greater focus on food systems resilience in
   policymaking.
 * A $95 million credit from IDA for the Malawi Agriculture Commercialization
   Project (AGCOM) to increase commercialization of select agriculture value
   chain products and to provide immediate and effective response to an eligible
   crisis or emergency.
 * The $200 million IDA grant for Madagascar to strengthen decentralized service
   delivery, upgrade water supply, restore and protect landscapes, and
   strengthen the resilience of food and livelihood systems in the drought-prone
   ‘Grand Sud’.
 * A $60 million credit for the Integrated Community Development Project that
   works with refugees and host communities in four northern provinces of
   Burundi to improve food and nutrition security, build socio-economic
   infrastructure, and support micro-enterprise development through a
   participatory approach.
 * The $175 million Sahel Irrigation Initiative Regional Support Project is
   helping build resilience and boost productivity of agricultural and pastoral
   activities in Burkina Faso, Chad, Mali, Mauritania, Niger, and Senegal. More
   than 130,000 farmers and members of pastoral communities are benefiting from
   small and medium-sized irrigation initiatives. The project is building a
   portfolio of bankable irrigation investment projects of around 68,000 ha,
   particularly in medium and large-scale irrigation in the Sahel region.
 * Through the $50 million Emergency Food Security Response project, 329,000
   smallholder farmers in Central Africa Republic have received seeds, farming
   tools and training in agricultural and post-harvest techniques to boost crop
   production and become more resilient to climate and conflict risks.
 * The $15 million Guinea Bissau Emergency Food Security Project is helping
   increase agriculture production and  access to food to vulnerable families.
   Over 72,000 farmers have received drought-resistant and high-yielding seeds,
   fertilizers, agricultural equipment; and livestock vaccines for the
   country-wide vaccination program. In addition, 8,000 vulnerable households
   have received cash transfer to purchase food and tackle food insecurity.
 * The $60 million Accelerating the Impact of CGIAR Research for Africa (AICCRA)
   project has reached nearly 3 million African farmers (39% women) with
   critical climate smart agriculture tools and information services in
   partnership with the Consortium of International Agricultural Research
   Centers (CGIAR). These tools and services are helping farmers to increase
   production and build resilience in the face of climate crisis. In Mali,
   studies showed that farmers using recommendations from the AICCRA-supported
   RiceAdvice had on average 0.9 ton per hectare higher yield and US$320 per
   hectare higher income.
 * The $766 million West Africa Food Systems Resilience Program is working to
   increase preparedness against food insecurity and improve the resilience of
   food systems in West Africa. The program is increasing digital advisory
   services for agriculture and food crisis prevention and management, boosting
   adaption capacity of agriculture system actors, and investing in regional
   food market integration and trade to increase food security. An additional
   $345 million is currently under preparation for Senegal, Sierra Leone and
   Togo.
 * A $150 million grant for the second phase of the Yemen Food Security Response
   and Resilience Project, which will help address food insecurity, strengthen
   resilience and protect livelihoods.
 * $50 million grant of additional financing for Tajikistan to mitigate food and
   nutrition insecurity impacts on households and enhance the overall resilience
   of the agriculture sector.
 * A $125 million project in Jordan aims to strengthen the development the
   agriculture sector by enhancing its climate resilience, increasing
   competitiveness and inclusion, and ensuring medium- to long-term food
   security.
 * A $300 million project in Bolivia that will contribute to increasing food
   security, market access and the adoption of climate-smart agricultural
   practices.
 * A $315 million loan to support Chad, Ghana and Sierra Leone to increase their
   preparedness against food insecurity and to improve the resilience of their
   food systems.
 * A $500 million Emergency Food Security and Resilience Support Project to
   bolster Egypt's efforts to ensure that poor and vulnerable households have
   uninterrupted access to bread, help strengthen the country's resilience to
   food crises, and support to reforms that will help improve nutritional
   outcomes.
 * A $130 million loan for Tunisia, seeking to lessen the impact of the Ukraine
   war by financing vital soft wheat imports and providing emergency support to
   cover barley imports for dairy production and seeds for smallholder farmers
   for the upcoming planting season.

In May 2022, the World Bank Group and the G7 Presidency co-convened the Global
Alliance for Food Security, which aims to catalyze an immediate and concerted
response to the unfolding global hunger crisis. The Alliance has developed the
publicly accessible Global Food and Nutrition Security Dashboard, which provides
timely information for global and local decision-makers to help improve
coordination of the policy and financial response to the food crisis.

The heads of the FAO, IMF, World Bank Group, WFP, and WTO released a Third Joint
Statement on February 8, 2023. The statement calls to prevent a worsening of the
food and nutrition security crisis, further urgent actions are required to (i)
rescue hunger hotspots, (ii) facilitate trade, improve the functioning of
markets, and enhance the role of the private sector, and (iii) reform and
repurpose harmful subsidies with careful targeting and efficiency. Countries
should balance short-term urgent interventions with longer-term resilience
efforts as they respond to the crisis.

Last Updated: Nov 18, 2024



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




 * GLOBAL FOOD AND NUTRITION SECURITY DASHBOARD
   
   The Global Food and Nutrition Security Dashboard is a key tool to fast-track
   a rapid response to the unfolding global food security crisis.
   Global Food and Nutrition Security Dashboard



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


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 * COMING TOGETHER TO ADDRESS THE GLOBAL FOOD CRISIS
   
   
   
   Coming Together to Address the Global Food Crisis


 * WORLD BANK ANNOUNCES PLANNED ACTIONS FOR GLOBAL FOOD CRISIS RESPONSE
   
   
   
   World Bank Announces Planned Actions for Global Food Crisis Response


 * SECOND JOINT STATEMENT BY THE HEADS OF FAO, IMF, WBG, WFP, AND WTO ON THE
   GLOBAL ...
   
   
   
   Second Joint Statement by the Heads of FAO, IMF, WBG, WFP, and WTO on the
   Global ...





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