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WHY SOUTH AFRICA IS FACING A TURNING POINT IN MAY’S NATIONAL ELECTION AND WHO
THE MAJOR PLAYERS ARE
WHY SOUTH AFRICA IS FACING A TURNING POINT IN MAY’S NATIONAL ELECTION AND WHO
THE MAJOR PLAYERS ARE
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1 of 11 |
The African National Congress, which has governed the country since Nelson
Mandela became South Africa’s first democratically-elected president in 1994, is
set to launch its election manifesto in KwaZulu-Natal on Saturday. (Feb. 24)
Read More
2 of 11 |
African National Congress supporters, one holding a portrait of Nelson Mandela,
gather at the Mose Mabhida stadium in Durban, South Africa, Saturday, Feb. 24,
2024, for their national manifesto launch in anticipation of the 2024 general
elections. (AP Photo/Jerome Delay)
Read More
3 of 11 |
South African President Cyril Ramaphosa, centre left, is greeted by African
National Congress supporters as he arrives at the Mose Mabhida stadium in
Durban, South Africa, Saturday, Feb. 24, 2024, for the ANC national manifesto
launch in anticipation of the 2024 general elections. (AP Photo/Jerome Delay)
Read More
4 of 11 |
South African President Cyril Ramaphosa is greeted by supporters as he arrives
at the Mose Mabhida stadium in Durban, South Africa, Saturday, Feb. 24, 2024,
for the ANC national manifesto launch in anticipation of the 2024 general
elections. (AP Photo/Jerome Delay)
Read More
5 of 11 |
Zulu warriors and African National Congress supporters gather at the Mose
Mabhida stadium in Durban, South Africa, Saturday, Feb. 24, 2024, for their
national manifesto launch in anticipation of the 2024 general elections. (AP
Photo/Jerome Delay)
Read More
6 of 11 |
African National Congress supporters gather at the Mose Mabhida stadium in
Durban, South Africa, Saturday, Feb. 24, 2024, for their national manifesto
launch in anticipation of the 2024 general elections. (AP Photo/Jerome Delay)
Read More
7 of 11 |
African National Congress supporters cheer South African President Cyril
Ramaphosa at the Mose Mabhida stadium in Durban, South Africa, Saturday, Feb.
24, 2024, for their national manifesto launch in anticipation of the 2024
general elections. (AP Photo/Jerome Delay)
Read More
8 of 11 |
An African National Congress supporter gestures as he and others gather at the
Mose Mabhida stadium in Durban, South Africa, Saturday, Feb. 24, 2024, for their
national manifesto launch in anticipation of the 2024 general elections. (AP
Photo/Jerome Delay)
Read More
9 of 11 |
African National Congress supporters gather at the Mose Mabhida stadium in
Durban, South Africa, Saturday, Feb. 24, 2024, for their national manifesto
launch in anticipation of the 2024 general elections. (AP Photo/Jerome Delay)
Read More
10 of 11 |
South African President Cyril Ramaphosa delivers his speech at the Mose Mabhida
stadium in Durban, South Africa, Saturday, Feb. 24, 2024, during the African
National Congress national manifesto launch in anticipation of the 2024 general
elections. (AP Photo/Jerome Delay)
Read More
11 of 11 |
An African National Congress supporter merchant rests outside the Mose Mabhida
stadium in Durban, South Africa, Saturday, Feb. 24, 2024, ahead of the national
manifesto launch in anticipation of the 2024 general elections. (AP Photo/Jerome
Delay)
Read More
Why South Africa is facing a turning point in May’s national election and who
the major players are
Read More
1 of 11
The African National Congress, which has governed the country since Nelson
Mandela became South Africa’s first democratically-elected president in 1994, is
set to launch its election manifesto in KwaZulu-Natal on Saturday. (Feb. 24)
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2 of 11 |
African National Congress supporters, one holding a portrait of Nelson Mandela,
gather at the Mose Mabhida stadium in Durban, South Africa, Saturday, Feb. 24,
2024, for their national manifesto launch in anticipation of the 2024 general
elections. (AP Photo/Jerome Delay)
Read More
2 of 11
African National Congress supporters, one holding a portrait of Nelson Mandela,
gather at the Mose Mabhida stadium in Durban, South Africa, Saturday, Feb. 24,
2024, for their national manifesto launch in anticipation of the 2024 general
elections. (AP Photo/Jerome Delay)
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3 of 11 |
South African President Cyril Ramaphosa, centre left, is greeted by African
National Congress supporters as he arrives at the Mose Mabhida stadium in
Durban, South Africa, Saturday, Feb. 24, 2024, for the ANC national manifesto
launch in anticipation of the 2024 general elections. (AP Photo/Jerome Delay)
Read More
3 of 11
South African President Cyril Ramaphosa, centre left, is greeted by African
National Congress supporters as he arrives at the Mose Mabhida stadium in
Durban, South Africa, Saturday, Feb. 24, 2024, for the ANC national manifesto
launch in anticipation of the 2024 general elections. (AP Photo/Jerome Delay)
Share
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4 of 11 |
South African President Cyril Ramaphosa is greeted by supporters as he arrives
at the Mose Mabhida stadium in Durban, South Africa, Saturday, Feb. 24, 2024,
for the ANC national manifesto launch in anticipation of the 2024 general
elections. (AP Photo/Jerome Delay)
Read More
4 of 11
South African President Cyril Ramaphosa is greeted by supporters as he arrives
at the Mose Mabhida stadium in Durban, South Africa, Saturday, Feb. 24, 2024,
for the ANC national manifesto launch in anticipation of the 2024 general
elections. (AP Photo/Jerome Delay)
Share
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Read More
5 of 11 |
Zulu warriors and African National Congress supporters gather at the Mose
Mabhida stadium in Durban, South Africa, Saturday, Feb. 24, 2024, for their
national manifesto launch in anticipation of the 2024 general elections. (AP
Photo/Jerome Delay)
Read More
5 of 11
Zulu warriors and African National Congress supporters gather at the Mose
Mabhida stadium in Durban, South Africa, Saturday, Feb. 24, 2024, for their
national manifesto launch in anticipation of the 2024 general elections. (AP
Photo/Jerome Delay)
Share
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Read More
6 of 11 |
African National Congress supporters gather at the Mose Mabhida stadium in
Durban, South Africa, Saturday, Feb. 24, 2024, for their national manifesto
launch in anticipation of the 2024 general elections. (AP Photo/Jerome Delay)
Read More
6 of 11
African National Congress supporters gather at the Mose Mabhida stadium in
Durban, South Africa, Saturday, Feb. 24, 2024, for their national manifesto
launch in anticipation of the 2024 general elections. (AP Photo/Jerome Delay)
Share
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7 of 11 |
African National Congress supporters cheer South African President Cyril
Ramaphosa at the Mose Mabhida stadium in Durban, South Africa, Saturday, Feb.
24, 2024, for their national manifesto launch in anticipation of the 2024
general elections. (AP Photo/Jerome Delay)
Read More
7 of 11
African National Congress supporters cheer South African President Cyril
Ramaphosa at the Mose Mabhida stadium in Durban, South Africa, Saturday, Feb.
24, 2024, for their national manifesto launch in anticipation of the 2024
general elections. (AP Photo/Jerome Delay)
Share
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8 of 11 |
An African National Congress supporter gestures as he and others gather at the
Mose Mabhida stadium in Durban, South Africa, Saturday, Feb. 24, 2024, for their
national manifesto launch in anticipation of the 2024 general elections. (AP
Photo/Jerome Delay)
Read More
8 of 11
An African National Congress supporter gestures as he and others gather at the
Mose Mabhida stadium in Durban, South Africa, Saturday, Feb. 24, 2024, for their
national manifesto launch in anticipation of the 2024 general elections. (AP
Photo/Jerome Delay)
Share
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*
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*
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9 of 11 |
African National Congress supporters gather at the Mose Mabhida stadium in
Durban, South Africa, Saturday, Feb. 24, 2024, for their national manifesto
launch in anticipation of the 2024 general elections. (AP Photo/Jerome Delay)
Read More
9 of 11
African National Congress supporters gather at the Mose Mabhida stadium in
Durban, South Africa, Saturday, Feb. 24, 2024, for their national manifesto
launch in anticipation of the 2024 general elections. (AP Photo/Jerome Delay)
Share
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*
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*
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*
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Read More
10 of 11 |
South African President Cyril Ramaphosa delivers his speech at the Mose Mabhida
stadium in Durban, South Africa, Saturday, Feb. 24, 2024, during the African
National Congress national manifesto launch in anticipation of the 2024 general
elections. (AP Photo/Jerome Delay)
Read More
10 of 11
South African President Cyril Ramaphosa delivers his speech at the Mose Mabhida
stadium in Durban, South Africa, Saturday, Feb. 24, 2024, during the African
National Congress national manifesto launch in anticipation of the 2024 general
elections. (AP Photo/Jerome Delay)
Share
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Read More
11 of 11 |
An African National Congress supporter merchant rests outside the Mose Mabhida
stadium in Durban, South Africa, Saturday, Feb. 24, 2024, ahead of the national
manifesto launch in anticipation of the 2024 general elections. (AP Photo/Jerome
Delay)
Read More
11 of 11
An African National Congress supporter merchant rests outside the Mose Mabhida
stadium in Durban, South Africa, Saturday, Feb. 24, 2024, ahead of the national
manifesto launch in anticipation of the 2024 general elections. (AP Photo/Jerome
Delay)
Share
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By GERALD IMRAY
Updated [hour]:[minute] [AMPM] [timezone], [monthFull] [day], [year] Updated
8:51 AM HST, February 24, 2024
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CAPE TOWN, South Africa (AP) — Polls suggest South Africa will face a historic
turning point in a national election in May as the ruling African National
Congress could lose its majority for the first time since coming to power in the
country’s first all-race vote at the end of apartheid in 1994.
The ANC has governed Africa’s most advanced economy for all of its 30 years of
democracy since the end of white minority rule. But the party of the late Nelson
Mandela has seen a gradual decline in support and analysts say this election
could be a watershed moment when it slips below 50% of the vote.
That would force the ANC into a coalition — a first for South Africa — to stay
in government and keep Cyril Ramaphosa as president. There’s a very small chance
the ANC may be out of government completely.
The ANC launched its election manifesto on Saturday.
Here’s what to know about the famous political party and the May 29 vote, which
will be closely watched for signs of the direction that one of Africa’s most
important countries is heading.
Over 50 countries go to the polls in 2024
* The year will test even the most robust democracies. Read more on what’s to
come here.
* Take a look at the 25 places where a change in leadership could resonate
around the world.
* Keep track of the latest AP elections coverage from around the world here.
WHAT HAPPENED TO THE ANC
The ANC once commanded 70% of the vote and was almost untouchable in South
African politics. It was admired for leading the anti-apartheid movement and
freeing South Africa from the system of forced racial segregation.
But that reputation is no longer enough for many as the country of 62 million
people faces deep socio-economic problems. The overriding sentiment is that the
ANC has failed to significantly improve the lives of millions of South Africa’s
poor Black majority over its three-decade rule.
That has been reflected in recent elections. The ANC won 57% of the vote in the
last general election in 2019, its worst performance nationally. The biggest
wake-up call came in local elections in 2021 when it went below 50%. That meant
more South Africans voted for other parties than the ANC in a momentous shift.
THE BIG ISSUES
Poverty and unemployment. South Africa’s official unemployment rate of 32% is
the worst in the world and rising. South Africa is rated by the World Bank as
the country with the highest wealth inequality, and while it has cities boasting
high-rise financial districts, modern airports and some of the world’s best
sports stadiums, it also has millions living in shacks and below the poverty
line.
The ANC’s reputation has also been tarnished by a stream of corruption
allegations, especially under the leadership of former South African President
Jacob Zuma from 2009-2018. Rampant graft over that period is estimated to have
cost billions of dollars and South Africa held a 4-year inquiry in an attempt to
uncover the extent of the corruption.
Most recently, an electricity crisis tied to corruption and mismanagement at the
state-run national power supplier has led to nationwide daily rolling blackouts.
It has been disastrous for businesses and the mood of South Africans.
THE OTHER MAIN PLAYERS
The main opposition party is the Democratic Alliance. It won 20% of the vote in
the last election to the ANC’s 57% and is not expected to be able to challenge
the ANC alone this year. The DA has a pre-election coalition agreement with
other parties to combine their votes in an attempt to oust the ANC. All of them
would have to increase their share considerably for that to happen.
The Economic Freedom Fighters, the third biggest party in Parliament, has risen
in popularity under a fiery leader who was expelled from the ANC. It favors some
radical far-left policies and is not part of the opposition coalition. If the
EFF joined the coalition, that could push the ANC out of government, but the EFF
and DA are far apart and as critical of each other as they are of the ANC.
The ANC was jolted last year when Zuma, its former leader, announced the
formation of a new party. The uMkhonto we Sizwe (Spear of the Nation) party
could draw more votes away from the ANC.
WHAT’S LIKELY TO HAPPEN
Opinion polls predict that South Africa is heading for a coalition government
for the first time.
Analysts expect that if the ANC gets less than 50%, it will go into coalition
with other smaller parties to stay in government and reelect Ramaphosa for a
second term.
South Africa has 14 political parties currently represented in Parliament and
more than 300 parties registered nationally. Voters choose political parties and
not candidates in national elections. Parties then get seats in Parliament
according to their share of the vote, and lawmakers elect the president.
While a coalition government seems likely, that has raised concerns. The country
has coalitions at the local government level, but many have failed, leading to
more problems in delivering services for frustrated citizens.
___
More AP global elections coverage:
https://apnews.com/25-elections-in-2024-that-could-change-the-world
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Taiwan reports 14 Chinese warships and 4 balloons near the island
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Notre Dame's reopening will begin with an archbishop's knock on the doors.
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Trump says he can't guarantee tariffs won't raise US prices and won't rule out
revenge prosecutionsDonald Trump says he can’t guarantee his promised tariffs on
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Trump taps forceful ally of hard-line immigration policies to head Customs and
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filling out. Trump has announced a former Border Patrol chief, Rodney Scott, to
head the Customs and Border Protection agency.AP News
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The Latest: The famed Notre Dame Cathedral in Paris reopens to great
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Melania Trump says heading to the White House for the second term is much
different than the firstSoon-to-be first lady Melania Trump says preparing to
enter the White House for the second time looks a lot different from the first
time.AP News
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Taiwan reports 14 Chinese warships and 4 balloons near the islandChina has sent
14 warships, seven military aircraft and four balloons near Taiwan, according to
Taiwan’s Defense Ministry, as Beijing ramps up pressure on the island it claims
as its own.AP News
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Notre Dame's reopening will begin with an archbishop's knock on the doors.
Here's what comes nextThe reopening this weekend of Notre Dame is a succession
of ceremonies to breathe life back into the iconic cathedral and celebrate the
recovery from its devastating fire in 2019.AP News
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Police in Missouri shoot a suspect who opened fire on officers after a
crashPolice in Missouri shot and wounded a suspect who authorities say opened
fire after crashing his vehicle.AP News
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Trump says he can't guarantee tariffs won't raise US prices and won't rule out
revenge prosecutionsDonald Trump says he can’t guarantee his promised tariffs on
key U.S. foreign trade partners won’t raise prices for American consumers.AP
News
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Trump taps forceful ally of hard-line immigration policies to head Customs and
Border ProtectionPresident-elect Donald Trump's immigration and border team is
filling out. Trump has announced a former Border Patrol chief, Rodney Scott, to
head the Customs and Border Protection agency.AP News
Undo
Bucks snap a 2-game skid with a 118-113 victory over the NetsGiannis
Antetkounmpo had 34 points, 11 rebounds and four assists and the Milwaukee Bucks
snapped a two-game skid with a 118-113 win over the Brooklyn Nets.AP News
Undo
Adam Lowry scores in OT to give Jets 3-2 win over Sabres and end 4-game skidAdam
Lowry scored 3:59 into overtime to end the Winnipeg Jets’ four-game losing
streak in a 3-2 win against the Buffalo Sabres.AP News
Undo
The Latest: The famed Notre Dame Cathedral in Paris reopens to great
fanfareNotre Dame is reopening its doors for the first time since a fire five
years ago nearly destroyed the beloved 12th-century cathedral.AP News
Undo
Trump isn't back in office but he's already pushing his agenda and negotiating
with world leadersDonald Trump is making threats, traveling abroad, and
negotiating with world leaders. He has more than a month-and-a-half to go before
he’s sworn in for a second term.AP News
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Opposition fighters reportedly drive Syrian leader from the country. Who are
they and what now?Syria’s government appears to have fallen after opposition
fighters say they entered Damascus following a stunning advance.AP News
Undo
Young hits 3-point in overtime to give Hawks 6 straight wins, 134-132 over
LakersTrae Young hit a 3-pointer with 7.4 seconds left in overtime and the
Atlanta Hawks held on for their sixth straight win, beating the slumping Los
Angeles Lakers 134-132.AP News
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