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Federal Reserve keeps interest rates unchanged for now

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Economy


FEDERAL RESERVE KEEPS INTEREST RATES UNCHANGED FOR NOW

The U.S. central bank held interest rates steady for the second straight month
as it waits to see if inflation decreases further.
Your Video Begins in 00:23
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FEDERAL RESERVE VOTES UNANIMOUSLY TO PAUSE INTEREST RATE CHANGES

02:15

Get more newsLiveon
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Nov. 1, 2023, 6:03 PM GMT / Source: NBC News
By Marley Jay

The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged Wednesday as it continues to
track inflation and the health of the economy.

The central bank voted unanimously to leave its primary interest rate in the
range of 5.25% to 5.50%. U.S. interest rates are the highest they've been in 23
years. That means interest rates on loans such as mortgages have gone up
sharply, and so have payments on Treasury bonds and interest-bearing accounts.




In a statement, the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee said the
economy continues to grow at a strong pace and the jobs market remains strong as
well, although it has weakened in recent months. It added that inflation remains
high.

The Fed meets eight times a year, and it has now left rates unchanged for two
meetings in a row. That hadn’t happened since March 2022, when it started
raising rates at a rapid clip.

Greg McBride, chief financial analyst for the financial services company
Bankrate, said the Fed didn't need to raise its benchmark rate because other
interest rates have continued to rise.


FED KEEPS INTEREST RATES UNCHANGED: WHAT DOES IT MEAN FOR YOU?

Nov. 2, 202302:32


"The rise in long-term interest rates in recent months has had the same desired
effect of monetary tightening, effectively doing some of the Fed’s dirty work
for them," he said in a statement to NBC News.



The Fed made a similar point in its statement, noting that tighter financial and
credit conditions would likely crimp spending by households and businesses.

Since the Federal Reserve’s last meeting in September, new data has shown that
inflation is continuing to gradually come down. It’s still not clear if it’s
coming down fast enough, or if it will continue to decline and get to the 2%
annual level the Fed says it wants to see.

Projections by members of the Federal Open Market Committee, which makes
decisions about raising or lowering interest rates, show that policymakers think
it will take until 2025 or 2026 to get inflation to that level.

A sculpture of an eagle looks out from behind protective construction wrapping
as the Federal Reserve Board building in Washington undergoes renovations on
Oct. 23.J. Scott Applewhite / AP

The Federal Reserve raised interest rates sharply from March 2022 through this
summer as it tried to get inflation under control. Inflation had hit 40-year
highs in mid-2022, peaking at 9.1% annually. By contrast, that rate was 3.7% in
September.

Prices for most items haven't come down over that time, but the slower increases
have been a relief to some consumers. Wages have been rising faster than
inflation lately, which makes it easier for people to afford goods and services.

In an ideal scenario, inflation would continue to come down even as the economy
keeps growing indefinitely. Markets are concluding that this means interest
rates will probably stay high for a long time.


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However, it remains to be seen if inflation will keep declining the way the Fed
wants, or if the central bank will need to raise interest rates further to make
sure that happens. So far, the U.S. economy has stayed generally strong even
though interest rates have spiked. The job market has also cooled off somewhat,
but remains strong as well.

That's good news in most cases, but faster economic growth can contribute to
greater inflation. Some experts are worried inflation could flare up again and
want the Fed to raise rates further to prevent that from happening.

The Fed itself is keeping its options open. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has long
said that it will be "data dependent" and make its decisions based on how
circumstances develop.

According to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool, which tracks futures trading,
investors think there's about a 1 in 4 chance that the Fed will raise rates in
December during the Federal Open Market Committee's final meeting of the year.


Marley Jay

Marley Jay is a business news reporter for NBC News Digital.



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