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EURUSD
1.11
0.00
0.10%
1
1:20
0:05
23:45
BuySell
JPYUSD
0.01
0.00
0.74%
1
1:20
0:05
23:45
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GBPUSD
1.31
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0.06%
1
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CHFUSD
1.18
0.00
0.37%
1
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23:45
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AUDUSD
0.67
-0.00
-0.19%
1
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23:45
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CADUSD
0.74
-0.00
-0.09%
1
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23:45
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NZDUSD
0.62
-0.00
-0.30%
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23:45
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CNYUSD
0.14
0.00
0.34%
1
1:20
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23:45
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USDBRL
5.55
-0.08
-1.42%
1
1:20
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23:45
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USDPLN
3.86
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1
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23:45
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MARKET NEWS

Empower your trading with News and Analysis

12 September 2024Fed unlikely to commit beyond the initial 25bp rate cut in
September



The Federal Reserve is expected to initiate its first rate cut in over a year at
its September meeting, but HSBC analysts said in a note Thursday that they
believe the central bank will proceed cautiously with no firm commitment to
further cuts in the near term.

HSBC anticipates a 25-basis point (bp) reduction in the federal funds target
range, lowering it from 5.25%-5.50% to 5.00%-5.25%.

"We expect the FOMC's median projection for the federal funds target range at
end-2024 to fall to 4.50-4.75% (from 5.00-5.25% previously), consistent with our
forecast of 25bp rate cuts in September, November, and December," HSBC wrote.

However, they also said the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is unlikely to
commit beyond the initial 25bp cut at this stage.

The firm explained that while recent inflation data came in slightly higher than
expected, the wider economic outlook supports the case for a gradual approach.

"The latest inflation data came in a bit higher than we had anticipated,
providing FOMC policymakers with another reason to start with a smaller initial
rate cut of 25bp, rather than a larger 50bp move," HSBC stated.

In addition, the bank does not expect significant revisions to the Fed's
economic projections in the upcoming quarterly report.

They explained that they expect the FOMC's year-end 2024 median projection for
the federal funds rate to drop to 4.50%-4.75%, consistent with their forecast of
incremental rate cuts.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell is expected to take a cautious tone in his press
conference, stating that future policy decisions will be made "meeting by
meeting" while monitoring economic data.

HSBC also expects Powell to highlight the Fed's dual mandate of reducing
inflation to 2% while maintaining a strong labor market.



Read More
12 September 2024Oil prices climb 1% on fears over hurricane impact on US output



Oil prices rose by more than 1% to extend a rebound spurred by concern over
Hurricane Francine's impact on U.S. output, though a gloomy demand outlook
capped gains.

Brent crude futures for November rose 94 cents, or 1.3%, to $71.55 a barrel by
1205 GMT. U.S. crude futures for October were up $1, or 1.5%, at $68.31.

A day earlier both contracts had gained more than 2% as offshore platforms in
the U.S. Gulf of Mexico were shut and coastal refinery operations were disrupted
by Hurricane Francine's landfall in southern Louisiana.

"Hurricane Francine has likely disrupted about 1.5 million barrels of U.S. oil
production, which we estimate will reduce September production in the Gulf of
Mexico by around 50,000 barrels per day (bpd)," UBS analysts said.

They added that they expect Brent crude oil to move back up above $80/barrel
over the coming months.

Nearly 39% of oil and almost half of natural gas production in the Gulf of
Mexico was offline on Wednesday, the offshore regulator said. A total of 171
production platforms and three rigs had been evacuated.

"The region accounts for about 15% of U.S. oil production, with any disruptions
in production likely to tighten supplies in the near term," said Priyanka
Sachdeva, senior market analyst at Singapore-based brokerage Phillip Nova.

But with the storm set to dissipate after landfall, oil market attention began
to turn to lower demand.

On Thursday the International Energy Agency (IEA) cut its 2024 oil demand growth
forecast by 70,000 bpd, or about 7.2%, to 900,000 bpd, citing muted Chinese
demand.

U.S. oil stockpiles rose across the board last week as crude imports grew and
exports dipped, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday.

However, the medium-term trend remains bearish for WTI crude, supported by weak
demand from China and "growth scare concerns" in the U.S., said Kelvin Wong,
senior market analyst at OANDA.

Earlier in the week, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries
(OPEC) cut its forecast for global oil demand growth this year and trimmed its
expectation for 2025, its second consecutive downward revision.

Both oil benchmarks tanked on Tuesday after the downward revision.

Traders are also awaiting data - a reading of producer prices and the weekly
jobless claims report are both due at 1230 GMT.



Read More
12 September 2024Manchester United brand remains strong despite recent financial
losses



Despite recent financial challenges, Manchester United (LON:0Z1Q) (NYSE:MANU)s
brand remains resilient and robust. As per analysts at Jefferies, the football
club's global recognition and extensive fanbase continue to be key drivers of
its strength, even amid declining financial performance and increased
operational costs.

Manchester United has faced financial difficulties, primarily driven by rising
player costs and operational expenses.

For fiscal year 2024, the club reported revenues of £662 million, narrowly
exceeding its forecast of £660 million.

The club's EBITDA for FY 2024 was £148 million, down from £155 million the
previous year.

The operational restructuring and leadership changes underway are expected to
drive cost savings of £40-45 million annually by fiscal years 2025 and 2026 .

“MANU has >1B global fans, and we expect fan engagement initiatives to pay
dividends in the long term,” the analysts said.

Jefferies flags that despite financial losses, the club reported record
attendance levels and ticket sales in FY 2024.

The paid membership program, with over 438,000 members, remains the largest in
global sports. Additionally, the waiting list for season tickets has grown to
171,000.

Manchester United also reported a club-record of £137 million in Matchday
revenues in FY 2024, despite hosting eight fewer home matches.

This record was driven by strong ticket demand and attendance, further
emphasizing the club's ability to monetize its fanbase even in challenging
financial periods .

Manchester United is actively exploring new revenue streams, including a
recently launched e-commerce platform in partnership with SCAYLE.

This platform, which offers in-app purchases, digital ad sales, and eSports
opportunities, is projected to improve the club's retail, merchandising, and
licensing revenues by £30 million.

Despite the club’s brand strength, Manchester United continues to face financial
risks, particularly from escalating player costs. “Continued inflation in player
costs could pressure expansion of profit margins,” the analysts said.

Additionally, the sponsorship business, a more reliable source of revenue, has
entered a more mature phase, with fewer opportunities for new deals.

However, the club remains focused on converting higher-margin global sponsorship
agreements.

Jefferies analysts maintain an optimistic long-term view of Manchester United's
value creation potential.

Moreover, Manchester United's brand value and extensive fanbase ensure that it
remains a dominant force in the global sports industry .

The club’s market capitalization stands at £2.1 billion, and Jefferies has a buy
rating with a price target of $26, offering a 59% upside potential from its
current valuation.



Read More

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+97145862675
support@alansarisecurities.com
Trading
Account TypesDeposit & WithdrawalOur platform
Products
ForexStock IndicesCommoditiesStock CFDsCrypto
About us
Why choose Al Ansari Securities?SecurityTerms and conditionsPrivacy
PolicyFAQAMLHow to contact usFunds security
Tools & Education
Trading AcademyDaily NewsEconomic CalendarGloassaryVideo academy

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