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Open main menu Twitter Facebook Pollster Ratings Français Choose your region Canada (federal) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Alberta British Columbia Manitoba New Brunswick Newfoundland & Labrador Nova Scotia Ontario Quebec Saskatchewan -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Montreal (Mayoral) Toronto (Mayoral) USA (Presidential) France (Presidential) About Home Canada Canada (federal) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Alberta British Columbia Manitoba New Brunswick Newfoundland & Labrador Nova Scotia Ontario Quebec Saskatchewan -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Montreal (Mayoral) Toronto (Mayoral) USA (Presidential) France (Presidential) Canada Search expand search bar Federal BC AB SK MB ON QC NB NS NL Close main menu About 338Canada.ca Français Canada Electoral districts All 338 electoral districts Atlantic Canada Quebec Ontario Prairies Alberta British Columbia Territories Parties LPC CPC BQ NDP GPC PPC Federal polls Map Federal simulator Federal projections Provincial projections Latest 338 updates WELCOME TO 338CANADA! The 338Canada project is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history, and demographic data. This web site is a creation of Philippe J. Fournier, physics and astrophysics professor at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal. Philippe J. Fournier is a political columnist for Politico and L'actualité magazine, as well as a regular political contributor for CTV Montreal, Noovo, and Radio-Canada. He also co-hosts a new political podcast The Numbers with Éric Grenier. Please subscribe to the 338Canada newsletter here, and enjoy the website! ON 87 23 10 1 QC 38 26 13 1 BC 31 6 4 1 AB 32 2 MB 7 4 3 SK 14 NS 8 2 1 NB 6 4 NL 5 1 1 PEI 4 YK NWT NU 338Canada federal projections Click on map to see projection details Updated on February 18, 2024 ON QC BC AB MB SK NS NB NL PEI YK NWT NU 338Canada provincial projections Click on a province to see projection details 60 35 25 3 1 59 26 20 15 5 81 6 4 2 52 35 34 22 1 33 28 41 8 5 1 26 19 4 19 15 4 2 Federal projections Provincial projections Latest 338 updates LATEST 338CANADA UPDATES Click on any chart to access projection details ONTARIO UPDATED FEBRUARY 20, 2024 PCPO 36% ± 4%▼ OLP 31% ± 4%▲ NDP 22% ± 3%▼ GPO 7% ± 2% Projections | Polls | Districts QUEBEC UPDATED FEBRUARY 18, 2024 PQ 32% ± 4% CAQ 24% ± 3%▲ QS 16% ± 3%▼ LIB 15% ± 2% QCP 11% ± 2%▼ Projections | Polls | Districts CANADA (FEDERAL) UPDATED FEBRUARY 18, 2024 CPC 41% ± 4% LPC 25% ± 3%▼ NDP 19% ± 3% BQ 7% ± 1% GPC 5% ± 1% Projections | Polls | Districts SASKATCHEWAN UPDATED FEBRUARY 9, 2024 SKP 46% ± 5%▼ NDP 45% ± 5%▲ SUP 3% ± 2% BUF 2% ± 1% Projections | Polls | Districts BRITISH COLUMBIA UPDATED FEBRUARY 1, 2024 NDP 46% ± 5%▲ BCC 22% ± 4% BCU 18% ± 3%▼ BCG 11% ± 3%▼ Projections | Polls | Districts NEWFOUNDLAND & LABRADOR UPDATED JANUARY 30, 2024 LIB 41% ± 7% PC 37% ± 7% NDP 19% ± 5% Projections | Polls | Districts ALBERTA UPDATED JANUARY 20, 2024 UCP 52% ± 5%▲ NDP 44% ± 5% ABP 1% ± 1% GPA 1% ± 1% Projections | Polls | Districts MANITOBA UPDATED OCTOBER 7, 2023 NDP 46% ± 1%▼ PC 42% ± 1% LIB 11% ± 0%▲ GRN 1% ± 0% Projections | Polls | Districts NEW BRUNSWICK UPDATED SEPTEMBER 2, 2023 LIB 38% ± 5%▲ PC 38% ± 5%▲ GRN 17% ± 4%▼ PANB 6% ± 1%▼ NDP 2% ± 1%▲ Projections | Polls | Districts NOVA SCOTIA UPDATED SEPTEMBER 2, 2023 PC 46% ± 3% NDP 25% ± 3% LIB 25% ± 3%▼ GRN 3% ± 1% Projections | Polls | Districts Federal projections Provincial projections Latest 338 updates ELECTION CALENDAR 2024 October 19, 2024 British Columbia general election (scheduled) October 21, 2024 New Brunswick general election (scheduled) October 28, 2024 Saskatchewan general election (scheduled) 2025 July 15, 2025 Nova Scotia general election (scheduled) October 14, 2025 Newfoundland & Labrador general election (scheduled) October 20, 2025 Canadian federal election (scheduled) 2026 June 4, 2026 Ontario general election (scheduled) October 5, 2026 Quebec general election (scheduled) 2027 May 31, 2027 Alberta general election (scheduled) October 4, 2027 Prince Edward Island general election (scheduled) Canada (federal) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Alberta British Columbia Manitoba New Brunswick Newfoundland & Labrador Nova Scotia Ontario Quebec Saskatchewan -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 338 Blog About Methodology The record so far Ratings of Canadian pollsters USA (Presidential) France (Presidential) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Montreal (Mayoral) Toronto (Mayoral) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Français 338 Blog About Methodology The record so far Ratings of Canadian pollsters @338Canada @338Canada /u/Qc125 info [at] Qc125 [dot] com x x