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Monday, February 5, 2024
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Energy & Environment |Summer Has Long Stressed Electric Grids. Now Winter Does,
Too.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/05/business/energy-environment/winter-electric-grid-summer.html
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SUMMER HAS LONG STRESSED ELECTRIC GRIDS. NOW WINTER DOES, TOO.

Electric utilities, which designed their system to meet peak demand in sizzling
weather, are straining to keep up during the cold.

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Star Pizza lost power in its 50-year-old location in Houston during a winter
storm in 2021.Credit...Danielle Villasana for The New York Times


By Ivan Penn

Ivan Penn, who covers the energy industry, reported from Houston and Los
Angeles.

Feb. 5, 2024Updated 4:03 p.m. ET
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For decades, managers of electric grids feared that surging energy demand on hot
summer days would force blackouts. Increasingly, they now have similar concerns
about the coldest days of winter.

Largely because of growing demand from homes and businesses, and supply
constraints thanks to aging utility equipment, many grids are under greater
strain in winter. By 2033, the growth in electricity demand during winter,
compared with the current level, is expected to exceed the growth in demand in
summer, according to the North American Electric Reliability Corporation, a
nonprofit organization that develops and enforces standards for the utility
industry.

Just 10 years ago, winter electricity use ran about 11 percent less than in
summer, according to the group. By 2033, that gap is expected to shrink to about
8 percent. And by 2050, winter demand could surpass electricity use in the
summer.

“We’re seeing both summer and winter peaks growing, but we’re seeing winter
peaks growing faster,” said Jim Robb, chief executive of the reliability
corporation. “The demand curve just shoots up very, very quickly.”



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For years after the 2008 financial crisis, annual electricity demand was
essentially flat. The Obama administration promoted energy efficiency as a way
to address climate change, and consumers used less electricity to save money.

But that trend has reversed in recent years as businesses have built hundreds of
large data centers, each of which can use as much power as a small city, and as
individuals have bought more electric cars and appliances. A major contributor
in the winter is the increasing use of electricity to power heaters at homes and
businesses that previously used oil or gas furnaces.

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Ivan Penn is a reporter based in Los Angeles and covers the energy industry. His
work has included reporting on clean energy, failures in the electric grid and
the economics of utility services. More about Ivan Penn

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