www.politico.com Open in urlscan Pro
2606:4700:4400::ac40:9616  Public Scan

Form analysis
0 forms found in the DOM

Text Content

Advertisement


 * Magazine
 * PRO
 * E&E News

New data loaded

Senate
Dems


50
1
49
House
GOP leads

203
21
211
Live updates

Your races


2022 ELECTION RESULTS


DEMOCRATS’ RAZOR-THIN HOUSE MAJORITY IS IN DANGER, BUT THE GOP ISN'T MAKING THE
BIG GAINS IT EXPECTED.

Last updated: Nov. 13, 2022 3:56 a.m. GMT



218 for majority

203 DEMS

GOP 211



Our predictions for 21 remaining races

2 Solid Dem

1 Likely Dem

3 Leans Dem

5 Toss-Up

0 Solid GOP

2 Likely GOP

8 Leans GOP



House Republicans are still on track to take back the majority - but a much
narrower one than expected. Nearly a dozen of House Democrats’ most endangered
incumbents were declared winners. New York remains a problem spot for Dems and
their own campaign chairman has lost, but Republicans struggled to make more
than a handful of gains as of Wednesday and the House remains too close to call.



Sarah Ferris, Congress reporter





WHO’S WINNING THE HOUSE?

Dems leading/won
GOP leading/won

Seats

States


+-




Advertisement






RACES WE’RE WATCHING

CALIFORNIA’S 13TH DISTRICT



CandidateVotesPct.

Duarte (R)39,69750.1%

Gray (D)39,61349.9%


61% of vote in

Steve Shepard, Politics editor: 

An open seat in California's Central Valley pitted a moderate Democrat against a
GOP businessman.


Collapse

CALIFORNIA’S 22ND DISTRICT



CandidateVotesPct.

Valadao* (R)29,67752.5%

Salas (D)26,79947.5%

*Incumbent

53% of vote in

Why this race matters

CONNECTICUT’S 5TH DISTRICT



CandidateVotesPct.

Hayes* (D)127,77850.4%

Logan (R)125,80949.6%

*Incumbent

95% of vote in

Why this race matters

ILLINOIS’ 17TH DISTRICT



CandidateVotesPct.

Sorensen (D)119,45051.7%

King (R)111,37848.3%


99% of vote in

Why this race matters

IOWA’S 3RD DISTRICT



CandidateVotesPct.

Nunn (R)156,23950.3%

Axne* (D)154,08449.7%

*Incumbent

99% of vote in

Why this race matters

MICHIGAN’S 7TH DISTRICT



CandidateVotesPct.

Slotkin* (D)192,82851.7%

Barrett (R)172,61946.3%

Dailey (Libertarian Party)7,2762.0%

*Incumbent

99% of vote in

Why this race matters

MINNESOTA’S 2ND DISTRICT



CandidateVotesPct.

Craig* (D)165,58051.0%

Kistner (R)148,57745.7%

Overby 10,7293.3%

*Incumbent

99% of vote in

Why this race matters

NEBRASKA’S 2ND DISTRICT



CandidateVotesPct.

Bacon* (R)111,38851.5%

Vargas (D)104,86848.5%

*Incumbent

99% of vote in

Why this race matters

NEVADA’S 3RD DISTRICT



CandidateVotesPct.

Lee* (D)128,61151.9%

Becker (R)119,31648.1%

*Incumbent

99% of vote in

Why this race matters

NEW YORK’S 22ND DISTRICT



CandidateVotesPct.

Williams (R)132,76250.8%

Conole (D)128,83749.2%


97% of vote in

Why this race matters

PENNSYLVANIA’S 17TH DISTRICT



CandidateVotesPct.

Deluzio (D)189,19253.2%

Shaffer (R)166,48046.8%


97% of vote in

Why this race matters

WASHINGTON’S 8TH DISTRICT



CandidateVotesPct.

Schrier* (D)159,13153.2%

Larkin (R)139,76646.8%

*Incumbent

70% of vote in

Why this race matters



WHO WON THE HOUSE’S TIGHTEST RACES?

We rated 71 House races as likely to be narrow wins. Democrats have won more of
the races called so far.

Lean Dem.
AZ
04
CA
26
CO
07
GA
02
IL
06
IL
13
IL
14
IN
01
KS
03
MI
03
MI
08
NV
04
NH
02
NJ
03
NM
03
NY
18
NY
25
NC
06
OH
01
OH
09
OR
04
PA
12
TX
28
NY
03
AK
00
CA
09
CA
47
Toss-ups
CT
05
IL
17
MI
07
MN
02
NV
01
NV
03
NH
01
NM
02
NC
13
OH
13
PA
07
PA
08
PA
17
RI
02
TX
34
VA
07
WA
08
NE
02
NY
04
NY
17
NY
19
CA
22
CA
49
ME
02
NY
22
OR
06
Lean GOP
WA
03
AZ
02
FL
27
IA
01
IA
02
IA
03
NJ
07
NY
01
TX
15
VA
02
AZ
01
AZ
06
CA
13
CA
27
CA
41
CA
45
CO
08
OR
05


Here’s the House picture: Democrats continue to overperform, but they
essentially need to sweep the remaining toss-up races in order to have a shot at
the majority.



Steve Shepard, Politics editor



Advertisement






FLIPS AND SIGNIFICANT SHIFTS

Flips to Democrats



Republicans won these seats last cycle, but Democrats have flipped them in 2022.

Vote margin

D+80



D+60



D+40



D+20



0



R+20



R+40



R+60



R+80



MI-03

+19




IL-13

+21




OH-13

+32




OH-01

+12




NC-13

+14




WA-03

+15




NM-02

+8




Flips to Republicans



Likewise, Republicans have won these formerly Democratic seats.

Vote margin

D+80



D+60



D+40



D+20



0



R+20



R+40



R+60



R+80



GA-06

+34




CA-05

+41




FL-04

+51




FL-07

+29




TX-15

+11




AZ-02

+12




NY-03

+21




FL-13

+14




NJ-07

+5




VA-02

+7




NY-04

+17




WI-03

+6




NY-19

+14




NY-17

+26




IA-03

+2




MI-10

+21




Races that got more competitive

These seats didn’t switch parties in 2022 — but their winning margins narrowed
by five or more points.

Vote margin

D+80



D+60



D+40



D+20



0



R+20



R+40



R+60



R+80



TX-13

+11




OK-03

+8




OK-02

+6




GA-09

+12




PA-15

+7




TX-36

+11




TX-08

+10




UT-03

+7




TX-04

+18




KS-01

+7




OH-06

+13




IN-06

+7




OK-04

+7




TN-06

+18




GA-14

+18




WV-02

+7




MO-03

+11




OH-08

+8




FL-11

+6




ID-02

+7




NC-05

+10




OK-01

+6




ND-AL

+18




MN-06

+7




TN-07

+22




NE-01

+6




MD-01

+11




CO-05

+5




NC-07

+5




MN-08

+6




OH-15

+12




OH-07

+29




WI-01

+10




NY-15

+12




GA-05

+5




NY-07

+10




NJ-10

+15




TX-30

+8




MO-01

+13




MI-13

+14




OR-03

+5




NY-08

+25




FL-20

+13




MI-12

+18




TX-18

+7




CA-02

+7




TN-09

+15




FL-24

+14




WA-09

+6




IL-04

+29




CA-19

+15




IL-05

+8




VT-AL

+8




CA-32

+5




CA-18

+10




CA-14

+9




IL-02

+25




VA-11

+10




MI-06

+5




CA-52

+5




IL-01

+17




CA-28

+10




NY-26

+14




MD-05

+11




HI-02

+7




NY-06

+9




CA-37

+47




SC-06

+14




CT-01

+5




NJ-12

+12




FL-10

+8




MS-02

+13




CA-46

+18




CT-04

+7




MA-09

+7




NJ-06

+7




CA-33

+7




MD-03

+24




CO-07

+7




CA-39

+13




FL-14

+7




AZ-04

+10




CA-31

+20




TX-28

+7




OH-09

+13




CA-35

+26




DE-AL

+5




CA-15

+46




IL-11

+15




PA-12

+27




MD-02

+25




NJ-09

+24




FL-22

+10




FL-25

+6




GA-02

+8




NY-20

+12




CA-26

+12




NC-06

+16




TX-34

+6




NY-25

+13




VA-10

+7




IN-01

+11




NV-01

+24




FL-23

+12




MD-06

+16




RI-02

+13




NY-18

+12




CT-05

+11




Races that got less competitive

In each of these seats, the winning party expanded their win margin in 2022.

Vote margin

D+80



D+60



D+40



D+20



0



R+20



R+40



R+60



R+80



AL-04

+6




AL-01

+40




LA-06

+20




TX-19

+8




WI-08

+29




TX-01

+11




IL-12

+30




FL-06

+29




TN-08

+10




OH-02

+27




AL-03

+11




MS-01

+8




NC-10

+8




MO-04

+6




TN-04

+11




MO-06

+6




MS-03

+13




FL-12

+15




AL-02

+9




MN-07

+25




OH-12

+25




PA-09

+6




TX-26

+15




GA-03

+8




GA-08

+8




TX-14

+14




IA-04

+13




FL-19

+13




NJ-04

+14




OR-02

+11




NC-03

+7




CA-20

+9




TX-17

+18




NY-24

+12




IN-02

+9




TX-02

+19




UT-02

+8




UT-04

+29




KY-06

+14




NY-23

+13




FL-08

+7




SC-07

+6




SC-05

+9




MI-02

+8




TX-10

+22




WI-05

+9




MI-05

+10




FL-28

+24




FL-21

+12




TX-22

+20




FL-03

+12




TX-21

+19




AR-02

+14




OH-10

+8




FL-16

+13




NY-11

+18




TX-03

+11




NV-02

+7




IN-05

+18




NY-02

+15




OK-05

+17




CA-01

+7




SC-02

+7




CA-48

+12




NJ-02

+14




TX-24

+18




CA-23

+7




TX-23

+13




FL-15

+6




VA-05

+11




CA-40

+13




FL-27

+12




SC-01

+13




NC-09

+7




MO-02

+5




MN-01

+8




IA-02

+6




IA-01

+7




PA-03

+8




MD-04

+20




NY-10

+18




GA-13

+9




MD-07

+19




CO-01

+11




CA-10

+14




MD-08

+22




CA-43

+7




PA-02

+6




MN-05

+8




TX-35

+8




CO-02

+15




OR-01

+7




IN-07

+11




IL-03

+21




CA-07

+20




CA-04

+24




TX-32

+25




TX-07

+24




CO-06

+5




MI-11

+20




WA-02

+5




GA-07

+19




MN-03

+8




NJ-11

+10




IL-14

+7






HOW DID SOME OF THE TOP SPENDERS IN THE ELECTION FARE?

Campaign finance data is current as of Oct. 17, 2022.


AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION

$11,249,876 for Republican candidates

Jessica Piper, Data reporter: 

Americans for Prosperity Action is a libertarian conservative advocacy group. It
backs Republican candidates.

CandidateResultMoney spent

Barbara Kirkmeyer(CO-08)

$787,698

Yesli Vega(VA-07)

$839,867

Zach Nunn(IA-03)

$799,086

Steve Chabot(OH-01)

$707,844


See more


LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS

$4,400,343 for candidates who focus on addressing climate change

Jessica: 

The League of Conservation Voters' super PAC arm supports candidates focused on
addressing climate change and protecting the environment. This cycle, all the
candidates it backed have been Democrats.

CandidateResultMoney spent

Sharice Davids(KS-03)

$650,124

Jahana Hayes(CT-05)

$529,044

Susan Wild(PA-07)

$357,165

Kim Schrier(WA-08)

$342,007


See more


NAT'L ASSN. OF REALTORS FUND

$5,565,434 for candidates who support the real estate industry

Jessica: 

The National Association of Realtors backs candidates supportive of the real
estate industry. It is a rare super PAC that has backed both Democratic and
Republican legislators this cycle.

CandidateResultMoney spent

Adam Gray(CA-13)

$937,673

David Valadao(CA-22)

$959,428

Mike Garcia(CA-27)

$721,884

Young Kim(CA-40)

$711,468


See more


SHIELD PAC

$5,130,359 for Democratic candidates

Jessica: 

Shield PAC is a super PAC backing moderate Democrats.

CandidateResultMoney spent

Kim Schrier(WA-08)

$760,837

Susie Lee(NV-03)

$750,944

Abigail Spanberger(VA-07)

$866,440

Sharice Davids(KS-03)

$739,104


See more


Advertisement






WHAT WE'RE WATCHING ON ELECTION DAY

How redistricting is shaping Election Night
Re-drawn congressional districts shuffled the seats in play. We’re watching
who’s getting a boost.

Donald Trump’s personal midterm scorecard
Are followers of “Trumpism” winning their elections? We have a live tally.

How and when states vote on Nov. 8
Our list of voting laws and poll closing times in every state.
Nationwide governors results
How races for each state's highest office are shaking out.
Ballot measures across the country
As power shifts to the states, voter referendums matter more than ever. We’re
tracking them all.
U.S. Senate race calls
We're watching every cable network to mark when they call a race for a Senate
candidate.
State-by-state results
AlabamaAlaskaArizonaArkansasCaliforniaColoradoConnecticutDelawareFloridaGeorgia
HawaiiIdahoIllinoisIndianaIowaKansasKentuckyLouisianaMaineMaryland
MassachusettsMichiganMinnesotaMississippiMissouriMontanaNebraskaNevadaNew
HampshireNew Jersey
New MexicoNew YorkNorth CarolinaNorth DakotaOhioOklahomaOregonPennsylvaniaRhode
IslandSouth Carolina
South DakotaTennesseeTexasUtahVermontVirginiaWashingtonWest
VirginiaWisconsinWyoming

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS?

Contact our team at interactives@politico.com.

DATA SOURCES

Associated Press, Federal Election Commission, House of Representatives clerk’s
office, MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. Census Bureau

DESIGN AND DEVELOPMENT

Project lead: Allan James Vestal

Editing: Andrew Briz, Andrew McGill, Lily Mihalik Bhandari, Allan James Vestal

Design & engineering: Aaron Albright, Kai Elwood-Dieu, Paula Friedrich, Beatrice
Jin, Rashida Kamal, Andrew Milligan

STAFF ANALYSIS

Scott Bland, Annette Choi, Rishika Dugyala, Marissa Martinez, Zach Montellaro,
Steve Shepard, Jessica Piper, Mackenzie Wilkes

LEGAL

Terms of Service | Privacy Policy | Do not sell my info | Notice to California
Residents

© 2022 POLITICO LLC






WE CARE ABOUT YOUR PRIVACY

We and our partners store and/or access information on a device, such as unique
IDs in cookies to process personal data. You may accept or manage your choices
by clicking below, including your right to object where legitimate interest is
used, or at any time in the privacy policy page. These choices will be signaled
to our partners and will not affect browsing data.


WE AND OUR PARTNERS PROCESS DATA TO PROVIDE:

Store and/or access information on a device. Select personalised ads. Select
basic ads. Measure ad performance. Apply market research to generate audience
insights. Develop and improve products. Create a personalised ads profile. List
of Partners (vendors)

I Accept
Show Purposes



ABOUT YOUR PRIVACY




 * YOUR PRIVACY


 * STRICTLY NECESSARY COOKIES


 * PERFORMANCE COOKIES


 * FUNCTIONAL COOKIES


 * TARGETING COOKIES


 * SOCIAL MEDIA COOKIES


 * GOOGLE

YOUR PRIVACY

We process your data to deliver content or advertisements and measure the
delivery of such content or advertisements to extract insights about our
website. We share this information with our partners on the basis of consent and
legitimate interest. You may exercise your right to consent or object to a
legitimate interest, based on a specific purpose below or at a partner level in
the link under each purpose. These choices will be signaled to our vendors
participating in the Transparency and Consent Framework.
More information

List of IAB Vendors‎

STRICTLY NECESSARY COOKIES

Always Active

These cookies are necessary for the website to function and cannot be switched
off in our systems. They are usually only set in response to actions made by you
which amount to a request for services, such as setting your privacy
preferences, logging in or filling in forms. You can set your browser to block
or alert you about these cookies, but some parts of the site will not then work.
These cookies do not store any personally identifiable information.

Cookies Details‎

PERFORMANCE COOKIES

Performance Cookies


These cookies allow us to count visits and traffic sources so we can measure and
improve the performance of our site. They help us to know which pages are the
most and least popular and see how visitors move around the site. All
information these cookies collect is aggregated and therefore anonymous. If you
do not allow these cookies we will not know when you have visited our site, and
will not be able to monitor its performance.

Cookies Details‎

FUNCTIONAL COOKIES

Functional Cookies


These cookies enable the website to provide enhanced functionality and
personalisation. They may be set by us or by third party providers whose
services we have added to our pages. If you do not allow these cookies then some
or all of these services may not function properly.

Cookies Details‎

TARGETING COOKIES

Targeting Cookies


These cookies may be set through our site by our advertising partners. They may
be used by those companies to build a profile of your interests and show you
relevant adverts on other sites. They do not store directly personal
information, but are based on uniquely identifying your browser and internet
device. If you do not allow these cookies, you will experience less targeted
advertising.

Cookies Details‎

SOCIAL MEDIA COOKIES

Social Media Cookies


These cookies are set by a range of social media services that we have added to
the site to enable you to share our content with your friends and networks. They
are capable of tracking your browser across other sites and building up a
profile of your interests. This may impact the content and messages you see on
other websites you visit. If you do not allow these cookies you may not be able
to use or see these sharing tools.

Cookies Details‎

GOOGLE

Google


Allowing third-party ad tracking and third-party ad serving through Google and
other vendors to occur. Please see more information on Google Ads here.

 * STORE AND/OR ACCESS INFORMATION ON A DEVICE
   
   Switch Label
   
   Cookies, device identifiers, or other information can be stored or accessed
   on your device for the purposes presented to you.

 * SELECT PERSONALISED ADS
   
   Switch Label
   
   Personalised ads can be shown to you based on a profile about you.
   
   Object to Legitimate Interests Remove Objection

 * SELECT BASIC ADS
   
   Switch Label
   
   Ads can be shown to you based on the content you’re viewing, the app you’re
   using, your approximate location, or your device type.
   
   Object to Legitimate Interests Remove Objection

 * MEASURE AD PERFORMANCE
   
   Switch Label
   
   The performance and effectiveness of ads that you see or interact with can be
   measured.
   
   Object to Legitimate Interests Remove Objection

 * APPLY MARKET RESEARCH TO GENERATE AUDIENCE INSIGHTS
   
   Switch Label
   
   Market research can be used to learn more about the audiences who visit
   sites/apps and view ads.
   
   Object to Legitimate Interests Remove Objection

 * DEVELOP AND IMPROVE PRODUCTS
   
   Switch Label
   
   Your data can be used to improve existing systems and software, and to
   develop new products
   
   Object to Legitimate Interests Remove Objection

 * CREATE A PERSONALISED ADS PROFILE
   
   Switch Label
   
   A profile can be built about you and your interests to show you personalised
   ads that are relevant to you.
   
   Object to Legitimate Interests Remove Objection

List of IAB Vendors‎ | View Full Legal Text Opens in a new Tab
Cookies Details‎
Back Button


BACK

Filter Button
Consent Leg.Interest
checkbox label label
checkbox label label
checkbox label label

 * View Third Party Cookies
    * Name
      cookie name


Clear
checkbox label label
Apply Cancel
Confirm My Choices
Allow All