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REFLEXIVE FUTURES

Futurism, scenarios and crystal balls - how do people think about the future -
and what is it worth?





THURSDAY, JANUARY 08, 2004

From Alan Southern, Method in Future Studies, The Value of Critical Realism

Interesting article, but I can't say it convinced me about the value of Critical
Realism in Future studies.

Posted by Stefanie at 1/08/2004 10:22:00 PM





WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 03, 2003

P.D. Aligica

From the Abstract
This article is a contribution to the development of the epistemological
foundations of Future Studies, criticising the conventional "covering-law"
model, which asserts the symmetry between prediction and explanation, a model
that continuews to undermine the authority of Future Studies as a discipline
despite the fact that Logical Positivism, the epistemological paradigm that
inspired it, is no longer dominant.
He underlines the need for a specific epistemology of prediction, which should
explicitly deal with the intrinsic social nature of knowledge and knowledge
production... theory and epistemology of prediction should be anchored int o the
emerging field of Social Epistemology (from the conclusion)


(www.elsevier.com/locate/futures)

Posted by Stefanie at 12/03/2003 10:59:00 PM



About perspectivist scenario building - Perspektivistisk
scenariobygging-planleggingens 'missing link'?
An Article by E. Øverland, discussing the merits of perspectivist scenario
building compared to managerial planning, future extrapolations, and other
foresight methods. He underlines the two most important objectives with the
perspectivist method: systematic future orientation based on broad involvement
within an organisation - and border-transgressing perspectives on
national-international, internal organisaion, culture and competence as well as
macro-and micro perspective.

Posted by Stefanie at 12/03/2003 10:34:00 PM





THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 20, 2003

I am not interested in the future per se ... if there is such a thing. But it is
interesting to understand how people write, talk and act to make sense about it.

Wired magazine announced that futurims is dead:

http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/11.12/view.html?pg=1

and has been criticised, of course, by futurists:

http://www.wfs.org/futurism.htm



Posted by Stefanie at 11/20/2003 04:19:00 PM



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   * ▼  January (1)
     * From Alan Southern, Method in Future Studies, The ...

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   * ►  December (2)
   * ►  November (1)








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