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India wants to be a developed nation by 2047. Here are 4 critical areas Modi
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India wants to be a developed nation by 2047. Here are 4 critical areas Modi
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Inside India


INDIA WANTS TO BE A DEVELOPED NATION BY 2047. HERE ARE 4 CRITICAL AREAS MODI
CAN’T IGNORE

Published Wed, Jun 19 202410:01 PM EDTUpdated Thu, Jun 20 20245:40 AM EDT
Charmaine Jacob@in/charmainemariajacob@charmainemjacob
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Key Points
 * Prime Minister Narendra Modi has an ambitious goal for India to be a
   developed economy by 2047, but analysts believe this is only possible if the
   country’s infrastructure development, manufacturing capabilities, and
   employment rates improve.
 * A Modi-led coalition won’t likely derail India’s economic and development,
   but the new government will now have to restore faith in the people and
   ensure India’s standing in the Global South remains, analysts said.

India has undergone a massive infrastructure push and has made significant
strides in connecting and modernizing its highways, railways and airports.
Puneet Vikram Singh, Nature And Concept Photographer, | Moment | Getty Images

For the last two years, Prime Minister Narendra Modi has spoken confidently
about his ambitious goal to make India a developed economy by 2047.

All eyes will now be on Modi and his Bharatiya Janata Party-led alliance to see
if they can keep the economic momentum going and continue to improve the lives
of millions in their third consecutive term in office.



Confidence in the BJP has plunged. Modi’s ruling party failed to win an outright
majority in the lower house of Parliament for the first time since 2014, and is
now forced to rely on its allies in the coalition.

“The government will have to find common ground and build consensus on multiple
fronts, not just with alliance partners but also with other stakeholder groups,
to push through key legislation in parliament and quell the rising
anti-incumbency sentiment nationwide,” said Reema Bhattacharya, head of Asia
research at risk intelligence firm Verisk Maplecroft.

“A failure to do so could also result in further political setbacks for the
ruling party in the next round of state elections scheduled for later in the
year,” she warned.

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A Modi-led coalition won’t likely derail India’s economic and development,
analysts say. However, they point out that the new government will now have to
restore faith in the people and ensure India’s standing in the Global South
remains.

The new government has yet to outline its key priorities. Analysts, however, are
predicting that these four areas will feature high on the agenda.




1. INFRASTRUCTURE PUSH

India has undergone a massive infrastructure push and has made significant
strides in connecting and modernizing its highways, railways and airports.

Last year, consultancy firm EY projected that India will become a $26 trillion
economy by 2047, and highlighted that building up the country’s infrastructure
capabilities will be pivotal in making this happen.

“Since Modi’s been in office, he’s done his utmost to build ports, railways, and
all kinds of hardline infrastructure to make business fluid. He’s going to
double down on that,” said Samir Kapadia, CEO of India Index and managing
principal at Vogel Group.

India still lags China in this area, and more needs to be done if it is seeking
high-growth trajectory to continue attracting foreign investors.

At the interim budget in February, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman estimated
capital expenditure will rise by 11.1% to 11.11 trillion Indian rupees ($133.9
billion) in the fiscal year 2025, largely focused on constructing railways and
airports.

New tetrapods being placed after the completion of the construction of a coastal
road, ahead of the monsoon in Mumbai, India, on June 11, 2024. 
Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty Images

But improving connectivity between cities should not be the only area of focus,
noted Santanu Sengupta, India economist at Goldman Sachs.

“Along with creating physical infrastructure, India needs to remain steadfast on
the structural reforms ... It needs to look at land and unlock land to set up
more infrastructure in terms of factories,” Sengupta told CNBC, adding that this
will drive jobs growth in the sector.

However, analysts highlighted the government might face pushback on this as
Modi’s weakened hand could make it more tedious to acquire land for projects.

“Such targets may be more difficult if state-level parties have a quasi-veto due
to the coalition structure,” said Richard Rossow, senior advisor and chair in
U.S.-India policy studies at the Center for Strategic and International Studies.


2. ENHANCE MANUFACTURING

In the past decade, Modi has aggressively pushed for India to be self-reliant
and overtake China to become Asia’s largest manufacturing powerhouse —
particularly in chip manufacturing.

U.S. tech giants are increasingly bringing part of their supply chains to India.
The Financial Times reported in December that Apple told component suppliers it
will source batteries from Indian factories for its upcoming iPhone
16. Google is also reportedly set to begin Pixel phone production in India by
this quarter.

Apple supplier Foxconn has announced it will ramp up investments in India, while
Micron Technology is set to create the first India-made semiconductor chip by
early 2025.

Employees work on a mobile phone assembly line at Padget Electronics, a
subsidiary of Dixon Technologies, in Noida, India, on Friday, March 22, 2024. 
Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Projections from Counterpoint Research and the India Electronics and
Semiconductor Association show that India’s semiconductor industry will be
valued at $64 billion by 2026, a three-fold growth from $23 billion in 2019.

“This will probably be the biggest breadwinner for India over the next five to
10 years,” Kapadia said. “Modi firmly believes that if India is able to be in
the semiconductor manufacturing business and if he gets it right, India can
become an economy that will not be fussed with.”


3. FIGHT HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT

Unemployment is currently one of the biggest problem’s the world’s most populous
country is facing, and a mismatch in skills is further exacerbating this issue,
Sumedha Dasgupta, senior analyst at The Economist Intelligence Unit said.

“There is already a mismatch between the skill level of the country’s workers
and the demand for high innovation from employers. This will persist definitely
over this decade, possibly into the 2030s as well,” she told CNBC.

Unemployment rate in India rose to 8.1% in April from 7.4% in March, according
to the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy.

A survey conducted by the Centre for the Study of Developing Societies in April,
ahead of the election, showed that unemployment was the top concern for 27% of
the 10,000 surveyed. More than half (62%) of those surveyed said it had become
more difficult to find a job in the last five years during Modi’s second term.

Construction workers in Mumbai, India, on June 5, 2024. 
Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images

It is now up to the new coalition government to improve local education
standards and skills-based training to ensure people are gainfully employed in
the right sectors, analysts highlighted.

“While those with advanced education and practical experience are poised to
secure jobs in this sector, creating widespread, equitable employment
opportunities requires a more inclusive approach,” said Vivek Prasad, markets
leader at PwC India.

New education policies and vocational training will “engage individuals at all
levels of the manufacturing value chain, ensuring that the benefits of economic
progress are shared across society,” Prasad told CNBC, adding that boosting the
employment of women is paramount to driving India’s growth.


4. INCREASE FOREIGN INVESTMENTS

From veteran emerging markets investor Mark Mobius to global strategist David
Roche, market experts remain bullish on India.

The National Stock Exchange of India has a total market capitalization of $4.9
trillion — the third largest in Asia-Pacific, according to data from the World
Federation of Exchanges. India’s market cap is projected to grow to $40 trillion
in the next two decades.

Benchmark indexes Nifty 50 and the Sensex have been strong outperformers this
year — respectively rising by 8% and 7% year-to-date, according to LSEG data.

Foreign direct investments into the country needs to however pick up pace to
further drive economic growth and development, analysts told CNBC.

watch now
VIDEO2:3402:34
Mark Mobius names the sectors in India he’s bullish on
Street Signs Asia


Foreign direct investments into India last year were relatively soft due to a
difficult private equity funding environment as a result of high U.S. interest
rates, said Goldman Sachs’ Sengupta said.

“India will likely attract more FDI inflows from the U.S. once interest rates
soften and the funding environment becomes easier,” Sengupta told CNBC.

Ease of investing in India also “has some ways to go” in order to continue
attracting foreign funds, noted Prabhat Ojha, partner and head of Asia client
business at Cambridge Associates.

He recommended investors pay more attention to India’s banking sector — one that
now has good quality growth and capital allocation practices.

“From 2017 to 2019, there was really a cleanup of Indian banks and they are in a
very healthy state today,” Ojha told CNBC.


Related

 1. India wants to become a semiconductor powerhouse, but it can’t do it on its
    own
    
 2. CNBC’s Inside India newsletter: Can India grow as fast as China did?
    
 3. Financial services firm discusses India’s bull run
    
 4. Will India’s lofty manufacturing ambitions bear fruit?
    
 5. Watch CNBC’s full interview with India’s Minister of Commerce and Industry
    Piyush Goyal
    


MORE IN INSIDE INDIA

CNBC’s Inside India newsletter: Can India grow as fast as China did?
Ganesh Rao4 hours ago
India wants to become a semiconductor powerhouse, but it can’t do it on its own
Charmaine Jacob
watch now
watch now
VIDEO04:13
Financial services firm discusses India’s bull run
Read More


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