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ANDREW S. ERICKSON


CHINA ANALYSIS FROM ORIGINAL SOURCES



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HI! WELCOME...

China's rapid development is reshaping the world in all dimensions. Chinese
language open sources offer insights into these critical trends. While such
materials are increasing constantly in number, diversity, and sophistication,
only a fraction is available in English. The analyses available here, many based
on sources not previously considered outside China, are designed to help bridge
that gap--and thereby increase understanding of the most dynamic great power in
the international system today.


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02 April 2023


“MODERN CHINESE MARITIME FORCES”—1 APRIL 2023 ED.—ORDER OF BATTLE FOR WORLD’S
LARGEST NAVY, COAST GUARD & MARITIME MILITIA BY NUMBER OF SHIPS

Foreword

China under Xi is steaming full speed ahead at sea. Navigate today’s troubled
Indo-Pacific waters by consulting the latest edition of Modern Chinese Maritime
Forces—just released!
This is the most comprehensive unclassified, open source PRC sea forces order of
battle, data, and ship drawings available anywhere. It tracks the world’s
most-numerous Navy, Coast Guard, and Maritime […]



20 March 2023


APPLY BY 24 MARCH! CHINA LANDPOWER STUDIES CENTER SEEKS CHAIR/FOUNDING DIRECTOR
& RESEARCH PROFESSORS OF CHINA MILITARY + INDO-PACIFIC SECURITY STUDIES

Blog Posts China Maritime Studies Institute (CMSI)

Great news! The U.S. Army War College is establishing a China military studies
center at Carlisle Barracks, PA. The center will be similar to those at other
professional military educational institutions such as National Defense
University, Air University, and the Naval War College.
The China Landpower Studies Center will uniquely focus on the study of the […]



15 March 2023


NAVAL WAR COLLEGE’S CHINA MARITIME STUDIES INSTITUTE (CMSI) SEEKS NEW
DIRECTOR—APPLY BY 20 APRIL 2023!

China Maritime Studies Institute (CMSI) Naval War College

Great new job opportunity at the helm of the Naval War College’s China Maritime
Studies Institute (CMSI)! Apply now to lead a leading team that publishes
cutting-edge research to inform the Navy, advise national security
decision-makers, and engage the Nation and its allies and partners—in a time of
maximum consequence and potential to make a difference!
Faculty […]



10 March 2023


“CHINESE STRATEGY: UNIVERSAL OR UNIQUE?”—HONORED TO PRESENT AT NAVAL WAR
COLLEGE-VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY CONFERENCE!

Presentations (Selected)

CHINESE STRATEGY: UNIVERSAL OR UNIQUE?
Is Chinese strategy part of a universal field of strategic thought, or should it
be seen as a distinct intellectual tradition that cannot easily be mapped onto
Western concepts of strategy?
Friday 10 March, 1430–1800 & Saturday 11 March, 0900–1700
***Please note: all times are Central Standard Time, one hour behind Eastern
Standard […]



10 March 2023


ODNI’S “ANNUAL THREAT ASSESSMENT OF THE U.S. INTELLIGENCE COMMUNITY”—KEY CHINA
CONTENT

Reports—U.S. Government

Annual Threat Assessment of the U.S. Intelligence Community (McLean, VA: Office
of the Director of National Intelligence, 6 February 2023).

This annual report of worldwide threats to the national security of the United
States responds to Section 617 of the FY21 Intelligence Authorization Act (Pub.
L. No. 116-260). This report reflects the collective insights of the […]



08 March 2023


CMSI CHINA MARITIME REPORT #26: “BEYOND THE FIRST BATTLE: OVERCOMING A
PROTRACTED BLOCKADE OF TAIWAN”

China Maritime Studies Institute (CMSI)

Lonnie D. Henley, Beyond the First Battle: Overcoming a Protracted Blockade of
Taiwan, China Maritime Report 26 (Newport, RI: Naval War College China Maritime
Studies Institute, March 2023).

About the Author
Lonnie Henley is a Senior Fellow at the Foreign Policy Research Institute. He
retired from federal service in 2019 after more than 40 years as an […]



05 March 2023


OFFICIAL PRC WORDING: NATIONAL PEOPLE’S CONGRESS REPORTS’ CONTENT REGARDING
CHINA’S ARMED FORCES

Reports—PRC government

Revealing! Direct evidence that amid budget pressures and spending constraints
in other key areas, Xi keeps prioritizing State Security, PLA/Armed Forces,
military S&T, and retired personnel. See for yourself: read key bilingual
wording, download full-text PDFs here!
Hiding in plain sight in the NPC Work Report is some extremely important wording
regarding Xi’s timing and focus in […]



05 March 2023


BEIJING TO RAISE *OFFICIAL* ANNUAL MILITARY SPENDING BY 7.2% TO ~$224.79 BILLION
(~1.5537 TRILLION YUAN)—READ COMPLETE “CHINA DEFENSE BUDGET BOOKSHELF” HERE!

Bookshelves

PRC state media recycles perennial justifications for the world’s second largest
defense budget by any measure—long the most rapidly rising of any major power.
Professor Adam P. Liff at Indiana University’s Hamilton Lugar School of Global &
International Studies and I should update our now-decade-old China Quarterly
article on this subject, but so many basic dynamics […]



25 February 2023


INDOPACOM REPORT: “PRC-RUSSIA COOPERATION—SPOTLIGHTING PRC’S CONTINUED SUPPORT
TO RUSSIA DESPITE LEGAL COMMITMENTS TO UKRAINE”

Cited In (Selected) Reports—U.S. Government

PRC-Russia Cooperation—Spotlighting PRC’s Continued Support to Russia Despite
Legal Commitments to Ukraine (Honolulu, HI: U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, 22
October 2022).
UNCLASSIFIED
USINDOPACOM J06/SJA TACAID SERIES
Prepared by: INDOPACOM Joint Operational Law Team, PACOM.J06.All@navy.mil Last
Updated: October 6, 2022

TOPIC: PRC-Russia Cooperation
Spotlighting PRC’s Continued Support to Russia Despite Legal Commitments to
Ukraine
BLUF

Prior to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, PRC committed to respect […]



21 February 2023


HARVARD FAIRBANK CENTER SPECIAL EVENT—2 MARCH: “‘FRIENDS WITH NO LIMITS?’ THE
FUTURE OF CHINA-RUSSIA RELATIONS”

Harvard Fairbank Center Presentations (Selected)

“Friends with No Limits?” The Future of China-Russia Relations

Date: Thursday, 2 March 2023
Time: 4:00 pm – 5:30 pm

Venue: Hall A, Science Center, 1 Oxford St., Cambridge, MA 02138

Event Category: Special Event
Click here to watch a video of the event on YouTube.

Speakers:

Andrew S. Erickson, Professor of Strategy and Research Director, U.S. Naval War
College (NWC) China Maritime Studies Institute (CMSI); Visiting Professor,
Government Department, […]



21 February 2023


FRIENDS WITH “NO LIMITS”? A YEAR INTO WAR IN UKRAINE, HISTORY STILL CONSTRAINS
SINO-RUSSIAN RELATIONS

Harvard Fairbank Center

Andrew S. Erickson, “Friends with ‘No Limits’? A Year into War in Ukraine,
History Still Constrains Sino-Russian Relations,” Harvard Fairbank Center Blog
Post, 21 February 2023.

A year after the Russian invasion of Ukraine, are China and Russia still friends
with “no limits?” Since embracing that phrase, Chinese President Xi Jinping has
publicly obfuscated regarding ties […]



18 February 2023


NOW OUT IN PAPERBACK! “CHINESE NAVAL SHIPBUILDING”

Book Chapters Books Edited Volumes Naval Institute Press Studies in Chinese
Maritime Development

The Naval War College’s China Maritime Studies Institute is proud to publish
with the Naval Institute a new paperback edition of the most
technologically-intensive volume in our “Studies in Chinese Maritime
Development” series to date!
We’ve shared our findings with all who expressed interest, up to and including
leading principals in the U.S. and allied governments. Now you can examine […]



17 February 2023


CHINA’S APPROACH TO CONVENTIONAL DETERRENCE

Book Chapters

Andrew S. Erickson, “China’s Approach to Conventional Deterrence,” Chapter 1 in
Roy D. Kamphausen, ed., Modernizing Deterrence: How China Coerces, Compels, and
Deters (Seattle, WA: National Bureau of Asian Research, 2023), 12–27.

pp. 3–4
Andrew Erickson of the U.S. Naval War College and Nicola Leveringhaus of King’s
College London begin the volume with chapters surveying how the […]



13 February 2023


MELISSA DALTON ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF DEFENSE FOR HOMELAND DEFENSE AND
HEMISPHERIC AFFAIRS AND GEN. GLEN VANHERCK, COMMANDER, NORTH AMERICAN AEROSPACE
DEFENSE COMMAND AND UNITED STATES NORTHERN COMMAND, HOLD AN OFF-CAMERA,
ON-THE-RECORD BRIEFING

Statements—U.S. government

TRANSCRIPT
(Lightly edited to fix obvious spelling errors.)
Melissa Dalton Assistant Secretary of Defense for Homeland Defense and
Hemispheric Affairs and Gen. Glen VanHerck, Commander, North American Aerospace
Defense Command and United States Northern Command, Hold an Off-Camera,
On-The-Record Briefing
Feb. 12, 2023
Melissa G. Dalton, Assistant Secretary for Homeland Defense and Hemispheric
Affairs, Department of Defense; Brigadier General […]



12 February 2023


STATEMENT ON TODAY’S ACTIONS BY NORTH AMERICAN AEROSPACE DEFENSE COMMAND

Statements—U.S. government

RELEASE
IMMEDIATE RELEASE
Statement on Today’s Actions by North American Aerospace Defense Command
Feb. 12, 2023 |   
Today at 2:42 p.m. ET, at the direction of President Biden, and based on the
recommendations of Secretary Austin and military leadership, an F-16 fired an
AIM9x to successfully shoot down an airborne object flying at approximately
20,000 feet altitude in U.S. airspace […]



10 February 2023


PENTAGON PRESS SECRETARY AIR FORCE BRIG. GEN. PAT RYDER HOLDS AN ON-CAMERA PRESS
BRIEFING

Statements—U.S. government

TRANSCRIPT
(Lightly edited to fix obvious spelling errors.)
Pentagon Press Secretary Air Force Brig. Gen. Pat Ryder Holds an On-Camera Press
Briefing
Feb. 10, 2023
Brigadier General Pat Ryder, Pentagon Press Secretary
BRIGADIER GENERAL PAT RYDER:  Good afternoon, everyone.  Thanks very much for
your patience while we were delayed a little bit.  I have a few things to talk
about […]



09 February 2023


STATE DEPARTMENT PRESS BRIEFING—SUBSTANTIAL CONTENT ON PRC SPY BALLOON

Statements—U.S. government

Home
Press Briefings
Department Press Briefing – February 9, 2023
NED PRICE, DEPARTMENT SPOKESPERSON
WASHINGTON, D.C.
FEBRUARY 9, 2023
1:49 p.m. EST
… … …
QUESTION: Can I ask about the balloon?
QUESTION: (Off-mike.)
QUESTION: The – the spy balloon?
… …
MR PRICE: Let me – let me move around. I need to move to others. Yes.
QUESTION: Thank you. (Inaudible), Epoch Times. You shared some information about
the balloon, the Chinese balloon. […]



07 February 2023


PUTIN’S UKRAINE INVASION: TURBOCHARGING SINO-RUSSIAN COLLABORATION IN ENERGY,
MARITIME SECURITY, AND BEYOND?

Naval War College Review

Andrew S. Erickson and Gabriel B. Collins, “Putin’s Ukraine Invasion:
Turbocharging Sino-Russian Collaboration in Energy, Maritime Security, and
Beyond?” Naval War College Review 75.4 (Autumn 2022): 91–126.
Putin’s war of choice in Ukraine will continue to send shock waves across the
shores of maritime Asia for years, with unfolding impacts on ecosystems
inhabited by oil barrels, gas pipelines, […]



06 February 2023


GEN. GLEN VANHERCK, COMMANDER, NORTH AMERICAN AEROSPACE DEFENSE COMMAND AND
UNITED STATES NORTHERN COMMAND, HOLDS AN OFF-CAMERA, ON-THE-RECORD BRIEFING ON
THE HIGH-ALTITUDE SURVEILLANCE BALLOON RECOVERY EFFORTS

Official Statements—U.S. government

KEY POINTS (my *best attempted* tldr summary—be sure to see transcript below
for the actual *authoritative* wording, with emphases & links added by me):

Full recovery process underway, much material and data to come… Stay tuned!
Extensive revelations are forthcoming from both the spy balloon’s
flight/activities and its debris concerning its operations, capabilities,
transmission capabilities, etc.
Four previous balloons […]


1 2 … 110 Next →


SEARCH 




BOOKS & KEY STUDIES 


Maritime Gray Zone Operations: Challenges and Countermeasures in the
Indo-Pacific


U.S.-China Competition Enters the Decade of Maximum Danger: Policy Ideas to
Avoid Losing the 2020s

Oxford Bibliography: “The People’s Liberation Army (PLA)”

China’s Climate Cooperation Smokescreen: A Roadmap for Seeing Through the Trap
and Countering with Competition

Large-Scale Amphibious Warfare in Chinese Military Strategy


Competition with China Can Save the Planet: Pressure, Not Partnership, Will Spur
Progress on Climate Change


Hold The Line through 2035: A Strategy to Offset China’s Revisionist Actions and
Sustain a Rules-Based Order in the Asia-Pacific


Policy Options to Impose Costs on Beijing’s Coercive Envelopment of Hong Kong:
Version 1.0


Economic Statecraft: Options for Reducing U.S. Overdependence on
Chinese-supplied Materials and Medications


中国の海洋強国戦略:グレーゾーン作戦と展開 (China’s Maritime Gray Zone Operations)


Selling a Maritime Air Force: The PLAAF’s Campaign for a Bigger Maritime Role


China’s Maritime Gray Zone Operations


Competitive Coexistence: An American Concept for Managing U.S.-China Relations


China’s Third Sea Force, The People’s Armed Forces Maritime Militia: Tethered to
the PLA


Chinese Naval Shipbuilding: An Ambitious and Uncertain Course


History of Rocketry and Astronautics: Proceedings of the 47th History Symposium
of the International Academy of Astronautics


中国走向海洋 (China Goes to Sea)


中国能源战略对海洋政策的影响 (China’s Energy Strategy: The Impact on Beijing’s Maritime
Policies)


Six Years at Sea… and Counting: Gulf of Aden Anti-Piracy and China’s Maritime
Commons Presence


More Willing and Able: Charting China’s International Security Activism


中国未来核潜艇力量 (China’s Future Nuclear Submarine Force)


中国, 美国与21世纪海权 (China, the United States, and 21st Century Sea Power)


A Low-Visibility Force Multiplier: Assessing China’s Cruise Missile Ambitions

Rebalancing U.S. Forces: Basing and Forward Presence in the Asia-Pacific

China’s Near Seas Combat Capabilities


No Substitute for Experience: Chinese Anti-Piracy Operations in the Gulf of Aden

Chinese Anti-Ship Ballistic Missile (ASBM) Development: Drivers, Trajectories
and Strategic Implications

Asia’s Rising Energy and Resource Nationalism: Implications for the United
States, China, and the Asia-Pacific Region

Chinese Aerospace Power: Evolving Maritime Roles

China’s S-Curve Trajectory: Structural Factors Will Likely Slow the Growth of
China’s Economy and Comprehensive National Power

China, the United States, and 21st-Century Sea Power: Defining a Maritime
Security Partnership

China Goes to Sea: Maritime Transformation in Comparative Historical Perspective

China’s Energy Strategy: The Impact on Bejing’s Maritime Policies

China’s Future Nuclear Submarine Force

Chinese Mine Warfare: A PLA Navy 'Assassin’s Mace' Capability

China’s Nuclear Force Modernization



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All relevant and eligible contents (c) Andrew S. Erickson. China Analysis from
Original Sources 以第一手资料研究中国

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