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DECEMBER 23, 2007


WEEK #16

Cleveland -3 at Cincy (43 1/2)

In a bad weather game, it's hard not to like the matchup of Bengal killer Jamal
Lewis and the Browns offensive line vs the maligned Cincy defense.  The Bengals
have played better defense in recent weeks but it they won't keep the Browns in
check for 60 minutes.

I'm expecting a closer game than expected that the Browns find a way to win in
the 4th Q.

Cleveland -3

They have been finding ways to win while the Bengals have been throwing games
away.

Detroit - 4 1/2 vs K. C.

The Lions will play like the team that should have won the game vs Dallas 2 wks
ago in their final home game of the season.

The Chiefs don't even have a QB that can shred Detroits secondary.

Detroit -4 1/2

Arizona -10 vs Atlanta

The Cards won't mind kicking the dirtybirds while they're down.  The Falcons
just want to go home and forget this season.

Arizona -10

Tampa Bay -7 at San Fran

The Niners will struggle to score 10 points.

Tampa Bay -7

Wonder Dogs

There are quite a few teams getting points today that when it's all said and
done will make you wonder how in the hell they covered.  I can't call any of
these teams w/ confidence but it wouldn't suprrise me if they cover:

Buffalo +3

NY Jets +8 1/2

Washington + 6 1/2

Philly + 3 1/2

Houston +7

Posted at 09:23 AM in Sports | Permalink | Comments (0)


DECEMBER 20, 2007


THURSDAY NIGHT HANGOVER

Pittsburgh - 7 1/2 at St Louis

It's not hard to imagine what kind of a game two teams coming off back to back
losses will make for.  This game has some fugly on it.  Pittsburgh's offense is
struggling and injury depleted.  They will be even less high powered on a short
week.  The Steel Curtain is slumping but surely won't let the Rams light them
up.  I like the under.

Under 43 1/2

Posted at 03:55 PM in Sports | Permalink | Comments (0)


DECEMBER 09, 2007


WEEK 14

Cincinnati -6 1/2 vs St Louis

The Bengals will rebound from a bad game at Pitt and play like the team that
beat the Titans very soundly.  The Bengals have an excellent record at home vs
the number in December.

Cincy -6 1/2

Buffalo -7 vs Miami

In case you are not all that familiar w/ the AFC East, this is a huge rivalry. 
Buffalo's defense will have no sympathy for the Fish.

Buffalo -7

Under 36

Seattle -7 vs Arizona

Cards offense will struggle at Seattle and their defense is ailing.

Seattle -7

Seachickens keep it going and win big.

Minnesota -8 1/2 at San Fran (39)

I'm not ready to trust QB T Jackson to cover this line on the road.  The under
looks better than taking Minnesota.

Under 39

Cleveland -3 at New York

New York is capable of making this a close game.  Cleveland's defense is average
at best.  Stay away from this game.

Philly -3 vs New York 42 1/2

A difficult game to figure.  Neither team has been an offensive juggernaut of
late.  I'm seeing a low scoring hard fought division game.

under 42 1/2

Green Bay -10 1/2 vs Oakland (41)

Justin Fargas isn't going to run wild at Green Bay.  Da Raiders get a reality
check after winning two games against teams they are familiar with.  Pack may be
conservative on offense, unless the Raiders start moving the ball.  I can't see
Oakland scoring may points at G.B. in December.  10 1/2 is too many to lay
considering Favre's arm status, but the under has some appeal.

Under 41

New England -10 1/2 vs Pitt

Steelers offense can't keep up with the Pats at Foxboro.

New England -10 1/2

A bargain at -10 1/2

Posted at 07:59 AM in Sports | Permalink | Comments (0)


NOVEMBER 25, 2007


WEEK 12 UPDATE

Kansas City - 4.5 vs Oakland  at first glance I didn't care for this game very
much but after sifting through some stats and trends it was easy to see that the
Chiefs are worthy of a modest wager or adding them to a parlay.  the chefs have
an excellent track record in their 2nd div home game and as home favs when the
O/U total is less than 35.

KC - 4.5

Seattle -3 at St Louis   (45) this is a "throw out the records div rivalry game
. I would not assume the Seachickens will win easily at St Louis. It looks like
it will be a long game considering how both teams are pass heavy on offense.
This opens up the door for turnovers,big plays and the clock stopping for
incomplete passes. By the time the 4th quarter comes around, both defenses may
be so tired that it turns into a wild shootout at the end of the game.

over 45


Posted at 07:12 AM | Permalink


NOVEMBER 24, 2007


WEEK 12

Tennessee -1.5 vs Cincinnati {46.5}   this is the easiest call for me this
Sunday. Tennessee's rushing attack will thrive vs the Bungles hapless defense
and that's putting it mildly. The Bungles will choke on offense once they
realize they have to score on every possession to keep pace with V Young and Co.

Tenn -1.5   they are damn near lock status    over 46.5

Cleveland-3 vs Houston  {51}     barring bad weather or windy conditions, the
total for this game couldn't be high enough to stop this track meet from going
over. the over is a safer play than either team but if forced to call this one,
I would go with Houston and the points.

over 51 check the weather before making any decisions


San Diego - 8.5 vs Baltimore  {38.5)   the under almost makes too much sense to
me for this game. the Bolts don't have the wideouts or a good enough QB to
exploit Baltimore's woes in their secondary and no one has run on Baltimore with
huge success. On offense ,Baltimore will play like,well,like they have for most
of this season at San Diego. They will struggle to score 17 points. The Bolts
will use a conservative gameplan knowing it won't take many points to win the
game.

under 38.5

New England -24 vs Philly  J Feeley, are you kidding me. the best thing about
the Pats is that they are really enjoying stomping the guts out of the rest of
the league as a result of being called cheaters for something that most teams do
or have done themselves. The Pats will score their usual 47 points while J
Feeley tries to get a feel for playing a legit team  after a long layoff.  the
Iggles will be lucky to score 13 points at New England

New England -24 there's a reason this line is so huge and its because the
oddsmakers are trying to run you off this epic run by New England.  don't be
scared,even H Evans and K Eckle will put a few points on the board late in this
game.

Posted at 08:53 PM in Sports | Permalink | Comments (0)


NOVEMBER 22, 2007


TURKEY DAY

There's no locks on the plate this Thanksgiving, what a shame.  Not to worry ,
you can still find a way to carve up a few bucks out of today's action. Take the
home team in all 3 games for the same amount and you will do no worse than 2 out
of 3 ain't bad.

Posted at 06:44 AM in Sports | Permalink | Comments (0)


NOVEMBER 19, 2007


MILE HIGH COIN FLIP

Denver -2 vs Tennessee

I feel sorry for the guy who tries to get even on this game.  After some serious
thought, I am starting to get a clear picture on this game.  The Titans are the
pick, they are more battle tested.  In a game where TD's will be hard to come
by, this all going to come down to one play.  Vince Young is the guy I want my
money on in this situation over Cutler every time. 

Tennessee has the more consistent running game and the better run defense even
w/o Haynesworth.  The Broncos can pile up all the yardage they want but will
continue to struggle in the redzone.  Denver is going to have to lean on Cutler
more than Tennessee having to put the game on V. Young's shoulders.  This game
will be decided by turnovers and the Titans get the edge in that dept.

Tennessee +2

Posted at 03:22 PM in Sports | Permalink | Comments (0)


NOVEMBER 18, 2007


WEEK 11 KICKOFF

Cincinnati -3 vs Arizona

This will be a close game at the worst that the Cards have a good chance of
winning.  The Bengals 3 wins are 2 vs Baltimore and the other coming vs the
Jets.  What a short memory the public has.  Two wks ago, they got destroyed by
Buffalo.

Arizona +3     highly recommended.

New England -16 vs Buffalo

The Bills may put 17 points on the board.  The Pats are good for 35 at the
minimum. 

New England -16

Jacksonville -3 vs San Diego

Take the home team.  Philip Rivers doesn't have enough weapons at WR to spread
out the Jags like the Saints did.  LT is going to run wild at Jacksonville. 
Little big man MG Drew might do an impersonation of A Petersen.  The Bolts are
still w/o the services of their starting center.  The Jags defense will take
advantage of this at home w/ the 12th man's help.

Jacksonville -3

Minnesota -5.5 vs Oakland

The Vikings have the advantage in the trenches on both sides of the ball.  Their
opportunistic defense will feast on Mr Turnover himself.

Minnesota -5.5

Posted at 08:33 AM in Sports | Permalink | Comments (0)


NOVEMBER 17, 2007


WEEK 11 CONTINUED

Cincinnati -3 vs Arizona    the Cards offense is plenty good enough to make this
a game. Ken Whisenhunt know's the Bengals well from his days with the Stillers. 
I can't see the Bengals holding the Cards to under 24 points. The Bengals could
not score a TD last week , they have no chance of winning this game if they fail
to convert in the redzone. The Cards on the other hand, are one of the best
teams in the league on offense in the redzone going up against one  the weak
Bungle defense.  The Bengals will self destruct once the Cards open up a two
score lead and start scoring at will. 

Arizona + 3

Minnesota -5.5 vs Oakland   the Raiders offense is in for another long game vs
the Vikings defense in the noisy metrodome.  I can't see Da Raiders scoring 10
points.   the Vikings will eventually grind out 20 plus points at home on the
abysmal Raiders.   

Minnesota -5.5

Posted at 09:20 AM in Sports | Permalink | Comments (0)


NOVEMBER 16, 2007


WEEK !! PREGAME

Philly - 10 vs Miami   the Iggles don't have the best track record of covering
as home favs vs AFC teams but this game looks worthy of a play. J Beck is making
his first career start, on the road no less.  the Eagles aren't in a position to
overlook any team on their schedule. the only way the fish have a chance of
covering is with big plays on defense and special teams.  I can't see Miami
being the kind of 10 point underdog that jumps out to a two score lead midway
through the first quarter. Jim Johnson doesn't like to play prevent defense so a
late backdoor cover by Miami has less chance of happening.



St Louis -3 at San Fran  the Niners have won 3 out of the last 4 vs their
division rivals. the Rams will have no qualms about kicking the struggling
niners when they're down.  this one is a  gimme,   

                                      my pick of the week




Posted at 04:31 PM in Sports | Permalink | Comments (0)

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