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Related topics
* 2022 Midterm elections
* Congress
* Nina Turner
* Indiana
* Donald Trump
* Campaigns
* Presidential elections
* Elections
* Ohio
* Legislature
* Cleveland
* Campaign 2016
* Election 2020

2022 MIDTERMS: WHAT TO KNOW ABOUT OHIO, INDIANA PRIMARIES

By JULIE CARR SMYTH and TOM DAVIEStoday

1 of 7
FILE - U.S. Senate Republican candidate Mike Gibbons gives a response during
Ohio's U.S. Senate Republican Primary debate, March 28, 2022, at Central State
University in Wilberforce, Ohio. The first multi-state contest of the 2022
midterm election season takes place Tuesday, May 3. Ohio voters will decide
governor nominees and one of the most contentious and expensive Republican U.S.
Senate primaries in the nation. (Joshua A. Bickel/The Columbus Dispatch via AP,
Pool)

COLUMBUS, Ohio (AP) — The first multistate contest of the 2022 midterm election
season unfolds on Tuesday, as Ohio voters pick nominees for governor and the
U.S. Senate while Indiana voters consider whether their Legislature should
become even more conservative.

The races, particularly in Ohio, could provide a fresh window into former
President Donald Trump’s sway among the party faithful. He has been especially
involved in Ohio’s Senate primary, which has been marred by Republican
divisions, along with campaigns for the U.S. House and secretary of state.

For Democrats, a potential threat to incumbent U.S. Rep. Shontel Brown in
Cleveland is of keen interest. Brown is locked in a rematch against progressive
challenger Nina Turner, a former state senator and surrogate for Vermont Sen.
Bernie Sanders’ presidential campaigns. Turner is trying again after losing to
Brown in last year’s special election.

2022 MIDTERM ELECTIONS

2022 MIDTERMS: WHAT TO KNOW ABOUT OHIO, INDIANA PRIMARIES

CANDIDATES TEST SKIPPING DEBATES WITHOUT UPSETTING VOTERS

TRUMP ELECTION PROBE SPECIAL GRAND JURY TO BE SEATED

TRUMP'S BID TO SHAPE GOP FACES TEST WITH VOTERS IN MAY RACES

Voting in Ohio comes against the backdrop of a chaotic and still unresolved
redistricting battle.

What to watch as the Ohio and Indiana primaries unfold:

WHO WILL SURVIVE OHIO’S NASTY SENATE PRIMARY?

Seven candidates are on the ballot in Tuesday’s Republican faceoff for the
coveted open U.S. Senate seat of retiring Republican Rob Portman. They are
Trump-endorsed “Hillbilly Elegy” author JD Vance, former Ohio Treasurer Josh
Mandel, Cleveland investment banker Mike Gibbons, former Ohio Republican Chair
Jane Timken, state Sen. Matt Dolan, whose family owns the Cleveland Guardians
baseball team, and entrepreneurs Mark Pukita and Neil Patel.

The campaign has featured months of jockeying among top contenders for Trump’s
endorsement, more than $65 million in TV and radio spending, dozens of debates
and candidate forums, and one highly publicized physical confrontation between
two candidates.

As Vance rides high on the Trump endorsement, other candidates who campaigned on
their loyalty to the former president are hoping that heavy ad spending or a
strong ground games can help them win. Dolan is the only candidate who ran as a
Portman-like centrist, but Timken landed Portman’s endorsement.

Whoever prevails will face the winner of a three-way Democratic primary between
10-term U.S. Rep. Tim Ryan, former consumer protection attorney Morgan Harper
and Columbus activist and tech exec Traci Johnson.

IS A TRUMP ENDORSEMENT A SLAM-DUNK IN OHIO?

Trump twice won Ohio by more than 8 percentage points, so many viewed getting
his nod in the Senate race as critical to winning the crowded Senate primary.
Instead, when he finally chose Vance, it divided the state.

That’s because Vance opponents, including Mandel, Gibbons and their allies, had
aired months of ads highlighting Vance’s past anti-Trump statements. Some tea
party Republicans protested an April 23 Trump rally featuring Vance, and one
conservative group, Ohio Value Voters, urged its supporters to boycott — or boo
Vance when he walked on stage. The deep-pocketed Club for Growth, a conservative
group backing Mandel, has taken to TV with ads directly attacking Trump for his
choice.

Trump also has backed candidates in two Republican congressional primaries: Max
Miller, his former White House and campaign aide, in the sprawling new 7th
District in northeast Ohio, and Madison Gesiotto Gilbert in the Akron-area 13th
District. He also is backing Secretary of State Frank LaRose in his primary
against former state Rep. John Adams, a conservative Trump supporter.

WILL A WOMAN BREAK THROUGH IN OHIO’S GUBERNATORIAL RACE?

Democrat Nan Whaley is seeking to be the first woman in Ohio to get a major
party’s nomination for governor. The former Dayton mayor is locked in a tight
race with ex-Cincinnati Mayor John Cranley, who is endorsed by feminist icon
Gloria Steinem.

They see eye-to-eye on most major issues — guns, abortion rights, social justice
— but Whaley has repeatedly pointed out that Cranley only recently said he was
pro-choice. She also has the backing of the state’s top Democrat, U.S. Sen.
Sherrod Brown.

Neither candidate is a household name across Ohio. Both have struggled to draw
attention as much of the state is focused on the contentious U.S. Senate race
and ongoing redistricting fight.

The big question for first-term Republican Gov. Mike DeWine is just how many
conservative voters will punish him for pushing aggressive mandates and
shutdowns during the pandemic.

DeWine is widely known from a 40-year career in Ohio politics and in a solid
position to win the GOP’s nomination for another four-year term. His two main
challengers have tapped into the anger over the governor’s COVID-19 policies,
but they’re likely to split those far-right voters.

DeWine isn’t taking any chances, pouring millions into advertising during the
weeks leading into the primary. The concern will be whether those same
conservative voters who were furious with DeWine will come back to him in
November.

WILL CONFUSION OVER OHIO’S PRIMARY CALENDAR AFFECT RESULTS?

A protracted battle over Ohio’s congressional and legislative maps has played
havoc with the state’s 2022 election calendar. For a long time, it looked like
the May 3 primary wouldn’t go forward amid all the legal wrangling. Then
suddenly it did.

Voter advocates, campaigns and political parties have stepped up efforts to get
the word out as participation in early voting showed a 40% decline from four
years ago.

Tuesday’s ballots will not list state legislative races, which are expected to
be decided in a second primary later this year. The Ohio Redistricting
Commission faces a deadline next week to try for a fifth time to draw district
lines that don’t represent a partisan gerrymander and can meet constitutional
muster. If the panel fails, a federal court has said it will force an Aug. 2
primary using one of the previously invalidated maps.

Congressional races have gone forward using a map that has also been invalidated
by the Ohio Supreme Court. Ongoing litigation could result in a new map before
2024 elections.

IS INDIANA’S LEGISLATURE CONSERVATIVE ENOUGH?

More than a dozen Indiana House members are trying to hold off Republican
primary challengers who argue that the GOP-dominated Legislature hasn’t been
aggressive enough on issues from attempting to ban abortion to overturning
COVID-19 restrictions that were ordered by the state’s Republican governor.

Those challengers say they are tapping into frustration among conservative
voters and want to push the Legislature further to the right in a state where
Republicans control all statewide offices and have had legislative
supermajorities for the past decade.

Whether the challengers can defeat incumbents backed by Republican leaders’
multimillion-dollar campaign fund should be answered in Tuesday’s primary.

Republican legislative leaders argue the “no compromise” stances adopted by many
challengers aren’t practical and tout the state’s low taxes and unemployment and
broad private school voucher program among its conservative successes.

Challengers like Brittany Carroll, a family law attorney running for a central
Indiana seat, maintain Indiana lawmakers should be aggressively pushing issues
such as the Texas ban on abortions after roughly six weeks of pregnancy.

“Indiana could be leading in terms of liberty, like Florida, like Texas,”
Carroll said.

___

Davies reported from Indianapolis. Associated Press writer John Seewer in
Toledo, Ohio, contributed to this report.

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