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* Home * Premium * Contributors * The Market Ear * Merch * About * More * RSS * Donate * Advertise LOGIN -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCH: NYC RELEASES PSA ON POTENTIAL NUCLEAR ATTACK BY BLUEAPPLES More Orwellian theater. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- YOU’RE IN CHARGE OF YOU. NOT SECRETARY PETE. NOT HUNTER BIDEN’S DAD BY SOVEREIGN MAN And you don’t need to allow yourself to become a victim to their ineptitude. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ‘TBILISI PRIDE’ AND THE NEW CULTURE WAR FRONT FOR EASTERN EUROPE’S SOUL BY TDB On the surface, this seems like standard culture war clashes we've become accustomed to in the West. LOGIN Username Password Login Create new accountReset your password This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply. 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Join us now -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- "THIS RECESSION IS LOOKING LIKE A DEPRESSION": HOUSING MARKET CRATERS AS SALES GET CANCELED AT THE HIGHEST RATE ON RECORD MON JUL 11, AT 11:00 PM MON JUL 11, AT 11:00 PM Premium 20 “Someone turned out the lights on our sales in June!” MON JUL 11, AT 11:00 PM MON JUL 11, AT 11:00 PM Premium 20 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- HERE'S WHAT 4CHAN FOUND AFTER HACKING INTO HUNTER BIDEN'S ICLOUD MON JUL 11, AT 1:10 PM MON JUL 11, AT 1:10 PM Premium 132 Pedo Peter? MON JUL 11, AT 1:10 PM MON JUL 11, AT 1:10 PM Premium 132 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- AMERICA'S PATH TO WAR WITH RUSSIA TUE JUL 12, AT 3:40 AM 7/12 AT 3:40 13,853117 "Leaders on both sides of a war have incentives to demonize the enemy and manufacture discontent..." TUE JUL 12, AT 3:40 AM 7/12 AT 3:40 13,853117 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- CHINA CREDIT GROWTH EXPLODES TO 4TH HIGHEST EVER IN JUNE... IT'S STILL NOT ENOUGH TUE JUL 12, AT 3:20 AM 7/12 AT 3:20 5,89121 After several months of surprisingly, almost painfully low credit creation in China - the country that for the past decade was the sole global growth dynamo - in June Beijing has finally redeemed itself. TUE JUL 12, AT 3:20 AM 7/12 AT 3:20 5,89121 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- CHINA AND PAKISTAN ENGAGE IN NAVAL WAR GAMES AS EASTERN MILITARY COOPERATION RISES TUE JUL 12, AT 3:00 AM 7/12 AT 3:00 5,521131 A strong alliance between Pakistan and China could be used as leverage to force India to choose support for China in military engagements, or at least remain neutral during a major conflict... TUE JUL 12, AT 3:00 AM 7/12 AT 3:00 5,521131 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- GOLDMAN TRADER: THE FIRST QUESTION TO ASK EVERY MORNING “IS THE FED TIGHTENING INTO A SLOWDOWN" AND THE ANSWER IS STILL "YES" TUE JUL 12, AT 2:40 AM 7/12 AT 2:40 Premium 1 But "we’ve wrung out a lot of the complacency and excess speculative length that characterized 2021." TUE JUL 12, AT 2:40 AM 7/12 AT 2:40 Premium 1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- DOJ PROBES PGA TOUR OVER ITS TACTICS AGAINST SAUDI-BACKED LIV GOLF TUE JUL 12, AT 2:20 AM 7/12 AT 2:20 12,069139 Should make for a nice ice-breaker when Biden lands in Riyadh this week TUE JUL 12, AT 2:20 AM 7/12 AT 2:20 12,069139 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- "WE ARE NOT TACOS": HISPANIC ASSOCIATION SLAMS JILL BIDEN FOR COMPARING LATINOS TO 'BREAKFAST TACOS' TUE JUL 12, AT 1:59 AM 7/12 AT 1:59 63,585759 When pandering goes horribly wrong... TUE JUL 12, AT 1:59 AM 7/12 AT 1:59 63,585759 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- THESE ARE ALL THE WORLD LEADERS ASSASSINATED SINCE 2000 TUE JUL 12, AT 1:40 AM 7/12 AT 1:40 39,434119 ...the stakes can be high for political leaders. TUE JUL 12, AT 1:40 AM 7/12 AT 1:40 39,434119 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- THE PARADE OF HORRIBLES: A DEMOCRATIC TALKING POINT ON DOBBS IS DANGEROUS DISINFORMATION TUE JUL 12, AT 1:20 AM 7/12 AT 1:20 25,11174 It is not only legally and medically false but it is dangerous if women actually believe what they are hearing or reading from these figures... TUE JUL 12, AT 1:20 AM 7/12 AT 1:20 25,11174 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ACKMAN RETURNING $4BN TO INVESTORS IN LARGEST EVER SPAC AFTER FAILING TO FIND A DEAL TUE JUL 12, AT 1:00 AM 7/12 AT 1:00 23,47336 It came like a lion, with days of non-stop investor fanfare constant TV coverage; it's leaving like a shorn lamb. TUE JUL 12, AT 1:00 AM 7/12 AT 1:00 23,47336 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SHINZO ABE'S RULING PARTY GAINS SUPERMAJORITY IN UPPER-HOUSE ELECTION FOLLOWING HIS ASSASSINATION TUE JUL 12, AT 12:40 AM 7/12 AT 0:40 16,17490 Violence threatened the electoral process, the very foundation of our democracy... TUE JUL 12, AT 12:40 AM 7/12 AT 0:40 16,17490 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- REAL-TIME CARD DATA REVEALS "BROAD-BASED SLOWDOWN": SPENDING GROWTH TURNS NEGATIVE FOR LOW INCOME HOUSEHOLDS TUE JUL 12, AT 12:20 AM 7/12 AT 0:20 26,902135 The card data suggest that real consumer spending declined for the second consecutive month... TUE JUL 12, AT 12:20 AM 7/12 AT 0:20 26,902135 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- CRYPTO IS DEAD, EXCEPT FOR ONE PART... TUE JUL 12, AT 12:00 AM 7/12 AT 0:00 63,947393 In an increasingly low trust world, finance may move on-chain... TUE JUL 12, AT 12:00 AM 7/12 AT 0:00 63,947393 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- WHITE HOUSE SAYS IRAN SUPPLYING "SEVERAL HUNDRED" ARMED DRONES TO RUSSIA MON JUL 11, AT 11:40 PM 7/11 AT 23:40 32,031487 Unusual charge marks the first time Iran accused of assisting Russia in its ongoing assault of Ukraine... MON JUL 11, AT 11:40 PM 7/11 AT 23:40 32,031487 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- BUCHANAN: LATEST SYMPTOMS OF A DISINTEGRATING NATION MON JUL 11, AT 11:20 PM 7/11 AT 23:20 41,098303 Why are Americans so down on their country and disapproving of its direction, and of their president who is leading them? MON JUL 11, AT 11:20 PM 7/11 AT 23:20 41,098303 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ILLINOIS ECONOMY, JOBS SUFFER UNDER POTENTIAL PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE J.B. PRITZKER MON JUL 11, AT 10:40 PM 7/11 AT 22:40 28,258259 With rumors heating up about Gov. J.B. Pritzker’s potential run for president and the federal governments’ recent release of GDP numbers for the first quarter of 2022, it’s a good moment to review the governor’s economic performance since he took office in 2019. MON JUL 11, AT 10:40 PM 7/11 AT 22:40 28,258259 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- AS BIDEN APPROVAL CRASHES TO RECORD LOWS, THE 2024 ANTI-TRUMP STRATEGY IS "HOPING HE DIES" MON JUL 11, AT 10:20 PM 7/11 AT 22:20 82,602685 Only 13% of respondents said they believe the country is on the right track... MON JUL 11, AT 10:20 PM 7/11 AT 22:20 82,602685 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- REBRANDING ELITISM: CALLING THE LIBERAL WORLD ORDER FOR WHAT IT IS MON JUL 11, AT 10:00 PM 7/11 AT 22:00 52,464338 Today’s elites are caught in a dilemma: nobody wants what they’re selling... MON JUL 11, AT 10:00 PM 7/11 AT 22:00 52,464338 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- US STOCKS WERE PRESSURED AMID CHINA'S COVID WOES AND EUROPEAN GAS SUPPLY CONCERNS - NEWSQUAWK ASIA-PAC MARKET OPEN MON JUL 11, AT 9:44 PM 7/11 AT 21:44 NS 2,9373 US stocks weakened amid a broad global risk-off mood owing to the COVID flare up in China and European gas supply concerns, while the greenback dominated the FX space in which the DXY clmbed above 108.00 to its highest since 2002. MON JUL 11, AT 9:44 PM 7/11 AT 21:44 NS 2,9373 Next Today's Top Stories+ HOT TAKES COURTESY OF THE MARKET EAR -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- DON'T WAIT FOR TOO LONG Upgrade to Premium. Real-time around the clock feed that focuses on the important things that move stocks and markets. For professional traders. 15h ago at 13:27 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SOME FEAR(S) MAKING A COME BACK See TME's daily newsletter email below. For the 24/7 market intelligence feed and thematic trading emails, sign up for ZH premium here. The bear has more room to run... Wilson: "Recent history (the short-lived covid bear market of 2020) skews our perception of how long bear markets (>20% corrections) often last. Unfortunately, if history is a guide, this bear market (which is only 6 months old in S&P 500 terms) may have more room to run. This would sync up with our tactical base case fundamental view that fair value at the index level remains lower—3400-3500 in a soft landing scenario and ~3000 in the recession outcome." SOURCE: MORGAN STANLEY What happens if Russian gas flows fall to zero? Goldman: "A full interruption to Russian flows to Europe would be equivalent to a 35% supply shock to the European gas market. In this scenario, we would see a spike in gas prices as unavoidable, in turn gradually pushing up energy bills for households: we estimate bills would increase by c.65% from here in this event, bringing the total household cost for power and gas to nearly €500/month, creating a meaningful affordability problem. Versus the summer-2020 trough, we estimate that gas/power bills would have increased by nearly 300% on this basis" SOURCE: GOLDMAN Not all volatilities are equal Euro vol index, EVZ, vs VIX needs little commenting... SOURCE: REFINITIV Don't forget to watch the crashing JPY here we go (again)... SOURCE: REFINITIV Breadth - still shitty Down from 52 week highs in a pic continues to look "depressing"... SOURCE: TIER1ALPHA Will they ever buy? Equity positioning continues to hoover close to lows. It is up from the most recent "depressing" lows, but there is much more room to grow. This is valid for pretty much all strategies. SOURCE: DB EM fear is back We are seeing the VXEEM trade "well" above the VIX again. Pricing EEM as the relatively more safe asset is "wrong", so this is just returning to pricing a more realistic EM fear, at least on a relative basis. SOURCE: REFINITIV Strong dollar - EM's headache EEM has not closed here since June 2020. We have the renewed China "issues", but don't forget that the surging dollar is a problem for EM. EEM is a consensus long, trades poorly and the most recent gap vs DXY is huge. It looks like the mighty dollar is destroying more and more popular consensus trades by the day. SOURCE: REFINITIV One of the largest absolute corrections in private markets history The implied fall in Klarna's valuation from $45bn to a c$6.5bn would be broadly on par with: (1) The entire amount of venture capital raised by European-based companies in 2020, which is also indicative of how nascent European VC is as an ecosystem; (2) The total cumulative amount of venture capital raised globally by the Crypto industry between 2013 to the end of 2021; (3) The total amount of capital raised by venture-backed US-based Fintech companies in 2021. Needless to say, if confirmed, Klarna's valuation delta would be one of the largest absolute corrections in private markets history SOURCE: MORGAN STANLEY Earnings sentiment is puking.... Earnings sentiment is puking in the US...(chart 1). When will actual estimates follow....(chart 2)? SOURCE: FACTSET SOURCE: FACTSET BTC and the BS Correlation. SOURCE: MORGAN STANLEY 7h ago at 21:25 Upgrade to Premium Contact Information+ Assistance and Requests: Click here Tips: tips@zerohedge.com General: info@zerohedge.com Legal: legal@zerohedge.com Advertising: Click here Abuse/Complaints: abuse@zerohedge.com Suggested Reading+ Make sure to read our "How To [Read/Tip Off] Zero Hedge Without Attracting The Interest Of [Human Resources/The Treasury/Black Helicopters]" Guide It would be very wise of you to study our disclaimer, our privacy policy and our (non)policy on conflicts / full disclosure.Here's our Cookie Policy. 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