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* Slide 1: Advisory on Political Crisis in Bangladesh and Its Impact on the Garment Industry * Slide 2: Political Crisis and Its Impact on Garment Industry * Slide 3 123 /3 100% Actual Size Fit Width Fit Height Fit Page Automatic PresentationMagazineContinuous © Copyright 2024 Beroe Inc. All rights reserved. 1 © Copyright 2024 Beroe Inc. All rights reserved. Advisory on Political Crisis in Bangladesh and Its Impact on the Garment Industry August 2024 © Copyright 2024 Beroe Inc. All rights reserved. 2 Political Crisis and Its Impact on Garment Industry Sources: Secondary Sources, Beroe Estimates, Business Standard, Economic Times, Textile Today, Fibre2Fashion Background/Overview : Bangladesh has emerged as a global powerhouse in the textile and garment industry, contributing significantly to its economy. The nation's strategic location and cost-effective labor force have propelled it to become the world's second-largest garment exporter. With exports exceeding $47 billion annually, the sector accounts for a substantial portion of Bangladesh's GDP and employment. Major export destinations include the EU, the US, Canada, Australia, and Japan. The recent political unrest and subsequent curfew in Bangladesh have had a devastating impact on the textile and garment industry. Factory closures, raw material shortages, and transportation disruptions have brought production to a standstill. Consequently, international buyers have been forced to cancel orders or demand significant price reductions. The internet blackout has further compounded the crisis, hindering communication regarding production and shipping details. As a result, the industry is facing substantial financial losses, estimated to exceed $500 million per day during peak season. Impact Advisory • The crisis in Bangladesh is creating a ripple effect throughout the global supply chain. • Due to production disruptions and shipment delays, Buyers may experience increased lead times, affecting inventory management and retail cycles. Hence, buyers may actively look for alternative sourcing locations. • Countries like India, Vietnam, and Egypt with their well-developed textile industry and infrastructure, stand to gain from this shift. Impact on Global Supply Chain • The European Union's decision to postpone a partnership agreement with Bangladesh highlights the seriousness of the situation and its potential consequences for future trade relations. • As the crisis progresses, the global textile industry must adjust to new sourcing dynamics and navigate increased uncertainty. • Despite being a major economic contributor, faces numerous Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) issues and labor-related issues in terms of fair wages. These risks are conducive for the industry as well as for global brands that source products from Bangladesh. Impact on Trade • The anticipated 15-20% drop in Bangladesh's RMG exports for the next summer season highlights the significant economic impact on the country. • This crisis reveals the risks associated with heavy dependence on a single sourcing location and emphasizes the importance of diverse sourcing destinations. • It is challenging to determine if the impact will be short-term or medium-term. However, Buyers need to be proactive in terms of managing shorter lead times and communicating with other low-cost destinations to compensate for larger volumes. What Buyers Should Do? LOW MEDIUM HIGH Impact Level © Copyright 2024 Beroe Inc. All rights reserved. 3