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HOW TO (FINALLY) REALIZE THE PROMISE OF PREDICTIVE MAINTENANCE

Sponsored by

Fleet Maintenance, Lubricants & Parts
View Profile

November 1, 2022 • Bookmark +




IMAGE CREDIT: WR7/SHUTTERSTOCK.COM

It’s never been more critical to harness advanced analytics for fleet
maintenance.



Maintenance costs are skyrocketing, fueled by inflationary pressures, scarce
replacement parts, and labor shortages. 2021 saw a 3.5% year-over-year increase
in the cost of an average repair – and a nearly 12% jump in total vehicle
maintenance cost, as wait times on new inventory keeps vehicles in service past
their scheduled replacement dates. These trends have continued in 2022.

Industry commentators and vendors have heralded predictive maintenance as the
answer to a looming industry crisis. But what does it take to finally go from
idea to reality?

 


THE PROMISE OF PREDICTIVE MAINTENANCE

Predictive maintenance describes the practice of identifying hidden patterns in
fleet vehicle data sources (telematics and repair, for example) to anticipate
and avoid on-the-road failures. 

Imagine, for example, being able to perfectly predict failures for critical
components at the individual vehicle level. You could move away from costly,
one-size-fits-all preventative maintenance routines, instead servicing vehicles
only as needed.

It’s an idea that resonates more than ever in a challenging economic climate.
But fleets need adaptive maintenance to finally take it from theory to reality –
and to unlock all the benefits of a data-driven approach to fleet maintenance.

 


THE NEXT FRONTIER: ADAPTIVE MAINTENANCE

While predictive maintenance is likely familiar to folks, the idea of adaptive
maintenance is still in its infancy.

Adaptive maintenance describes a set of data-driven strategies to lower
maintenance cost, reduce downtime, and maximize long-term vehicle health and
value. It differs from traditional predictive maintenance in two main ways:

 1. Analytical approach that meets fleets where they are. Every fleet can
    benefit from data-driven maintenance decisions. But not every organization
    has the same needs and capabilities around analytics. Adaptive maintenance
    ladders up in complexity based on where a fleet is – rather than imposing
    one-size-fits-all models on fleets with wildly divergent profiles.
 2. Broader focus and more business context. And adaptive maintenance moves past
    a reactive focus on preventing on-the-road failures. It’s about data-driven
    optimization for the long-term health and value of the vehicle – bearing in
    mind guardrails like regulatory compliance, warranty constraints,
    maintenance cost reduction, and parts and labor availability.

Adaptive maintenance solves three challenges with implementing predictive
maintenance in practice:

 * Lack of precision: High-quality predictive models require data. Lots of it.
   Especially when forecasting relatively rare events (like on-the-road
   failures) – and even more so when doing so over hundreds or thousands of
   components and subsystems. What this means is that the lofty promises of a
   fully predictive, high-precision approach to maintenance planning is
   typically reserved for mega fleets – and results in noisy, low-quality
   forecasts for everyone else.
 * Lack of flexibility/context: Even a theoretically perfect forecast of failure
   probability on the component/subsystem level – for each VIN – could overlook
   much of the business context that goes into making solid maintenance
   decisions. Any good maintenance plan, for example, should take into account
   the warranty status of the vehicle, inventory levels, and staffing plans. Too
   often, predictive maintenance looks only at the specifics of the vehicle
   itself – without any integration of the broader business context.
 * Operational tradeoffs: It’s great to know that a crankshaft has a 43%
   likelihood of failure in the next 500 miles. But does that mean the driver
   should take the truck in for immediate inspection? Or should a tech carry out
   a crankshaft inspection at the next scheduled maintenance stop? This requires
   the notion of an expected value for each action in a given scenario, which in
   turn requires inputs on the specifics of your business (things like the cost
   of a failure or a repair). Lack of visibility into these factors
   – particularly on the part of, say, an OEM – makes it difficult to deliver
   useful “last mile” recommendations.

Relative to conventional predictive maintenance strategies, adaptive maintenance
strategies tend to drive faster adoption through the company (because they’re
tailored to the right level of complexity). And they produce a more sustained
impact on maintenance KPIs, since they’re engineered to balance vehicle risk
alongside key business requirements.

Case in point: a heavy-duty fleet drove $98 in cost savings per vehicle a year
from batteries alone with an adaptive maintenance strategy by a) analyzing
battery failure rates across the fleet to update maintenance intervals (for
out-of-warranty vehicles) to avoid over-inspection; and b) forecasting and
inspecting the highest-risk VINs for more frequent maintenance. 

 


FOUR STEPS TO ADOPTING AN ADAPTIVE MAINTENANCE STRATEGY

Implementing an adaptive maintenance strategy doesn’t require guesswork. The
most successful fleets follow these four steps: 

 * Figure out your next best play. Assess your data and analytics maturity.
   Fleets tend to split on data (the type and volume of data they collect),
   tools (what software they use to manage business processes), and maintenance
   practices (general approach to optimizing maintenance plans).
 * 
 * Decide where to focus. Prioritize the right components and subsystems.
   Primary fleet challenges tend to stem from over-maintaining (incurring
   unnecessary cost) or under-maintaining (increasing the likelihood and
   severity of incurring high costs from unplanned maintenance). But it’s not
   always clear where to start, which is where benchmarking data can come in
   handy. Services like the TMC/FleetNet benchmark enable fleets to get granular
   data on maintenance costs by component or subsystem to identify areas of
   opportunity.  
 * Don’t forget about the last mile. It’s not enough to generate machine
   learning predictions. You need to translate them into a language that service
   techs can enact in the field – typically rules, alerts, and policies. Start
   by mapping out the exact workflows and data flows used by team members in the
   field and then identifying the lowest-friction ways to integrate with them.
 * Get started…small, if you have to, but now. Inaction today makes it harder to
   close the gap over time. Focus on achievable steps – even if it’s just
   optimizing the maintenance routine for a single subsystem or component.

 


CLOSING THOUGHTS

Predictive analytics is a great idea. But it requires adaptive maintenance – the
holistic, data-driven approach to reducing maintenance costs and downtime – to
move the needle on the maintenance KPIs that matter most.

Whatever approach you take, remember that time is your most valuable asset. And
get started today.

 

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ABOUT VIADUCT

Viaduct's machine learning solutions allow fleets to manage, analyze, and
utilize the data generated by their connected vehicles. With a platform powered
by patented machine learning technology and data analyzed from over 2 million
vehicles on the road, Viaduct is helping fleets overcome the biggest barriers to
operationalizing machine learning at scale.

For more information, contact sales@viaduct.ai.


Read more about Viaduct AI Predictive Analytics Predictive Maintenance Fleet
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