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PRACTICE AND PORTFOLIO INSIGHTS FOR 2022


PRACTICE AND PORTFOLIO INSIGHTS FOR 2022

With rising geopolitical tensions and expected interest rate hikes from the
Federal Reserve this year, the market is off to a volatile start. To help
navigate this environment tap into BlackRock's top insights for managing
portfolios and your practice.

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GLOBAL WATCH


MACRO MINUTE WITH ISHARES: THE FEDERAL RESERVE ANNOUNCES A RATE HIKE

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For the first time in four years the Fed raised rates this week. Central banks
globally had responded to COVID-19 by loosening monetary policy to boost
spending and maintain growth. But with inflation hitting 40-year highs recently
and with unemployment rates back to pre-pandemic lows, the Fed started on their
hiking cycle with a 25 basis-point move to bring the Fed Funds rate to 25-50bps.
The FOMC also indicated in their SEP Forecast that would get the Fed Funds rate
to 1.9% by the end of 2022 and 2.8% by the end of 2023 reaching a neutral rate
of about 2.4% -- and that neutral rate is around one that does not either slow
down or accelerate the economy.

It's not uncommon for hiking cycles to spook stocks. But as the path forward
becomes more clear, most sectors in the S&P 500 index have mustered positive
returns in the year that follows the first hike.

Stocks aren't the only things impacted by rising rates. Rising rates can mean
higher costs to borrow, be that in higher mortgage rates, student loans or
credit card interest charges. That does serve to slow down demand, and could
result in declining inflation, at least in certain demand driven categories. How
fast it falls will dictate how high interest rates ultimately need to go.
Currently investors are forecasting 7 total rate hikes 2022, which is more than
our estimates: fears about hurting growth will make the Fed more tolerant of
inflation than they have been in the past; and we see fewer rate hikes than what
the Fed is now indicating in their SEP forecasts.

What can we do to help guard against hiking risk in our Portfolios? We like
taking a diversified approach to navigating the hiking cycle. In equities, this
means choosing pockets of the market with strong pricing power and healthy
profit margins and that should also to well as growth slows from the peak. That
should also do well if inflation stays higher than it has been in the past. In
the fixed income markets we like inflation-linked bonds and, more recently,
front end credit. This should benefit from the lower path of policy rates, which
is what we expect. Finally, in the commodity markets, we like to see investors
holding a basket of diversified commodities.

To learn more visit www.iShares.com/Insights

iCRMH0322U/S-2083609


WHAT CAN INVESTORS DO TO HELP MANAGE RISK FROM RISING RATES?

In this 1-minute video, Head of iShares Investment Strategy Gargi Chaudhuri
talks about the Fed’s decision to raise rates and what investors can do to
protect against interest rate risk.

For You


STAYING CALM AMID MARKET VOLATILITY

Global investors are facing a challenging market environment, with expectations
of higher inflation, tighter monetary policy and now, the impacts of the
Russia-Ukraine war.

See how a multi-asset strategy could help protect against risks from the Fed’s
interest rate hiking cycle.

Learn more about market volatility Learn more about market volatility


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 * PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION
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   * Sustainable
   * Invest internationally

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Keep exploring

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