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Accessibility statementSkip to main content Democracy Dies in Darkness SubscribeSign in The Drowning South WHERE THE SEA WALL ENDS AT A TIME OF FAST-RISING SEAS, THE OCEAN IS EATING AWAY AT THIS BARRIER ISLAND AND OTHERS LIKE IT. BUT HUMANS, WHO HAVE HELD THEIR GROUND HERE FOR OVER A CENTURY, ARE PLANNING NEW CONDOS. Scroll to continue These Galveston condos stand at the edge of the swiftly rising Gulf of Mexico. Warning: This graphic requires JavaScript. Please enable JavaScript for the best experience. Share Comment on this storyComment Add to your saved stories Save (Landsat/Copernicus; Airbus; TetraMetrics; Data SIO; NOAA; NGA; GEBCO/Google Earth Studio) Galveston Island has an extensive sea wall — but much of the island remains beyond its protections. Key indicating that the thick yellow line in the video represents the seawall. Sea wall Sea wall That hasn’t dissuaded real estate sales or proposed development on its western side. Key indicating that the transparent white line in the video represents unprotected coastline. Beyond the sea wall Beyond the sea wall But at a time of worsening hurricanes and rapidly rising seas, to what lengths will people go to defend a shrinking coastline? By Chris Mooney, John Muyskens and Brady Dennis Photos and videos by Ricky Carioti Sept. 23, 2024 at 5:00 a.m. Share Comment on this storyComment Add to your saved stories Save GALVESTON, Tex. This roughly 30-mile-long barrier island, an hour’s drive from Houston, is a powerful testament to humans staring down nature and refusing to yield. Devastated by an extreme hurricane in 1900, Galvestonians built a 17-foot-high sea wall and pumped in millions of cubic yards of sand to lift neighborhoods. “Galveston has literally raised herself above sea level and today proudly surveys the results of her achievements,” a 1930 Galveston Daily News article noted. Today, the island is booming. Galveston’s population has grown, home sale prices have more than doubled since 2011 and developers see more potential — even beyond the island’s existing fortifications. The sea wall protects only about a third of the island. Where it ends, two luxury condominium projects have been proposed along one of the fastest-eroding stretches of beach. At the same time, here as across much of the South, the threat from the sea is intensifying. The site in Galveston, Tex., where Tiara on the Beach condominiums are expected to stand. Since 2010, Galveston has experienced a burst of sea level rise, which has added a staggering 8 inches to the ocean’s height here, according to federal data analyzed by The Washington Post — one of the most rapid changes across the Gulf of Mexico. The rise is being exacerbated by fast-sinking land, which is taking the island and all that’s on it ever lower. Chart showing sea level rise at Galveston Pier 21 in Texas. The chart shows the rate of sea level rise from 1904 to 2009, which was 0.25 inches per year, and the rate from 2010 to 2023, which was 0.6 inches per year. The chart also compares these rates to the overall rates in the Gulf of Mexico, which has risen comparatively slower. Galveston, Tex. 8.4 inches sea level rise since 2010 10 inches 0.60 inches per year 2010 to 2023 0 GULF OF MEXICO RATE Annual mean -10 0.25 inches per year 1904 to 2009 -20 1900 1940 1980 2020 Tide gauge measurements are from Galveston Pier 21. Gulf of Mexico averages start in 1925 due to lack of older data from multiple stations. Galveston, Tex. 8.4 inches sea level rise since 2010 10 inches 0.60 inches per year 2010 to 2023 0 GULF OF MEXICO RATE Annual mean -10 0.25 inches per year 1904 to 2009 -20 1900 1940 1980 2020 Tide gauge measurements are from Galveston Pier 21. Gulf of Mexico averages start in 1925 due to lack of older data from multiple stations. The collision between the rising ocean and Americans’ desire to live near it is playing out from Texas to Florida to the Carolinas. Coastal communities throughout the American South have grown to accommodate an influx of residents, even as the region grapples with some of the planet’s fastest-rising seas — as well as the likelihood of stronger storms and more intense rains fueled by a warming atmosphere. The tensions over how to adapt to those changes, and where to build and rebuild, may be entering a new, more fraught chapter. As waters rise, experts say, developments along low-lying coastlines are likely to require more frequent and costly protections. Without them, homes and other buildings could be threatened as rising groundwater attacks foundations, as erosion brings the sea closer and closer, and as persistent flooding complicates daily life. “All of these individual developments, they come with obligations and commitments that are beyond that particular property and the people who own it,” said Randall Parkinson, a Florida International University professor and coastal geologist. Governments are typically on the hook for maintaining roads, re-nourishing beaches and keeping utilities up and running. “That comes from the coffers of taxpayers,” he said. “That’s other people’s money.” Press Enter to skip to end of carousel THE DROWNING SOUTH Carousel - $The Drowning South: use tab or arrows to navigate ArrowLeft ArrowRight Seas are rising across the South faster than almost anywhere. The Post explores what that means on the ground. Part 1 The new face of flooding Part 2 Where seas are rising at alarming speed Part 3 A hidden threat Part 4 Anatomy of a flood Part 5 A rising fortress in sinking land Part 6 Where the seawall ends End of carousel Still, here and in other coastal communities, people keep arriving. Galveston’s population has swelled by nearly 12 percent since 2010, according to figures from the Census Bureau. And U.S. coastal counties, already home to almost 40 percent of the nation’s population, are expected to see millions more arrive in coming years, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. “It really does, on the surface, seem like a paradox,” said Martin Smith, an environmental economist at Duke University. But the allure of living near the water remains strong, he said, and demand for coastal housing remains “astronomically” high. “This process is unfolding all throughout the Southeast and the Gulf Coast,” Smith said. Even so, this summer has underscored the risks. In June, high seas caused by Tropical Storm Alberto surged through Galveston, flooding streets and eating away at some dunes. In early July, Hurricane Beryl raked the island with violent winds and storm surge. Some areas saw significant flooding. Torrential rains later in the month left some roads temporarily impassable. Story continues below advertisement Advertisement Story continues below advertisement Advertisement Unlike many flood-plagued communities, Galveston awaits a possible salvation — the largest authorized project in the history of the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, which currently is projected to cost $57 billion over time and take two decades to construct. Popularly known as the Ike Dike, its core purpose is to defend the broader Houston region, but much of that strategy hinges on fortifying Galveston Island. The project would raise the island’s sea wall and build a barrier of levees and flood walls around its denser urban core. It would also construct 18 miles of double dunes beyond where the sea wall ends, giving back much of what the ocean has taken over the past century. In the meantime, Galveston is taking steps to battle sea level rise. The city is planning to install a half-dozen or more large pump stations to help ease worsening tidal floods that can leave residents unable to access their homes or businesses for hours at a time. The first is expected to cost about $60 million, a significant chunk of which would come from federal grants. “We’re in the crosshairs here,” Mayor Craig Brown said in an interview. He said the pumps are one way the city is trying to be proactive. “It’s part of our survival here in Galveston,” he said. (The Washington Post) A BATTERED BEACH, BIG AMBITIONS Atop the 10-mile-long Galveston sea wall sits a road called Seawall Boulevard. Decades ago, at its western end, motorists would sometimes keep going, driving their cars right onto the beach. Today, the end of the sea wall gives way to protective stone blocks and open water. This spot is one of the most rapidly eroding places on Galveston Island — due to factors including a lack of sand and wave effects caused by the sea wall, as well as faster sea level rise. The Seascape Condominiums, built in the mid-1980s, sit nearby. Ron Benotti has owned a third-floor unit for 32 years. The oceanfront view from Benotti’s balcony underscores the allure of Galveston. After a few stormy days in June, calmer waves rolled up to a modest, but still substantial, beach. Families had planted their canopies near the water’s edge. More than a dozen people stood in the surf below. But Benotti pointed out a curiosity — an elevated wooden footbridge seemingly suspended in the air. It was built to traverse a 60-foot-wide dune installed a decade ago to protect the shrinking beach. An elevated wooden footbridge leads to the beach from Seascape Condominiums. It used to traverse a 60-foot-wide dune. The dune has washed away, and the bridge crosses over nothing. “There’s another lot out there, underwater,” said Benotti, 79, a retired metallurgical engineer. “It shows you how far out things used to be.” The dune was part of a more than $4 million beach restoration project following 2008’s Hurricane Ike, which brought the ocean to the Seascape’s doorstep. It was largely paid for by federal, state and local governments and a roughly $40,000 payment by the condos, which included the cost of the walkway. Since then, developers have filed plans to build condo buildings on two lots next to the Seascape — flash points in how far this city will go in allowing new construction on a vulnerable stretch of land. Tiara on the Beach, the name for one pending building, would be 10 stories high and partially behind the sea wall, offering 63 units starting at $1.2 million and “stunning views of the Gulf of Mexico,” according to its website. It would mark the first such project since Ike devastated Galveston Island. Map showing proposed condo developments in Galveston near the end of the sea wall Proposed developments Seascape Tiara Diamond Beach Solarus SEA WALL Property lines 500 FEET Note: The Solarus footprint is based on plans that were rejected. Property lines via the city of Galveston, 2022 NAIP imagery via USDA Proposed developments Tiara Seascape Diamond Beach Solarus SEA WALL Property lines 500 FEET Note: The Solarus footprint is based on plans that were rejected. Property lines via the city of Galveston, 2022 NAIP imagery via USDA Proposed developments Seascape Tiara Solarus Diamond Beach SEA WALL Property lines 500 FEET Note: The Solarus footprint is based on plans that were rejected. Property lines via the city of Galveston, 2022 NAIP imagery via USDA “Beach-front development always has been controversial in Galveston, and should be. We all have social, economic and environmental stakes in protecting the island’s natural assets,” the editor of Galveston’s Daily News, Michael A. Smith, wrote in June of last year. He added: “Can Galveston afford to spike a project that would add $100 million or so in taxable value on a relatively small footprint in an area where condo towers already exist?” Jeffrey Hill, a former member of the Galveston Planning Commission who opposed the Tiara development given erosion risks, argued that the allure of increased tax revenue is a key reason why the city has supported the condo development. “Somebody has to sound the alarm,” she said. “And it is a very unpopular stance to take, but somebody has to do it.” Representatives for Tiara and its developer could not be reached for comment. However, during one public hearing in 2021, a coastal land-use expert noted that a portion of the site does lie behind the sea wall’s protections. And that while that stretch of beach is subject to erosion, it also is in an area eligible for government-funded sand replenishments. In addition, the project’s architect, Steven Biegel, told Galveston officials the building’s footprint was placed “as far away from the beach as possible. We did this for a number of reasons, but mostly it’s a restricted site.” Story continues below advertisement Advertisement Story continues below advertisement Advertisement City leaders ultimately approved the project in 2021 and last year voted to extend the deadline for its developer to acquire various permits. There hasn’t been blanket political support for development in the area. The other proposed building, known as the Solarus, would not be behind the sea wall at all — and so far plans for its construction have been stymied. Developer Clearlake Asset Management initially sought numerous deviations from city building regulations, mostly to give the structure additional size. Protective dunes would be built in front of the building, part of a broader effort to “build to better fit in with climate change,” Galen Kahlenberg, Clearlake’s chief executive, said in an email. “I am convinced that proper care, nourishment, and in the event of a major event, reconstruction, should keep this site stable for years.” The site of the future Tiara on the Beach condos, which will be partially behind the sea wall. Controversy over the proposal came to a head in March at a public meeting where Benotti and other Seascape owners were among those who voiced opposition. “Why would you put that kind of development in the highest erosion point in the whole [part] of Galveston?” Benotti asked. Kahlenberg pushed back on some of the criticisms as unfair and motivated by a more self-interested opposition to new construction at the site. “Change and growth is difficult,” Kahlenberg said at the meeting. “Buildings will get made. I think Galveston is moving into a new area as we do that.” A geotextile tube runs along the beachfront side of a condo complex. The commission ultimately rejected the proposal. Kahlenberg said he has since scaled back his design. The project he now envisions would be five stories high and 48 units, nearly half the original plan. It would be a “responsible beachfront construction project” that could withstand hurricanes and storm surge, he said. “Climate change is upon us, but can be handled through diligent planning and responsible construction,” Kahlenberg said, adding that his development has plans to maintain its dunes “with minimal dependence on public funds in case of a disaster.” Brown, the mayor, said current regulations include more stringent elevation requirements than in the past, among other restrictions. Galveston Mayor Craig Brown says changing conditions could prompt the city to reconsider its building codes. “We hold them to those rules. And then if they make a decision to build, so be it,” he said. Still, he said changing conditions could force the city to consider whether the codes are adequate in the years ahead. “Sometimes our land development regulations lag behind exactly what the constraints of Mother Nature demand,” Brown said. “But that’s something that we have to try to stay on top of as much as possible as we move forward.” A great blue heron stands on the beach in Galveston across from waterfront homes on San Luis Island. AN ISLAND OF ENDURANCE That so many buildings stand today on Galveston Island — and that more are in the pipeline, including a Margaritaville resort on the island’s less vulnerable eastern end — reflects a remarkable act of persistence. In the late 19th century, two hurricanes wiped out the major shipping port of Indianola, about 115 miles southwest of Galveston. This cemented the dominance of Galveston as Texas’s leading port city. Then, the island was hit by a massive hurricane in 1900. It was the deadliest natural disaster in U.S. history, killing at least 6,000 people here. Galvestonians refused to leave. Two years later, they began work on the sea wall. They raised their buildings and pumped sand beneath them. Over time, as protections grew, they also started building farther down the island. “This city … stands as a monument in itself to the accomplishment and achievement of engineers,” R.E. Fristoe, who served as the chief engineer of the Galveston Wharves, said in a 1933 speech before the Texas Section of the American Society of Civil Engineers. Archival photo showing an intersection in Galveston This photo, taken about 1903, shows a block being prepared for grade raising. The street to the right had already been raised, while the block to the left awaited the filling process. The grade raising was part of a massive project to protect the city following the hurricane destruction in 1900. The same house was surrounded by debris after the 1900 hurricane. (Galveston & Texas History Center) Before the block was filled, homeowners had to raise their houses at their own expense, sometimes as much as 8 to 12 feet. The engineer marked the elevation to which the grade would be raised. Elevated walkways were built so residents could maintain access to their raised homes. A series of pipes carried a mix of sand and seawater pumped from dredges to the areas that needed to be filled. Sand is discharged through a pipe as part of the grade raising. (Galveston & Texas History Center) Graphic comparing photos of the house at 28th and Ave P from before the grade raising and after the grade raising. Before raising After raising Before raising After raising Before raising After raising Before raising After raising This intersection was five blocks from the newly built sea wall. The impact of the grade raising is still clear today, as shown in high-resolution elevation data. Key explaining that the colors on the map represent elevation above the average highest daily tide Elevation above average daily highest tide Elevation above average daily highest tide 0 0 10 10 20 feet 20 feet The initial grade raising took about a decade and 10 million cubic yards of sand to complete. But most of the island’s area remains unaltered and low-lying. The grade raising did not lift every corner of today’s Galveston. Part of the area along 59th Street, a neighborhood now full of residents and homes, remains low-lying — and some of the worst flooding occurs there at high tide. The sea wall was extended westward several times, ending in its current spot in the early 1960s. Despite all that adaptation, the entire island remains vulnerable, due to a century’s worth of rising seas and sinking land. John Anderson, a retired Rice University marine geologist, owns a home on Galveston Island that he built high on stilts 25 years ago, when seas were at least a half-foot lower. In a recent study, Anderson and fellow researchers documented how rates of erosion along the Gulf Coast have increased since about 1850. While sea level rise was extremely slow when Galveston Island formed and grew — a tiny fraction of an inch per year — it has since accelerated. As a result, the island is eroding at 3 to 4 feet per year, at least in locations without human structures, such as jetties, that artificially trap sand and help keep beaches intact or even growing, Anderson said. Story continues below advertisement Advertisement Story continues below advertisement Advertisement Changing sea levels have transformed this location before. The Texas coast extended many miles farther into the Gulf of Mexico 11,000 years ago, according to Anderson and other researchers, but retreated when the end of a great ice age raised the seas by hundreds of feet. As sea level rise slowed, barrier islands like Galveston accumulated sand. But now it’s accelerating and expected to worsen in the coming decades due to climate change. Anderson and other scientists do not know for certain why the region is experiencing rates of sea level rise so far beyond the global average. And they don’t know if that will persist, and for how long or how quickly it could eat away places that are already seeing high rates of erosion. “The real question is, how the acceleration of sea level rise will accelerate shoreline erosion,” says John Anderson, a retired Rice University marine geologist who owns a home on Galveston Island. “And really, nobody knows the answer to that.” At the same time, the number of high-tide floods, which can happen even on sunny days, has surged — the island has experienced more than 150 over the past decade. This type of flooding is forecast to become rapidly worse as seas continue to rise. Projections from NASA and the University of Hawaii’s Sea Level Center suggest that, by the 2050s, the island could see over 250 days with minor flooding each year. Rising home prices and growing threats from extreme weather also have contributed to soaring home insurance costs for many Texans. Average rates jumped by double digits each of the past two years, including by more than 20 percent in 2023 — more than in any other state, according to an S&P analysis. On the whole, Galveston residents don’t appear to spend much time fretting over such concerns. It is a place where perseverance has been passed down for generations, where obituaries still refer to residents as “BOI” — born on the island — as a mark of pride. Tom Schwenk, who owns a local real estate agency and has been in Galveston since the mid-1980s, said there is a mentality ingrained in many residents that refuses to surrender to the threats of wind and water. Schwenk said people are not naive about the risks, but rather willing to accept them. He said the city does more than many other coastal communities to address flooding, and the stricter elevation standards put in place after Hurricane Ike have created a sense that development is happening more responsibly. “It’s not like other places I’ve been, where people worry about it all the time,” he said. “We get to live in a place where people come to go on vacation. So you take the good with the bad.” Avenue Q at 59th Street in Galveston is flooded after water from a high tide backed into the drainage system. AT THE WATER’S EDGE, BEAUTY AND PERIL At the March public hearing over the Solarus, city council member Marie Robb argued that the predicament of several decades-old buildings just a few miles down the road should give officials pause as they considered the proposed oceanfront development. “Where it’s positioned at the end of the sea wall, it probably is one of the most erosive spots that there is,” Robb said in opposing the Solarus. “We have three buildings currently on the island that are in jeopardy because they sit too close [to the ocean] … and we don’t need another situation like that,” she added. These three condo buildings in Galveston — from left, the Riviera I and II and the West Beach Grand — seen during a high tide in June. Kahlenberg said when it comes to safety and the design of his building, “I have hired the best team of architects, engineers, environmentally experienced dunes specialists and legal support team members well versed in building a beachfront construction project of this proportion.” Still, some locals see the three condo buildings Robb referenced — the Riviera I and II and the West Beach Grand — as a cautionary tale in the risks of building along a changing coastline. Aerial image showing the Riviera I, Riviera II and West Beach Grand condo buildings in 2008. West Beach Grand Riviera II Riviera I (Imagery via Houston-Galveston Area Council) West Beach Grand Riviera II Riviera I (Imagery via Houston-Galveston Area Council) West Beach Grand Riviera II Riviera I (Imagery via Houston-Galveston Area Council) Aerial image showing the Riviera I, Riviera II and West Beach Grand condo buildings in 2008 after Hurricane Ike.. West Beach Grand Riviera II Riviera I (Imagery via NOAA) West Beach Grand Riviera II Riviera I (Imagery via NOAA) West Beach Grand Riviera II Riviera I (Imagery via NOAA) Aerial image showing the Riviera I, Riviera II and West Beach Grand condo buildings in 2009. West Beach Grand Riviera II Riviera I (Imagery via Texas Geographic Information Office) West Beach Grand Riviera II Riviera I (Imagery via Texas Geographic Information Office) West Beach Grand Riviera II Riviera I (Imagery via Texas Geographic Information Office) Here’s how the condos, which originally featured beachside pools, appeared from above in 2008. Later that year, Hurricane Ike battered the Galveston coast and damaged the pool decks in front of the condos. The damage from Ike was largely repaired by the following year, but the pools were removed. The beach continues to erode, as seen earlier this year, but barriers to protect against waves, called geotextile tubes, have been added to the condo buildings. In recent years, city officials have worked with homeowners at the condos to undertake engineering reports for the buildings, according to residents and to Galveston’s development services director, Tim Tietjens. It’s a process the city initiates “when there’s a structure that has concerns or possible structural issues,” he said. Kim Van Camp, who headed a joint group of property owners from the condominiums, told Galveston’s Daily News in 2022 that residents had commissioned the assessments in the wake of the tragic condo collapse in Surfside, Fla., the previous year. “We wanted to get experts involved,” Van Camp, who could not be reached for comment, told the paper. “When it comes to public health and safety, ignorance is not a good state to be in.” One report from June 2022 found that the buildings “appear to have been well engineered, well constructed, and properly maintained,” despite the need for some repairs and reinforcements. It also found that the condos would be likely to face more stress during storm events than “these buildings were designed to withstand” in the 1980s. Another engineer who visually inspected the Riviera II building wrote in July 2022 that severe erosion had left four feet of foundation exposed, and the high-tide line was “partially under the building.” “In its current condition this building should be evacuated if a flooding storm is approaching,” the engineer, Luke Pronker, wrote. “From my observations, in its current condition this building is at significant risk of collapse during a design storm event due to the beach erosion’s increased flood forces and may lack the necessary support of the ground.” In an email, Pronker declined to speak about specific projects without permission from the building’s owners. That same month, Galveston’s chief building official wrote to the leaders at the Riviera II building, saying that all owners and visitors must immediately be notified of the those risks, and that the condo must outline the “expedited procedures” it planned to take to repair and protect the structure. “The steps outlined above are to deal with the immediate danger that flooding events pose to the structure,” Todd Sukup, the city official, wrote. “We at the city are not unsympathetic to the fact that you and your owners have been confronted with a serious situation that we expect [will] require considerable money and effort to remedy, if it can be remedied at all. But we would be remiss were we not to take steps to remove our citizenry from danger.” Story continues below advertisement Advertisement Story continues below advertisement Advertisement Stephen C. Hale, a board member at the Riviera II who has owned there since 1995, said the building has always taken measures to evacuate ahead of significant storms. He said after the city’s letter, property owners also undertook further engineering reports to address any concerns and show that the structure is sound. “Over time, we proved that the building hasn’t moved an iota,” Hale said. “The foundations are very stable.” An official at Rapp Management, which previously managed the three properties, said the company no longer oversees them. Officials at the current property management firm did not respond to requests for comment. Bill Kroynovich, who until earlier this year served as president of the homeowners association at the West Beach Grand, said residents had sought out the various studies “to err on the side of caution and to protect our owners.” Last year, he said, all three condo buildings installed geotextile tubes in front to fend off storm surges and crashing waves, after finally gaining approval from government officials. He said his building also put in place additional sand to help shore up its foundation and fend off erosion. The geotextile tubes are essentially meant “to protect the pilings,” Van Camp said at a public hearing last spring, in which he said property owners had consulted regularly with city officials about potential options. “We’ve got something that we think is big enough, but not something intended to be there forever and a day.” Tietjens called the geotextile tubes “a temporary corrective measure.” And Kroynovich said a major storm could still cause massive damage given that the condos have such little protection, at least until a long-awaited beach replenishment happens. In an email, a spokeswoman for the Texas General Land Office said the agency is working with the Army Corps and the city “to conduct two large-scale beach nourishments” in the area in 2025 and 2026. “Once they do that, it’s going to be a huge influx of sand,” Hale said. Even so, the threat of storms and erosion will remain. “I think it’s a concern to everybody in Galveston,” Kroynovich said. “It’s beautiful to live by the water, but there are also consequences of living by the water. You assume the responsibility of those risks.” This spring, Kroynovich and his wife sold the one-bedroom unit they had owned at the West Beach Grand since 2009. Still, he said, they cherished their time by the water. Cyrus Varshochi feels the same. He bought his unit in the Riviera I building a decade ago. Ike had already swept away the building’s ocean-facing pool. But Varshochi remembers there being about 200 feet of beach at low tide. Cyrus Varshochi and his wife, Alie, enjoy lunch on the beach outside Riviera I, where they own a condo. In the past four to five years, he said, the once-crowded stretch of beach has lost ground dramatically. “Obviously, the biggest concern is, one of these days, the water is going to wash things away,” he said. For now, though, even as the buildings recently did more work to shore up the existing protections after Alberto and Beryl, he and his wife still look forward to their time here. “Ultimately, what’s going to happen in 10 years, who knows?” he said. “But for now, we’re enjoying it. It’s rare, to find this type of life.” They have no plans of selling. Waves wash up toward the Galveston sea wall. DEFENDING THE COAST Just because a coastal city is low-lying, or sits on a barrier island, doesn’t mean it can’t be sustained for decades or more, even amid rising seas and worsening hurricanes. It’s more a matter of what it takes to protect it. In the wake of Hurricane Ike, Bill Merrell, a professor at Texas A&M at Galveston, helped conceive of the idea of a massive coastal barrier. That effort eventually grew into what has become known as the Ike Dike — the sprawling combination of walls, enormous gates and dunes that the Army Corps is expected to take decades to construct. The plan would not only protect Galveston. It would fortify the entrance to the Houston Ship Channel — and the massive oil and gas infrastructure that lies behind it — from a catastrophic storm surge. Story continues below advertisement Advertisement Story continues below advertisement Advertisement “The world has got itself in a fix. We didn’t mitigate” planet-warming emissions, Merrell said in an interview. “We are going to have to adapt to it. We don’t have a choice anymore. If we want to maintain our economy, our way of life, our social systems … we are going to have to defend the coast.” As he stood at the end of the sea wall in early June, Brian Harper, the planning chief for the Army Corps’ Southwestern Division, acknowledged the challenge ahead. At this crux of the proposed project, a hardened sea wall would gradually transition into an 18-mile expanse of double dunes. The maintenance for the dunes, Harper noted, would be considerable, as storms and rising seas would constantly assail them in the decades to come. Watermarks for Hurricanes Ike and Harvey are painted on the pillar of a tire shop in Galveston. Merrell and his colleagues have argued that the agency’s plans are too weak, and that the proposed dunes aren’t big enough to stop a major hurricane. Compared with Florida and other sand-rich locations, the Texas coast also doesn’t have as much natural supply to continually replenish dunes. “We’ve already got a beach that’s eroding rapidly, and the Corps of Engineers can’t even find the sand we need to maintain the current beach,” said Anderson, the retired Rice geologist. The Army Corps says it has begun to investigate how to best obtain the estimated 17 million cubic yards needed to complete the initial construction of double dunes along Galveston Island. “We’ll mostly be mining from offshore sources in the Gulf,” Harper said. In an email, the agency said that so far its cost figures are based on sediment sources from the Sabine and Heald banks, but it would continue to investigate “alternative sources that provide equivalent quality and amounts of sand.” But Harper acknowledged that no matter what, the process of adapting here will require perpetual vigilance. “We would expect that at least every 10 years,” he said, “we’ll have to re-nourish the beaches.” (TWP) ‘IT IS COMING FAST’ Barely three miles from the end of the sea wall, Dario Romero and his wife, Aurora, live in a particularly low-lying part of Galveston. Their battle against rising water is different from the one facing residents farther west, but no less maddening. In recent years, floodwaters have filled their street during high tides or rainstorms — or both. “It’s something we deal with every day,” said Dario Romero, a 69-year-old semiretired longshoreman. Dario Romero, left, and Charles Addison, both residents of the 59th Street neighborhood, flip through photos of flooding compiled by Addison. Sometimes, people plow through the water in their vehicles, potentially damaging them with saltwater and sending wakes that lap against garages and houses. Residents said water comes up through the drains about 50 times per year, even on sunny days. “We are where it all accumulates,” Romero said. “People can’t leave their house for work. People can’t leave their house for anything.” The city plans to put one of the pump stations to help mitigate flooding in this neighborhood. Romero is skeptical — the only solution, he believes, might be to raise part of the island again. A key for the following map Can pumps spare this low-lying neighborhood from flooding? Galveston plans to build a pumping station in a neighborhood that wasn’t raised and faces frequent flooding. Elevation above average daily highest tide SEA WALL Profile along 59th Street 15 ft. 0 Gulf of Mexico English Bayou Can pumps spare this low-lying neighborhood from flooding? Galveston plans to build a pumping station in a neighborhood that wasn’t raised and faces frequent flooding. Elevation above average daily highest tide SEA WALL Profile along 59th Street 15 ft. 0 Gulf of Mexico English Bayou Elevation above average daily highest tide Can pumps spare this low-lying neighborhood from flooding? SEA WALL Galveston plans to build a pumping station in a neighborhood that wasn’t raised and faces frequent flooding. 20 ft. Profile along 59th Street 10 0 Gulf of Mexico English Bayou Can pumps spare this low-lying neighborhood from flooding? Elevation above average daily highest tide SEA WALL Galveston plans to build a pumping station in a neighborhood that wasn’t raised and faces frequent flooding. 20 ft. Profile along 59th Street 10 0 Gulf of Mexico English Bayou Map showing elevation in the 59th street neighborhood and where the city plans to build a pump station. NORTH English Bayou Offatts Bayou Planned pump station HEARDS LN LOW- LYING AREA Area of planned drainage improvements 61ST ST STEWART RD 59TH ST RAISED AREA 53RD ST 57TH ST SEA WALL Detail Gulf of Mexico 0.5 MILES NORTH English Bayou Offatts Bayou Planned pump station HEARDS LN LOW- LYING AREA Area of planned drainage improvements 61ST ST STEWART RD 59TH ST RAISED AREA 53RD ST 57TH ST SEA WALL Detail Gulf of Mexico 0.5 MILES Offatts Bayou English Bayou AVE P Planned pump station HEARDS LN 61ST ST Area of planned drainage improvements LOW-LYING AREA STEWART RD RAISED AREA 59TH ST 53RD ST AVE U 57TH ST SEA WALL NORTH SEA WALL Detail Gulf of Mexico 0.5 MILES Offatts Bayou English Bayou AVE P Planned pump station HEARDS LN Area of planned drainage improvements LOW-LYING AREA 45TH ST STEWART RD RAISED AREA 59TH ST 53RD ST AVE U SEA WALL 57TH ST NORTH Detail SEA WALL 0.5 MILES Gulf of Mexico When Hurricane Beryl was predicted to bear down on the Texas coast in early July, the Romeros evacuated. They returned to town on July 8 to find their neighborhood flooded for blocks. The couple had to park on higher ground and wade through the murky water to their home, which they elevated after Hurricane Ike. “This is more than any normal high tide,” Dario Romero said as he surveyed his neighborhood, which looked more like a lake. Later, he kayaked back to the couple’s vehicle to collect their things. Several miles away, at the end of the sea wall, the storm had left a different kind of mark. Before Hurricane Beryl After Beryl Aerial image from before Hurricane Beryl showing a protective dune in front of the site where the Tiara condos are planned to be built. Future site of Tiara condos 200 FEET SEA WALL Future site of Tiara condos 200 FEET SEA WALL Future site of Tiara condos 200 FEET SEA WALL Aerial image from after Hurricane Beryl showing damage to the dune Future site of Tiara condos 200 FEET SEA WALL Future site of Tiara condos 200 FEET SEA WALL Future site of Tiara condos 200 FEET SEA WALL (Pre-Beryl imagery: City of Galveston; post-Beryl imagery: Houston-Galveston Area Council/Nearmap) The wind and water had torn down a fence outside the Seascape Condominiums and left the pool and parking lot full of sand. The churning sea, even from a Category 1 storm that did not make direct landfall, had clawed away at a sand dune near the proposed condo developments. Despite power outages and other damage, the area had avoided widespread catastrophe. But the storm offered the latest reminder of the challenges that lie ahead, here and around much of the South, particularly as storms strengthen and seas rise. A woman walks along the western end of the Galveston sea wall. “I don’t think people really understand what’s coming,” Parkinson, the Florida International University researcher, said of the sea level rise projected over coming decades. “It’s nothing anybody has ever experienced,” he said. “It’s taken a long time to get to where things are now, but now it is coming fast.” ABOUT THIS STORY Archival images provided by the Galveston and Texas History Center at the Rosenberg Library. Elevation data is from Texas Water Development Board, Fugro Geospatial, Inc. via National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Office for Coastal Management and NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information. Kevin Crowe, Ricky Carioti and Monika Mathur contributed to this report. Design and development by Emily Wright. Photo editing by Sandra M. Stevenson. Video editing by John Farrell. Design editing by Joseph Moore. Editing by Katie Zezima, Monica Ulmanu, Juliet Eilperin and Zachary A. Goldfarb. Project editing by KC Schaper. Copy editing by Frances Moody. Additional support from Jordan Melendrez, Erica Snow, Kathleen Floyd and Victoria Rossi. Share 1400 Comments Chris MooneyChris Mooney is a Pulitzer Prize winning reporter covering climate change, energy, and the environment. He has reported from the 2015 Paris climate negotiations, the Northwest Passage, and the Greenland ice sheet, among other locations, and has written four books about science, politics and climate change. @chriscmooney John MuyskensJohn Muyskens is a graphics reporter who focuses on climate change and environmental justice. @JohnMuyskens Brady DennisBrady Dennis is a Pulitzer Prize-winning national reporter for The Washington Post, focusing on environmental and climate stories, primarily around the Southeast. He previously has covered the Environmental Protection Agency, international climate policy, the Food and Drug Administration and the nation’s economy. @brady_dennis Ricky CariotiRicky Carioti is an award-winning photographer and has worked for The Washington Post since 2002. Subscribe to comment and get the full experience. 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