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Security Management, AI/ML



A $75M GLIMMER OF HOPE FOR STRUGGLING CYBERSECURITY STARTUPS

Simon HenderyNovember 8, 2023


At any time, a $75 million investment fund earmarked exclusively for
cybersecurity startups is impressive. But in the backdrop of tech-sector
headlines featuring cybersecurity layoffs and bankruptcies, a massive investment
by SYN Ventures into U.S.-based early stage security startups is raising both
hopes and eyebrows.     

In October venture capital firm SYN Ventures closed a $75 million seed fund
dedicated solely to cybersecurity startups. It’s considered one of the largest
to date in the U.S. and comes on the heels of security startup IronNet
shuttering and Fortinet, Rapid7 and SecureWorks each announcing layoffs.

To many, the closing of the once high-flying IronNet, valued at $1.2 billion in
2021, served as a harbinger of more gloom to come. But for SYN Ventures, a VC
firm focused on the security sector, it insists the bloom is on for seeding
innovative security firms just as the sector contracts.

Co-founder and managing partner of SYN Ventures, Jay Leek, told SC Media now is
a perfect time to launch a cybersecurity seed fund.

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“We’re just seeing so many seed opportunities right now. There’s never been a
better time,” Leek said.


ROCKY MARKET REALITY

Leek’s bullish outlook contrasts not only headlines, but also September data
from IANS Research that illuminates the rocky road security firms have been
navigating.  

An IANS survey of 550 CISOs found that global instability and inflationary
pressures contributed to a 65% fall in IT budget growth in 2022-2023. For 2023
the average budget increase is expected to be 6%, a decrease from the previous
budget cycle growth of 17%. 

These market forces have investors rethinking previous valuations of
cybersecurity startups and put into question how upstarts will fare in the year
ahead as their customers pared back IT budgets. In a separate study by Vanta,
only 9% of those shrinking IT budgets are dedicated to security.

Other market forces pushing companies to be more frugal are inflationary
pressures increasing the cost of doing business and cost pressures tied to
increased compliance and regulation requirements, said Deepak Jeevankumar,
managing director at Dell Technologies Capital.


VENTURE TOURISTS RETURN HOME

This tightening follows years of strong growth of cybersecurity budgets and
generous funding of security startups. Easy access to capital helped prop up
much of the startup world. Between 2018 and 2022 seed funding and venture
capital seed funds earmarked to help launch cybersecurity startups were easy to
come by, with eager investors salivating for a piece of the action.

“What we saw was a massive influx of capital into cybersecurity because VCs all
wanted to be in an area that was hot,” said AllegisCyber Capital managing
director Bob Ackerman.

By 2022 higher interest rates and macroeconomic uncertainty set the stage for a
global economic slowdown and an IT market downturn. That turned off the
investment spigot tied to casual VC investors, Ackerman said.

“When too much money goes into a sector it tends to distort the economics of the
sector so things get funded that probably shouldn’t be funded,” he said. The
downturn, he said, was part economic reality and part a correction in how
startups were being overfunded.

According to figures compiled by Momentum Cyber, which tracks cybersecurity
fundraising and acquisitions, there were 423 financing transactions totaling
$5.2 billion in the first half of 2023, down from 531 transactions totaling
$12.5 billion in the first half of 2022.

“For too long the seeming measure of success has been the ability of a company
to raise capital. But as we are seeing with several recent failures, there is
more to a company than raising galactic funds,” said Wayne Schepens, chief cyber
market analyst at CyberRisk Alliance (parent company of SC Media) and managing
director of LaunchTech Communications.   


A PERFECT STORM

While VC funding for cybersecurity startups has cooled, SYN Ventures sees
opportunity.

Leek maintains SYN’s $75 million seed fund will go to startups less likely to
repeat the mistakes of their predecessors. Those miscalculations include
aggressive capital burn rates designed to quickly dominate a booming marketplace
that never materialized or is taking longer than expected to mature.

The emphasis today is delivering value, reducing customer costs and aligning a
solution with a high-growth product category. Ample funding is out there for
startups able to check the right boxes, Schepens said.

The investment climate will pick up in the next year or two, Leek said. That
time horizon is perfect for today’s cybersecurity startups to take advantage of
a market upswing when it happens.

“Right now, there are no bull’s eyes on the forehead for these startups to
immediately drive revenue,” he said. “It’s a special time right now for
entrepreneurs to prove marketplace value of a solutions without having to rush
to market and keep spending in check.”


VC DEALS STILL BEING DONE

For startups seeking post-seed funding, significant VC deals are still being
done. Data from Momentum Cyber reveals that investors plowed $5 billion into
startups in the first half of 2023. However, that’s less than half as much
pledged the year prior.

“While investors have become more selective, there are still funding
opportunities available for hungry and resourceful entrepreneurs,” Schepens
said.

Leek said this new level of caution amongst investors means startups need to
alter expectations around how much money they can expect to raise. They needed
to be prepared to present an even more compelling case for growth to potential
funders.


FOCUS MOVES OFF FUNDING AND TO FUNDAMENTALS

As startups recalibrate and focus on profitability, distinguishing their product
offerings and driving innovation a thinning of the startup herd is inevitable,
VCs told SC Media.

“It’s all about delivering value to customers and there certainly are some
amazing young companies out there doing just that. The funds are still there,
the money is still there, it needs to be allocated, so VCs are looking for great
opportunities and will continue,” Schepens said.

YL Ventures partner Michael Cortez said his organization was continuing to see a
high appetite for seed and Series A investments in cybersecurity startups, he
said.

Series A funding comes after pre-seed (proof of concept) funding of a
cybersecurity startup and is used for product development, operations and
marketing. Pre-seed funding can range between $10,000 to $1 million and Series A
can be as high as $10 million.


THE NEED FOR SMART STARTUPS REMAIN

Startups are also having to deal with industry consolidation and a drive by
larger vendors to supply more of their clients’ tech stack, which led to the
rise of single security vendors delivering a mega platform.

But that doesn’t mean there is no room for startups. There are always
opportunities for startups with unique ways to solve emerging cybersecurity
challenges.

AllegisCyber Capital’s Ackerman and others are bullish on tech such as
artificial intelligence (AI) as an enabler for innovative solutions applicable
to security operations and threat analysis.

“AI will boost productivity and help with the shortage of skills. The industry
will also use AI to process threat intelligence and that will be a productivity
gain,” he said.

Quantum encryption, blockchain technology used to authenticate and validate user
identities and neural network intrusion detection systems are just a few
examples beyond AI driving innovation in the cybersecurity space.

Cortez said YL Ventures, which focused on early stage cybersecurity startups,
was seeing increased VC interest in funding startups in the identity space,
vulnerability and risk management and firms providing tools that monitored
generative AI solutions.

“I don’t think funding of cybersecurity startups will be the Wild West like it
was,” Schepens said. “However, cybersecurity absolutely remains one of the
strongest industries out there. Smart investors will always be on the hunt for
newcomers that will rocket their way to the top of the security stack.”

It may take time, but as long as malicious actors continue to find new and more
sophisticated ways to challenge security professionals, new and innovative
security solutions will continue to attract investor interest, Ackerman said.

(SC Media's Steve Zurier contributed to this report)


Simon Hendery

Simon Hendery is a freelance IT consultant specializing in security, compliance,
and enterprise workflows. With a background in technology journalism and
marketing, he is a passionate storyteller who loves researching and sharing the
latest industry developments.


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