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OXFORD ECONOMICS

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Latest Global Outlook - January / February 2022

Although some of the initial worst fears about Omicron have proved unfounded,
the unexpectedly large surge in global Covid-19 cases is causing more cautious
behaviour by individuals and greater disruption to businesses than envisaged. We
have cut our Q1 GDP forecast again and now expect world GDP growth of 4.2% in
2022, down from 4.3% a month ago and the 5.8% estimated for 2021.

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estate forecasts, analysis and commentary...                 GLOBAL CLIMATE
SERVICE: Helping you to assess the impact of global warming...                
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The suddenly unavoidable metaverse - four things you need to know...           
    GLOBAL SCENARIO REPORT: Supply chain crisis persists on...               
BREXIT: Analysing the economic impact...
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LATEST ANALYSIS

 * Feb 08 2022
   
   
   RESEARCH BRIEFING: AFRICA – POLITICAL ECONOMY WATCHLIST 2022
   
   Our political economy watchlist for 2022 looks at the political drivers
   behind developments surrounding the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam. Taking a
   regional perspective, in East Africa, we examine t...

 * Feb 08 2022
   
   
   UNITED KINGDOM: LEVELLING UP LOOKS TO BE LITTLE MORE THAN A LABEL
   
   The Levelling Up White Paper contains nothing to cause us to revise our
   forecasts for the UK’s various nations and regions, let alone the UK as a
   whole. While it contains many fine sentiments, there’s...

 * Feb 07 2022
   
   
   UNITED STATES: ECONOMY SUFFERS FEVER AND CHILLS IN Q1, BUT RECOVERS QUICKLY
   
   The Omicron variant and year-end slump in consumer spending put a chill on
   the US economy in Q1, with our new baseline seeing real GDP growth
   essentially flat on the quarter. Concurrently, Omicron has...

 * Feb 07 2022
   
   
   UNITED STATES: RISING RISK OF NEAR-TERM TREASURY BEARISH OVERSHOOT
   
   Persistent inflation pressures and increasingly hawkish central banks have
   accelerated the recent rise in Treasury rates despite supportive longer-term
   factors for Treasuries. The risks of a near-term...

 * Feb 04 2022
   
   
   UNITED STATES: SUPPLY CHAINS STARTED THE NEW YEAR UNDER DURESS
   
   Our US supply-chain stress tracker suggests 2022 commenced with continuing
   pressures. Transportation channels remained strained in January, and
   inflation stayed high. Constraints eased on the activity...

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RECENT RELEASES


 * BAE SYSTEMS' CONTRIBUTION TO THE UK ECONOMY
   
   "BAE Systems' Contribution to the UK Economy" is an independent report by
   Oxford Economics quantifying the total economic impact of BAE Systems to the
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 * THE ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL IMPACT OF ASOS
   
   This report, commissioned by ASOS, explores the jobs, GDP, and payments to
   governments that ASOS supported in 2019-2020, along with its social
   investment programmes.


 * SUSTAINABILITY AS A TRANSFORMATION CATALYST: TRAILBLAZERS TURN ASPIRATION
   INTO ACTION
   
   Sustainability strategy has gained a lot of traction among man, if not all,
   companies in the US. How does the new focus on this strategy affect
   innovation, technology, and the bottom line?


 * REWIRING SEATTLE: THE ECONOMICS OF SEATTLE'S NEW ELECTRIC HEATING MANDATE
   
   Rewiring Seattle explores the costs of Seattle's new electric heating mandate
   as well as implications for low-income households, and for carbon emissions.


 * IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON THE RED MEAT PROCESSING INDUSTRY
   
   This report outlines the strong performance of the red meat processing
   industry during the pandemic in 2020. The industry was able to maintain
   reliable supplies to both domestic and international cust... more

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Helping companies to understand the implications of macroeconomic, geopolitical,
financial and climate developments on private and public real estate
performance.

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Helping you assess the economic impact of global warming and its implications
for your business through risk assessment forecasts, scenario analysis and our
climate databank.

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The World Post-Covid

Evidence-based perspectives from our economists and analysts about the key
issues confronting the global economy.

Read more
EVENTS & WEBINARS

We run an extensive, worldwide programme of illuminating forums, roundtables and
webinars with presentations from our economic experts.

What's on?


IN THE MEDIA

 * Feb 03 2022
   
   
   INDEPENDENT: A LIKELY POOR JOBS FIGURE FOR JANUARY COULD PROVE TEMPORARY

 * Feb 01 2022
   
   
   FINANCIAL TIMES: INDIA RAMPS UP SPENDING TO RECLAIM PLACE AS FASTEST-GROWING
   ECONOMY

 * Jan 30 2022
   
   
   FINANCIAL TIMES: WILL AN UGLY JOBS REPORT DETER THE FED FROM AGGRESSIVE RATE
   RISES?

 * Jan 29 2022
   
   
   YAHOO! FINANCE: RISHI SUNAK FACES TOUGH CHOICES ON U.K. PAYROLL TAX

 * Jan 29 2022
   
   
   THE DAILY TELEGRAPH: WHY VLADIMIR PUTIN FEARS A STABLE AND PROSPEROUS UKRAINE

 * Jan 23 2022
   
   
   FINANCIAL TIMES: FED EXPECTED TO BACK FIRST PANDEMIC-ERA INTEREST RATE RISE
   IN MARCH

 * Jan 23 2022
   
   
   BLOOMBERG: FISCAL WINDFALL SET TO HELP SUNAK RELIEVE U.K.’S ENERGY CRUNCH

 * Jan 21 2022
   
   
   BLOOMBERG: LATIN AMERICA SEEN NARROWLY AVOIDING FOURTH-QUARTER CONTRACTION

 * Jan 21 2022
   
   
   FINANCIAL TIMES: BOE POLICYMAKER HINTS AT MORE INTEREST RATE RISES IN THE
   COMING MONTHS

 * Jan 19 2022
   
   
   FORBES: 2022 GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAINS: FOUR TRENDS THAT WILL SHAPE THE FUTURE

 * Jan 19 2022
   
   
   YAHOO! FINANCE: HOW HOTEL ELITE STATUS IS SHAPING UP IN 2022

 * Jan 18 2022
   
   
   FINANCIAL TIMES: UK INFLATION SET TO HIT 30-YEAR HIGH AS RATE RISE
   EXPECTATIONS MOUNT


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