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ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS - LATEST MARKET COMMENTARY


STOCK INDICES

27th August 2021 - Analysts and financial pundits have played down the
importance of Friday’s Jackson Hole meeting and the impact from Jerome Powell’s
address which is scheduled for 10:00am local time (EDT) – (14:00 GMT) – (16:00
CET). The Fed Chairman is caught between a tapering…

read more




STOCK INDICES

27th August 2021 - Analysts and financial pundits have played down the
importance of Friday’s Jackson Hole meeting and the impact from Jerome Powell’s
address which is scheduled for 10:00am local time (EDT) – (14:00 GMT) – (16:00
CET). The Fed Chairman is caught between a tapering bias because of recent
strength in the U.S. economy and the background risk from the spread of the
delta variant of the coronavirus. In the latest Bank of America Global Fund
Manager Survey, 84% expect Fed to signal taper by year-end with the majority of
those voting suggesting it’ll be announced in September’s meeting. From a
contrarian perspective, a high percentage figure like that is often signalling
the opposite outcome resulting in the Fed delaying any tapering, causing
long-dated treasury yields to decline. That would be bullish for stock
markets…Read full summary in our latest report!



show less


CURRENCIES (FX)

27th August 2021 - This week’s decline in the US$ dollar index has pulled away
from last Friday’s high of 93.72 enough to confirm the end of May’s five wave
uptrend ending wave [a] of the dollar’s corrective advance. Wave [b] has now
begun a two-month correction to the downside although…

read more




CURRENCIES (FX)

27th August 2021 - This week’s decline in the US$ dollar index has pulled away
from last Friday’s high of 93.72 enough to confirm the end of May’s five wave
uptrend ending wave [a] of the dollar’s corrective advance. Wave [b] has now
begun a two-month correction to the downside although targets towards the fib.
50% retracement area of 91.60+/- represents only a modest decline of -2.2% per
cent. The dollar’s normal negative-correlation with global stock indices has
been inconsistent all year, since the dollar began its 2nd wave corrective
advance from January’s low. With stock markets heading into a peak during the
next week, you’d imagine the dollar attracting safe-haven buying, but in this
case, the expected decline as wave [b] may simply be the result of the Federal
Reserve delaying any decision on tapering or postponing it until year-end. The
Euro/US$ has…Read full summary in our latest report!



show less


BONDS (INTEREST RATES)

27th August 2021 - We’re continuing to track two ongoing scenarios for the next
major direction of US10yr treasury yields and for Europe’s benchmark DE10yr bund
yields. Declines from their respective 2021 highs, for the US10yr yield from
March’s high of 1.774% and from May’s DE10yr…

read more




BONDS (INTEREST RATES)

27th August 2021 - We’re continuing to track two ongoing scenarios for the next
major direction of US10yr treasury yields and for Europe’s benchmark DE10yr bund
yields. Declines from their respective 2021 highs, for the US10yr yield from
March’s high of 1.774% and from May’s DE10yr yield high of -0.075% have both
completed minimum downside requirements for ending 2nd wave corrections. But
there’s a heightened risk these declines could be extended in the event of a
stock market correction which from our EW analysis, would see the major indices
tank by -35% per cent. This downside risk is evident in the US10yr yield which
has only managed to develop higher, from July’s low of 1.131 into a three wave
pattern – is this simply a correction within continued declines? – maybe. And
the DE10yr yield would be at significant downside risk should it break… Read
full summary in our latest report!



show less


COMMODITIES

27th August 2021 - Precious metals are establishing themselves above August’s
lows since ending multi-month declines that originated last February/June. When
comparing gold and silver, there are some patter differences – gold is engaged
in primary wave 4’s horizontal/expanding flat…

read more




COMMODITIES

27th August 2021 - Precious metals are establishing themselves above August’s
lows since ending multi-month declines that originated last February/June. When
comparing gold and silver, there are some patter differences – gold is engaged
in primary wave 4’s horizontal/expanding flat pattern from the August ’20 high
whilst silver has been declining within the boundary lines of intermediate wave
(4)’s triangle. There was some outperformance in gold’s low earlier this month
which held above March’s low whilst silver broke below its equivalent low in a
sign of underperformance. But this was forecast a month or two ago basis the
gold/silver ratio which was expected to widen from 67.40 targeting min. 76.35+/-
max. 81.75+/-. This week’s ratio traded up to 77.52. Looking ahead, Gold is now
forecast higher in a re-attempt back towards last year’s high of 2072.12 to
2081.00+/- as intermediate wave (B) whilst silver is heading higher as minor
wave d. within its triangle towards 27.36+/-. Those levels would maintain the
ratio around 76.00+/- so no big change until much later next year. Meanwhile,
we’re still exploring Crude oil’s alternate counts since July’s mysterious… Read
full summary in our latest report!



show less



LATEST ARTICLES


THE ‘INFLATION-POP’ - PRECIOUS METALS SET TO SURGE INTO RECORD HIGHS

Bloomberg hosted a Precious Metals Forum on 23rd May and WaveTrack International
was invited to present our latest Elliott Wave price-forecasts. The event was
sponsored by the CME Group and Johnson Matthey.

read more


OUTLOOK & FORECASTS FOR 2013


HIGHLIGHTS:

 * The 2013 outlook for global stock indices and commodities remains very
   bullish and is entering the last stage of the ‘inflation-pop’ phase that
   originally began from the post-financial crisis lows of 2008/09
 * This is expected to ignite another period of asset buying that increases
   risk-on multiples by a minimum 45% per cent and in some cases as much as
   +300% per cent, sending some global stock indices and commodities into record
   highs
 * Shorter-term, there is a danger of a downward adjustment of -5-8% per cent,
   but then sharp price advances to resume
 * Commodity related stock indices and equities are expected to outperform as a
   sector during the next 12-16 months
 * Banking stocks to participate, but most will not exceed their pre-financial
   crisis highs

read more


THE NAVIGATOR OUTLOOK 2012

As always, this year’s Outlook & Forecasts for the next twelve months are
created applying the Elliott Wave Principle for the assessment of pattern and
price amplitude, also Cycle Analysis for the timing of the larger trend
reversals. Not always do they jive, but they seldom contradict and more often,
provide valuable insights into one or two variations of a similar theme within a
seemingly unlimited amount of possibilities.

Even though this report outlines the price expectancy of all asset classes for
2012 it will also illustrate how this coming year fits together into the larger
picture. The reasoning behind this is to move away from the 'black-box'
stereotype and show you why the results relate to their specific outcome.
Overall, this report deals with two different time-periods – long-term and
inter-mediate term. Long-term refers to the uptrends from the Great Depression
of 1932 onwards and inter-mediate term for the coming year and into 2013.

read more


HOW TO INTERPRET EACH ELLIOTT WAVE CHART

What do you see when looking at an Elliott Wave chart? Just lots of numbers &
letters overlaying the price data? – or do you see definable patterns that are
immediately familiar? And how do you interpret the results of the analysis and
put it into an effective trading plan? Read on and test your own knowledge of
these subjects and much more...

read more


A COMMODITY SUPER-CYCLE?

Recent reports of a Commodity Super-Cycle grabbed my attention for two reasons –
first, this is diametrically different to the outlook I foresee developing
during the next decade, and second, this terminology has surfaced at a time when
various commodities have already undergone large percentage gains measured from
the Feb.'09 lows

read more


THE 'DEFLATIONARY SCENARIO'

The primary theme of this presentation focuses on a 'Deflationary' outlook,
forecast as the dominant aspect continuing during the next decade. This is
derived from analysing the Elliott Wave pattern structure of the CRB (Cash)
Index during its expansionary period of the last 76 years.

read more


THE 'FLASH CRASH'

The Update Alert! messaging service of EW-Forecast Plus responded to the sharp
collapse and the following recovery of US stock indices during the volatile
trading session on the 6th May.

read more


OUTLOOK FORECASTS FOR 2011

This analysis centres around the S&P 500 that is used as a proxy for other
global indices. The great bull market beginning from the 1932 low ends 68 years
later in 2000 - other global indices peaked later in 2007 (75yrs) – some still
continuing to progress.

read more

PRODUCTS & SERVICES


EW FORECASTS

Our Flagship Institutional Service updating multiple time-frames across all
asset classes...

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LIVE UPDATE FORUM

A unique advisory service that links you 'Live' in a private online meeting room
with our analysts...

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WTI ALERTS

'Register' now and receive the latest EW-Product-Alerts via e-mail with updates
for WaveSearch & up-coming tutorials and seminars.

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TESTIMONIALS

"I just wanted to congratulate you on the EW-Compass reports launch. I'd say all
the work you've all put into this project is well worth it… never cease to be
amazed by the harmony that you find between the fib relations you highlight and
the Elliott count you propose. You are a true descendant of RNE, and I'm quite
sure he'd have really loved to see your work… Another aspect that sets you apart
is your deep knowledge of the how and why of pattern relationships between
higher & lower degrees of the same price action. So much to learn there". - T.S.

read more

ELLIOTT WAVE PATTERN


INTRODUCTION TO THE WAVE PRINCIPLE

The Wave Principle, often referred to as Elliott Wave is a unique methodology
that applies Natures Laws, those encompassing the Natural Sciences and Universal
Geometric Philosophies to the financial markets. It allows us to view price
fluctuations as an organised process that can be non-linearly extrapolated to
gain a glimpse into the future direction of trends, counter-trends and
amplitudes on any market or contract traded around the world.

read more


EXPANDING DIAGONAL PATTERNS - DO THEY ACTUALLY EXIST? - ELLIOTT'S INCLUSION OF
THE CONTRACTING DIAGONAL

In R.N.Elliott's original treatise of "The Wave Principle (1938)", he introduces
us to diagonal patterns for the first time on page 21. Under the heading,
Triangles, Elliott describes the difference between horizontal triangles that
represent hesitation within an ongoing, progressive trend and diagonal triangles
that form the concluding 5th wave of a larger five wave sequence.

read more

NEWS & EVENTS


TRADERSWORLD ONLINE EXPO #12 – STARTS 12TH NOVEMBER 2012

Peter Goodburn will be presenting his latest Elliott Wave analysis at the 12th
Trader Expo held online for 7 weeks starting on 12th November 2012 and ending in
the new year on 6th January 2013. Peter’s presentation is entitled “Elliott Wave
Price Forecasts & Cycle Projections – Three Phases of the 18 Year Bear Market ~
‘Shock–Pop–Drop’” for more information visit http://tradersworldonlineexpo.com/

read more


ANNOUNCEMENT: 123RD BATTERY COUNCIL & TRADE FAIR CONVENTION IN MIAMI, 1-4 MAY
2011

Peter Goodburn will be presenting his latest Elliott Wave analysis at the 123rd
Trade Fair Convention of the Battery Council in Miami, 1-4 May 2011. Peter’s
presentation is entitled "The Historical Price Trend of Lead and Applying the
Elliott Wave Principle to plot its course into the Future".

read more

News Alerts
 * Tue, 10 Aug 2021
   Currencies + Interest Rates Mid-Year Video Update 2021
 * Wed, 14 Jul 2021
   New Video! COMMODITIES CORRECTION AHEAD
 * Thu, 24 Jun 2021
   Stock Indices Mid-Year Video Update
 * Wed, 24 Mar 2021
   March ’20 Zig Zag Advances Completing 1st Wave Uptrends

Read more on our Blog




ELLIOTT WAVE PRICE-FORECAST UPDATES


FIXED INCOME

 * FUTURES (US)
   * 
     T-Note 10yr
   * 
     EuroDlr3mth
 * YIELDS (US)
   * 
     US 30yr yield
   * 
     US 10yr yield
   * 
     US 5yr yield
   * 
     US 2yr yield
 * FUTURES (EURO)
   * 
     Bund 10yr
   * 
     Bobl 5yr
   * 
     Schatz 2yr
   * 
     U.K.Long Gilt 10yr
 * YIELDS (EURO)
   * 
     De 10yr yield
   * 
     De 5yr yield
   * 
     De 2yr yield
   * 
     UK 10yr Gilt
   * 
     ESP 10yr yield
   * 
     ITY 10yr yield
   * 
     GR10yr Yield
 * FUTURES (WORLD)
 * YIELDS (WORLD)
   * 
     Japan 10yr Yield
   * 
     Canadian 10yr Yield
   * 
     Australian 10yr Yield
 * SPREADS
   * 
     De 2-10yr Spread
   * 
     US 2-10yr Spread
   * 
     US10yr-De10yr Spread
   * 
     IT10yr-DE10yr Spread
   * 
     US3mth Eurodollar-US10yr
 * CDS INDICES


CURRENCIES (FX)

 * US$ DOLLAR PAIRS - TIER 1
   * 
     Euro/US$
   * 
     Stlg/US$
   * 
     US$/Yen
   * 
     AUD/US$
   * 
     US Dollar Index
   * 
     US$/CHF
   * 
     US$/CAD
   * 
     US$/CNY
   * 
     NZD/US$
   * 
     Bitcoin
 * US$ DOLLAR PAIRS - TIER 2
   * 
     US$/BRL
   * 
     US$/ZAR
   * 
     US$/MXN
   * 
     US$/RUB
   * 
     US$/PLZ
   * 
     US$/CZK
   * 
     US$/NOK
   * 
     US$/TRY
   * 
     US$/ILS
 * CURRENCY CROSSES
   * 
     Euro/Stlg
   * 
     Euro/Yen
   * 
     AUD/Yen
   * 
     Stlg/Yen
   * 
     Stlg/AUD
   * 
     Euro/CZK
   * 
     Euro/NOK
   * 
     Euro/PLZ
   * 
     AUD/CAD
   * 
     AUD/NOK
   * 
     CAD/NOK


COMMODITIES

 * BULLION (LBMA)
   * 
     Gold US$
   * 
     Silver US$
   * 
     Gold-Silver Ratio
   * 
     Platinum US$
   * 
     Palladium US$
   * 
     Platinum/Gold Ratio
 * ENERGY
   * 
     Crude Oil
   * 
     Brent Oil
   * 
     Natural Gas
 * INDICES - ETF'S
   * 
     CRB Cash Index
   * 
     XLE Energy SPDR
   * 
     GDX - Gold Miners Index
   * 
     XAU Gold/Silver Index
   * 
     XME M&M Index
   * 
     XOP Oil&Gas Index
   * 
     CRB-Reuters-Jefferies
 * BASE METALS - LME 3MTH
   * 
     Aluminium 3mth US$
   * 
     Copper 3mth US$
   * 
     Lead 3mth US$
   * 
     Zinc 3mth US$
   * 
     Nickel 3mth US$
   * 
     Tin 3mth US$
   * 
     Iron Ore - USGS
   * 
     Uranium
 * EQUITIES (COMMODITIES)
   * 
     GoldCorp Inc.
   * 
     Newmont Mining Corp.
   * 
     Amer Barrick Res. Corp.
   * 
     BHP Biliton - LSE
   * 
     Freeport McMoran Inc.
   * 
     Antofagasta
   * 
     AngloGold Ashanti
   * 
     BHP Billiton - NYSE
   * 
     Vale S.A. (US$)
   * 
     Glencore
   * 
     Vale S.A. (REAL)
   * 
     Anglo American
   * 
     Agnico-Eagle Mines
   * 
     Fresnillo


STOCK INDICES

 * CASH/SPOT (US)
   * 
     Dow Jones 30 Index
   * 
     S&P 500 Index
   * 
     DJ Transports Average
   * 
     KBW Banking Index
   * 
     Nasdaq 100
   * 
     Russell 2000
   * 
     S&P 400 Mid-Cap
   * 
     Value Line Index
   * 
     DJ Utilities Average
   * 
     NYSE Composite
   * 
     NYSE FANG Index
 * CASH/SPOT (EUROPE)
   * 
     DJ EuroStoxx 50 Indx
   * 
     Xetra Dax 30 Index
   * 
     Ftse 100 Index
   * 
     MSCI Europe
   * 
     EuroStoxx Banks
   * 
     Ftse-30 Share Index
 * CASH/SPOT (WORLD)
   * 
     Nikkei 225 Index
   * 
     Hang Seng 33 Index
   * 
     Shanghai Comp. Index
   * 
     Sensex BSE India
   * 
     Bovespa Brasil
   * 
     Jakarta Composite
   * 
     India CNX Nifty 50
   * 
     Australia All Ordinaries
   * 
     Singapore Straits Times
   * 
     Russia RTS
   * 
     MSCI Emerging Markets
   * 
     MSCI BRIC
   * 
     Taiwan SE Weighted Index
   * 
     Australia ASX 200
   * 
     MSCI China
   * 
     China Enterprises
 * SECTORS (US)
   * 
     XLV - Health Care Sector
   * 
     XLY - Consumer Disc.
   * 
     XLP - Consumer Staples
   * 
     XLF Financial
   * 
     XLK Technology SPDR
   * 
     XLU Utilities Sector
   * 
     PHLX Semiconductor
   * 
     NASDAQ Biotechnology
   * 
     XLB - Materials SPDR

<< >>

INSIDE WTI

 * TRACK RECORDS
   
   
   These track-records represent a sampling of some of the price forecasts we
   have published in our various publications of the last two decades since
   WaveTrack’s early beginnings in 1992.
   
   

 * LATEST MARKET COMMENTARY
   
   
   Free bi-weekly market commentary on Stock Indices, Currencies (FX),ond &
   Commodities

 * TUTORIALS
   
   
   The Wave Principle - often referred to as Elliott Wave is a unique
   methodology that applies Natures Laws, those encompassing the Natural
   Sciences and Universal Geometric Philosophies to the financial markets.

 * PRODUCTS
   
   
   EW Forecasts - Institutional clients with a complete macro outlook of the
   major markets.

 * TUTORIALS
   
   
   Read more about - Elliott's inclusion of the Diagonal Pattern

 * PRODUCTS
   
   
   EW Compass - identifying & forecasting short-term price trends and reversal
   levels for many of the major markets including stock indices, bonds
   currencies and commodities.
   
   
   

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