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Latest News Home Election 2022



THURSDAY, OCTOBER 27

 * Wednesday, October 26
 * Tuesday, October 25
 * Monday, October 24
 * Sunday, October 23
 * Saturday, October 22
 * Friday, October 21
 * Thursday, October 20

Set this view as default? Yes No

Set this view as default? Yes No



Democrats Debate Themselves: Why Do We Suck?
John Harris, Politico
How Crime Re-Emerged as a Major Concern for Voters
Chuck DeVore, FOX News
Pennsylvania Voters Have No Good Options
David Graham, The Atlantic
The Naked Cruelty of the Fetterman Campaign
John Nolte, Breitbart
The Impeachment of Biden
Barton Gellman, The Atlantic
Biden's America Adrift
Kenin Spivak, The American Mind
Those Grade-School Test Scores Are a Really Bad Sign
Shirin Ali, Slate
Elon Musk Should Let Freedom Reign at Twitter
David Marcus, FOX News



RCP AFTERNOON EDITION

Parents Are Furious About the State of Education in U.S.
Angela Morabito, FOX News
Polarization Means There Are Limits to GOP Midterm Gains
Ed Kilgore, NY Magazine
Crime Is Out of Control--Here Is My Plan To Fix It
Mehmet Oz, RealClearPolitics
It's Vital for Democrats To Sweep Pennsylvania
Ross Barkan, The Guardian
How Fetterman Arrived at Tuesday Night's Humiliation
Salena Zito, DC Examiner
Democrats Should Focus on Cost of Living Imperative
David Dayen, Am. Prospect
A Searing Indictment of Biden Admin's Energy Policies
Robert Bryce, RealClearEnergy
It's Official: Meta Is a Disaster
John Herrman, New York Magazine
Corrupt Media Don't Care How Much Money They Lose
Mollie Hemingway, Federalist
Smack Dab in the Middle: On the Evenly Divided Electorate
Eric Felten, RCP
Tim Robbins and the Lost Art of Finding Common Ground
Matt Taibbi, Substack
Pennsylvania (InsiderAdvantage): Senate: Oz (R) +3 | Governor: Shapiro (D) +8



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More Videos
01:41
John Fetterman's Plan To Lower The Cost Of Higher Education: "Significant
Investment," "Reduce The Tuition"
03:03
Sen. Coons: Fetterman Debate "Was Hard To Watch;" "His Answers Were At Times
Halting, But Authentic"
03:36
NSC Spokesman Kirby: There Was No "Meltdown" In The White House Over OPEC
Production Cuts
02:58
Ted Cruz Debates "The View" Hosts About Election Legitimacy: "Hillary Clinton
Said 2016 Was Illegitimate"
05:05
Lee Zeldin: We Can Beat Unlikeable And Corrupt New York Gov. Kathy Hochul
05:52
RCP's Wegmann: If You Overemphasize Social Issues At The Expense Of Fiscal
Issues, You Come Across As Fringe

Close





 




RCP MORNING EDITION

GOP Support Rises, With Inflation Driving Voters
Page & Elbeshbishi, USA Today
The Switcheroos of the Two Parties
Victor Davis Hanson, American Greatness
A Big Unknown: Can Democrats Outrun the Biden Admin?
Harry Enten, CNN
How Did Biden Admin Botch the Energy Situation This Badly?
Larry Kudlow, FOX Biz
Difficult Truths Laid Bare in the Fetterman-Oz Debate
Li Zhou, Vox
An Excruciating, Disqualifying Debate in Pennsylvania
Guy Benson, Townhall
Colleges Should Bring Back Testing Requirements
Michael Bloomberg, Bloomberg
A Reckoning Is Here as Children's Test Scores Decline
Bethany Mandel, Deseret News
Can Parents Turn Michigan Red Like They Did Virginia?
Shawn Fleetwood, Federalist
Students Lost a Lot of Ground. Overreacting Won't Help
Sara Rimm-Kaufman, LAT
What Border Crisis? What Biden Fiasco?
Tim Graham, NewsBusters
Democrats Race To Save a Blue State Gone Purple
Matthew Schantin, RealClearPolitics
Hochul on the Ropes in New York
Seth Barron, City Journal
Targeting Blumenthal & Schumer, PAC Aims To Expand Map
Seamus Brennan, AMAC
There's Nothing Left To Stop Musk From Owning Twitter
Kevin Dugan, NY Magazine
The Left's New Gatekeepers--and How To Stop Them
Michael Lind, Tablet Magazine
Zero Emissions From Electric Cars? That Claim Has Zero Basis
John Murawski, RCI
Latest Polls: GA Sen/Gov, OR Gov, OH Sen/Gov, CT-5, Generic, AZ Sen/Gov




EDITORIALS

Democrats Disconnected From Voters' Concerns
Boston Herald
Learning Loss Is Bad Everywhere, and Demands Action
Los Angeles Times
Fetterman Should in Good Conscience Drop Out of PA Race
New York Post
How the World Should Deal With Xi's New China
Bloomberg



MORE FROM REAL CLEAR

Investigations: Zero Emissions From EVs? Not So Much - John Murawski, RCI
Markets: BlackRock Conflates, Confuses on Energy - Scott Shepard, RCMarkets
Policy: Rise of the Biomedical Security State - Aaron Kheriaty, RealClearPolicy
Life: The Newest Trend in Music Is Not New at All - Trish Rooney, IH
Sports: Why This World Series Is Throwback to '50s - Evan Bleier

RealClearPolitics Election 2022
Senate House Governor
Battle for Senate
46 Dem 6 GOP 48
RCP Projection
GOP +3 Pick-Ups

Top Senate Races RCP Average PennsylvaniaFetterman (D) +0.3New HampshireHassan
(D) +3.4North CarolinaBudd (R) +4.5NevadaLaxalt (R) +1.2ArizonaKelly (D)
+1.5GeorgiaWalker (R) +0.6OhioVance (R) +2.2WisconsinJohnson (R)
+3.3ColoradoBennet (D) +7.5WashingtonMurray (D) +8.5FloridaRubio (R)
+7.4ConnecticutBlumenthal (D) +11.0

RCP Senate Projection | Latest Senate Polls
Generic Ballot
Republicans +2.3
RCP Projection
GOP +12 to +49 | Avg +30

RCP House Map | Latest House Polls
Governor Races
14 Dem 12 GOP 24
RCP Projection
GOP +3 Pick-Ups

Top Governor Races RCP Average MichiganWhitmer (D) +3.1WisconsinEvers (D)
+0.5MinnesotaWalz (D) +2.5ArizonaLake (R) +3.2NevadaLombardo (R) +2.4New
MexicoLujan Grisham (D) +3.5OregonDrazan (R) +1.7New YorkHochul (D)
+6.1PennsylvaniaShapiro (D) +6.7GeorgiaKemp (R) +7.4TexasAbbott (R)
+8.3FloridaDeSantis (R) +11.2

RCP Governor Projection | Latest Governor Polls




VIDEOS

HOT MIC: Schumer Tells Biden "The State Where We're Going Downhill Is Georgia"

Joy Reid on Herschel Walker, Tim Scott: Lindsey Graham Showed Republicans Don't
Want A "Thinking Black Senator"
Buzzfeed
Lindsey Graham: Herschel Walker Winning Would Change The Entire Narrative Of The
Left That Republicans Are Racist
Buzzfeed
Biden: Gas Prices Are Down From Over $5 When I Took Office


REAL CLEAR POLITICS ELECTION 2022

RealClearPolitics - Battle for Senate
RCP Senate Map

46 Dem 6 Toss Ups GOP 48


RCP Senate Projection

47 Dem (GOP +3) GOP 53



RCP Average 12 Days to Election Day 12 Days to Election
Polls Underestimated
Adjusted 10/27
Poll Average
Adjusted 10/27
Poll Average
Adjusted 10/27
Poll Average
Adjusted 10/27
Poll Average
RCP Projection
November 8
RCP Projection
November 8
RCP Projection
November 8
RCP Projection
November 8 State RCP Average 2020 2018 2016 Polls Under-
estimated Pennsylvania Pennsylvania Penn. PA Fetterman +0.3 Fetterman +0.3
Fetterman +0.3 Fetterman +0.3 Biden +4.9 D +4.9 D +4.9 Casey +16.0 D +16.0 D
+16.0 Clinton +5.0 D +5.0 D +5.0 GOP 4.2 Oz +3.9 Oz +3.9 Oz +3.9 Oz +3.9 GOP
Hold New Hampshire New Hampshire N.H. NH Hassan +3.4 Hassan +3.4 Hassan +3.4
Hassan +3.4 Biden +11.0 D +11.0 D +11.0 - - - Clinton +6.5 D +6.5 D +6.5 GOP 5.0
Bolduc +1.6 Bolduc +1.6 Bolduc +1.6 Bolduc +1.6 Dem Hold Nevada Nevada Nevada NV
Laxalt +1.2 Laxalt +1.2 Laxalt +1.2 Laxalt +1.2 Biden +5.2 D +5.2 D +5.2 Heller
+1.7 R +1.7 R +1.7 Clinton +2.0 D +2.0 D +2.0 Dem 1.5 Masto +0.3 Masto +0.3
Masto +0.3 Masto +0.3 GOP Pick Up Arizona Arizona Arizona AZ Kelly +1.5 Kelly
+1.5 Kelly +1.5 Kelly +1.5 Biden +3.2 D +3.2 D +3.2 McSally +0.7 R +0.7 R +0.7
Clinton +1.5 D +1.5 D +1.5 GOP 1.6 Masters +0.1 Masters +0.1 Masters +0.1
Masters +0.1 GOP Pick Up Georgia Georgia Georgia GA Walker +0.6 Walker +0.6
Walker +0.6 Walker +0.6 Biden +0.8 D +0.8 D +0.8 - - - Trump +2.8 R +2.8 R +2.8
GOP 1.4 Walker +2.0 Walker +2.0 Walker +2.0 Walker +2.0 12/6 Runoff North
Carolina North Carolina N.C. NC Budd +4.5 Budd +4.5 Budd +4.5 Budd +4.5 Biden
+1.8 D +1.8 D +1.8 - - - Clinton +2.4 D +2.4 D +2.4 GOP 4.6 Budd +9.1 Budd +9.1
Budd +9.1 Budd +9.1 GOP Hold Florida Florida Florida FL Rubio +7.4 Rubio +7.4
Rubio +7.4 Rubio +7.4 Biden +2.1 D +2.1 D +2.1 Nelson +3.2 D +3.2 D +3.2 Clinton
+1.2 D +1.2 D +1.2 GOP 3.7 Rubio +11.1 Rubio +11.1 Rubio +11.1 Rubio +11.1 GOP
Hold Washington Washington Washington WA Murray +8.5 Murray +8.5 Murray +8.5
Murray +8.5 Biden +21.5 D +21.5 D +21.5 - - - Clinton +13.0 D +13.0 D +13.0 Dem
1.0 Murray +9.5 Murray +9.5 Murray +9.5 Murray +9.5 Dem Hold Wisconsin Wisconsin
Wisconsin WI Johnson +3.3 Johnson +3.3 Johnson +3.3 Johnson +3.3 Biden +4.6 D
+4.6 D +4.6 Baldwin +10.6 D +10.6 D +10.6 Clinton +6.7 D +6.7 D +6.7 GOP 3.7
Johnson +7.0 Johnson +7.0 Johnson +7.0 Johnson +7.0 GOP Hold Ohio Ohio Ohio OH
Vance +2.2 Vance +2.2 Vance +2.2 Vance +2.2 Trump +0.6 R +0.6 R +0.6 Brown +12.4
D +12.4 D +12.4 Trump +1.1 R +1.1 R +1.1 GOP 6.9 Vance +9.1 Vance +9.1 Vance
+9.1 Vance +9.1 GOP Hold

RealClearPolitics - Battle for Senate
RCP Senate Map

46 Dem 6 Toss Ups GOP 48


RCP Senate Projection

47 Dem (GOP +3) GOP 53







REAL CLEAR POLITICS ELECTION 2022

RealClearPolitics - Battle for Governor
RCP Governor Map

14 Dem 12 Toss Ups GOP 24


RCP Governor Projection

19 Dem (GOP +3) GOP 31



RCP Average 12 Days to Election Day 12 Days to Election
Polls Underestimated
Adjusted 10/27
Poll Average
Adjusted 10/27
Poll Average
Adjusted 10/27
Poll Average
Adjusted 10/27
Poll Average
RCP Projection
November 8
RCP Projection
November 8
RCP Projection
November 8
RCP Projection
November 8 State RCP Average 2020 2018 2016 Polls Under-
estimated Arizona Arizona Arizona AZ Lake +3.2 Lake +3.2 Lake +3.2 Lake +3.2
Biden +3.2 D +3.2 D +3.2 Ducey +15.7 R +15.7 R +15.7 Clinton +1.5 D +1.5 D +1.5
GOP 2.4 Lake +5.6 Lake +5.6 Lake +5.6 Lake +5.6 GOP Hold Nevada Nevada Nevada NV
Lombardo +2.4 Lombardo +2.4 Lombardo +2.4 Lombardo +2.4 Biden +5.2 D +5.2 D +5.2
Laxalt +0.8 R +0.8 R +0.8 Clinton +2.0 D +2.0 D +2.0 Dem 0.9 Lombardo +1.5
Lombardo +1.5 Lombardo +1.5 Lombardo +1.5 GOP Pick Up New Mexico New Mexico N.M.
NM Lujan Grisham +3.5 Lujan Grisham +3.5 Grisham +3.5 Grisham +3.5 Biden +14.5 D
+14.5 D +14.5 (3-way race) (3-way) (3-way) Clinton +8.5 D +8.5 D +8.5 GOP 2.1
Grisham +1.4 Grisham +1.4 Grisham +1.4 Grisham +1.4 Dem Hold Minnesota Minnesota
Minn. MN Walz +2.5 Walz +2.5 Walz +2.5 Walz +2.5 Biden +6.0 D +6.0 D +6.0 Walz
+8.8 D +8.8 D +8.8 Clinton +5.0 D +5.0 D +5.0 Dem 0.1 Walz +2.6 Walz +2.6 Walz
+2.6 Walz +2.6 Dem Hold Wisconsin Wisconsin Wisconsin WI Evers +0.5 Evers +0.5
Evers +0.5 Evers +0.5 Biden +4.6 D +4.6 D +4.6 Evers +3.6 D +3.6 D +3.6 Clinton
+6.7 D +6.7 D +6.7 GOP 4.6 Michels +4.1 Michels +4.1 Michels +4.1 Michels +4.1
GOP Pick Up Michigan Michigan Michigan MI Whitmer +3.1 Whitmer +3.1 Whitmer +3.1
Whitmer +3.1 Biden +7.8 D +7.8 D +7.8 Whitmer +9.0 D +9.0 D +9.0 Clinton +6.0 D
+6.0 D +6.0 GOP 3.9 Dixon +0.8 Dixon +0.8 Dixon +0.8 Dixon +0.8 GOP Pick Up
Pennsylvania Pennsylvania Penn. PA Shapiro +6.7 Shapiro +6.7 Shapiro +6.7
Shapiro +6.7 Biden +4.9 D +4.9 D +4.9 Wolf +16.8 D +16.8 D +16.8 Clinton +5.0 D
+5.0 D +5.0 GOP 3.0 Shapiro +3.7 Shapiro +3.7 Shapiro +3.7 Shapiro +3.7 Dem Hold
Georgia Georgia Georgia GA Kemp +7.4 Kemp +7.4 Kemp +7.4 Kemp +7.4 Biden +0.8 D
+0.8 D +0.8 Kemp +1.6 R +1.6 R +1.6 Trump +2.8 R +2.8 R +2.8 GOP 0.9 Kemp +8.3
Kemp +8.3 Kemp +8.3 Kemp +8.3 GOP Hold Florida Florida Florida FL DeSantis +11.2
DeSantis +11.2 DeSantis +11.2 DeSantis +11.2 Biden +2.1 D +2.1 D +2.1 Gillum
+4.5 D +4.5 D +4.5 Clinton +1.2 D +1.2 D +1.2 GOP 4.2 DeSantis +15.4 DeSantis
+15.4 DeSantis +15.4 DeSantis +15.4 GOP Hold

RealClearPolitics - Battle for Governor
RCP Governor Map

14 Dem 12 Toss Ups GOP 24


RCP Governor Projection

19 Dem (GOP +3) GOP 31




REALCLEARPOLITICS WEDNESDAY

In 14 Days, the American People Face a Choice
President Joe Biden, CNN
Voters Will Hold Biden & Dems Accountable on Nov 8
Mark Penn, FOX News
Dems, on Defense in Blue States, Brace For Red Wave
Shane Goldmacher, NYT
Poll: Most Catholic Voters Don’t Share Biden’s Priorities
Philip Wegmann, RCP
Painful Debate Shows Fetterman Not Fit to Serve
John Podhoretz, New York Post
The Real Takeaway From the Oz-Fetterman Debate
Zeeshan Aleem, MSNBC
Fired-up Lee Zeldin Brings the Fight to Gov. Hochul
Michael Goodwin, NY Post
How Dems Are Holding Onto Latino Voters in Arizona
Grace Segers, TNR
Oregon Voters Say They've Lost Patience w/Dems
Josh Christenson, Free Beacon
On Crime Issue, GOP Is Lying - and They Know It
Lanny Davis, The Hill
‘SAFE-T Act’ Is Epitome of Political Hypocrisy
DaQuawn Bruce, RealClearPolitics
How Progressives' Bid To End Ukraine War Imploded
Ahmed & Bobic, HuffPost
Dems Worry Election Will Get in Way of Ukraine War
Micah Meadowcroft, TAC
Sweet Revenge: What Trump Would Do in 2nd Term
David Freedman, Newsweek
Left Presses Ahead in War Over 'Transgender' Kids
Ben Weingarten, RCI
Right-Wing Election Denier May Flip Dem AL Stronghold
Molly Olmstead, Slate
Hillary Is the Queen of Election Denial
Stephen L. Miller, Spectator World
Wisconsin (Data for Progress): Senate: Johnson (R) +5 | Gov: Michels (R) +1


PM Update

A Disatrous Debate Night for Democrats
Kaylee White, Washington Examiner
Dr. Mehmet Oz's Awful Answer on Abortion
Chris Cillizza, CNN
The Media's Cover-Up of John Fetterman
Peter Savodnik, Substack
Democrats' Working-Class Struggles Shake Nevada
Elena Schneider, Politico
Dems Must Satisfy Voters’ Priorities - Not Lament Them
Eric Levitz, NY Magazine
New Dem Midterm Strategy: Deny Crime Exists
Matt Lamb, Washington Examiner
The Crises That Overturned Our Politics
Stanley Greenberg, The American Prospect
It's Buyer's Remorse Over Joe Biden
Howie Carr, Boston Herald
Don't Count on White Women To Save Democracy
Renee Graham, Boston Globe
Dems: Only Way To Save Democracy Is 1-Party Rule
David Harsanyi, The Federalist
Kanye Is Never Coming Back From This
Andre Gee, Rolling Stone
Arizona (FOX10 | Phoenix): Governor: Lake (R) +11 | Senate: Kelly (D) +2







REAL CLEAR POLITICS ELECTION 2022

RealClearPolitics - Battle for Governor
RCP Governor Map

14 Dem 12 Toss Ups GOP 24


RCP Governor Projection

19 Dem (GOP +3) GOP 31



RCP Average 12 Days to Election Day 12 Days to Election
Polls Underestimated
Adjusted 10/27
Poll Average
Adjusted 10/27
Poll Average
Adjusted 10/27
Poll Average
Adjusted 10/27
Poll Average
RCP Projection
November 8
RCP Projection
November 8
RCP Projection
November 8
RCP Projection
November 8 State RCP Average 2020 2018 2016 Polls Under-
estimated Arizona Arizona Arizona AZ Lake +3.2 Lake +3.2 Lake +3.2 Lake +3.2
Biden +3.2 D +3.2 D +3.2 Ducey +15.7 R +15.7 R +15.7 Clinton +1.5 D +1.5 D +1.5
GOP 2.4 Lake +5.6 Lake +5.6 Lake +5.6 Lake +5.6 GOP Hold Nevada Nevada Nevada NV
Lombardo +2.4 Lombardo +2.4 Lombardo +2.4 Lombardo +2.4 Biden +5.2 D +5.2 D +5.2
Laxalt +0.8 R +0.8 R +0.8 Clinton +2.0 D +2.0 D +2.0 Dem 0.9 Lombardo +1.5
Lombardo +1.5 Lombardo +1.5 Lombardo +1.5 GOP Pick Up New Mexico New Mexico N.M.
NM Lujan Grisham +3.5 Lujan Grisham +3.5 Grisham +3.5 Grisham +3.5 Biden +14.5 D
+14.5 D +14.5 (3-way race) (3-way) (3-way) Clinton +8.5 D +8.5 D +8.5 GOP 2.1
Grisham +1.4 Grisham +1.4 Grisham +1.4 Grisham +1.4 Dem Hold Minnesota Minnesota
Minn. MN Walz +2.5 Walz +2.5 Walz +2.5 Walz +2.5 Biden +6.0 D +6.0 D +6.0 Walz
+8.8 D +8.8 D +8.8 Clinton +5.0 D +5.0 D +5.0 Dem 0.1 Walz +2.6 Walz +2.6 Walz
+2.6 Walz +2.6 Dem Hold Wisconsin Wisconsin Wisconsin WI Evers +0.5 Evers +0.5
Evers +0.5 Evers +0.5 Biden +4.6 D +4.6 D +4.6 Evers +3.6 D +3.6 D +3.6 Clinton
+6.7 D +6.7 D +6.7 GOP 4.6 Michels +4.1 Michels +4.1 Michels +4.1 Michels +4.1
GOP Pick Up Michigan Michigan Michigan MI Whitmer +3.1 Whitmer +3.1 Whitmer +3.1
Whitmer +3.1 Biden +7.8 D +7.8 D +7.8 Whitmer +9.0 D +9.0 D +9.0 Clinton +6.0 D
+6.0 D +6.0 GOP 3.9 Dixon +0.8 Dixon +0.8 Dixon +0.8 Dixon +0.8 GOP Pick Up
Pennsylvania Pennsylvania Penn. PA Shapiro +6.7 Shapiro +6.7 Shapiro +6.7
Shapiro +6.7 Biden +4.9 D +4.9 D +4.9 Wolf +16.8 D +16.8 D +16.8 Clinton +5.0 D
+5.0 D +5.0 GOP 3.0 Shapiro +3.7 Shapiro +3.7 Shapiro +3.7 Shapiro +3.7 Dem Hold
Georgia Georgia Georgia GA Kemp +7.4 Kemp +7.4 Kemp +7.4 Kemp +7.4 Biden +0.8 D
+0.8 D +0.8 Kemp +1.6 R +1.6 R +1.6 Trump +2.8 R +2.8 R +2.8 GOP 0.9 Kemp +8.3
Kemp +8.3 Kemp +8.3 Kemp +8.3 GOP Hold Florida Florida Florida FL DeSantis +11.2
DeSantis +11.2 DeSantis +11.2 DeSantis +11.2 Biden +2.1 D +2.1 D +2.1 Gillum
+4.5 D +4.5 D +4.5 Clinton +1.2 D +1.2 D +1.2 GOP 4.2 DeSantis +15.4 DeSantis
+15.4 DeSantis +15.4 DeSantis +15.4 GOP Hold

RealClearPolitics - Battle for Governor
RCP Governor Map

14 Dem 12 Toss Ups GOP 24


RCP Governor Projection

19 Dem (GOP +3) GOP 31




TRUSTWORTHY ELECTIONS

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ESSENTIAL READING

Fortifying Election Security Through Poll Worker Policy
The smooth functioning of elections relies on...
Ranked-Choice Voting: Legal Challenges and Considerations for Congress
Ranked-choice voting (RCV) is an alternative...


IN THE NEWS

 * Nicole Moeder et al., ABC News
   Ballot Paper Shortage Could Cause Problems on Election Day
 * Fred Lucas, Daily Signal
   Lawmakers Want to Know Why Pennsylvania Sent Out 240,000 Unverified Ballots


MULTIMEDIA

Are We Ready to Run Our Elections?
‘We Are Seeing a Dramatic Effort to Decrease Access to Voting in America’
The Critical Role Secretaries of State Will Play in Midterm Elections




REAL CLEAR POLITICS ELECTION 2022

RealClearPolitics - Battle for House
Generic Congressional Ballot

Republicans +2.3


RCP House Map

173 Dem 37 Toss Ups GOP 225



Date State Previous Status New StatusDems Toss Ups GOPPick-Up RangeAvg
GainAverage Gain10/27NM3NM3Leans D»»»Toss Up17337225R +12 to +49R
+30.510/27CA9CA9Leans D»»»Toss Up17337225R +12 to +49R +30.510/26KS3KS3Leans
R»»»Toss Up17535225R +12 to +47R +29.510/26MI8MI8Toss Up»»»Leans R17535225R +12
to +47R +29.510/26WI3WI3Leans R»»»Likely R17535225R +12 to +47R
+29.510/21MN2MN2Toss Up»»»Leans R17535225R +12 to +47R +29.510/21NH1NH1Toss
Up»»»Leans R17535225R +12 to +47R +29.510/21NY19NY19Toss Up»»»Leans R17535225R
+12 to +47R +29.510/21PA17PA17Toss Up»»»Leans R17535225R +12 to +47R
+29.510/21IL14IL14Leans D»»»Toss Up17535225R +12 to +47R +29.510/17CT2CT2Leans
D»»»Toss Up17638221R +8 to +46R +27.010/17GA2GA2Leans D»»»Toss Up17638221R +8 to
+46R +27.010/17PA6PA6Likely D»»»Leans D17638221R +8 to +46R
+27.010/17PA12PA12Safe D»»»Likely D17638221R +8 to +46R +27.010/17VA10VA10Likely
D»»»Leans D17638221R +8 to +46R +27.0View Full Race Change Page »

RealClearPolitics - Battle for House
Generic Congressional Ballot

Republicans +2.3


RCP House Map

173 Dem 37 Toss Ups GOP 225





POLITICAL LANDSCAPE


REPUBLICANS FIND THEIR FOOTING ON ABORTION



Earlier this week, Republican Sen. Marco Rubio stood his ground on a debate
stage at the Lake Worth campus of Palm Beach College. His opponent is seasoned
Democratic lawmaker Val Demings, a black congresswoman and former police chief,
and the discussion had turned to abortion rights – terrain that Democrats
believe favor them and give Demings and other Senate candidates a chance to
alter the exp Read More


more from Political Landscape
 * Heritage Action Cuts $1M Attack Ad Targeting Cheri Beasley
 * Laxalt Keeps It Simple, Keeps It Close in Pivotal Senate Race
 * Doubt-Free, America's Schools Warm to Climate Change Activism
 * RCI's Left-to-Right Guide to Politicized Capitalism



BIDEN ADMINISTRATION


MOST CATHOLIC VOTERS DON’T SHARE CATHOLIC PRESIDENT’S PRIORITIES



President Biden walked on stage in the dark of the Howard Theatre and declared
the coming midterms, then just three weeks away, “the most consequential
election in our history.” Insisting that abortion was on the ballot this year,
Biden promised that if Democrats kept their majorities, they would codify Roe v.
Wade in federal law. “I want to remind us all how we felt that day,” Biden told
Read More


more from Biden Administration
 * Zero Emissions From Electric Cars? That Claim Has Zero Basis
   
 * Republicans Would Love To See Biden Hit the Campaign Trail
   
 * Mollie Hemingway: By Democrat Standards, Biden Pressuring Saudis On Oil
   Prices Is An Impeachable Offense
   
 * Biden Mostly Mum on Student Debt Relief While Traveling Country
   


ANALYSIS & COMMENTARY


HANSON: THE SWITCHEROOS OF THE TWO PARTIES



Our two parties have both changed, and that explains why one will win, and one
lose in the midterm elections.The old Democrats have faded away after being
overwhelmed by radicals and socialists.Moderates who once embraced former
President Bill Clinton's opportunistic "third way" are now either irrelevant or
nonexistent.Once considered too wacky and socialist to be taken seriously,
Senator Bernie S Read More


more from Analysis & Commentary
 * Schantin: Democrats Race To Save a Blue State Gone Purple
   
 * Lipson: Violent Crime Is Driving a Red Wave
   
 * Bonjean & Rochlin: ‘Woke’ Businesses, Meet the New Republican Congress
   
 * Cortes: CDC’s Child Vaccine Move Puts Dem Candidates on the Hot Seat
   



REAL CLEAR POLITICS ELECTION 2022

 * Pennsylvania Senate - Oz vs. Fetterman - InsiderAdvantage*: Fetterman (D) 45,
   Oz (R) 48
 * Pennsylvania Governor - Mastriano vs. Shapiro - InsiderAdvantage*: Shapiro
   (D) 50, Mastriano (R) 42
 * Georgia Senate - Walker vs. Warnock - Rasmussen Reports: Walker (R) 48,
   Warnock (D) 43
 * Georgia Governor - Kemp vs. Abrams - Rasmussen Reports: Kemp (R) 51, Abrams
   (D) 41
 * Nevada Senate - Laxalt vs. Cortez Masto - Trafalgar Group (R)*: Laxalt (R)
   50, Masto (D) 46
 * Nevada Governor - Lombardo vs. Sisolak - Trafalgar Group (R)*: Lombardo (R)
   51, Sisolak (D) 44
 * Oregon Governor - Drazan vs. Kotek vs. Johnson - Trafalgar Group (R): Drazan
   (R) 42, Kotek (D) 40, Johnson (I) 13
 * Ohio Senate - Vance vs. Ryan - Cygnal (Tracking): Vance (R) 49, Ryan (D) 44
 * Ohio Governor - DeWine vs. Whaley - Cygnal (Tracking): DeWine (R) 56, Whaley
   (D) 35
 * California Governor - Dahle vs. Newsom - PPIC: Newsom (D) 55, Dahle (R) 36
 * Maryland Governor - Cox vs. Moore - Baltimore Sun*: Moore (D) 58, Cox (R) 27
 * Kansas 3rd District - Adkins vs. Davids - NY Times/Siena*: Davids (D) 55,
   Adkins (R) 41
 * Nevada 1st District - Robertson vs. Titus - NY Times/Siena: Titus (D) 47,
   Robertson (R) 47
 * New Mexico 2nd District - Herrell vs. Vasquez - NY Times/Siena: Vasquez (D)
   48, Herrell (R) 47
 * Pennsylvania 8th District - Bognet vs. Cartwright - NY Times/Siena:
   Cartwright (D) 50, Bognet (R) 44
 * Connecticut 5th District - Logan vs. Hayes - The Hill/Emerson: Logan (R) 48,
   Hayes (D) 47
 * 2022 Generic Congressional Vote - InsiderAdvantage: (R) 48, (D) 44
 * 2022 Generic Congressional Vote - USA Today/Suffolk: (R) 49, (D) 45
 * Arizona Governor - Lake vs. Hobbs - FOX 10/InsiderAdvantage: Lake (R) 54,
   Hobbs (D) 43
 * Arizona Senate - Masters vs. Kelly - FOX 10/InsiderAdvantage*: Kelly (D) 45,
   Masters (R) 43
 * Arizona Governor - Lake vs. Hobbs - Data for Progress (D)**: Lake (R) 50,
   Hobbs (D) 46
 * Arizona Senate - Masters vs. Kelly - Data for Progress (D)**: Kelly (D) 47,
   Masters (R) 47
 * Florida Senate - Rubio vs. Demings - Data for Progress (D)**: Rubio (R) 51,
   Demings (D) 44
 * Florida Governor - DeSantis vs. Crist - Data for Progress (D)**: DeSantis (R)
   54, Crist (D) 42
 * Florida Senate - Rubio vs. Demings - Univ. of North Florida: Rubio (R) 54,
   Demings (D) 43

Battle for Senate
46
Dem
6
GOP
48
Latest Senate Polls
Battle for House
173
Dem
37
GOP
225
Latest House Polls
2022 Governor Races
14
Dem
12
GOP
24
Latest Governor Polls


TODAY'S TOPICS

 * Economy
   * U.S. Mortgage Rates Top 7% for the First Time Since 2002
   * Economy Returned to Growth in Q3, But Recession Fears Persist
   * Meta Shares Plunge 23% on Missed Earnings, Big Spending on Metaverse
 * Battle for Senate
   * Nevada (Trafalgar): Laxalt +4
   * Pennsylvania (InAdv): Oz (R) +3
   * Georgia (Ras): Walker (R) +5
   * Arizona (FOX10): Kelly (D) +2
   * Ohio (Cygnal): Vance +5
   * RCP Projection: GOP +3 | 53R, 47D
 * 2022 Election
   * New Polling Shows Catholic Voters May Hold Key in Six Swing States
   * Schumer to Biden: 'The State Where We're Going Downhill Is GA'
   * Oregon Might Elect Its First Republican Governor in 40 Years
   * House Democrats Rush To Defend Their Record on Crime
   * Republicans Target a Top House Democrat as Winds Shift to the Right
 * State House Battle
   * Oregon (Trafalgar): Drazan (R) +2
   * Pennsylvania (IA): Shaprio (D) +8
   * Georgia (Ras): Kemp (R) +10
   * RCP Projection: GOP +3 | 31R, 19D
 * Biden Administration
   * 1.8 Million More Illegal Immigrants in US Since Start of Biden Admin
   * Biden Zeroes In On Economic Message as Campaign Winds Down
   * Biden's Low Job Approval Ratings Weigh On Undecided Voters
   * Biden Tells Trans Activist Restrictions on Treatment for Kids Is 'Immoral'
 * Political Landscape
   * Elon Musk Now in Charge of Twitter
   * Lake Shames Media for Coverage of Break-In at Hobbs Campaign HQ
   * Mayra Flores Responds After Being Rejected From Hispanic Caucus
   * Sen. Robert Menendez (D-NJ) Under Federal Criminal Investigation
   * Facebook Slapped With Largest Campaign Finance Fine in History
   
 * THE RCP TAKEAWAY PODCAST
 * CARL CANNON'S AM NOTE

 * Real Clear Politics
   * Events
     
   * RCP on Twitter
   * RCP on Facebook

Most Recent by RCP
 * Most Catholic Voters Don’t Share Catholic President’s Priorities
   -Philip Wegmann
 * North America Goes South: The Plan To Dismantle USA
   -Frank Miele
 * Republicans Find Their Footing on Abortion
   -Susan Crabtree
 * Heritage Action Super PAC Cuts $1M Attack Ad Targeting Beasley
   -Philip Wegmann
 * Midterms Just Bump in the Road for Mainstream Propagandists
   -J. Peder Zane
 * Will GOP Call for Calm and Peace on Election Day?
   -A.B. Stoddard

Our Writers

Tom Bevan
Carl M. Cannon
Susan Crabtree
Philip Wegmann
Sean Trende
A.B. Stoddard

 * Most Read
   * Last 24 Hours
   * Difficult Truths Laid Bare in the Fetterman-Oz Debate
     - Li Zhou, Vox
   * Democrats Race To Save a Blue State Gone Purple
     - Matthew Schantin, RealClearPolitics
   * The Switcheroos of the Two Parties
     - Victor Davis Hanson, American Greatness
   * How Fetterman Arrived at Tuesday Night's Humiliation
     - Salena Zito, DC Examiner
   * Last 7 Days
   * Senate Forecast: 3 Key States Slipping Away From Dems
     - Ryan King, DC Examiner
   * A Disatrous Debate Night for Democrats
     - Kaylee White, Washington Examiner
   * How Big Will the Red Wave Be?
     - Josh Hammer, The American Spectator


 * 
 * 

RealClearPolitics Election 2022
Senate House Governor
Battle for Senate
46 Dem 6 GOP 48
RCP Projection
GOP +3 Pick-Ups

Top Senate Races RCP Average PennsylvaniaFetterman (D) +0.3New HampshireHassan
(D) +3.4North CarolinaBudd (R) +4.5NevadaLaxalt (R) +1.2ArizonaKelly (D)
+1.5GeorgiaWalker (R) +0.6OhioVance (R) +2.2WisconsinJohnson (R)
+3.3ColoradoBennet (D) +7.5WashingtonMurray (D) +8.5FloridaRubio (R)
+7.4ConnecticutBlumenthal (D) +11.0

RCP Senate Projection | Latest Senate Polls
Generic Ballot
Republicans +2.3
RCP Projection
GOP +12 to +49 | Avg +30

RCP House Map | Latest House Polls
Governor Races
14 Dem 12 GOP 24
RCP Projection
GOP +3 Pick-Ups

Top Governor Races RCP Average MichiganWhitmer (D) +3.1WisconsinEvers (D)
+0.5MinnesotaWalz (D) +2.5ArizonaLake (R) +3.2NevadaLombardo (R) +2.4New
MexicoLujan Grisham (D) +3.5OregonDrazan (R) +1.7New YorkHochul (D)
+6.1PennsylvaniaShapiro (D) +6.7GeorgiaKemp (R) +7.4TexasAbbott (R)
+8.3FloridaDeSantis (R) +11.2

RCP Governor Projection | Latest Governor Polls


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