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REALCLEARPOLITICS - LIVE OPINION, NEWS, ANALYSIS, VIDEO AND POLLS * Investigations * Politics * Policy * Markets * World * Defense * Energy * Health * Science * Religion * Education * Sports * History * Books & Culture * Florida * Pennsylvania * Life Subscribe × * Polls * Latest Polls * Biden Job Approval * Direction of Country * Political Leaders Favorability * Biden Approval on Issues * Election 2022 Polls * Generic Congressional Ballot * Election 2024 Polls * State of the Union Polls * Election 2022 * Latest 2022 Polls * Senate Polls * Governor Polls * House Polls * Generic Ballot * Senate Map * House Map * Governors Map * All Election Polls * Election Calendar * Video * Writers * Tom Bevan * Carl M. Cannon * Sean Trende * Susan Crabtree * Philip Wegmann * Columnist * J. Peder Zane * Bill Scher * A.B. Stoddard * Frank Miele * Contributors * Bill King * Jared D. Carl * L. Sandy Maisel * Richard Porter * Luis Farias * Ann Ravel * Jessica Curtis * Wendell L. 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Green * Peter Berkowitz * Myra Adams * Joel Kotkin * Opinion Research * Newsletters * Podcast * Publishing * Speakers * Donate Subscribe Login 55°F Fog in Kitanomarukoen Search for weather location Full Forecast › * Investigations * Politics * Policy * Markets * World * Defense * Energy * Health * Science * Religion * Education * Sports * History * Books & Culture * Florida * Pennsylvania * Life Latest News Home Election 2022 TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 1 * Monday, October 31 * Sunday, October 30 * Saturday, October 29 * Friday, October 28 * Thursday, October 27 * Wednesday, October 26 * Tuesday, October 25 Set this view as default? Yes No Set this view as default? Yes No Amid 'Polycrisis,' Midterms More Critical Than Ever Katrina vanden Heuvel, The Nation Voters Prepare To Throw Democrats Out of Office Roger Kimball, Epoch Times If a Red Wave Hits New York, Blame Andrew Cuomo Alexander Sammon, Slate What the Decline in Academic Achievement Is All About Kaylee White, DC Examiner DeSantis' Popularity Among Latinos Is Democrats' Fault Julio Varela, MSNBC Libertarian Drops Out, Backs Masters in AZ Senate Race Ronald Hansen, AZ Republic Biden Voter Registration Effort Targets Likely Dem Voters Solomon/Mittelstadt, JTN Elon Musk Needs To Make Twitter Better Matthew Yglesias, Substack Collusion Between Feds, Big Tech Worse Than You Think John Davidson, Federalist What Moneyball-for-Everything Has Done to Culture Derek Thompson, The Atlantic Fact-Checkers Ignoring False Statements on School Closures Chandler Lasch, RCP New Hampshire (St. Anselm): Bolduc (R) +1 | RCP Projection: GOP +4 | 54R, 46D MORE FROM REAL CLEAR Energy: Inflation by Design - Daniel Turner, RealClearEnergy Policy: Florida Teachers' Union Bleeding Members - Ashley Varner, RCPolicy Books: The General and Mrs. Hemingway - Martin Dugard, RealClearBooks Life: 10 Books You Should Be Reading in November - Tobias Carroll, IH Sports: LIV Champ Made Ridiculous Amount Per Shot - Evan Bleier RECOMMENDED VIDEOS ‹‹ ›› A Precarious Senate Race for Dems in Pennsylvania ✕ A PRECARIOUS SENATE RACE FOR DEMS IN PENNSYLVANIA VIDEOS Biden: "People Who Continue To Argue The Election Was Not Real" Are Responsible For Attack On Paul Pelosi John Fetterman On Debate Performance: "I Thought It Was Important That I Show Up And I Did" Buzzfeed Brit Hume on Sununu Takedown Of Chuck Todd: He Was Right, The Issues People Care About Are Inflation And The Border Buzzfeed FNC's Bill Hemmer: "Really Tall Order" For Democrats To Keep Control Of The House, According To Latest Polls RealClearPolitics Election 2022 Senate House Governor Battle for Senate 45 Dem 7 GOP 48 RCP Projection GOP +4 Pick-Ups Top Senate Races RCP Average GeorgiaWalker (R) +1.6PennsylvaniaFetterman (D) +1.2ArizonaKelly (D) +2.5NevadaLaxalt (R) +0.4New HampshireHassan (D) +2.3WashingtonMurray (D) +4.3WisconsinJohnson (R) +3.3OhioVance (R) +2.0North CarolinaBudd (R) +4.5ColoradoBennet (D) +7.7FloridaRubio (R) +8.0ConnecticutBlumenthal (D) +11.0 RCP Senate Projection | Latest Senate Polls Generic Ballot Republicans +2.8 RCP Projection GOP +15 to +48 | Avg +31 RCP House Map | Latest House Polls Governor Races 14 Dem 12 GOP 24 RCP Projection GOP +3 Pick-Ups Top Governor Races RCP Average ArizonaLake (R) +3.0MichiganWhitmer (D) +3.6WisconsinEvers (D) +0.5NevadaLombardo (R) +1.5New MexicoLujan Grisham (D) +4.0OregonDrazan (R) +1.7MinnesotaWalz (D) +2.5TexasAbbott (R) +9.2New YorkHochul (D) +4.8PennsylvaniaShapiro (D) +9.4GeorgiaKemp (R) +7.6FloridaDeSantis (R) +12.3 RCP Governor Projection | Latest Governor Polls RCP MORNING EDITION A Precarious Senate Race for Dems in Pennsylvania Philip Wegmann, RCP Why We're Working Together To Defeat Sen. Hassan Gabbard & Bolduc, FOX News Democrats Must Tell a Better Story on the Economy Brian Katulis, Substack Just 1 in 3 Support Biden Admin's Anti-Energy Agenda Moore & Pociask, TIPP Insights How To Fix Inflation Beyond Interest Rate Hikes From the Fed Emily Stewart, Vox On Second Thought, Just Throw Plastic Away John Tierney, City Journal How Bad Will Elon Musk's Twitter Takeover Be? Arwa Mahdawi, The Guardian Musk's Difficult Fight Against Left's Censorship Bullies Piers Morgan, New York Post Why GOP Attacks on Crime Have Been Devastating for Dems Chris Cillizza, CNN How Journalists Were Trained To Lie About Fetterman Leighton Woodhouse, Tablet Remember: Polls Can't Always Detect Late Momentum Bill Scher, RealClearPolitics Red Wave? Warning Signs Are Flashing for Democrats Douglas Schoen, The Hill Merrick Garland's Department of Injustice Ben Weingarten, Newsweek Nothing Can Stop the Court From Ending Affirmative Action Lithwick & Stern, Slate Preening Over Preferences Heather Mac Donald, City Journal The Consortium Behind Democrats' Censorship Regime Glenn Greenwald, Substack Faulty FBI Data Obscures Successful Defensive Gun Use John Lott, RCP House '22: Map: 228R, 174D, 33TU | GOP Pick-Ups +15 to +48 >> Avg Gain +31 EDITORIALS Inflation Is Up, Incomes Are Down, Biden Admin Is Clueless Washington Examiner The Tricky Balancing Act for Central Banks Financial Times 1st-Time Buyers Abandon or Put Dream of Owning a Home on Hold TIPP Insights Appoint a Watchdog for Ukraine Aid Bloomberg REAL CLEAR POLITICS ELECTION 2022 RealClearPolitics - Battle for Senate RCP Senate Map 45 Dem 7 Toss Ups GOP 48 RCP Senate Projection 46 Dem (GOP +4) GOP 54 RCP Average 7 Days to Election Day 7 Days to Election Polls Underestimated Adjusted 11/1 Poll Average Adjusted 11/1 Poll Average Adjusted 11/1 Poll Average Adjusted 11/1 Poll Average RCP Projection November 8 RCP Projection November 8 RCP Projection November 8 RCP Projection November 8 State RCP Average 2020 2018 2016 Polls Under- estimated Pennsylvania Pennsylvania Penn. PA Fetterman +1.2 Fetterman +1.2 Fetterman +1.2 Fetterman +1.2 Biden +3.8 D +3.8 D +3.8 Casey +16.0 D +16.0 D +16.0 Clinton +6.0 D +6.0 D +6.0 GOP 4.1 Oz +2.9 Oz +2.9 Oz +2.9 Oz +2.9 GOP Hold New Hampshire New Hampshire N.H. NH Hassan +2.3 Hassan +2.3 Hassan +2.3 Hassan +2.3 Biden +10.4 D +10.4 D +10.4 - - - Clinton +4.7 D +4.7 D +4.7 GOP 3.8 Bolduc +1.5 Bolduc +1.5 Bolduc +1.5 Bolduc +1.5 GOP Pick Up Nevada Nevada Nevada NV Laxalt +0.4 Laxalt +0.4 Laxalt +0.4 Laxalt +0.4 Biden +4.6 D +4.6 D +4.6 Heller +1.7 R +1.7 R +1.7 Clinton +1.0 D +1.0 D +1.0 Dem 2.1 Masto +1.7 Masto +1.7 Masto +1.7 Masto +1.7 GOP Pick Up Arizona Arizona Arizona AZ Kelly +2.5 Kelly +2.5 Kelly +2.5 Kelly +2.5 Biden +2.4 D +2.4 D +2.4 Sinema +0.2 D +0.2 D +0.2 Trump +1.5 R +1.5 R +1.5 GOP 0.7 Kelly +1.8 Kelly +1.8 Kelly +1.8 Kelly +1.8 GOP Pick Up Georgia Georgia Georgia GA Walker +1.6 Walker +1.6 Walker +1.6 Walker +1.6 Trump +0.4 R +0.4 R +0.4 - - - Trump +4.0 R +4.0 R +4.0 GOP 0.2 Walker +1.8 Walker +1.8 Walker +1.8 Walker +1.8 12/6 Runoff Washington Washington Washington WA Murray +4.3 Murray +4.3 Murray +4.3 Murray +4.3 Biden +21.5 D +21.5 D +21.5 - - - Clinton +13.0 D +13.0 D +13.0 Dem 1.0 Murray +5.3 Murray +5.3 Murray +5.3 Murray +5.3 Dem Hold Wisconsin Wisconsin Wisconsin WI Johnson +3.3 Johnson +3.3 Johnson +3.3 Johnson +3.3 Biden +5.5 D +5.5 D +5.5 Baldwin +10.6 D +10.6 D +10.6 Clinton +5.7 D +5.7 D +5.7 GOP 3.7 Johnson +7.0 Johnson +7.0 Johnson +7.0 Johnson +7.0 GOP Hold Ohio Ohio Ohio OH Vance +2.0 Vance +2.0 Vance +2.0 Vance +2.0 Trump +0.6 R +0.6 R +0.6 Brown +12.0 D +12.0 D +12.0 Trump +2.5 R +2.5 R +2.5 GOP 6.3 Vance +8.3 Vance +8.3 Vance +8.3 Vance +8.3 GOP Hold North Carolina North Carolina N.C. NC Budd +4.5 Budd +4.5 Budd +4.5 Budd +4.5 Biden +0.7 D +0.7 D +0.7 - - - Clinton +0.7 D +0.7 D +0.7 GOP 3.2 Budd +7.7 Budd +7.7 Budd +7.7 Budd +7.7 GOP Hold Florida Florida Florida FL Rubio +8.0 Rubio +8.0 Rubio +8.0 Rubio +8.0 Trump +0.4 R +0.4 R +0.4 Nelson +2.0 D +2.0 D +2.0 Trump +1.0 R +1.0 R +1.0 GOP 1.8 Rubio +9.8 Rubio +9.8 Rubio +9.8 Rubio +9.8 GOP Hold RealClearPolitics - Battle for Senate RCP Senate Map 45 Dem 7 Toss Ups GOP 48 RCP Senate Projection 46 Dem (GOP +4) GOP 54 REAL CLEAR POLITICS ELECTION 2022 RealClearPolitics - Battle for Governor RCP Governor Map 14 Dem 12 Toss Ups GOP 24 RCP Governor Projection 19 Dem (GOP +3) GOP 31 RCP Average 7 Days to Election Day 7 Days to Election Polls Underestimated Adjusted 11/1 Poll Average Adjusted 11/1 Poll Average Adjusted 11/1 Poll Average Adjusted 11/1 Poll Average RCP Projection November 8 RCP Projection November 8 RCP Projection November 8 RCP Projection November 8 State RCP Average 2020 2018 2016 Polls Under- estimated Arizona Arizona Arizona AZ Lake +3.0 Lake +3.0 Lake +3.0 Lake +3.0 Biden +2.4 D +2.4 D +2.4 Ducey +14.7 R +14.7 R +14.7 Trump +1.5 R +1.5 R +1.5 GOP 1.4 Lake +4.4 Lake +4.4 Lake +4.4 Lake +4.4 GOP Hold Nevada Nevada Nevada NV Lombardo +1.5 Lombardo +1.5 Lombardo +1.5 Lombardo +1.5 Biden +4.6 D +4.6 D +4.6 Laxalt +0.8 R +0.8 R +0.8 Clinton +1.0 D +1.0 D +1.0 Dem 1.5 Tie Tie Tie Tie GOP Pick Up New Mexico New Mexico N.M. NM Lujan Grisham +4.0 Lujan Grisham +4.0 Grisham +4.0 Grisham +4.0 Biden +14.5 D +14.5 D +14.5 (3-way race) (3-way) (3-way) Clinton +7.3 D +7.3 D +7.3 GOP 1.5 Grisham +2.5 Grisham +2.5 Grisham +2.5 Grisham +2.5 Dem Hold Minnesota Minnesota Minn. MN Walz +2.5 Walz +2.5 Walz +2.5 Walz +2.5 Biden +5.2 D +5.2 D +5.2 Walz +8.8 D +8.8 D +8.8 Clinton +6.0 D +6.0 D +6.0 Dem 0.1 Walz +2.6 Walz +2.6 Walz +2.6 Walz +2.6 Dem Hold Wisconsin Wisconsin Wisconsin WI Evers +0.5 Evers +0.5 Evers +0.5 Evers +0.5 Biden +5.5 D +5.5 D +5.5 Evers +3.6 D +3.6 D +3.6 Clinton +5.7 D +5.7 D +5.7 GOP 4.5 Michels +4.0 Michels +4.0 Michels +4.0 Michels +4.0 GOP Pick Up Michigan Michigan Michigan MI Whitmer +3.6 Whitmer +3.6 Whitmer +3.6 Whitmer +3.6 Biden +9.0 D +9.0 D +9.0 Whitmer +8.2 D +8.2 D +8.2 Clinton +7.0 D +7.0 D +7.0 GOP 4.4 Dixon +0.8 Dixon +0.8 Dixon +0.8 Dixon +0.8 GOP Pick Up Pennsylvania Pennsylvania Penn. PA Shapiro +9.4 Shapiro +9.4 Shapiro +9.4 Shapiro +9.4 Biden +3.8 D +3.8 D +3.8 Wolf +16.8 D +16.8 D +16.8 Clinton +6.0 D +6.0 D +6.0 GOP 3.0 Shapiro +6.4 Shapiro +6.4 Shapiro +6.4 Shapiro +6.4 Dem Hold Georgia Georgia Georgia GA Kemp +7.6 Kemp +7.6 Kemp +7.6 Kemp +7.6 Trump +0.4 R +0.4 R +0.4 Kemp +1.4 R +1.4 R +1.4 Trump +4.0 R +4.0 R +4.0 GOP 0.1 Kemp +7.7 Kemp +7.7 Kemp +7.7 Kemp +7.7 GOP Hold Florida Florida Florida FL DeSantis +12.3 DeSantis +12.3 DeSantis +12.3 DeSantis +12.3 Trump +0.4 R +0.4 R +0.4 Gillum +3.0 D +3.0 D +3.0 Trump +1.0 R +1.0 R +1.0 GOP 2.2 DeSantis +14.5 DeSantis +14.5 DeSantis +14.5 DeSantis +14.5 GOP Hold RealClearPolitics - Battle for Governor RCP Governor Map 14 Dem 12 Toss Ups GOP 24 RCP Governor Projection 19 Dem (GOP +3) GOP 31 TRUSTWORTHY ELECTIONS Sponsored Curation Powered By: ESSENTIAL READING The Roadmap to the Official Count in the 2022 Election Election officials take a series of... Ballot Pre-Processing Policies Explained Ballot pre-processing policies allow for fast... IN THE NEWS * Jason Snead, Daily Caller A Disturbing Movement Is Picking Up Steam on the Left — Letting Noncitizens Vote * Andrea Bernstein & Ilya Marritz, ProPublica How the Biden Administration Caved to Republicans on Fighting Election Disinformation MULTIMEDIA Breaking Down Midterm Election Polls Here's How State and Local Officials Ensure Elections Are Safe and Secure 'Largest Breach of Election Integrity I've Seen' | Fairfax County Voting Debacle REAL CLEAR POLITICS ELECTION 2022 RealClearPolitics - Battle for House Generic Congressional Ballot Republicans +2.8 RCP House Map 174 Dem 33 Toss Ups GOP 228 Date State Previous Status New StatusDems Toss Ups GOPPick-Up RangeAvg GainAverage Gain11/1PA12PA12Likely D»»»Leans D17433228R +15 to +48R +31.511/1NY25NY25Leans D»»»Toss Up17433228R +15 to +48R +31.511/1NM3NM3Toss Up»»»Leans D17433228R +15 to +48R +31.511/1NY26NY26Safe D»»»Likely D17433228R +15 to +48R +31.510/31FL14FL14Safe D»»»Likely D17433228R +15 to +48R +31.510/31WA10WA10Safe D»»»Likely D17433228R +15 to +48R +31.510/30WA8WA8Toss Up»»»Leans R17433228R +15 to +48R +31.510/30NV3NV3Toss Up»»»Leans R17433228R +15 to +48R +31.510/30CT2CT2Toss Up»»»Leans D17433228R +15 to +48R +31.510/30NM1NM1Likely D»»»Leans D17433228R +15 to +48R +31.510/30CA25CA25Likely D»»»Leans D17433228R +15 to +48R +31.510/30OR5OR5Toss Up»»»Leans R17433228R +15 to +48R +31.510/29NY25NY25Likely D»»»Leans D17337225R +12 to +49R +30.510/27NM3NM3Leans D»»»Toss Up17337225R +12 to +49R +30.510/27CA9CA9Leans D»»»Toss Up17337225R +12 to +49R +30.5View Full Race Change Page » RealClearPolitics - Battle for House Generic Congressional Ballot Republicans +2.8 RCP House Map 174 Dem 33 Toss Ups GOP 228 POLITICAL LANDSCAPE A PRECARIOUS SENATE RACE FOR DEMS IN PENNSYLVANIA Overhead, two massive monitors projected all that was said that night. His words. Moderator questions. For an hour, everything appeared in real-time text via a closed captioning system set up at the request of Lt. Gov. John Fetterman, who continues his recovery from a stroke he suffered in May.Mehmet Oz never looked up.A surgeon by training and a daytime television host by reputation, the Republic Read More more from Political Landscape * Can a Republican Become California’s Top Cop? * In NY, Zeldin Takes Aim at Hochul for Dismissing Crime Problem * New Polling Shows Catholic Voters May Hold The Key in Six Swing States * Republicans Find Their Footing on Abortion BIDEN ADMINISTRATION MOST CATHOLIC VOTERS DON’T SHARE CATHOLIC PRESIDENT’S PRIORITIES President Biden walked on stage in the dark of the Howard Theatre and declared the coming midterms, then just three weeks away, “the most consequential election in our history.” Insisting that abortion was on the ballot this year, Biden promised that if Democrats kept their majorities, they would codify Roe v. Wade in federal law. “I want to remind us all how we felt that day,” Biden told Read More more from Biden Administration * Zero Emissions From Electric Cars? That Claim Has Zero Basis * DeSantis: Biden Is Waging War On Our Own Ability To Produce Energy, He Put Our Country In This Vulnerable Position * Republicans Would Love To See Biden Hit the Campaign Trail * Biden Mostly Mum on Student Debt Relief While Traveling Country ANALYSIS & COMMENTARY ZITO: HOW JOHN FETTERMAN ARRIVED AT TUESDAY NIGHT'S HUMILIATION EXPORT, Pennsylvania -- For the first time in this election cycle, most of the people sitting around the restaurant bar casually watching the debate saw the depth of the effects of the stroke Lt. Gov. John Fetterman suffered in May when he began the debate Tuesday evening with a "good night" as his opening greeting. It only got worse from there.For 60 painful minutes, the York native and Harvard Read More more from Analysis & Commentary * Scher: Remember: Polls Can’t Always Detect Late Momentum * Hanson: The Switcheroos of the Two Parties * Schantin: Democrats Race To Save a Blue State Gone Purple * Lipson: Violent Crime Is Driving a Red Wave REAL CLEAR POLITICS ELECTION 2022 * New Hampshire Senate - Bolduc vs. Hassan - St. Anselm: Hassan (D) 47, Bolduc (R) 48 * New Hampshire Governor - Sununu vs. Sherman - St. Anselm: Sununu (R) 55, Sherman (D) 37 * New Hampshire 1st District - Leavitt vs. Pappas - St. Anselm: Leavitt (R) 51, Pappas (D) 45 * New Hampshire 2nd District - Burns vs. Kuster - St. Anselm: Kuster (D) 50, Burns (R) 42 * Pennsylvania Senate - Oz vs. Fetterman - Morning Call: Fetterman (D) 47, Oz (R) 47 * Pennsylvania Governor - Mastriano vs. Shapiro - Morning Call: Shapiro (D) 54, Mastriano (R) 40 * Michigan Governor - Dixon vs. Whitmer - AmGreatness/InsiderAdvantage*: Whitmer (D) 45, Dixon (R) 45 * Washington Senate - Smiley vs. Murray - AmGreatness/InsiderAdvantage: Murray (D) 48, Smiley (R) 46 * New York Governor - Zeldin vs. Hochul - Trafalgar Group (R): Hochul (D) 48, Zeldin (R) 48 * New York Senate - Schumer vs. Pinion - Trafalgar Group (R)*: Schumer (D) 51, Pinion (R) 40 * New York Governor - Zeldin vs. Hochul - The Hill/Emerson: Hochul (D) 54, Zeldin (R) 45 * New York Senate - Schumer vs. Pinion - The Hill/Emerson: Schumer (D) 57, Pinion (R) 39 * Georgia Governor - Kemp vs. Abrams - NY Times/Siena: Kemp (R) 50, Abrams (D) 45 * Nevada Governor - Lombardo vs. Sisolak - NY Times/Siena: Lombardo (R) 49, Sisolak (D) 45 * Nevada Governor - Lombardo vs. Sisolak - USA Today/Suffolk*: Lombardo (R) 43, Sisolak (D) 43 * Nevada Senate - Laxalt vs. Cortez Masto - USA Today/Suffolk*: Laxalt (R) 44, Masto (D) 45 * Arizona Governor - Lake vs. Hobbs - NY Times/Siena: Lake (R) 48, Hobbs (D) 48 * Arizona Governor - Lake vs. Hobbs - Univision/Shaw & Co.: Lake (R) 42, Hobbs (D) 40 * Arizona Senate - Masters vs. Kelly - Univision/Shaw & Co.: Kelly (D) 44, Masters (R) 40 * Pennsylvania Governor - Mastriano vs. Shapiro - NY Times/Siena: Shapiro (D) 53, Mastriano (R) 40 * New Mexico Governor - Ronchetti vs. Lujan Grisham - The Hill/Emerson: Grisham (D) 50, Ronchetti (R) 48 * New Mexico 1st District - Holmes vs. Stansbury - The Hill/Emerson: Stansbury (D) 54, Holmes (R) 43 * New Mexico 2nd District - Herrell vs. Vasquez - The Hill/Emerson: Herrell (R) 54, Vasquez (D) 44 * New Mexico 3rd District - Johnson vs. Fernandez - The Hill/Emerson: Fernandez (D) 58, Johnson (R) 40 * Texas Governor - Abbott vs. O'Rourke - University of Houston*: Abbott (R) 53, O'Rourke (D) 40 Battle for Senate 45 Dem 7 GOP 48 Latest Senate Polls Battle for House 174 Dem 33 GOP 228 Latest House Polls 2022 Governor Races 14 Dem 12 GOP 24 Latest Governor Polls TODAY'S TOPICS * Battle for Senate * NH (St. Anselm): Bolduc (R) +1 * Barack Obama To Rally in Pittsburgh Saturday With John Fetterman * Post-Gazette Endorses Oz, Citing Fetterman's ‘Lack of Transparency' * PA (Morning Call): Race Tied at 47% * AZ: Libertarian Candidate Drops Out of Race, Endorses Blake Masters * WA: Murray, Smiley Spar in Townhall * Latest Poll: Murray 48, Smiley 46 * RCP Projection: GOP +4 | 54R, 46D * State House Battle * NY: Emerson: Hochul (D) +9 | Trafalgar: Zeldin, Holchul Tied at 48% * MI: InsiderAdv: Dixon, Whitmer Tied | Detroit News: Whitmer (D) +9 * RCP Map: 24R, 14D, 12 Toss Ups * Current Projection: GOP +3 | 31R,19D * Biden Administration * Biden Downplays Americans' Concerns on Inflation and Gas Prices * Will Rip Florida 'Mega-MAGA' Republicans in Closing Argument * Slams Oil Company Profits, Threatens Windfall Tax as Penalty * Election 2022 * Crime Opens Political Lane for GOP in Democratic New Mexico * Dems Prepare for Loss of Congress as Voters Break Late to GOP * Dems Spending Big in Blue Districts * NM Gov (Emerson): Grisham (D) +2 * All the Latest Election Polls * Battle for House * NM2: Emerson: Herrell (R) +10 | NYT/ Siena, ABJ: Vasquez (D) +1,+2 * Generic Vote (WSJ): Republicans +2 * Map: 228R, 174D, 33TU | GOP Pick-Ups +15 to +48 >> Avg. Gain +31 * Washington * Chief Justice Roberts Pauses Fight Over Trump Tax Returns * SCOTUS Rejects Graham's Request To Block GA Subpoena * Supreme Court Poised to Throw Out Affirmative Action Programs * Man Accused of Attacking Paul Pelosi Expected to Appear in Court * THE RCP TAKEAWAY PODCAST * CARL CANNON'S AM NOTE * Real Clear Politics * Events * RCP on Twitter * RCP on Facebook Most Recent by RCP * A Precarious Senate Race for Dems in Pennsylvania -Philip Wegmann * Can a Republican Become California’s Top Cop? -Susan Crabtree * Most Catholic Voters Don’t Share Catholic President’s Priorities -Philip Wegmann * North America Goes South: The Plan To Dismantle USA -Frank Miele * Republicans Find Their Footing on Abortion -Susan Crabtree * Heritage Action Super PAC Cuts $1M Attack Ad Targeting Beasley -Philip Wegmann Our Writers Tom Bevan Carl M. Cannon Susan Crabtree Philip Wegmann Sean Trende A.B. Stoddard * Most Read * Last 24 Hours * Red Wave? Warning Signs Are Flashing for Democrats - Douglas Schoen, The Hill * A Precarious Senate Race for Dems in Pennsylvania - Philip Wegmann, RCP * On Second Thought, Just Throw Plastic Away - John Tierney, City Journal * Remember: Polls Can't Always Detect Late Momentum - Bill Scher, RealClearPolitics * Last 7 Days * A Disatrous Debate Night for Democrats - Kaylee White, Washington Examiner * Is 'Secret Majority' About To Make a Big Statement? - Douglas MacKinnon, The Hill * Biden and Dems About to Reap Electoral Whirlwind - James Antle, DC Examiner * * RealClearPolitics Election 2022 Senate House Governor Battle for Senate 45 Dem 7 GOP 48 RCP Projection GOP +4 Pick-Ups Top Senate Races RCP Average GeorgiaWalker (R) +1.6PennsylvaniaFetterman (D) +1.2ArizonaKelly (D) +2.5NevadaLaxalt (R) +0.4New HampshireHassan (D) +2.3WashingtonMurray (D) +4.3WisconsinJohnson (R) +3.3OhioVance (R) +2.0North CarolinaBudd (R) +4.5ColoradoBennet (D) +7.7FloridaRubio (R) +8.0ConnecticutBlumenthal (D) +11.0 RCP Senate Projection | Latest Senate Polls Generic Ballot Republicans +2.8 RCP Projection GOP +15 to +48 | Avg +31 RCP House Map | Latest House Polls Governor Races 14 Dem 12 GOP 24 RCP Projection GOP +3 Pick-Ups Top Governor Races RCP Average ArizonaLake (R) +3.0MichiganWhitmer (D) +3.6WisconsinEvers (D) +0.5NevadaLombardo (R) +1.5New MexicoLujan Grisham (D) +4.0OregonDrazan (R) +1.7MinnesotaWalz (D) +2.5TexasAbbott (R) +9.2New YorkHochul (D) +4.8PennsylvaniaShapiro (D) +9.4GeorgiaKemp (R) +7.6FloridaDeSantis (R) +12.3 RCP Governor Projection | Latest Governor Polls Recommended Politics * Politics * Markets * World * Science * History * Future * Energy * Health * Policy * Religion * Defense * Sports * Education * Books * Investigations * Public Affairs * A Precarious Senate Race for Dems in Pennsylvania * Can a Republican Become California's Top Cop? * Conway on Clinton Campaigning for Hochul in NY: "She's Done" * Zero Emissions From Electric Cars? 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