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Latest News Home Election 2022



TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 1

 * Monday, October 31
 * Sunday, October 30
 * Saturday, October 29
 * Friday, October 28
 * Thursday, October 27
 * Wednesday, October 26
 * Tuesday, October 25

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Amid 'Polycrisis,' Midterms More Critical Than Ever
Katrina vanden Heuvel, The Nation
Voters Prepare To Throw Democrats Out of Office
Roger Kimball, Epoch Times
If a Red Wave Hits New York, Blame Andrew Cuomo
Alexander Sammon, Slate
What the Decline in Academic Achievement Is All About
Kaylee White, DC Examiner
DeSantis' Popularity Among Latinos Is Democrats' Fault
Julio Varela, MSNBC
Libertarian Drops Out, Backs Masters in AZ Senate Race
Ronald Hansen, AZ Republic
Biden Voter Registration Effort Targets Likely Dem Voters
Solomon/Mittelstadt, JTN
Elon Musk Needs To Make Twitter Better
Matthew Yglesias, Substack
Collusion Between Feds, Big Tech Worse Than You Think
John Davidson, Federalist
What Moneyball-for-Everything Has Done to Culture
Derek Thompson, The Atlantic
Fact-Checkers Ignoring False Statements on School Closures
Chandler Lasch, RCP
New Hampshire (St. Anselm): Bolduc (R) +1 | RCP Projection: GOP +4 | 54R, 46D





MORE FROM REAL CLEAR

Energy: Inflation by Design - Daniel Turner, RealClearEnergy
Policy: Florida Teachers' Union Bleeding Members - Ashley Varner, RCPolicy
Books: The General and Mrs. Hemingway - Martin Dugard, RealClearBooks
Life: 10 Books You Should Be Reading in November - Tobias Carroll, IH
Sports: LIV Champ Made Ridiculous Amount Per Shot - Evan Bleier




RECOMMENDED VIDEOS

‹‹
››
A Precarious Senate Race for Dems in Pennsylvania
 


✕




A PRECARIOUS SENATE RACE FOR DEMS IN PENNSYLVANIA





VIDEOS

Biden: "People Who Continue To Argue The Election Was Not Real" Are Responsible
For Attack On Paul Pelosi

John Fetterman On Debate Performance: "I Thought It Was Important That I Show Up
And I Did"
Buzzfeed
Brit Hume on Sununu Takedown Of Chuck Todd: He Was Right, The Issues People Care
About Are Inflation And The Border
Buzzfeed
FNC's Bill Hemmer: "Really Tall Order" For Democrats To Keep Control Of The
House, According To Latest Polls


RealClearPolitics Election 2022
Senate House Governor
Battle for Senate
45 Dem 7 GOP 48
RCP Projection
GOP +4 Pick-Ups

Top Senate Races RCP Average GeorgiaWalker (R) +1.6PennsylvaniaFetterman (D)
+1.2ArizonaKelly (D) +2.5NevadaLaxalt (R) +0.4New HampshireHassan (D)
+2.3WashingtonMurray (D) +4.3WisconsinJohnson (R) +3.3OhioVance (R) +2.0North
CarolinaBudd (R) +4.5ColoradoBennet (D) +7.7FloridaRubio (R)
+8.0ConnecticutBlumenthal (D) +11.0

RCP Senate Projection | Latest Senate Polls
Generic Ballot
Republicans +2.8
RCP Projection
GOP +15 to +48 | Avg +31

RCP House Map | Latest House Polls
Governor Races
14 Dem 12 GOP 24
RCP Projection
GOP +3 Pick-Ups

Top Governor Races RCP Average ArizonaLake (R) +3.0MichiganWhitmer (D)
+3.6WisconsinEvers (D) +0.5NevadaLombardo (R) +1.5New MexicoLujan Grisham (D)
+4.0OregonDrazan (R) +1.7MinnesotaWalz (D) +2.5TexasAbbott (R) +9.2New
YorkHochul (D) +4.8PennsylvaniaShapiro (D) +9.4GeorgiaKemp (R)
+7.6FloridaDeSantis (R) +12.3

RCP Governor Projection | Latest Governor Polls




RCP MORNING EDITION

A Precarious Senate Race for Dems in Pennsylvania
Philip Wegmann, RCP
Why We're Working Together To Defeat Sen. Hassan
Gabbard & Bolduc, FOX News
Democrats Must Tell a Better Story on the Economy
Brian Katulis, Substack
Just 1 in 3 Support Biden Admin's Anti-Energy Agenda
Moore & Pociask, TIPP Insights
How To Fix Inflation Beyond Interest Rate Hikes From the Fed
Emily Stewart, Vox
On Second Thought, Just Throw Plastic Away
John Tierney, City Journal
How Bad Will Elon Musk's Twitter Takeover Be?
Arwa Mahdawi, The Guardian
Musk's Difficult Fight Against Left's Censorship Bullies
Piers Morgan, New York Post
Why GOP Attacks on Crime Have Been Devastating for Dems
Chris Cillizza, CNN
How Journalists Were Trained To Lie About Fetterman
Leighton Woodhouse, Tablet
Remember: Polls Can't Always Detect Late Momentum
Bill Scher, RealClearPolitics
Red Wave? Warning Signs Are Flashing for Democrats
Douglas Schoen, The Hill
Merrick Garland's Department of Injustice
Ben Weingarten, Newsweek
Nothing Can Stop the Court From Ending Affirmative Action
Lithwick & Stern, Slate
Preening Over Preferences
Heather Mac Donald, City Journal
The Consortium Behind Democrats' Censorship Regime
Glenn Greenwald, Substack
Faulty FBI Data Obscures Successful Defensive Gun Use
John Lott, RCP
House '22: Map: 228R, 174D, 33TU | GOP Pick-Ups +15 to +48 >> Avg Gain +31




EDITORIALS

Inflation Is Up, Incomes Are Down, Biden Admin Is Clueless
Washington Examiner
The Tricky Balancing Act for Central Banks
Financial Times
1st-Time Buyers Abandon or Put Dream of Owning a Home on Hold
TIPP Insights
Appoint a Watchdog for Ukraine Aid
Bloomberg



REAL CLEAR POLITICS ELECTION 2022

RealClearPolitics - Battle for Senate
RCP Senate Map

45 Dem 7 Toss Ups GOP 48


RCP Senate Projection

46 Dem (GOP +4) GOP 54



RCP Average 7 Days to Election Day 7 Days to Election
Polls Underestimated
Adjusted 11/1
Poll Average
Adjusted 11/1
Poll Average
Adjusted 11/1
Poll Average
Adjusted 11/1
Poll Average
RCP Projection
November 8
RCP Projection
November 8
RCP Projection
November 8
RCP Projection
November 8 State RCP Average 2020 2018 2016 Polls Under-
estimated Pennsylvania Pennsylvania Penn. PA Fetterman +1.2 Fetterman +1.2
Fetterman +1.2 Fetterman +1.2 Biden +3.8 D +3.8 D +3.8 Casey +16.0 D +16.0 D
+16.0 Clinton +6.0 D +6.0 D +6.0 GOP 4.1 Oz +2.9 Oz +2.9 Oz +2.9 Oz +2.9 GOP
Hold New Hampshire New Hampshire N.H. NH Hassan +2.3 Hassan +2.3 Hassan +2.3
Hassan +2.3 Biden +10.4 D +10.4 D +10.4 - - - Clinton +4.7 D +4.7 D +4.7 GOP 3.8
Bolduc +1.5 Bolduc +1.5 Bolduc +1.5 Bolduc +1.5 GOP Pick Up Nevada Nevada Nevada
NV Laxalt +0.4 Laxalt +0.4 Laxalt +0.4 Laxalt +0.4 Biden +4.6 D +4.6 D +4.6
Heller +1.7 R +1.7 R +1.7 Clinton +1.0 D +1.0 D +1.0 Dem 2.1 Masto +1.7 Masto
+1.7 Masto +1.7 Masto +1.7 GOP Pick Up Arizona Arizona Arizona AZ Kelly +2.5
Kelly +2.5 Kelly +2.5 Kelly +2.5 Biden +2.4 D +2.4 D +2.4 Sinema +0.2 D +0.2 D
+0.2 Trump +1.5 R +1.5 R +1.5 GOP 0.7 Kelly +1.8 Kelly +1.8 Kelly +1.8 Kelly
+1.8 GOP Pick Up Georgia Georgia Georgia GA Walker +1.6 Walker +1.6 Walker +1.6
Walker +1.6 Trump +0.4 R +0.4 R +0.4 - - - Trump +4.0 R +4.0 R +4.0 GOP 0.2
Walker +1.8 Walker +1.8 Walker +1.8 Walker +1.8 12/6 Runoff Washington
Washington Washington WA Murray +4.3 Murray +4.3 Murray +4.3 Murray +4.3 Biden
+21.5 D +21.5 D +21.5 - - - Clinton +13.0 D +13.0 D +13.0 Dem 1.0 Murray +5.3
Murray +5.3 Murray +5.3 Murray +5.3 Dem Hold Wisconsin Wisconsin Wisconsin WI
Johnson +3.3 Johnson +3.3 Johnson +3.3 Johnson +3.3 Biden +5.5 D +5.5 D +5.5
Baldwin +10.6 D +10.6 D +10.6 Clinton +5.7 D +5.7 D +5.7 GOP 3.7 Johnson +7.0
Johnson +7.0 Johnson +7.0 Johnson +7.0 GOP Hold Ohio Ohio Ohio OH Vance +2.0
Vance +2.0 Vance +2.0 Vance +2.0 Trump +0.6 R +0.6 R +0.6 Brown +12.0 D +12.0 D
+12.0 Trump +2.5 R +2.5 R +2.5 GOP 6.3 Vance +8.3 Vance +8.3 Vance +8.3 Vance
+8.3 GOP Hold North Carolina North Carolina N.C. NC Budd +4.5 Budd +4.5 Budd
+4.5 Budd +4.5 Biden +0.7 D +0.7 D +0.7 - - - Clinton +0.7 D +0.7 D +0.7 GOP 3.2
Budd +7.7 Budd +7.7 Budd +7.7 Budd +7.7 GOP Hold Florida Florida Florida FL
Rubio +8.0 Rubio +8.0 Rubio +8.0 Rubio +8.0 Trump +0.4 R +0.4 R +0.4 Nelson +2.0
D +2.0 D +2.0 Trump +1.0 R +1.0 R +1.0 GOP 1.8 Rubio +9.8 Rubio +9.8 Rubio +9.8
Rubio +9.8 GOP Hold

RealClearPolitics - Battle for Senate
RCP Senate Map

45 Dem 7 Toss Ups GOP 48


RCP Senate Projection

46 Dem (GOP +4) GOP 54









REAL CLEAR POLITICS ELECTION 2022

RealClearPolitics - Battle for Governor
RCP Governor Map

14 Dem 12 Toss Ups GOP 24


RCP Governor Projection

19 Dem (GOP +3) GOP 31



RCP Average 7 Days to Election Day 7 Days to Election
Polls Underestimated
Adjusted 11/1
Poll Average
Adjusted 11/1
Poll Average
Adjusted 11/1
Poll Average
Adjusted 11/1
Poll Average
RCP Projection
November 8
RCP Projection
November 8
RCP Projection
November 8
RCP Projection
November 8 State RCP Average 2020 2018 2016 Polls Under-
estimated Arizona Arizona Arizona AZ Lake +3.0 Lake +3.0 Lake +3.0 Lake +3.0
Biden +2.4 D +2.4 D +2.4 Ducey +14.7 R +14.7 R +14.7 Trump +1.5 R +1.5 R +1.5
GOP 1.4 Lake +4.4 Lake +4.4 Lake +4.4 Lake +4.4 GOP Hold Nevada Nevada Nevada NV
Lombardo +1.5 Lombardo +1.5 Lombardo +1.5 Lombardo +1.5 Biden +4.6 D +4.6 D +4.6
Laxalt +0.8 R +0.8 R +0.8 Clinton +1.0 D +1.0 D +1.0 Dem 1.5 Tie Tie Tie Tie GOP
Pick Up New Mexico New Mexico N.M. NM Lujan Grisham +4.0 Lujan Grisham +4.0
Grisham +4.0 Grisham +4.0 Biden +14.5 D +14.5 D +14.5 (3-way race) (3-way)
(3-way) Clinton +7.3 D +7.3 D +7.3 GOP 1.5 Grisham +2.5 Grisham +2.5 Grisham
+2.5 Grisham +2.5 Dem Hold Minnesota Minnesota Minn. MN Walz +2.5 Walz +2.5 Walz
+2.5 Walz +2.5 Biden +5.2 D +5.2 D +5.2 Walz +8.8 D +8.8 D +8.8 Clinton +6.0 D
+6.0 D +6.0 Dem 0.1 Walz +2.6 Walz +2.6 Walz +2.6 Walz +2.6 Dem Hold Wisconsin
Wisconsin Wisconsin WI Evers +0.5 Evers +0.5 Evers +0.5 Evers +0.5 Biden +5.5 D
+5.5 D +5.5 Evers +3.6 D +3.6 D +3.6 Clinton +5.7 D +5.7 D +5.7 GOP 4.5 Michels
+4.0 Michels +4.0 Michels +4.0 Michels +4.0 GOP Pick Up Michigan Michigan
Michigan MI Whitmer +3.6 Whitmer +3.6 Whitmer +3.6 Whitmer +3.6 Biden +9.0 D
+9.0 D +9.0 Whitmer +8.2 D +8.2 D +8.2 Clinton +7.0 D +7.0 D +7.0 GOP 4.4 Dixon
+0.8 Dixon +0.8 Dixon +0.8 Dixon +0.8 GOP Pick Up Pennsylvania Pennsylvania
Penn. PA Shapiro +9.4 Shapiro +9.4 Shapiro +9.4 Shapiro +9.4 Biden +3.8 D +3.8 D
+3.8 Wolf +16.8 D +16.8 D +16.8 Clinton +6.0 D +6.0 D +6.0 GOP 3.0 Shapiro +6.4
Shapiro +6.4 Shapiro +6.4 Shapiro +6.4 Dem Hold Georgia Georgia Georgia GA Kemp
+7.6 Kemp +7.6 Kemp +7.6 Kemp +7.6 Trump +0.4 R +0.4 R +0.4 Kemp +1.4 R +1.4 R
+1.4 Trump +4.0 R +4.0 R +4.0 GOP 0.1 Kemp +7.7 Kemp +7.7 Kemp +7.7 Kemp +7.7
GOP Hold Florida Florida Florida FL DeSantis +12.3 DeSantis +12.3 DeSantis +12.3
DeSantis +12.3 Trump +0.4 R +0.4 R +0.4 Gillum +3.0 D +3.0 D +3.0 Trump +1.0 R
+1.0 R +1.0 GOP 2.2 DeSantis +14.5 DeSantis +14.5 DeSantis +14.5 DeSantis +14.5
GOP Hold

RealClearPolitics - Battle for Governor
RCP Governor Map

14 Dem 12 Toss Ups GOP 24


RCP Governor Projection

19 Dem (GOP +3) GOP 31




TRUSTWORTHY ELECTIONS

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ESSENTIAL READING

The Roadmap to the Official Count in the 2022 Election
Election officials take a series of...
Ballot Pre-Processing Policies Explained
Ballot pre-processing policies allow for fast...


IN THE NEWS

 * Jason Snead, Daily Caller
   A Disturbing Movement Is Picking Up Steam on the Left — Letting Noncitizens
   Vote
 * Andrea Bernstein & Ilya Marritz, ProPublica
   How the Biden Administration Caved to Republicans on Fighting Election
   Disinformation


MULTIMEDIA

Breaking Down Midterm Election Polls
Here's How State and Local Officials Ensure Elections Are Safe and Secure
'Largest Breach of Election Integrity I've Seen' | Fairfax County Voting Debacle




REAL CLEAR POLITICS ELECTION 2022

RealClearPolitics - Battle for House
Generic Congressional Ballot

Republicans +2.8


RCP House Map

174 Dem 33 Toss Ups GOP 228



Date State Previous Status New StatusDems Toss Ups GOPPick-Up RangeAvg
GainAverage Gain11/1PA12PA12Likely D»»»Leans D17433228R +15 to +48R
+31.511/1NY25NY25Leans D»»»Toss Up17433228R +15 to +48R +31.511/1NM3NM3Toss
Up»»»Leans D17433228R +15 to +48R +31.511/1NY26NY26Safe D»»»Likely D17433228R
+15 to +48R +31.510/31FL14FL14Safe D»»»Likely D17433228R +15 to +48R
+31.510/31WA10WA10Safe D»»»Likely D17433228R +15 to +48R +31.510/30WA8WA8Toss
Up»»»Leans R17433228R +15 to +48R +31.510/30NV3NV3Toss Up»»»Leans R17433228R +15
to +48R +31.510/30CT2CT2Toss Up»»»Leans D17433228R +15 to +48R
+31.510/30NM1NM1Likely D»»»Leans D17433228R +15 to +48R +31.510/30CA25CA25Likely
D»»»Leans D17433228R +15 to +48R +31.510/30OR5OR5Toss Up»»»Leans R17433228R +15
to +48R +31.510/29NY25NY25Likely D»»»Leans D17337225R +12 to +49R
+30.510/27NM3NM3Leans D»»»Toss Up17337225R +12 to +49R +30.510/27CA9CA9Leans
D»»»Toss Up17337225R +12 to +49R +30.5View Full Race Change Page »

RealClearPolitics - Battle for House
Generic Congressional Ballot

Republicans +2.8


RCP House Map

174 Dem 33 Toss Ups GOP 228





POLITICAL LANDSCAPE


A PRECARIOUS SENATE RACE FOR DEMS IN PENNSYLVANIA



Overhead, two massive monitors projected all that was said that night. His
words. Moderator questions. For an hour, everything appeared in real-time text
via a closed captioning system set up at the request of Lt. Gov. John Fetterman,
who continues his recovery from a stroke he suffered in May.Mehmet Oz never
looked up.A surgeon by training and a daytime television host by reputation, the
Republic Read More


more from Political Landscape
 * Can a Republican Become California’s Top Cop?
 * In NY, Zeldin Takes Aim at Hochul for Dismissing Crime Problem
 * New Polling Shows Catholic Voters May Hold The Key in Six Swing States
 * Republicans Find Their Footing on Abortion



BIDEN ADMINISTRATION


MOST CATHOLIC VOTERS DON’T SHARE CATHOLIC PRESIDENT’S PRIORITIES



President Biden walked on stage in the dark of the Howard Theatre and declared
the coming midterms, then just three weeks away, “the most consequential
election in our history.” Insisting that abortion was on the ballot this year,
Biden promised that if Democrats kept their majorities, they would codify Roe v.
Wade in federal law. “I want to remind us all how we felt that day,” Biden told
Read More


more from Biden Administration
 * Zero Emissions From Electric Cars? That Claim Has Zero Basis
   
 * DeSantis: Biden Is Waging War On Our Own Ability To Produce Energy, He Put
   Our Country In This Vulnerable Position
   
 * Republicans Would Love To See Biden Hit the Campaign Trail
   
 * Biden Mostly Mum on Student Debt Relief While Traveling Country
   


ANALYSIS & COMMENTARY


ZITO: HOW JOHN FETTERMAN ARRIVED AT TUESDAY NIGHT'S HUMILIATION



EXPORT, Pennsylvania -- For the first time in this election cycle, most of the
people sitting around the restaurant bar casually watching the debate saw the
depth of the effects of the stroke Lt. Gov. John Fetterman suffered in May when
he began the debate Tuesday evening with a "good night" as his opening
greeting. It only got worse from there.For 60 painful minutes, the York native
and Harvard Read More


more from Analysis & Commentary
 * Scher: Remember: Polls Can’t Always Detect Late Momentum
   
 * Hanson: The Switcheroos of the Two Parties
   
 * Schantin: Democrats Race To Save a Blue State Gone Purple
   
 * Lipson: Violent Crime Is Driving a Red Wave
   



REAL CLEAR POLITICS ELECTION 2022

 * New Hampshire Senate - Bolduc vs. Hassan - St. Anselm: Hassan (D) 47, Bolduc
   (R) 48
 * New Hampshire Governor - Sununu vs. Sherman - St. Anselm: Sununu (R) 55,
   Sherman (D) 37
 * New Hampshire 1st District - Leavitt vs. Pappas - St. Anselm: Leavitt (R) 51,
   Pappas (D) 45
 * New Hampshire 2nd District - Burns vs. Kuster - St. Anselm: Kuster (D) 50,
   Burns (R) 42
 * Pennsylvania Senate - Oz vs. Fetterman - Morning Call: Fetterman (D) 47, Oz
   (R) 47
 * Pennsylvania Governor - Mastriano vs. Shapiro - Morning Call: Shapiro (D) 54,
   Mastriano (R) 40
 * Michigan Governor - Dixon vs. Whitmer - AmGreatness/InsiderAdvantage*:
   Whitmer (D) 45, Dixon (R) 45
 * Washington Senate - Smiley vs. Murray - AmGreatness/InsiderAdvantage: Murray
   (D) 48, Smiley (R) 46
 * New York Governor - Zeldin vs. Hochul - Trafalgar Group (R): Hochul (D) 48,
   Zeldin (R) 48
 * New York Senate - Schumer vs. Pinion - Trafalgar Group (R)*: Schumer (D) 51,
   Pinion (R) 40
 * New York Governor - Zeldin vs. Hochul - The Hill/Emerson: Hochul (D) 54,
   Zeldin (R) 45
 * New York Senate - Schumer vs. Pinion - The Hill/Emerson: Schumer (D) 57,
   Pinion (R) 39
 * Georgia Governor - Kemp vs. Abrams - NY Times/Siena: Kemp (R) 50, Abrams (D)
   45
 * Nevada Governor - Lombardo vs. Sisolak - NY Times/Siena: Lombardo (R) 49,
   Sisolak (D) 45
 * Nevada Governor - Lombardo vs. Sisolak - USA Today/Suffolk*: Lombardo (R) 43,
   Sisolak (D) 43
 * Nevada Senate - Laxalt vs. Cortez Masto - USA Today/Suffolk*: Laxalt (R) 44,
   Masto (D) 45
 * Arizona Governor - Lake vs. Hobbs - NY Times/Siena: Lake (R) 48, Hobbs (D) 48
 * Arizona Governor - Lake vs. Hobbs - Univision/Shaw & Co.: Lake (R) 42, Hobbs
   (D) 40
 * Arizona Senate - Masters vs. Kelly - Univision/Shaw & Co.: Kelly (D) 44,
   Masters (R) 40
 * Pennsylvania Governor - Mastriano vs. Shapiro - NY Times/Siena: Shapiro (D)
   53, Mastriano (R) 40
 * New Mexico Governor - Ronchetti vs. Lujan Grisham - The Hill/Emerson: Grisham
   (D) 50, Ronchetti (R) 48
 * New Mexico 1st District - Holmes vs. Stansbury - The Hill/Emerson: Stansbury
   (D) 54, Holmes (R) 43
 * New Mexico 2nd District - Herrell vs. Vasquez - The Hill/Emerson: Herrell (R)
   54, Vasquez (D) 44
 * New Mexico 3rd District - Johnson vs. Fernandez - The Hill/Emerson: Fernandez
   (D) 58, Johnson (R) 40
 * Texas Governor - Abbott vs. O'Rourke - University of Houston*: Abbott (R) 53,
   O'Rourke (D) 40

Battle for Senate
45
Dem
7
GOP
48
Latest Senate Polls
Battle for House
174
Dem
33
GOP
228
Latest House Polls
2022 Governor Races
14
Dem
12
GOP
24
Latest Governor Polls


TODAY'S TOPICS

 * Battle for Senate
   * NH (St. Anselm): Bolduc (R) +1
   * Barack Obama To Rally in Pittsburgh Saturday With John Fetterman
   * Post-Gazette Endorses Oz, Citing Fetterman's ‘Lack of Transparency'
   * PA (Morning Call): Race Tied at 47%
   * AZ: Libertarian Candidate Drops Out of Race, Endorses Blake Masters
   * WA: Murray, Smiley Spar in Townhall
   * Latest Poll: Murray 48, Smiley 46
   * RCP Projection: GOP +4 | 54R, 46D
 * State House Battle
   * NY: Emerson: Hochul (D) +9 | Trafalgar: Zeldin, Holchul Tied at 48%
   * MI: InsiderAdv: Dixon, Whitmer Tied | Detroit News: Whitmer (D) +9
   * RCP Map: 24R, 14D, 12 Toss Ups
   * Current Projection: GOP +3 | 31R,19D
 * Biden Administration
   * Biden Downplays Americans' Concerns on Inflation and Gas Prices
   * Will Rip Florida 'Mega-MAGA' Republicans in Closing Argument
   * Slams Oil Company Profits, Threatens Windfall Tax as Penalty
 * Election 2022
   * Crime Opens Political Lane for GOP in Democratic New Mexico
   * Dems Prepare for Loss of Congress as Voters Break Late to GOP
   * Dems Spending Big in Blue Districts
   * NM Gov (Emerson): Grisham (D) +2
   * All the Latest Election Polls
 * Battle for House
   * NM2: Emerson: Herrell (R) +10 | NYT/ Siena, ABJ: Vasquez (D) +1,+2
   * Generic Vote (WSJ): Republicans +2
   * Map: 228R, 174D, 33TU | GOP Pick-Ups +15 to +48 >> Avg. Gain +31
 * Washington
   * Chief Justice Roberts Pauses Fight Over Trump Tax Returns
   * SCOTUS Rejects Graham's Request To Block GA Subpoena
   * Supreme Court Poised to Throw Out Affirmative Action Programs
   * Man Accused of Attacking Paul Pelosi Expected to Appear in Court
   
 * THE RCP TAKEAWAY PODCAST
 * CARL CANNON'S AM NOTE

 * Real Clear Politics
   * Events
     
   * RCP on Twitter
   * RCP on Facebook

Most Recent by RCP
 * A Precarious Senate Race for Dems in Pennsylvania
   -Philip Wegmann
 * Can a Republican Become California’s Top Cop?
   -Susan Crabtree
 * Most Catholic Voters Don’t Share Catholic President’s Priorities
   -Philip Wegmann
 * North America Goes South: The Plan To Dismantle USA
   -Frank Miele
 * Republicans Find Their Footing on Abortion
   -Susan Crabtree
 * Heritage Action Super PAC Cuts $1M Attack Ad Targeting Beasley
   -Philip Wegmann

Our Writers

Tom Bevan
Carl M. Cannon
Susan Crabtree
Philip Wegmann
Sean Trende
A.B. Stoddard

 * Most Read
   * Last 24 Hours
   * Red Wave? Warning Signs Are Flashing for Democrats
     - Douglas Schoen, The Hill
   * A Precarious Senate Race for Dems in Pennsylvania
     - Philip Wegmann, RCP
   * On Second Thought, Just Throw Plastic Away
     - John Tierney, City Journal
   * Remember: Polls Can't Always Detect Late Momentum
     - Bill Scher, RealClearPolitics
   * Last 7 Days
   * A Disatrous Debate Night for Democrats
     - Kaylee White, Washington Examiner
   * Is 'Secret Majority' About To Make a Big Statement?
     - Douglas MacKinnon, The Hill
   * Biden and Dems About to Reap Electoral Whirlwind
     - James Antle, DC Examiner


 * 
 * 

RealClearPolitics Election 2022
Senate House Governor
Battle for Senate
45 Dem 7 GOP 48
RCP Projection
GOP +4 Pick-Ups

Top Senate Races RCP Average GeorgiaWalker (R) +1.6PennsylvaniaFetterman (D)
+1.2ArizonaKelly (D) +2.5NevadaLaxalt (R) +0.4New HampshireHassan (D)
+2.3WashingtonMurray (D) +4.3WisconsinJohnson (R) +3.3OhioVance (R) +2.0North
CarolinaBudd (R) +4.5ColoradoBennet (D) +7.7FloridaRubio (R)
+8.0ConnecticutBlumenthal (D) +11.0

RCP Senate Projection | Latest Senate Polls
Generic Ballot
Republicans +2.8
RCP Projection
GOP +15 to +48 | Avg +31

RCP House Map | Latest House Polls
Governor Races
14 Dem 12 GOP 24
RCP Projection
GOP +3 Pick-Ups

Top Governor Races RCP Average ArizonaLake (R) +3.0MichiganWhitmer (D)
+3.6WisconsinEvers (D) +0.5NevadaLombardo (R) +1.5New MexicoLujan Grisham (D)
+4.0OregonDrazan (R) +1.7MinnesotaWalz (D) +2.5TexasAbbott (R) +9.2New
YorkHochul (D) +4.8PennsylvaniaShapiro (D) +9.4GeorgiaKemp (R)
+7.6FloridaDeSantis (R) +12.3

RCP Governor Projection | Latest Governor Polls


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