kalshi.com
Open in
urlscan Pro
2a05:d014:58f:6202::1f4
Public Scan
URL:
https://kalshi.com/
Submission Tags: falconsandbox
Submission: On November 06 via api from US — Scanned from DE
Submission Tags: falconsandbox
Submission: On November 06 via api from US — Scanned from DE
Form analysis 1 forms found in the DOM
<form><input id="search-navbar" placeholder="Search markets or people" class="searchBar-0-1-111 searchBar-0-1-21" autocomplete="off" value=""></form>Text Content
Election Markets IdeasAPI / Log in Sign up Explore Election Search Ideas API Explore Election Search Ideas API LIVE AllNewElection 2024Swing StatesMarginsElection ParlaysElectoral CollegeSenateHouseGovernorsPost ElectionElection FinancialsWinner CalledExit Polls Who will win the Presidential Election? Donald Trump 89% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Kamala Harris 11% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $318,011,252 News · Vice President Kamala Harris secured Vermont, while former President Donald Trump took West Virginia, Kentucky, and Indiana, The New York Times reports. 4. Okt.21. Okt.6. Nov.255075Donald Trump89%Kamala Harris11% Live bets: Kalshi.com Who will win Michigan in the presidential election? Donald Trump 84% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Kamala Harris 16% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $7,906,457 News · Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson announced that the state is on pace to set voter turnout records, with over 45.8% of active voters already casting ballots, The Hill reports. As a key battleground, Michigan's high turnout could play a decisive role in the White House and congressional races. 7. Okt.22. Okt.6. Nov.255075Donald Trump84%Kamala Harris16% Live bets: Kalshi.com Who will win Georgia in the presidential election? Donald Trump 98% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Kamala Harris 2% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $10,140,228 News · Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger confirmed a bomb threat from Russian sources briefly affected polling places in multiple counties, USA Today reports. Although deemed non-credible, the incident highlights ongoing foreign interference as Georgia's crucial role in the election makes it a target for misinformation and cyber attacks. 7. Okt.22. Okt.6. Nov.255075Donald Trump98%Kamala Harris2% Live bets: Kalshi.com Who will win Pennsylvania in the presidential election? Donald Trump 85% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Kamala Harris 15% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $10,329,624 News · Vice President Kamala Harris took to door-knocking in Pennsylvania on Election Eve, surprising residents in Reading as part of a final push for votes, The Daily Beast reports. Harris shared moments from the day on social media, including interactions with locals who were shocked and thrilled to meet her in person. 7. Okt.22. Okt.6. Nov.255075Donald Trump85%Kamala Harris15% Live bets: Kalshi.com Harris knocks doors in PA Michigan Set to Break Turnout Records 🏛️ The first legal and regulated prediction market in the US Bet on the US election, Oscars, Bitcoin, the weather, and more ⓘ 🚀 Buy and sell shares with no fees and high liquidity Election markets are currently free. Make trades from $1 to $100M! 💎 Earn 4.05% APY on all your cash and positions Grow your portfolio with variable interest rates as you trade. ⓘ 💰 Open your account for free and fund it your way! Add cash with bank transfer, debit card, crypto (USDC), or wire. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Who will win the Presidential Election? Donald Trump 89% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Kamala Harris 11% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $318,011,252 Who will win Michigan in the presidential election? Donald Trump 84% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Kamala Harris 16% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $7,906,457 Who will win Georgia in the presidential election? Donald Trump 98% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Kamala Harris 2% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $10,140,228 Who will win Pennsylvania in the presidential election? Donald Trump 85% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Kamala Harris 15% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $10,329,624 Who will win North Carolina in the presidential election? Donald Trump 98% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Kamala Harris 2% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $7,479,893 Who will win Nevada in the presidential election? Donald Trump 79% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Kamala Harris 21% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $6,657,437 Who will win Iowa in the presidential election? Donald Trump 97% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Kamala Harris 3% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $8,325,370 Electoral College margin of victory? Trump by 65-104 72% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Trump by 35-64 20% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $66,653,217 Popular vote margin of victory? Trump by 1-1.99% 33% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Trump by 0-0.99% 20% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $51,789,847 Who will win the popular vote? Donald Trump 74% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Kamala Harris 26% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $36,102,366 Who will win the Popular Vote and Electoral College? Trump wins Electoral College, Trump wins Popular Vote 80% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Trump wins Electoral College, Harris wins Popular Vote 14% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $20,333,659 Closest state in the Presidential election? Wisconsin 44% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Pennsylvania 22% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $12,718,499 Who will win the House, Senate, and Presidency? Republican Sweep 79% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– D-House, R-Senate, R-President 36% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $19,408,503 Who will win Virginia in the presidential election? Kamala Harris 95% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Donald Trump 5% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $5,683,309 How many swing states will Trump win? 7 78% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– 6 14% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $6,822,458 Who will win New York in the presidential election? Kamala Harris 99% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Donald Trump 1% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $5,892,963 Popular vote margin of victory in Pennsylvania? Trump by 1.50-1.99% 35% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Trump by 2-2.49% 18% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $7,148,848 Who will win Florida in the presidential election? Donald Trump 99% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Kamala Harris 1% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $4,238,483 Who will win New Jersey in the presidential election? Kamala Harris 98% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Donald Trump 2% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $2,729,766 Who will win Wisconsin in the presidential election? Donald Trump 87% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Kamala Harris 13% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $3,763,749 Who will win New Hampshire in the presidential election? Kamala Harris 82% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Donald Trump 18% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $3,060,882 Who will win Arizona in the presidential election? Donald Trump 90% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Kamala Harris 10% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $4,064,102 Senate margin of victory? R by 4 or more 80% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– R by 3 5% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $5,335,407 Will Trump win a deep blue state? 12% Yes $100 → $526 No $100 → $119 $2,150,075 Who will win the Senate race in Texas? Ted Cruz 99% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Colin Allred 1% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $3,271,379 Who will win California in the presidential election? Kamala Harris 97% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Donald Trump 3% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $1,965,065 Who will win the Senate race in Arizona? Ruben Gallego 93% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Kari Lake 7% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $3,799,008 Who will win Texas in the presidential election? Donald Trump 99% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Kamala Harris 1% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $3,137,112 Which party will win the Senate? Republicans 97% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Democrats 1% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $1,419,690 Who will win the Senate race in Ohio? Bernie Moreno 98% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Sherrod Brown 2% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $2,093,535 Tipping point in the presidential election? Wisconsin 50% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Michigan 16% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $1,191,664 Popular vote margin of victory in Georgia? Trump by 2-2.99% 58% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Trump by 1-1.99% 13% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $2,739,725 Popular vote margin of victory in North Carolina? Trump by 3.00-3.99% 55% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Trump by 2.00-2.99% 2% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $3,077,072 Popular vote margin of victory in Florida? Trump by 12-14.99% 88% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Trump by 15% or more 14% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $1,027,670 Who will win Minnesota in the presidential election? Kamala Harris 76% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Donald Trump 24% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $1,350,716 Who will win the Senate race in Florida? Rick Scott 99% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Debbie Mucarsel-Powell 1% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $1,000,516 How many seats will the Republicans have in the Senate? 53 97% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– 55 40% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $1,888,758 Popular vote margin of victory in Arizona? Trump by 2-2.99% 35% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Trump by 3-3.99% 34% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $1,906,034 Who will win the Senate race in Pennsylvania? David McCormick 68% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Bob Casey Jr. 32% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $1,058,297 Who will win Maine in the presidential election? Kamala Harris 91% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Donald Trump 9% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $1,264,961 Popular vote margin of victory in Wisconsin? Trump by 0-0.99% 63% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Trump by 2-2.99% 30% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $1,593,003 Who will win Ohio in the presidential election? Donald Trump 99% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Kamala Harris 1% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $605,633 Who will win the Senate race in Nebraska? Deb Fischer 86% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Dan Osborn 14% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $1,196,398 Popular vote margin of victory in Michigan? Trump by 1-1.99% 40% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Trump by 0-0.99% 62% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $1,566,564 When will the AP call the election? Nov 6, 2024 89% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Nov 5, 2024 24% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $1,103,296 House margin of victory? R by 16 or more 24% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– R by 6-10 19% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $1,540,527 Popular vote margin of victory in Nevada? Trump by 0-0.99% 35% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Trump by 2-2.99% 30% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $1,266,424 Who will win Colorado in the presidential election? Kamala Harris 98% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Donald Trump 2% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $479,027 Who will win New Mexico in the presidential election? Kamala Harris 94% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Donald Trump 6% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $789,041 Highest temperature in NYC today? 73° to 74° 51% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– 66° or below 1% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $200,131 1:00:33 How high will Bitcoin get this year? $80,000 or above 71% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $90,000 or above 25% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $572,582 Fed decision on Nov 7th meeting? Cut 25bps 92% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Cut >25bps 2% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $1,009,063 Number of rate cuts in 2024? 4 cuts 69% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– 3 cuts 24% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $6,031,364 When will Bitcoin hit a new all-time high? 99% Yes No offers No $100 → $252 $77,756 "The Best Christmas Pageant Ever" Rotten Tomatoes score? Above 85 55% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Above 80 80% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $20,302 TIME's Person of the Year for 2024? Donald Trump 48% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Kamala Harris 34% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $58,810 Artists hitting the Billboard Top 20 this year? Lana Del Rey 20% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Sexyy Red 7% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $73,996 Inflation in 2024? 2.0% to 2.9% 83% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– 3.0% to 3.9% 20% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $293,977 Top Artist on Spotify this year? Taylor Swift 88% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Kendrick Lamar 5% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $68,925 When will OpenAI achieve AGI? Before 2030 46% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Before 2026 17% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $60,417 When will Bitcoin hit $100k? Before January 13% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Before December 4% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $269,785 US bans TikTok before May? 26% Yes $100 → $352 No $100 → $120 $47,728 Chappell Roan has a #1 hit this year? 11% Yes $100 → $566 No $100 → $110 $10,653 Nelson Peltz joins Disney’s board this year? 4% Yes $100 → $2,342 No $100 → $100 $9,105 ChatGPT-5 revealed this year? 10% Yes $100 → $651 No $100 → $102 $149,096 SpaceX Starship reaches orbit this year? 19% Yes $100 → $458 No $100 → $105 $35,595 Which artist will release a new album this year? SZA 51% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Elton John 57% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $48,735 Fed funds rate in November? Above 4.75% 8% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Above 4.50% 99% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $676,271 GTA 6 release date? Before 2026 43% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Before July 2025 3% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $49,854 CPI core in October 2024? Above 0.2% 93% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Above 0.1% 97% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $1,027 Number of hurricanes this year? Above 12 25% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Above 10 98% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $178,910 Richest person in the world at the end of the year? Mark Zuckerberg 17% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Elon Musk 91% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $97,266 Recession this year? 6% Yes $100 → $1,059 No $100 → $102 $537,784 "Gladiator 2" Rotten Tomatoes score? Above 85 39% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Above 79 57% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $75,589 New pandemic this year? 4% Yes $100 → $1,210 No $100 → $103 $21,603 North West drops album this year? 11% Yes $100 → $813 No $100 → $107 $5,452 Tesla robotaxi public release before 2026? 15% Yes $100 → $240 No $100 → $103 $22,983 Hurricane William category? Category 2 or above 19% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Category 5 or above 9% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $4,351 Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2026? 16% Yes $100 → $396 No $100 → $116 $4,257 How many launches will SpaceX have this year? Above 130 49% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Above 120 89% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $48,773 Oscar nominations for Best Actress? Angelina Jolie 74% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Zendaya 9% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $26,690 Texas loses border fight with Feds? 41% Yes $100 → $234 No $100 → $130 $32,850 Best LLM at the end of the year? Gemini 16% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– GPT 75% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $200,893 COVID new variant of concern reported this year? 14% Yes $100 → $439 No $100 → $114 $19,874 Bird flu cases this year? Above 100 17% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Above 25 81% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $83,679 Which big banks will do layoffs this year? Citigroup 30% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– JPMorgan Chase 25% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $29,552 Oscar nominations for Best Actor? Daniel Craig 62% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Ralph Fiennes 80% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $33,795 Starship manned mission to Mars launched before 2030? 23% Yes $100 → $411 No $100 → $119 $4,130 Zyn banned in the US this year? 5% Yes $100 → $1,226 No No offers $12,707 New York Times settles OpenAI lawsuit? 6% Yes $100 → $150 No $100 → $106 $9,226 Government shuts down this year? 20% Yes $100 → $451 No $100 → $118 $59,689 How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be this year? Above 4 50% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Above 5 9% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $80,421 Game of the Year? Astro Bot 67% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Black Myth: Wukong 19% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $70,376 New Supreme Court justice confirmed this year? 5% Yes $100 → $573 No $100 → $106 $132,079 Alexandre de Moraes leaves Brazil Supreme Court this year? 3% Yes $100 → $241 No $100 → $103 $11,741 Capital gains tax increase before 2026? 19% Yes $100 → $207 No $100 → $119 $12,838 Next Fed rate hike? Before 2026 22% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Before 2025 2% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $259,059 Federal minimum wage raised this year? 3% Yes $100 → $1,367 No $100 → $103 $6,795 Hurricane hits Tampa this year? Category 1 or higher 3% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– Category 4 or higher 2% Yes / No Yes $100 → $–– No $100 → $–– $209,521 New nuclear reactor in the US approved this year? 11% Yes $100 → $764 No $100 → $107 $21,305 You need to enable JavaScript to run this app. / 22.