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Congress must raise debt limit by Oct. 18, Treasury Secretary Yellen warns in
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Congress must raise debt limit by Oct. 18, Treasury Secretary Yellen warns in
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Politics


CONGRESS MUST RAISE DEBT LIMIT BY OCT. 18, TREASURY SECRETARY YELLEN WARNS IN
NEW LETTER AS DEFAULT LOOMS

Published Tue, Sep 28 20219:16 AM EDTUpdated Tue, Sep 28 20218:31 PM EDT
Thomas Franck@tomwfranck
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Key Points
 * Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen told House Speaker Nancy Pelosi that Congress
   has just under three weeks to address the looming debt ceiling and avoid
   economic calamity.
 * “We now estimate that Treasury is likely to exhaust its extraordinary
   measures if Congress has not acted to raise or suspend the debt limit by
   October 18,” Yellen wrote.
 * Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell later Tuesday blocked a motion from
   Majority Leader Chuck Schumer that would’ve allow Democrats to address the
   debt limit with a majority vote.

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen testifies during a Senate Banking, Housing and
Urban Affairs Committee hearing on the CARES Act, at the Hart Senate Office
Building in Washington, DC, U.S., September 28, 2021.
Kevin Dietsch | Reuters

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen on Tuesday told House Speaker Nancy Pelosi that
Congress has just under three weeks to address the looming debt ceiling and
avoid near-certain economic calamity.

“We now estimate that Treasury is likely to exhaust its extraordinary measures
if Congress has not acted to raise or suspend the debt limit by October 18,” she
wrote in a letter. “At that point, we expect Treasury would be left with very
limited resources that would be depleted quickly.”



Yellen, who will testify before the Senate later Tuesday morning, warned in a
separate statement to lawmakers that failure to suspend or raise the debt limit
would lead to the first-ever U.S. default and have severe consequences for the
U.S. economy.

VIDEO2:5902:59
Powell and Yellen warn of economic crisis if the debt ceiling isn’t raised
The News with Shepard Smith


“It is imperative that Congress swiftly addresses the debt limit. If it does
not, America would default for the first time in history,” she said in her
remarks to the Senate Banking Committee. “The full faith and credit of the
United States would be impaired, and our country would likely face a financial
crisis and economic recession.”

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., later Tuesday blocked Schumer’s
motion that would allow Democrats to address the debt limit with a simple
majority vote. It needed unanimous support.

The move would have allowed Democrats to bypass a Republican filibuster and
suspend or raise the ceiling without a GOP vote.

Because the U.S. has never defaulted on its debt before, economists have to rely
on forecasts and guesswork when trying to estimate the economic fallout a
default would bring. Still, most economists say such a default would bring about
financial calamity that could trigger a broad market sell-off and economic
downturn amid a spike in interest rates.



“You would expect to see an interest rate spike if the debt ceiling were not
raised,” Yellen said during live testimony on Tuesday. “I think there would be a
financial crisis and a calamity. Absolutely, it’s true that the interest
payments on the government debt would increase.”

Yellen’s letter to Pelosi, D-Calif., is the latest in a string of communications
between the Treasury secretary and congressional leadership as the U.S. nears
missing a payment to its debtholders. A spokesman for the House speaker did not
respond to a request for comment.

Pelosi and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y. have in recent weeks
called upon Republicans to pass a suspension to the debt ceiling as a bipartisan
duty.

“Now, as Minority Leaders McCarthy and McConnell welcome a disaster they both
know is coming, Republican luminaries, former Treasury Secretaries, business
groups, and top economists are joining the growing chorus of Americans demanding
that they stop putting politics over the health of the U.S. economy,” Pelosi’s
office said last week, before Yellen’s latest letter.

Senate Republicans on Monday blocked a bill that would fund the government and
suspend the U.S. borrowing limit. The GOP opposed the House-approved bill
because it included a provision to suspend the debt ceiling, a task Republicans
say ought to be up to Democrats alone.

McConnell responded to Yellen’s latest warning to Congress later Tuesday
morning.


CNBC POLITICS

Read more of CNBC’s politics coverage:

 * Senate may vote Wednesday on bill to prevent a government shutdown as
   deadline approaches
 * Defense Secretary Austin admits in Senate testimony Afghan army collapse
   ‘took us all by surprise’
 * Sen. Warren calls Fed Chair Powell a ‘dangerous man,’ says she will oppose
   his renomination

“If Democrats want to use fast-track, party-line procedures to ram
through trillions more in inflationary socialism, they’ll have to use the same
tools to handle the debt limit,” he said from the Senate floor.

“It’s time for our democratic colleagues to stop dragging their heels and
get moving,” the Republican leader added. “But Democrats in congress don’t seem
to be acting with any urgency.”

Republicans want Democrats to raise or suspend the debt ceiling by including a
provision in their $3.5 trillion reconciliation bill.

Government funding and the debt ceiling are separate issues.

The U.S. government will shut down at the end of September if lawmakers fail to
approve a new funding or appropriations bill. In that case, government agencies
must send thousands of federal employees home and operate at a limited capacity
until funding is resumed.

The debt ceiling is viewed as the greater economic threat since failing to
suspend or raise the U.S. borrowing limit would result in a first-ever default
and untold economic havoc.

Raising or suspending the debt ceiling does not authorize new federal spending,
but rather allows the Treasury to honor debts already incurred during the Trump
and Biden administrations. Even if the Biden administration had passed no new
spending initiatives in 2021, lawmakers would still have to raise or suspend the
ceiling.

Republicans approved three such debt ceiling increases or suspensions during the
Trump administration, under which the national debt rose by roughly $8 trillion.


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