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2024 Election Forecast

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2024 Presidential Election

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Olympics 2024

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TopNewBreaking NewsUS ElectionMiddle EastKamalaFed RatesToday's
OlympicsVenezuelaDem NomineeLebanonSwing StatesBidenCrypto PricesTrump
TrialsGeopoliticsAIFrench ElectionMemecoinsMoviesAirdrops

Presidential Election Winner 2024

Donald Trump

54%

YesNo

Kamala Harris

44%

YesNo

Michelle Obama

1%

YesNo

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

1%

YesNo

Other Democrat Politician

<1%

YesNo

Other Republican Politician

<1%

YesNo

Hillary Clinton

<1%

YesNo

Joe Biden

<1%

YesNo

Gavin Newsom

<1%

YesNo

Nikki Haley

<1%

YesNo

Ron DeSantis

<1%

YesNo

Vivek Ramaswamy

<1%

YesNo

Chris Christie

<1%

YesNo

AOC

<1%

YesNo

Bernie Sanders

<1%

YesNo

Elizabeth Warren

<1%

YesNo

Kanye

<1%

YesNo
$474.4m Bet
4,508

Democratic Nominee 2024

Kamala Harris

98%

YesNo

Michelle Obama

1%

YesNo

Hillary Clinton

1%

YesNo

Other (Incl. Whitmer)

<1%

YesNo

Gavin Newsom

<1%

YesNo

Joe Biden

<1%

YesNo

Dean Phillips

<1%

YesNo

Elizabeth Warren

<1%

YesNo

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

<1%

YesNo
$299.9m Bet
2,986

Democratic VP nominee?

Josh Shapiro

64%

YesNo

Andy Beshear

15%

YesNo

Mark Kelly

10%

YesNo

Pete Buttigieg

7%

YesNo

Tim Walz

5%

YesNo

J. B. Pritzker

1%

YesNo

Gretchen Whitmer

<1%

YesNo

Other Man (Incl. Peters)

<1%

YesNo

Hillary Clinton

<1%

YesNo

Other Woman

<1%

YesNo

Michelle Obama

<1%

YesNo

Kamala Harris

<1%

YesNo

Tammy Duckworth

<1%

YesNo

Gavin Newsom

<1%

YesNo

Raphael Warnock

<1%

YesNo

Joe Biden

<1%

YesNo

Elizabeth Warren

<1%

YesNo

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

<1%

YesNo

Bernie Sanders

<1%

YesNo

Amy Klobuchar

<1%

YesNo

Roy Cooper

<1%

YesNo

Barack Obama

<1%

YesNo

Wes Moore

<1%

YesNo

Mark Cuban

<1%

YesNo

Tim Ryan

<1%

YesNo

Tammy Baldwin

<1%

YesNo

William McRaven

<1%

YesNo
$72.8m Bet
1,205

Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

USA

77%

YesNo

China

23%

YesNo

Japan

1%

YesNo

Great Britain

<1%

YesNo

France

1%

YesNo

Other

<1%

YesNo
$2.5m Bet
133

JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?

9%

chance

Bet Yes

Bet No

$1.0m Bet
91

Will Trump and Kamala debate before election?

88%

chance

Bet Yes

Bet No

$381.7k Bet
37

Trump wins every swing state?

19%

chance

Bet Yes

Bet No

$95.6k Bet
15

Iran military response by Friday?

16%

chance

Bet Yes

Bet No

$74.5k Bet
50

Biden D-Nom replacement?

Kamala Harris

99%

YesNo

Michelle Obama

1%

YesNo

Hillary Clinton

<1%

YesNo

Wes Moore

<1%

YesNo

Pete Buttigieg

<1%

YesNo

Gretchen Whitmer

<1%

YesNo

Josh Shapiro

<1%

YesNo

Gavin Newsom

<1%

YesNo

Mark Kelly

<1%

YesNo

Roy Cooper

<1%

YesNo

J. B. Pritzker

<1%

YesNo

Andy Beshear

<1%

YesNo

Raphael Warnock

<1%

YesNo

Bernie Sanders

<1%

YesNo

Sherrod Brown

<1%

YesNo

Elizabeth Warren

<1%

YesNo

Stacey Abrams

<1%

YesNo

Mark Cuban

<1%

YesNo

Amy Klobuchar

<1%

YesNo

Robert Kennedy Jr.

<1%

YesNo

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

<1%

YesNo

Mitt Romney

<1%

YesNo

Joe Manchin

<1%

YesNo

John Fetterman

<1%

YesNo

Other Man

<1%

YesNo

Other Woman

<1%

YesNo
$12.0m Bet
41

Presidential Election Popular Vote Winner 2024

Kamala Harris

70%

YesNo

Donald Trump

30%

YesNo

Michelle Obama

1%

YesNo

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

<1%

YesNo

Other Democrat Politician

<1%

YesNo

Other Republican Politician

<1%

YesNo

Hillary Clinton

<1%

YesNo

Gavin Newsom

<1%

YesNo

Joe Biden

<1%

YesNo

Nikki Haley

<1%

YesNo

Ron DeSantis

<1%

YesNo

Vivek Ramaswamy

<1%

YesNo

Chris Christie

<1%

YesNo

AOC

<1%

YesNo

Bernie Sanders

<1%

YesNo

Elizabeth Warren

<1%

YesNo

Kanye West

<1%

YesNo
$63.2m Bet
182

Most medals at Paris Olympics?

USA

99%

YesNo

China

1%

YesNo

Japan

<1%

YesNo

Great Britain

<1%

YesNo

France

1%

YesNo

Other

<1%

YesNo
$3.1m Bet
30

Electoral College Margin of Victory in Presidential Election?

GOP by 215+

3%

YesNo

GOP by 155-214

3%

YesNo

GOP by 105-154

6%

YesNo

GOP by 65-104

16%

YesNo

GOP by 35-64

12%

YesNo

GOP by 15-34

11%

YesNo

GOP by 5-14

6%

YesNo

GOP by 1-4

2%

YesNo

Dems by 0-4

7%

YesNo

Dems by 5-14

5%

YesNo

Dems by 15-34

5%

YesNo

Dems by 35-64

9%

YesNo

Dems by 65-104

13%

YesNo

Dems by 105-154

5%

YesNo

Dems by 155-214

3%

YesNo

Dems by 215+

2%

YesNo

GOP/Dems both lose

<1%

YesNo
$11.7m Bet
43
View all

Will Biden's 538 approval reach 40% by August 9?

37%

chance

Bet Yes

Bet No


NEW



What will Trump say in August?

Mixed-race

19%

YesNo

Hannibal Lecter

80%

YesNo

Shark

52%

YesNo

Crypto

79%

YesNo

NEW

1

Trump photographed holding baby in August?

28%

chance

Bet Yes

Bet No


NEW



Olympic Boxing: Imane Khelif (ALG) vs Luca Hamori (HUN)

82%

Khelif

Bet Khelif

Bet Hamori


NEW

6

Donald & Melania Trump seen together in August?

57%

chance

Bet Yes

Bet No


NEW



Ukraine election scheduled in 2024?

16%

chance

Bet Yes

Bet No


NEW



What will Kamala say in August?

Context

77%

YesNo

Coconut

35%

YesNo

Unburdened

47%

YesNo

Venn diagram

27%

YesNo

Couch

18%

YesNo

Brat

20%

YesNo

Weirdo

30%

YesNo

NEW

8

Israel military action against Iran in August?

56%

chance

Bet Yes

Bet No


NEW

2

2024 August hottest on record?

59%

chance

Bet Yes

Bet No


NEW



Will Kamala flip Trump in the polls in August?

66%

chance

Bet Yes

Bet No


NEW

7

Gymnastics Uneven Bar Final (W)

Kaylia Nemour (ALG)

56%

YesNo

Suni Lee (USA)

56%

YesNo

Qiu Qiyuan (CHN)

56%

YesNo

Zhang Yihan (CHN)

51%

YesNo

Simone Biles (USA)

50%

YesNo

Alice D’Amato (ITA)

50%

YesNo

Jordan Chiles (USA)

50%

YesNo

Other

50%

YesNo

Nina Derwael (BEL)

50%

YesNo

NEW



Women's Boxing Welterweight (66kg) Winner

Imane Khelif (ALG)

59%

YesNo

Busenaz Surmeneli (TUR)

39%

YesNo

Yang Liu (CHN)

11%

YesNo

Other

5%

YesNo

Morelle McCane (USA)

1%

YesNo

NEW

1
View all

Recent Activity

See all

Will RFK Jr. win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

MysticSpark sold No at 99¢ ($123)

15s ago

Japan wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?

PrismSpark bought No at 100¢ ($71.52)

19s ago

Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Yerk sold No at 100¢ ($93.35)

25s ago

Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

CelestialVista bought No at 100¢ ($73.58)

27s ago

Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?

NebulaFlare sold No at 99¢ ($89.57)

31s ago

Top Volume This Week

See all

1

YatSen

$12,892,298

6

0xbd0e67d902fd2e8457bd252baaf83365e...

$6,858,528

2

fhantombets

$11,636,040

7

kanyeforpres

$6,533,477

3

qrpenc

$10,614,785

8

3t1741

$5,716,451

4

JustKam

$8,290,543

9

aleph-1

$5,698,344

5

undertaker

$7,877,053

10

50-Pence

$5,324,945

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