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CONSUMER PRICES RISE UNEXPECTEDLY IN AUGUST, SENDING STOCK MARKET TUMBLING

The Federal Reserve will meet next week to decide on a rate increase.

ByMax Zahn
September 13, 2022, 8:20 PM

1:08



All eyes on new inflation numbers

Analysts predict this morning’s report will show continued signs that inflation
may have peaked.



A hotter-than-expected inflation report on Tuesday sent the stock market
tumbling.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell more than 1,200 points, which amounted to
a nearly 4% drop, making it the index's worst day since June 2020. Meanwhile,
the S&P 500 — the index to which many 401(k)s are pegged — dropped more than 4%,
its worst day of 2022. The tech-heavy Nasdaq plummeted more than 5%.

Inflation data released on Tuesday revealed that prices rose slightly in August,
worsening the cost woes for U.S. households as the Federal Reserve readies to
decide on another interest rate hike next week.

The data calls into question whether inflation has peaked.

On a monthly basis, the consumer price index rose 0.1% in August, inching upward
from the flat month-to-month movement in July, according to the Bureau of Labor
Statistics.

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The consumer price index, or CPI, rose 8.3% over the past year in August, a
slight slowdown from 8.5% in July, according to the bureau.

The CPI continued to show one major bright spot: gasoline prices. The cost of
gas continued to fall significantly, dropping 10.6% in August.

Prices rose broadly outside of the energy sector. Food prices rose 0.8% on a
monthly basis, slowing from their monthly increase in July but remaining highly
elevated.

Measures of the consumer prices for shelter, new vehicles and apparel all rose
at a faster rate in August than they had over the month prior.

The data arrives little more than a week before Federal Reserve officials meet
to determine what investors expect to be another borrowing cost increase aimed
at fighting inflation.


MORE: FEDERAL RESERVE CHAIR POWELL VOWS TO FIGHT INFLATION 'UNTIL THE JOB IS
DONE'



The Fed has instituted a series of aggressive interest rate hikes in recent
months as it tries to slash price increases by slowing the economy and choking
off demand. But the approach risks tipping the U.S. into an economic downturn
and putting millions out of work.

The rate increases appear to have slowed key sectors of the economy, sending
mortgage rates higher and slowing the construction of new homes, for instance.

But other indicators suggest the U.S. economy continues to hum. U.S. hiring fell
from its breakneck pace but remained robust in August, with the economy adding
315,000 jobs and the unemployment rate rising to 3.7% as more people sought
work, according to data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in early
September.

Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell speaks during a news conference in
Washington, D.C., July 27, 2022.
Mandel Ngan/AFP via Getty Images, FILE

Speaking at a conference held by the conservative-leaning Cato Institute, Fed
Chair Jerome Powell said Thursday that the central bank must act "forthrightly,
strongly" to dial back inflation, leading many economists to expect another
75-basis point interest rate hike from the central bank later this month.

The Fed is performing a "delicate balancing act," said Scott Schuh, an economics
professor at the University of West Virginia. "The Fed is raising rates but
trying to avoid an increase in the unemployment rate."



"It seems somewhat reasonable to expect the inflation rate to continue to come
down for the next few months and quarters," he added.


MORE: INFLATION HITS THESE PRODUCTS THE MOST AND THESE THE LEAST: EXPLAINER



Prices in some areas of the economy have already fallen significantly.

The national average price for a gallon of gas stood at $3.72 on Monday, having
fallen well below a peak of $5.01 in mid-June, according to AAA.

Consumer expectations for inflation have fallen significantly too, according to
data released by the New York Federal Reserve on Monday.

In August, the median of consumer responses showed that they expect inflation to
fall to 5.7% in one year and 2.8% in three years, a New York Federal Reserve
survey showed. Those figures were down from 6.2% and 3.2%, respectively, in
July.


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