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1. Money Metals Exchange
2. News
3. Battle Line Drawn: Gold Bulls Look to Push through $2,000
BATTLE LINE DRAWN: GOLD BULLS LOOK TO PUSH THROUGH $2,000
by: Stefan Gleason
Money Metals News Service
March 23rd, 2023
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Gold prices surged to test the $2,000/oz level early this week before retreating
ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.
Fed policymakers opted for another 25 basis-point hike -- disappointing
investors who had hoped for a pause in the wake of high-profile bank runs.
Stocks sold off in post-Fed trading on Wednesday afternoon. Precious metals
markets, however, managed to record gains for the day.
Fed chairman Jerome Powell signaled that the central bank would likely hike one
more time.
After months of rate increases that have ratcheted the Fed funds up from
effectively zero to its current 4.75 - 5.0%, and not knowing when the tightening
campaign would end, investors can finally see some light at the end of the
tunnel.
Markets are even beginning to price in a likelihood of rate cuts by the end of
the year. Powell denied that the Fed is expecting to have to reverse course on
rates, but his hand could be forced by a worsening banking contagion and
deteriorating economy.
The Fed's final capitulation on interest rates could coincide with a breakout in
gold to new all-time highs.
The battle line has been drawn at the $2,000 level. Bears eye it as an
opportunity to put in sell orders. Bulls see the potential for a decisive break
above $2,000/oz to serve as a springboard for an epic run higher.
Gold faces resistance between $2,000/oz and $2,100/oz where prices got capped
last year and in the post-pandemic run-up of 2020. Once those peaks are taken
out decisively, there will be no ceiling for gold – and $2,000/oz could become
the new floor.
Recent trading around this psychologically significant level is bringing out a
volume spike in physical markets.
On the one hand, there has been a surge in bullion buying that has overwhelmed
dealers, raised premiums, and threatened to produce shortages in available
coins, rounds, and bars.
On the other hand, there has also been a surge in jewelry and scrap gold being
sold for cash by those who think they are getting a good price.
Of course, many people need to raise cash in order to pay bills. But exchanging
gold (sound money) for U.S Federal Reserve notes (unsound money) and depositing
them into a bank account carries risk.
They shouldn’t be reassured by Powell’s declaration following the Fed’s
interest-rate decision that “our banking system is sound and resilient with
strong capital and liquidity.”
That “strong capital and liquidity” is being provided by the U.S. taxpayer and
the Fed itself via expanded deposit guarantees and emergency lending vehicles
(i.e., bailouts). Such moves to make the banking system appear “sound” come at
the cost of making the currency even less sound.
The gold price is beginning to reflect the strains on the monetary system,
advancing to within striking distance of a new record despite the most rapid
rise in interest rates seen in decades.
The silver market has been comparatively quiet, but when it wakes up its
percentage moves higher could be much bigger than gold’s going forward. The
white metal would need to more than double from here to equal its old high.
Those who are tempted to sell gold at $2,000/oz because they think they are
getting a good price may be partially right… they are getting a good price in
terms of the number of ounces of silver they can buy.
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About the Author:
Stefan Gleason is President of Money Metals Exchange, the company recently named
"Best Overall Online Precious Metals Dealer" by Investopedia. A graduate of the
University of Florida, Gleason is a seasoned business leader, investor,
political strategist, and grassroots activist. Gleason has frequently appeared
on national television networks such as CNN, FoxNews, and CNBC and in hundreds
of publications such as the Wall Street Journal, TheStreet, and Seeking Alpha.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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Battle Line Drawn: Gold Bulls Look to Push through $2,000
March 23rd, 2023
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