www.washingtonpost.com Open in urlscan Pro
23.45.108.250  Public Scan

URL: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/05/22/trump-popularity-cities/
Submission: On May 22 via manual from US — Scanned from FI

Form analysis 1 forms found in the DOM

<form class="wpds-c-gRPFSl wpds-c-gRPFSl-jGNYrR-isSlim-false">
  <div class="transition-all duration-200 ease-in-out"><button type="submit" data-qa="sc-newsletter-signup-button" class="wpds-c-kSOqLF wpds-c-kSOqLF-uTUwn-variant-primary wpds-c-kSOqLF-eHdizY-density-default wpds-c-kSOqLF-ejCoEP-icon-left">Sign
      up</button></div>
</form>

Text Content

Accessibility statementSkip to main content

Democracy Dies in Darkness
SubscribeSign in



Advertisement


Democracy Dies in Darkness
PoliticsBiden administration The Fix The Briefs Polling Democracy in America
Election 2024
PoliticsBiden administration The Fix The Briefs Polling Democracy in America
Election 2024



OBVIOUSLY THERE ARE PEOPLE IN NEW YORK WHO SUPPORT DONALD TRUMP

New York City gave Trump more votes in 2020 than all but three U.S. counties.

Analysis by Philip Bump
National columnist
May 22, 2024 at 4:40 p.m. EDT

Donald Trump departs after visiting Sanaa Convenient Store in Manhattan on April
16. (Jabin Botsford/The Washington Post)

Listen
4 min

Share
Comment on this storyComment185
Add to your saved stories
Save

One of the lines of argument used by Donald Trump and his supporters to attack
the criminal trial that’s underway in Manhattan is that no jury in such a
pro-Democratic place could possibly be fair. As jury selection was underway in
the trial, which is likely to go to a jury next week, Trump’s allies studiously
pored over available biographical details to suggest that the jury pool’s
politics sat somewhere between Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Che Guevara.



Cut through the 2024 election noise. Get The Campaign Moment newsletter.

Skip to end of carousel


SIGN UP FOR THE HOW TO READ THIS CHART NEWSLETTER

Subscribe to How to Read This Chart, a weekly dive into the data behind the
news. Each Saturday, national columnist Philip Bump makes and breaks down charts
explaining the latest in economics, pop culture, politics and more.

End of carousel

But, of course, this is in tension with another central motivation for Trump and
his allies: presenting him as remarkably popular and well-regarded. So when
Trump’s son Donald Trump Jr. appeared on former Trump adviser Stephen K.
Bannon’s podcast earlier this week, he presented the scale of Trump support in
the city as though it was an underground resistance movement.

“When I’m in New York, the amount of people who show support is actually huge,”
Trump Jr. said. “But they do it like this” — he held up his hands to illustrate
— “like, it’s like a thumbs-up, like, hidden under their jacket so no one else
can possibly see.”

Advertisement

Story continues below advertisement



It is amusing that the only people Trump has seen do this are apparently people
wearing jackets — presumably sport coats, given how nice the weather has been in
the city in recent weeks. But it is not surprising. The 74 million votes Trump
received in 2020 came heavily from big cities where lots of people live, however
likely those cities were to prefer Joe Biden’s candidacy.

Follow Election 2024

Follow

We can illustrate the distribution of Trump votes by looking at the total number
of votes he received in each of the 3,000-plus U.S. counties. The fewest votes
he received came in Loving County, Tex., where he won 60 of the 66 votes cast.
The most he received in a county? His 1.1 million in Los Angeles County — good
enough for just over a quarter of all votes cast.



The five boroughs of New York (five individual counties) all provided Trump with
at least 67,000 votes. The fewest came in the Bronx, where he got 67,740 votes.
The most came in Queens, the county where he was born, where he got nearly
213,000. Even that low total in the Bronx, though, was more votes than he got in
92 percent of U.S. counties. In Manhattan, where the trial is underway, Trump’s
85,000 votes are more than he got in 94 percent of counties. In New York City
overall, the total Trump vote was larger than all but three counties: those
housing L.A., Phoenix and Houston.

Advertisement

Story continues below advertisement



In fact, Trump lost all 23 counties where he got the most votes in 2020. In
those counties, he won 10.6 million votes, about 14 percent of his total. He
lost the counties by an average of 18 percentage points.

Let’s use 100,000 votes as the dividing line. Trump won about three-fifths of
his votes in counties where he got fewer than that number of votes; in
two-thirds of those counties, he won by at least 25 points. He lost two-thirds
of counties where he got more than 100,000 votes, but still got 2 out of every 5
votes he won in those places.



As we noted in December 2020, Trump got more votes in states he lost than in
states he won.

So, yeah, it’s not hard to believe that there are Trump supporters in Trump
Jr.’s vicinity, particularly given the likelihood that younger Trump spends more
time among sympathetic people than antagonistic ones. It is somewhat hard to
believe that all these guys are trying to hide their thumbs-ups in their sports
coats, though. When Donald Trump visited a bodega in upper Manhattan a few weeks
ago, there was a boisterous crowd there to welcome him.

In fairness, it is possible that Trump Jr.’s experience of sheepishness is
skewed by his spending time in one particular part of the city: the area around
Trump Tower on Fifth Avenue. In the precinct that houses Trump’s former home,
two-thirds of voters preferred Joe Biden.


ELECTION 2024

Get the latest news on the 2024 election from our reporters on the campaign
trail and in Washington.

Who is running? President Biden and Donald Trump secured their parties’
nominations for the presidency. Here’s how we ended up with a Trump-Biden
rematch again.

Key dates and events: From January to June, voters in all states and U.S.
territories will pick their party’s nominee for president ahead of the summer
conventions. Here are key dates and events on the 2024 election calendar.

Abortion and the election: Voters in about a dozen states could decide the fate
of abortion rights with constitutional amendments on the ballot in a pivotal
election year. Biden supports legal access to abortion, and he has encouraged
Congress to pass a law that would codify abortion rights nationwide. After
months of mixed signals about his position, Trump said the issue should be left
to states. Here’s how Biden’s and Trump’s abortion stances have shifted over the
years.

Show more

Share
185 Comments



NewsletterWeekdays
Early Brief
The Washington Post's essential guide to power and influence in D.C.
Sign up


Subscribe to comment and get the full experience. Choose your plan →


Advertisement



Advertisement

live updatespolitics11:53 PM

ANALYSIS: OBVIOUSLY THERE ARE PEOPLE IN NEW YORK WHO SUPPORT DONALD TRUMP

11:42 PMCalifornia official will mobilize voters in Arizona and Nevada to help
Biden
10:52 PMJudge in Los Angeles case pushes back Hunter Biden tax trial from June
to September
10:23 PMAnalysis: Biden’s base isn’t as freaked out as he might want them to be
TOP STORIES
Politics
Reporting and analysis from the Hill and the White House
Down-ballot Democrats work to boost Biden with updraft coattails: ‘We push him’


Election 2024 latest news: Biden to welcome Kenyan president; Trump trial on
hiatus


Opinion|Alito and Thomas haven’t recused. Why?


back
Try a different topic

Sign in or create a free account to save your preferences
Advertisement


Advertisement

Company
About The Post Newsroom Policies & Standards Diversity & Inclusion Careers Media
& Community Relations WP Creative Group Accessibility Statement Sitemap
Get The Post
Become a Subscriber Gift Subscriptions Mobile & Apps Newsletters & Alerts
Washington Post Live Reprints & Permissions Post Store Books & E-Books Print
Archives (Subscribers Only) Today’s Paper Public Notices Coupons
Contact Us
Contact the Newsroom Contact Customer Care Contact the Opinions Team Advertise
Licensing & Syndication Request a Correction Send a News Tip Report a
Vulnerability
Terms of Use
Digital Products Terms of Sale Print Products Terms of Sale Terms of Service
Privacy Policy Cookie Settings Submissions & Discussion Policy RSS Terms of
Service Ad Choices
washingtonpost.com © 1996-2024 The Washington Post
 * washingtonpost.com
 * © 1996-2024 The Washington Post
 * About The Post
 * Contact the Newsroom
 * Contact Customer Care
 * Request a Correction
 * Send a News Tip
 * Report a Vulnerability
 * Download the Washington Post App
 * Policies & Standards
 * Terms of Service
 * Privacy Policy
 * Cookie Settings
 * Print Products Terms of Sale
 * Digital Products Terms of Sale
 * Submissions & Discussion Policy
 * RSS Terms of Service
 * Ad Choices
 * Coupons








WE CARE ABOUT YOUR PRIVACY

We and our 44 partners store and/or access information on a device, such as
unique IDs in cookies to process personal data. You may accept or manage your
choices by clicking below, including your right to object where legitimate
interest is used, or at any time in the privacy policy page. These choices will
be signaled to our partners and will not affect browsing data.

If you click “I accept,” in addition to processing data using cookies and
similar technologies for the purposes to the right, you also agree we may
process the profile information you provide and your interactions with our
surveys and other interactive content for personalized advertising.

If you do not accept, we will process cookies and associated data for strictly
necessary purposes and process non-cookie data as set forth in our Privacy
Policy (consistent with law and, if applicable, other choices you have made).


WE AND OUR PARTNERS PROCESS COOKIE DATA TO PROVIDE:

Actively scan device characteristics for identification. Create profiles for
personalised advertising. Use profiles to select personalised advertising.
Create profiles to personalise content. Use profiles to select personalised
content. Measure advertising performance. Measure content performance.
Understand audiences through statistics or combinations of data from different
sources. Develop and improve services. Store and/or access information on a
device. Use limited data to select content. Use limited data to select
advertising. List of Partners (vendors)

I Accept Reject All Show Purposes