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Infographic: 6 Charts That Explain the 2024 U.S. Election
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US-Election-trump-graphics-voter-turnout-square-circle-transparentx
Infographic
6 CHARTS THAT EXPLAIN THE 2024 U.S. ELECTION
FROM THE PERPETUAL CAMPAIGN CYCLE TO TURNOUT, WE EXAMINED HOW THE NOV. 5 VOTE
COMPARED WITH THOSE IN OTHER COUNTRIES THIS YEAR.
November 8, 2024, 1:00 PM Comment icon View Comments (0)
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* Elections
* United States
* India
By Claire Schnatterbeck, an editorial fellow at Foreign Policy, and Anusha
Rathi, an editorial fellow at Foreign Policy.
As the United States and the world prepares for a second Donald Trump
presidency, the exit polling and demographic data behind the outcome of
Tuesday’s election will only become clearer in the days and weeks to come.
Foreign Policy looked at what factors shaped the election and how it compared
with other elections that took place around the world this year, from Mexico to
India and beyond.
As the United States and the world prepares for a second Donald Trump
presidency, the exit polling and demographic data behind the outcome of
Tuesday’s election will only become clearer in the days and weeks to come.
Foreign Policy looked at what factors shaped the election and how it compared
with other elections that took place around the world this year, from Mexico to
India and beyond.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1. U.S. EARLY VOTING TIMELINES DIFFER FROM OTHER COUNTRIES
While some Americans went to the polls on Election Day on Nov. 5, others cast
their ballots weeks before. Each state has a different timeline for in-person
early voting, which ranges from 46 days before the election in states such as
Minnesota to only day-of voting in states such as Alabama.
NUMBER OF DAYS FOR EARLY IN-PERSON VOTING
In other parts of the world, there isn’t the same flexibility. Indonesia holds
the title for the largest one-day election, where its 205 million registered
voters only have a six-hour window to cast their ballots. However, many
countries hold elections on the weekend or designate their election day as a
public holiday to make voting more accessible to workers.
INDIA’S ELECTION HAS A 44-DAY VOTING PERIOD
India made headlines during its national elections this year for its 44-day
voting period. Due to the country’s size and the logistics required to make sure
that registered voters had access to in-person polling stations, the election
took place in several phases.
Sources: Vote.org, Times of India
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2. THE UNITED STATES’ PERPETUAL ELECTION CYCLE IS UNIQUE
The United States’ unrestricted campaign cycle enables what feels like a
perpetual presidential election year. Typically, candidates announce their
intentions to run in the spring the year before an election.
CAMPAIGN TIMELINE LENGTHS
However, former U.S. President Donald Trump announced his 2024 presidential bid
on Nov. 15, 2022, 721 days before Election Day. President Joe Biden announced
his reelection bid on April 25, 2023, 560 days before Election Day—before Vice
President Kamala Harris took over in July.
On Nov. 5, Harris only had 107 days to make her case to U.S. voters. But even
this is not the norm in other parts of the world: Many countries have
regulations restricting the campaign period or tie campaigns to their government
system, such as an election being initiated when the prime minister suspends
parliament.
In Mexico, which held general elections in June, there is only a 90-day window
for official campaigns—though parties can announce their selected candidate
earlier. This is followed by a three-day “blackout” period before the election
begins.
Sources: NPR, Associated Press, Reuters, New York Times
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
3. HOW DOES IMMIGRATION REALLY SHAPE THE VOTE?
Immigration featured prominently in the 2024 U.S. election season. According to
a New York Times-Siena College poll conducted in late October, 15 percent of
likely voters said immigration was the most important factor when deciding whom
they would vote for. But what does the data tell us about the U.S. immigrant
population itself?
FOREIGN-BORN POPULATION IN THE UNITED STATES
The U.S. foreign-born population has steadily increased since the 1970s. In the
last two decades, the U.S. immigrant population has grown by almost 50 percent;
in 2022, immigrants made up approximately 14 percent of the total population.
Though these figures include unauthorized migrants, as well as temporary
migrants (such as asylum-seekers, refugees, and lawful permanent residents), who
can’t vote yet, naturalized citizens now make up a record number of eligible
voters in the United States.
As of 2022, 23.8 million naturalized citizens made up 10 percent of the U.S.
electorate—with 30 percent of the cohort hailing from Mexico, India, and China
alone, followed by the Philippines (6 percent) and Vietnam (4 percent). Other
immigrant groups with relatively high naturalization rates include those from El
Salvador, Cuba, the Dominican Republic, and Guatemala.
FOREIGN-BORN ELIGIBLE VOTERS IN THE UNITED STATES
Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, Pew Research Center
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
4. HOW DID VOTER TURNOUT COMPARE?
U.S. voter turnout on Nov. 5 is projected to be around 65 percent, with more
than 158 million ballots counted, according to data from the University of
Florida’s Election Lab. That number is a dip from the 2020 U.S. presidential
election, which registered a historic 67 percent turnout.
U.S. VOTER TURNOUT OVER TIME
This year, Indonesia (82 percent) and Sri Lanka (79 percent) had some of the
highest voter turnout globally. In Indonesia, which holds the largest single-day
election in the world, restaurants handed out free food and coffee to voters
amid heavy rain. In Sri Lanka, more than 13 million voters headed to the polls
for the first time since the country spiraled into an economic crisis in 2022.
COMPARISON OF GLOBAL VOTER TURNOUT IN 2024 ELECTIONS
By contrast, the countries with some of the lowest voter turnout rates this year
were Pakistan (48 percent) and Bangladesh (42 percent), where opposition leaders
were either barred from running or boycotted the election. The United Kingdom
registered its lowest voter turnout in a general election since 2001, despite
the Labour Party’s landslide victory. Similarly, South Africa’s voter turnout
(59 percent) was the lowest in the country’s 30-year democratic history.
Sources: The Election Project; news reports and various election commission data
compiled by FP staff
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
5. DELAYED RESULTS DON’T ALWAYS SIGNAL A PROBLEM
The 2020 U.S. presidential election took four days to call and was plagued by
lawsuits and conspiracy theories surrounding election integrity and the
electoral process. Although many state election officials took action to make
the process smoother in 2024, there were still concerns in some swing states
where the election was tight.
Counting mail-in and absentee ballots can delay official results and leave room
for election misinformation to spiral, as it did among then-President Donald
Trump and his allies in 2020. However, delayed results do not always indicate
that there is something wrong in election proceedings. Other countries have
longer periods of time between their election days and the release of official
results as votes are counted and verified. See below how the U.S. 2020 election
compares to those held elsewhere in the world in 2024:
NUMBER OF DAYS TO ANNOUNCE RESULTS
Indonesia’s presidential election in February was officially called after 34
days—on the day of the deadline for announcing the official results. The winner,
Prabowo Subianto, had claimed victory earlier with a clear lead. Though his
rivals planned to file a legal complaint, the official announcement took as long
as it did due to the laborious process of counting ballots. The same was true of
the counting process in India this year, which occurred on just a single day a
few days after voting ended.
In Venezuela, the results were delayed due to President Nicolás Maduro
contesting tallies that indicated that he lost the election on July 28. The
issue made its way to the Venezuelan Supreme Court, which declared him the
winner after 25 days of upheaval over the results. Some countries, including the
United States, have rejected Venezuela’s vote certification.
Sources: Associated Press, Al Jazeera, CNN, Guardian, Electoral Commission of
South Africa
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
6. THE COUNTDOWN TO TRUMP’S SECOND TERM BEGINS
It took roughly six hours for The Associated Press to call the U.S. presidential
election after the final polls closed on Tuesday, but Americans will wait 76
days before President-elect Donald Trump is sworn in. Though President Joe
Biden’s lame-duck period may seem long, this waiting game is not unique to the
United States.
COMPARISON OF LAME DUCK PERIODS
Indonesia held its election in February, but President Prabowo Subianto didn’t
assume office until Oct. 20, 214 days later. Similarly, Mexico elected its first
female president, Claudia Sheinbaum, on June 3—but she assumed office 120 days
later, on Oct. 1. And though Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro declared
himself the winner of the contested election on July 29, he will officially be
sworn in on Jan. 10, 2025.
However, some elections this year saw quicker turnarounds. Voters in India,
Bangladesh, and South Africa reelected their leaders, all of whom assumed office
within 20 days. The shortest lame-duck period was in the United Kingdom, where
Keir Starmer was appointed prime minister as soon as results were announced on
July 5. (Sri Lanka is a notable runner-up: President Anura Kumara Dissanayake
was sworn in a day after election results were announced on Sept. 22.)
Sources: Various news reports compiled by FP staff
Read More
An illustration shows a crowded street in India overlaid with charts showing
population growth, Internet use, and unemployment rates. An illustration shows a
crowded street in India overlaid with charts showing population growth, Internet
use, and unemployment rates.
5 CHARTS THAT EXPLAIN INDIA
From average incomes to internet usage, New Delhi is still at the point where
growth could really take off—or not.
Infographic
|
Anusha Rathi
Kamala Harris is silhouetted against a cloudy sky at sunset as she walks up the
steps of a plane. Kamala Harris is silhouetted against a cloudy sky at sunset as
she walks up the steps of a plane.
WHY SHE LOST
Despite a platform focused on winning back the working class, Kamala Harris and
her party had lost too many of them already.
Argument
|
Michael Hirsh
Donald Trump gestures as he sits at a table behind a microphone. At right is
another man seated. Behind them is the U.S. flag and a sign that says "Protect
Our Food from China." Donald Trump gestures as he sits at a table behind a
microphone. At right is another man seated. Behind them is the U.S. flag and a
sign that says "Protect Our Food from China."
WHAT TRUMP’S WIN MEANS FOR U.S. FOREIGN POLICY
He is poised to bring back hallmarks of his first term, from a China trade war
to hostility toward multilateralism.
Analysis
|
FP Staff
My FP: Follow topics and authors to get straight to what you like. Exclusively
for FP subscribers. Subscribe Now | Log In
* Elections
* United States
* India
Claire Schnatterbeck is an editorial fellow at Foreign Policy. X: @claire_e_beck
Anusha Rathi is an editorial fellow at Foreign Policy. X: @anusharathi_
Read More On Elections | India | Indonesia | Mexico | U.S. 2024 Election |
United States
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MORE FROM FOREIGN POLICY
Donald Trump gestures as he sits at a table behind a microphone. At right is
another man seated. Behind them is the U.S. flag and a sign that says "Protect
Our Food from China."
WHAT TRUMP’S WIN MEANS FOR U.S. FOREIGN POLICY
He is poised to bring back hallmarks of his first term, from a China trade war
to hostility toward multilateralism.
Kamala Harris is silhouetted against a cloudy sky at sunset as she walks up the
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