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Submitted URL: https://events-b.mb.moneymorninglive.com/web-only/z/gkok9b9it?uid=1159342a-18b6-4f6a-b180-b96453ff8a8b&mid=058f1b42-9425-47c0-9ee2-3898a2...
Effective URL: https://thepennyhawk.com/its-not-too-late-to-profit-off-ungs-24-rally/?bsft_aaid=68683b22-b8c7-4708-941b-b42d4a6395c8&bsf...
Submission: On March 06 via api from BE — Scanned from DE

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IT’S NOT TOO LATE TO PROFIT OFF UNG’S 24% RALLY

Thankfully, prices at the local gas pump have come down from last year.

Of course, as consumers were less strained at the pumps, they likely started
paying less attention to the markets behind oil and natural gas.

That would be a mistake.

In case you haven’t noticed, the United States Natural Gas Fund, LP (UNG) shot
up a whopping 24% in the past five trading days.

So, the first thing I did was start pouring through my data and technicals to
answer a very important question: is this going to keep going, or is it going to
fall?

So, I dug into my Excel spreadsheets and put on my detective’s hat to try to get
to the bottom of his 24% rally.

And boy oh boy, slap me silly and call me Columbo, because I cracked the case.

Take a gander at this little chart…



This is the average performance of UNG following a one-week rally of 20% or more
at any point over the past five years. There have been 13 such rallies.

What we want to turn our attention to is the blue line – that’s the aggregate of
all trades placed on UNG in the 30-day stretches following those rallies.

It looks like the black-diamond ski slopes I was on the other weekend.

Hell, even the winning trades – the best-case scenario – are only finishing at
even money after 30 days. And they’re clearly not having much impact on the
overall numbers.

For those of you who prefer a more numerical approach to the visual, take a peek
at the raw data.



Over a 30-day stretch following a rally of 20% or more, the average UNG trade
returned negative 14.8%.

In a five-year span, there are 1,260 days of trading. If we’re only looking at
13 instances of a one-week, 20%-or-more rally in UNG, that’s a very small
percentage of those trading days.

Suffice it to say, we can call these types of rallies outliers.

Now, with outliers, all we can do is determine if their ensuing movements are
consistent, and in this case, as you can see, they certainly are.

That’s where trades come into play.

So, referring back to that table, UNG is averaging a 14.8% drop 30 days after
these one-week rallies.

The last time this happened, for what it’s worth, is circled in the below chart
– back on December 12, 2022.



Would you look at that? Came up and tested the 50-day moving average (MA50),
tested the 20-day moving average (MA20), and rolled right over.

As you can see, the current rally has it threatening the MA20 again, and it’s
going to roll over just like last time.

I will 100% be adding more UNG puts to my portfolio to capitalize on this once
the clock strikes midnight.

I’m targeting the $7 mark. That’s a 20% decline from where it is at this very
moment.

Ironically, this is far from the only thing I’m paying attention to in the
energy and energy-related space.

Now, I can’t stress this enough: there isn’t anyone I trust more when it comes
to macroeconomic trends than Garrett Baldwin.

And he has been plugged in (no pun intended) to the energy sector and all of the
fallout from the war in Ukraine.

But what got me most excited was the thoroughness of his research in finding the
American companies set to benefit most from the $4-trillion vacuum created by
Russia’s aggression.

He’s got a list of seven companies right now he thinks are poised to rake in
cash due to this shift. You can find out more about those here.

This will not be the last we talk about the UNG movement and overall volatility
in energy, I can promise you that.

I feel like Jack Bauer with his 24-hour clock, only mine’s set to 30 days – and
the countdown’s started.

You’re going to want to check back in with me daily to make sure you don’t miss
the moment we strike.



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


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BREAKOUT WATCHLIST

DBCCF Decibel Cannabis Company Inc CYBL Cyberlux Corp DPLS Darkpulse Inc ETHE
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Battery Metals Corp Nev

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PORTFOLIO

Trade Symbol Entry Date Entry Price Current Price Gain Notes
Net Savings Link Inc
NSAV
08/13/2021
$0.04
-78.4%
August 12, 2021: Buy NSAV for a limit of $0.045%
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Neo Lithium Corp
NTTHF
08/13/2021
$0.00
0.0%
August 17, 2021: Buy NTTHF for a limit of $3. Add a 5% trailing stop when the
stock hits $3.60.%
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Regen BioPharma Inc
RGBP
09/17/2021
$0.04
-90.6%
Sept 17, 2021: Buy RGBP for a limit of $0.05. Add a 7% trailing stop when the
stock hits $0.07%
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American Battery Metals Corp
ABML
08/30/2021
$1.74
-46.1%
August 30, 2021: Buy ABML for a limit of $1.75. Add a 7% trailing stop when the
stock hits $2.20.%
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Western Uranium & Vanadium Corp
WSTRF
09/22/2021
$2.47
-62.6%
Sept 22, 2021: Buy WSTRF for a limit of $2.75. Add a 10% trailing stop when the
stock hits $3.25.%
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Published
February 28 2023
by Penny Hawk Staff
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