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Lifestyle
Published June 7, 2024 5:45am EDT


TRANSITION TO NET-ZERO WILL BRING END OF AFFORDABLE AIR TRAVEL, AVIATION
OFFICIAL WARNS


TOP AIRLINE INDUSTRY EXECUTIVES MET THIS WEEK AND SAID THAT GOING NET ZERO FOR
CARBON WOULD END UP COSTING CUSTOMERS.

By Hillary Andrews Source FOX Weather
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CHECK OUT THE SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT LAB IN
WASHINGTON

In Spring 2023, Washington and Washington State University announced the
formation of a research and development lab for sustainable aviation fuel
because as Alaska Airlines' Diana Birkett Rakow told FOX 13, "The technology to
get us to that destination (net zero) does not exist today." The airline
industry pledged to be net zero by 2050. Alaska Airlines' goal is by 2040..
Matthew Smith reports and also speaks to Snohomish County Executive, Dave
Somers. Some video is courtesy of Alaska Airlines, Zero Avia and Magnix.

DUBAI, United Arab Emirates – Get ready to pay more for airline tickets, warns
an aviation trade group. The net-zero goal by 2050 for the industry, lack of
technology and jet manufacturer slowdowns are creating the perfect storm for
price turbulence.




"I'm sorry to say, but the transition to net-zero will require customers to
pay," Willie Walsh, Director General for the International Air Transport
Association (IATA) said during their annual meeting. "Ultimately, costs will
increase, and those costs will have to be recovered. And that, in all
probability, will lead to an increase in the cost of air travel. I just don't
see how we can do it any different way."

The airline industry pledged to be net-zero in terms of producing greenhouse
carbon dioxide emissions by 2050. Some airlines, like Alaska Airlines, imposed a
2040 deadline on themselves.  But at this time, experts say refineries aren't
pumping out enough sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) and it comes with a price tag
three to four times higher than conventional jet fuel.

And, the International Council on Clean Transportation estimated the goal would
cost up to $5 trillion in fuel and aircraft investments.




UNITED AIRLINES TO START USING FUEL MADE OF ANIMAL FAT, COOKING OIL ON SOME
FLIGHTS

FILE - Flight attendants hand out refreshments to a packed Delta Airlines flight
traveling from Ronald Regan National Airport to Minneapolis-Saint Paul
International Airport on Friday, May 21, 2021.

(Kent Nishimura / FOX Weather)


WHY NET-ZERO BY 2050?

The United Nations is among many energetic supporters of net-zero 2050.

"The science shows clearly that in order to avert the worst impacts of climate
change and preserve a livable planet, global temperature increase needs to be
limited to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. Currently, the Earth is already
about 1.1°C warmer than it was in the late 1800s, and emissions continue to
rise," wrote the U.N.'s Net Zero Coalition.  "To keep global warming to no more
than 1.5°C emissions need to be reduced by 45% by 2030 and reach net-zero by
2050."

Aviation produced 2.4% of all carbon dioxide emissions in 2018 and 3% of the
nation's greenhouse gas production, wrote the Environmental and Energy Study
Institute. But, the industry has been responsible for about 4% of anthropogenic
global warming to date, according to research in Environmental Research. The
same study found that aviation's role in warming could be halted by an annual
2.3% decrease in air travel or transitioning to a 90% carbon-neutral fuel mix by
2050.

HOW TO WATCH FOX WEATHER

File: Jet emissions in the form of contrails.

(Thomas Banneyer/picture alliance  / Getty Images)


‘IT'S AMAZING THAT TICKET PRICES ARE WHERE THEY ARE TODAY’

With a profit margin of 3.1%, airlines can't afford to absorb the costs, Walsh
said. IATA said that airline profits average out to $6.14 on every passenger.
Walsh pointed to Starbucks with an 11% profit margin. That means relatively
affordable airline ticket prices will be a thing of the past, soon, suggested
Walsh.

"This industry works extremely hard to be as efficient as possible. It's cheaper
to fly now than it was to fly 10 years ago. If you look at inflation figures…,
you know, ticket prices going back to 2018, 2019 have broadly kept pace with
consumer inflation," Walsh said. "And that's despite the fact that the inflation
that airlines have experienced is much higher than consumer inflation because of
what's happened with the price of jet fuel.

"I think it's unrealistic to expect that airlines can continue to absorb all of
the costs," he continued.

UNITED SUCCESSFULLY OPERATES TEST FLIGHT USING GREENER FUEL

File: Fueling a plane in Seville, Spain.

(Joaquin Corchero/Europa Press / Getty Images)

IATA estimates that 31% of an airline's costs will go to fuel in 2024. Emirate
Airlines President Tim Clark said costs in Africa are closer to 40%. 

"It is quite amazing that ticket prices are where they are today," he said.

He adds airlines can not achieve net-zero alone.


POLICY MAKERS NEED TO STEP IN, SUGGESTS IATA

"The governments have got to be stronger about how they do this, recognizing the
difficulty of getting it done and scaling that down until we get to the point
where you can actually introduce some kind of science to produce green hydrogen,
and even that requires huge amounts of power," Clark said.

Walsh pointed to what he says is an ineffective French mandate for fuel
companies to deliver an SAF blend fuel.

"If they don’t achieve, fuel companies are penalized," Walsh said. "But you’re
penalizing a monopoly who just passes that cost onto the airline industry,
(with) zero environmental benefit and huge economic damage."

AIRBUS A380 SUCCESSFULLY COMPLETES FLIGHT POWERED BY COOKING OIL

File: Refueling a plane with conventional jet fuel.

(Justin Sullivan / Getty Images)

Clark said multinational corporations will need incentives to build or convert
refineries for SAF. And, he said, that has its own carbon footprint issues.

"But if we can cross that river in the 2030s and 2040s, then you can start
seeing the costs falling per liter of fuel. But at the moment we've got a long
journey ahead, and it's difficult, and it'll be expensive," Clark continued.
"But our main goal is to try and get the amount of SAF into the aviation
industry at the levels that everybody wants. The consumers want, the governments
want. And that's not an easy task."

An Alaska Airlines spokesperson told FOX 13 last year, "The technology to get us
to that destination does not exist today at the size, or scale, or even
certified in operation at the level we need to reach those goals."

DEVELOPMENT OF A FUEL-EFFICIENT JETLINER COULD SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCE EMISSIONS

File: Lightning strikes well in the distance of a departing jet at Boston's
Logan Airport.

(Mark Garfinkel / Boston Herald / MediaNews Group / Boston Herald / Getty
Images)

Jet manufacturing issues compound the issue. Clark said the issues have
"hamstrung" growth. Walsh said that there is nothing that any individual airline
can do.

"It's the cause of quite a lot of frustration. Many airlines see opportunities
to expand their network, want to provide services to new destinations and can't
because they can't get delivery of new aircraft," Walsh said.

"It's also caused some airlines to keep in service aircraft that they had
planned to retire, and in some cases, to bring back into service aircraft that
they had announced that they were retiring, putting into storage all of this
adding cost," he continued. "It's not helping our journey to net-zero, because
clearly part of that journey is investment in new technology aircraft that are
much more fuel efficient."

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