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6:17AM Friday, November 5th, 2021
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 * World
 * Coronavirus
 * Australia


AUSTRALIA COVID CASES COULD FOLLOW SINGAPORE’S SURGE, EXPERT WARNS

After nearly eliminating Covid, this week saw Singapore break a grim record. A
disease expert says Australia should brace itself for something similar.

Jessica Wang

@imjesswang_

2 min read
November 5, 2021 - 1:00PM

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news.com.au3:25

FIRST INTERNATIONAL TRAVELLERS ARRIVE IN NSW



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The first quarantine-free flight into Sydney has touched down for the first time
since March 2020. At around 5:15am on Monday – a Singapore Airlines flight
arrived at Sydney Airport. For the first time in 590 days 'fortress Australia'
has come down. Entrants no longer have to quarantine – as long as you show
you've had a PCR… test in 72 hours and have ben vaccinated with a TGA approved
vaccine. Sky News Sydney Reporter Kenny Heatley spoke with the first arrivals,
welcoming them home after many months of being locked out.




More from australia

AUSSIES FORCED TO FUND HOMEGROWN VACCINE

WHEN YOU’LL GET A BOOSTER SHOT

NSW SET TO ACHIEVE STUNNING VAX MILESTONE

After being praised as one of the world’s biggest pandemic success stories,
Singapore’s infection rate began rising.

The South-East Asian country has one of the highest vaccination rates and
despite their ambitions to boldly “live with Covid”, the government has been
forced to tighten restrictions amid growing pressures on their healthcare
systems.

This Wednesday also saw the tiny nation of 5.6 million reach a grim record of 18
Covid-related deaths, with their seven-day average hitting 3635 cases.


While extended restrictions tempered crowds to an extent, many Singaporeans
still took to the streets this week to celebrate the Hindu festival of Diwali.
Picture: Roslan Rahman/AFP

However, according to a top infectious disease specialist, Professor Dale Fisher
says Australia should brace itself for a similar trajectory of rising cases.

This comes as millions of people in the locked down states of NSW and Victoria
have only just re-acclimated to life without a swath of restrictions. Australia
is also set to hit the all-important 80 per cent fully vaccinated goal for those
aged over 16.

“I think Australia could have a bit of a honeymoon for the next few months,
though I’d be a bit more worried in six months when you’re going back into
winter,” says Prof Fisher, speaking to The Australian.

“There will be these surges as the restrictions are pulled down, but the fact it
is coming into summer in Australia – when everyone opens their windows and
flocks outdoors – and everyone has been recently vaccinated could mean the surge
won’t be as big as it could have been.


After months in lockdown, Sydney football fans filled Western Sydney’s CommBank
Stadium after restrictions eased. Picture: Emma Rothfield

Prof Fishers puts this down to the fact that vaccines unfortunately become less
effective in preventing transmissions in the weeks and months after they’re
administered.

“A couple of weeks after you’ve had the vaccine is when it’s most effective (80
per cent) in preventing transmission, but four to six months later it’s more
like 40 per cent,” he said.



Despite this, they’re still important and very effective in protecting against
severe and deadlier bouts Covid-19.

Writing for The Conversation, Professor in Biomedical Sciences at the University
of Manchester, Sheena Cruickshank, says the most important goal of vaccination
is to “stop people getting dangerously ill and dying”.

“Fully vaccinated people in the US have been shown to be five times less likely
to get Covid-19 and 10 times less likely to be hospitalised or die from it,”
writes Prof Cruickshank.

What about booster shots?

For both Singapore and Australia, a third booster shot of the Covid-19 vaccine
is a way governments can protect their populations.

Singaporeans aged over 30 now have access to Moderna and Pfizer boosters, and
according to figures dated to October 27, 80.2 per cent of the population aged
60 and over have received a booster.

In Australia, boosters shots are now available for people over 18 at least six
months after their second Covid-19 vaccine dose.

Currently already available to immunocompromised Australians, the third shot of
the vaccine is particularly beneficial for those aged 60 and over, with
Australia’s Health Minister Greg Hunt saying their rollout will be focused on
people living with disability and those in aged care.


Australians have been called on Picture: NCA NewsWire/Brenton Edwards

Looking at the country of Israel, the effectiveness of booster shots is
promising.

The first country to launch a mass booster campaign, a study from the Lancet
Medical Journal showed a third shot of the Pfizer vaccine was 92 per cent more
effective in preventing serious illness compared to those who received only two
doses of the vaccine. Effectiveness of the vaccine was taken seven days after
the third dose and at least five months after the second dose.

MORE COVERAGE

Deadly twist for Covid ‘success’ storyNew quarantine-free spot for Aussies

Infections in Israel has also dropped since they introduced the booster program
on August 28.

New daily cases peaked at 11,347 on September 3, however they’ve since dropped
by more than 10,000 to under 667 cases on November 3.

 * 
 * 
 * 

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AUSSIES FORCED TO FUND HOMEGROWN VACCINE

Researchers have been forced to rely on donations just to make a “highly
successful” homegrown Covid vaccine available to Australians.


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