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NEWS BLOG


NALFA RELEASES 3 MODELS OF GROWTH FOR LITIGATION HOURLY RATES

August 10, 2020 | Posted in : Fee Award, Fee Calculation Method, Fee Data / Fee
Analytics, Fee Request, Hourly Rate Survey, Hourly Rates, Lodestar, NALFA News,
Study / Report

NALFA conducts custom hourly rate surveys for law firms, corporate legal
departments, and government agencies.  Our hourly rate surveys provide our
clients with the most current and accurate hourly rates within a given geography
and practice area.  Starting this year, 2020, NALFA is conducting hourly rate
surveys in 5 key practice areas.  These billing rate surveys show the current
average hourly rate range for both plaintiffs' and defense counsel at partner
and associate levels.

NALFA has released 3 different models of growth (linear, logarithmic, and
logistic) for hourly rate ranges in litigation.  These growth curves are based
on the universally accepted principle that hourly rates increase with experience
(i.e. partner rates are greater than associate rates).  Linear growth is
consistent straight-line growth.  Generally, logarithmic growth rises sharply
then levels off.  Generally, logistic (S-shaped) growth starts slowly, rises
sharply, then levels off.  We did not use exponential (J-shaped) growth because
an ever-increasing, very steep curve does not fit hourly rate billing economics.

“These growth models do not account for the factors that effect hourly rates
such as geography, practice area, party to litigation, complexity of case, size
of law firm, and economics that our surveys do,” said Terry Jesse, Executive
Director of NALFA.  "Those variables were not a part of this purely mathematical
exercise," Jesse emphasized.

From these growth curves, we learn 2 key concepts:

1.  Logarithmic growth seems to represent the economics of hourly rates and the
career span of litigators the best.  Generally, the growth starts rapidly, then
increases slower, then eventually levels off.  Here, the highest rate of billing
growth takes place in early-career.

2.  Logistic growth is another model that has some appeal to the economics of
hourly rates and the career span of litigators.  Generally, the growth starts
slowly, then increases rapidly, then eventually levels off.  Here, the highest
rate of billing growth takes place in mid-career.



The parameters of these models include the number of years continuously
practicing litigation (12 data points), plotted along the x axis and hourly rate
ranges (20 data points) along the y axis.  The litigation experience data sets
range (less than 2 Years-35+ years) has a variance of 1 year to 5 years.  The
hourly rate ranges (less than $200-over $1,200) include a variance of $50 and
$100.



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