moneymorning.com Open in urlscan Pro
2600:9000:2250:e800:3:7b6f:8f80:93a1  Public Scan

Submitted URL: https://events-c.mb.moneymorninglive.com/web-only/z/i80lu7wrc?uid=f9a22c97-a388-41b7-89b4-5ae4357cc040&mid=c226581e-91c8-4b60-bd98-cd7bf1...
Effective URL: https://moneymorning.com/investing/this-oilmans-retirement-party-is-worth-billions/?bsft_aaid=09f02da4-16a1-47d4-ad98-a6e...
Submission: On May 03 via api from BE — Scanned from DE

Form analysis 6 forms found in the DOM

GET /archives/

<form method="get" class="search-form" action="/archives/" role="search">
  <div class="stock-select stock-select--large" data-action="link" data-site-search="true" data-placeholder="Enter stock ticker or keyword" data-size="large" data-type="small" data-site_search="true">
    <div class="stock-select__wrap">
      <select data-name="stock-search" class="form-control select2-hidden-accessible" data-placeholder="Enter stock ticker or keyword" placeholder="Enter stock ticker or keyword" tabindex="-1" aria-hidden="true">
        <option value="">Select a stock…</option>
      </select><span class="select2 select2-container select2-container--bootstrap select2-container--below" dir="ltr" style="width: 100%;"><span class="selection"><span class="select2-selection select2-selection--single" role="combobox"
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              class="select2-results">
              <ul class="select2-results__options" role="tree" id="select2-3jj3-results"></ul>
            </span></span></span></span>
    </div>
  </div><button id="headerSearchFormSubmit"><i class="fas fa-search" aria-hidden="true"></i><span id="mobileSearchSubmit">Search</span></button>
</form>

POST https://moneymorning.com/wp-comments-post.php

<form action="https://moneymorning.com/wp-comments-post.php" method="post" id="commentform" class="comment-form">
  <p class="comment-notes"><span id="email-notes">Your email address will not be published.</span> <span class="required-field-message" aria-hidden="true">Required fields are marked <span class="required" aria-hidden="true">*</span></span></p>
  <p class="comment-form-comment"><label for="comment">Comment <span class="required" aria-hidden="true">*</span></label> <textarea id="comment" name="comment" cols="45" rows="8" maxlength="65525" required=""></textarea></p><span
    class="allowed-tags">Some HTML is OK</span>
  <p class="mm-signup-comment-checkbox"><label><input type="checkbox" name="mm-signup" id="mm-signup" class="mm-signup" value="1"> Sign me up for the <em>Money Morning</em> newsletter</label></p>
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  <p class="comment-form-url"><label for="url">Website</label> <input id="url" name="url" type="url" value="" size="30" maxlength="200"></p>
  <p class="comment-form-cookies-consent"><input id="wp-comment-cookies-consent" name="wp-comment-cookies-consent" type="checkbox" value="yes"> <label for="wp-comment-cookies-consent">Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time
      I comment.</label></p>
  <p class="form-submit"><input name="submit" type="submit" id="submit" class="submit" value="Post"> <input type="hidden" name="comment_post_ID" value="1213984" id="comment_post_ID">
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  <p style="display: none;"><input type="hidden" id="akismet_comment_nonce" name="akismet_comment_nonce" value="699870ddf6"></p>
  <p style="display: none !important;"><label>Δ<textarea name="ak_hp_textarea" cols="45" rows="8" maxlength="100"></textarea></label><input type="hidden" id="ak_js_1" name="ak_js" value="1683097237845">
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</form>

POST

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THIS OILMAN'S RETIREMENT PARTY IS WORTH BILLIONS



This expert insight from Garrett Baldwin originally ran in on April 27, 2023

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Δ

Garrett Baldwin

Dear Reader,

In 2016, Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD) founder Scott Sheffield retired. Shares
of the company he'd created had plunged from about $280 per share in mid-2014 to
around $110 by mid-2016. It was quite a drop and quite a blow to perhaps one of
the most prolific Texas oilmen in history. 

It came after a time of immense promise - one that ultimately turned into
disappointment.

See, back in 2014, U.S. oil prices surged above $100. The dramatic uptick in the
commodity price fueled an incredible boom around the United States. Oil
companies unleashed hydraulic fracturing technology - fracking - which could
pull untapped fuel from formations once untouchable. 

But that oil rush quickly turned into an oil bust. 

Overexpansion of production crushed shareholders in shale stocks, just like
PXD. 

After three years in retirement - Sheffield returned to Pioneer. And with him,
he brought a new philosophy to the shale oil industry. No longer was it focused
on boosting production. Instead, it centered on boosting shareholder value and
improving capital discipline. 

Pioneer bought back shares. It boosted its dividend. It paid down debt. Pioneer
became the largest operator in the oil-rich Permian basin but, critically,
didn't overdo it. The company has navigated wild swings in oil prices over the
last three years. And since early 2021, the stock has jumped from about $120 per
share to $215. 

This model has since become the standard of the entire oil industry in the
United States, especially when politicians remain hostile to our oil-and-gas
production and the Americans who work on those rigs.

In this environment, Sheffield is retiring again... and that could help spark a
land rush across the Permian.

Let me explain.

The Rush Starts With Sheffield's Exit

Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) is currently exploring a deal to buy Pioneer as
Sheffield departs the company. That leaves the company's chief operating
officer, Richard Dealey (who was also the former chief financial officer), in
charge of the company. This move suggests a deal will get done. Dealey knows the
operational efficiency of every rig, understands how that might fit into the
plans of a company like Exxon, and also knows every part of the balance sheet
and associated costs.

The new CEO has already said that any deal or offer will be a high bar. 

He's starting from a position of strength. The company could just keep doing
what it's doing. Churning out cash, producing at very low costs, and maintaining
shareholder discipline. But something tells me that Exxon could use a leader in
their "Permian operations" - someone who can synergize the would-be doubling of
the company's output.

Last night, during my live event (you can catch a replay right here - highly
recommended) I explained the importance of this deal. It forces the hand of
other big oil companies like Chevron Corp. (CVX), and ConocoPhillips Co. (COP)
to pick up activity across the markets. 

So, who are the targets? It's pretty obvious. Those will be publicly traded oil
and gas pr…

 



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Garrett Baldwin

About the Author

Browse Garrett's articles | View Garrett's research services

Garrett Baldwin is a globally recognized research economist, financial writer,
consultant, and political risk analyst with decades of trading experience and
degrees in economics, cybersecurity, and business from Johns Hopkins, Purdue,
Indiana University, and Northwestern.

… Read full bio



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