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2024 Election Forecast

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2024 Presidential Election

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Top

NewBreaking NewsUS ElectionSwing StatesMiddle EastSenate
RacesTrumpIranDemographicsMargin of VictoryElection MapsPollingNFLCrypto
PricesEconomyKamalaUkraineTrump TrialsMoviesBiden

Presidential Election Winner 2024

Donald Trump

58%

YesNo

Kamala Harris

42%

YesNo

Joe Biden

<1%

YesNo

Michelle Obama

<1%

YesNo

Gavin Newsom

<1%

YesNo

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

<1%

YesNo

Nikki Haley

<1%

YesNo

Ron DeSantis

<1%

YesNo

Vivek Ramaswamy

<1%

YesNo

Chris Christie

<1%

YesNo

Hillary Clinton

<1%

YesNo

AOC

<1%

YesNo

Bernie Sanders

<1%

YesNo

Elizabeth Warren

<1%

YesNo

Kanye

<1%

YesNo

Other Democrat Politician

<1%

YesNo

Other Republican Politician

<1%

YesNo
$3.2b Vol.
185,532

Popular Vote Winner 2024

Kamala Harris

71%

YesNo

Donald Trump

29%

YesNo

Joe Biden

<1%

YesNo

Michelle Obama

<1%

YesNo

Gavin Newsom

<1%

YesNo

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

<1%

YesNo

Nikki Haley

<1%

YesNo

Ron DeSantis

<1%

YesNo

Vivek Ramaswamy

<1%

YesNo

Chris Christie

<1%

YesNo

Hillary Clinton

<1%

YesNo

AOC

<1%

YesNo

Bernie Sanders

<1%

YesNo

Elizabeth Warren

<1%

YesNo

Other Democrat Politician

<1%

YesNo

Other Republican Politician

<1%

YesNo

Kanye West

<1%

YesNo
$553.2m Vol.
3,389

Balance of Power: 2024 Election

Republicans sweep

36%

YesNo

D Prez, R Senate, D House

26%

YesNo

Democrats sweep

17%

YesNo

R Prez, R Senate, D House

16%

YesNo

D Prez, R Senate, R House

6%

YesNo

D Prez, D Senate, R House

1%

YesNo

R Prez, D Senate, D House

1%

YesNo

R Prez, D Senate, R House

1%

YesNo

Other

<1%

YesNo
$61.6m Vol.
326

Trump wins every swing state?

20%

chance

Buy Yes

Buy No

$7.1m Vol.
361

Kamala Harris blowout victory?

17%

chance

Buy Yes

Buy No

$1.4m Vol.
33

Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?

58%

chance

Buy Yes

Buy No

$1.3m Vol.

Nate Silver

143

Iowa Margin of Victory

Harris by 4%+

5%

YesNo

Harris by 3-4%

4%

YesNo

Harris by 2-3%

7%

YesNo

Harris by 1-2%

9%

YesNo

Harris by 0-1%

5%

YesNo

Trump by 0-1%

6%

YesNo

Trump by 1-2%

6%

YesNo

Trump by 2-3%

7%

YesNo

Trump by 3-4%

6%

YesNo

Trump by 4-5%

6%

YesNo

Trump by 5-6%

6%

YesNo

Trump by 6-7%

6%

YesNo

Trump by 7-8%

7%

YesNo

Trump by 8-9%

7%

YesNo

Trump by 9-10%

9%

YesNo

Trump by 10%+

20%

YesNo
$754.9k Vol.
48

Closest state in the Presidential election?

Pennsylvania

25%

YesNo

Nevada

16%

YesNo

Wisconsin

12%

YesNo

Michigan

11%

YesNo

North Carolina

10%

YesNo

Other

9%

YesNo

Georgia

8%

YesNo

New Hampshire

6%

YesNo

Arizona

6%

YesNo

Texas

3%

YesNo

Minnesota

3%

YesNo

Florida

2%

YesNo
$603.9k Vol.
9

Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?

24%

chance

Buy Yes

Buy No

$489.0k Vol.
14

What will Trump say during Pittsburgh, PA rally?

Pocahontas

89%

YesNo

Saudi Arabia

73%

YesNo

Peanut/Squirrel

17%

YesNo

Border 20+ times

64%

YesNo

Border 30+ times

14%

YesNo

Kamala 25+ times

40%

YesNo

Pennsylvania 20+ times

20%

YesNo

Hell 20+ times

59%

YesNo

China 7+ times

66%

YesNo

Gun 5+ times

53%

YesNo

Mexico 4+ times

58%

YesNo

Think Of It 5+ times

48%

YesNo

God 4+ times

55%

YesNo

Can You Imagine 3+ times

88%

YesNo

Teleprompter 3+ times

16%

YesNo

Hitler

17%

YesNo

Dark MAGA

12%

YesNo

McDonald's

78%

YesNo

Trans

94%

YesNo

Crypto/Bitcoin

3%

YesNo

Tampon

4%

YesNo
$420.6k Vol.
184

Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep?

40%

chance

Buy Yes

Buy No

$285.4k Vol.
7

Champions League Winner

Manchester City

21%

YesNo

Real Madrid

18%

YesNo

Barcelona

16%

YesNo

Arsenal

9%

YesNo

Liverpool

8%

YesNo

Bayern Munich

8%

YesNo

Inter Milan

4%

YesNo

Bayer Leverkusen

3%

YesNo

Aston Villa

3%

YesNo

Paris Saint-Germain

2%

YesNo

Borussia Dortmund

2%

YesNo

Juventus

2%

YesNo

Atletico Madrid

1%

YesNo

Sporting CP

1%

YesNo

AC Milan

1%

YesNo

Monaco

1%

YesNo

Lille

1%

YesNo

Atalanta

1%

YesNo

Benfica

1%

YesNo

Celtic

1%

YesNo

Dinamo Zagreb

1%

YesNo

Sparta Prague

1%

YesNo

Sturm Graz

1%

YesNo

RB Leipzig

<1%

YesNo

Red Bull Salzburg

<1%

YesNo

Shakhtar Donetsk

<1%

YesNo

Stuttgart

<1%

YesNo

Club Brugge

<1%

YesNo

Feyenoord

<1%

YesNo

Girona

<1%

YesNo

PSV

<1%

YesNo

Slovan Bratislava

<1%

YesNo

Stade Brestois

<1%

YesNo

Young Boys

<1%

YesNo

Red Star Belgrade

<1%

YesNo

Bologna

<1%

YesNo
$335.9m Vol.
112
Show more

Iran strike on Israel on Nov 5?

9%

chance

Buy Yes

Buy No


NEW

2

UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates

Magny vs. Prates

30%

MagnyPrates

Garbrandt vs. Johns

53%

GarbrandtJohns

Kowalkiewicz vs. Gomes

53%

KowalkiewiczGomes

Turcios vs. Sopaj

53%

TurciosSopaj

Meerschaert vs. de Ridder

53%

Meerschaertde Ridder

Pinheiro vs. Robertson

53%

PinheiroRobertson

NEW



Israel military strike against Iran in November?

49%

chance

Buy Yes

Buy No


NEW

4

Will Biden resign in 2024?

6%

chance

Buy Yes

Buy No

$6.0k Vol.
5

Will Biden resign in November?

2%

chance

Buy Yes

Buy No


NEW

6

Iowa Margin of Victory

Harris by 4%+

5%

YesNo

Harris by 3-4%

4%

YesNo

Harris by 2-3%

7%

YesNo

Harris by 1-2%

8%

YesNo

Harris by 0-1%

5%

YesNo

Trump by 0-1%

6%

YesNo

Trump by 1-2%

6%

YesNo

Trump by 2-3%

7%

YesNo

Trump by 3-4%

6%

YesNo

Trump by 4-5%

6%

YesNo

Trump by 5-6%

6%

YesNo

Trump by 6-7%

6%

YesNo

Trump by 7-8%

7%

YesNo

Trump by 8-9%

7%

YesNo

Trump by 9-10%

9%

YesNo

Trump by 10%+

20%

YesNo
$754.9k Vol.
48

What will Trump say during Grand Rapids, MI rally?

Trump Derangement Syndrome/TDS

38%

YesNo

Peanut/Squirrel

15%

YesNo

Fake Jobs

78%

YesNo

Border 20+ times

66%

YesNo

Border 30+ times

9%

YesNo

Kamala 25+ times

52%

YesNo

Michigan 20+ times

26%

YesNo

Hell 20+ times

47%

YesNo

China 7+ times

64%

YesNo

Venezuela/Venezuelan 5+ times

24%

YesNo

Gun 5+ times

59%

YesNo

God 4+ times

58%

YesNo

Rogan

22%

YesNo

Reagan

47%

YesNo

Pocahontas

79%

YesNo

Missile Defense Shield

87%

YesNo

Dark MAGA

15%

YesNo

Shanghai

59%

YesNo

McDonald's

83%

YesNo

Trans

93%

YesNo

Tampon

4%

YesNo

Crypto/Bitcoin

3%

YesNo
$161.6k Vol.
35

What will Trump say during Pittsburgh, PA rally?

Pocahontas

89%

YesNo

Saudi Arabia

73%

YesNo

Peanut/Squirrel

17%

YesNo

Border 20+ times

64%

YesNo

Border 30+ times

14%

YesNo

Kamala 25+ times

46%

YesNo

Pennsylvania 20+ times

20%

YesNo

Hell 20+ times

59%

YesNo

China 7+ times

66%

YesNo

Gun 5+ times

53%

YesNo

Mexico 4+ times

58%

YesNo

Think Of It 5+ times

48%

YesNo

God 4+ times

55%

YesNo

Can You Imagine 3+ times

88%

YesNo

Teleprompter 3+ times

16%

YesNo

Hitler

17%

YesNo

Dark MAGA

12%

YesNo

McDonald's

78%

YesNo

Trans

94%

YesNo

Crypto/Bitcoin

3%

YesNo

Tampon

4%

YesNo
$420.6k Vol.
184

U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?

46%

chance

Buy Yes

Buy No

$23.9k Vol.
4

U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤10k votes?

8%

chance

Buy Yes

Buy No


NEW

2

Will 3rd parties cost Kamala Michigan?

27%

chance

Buy Yes

Buy No

$12.5k Vol.
4

S&P500 all time high after election is called?

20%

chance

Buy Yes

Buy No

$5.1k Vol.
8
Show more

Recent Activity

See all

AP doesn't call the election by November 20?

wokerjoesleeper bought No at 97¢ ($4.87)

15s ago

Will the AP call the election on November 9?

wokerjoesleeper bought No at 97¢ ($4.85)

15s ago

Will the AP call the election on November 8?

wokerjoesleeper bought No at 94¢ ($4.70)

15s ago

Will Celtic win the UEFA Champions League?

JY1pR8ze9c5jG4kK... bought No at 99¢ ($4.25)

15s ago

Will the AP call the election on November 6?

wokerjoesleeper bought No at 56¢ ($2.80)

15s ago

Top Volume This Week

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1


0x971f91a412236cc942a6f4485d3d88aa8...

$33,752,072

6


0xP

$8,658,038

2


kingfisher

$12,668,391

7


2gjftjdj

$7,829,103

3


leier

$10,782,329

8


larpas

$7,437,373

4

dopium

$10,148,987

9


0xcf3b13042cb6ceb928722b2aa5d458323...

$7,183,919

5


fgtr

$9,709,496

10


undertaker

$6,906,561

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