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OPINION

HOUSE REPUBLICANS TRY TO BLOW UP THE BORDER DEAL THEY CLAIM TO WANT

By Catherine Rampell
Columnist|AddFollow
January 19, 2024 at 8:00 a.m. EST

House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) speaks to journalists outside the White House
on Wednesday after meeting with President Biden. (Susan Walsh/AP)

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Crisis! Invasion! A national security and humanitarian catastrophe!

GOP politicians have been shrieking about the U.S.-Mexico border since President
Biden took office. Yet when offered the chance to beef up security there, House
Republicans refuse.


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It’s an election year, after all. And when it comes to immigration, the problem
is much more valuable than its cure.



Southwest border encounters have been rising in recent months, and cities across
the country have struggled to manage an influx of desperate migrants not legally
allowed to work and support themselves. Over in the Senate, lawmakers have been
hashing out a bipartisan deal to address the issue.

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From what we know about the deal so far, there’s much to find objectionable,
including attempts to hamstring the asylum and humanitarian parole systems.
Which is unsurprising, given that it’s being pushed by Republican hard-liners
such as Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (Ky.), James Lankford (Okla.) and
Lindsey Graham (S.C.).

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But whatever ends up in this evolving deal, GOP House lawmakers have already
preemptively rejected it.

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Speaker Mike Johnson (La.) and other GOP House leaders have said that anything
less than H.R. 2 — a draconian messaging bill that could never pass the
Democratic-controlled Senate — would be “dead” in their chamber.

Yet during a news conference Wednesday, Johnson suggested the Senate deal might
also be too broad. “I don’t think now is the time for comprehensive immigration
reform,” he said.

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Got that? The Senate deal will do too little and too much.

If that critique sounds incoherent, that’s because it is. The real aim of House
leadership might be not to push negotiations in any particular direction but to
blow them up entirely.

In a conference call this week, Johnson told his colleagues that Congress cannot
solve the border crisis until Donald Trump or another Republican is president
again, Punchbowl News reported. Which seems to give the game away: Rather than
resolve a telegenic crisis, Republicans apparently plan to keep it going to
mobilize their base ahead of the election.

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“After congressional Republicans spent years elevating the border crisis,
calling it an invasion and rightfully pushing for immediate action, the House
Republican position is now basically ‘Let’s wait for Trump’ — even though he may
not get elected and definitely couldn’t pass a border bill,” an unnamed Senate
Republican aide told Punchbowl.

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Other GOP officials have said as much on the record, too.

“There are some that are saying, ‘Hey, we don’t want Biden to actually get
credit for doing anything on the border, because obviously, he’s made a huge
mess,’” said Lankford, the lead Republican negotiator in the Senate.

Trump is similarly urging his congressional acolytes to hold the line. As he
wrote on his platform Truth Social, “I do not think we should do a Border Deal,
at all, unless we get EVERYTHING needed to shut down the INVASION of Millions &
Millions of people, many from parts unknown, into our once great, but soon to be
great again, Country!”

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If you think Trump and others could genuinely push through “tougher” policy with
control of the White House, think again.

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Many voters might not realize this, but any seasoned politician knows that an
immigration bill like this would need 60 votes to advance in the Senate, which
means it would require at least a few votes from Democrats. This would be a high
hurdle for any hard-line border bill, but Republicans have unusually strong
leverage right now because Biden and other Democrats are eager to neutralize the
border as a campaign issue. They are also anxious to pass more Ukraine aid
(which would be bundled in this bill).

If Congress instead were to wait for a Republican to return to the White House
to craft a bill, Democrats would likely withhold their votes to extract
significant concessions on progressive priorities (such as a pathway to
citizenship for “dreamers,” undocumented immigrants largely brought here as
children).

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This will likely be the dynamic even if Republicans end up controlling the
presidency and both chambers of Congress, since Republicans probably can’t win
60 Senate seats.

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Don’t take my word for it. McConnell and his frustrated GOP Senate colleagues
have laid out this political logic themselves. As Graham said Wednesday in a
news conference, “To those who think that if President Trump wins, which I hope
he does, that we can get a better deal: You won’t. You gotta get 60 votes in the
United States Senate.”

If House Republicans actually cared about alleviating strain at the border,
there is plenty they could throw their support behind. They could, for instance,
create more legal pathways to come to the United States so that people don’t
show up at the border unannounced and unvetted. Or lawmakers could devote more
resources to border operations and the asylum system so that cases can be
adjudicated more swiftly.

But when there’s no will, there’s no way.

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