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                  <div class="figure-label">Figure 1. &nbsp;Forest Plots of the Pooled Prevalence of Clinically Significant Depressive Symptoms in Youth During the COVID-19 Pandemic</div><a id="poi210043f1" class="figure-table-anchor"> </a>
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                    </div>
                  </div>
                  <div class="figure-caption clip-last-child">
                    <p class="para">Contributing studies for clinically elevated depression symptoms are presented in order of largest to smallest prevalence rate. Square data markers represent prevalence rates, with lines around the marker
                      indicating 95% CIs. The diamond data marker represents the overall effect size based on included studies.</p>
                  </div>
                </div>
                <div class="figure-table-wrapper thm-bd-top">
                  <div class="figure-label">Figure 2. &nbsp;Forest Plots of the Pooled Prevalence of Clinically Significant Anxiety Symptoms in Youth During the COVID-19 Pandemic</div><a id="poi210043f2" class="figure-table-anchor"> </a>
                  <div class="figure-table-links right">
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                    </div>
                  </div>
                  <div class="figure-caption clip-last-child">
                    <p class="para">Contributing studies for clinically elevated anxiety symptoms are presented in order of largest to smallest prevalence rate. Square data markers represent prevalence rates, with lines around the marker indicating
                      95% CIs. The diamond data marker represents the overall effect size based on included studies.</p>
                  </div>
                </div>
              </div>
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                  <div class="table-label">Table 1. &nbsp;Characteristics of Studies Included</div><a class="figure-table-anchor" id="poi210043t1"> </a>
                  <div class="figure-table-links right">
                    <a class="view-large figure-table-link is-b desktop-only" path-from-xml="poi210043t1" href="https://cdn.jamanetwork.com/ama/content_public/journal/peds/938800/poi210043t1_1635371730.43466.png?Expires=1640636926&amp;Signature=ghaQtXhjX09NYBheDUaCQOze2FB8Bma5ZOVl6bN8H5E2n3Y9-wR3UxBHqDPNuf017C-EGTIBe~uQPwcgN0dJDZXuUzBAaEYszC3Vf6Adi0za9XKElexyfZFcG8mYvcEwrGzR4C9fYmPQEcThFCx8BT50SwjkTysUz-k~qAYUiVoEbuve4XmHgT2GRN-nc-aUjl2Mks7s6XhGcxKuA6mVIhqRniX0UWPqoyE2tWGGlq3o-4sLDjsaKp55AIfGAJxdxF598rQl7qFbpR998x-LOCUkKhJjJKJbT4BtvwqiAA4TIlQzybGV0rNa6qIo7R89PFBejQzSfSV-6Qcqe0GCTQ__&amp;Key-Pair-Id=APKAIE5G5CRDK6RD3PGA" target="_blank" rel="nofollow"><span class="view-large-text">View Large</span></a><a class="download-ppt figure-table-link is-b" path-from-xml="poi210043t1" href="/downloadimage.aspx?image=https://cdn.jamanetwork.com/ama/content_public/journal/peds/938800/poi210043t1_1635371730.43466.png?Expires=1640636926&amp;Signature=ghaQtXhjX09NYBheDUaCQOze2FB8Bma5ZOVl6bN8H5E2n3Y9-wR3UxBHqDPNuf017C-EGTIBe~uQPwcgN0dJDZXuUzBAaEYszC3Vf6Adi0za9XKElexyfZFcG8mYvcEwrGzR4C9fYmPQEcThFCx8BT50SwjkTysUz-k~qAYUiVoEbuve4XmHgT2GRN-nc-aUjl2Mks7s6XhGcxKuA6mVIhqRniX0UWPqoyE2tWGGlq3o-4sLDjsaKp55AIfGAJxdxF598rQl7qFbpR998x-LOCUkKhJjJKJbT4BtvwqiAA4TIlQzybGV0rNa6qIo7R89PFBejQzSfSV-6Qcqe0GCTQ__&amp;Key-Pair-Id=APKAIE5G5CRDK6RD3PGA&amp;sec=248076489&amp;ar=2782796&amp;imagename=&amp;siteId=19" rel="nofollow"><span class="download-ppt-text">Download</span></a><a class="figure-table-twitter figure-table-link figure-table-social addthis_button_twitter is-b at300b" rel="nofollow" title="Twitter" href="#"><span class="share-text"> </span></a><a class="figure-table-facebook figure-table-link figure-table-social addthis_button_facebook is-b at300b" rel="nofollow" title="Facebook" href="#"><span class="share-text"> </span></a>
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                    </div>
                  </div>
                  <div class="table-caption"></div>
                </div>
                <div class="figure-table-wrapper thm-bd-top">
                  <div class="table-label">Table 2. &nbsp;Results of Moderator Analyses for the Prevalence of Depressive Symptoms in Children and Adolescence During COVID-19</div><a class="figure-table-anchor" id="poi210043t2"> </a>
                  <div class="figure-table-links right">
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                    </div>
                  </div>
                  <div class="table-caption"></div>
                </div>
                <div class="figure-table-wrapper thm-bd-top">
                  <div class="table-label">Table 3. &nbsp;Results of Moderator Analyses for the Prevalence of Anxiety Symptoms in Children and Adolescence During COVID-19</div><a class="figure-table-anchor" id="poi210043t3"> </a>
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                <div class="supplement-title"><span class="title-label">Supplement.</span><p class="para">eTable 1. Example Search Strategy from Medline</p><p class="para">eTable 2. Study Quality Evaluation Criteria</p><p class="para">eTable 3. Quality Assessment of Studies Included</p><p class="para">eTable 4. Sensitivity analysis excluding low quality studies (score=2) for moderators of the prevalence of clinically elevated depressive symptoms in children and adolescence during COVID-19</p><p class="para">eTable 5. Sensitivity analysis excluding low quality studies (score=2) for moderators of the prevalence of clinically elevated anxiety symptoms in children and adolescence during COVID-19</p><p class="para">eFigure 1. PRISMA diagram of review search strategy</p><p class="para">eFigure 2. Funnel plot for studies included in the clinically elevated depressive symptoms</p><p class="para">eFigure 3. Funnel plot for studies included in the clinically elevated anxiety symptoms</p></div>
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                      <div class="meta-author-name"><sup>1</sup>Department of Psychology, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada</div>
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                      <div class="meta-author-name"><sup>2</sup>Alberta Children’s Hospital Research Institute, Calgary, Alberta, Canada </div>
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                <span class="meta-citation-journal-name">JAMA Pediatr. </span><span class="meta-citation"> 2021;175(11):1142-1150. doi:10.1001/jamapediatrics.2021.2482</span>
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                <span class="heading-text thm-col h3 cb section-type-keyPoints decorated-hed sb-sc ">Key Points</span>
                <p><strong>Question</strong>&nbsp; <span>What is the global prevalence of clinically elevated child and adolescent anxiety and depression symptoms during COVID-19?</span></p>
                <p><strong>Findings</strong>&nbsp; <span>In this meta-analysis of 29 studies including 80 879 youth globally, the pooled prevalence estimates of clinically elevated child and adolescent depression and anxiety were 25.2% and 20.5%,
                    respectively. The prevalence of depression and anxiety symptoms during COVID-19 have doubled, compared with prepandemic estimates, and moderator analyses revealed that prevalence rates were higher when collected later in the
                    pandemic, in older adolescents, and in girls.</span></p>
                <p><strong>Meaning</strong>&nbsp; <span>The global estimates of child and adolescent mental illness observed in the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic in this study indicate that the prevalence has significantly increased, remains
                    high, and therefore warrants attention for mental health recovery planning.</span></p> <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076463"></a>
                <div class="h3 cb section-type-abstract decorated-hed ">
                  <div class="heading-text thm-col sb-sc"> Abstract </div>
                </div>
                <p><strong>Importance</strong>&nbsp; <span>Emerging research suggests that the global prevalence of child and adolescent mental illness has increased considerably during COVID-19. However, substantial variability in prevalence rates
                    have been reported across the literature.</span></p>
                <p><strong>Objective</strong>&nbsp; <span>To ascertain more precise estimates of the global prevalence of child and adolescent clinically elevated depression and anxiety symptoms during COVID-19; to compare these rates with
                    prepandemic estimates; and to examine whether demographic (eg, age, sex), geographical (ie, global region), or methodological (eg, pandemic data collection time point, informant of mental illness, study quality) factors explained
                    variation in prevalence rates across studies.</span></p>
                <p><strong>Data Sources</strong>&nbsp; <span>Four databases were searched (PsycInfo, Embase, MEDLINE, and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials) from January 1, 2020, to February 16, 2021, and unpublished studies were
                    searched in <i>PsycArXiv</i> on March 8, 2021, for studies reporting on child/adolescent depression and anxiety symptoms. The search strategy combined search terms from 3 themes: (1) mental illness (including depression and
                    anxiety), (2) COVID-19, and (3) children and adolescents (age ≤18 years). For <i>PsycArXiv</i>, the key terms <i>COVID-19</i>, <i>mental health</i>, and <i>child/adolescent</i> were used.</span></p>
                <p><strong>Study Selection</strong>&nbsp; <span>Studies were included if they were published in English, had quantitative data, and reported prevalence of clinically elevated depression or anxiety in youth (age ≤18 years).</span></p>
                <p><strong>Data Extraction and Synthesis</strong>&nbsp; <span>A total of 3094 nonduplicate titles/abstracts were retrieved, and 136 full-text articles were reviewed. Data were analyzed from March 8 to 22, 2021.</span></p>
                <p><strong>Main Outcomes and Measures</strong>&nbsp; <span>Prevalence rates of clinically elevated depression and anxiety symptoms in youth.</span></p>
                <p><strong>Results</strong>&nbsp; <span>Random-effect meta-analyses were conducted. Twenty-nine studies including 80 879 participants met full inclusion criteria. Pooled prevalence estimates of clinically elevated depression and
                    anxiety symptoms were 25.2% (95% CI, 21.2%-29.7%) and 20.5% (95% CI, 17.2%-24.4%), respectively. Moderator analyses revealed that the prevalence of clinically elevated depression and anxiety symptoms were higher in studies
                    collected later in the pandemic and in girls. Depression symptoms were higher in older children.</span></p>
                <p><strong>Conclusions and Relevance</strong>&nbsp; <span>Pooled estimates obtained in the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic suggest that 1 in 4 youth globally are experiencing clinically elevated depression symptoms, while 1 in 5
                    youth are experiencing clinically elevated anxiety symptoms. These pooled estimates, which increased over time, are double of prepandemic estimates. An influx of mental health care utilization is expected, and allocation of
                    resources to address child and adolescent mental health concerns are essential.</span></p>
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                <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076468"></a>
                <div class="h3 cb section-type-section  ">
                  <div class="heading-text thm-col sb-sc"> Introduction </div>
                </div>
                <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076469"></a>
                <p class="para">Prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, rates of clinically significant generalized anxiety and depressive symptoms in large youth cohorts were approximately
                  11.6%<sup><a href="#poi210043r1" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">1</a></sup> and
                  12.9%,<sup><a href="#poi210043r2" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">2</a></sup> respectively. Since COVID-19 was declared an international public health emergency, youth around the world have
                  experienced dramatic disruptions to their everyday lives.<sup><a href="#poi210043r3" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">3</a></sup> Youth are enduring pervasive social isolation and missed
                  milestones, along with school closures, quarantine orders, increased family stress, and decreased peer interactions, all potential precipitants of psychological distress and mental health difficulties in
                  youth.<sup><a href="#poi210043r4" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">4</a></sup><sup>-<a href="#poi210043r4" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">7</a></sup>
                  Indeed, in both
                  cross-sectional<sup><a href="#poi210043r8" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">8</a></sup><sup>,<a href="#poi210043r9" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">9</a></sup>
                  and longitudinal
                  studies<sup><a href="#poi210043r10" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">10</a></sup><sup>,<a href="#poi210043r11" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">11</a></sup>
                  amassed to date, the prevalence of youth mental illness appears to have increased during the COVID-19 pandemic.<sup><a href="#poi210043r3" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">3</a></sup> However,
                  data collected vary considerably. Specifically, ranges from 2.2%<sup><a href="#poi210043r12" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">12</a></sup> to
                  63.8%<sup><a href="#poi210043r13" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">13</a></sup> and
                  1.8%<sup><a href="#poi210043r12" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">12</a></sup> to
                  49.5%<sup><a href="#poi210043r13" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">13</a></sup> for clinically elevated depression and anxiety symptoms, respectively. As governments and policy makers deploy
                  and implement recovery plans, ascertaining precise estimates of the burden of mental illness for youth are urgently needed to inform service deployment and resource allocation.</p>
                <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076470"></a>
                <p class="para">Depression and generalized anxiety are 2 of the most common mental health concerns in youth.<sup><a href="#poi210043r14" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">14</a></sup> Depressive
                  symptoms, which include feelings of sadness, loss of interest and pleasure in activities, as well as disruption to regulatory functions such as sleep and
                  appetite,<sup><a href="#poi210043r15" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">15</a></sup> could be elevated during the pandemic as a result of social isolation due to school closures and physical
                  distancing requirements.<sup><a href="#poi210043r6" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">6</a></sup> Generalized anxiety symptoms in youth manifest as uncontrollable worry, fear, and
                  hyperarousal.<sup><a href="#poi210043r15" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">15</a></sup> Uncertainty, disruptions in daily routines, and concerns for the health and well-being of family and
                  loved ones during the COVID-19 pandemic are likely associated with increases in generalized anxiety in youth.<sup><a href="#poi210043r16" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">16</a></sup></p>
                <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076471"></a>
                <p class="para">When heterogeneity is observed across studies, as is the case with youth mental illness during COVID-19, it often points to the need to examine demographic, geographical, and methodological moderators. Moderator
                  analyses can determine for whom and under what circumstances prevalence is higher vs lower. With regard to demographic factors, prevalence rates of mental illness both prior to and during the COVID-19 pandemic are differentially
                  reported across child age and sex, with
                  girls<sup><a href="#poi210043r17" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">17</a></sup><sup>,<a href="#poi210043r18" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">18</a></sup>
                  and older
                  children<sup><a href="#poi210043r17" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">17</a></sup><sup>,<a href="#poi210043r19" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">19</a></sup>
                  being at greater risk for internalizing disorders. Studies have also shown that youth living in regions that experienced greater disease
                  burden<sup><a href="#poi210043r2" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">2</a></sup> and urban
                  areas<sup><a href="#poi210043r20" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">20</a></sup> had greater mental illness severity. Methodological characteristics of studies also have the potential to
                  influence the estimated prevalence rates. For example, studies of poorer methodological quality may be more likely to overestimate prevalence
                  rates.<sup><a href="#poi210043r21" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">21</a></sup> The symptom reporter (ie, child vs parent) may also contribute to variability in the prevalence of mental
                  illness across studies. Indeed, previous research prior to the pandemic has demonstrated that child and parent reports of internalizing symptoms
                  vary,<sup><a href="#poi210043r22" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">22</a></sup> with children/adolescents reporting more internalizing symptoms than
                  parents.<sup><a href="#poi210043r23" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">23</a></sup> Lastly, it is important to consider the role of data collection timing on potential prevalence rates. While
                  feelings of stress and overwhelm may have been greater in the early months of the pandemic compared with later,<sup><a href="#poi210043r24" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">24</a></sup>
                  extended social isolation and school closures may have exerted mental health concerns.</p> <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076472"></a>
                <p class="para">Although a narrative systematic review of 6 studies early in the pandemic was conducted,<sup><a href="#poi210043r8" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">8</a></sup> to our knowledge,
                  no meta-analysis of prevalence rates of child and adolescent mental illness during the pandemic has been undertaken. In the current study, we conducted a meta-analysis of the global prevalence of clinically elevated symptoms of
                  depression and anxiety (ie, exceeding a clinical cutoff score on a validated measure or falling in the moderate to severe symptom range of anxiety and depression) in youth during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic. While
                  research has documented a worsening of symptoms for children and youth with a wide range of anxiety disorders,<sup><a href="#poi210043r25" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">25</a></sup>
                  including social anxiety,<sup><a href="#poi210043r26" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">26</a></sup> clinically elevated symptoms of generalized anxiety are the focus of the current
                  meta-analysis. In addition to deriving pooled prevalence estimates, we examined demographic, geographical, and methodological factors that may explain between-study differences. Given that there have been several precipitants of
                  psychological distress for youth during COVID-19, we hypothesized that pooled prevalence rates would be higher compared with prepandemic estimates. We also hypothesized that child mental illness would be higher among studies with
                  older children, a higher percentage of female individuals, studies conducted later in the pandemic, and that higher-quality studies would have lower prevalence rates.</p> <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076473"></a>
                <div class="h3 cb section-type-section  ">
                  <div class="heading-text thm-col sb-sc"> Methods </div>
                </div>
                <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076474"></a>
                <div class="h4 cb section-type-section  ">
                  <div class="heading-text "> Search Strategy and Selection Criteria </div>
                </div>
                <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076475"></a>
                <p class="para">This systematic review was registered as a protocol with PROSPERO (CRD42020184903) and the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses
                  (<a href="http://www.equator-network.org/reporting-guidelines/prisma/">PRISMA</a>) reporting guideline was followed.<sup><a href="#poi210043r27" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">27</a></sup>
                  Ethics review was not required for the study. Electronic searches were conducted in collaboration with a health sciences librarian in PsycInfo, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), Embase, and MEDLINE from
                  inception to February 16, 2021. The search strategy (eTable 1 in the <a class="supplement-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-supplemental" href="#note-POI210043-1">Supplement</a>) combined search terms from 3 themes:
                  (1) mental illness (including depression and anxiety), (2) COVID-19, and (3) children and adolescents (age ≤18 years). Both database and subject headings were used to search keywords. As a result of the rapidly evolving nature of
                  research during the COVID-19 pandemic, we also searched a repository of unpublished preprints, <i>PsycArXiv</i>. The key terms <i>COVID-19</i>, <i>mental health</i>, and <i>child/adolescent</i> were used on March 8, 2021, and
                  yielded 38 studies of which 1 met inclusion criteria.</p> <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076476"></a>
                <p class="para">The following inclusion criteria were applied: (1) sample was drawn from a general population; (2) proportion of individuals meeting clinical cutoff scores or falling in the moderate to severe symptom range of anxiety
                  or depression as predetermined by validated self-report measures were provided; (3) data were collected during COVID-19; (4) participants were 18 years or younger; (5) study was empirical; and (6) studies were written in English.
                  Samples of participants who may be affected differently from a mental health perspective during COVID-19 were excluded (eg, children with preexisting psychiatric diagnoses, children with chronic illnesses, children diagnosed or
                  suspected of having COVID-19). We also excluded case studies and qualitative analyses.</p> <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076477"></a>
                <p class="para">Five (N.R., B.A.M., J.E.C., R.E. and J.Z.) authors used Covidence software (Covidence Inc) to review all abstracts and to determine if the study met criteria for inclusion. Twenty percent of abstracts reviewed for
                  inclusion were double-coded, and the mean random agreement probability was 0.89; disagreements were resolved via consensus with the first author (N.R.). Two authors (N.R. and B.A.M.) reviewed full-text articles to determine if they
                  met all inclusion criteria and the percent agreement was 0.80; discrepancies were resolved via consensus.</p> <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076478"></a>
                <div class="h4 cb section-type-section  ">
                  <div class="heading-text "> Data Extraction </div>
                </div>
                <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076479"></a>
                <p class="para">When studies met inclusion criteria, prevalence rates for anxiety and depression were extracted, as well as potential moderators. When more than 1 wave of data was provided, the wave with the largest sample size was
                  selected. For 1 study in which both parent and youth reports were provided,<sup><a href="#poi210043r26" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">26</a></sup> the youth report was selected, given
                  research that they are the reliable informants of their own behavior.<sup><a href="#poi210043r28" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">28</a></sup> The following moderators were extracted: (1)
                  study quality (see the next subsection); (2) participant age (continuously as a mean); (3) sex (% female in a sample); (4) geographical region (eg, East Asia, Europe, North America), (5) informant (child, parent), (6) month in 2020
                  when data were collected (range, 1-12). Data from all studies were extracted by 1 coder and the first author (N.R.). Discrepancies were resolved via consensus.</p> <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076480"></a>
                <div class="h4 cb section-type-section  ">
                  <div class="heading-text "> Study Quality </div>
                </div>
                <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076481"></a>
                <p class="para">Adapted from the National Institute of Health Quality Assessment Tool for Observation Cohort and Cross-Sectional Studies, a short 5-item questionnaire was used (eTable 2 in the
                  <a class="supplement-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-supplemental" href="#note-POI210043-1">Supplement</a>).<sup><a href="#poi210043r29" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">29</a></sup>
                  Studies were given a score of 0 (no) or 1 (yes) for each of the 5 criteria (validated measure; peer-reviewed, response rate ≥50%, objective assessment, sufficient exposure time) and summed to give a total score of 5. When
                  information was unclear or not provided by the study authors, it was marked as 0 (no).</p> <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076482"></a>
                <div class="h4 cb section-type-section  ">
                  <div class="heading-text "> Data Analysis </div>
                </div>
                <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076483"></a>
                <p class="para">All included studies are from independent samples. Comprehensive Meta-Analysis version 3.0 (Biostat) software was used for data analysis. Pooled prevalence estimates with associated 95% confidence intervals around the
                  estimate were computed. We weighted pooled prevalence estimates by the weight of the inverse of their variance, which gives greater weight to large sample sizes.</p> <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076484"></a>
                <p class="para">We used random-effects models to reflect the variations observed across studies and assessed between-study heterogeneity using the <i>Q</i> and <i>I<sup>2</sup></i> statistics. Pooled prevalence is reported as an event
                  rate (ie, 0.30) but interpreted as prevalence (ie, 30.0%). Significant <i>Q</i> statistics and <i>I<sup>2</sup></i> values more than 75% suggest moderator analyses should be
                  explored.<sup><a href="#poi210043r30" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">30</a></sup> As recommended by Bornstein et
                  al,<sup><a href="#poi210043r30" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">30</a></sup> we examined categorical moderators when <i>k</i> of 10 or higher and a minimum cell size of <i>k</i> more than 3
                  were available. A <i>P</i> value of .05 was considered statistically significant. For continuous moderators, random-effect meta-regression analyses were conducted. Publication bias was examined using the Egger
                  test<sup><a href="#poi210043r31" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">31</a></sup> and by inspecting funnel plots for symmetry.</p> <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076485"></a>
                <div class="h3 cb section-type-section  ">
                  <div class="heading-text thm-col sb-sc"> Results </div>
                </div>
                <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076486"></a>
                <p class="para">Our electronic search yielded 3094 nonduplicate records (eFigure 1 in the <a class="supplement-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-supplemental" href="#note-POI210043-1">Supplement</a>). Based on the
                  abstract review, a total of 136 full-text articles were retrieved to examine against inclusion criteria, and 29 nonoverlapping
                  studies<sup><a href="#poi210043r10" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">10</a></sup><sup>,<a href="#poi210043r12" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">12</a></sup><sup>,<a href="#poi210043r13" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">13</a>,<a href="#poi210043r17" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">17</a></sup><sup>,<a href="#poi210043r19" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">19</a></sup><sup>,<a href="#poi210043r20" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">20</a>,<a href="#poi210043r26" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">26</a></sup><sup>,<a href="#poi210043r32" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">32</a></sup><sup>-<a href="#poi210043r32" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">53</a></sup>
                  met full inclusion criteria.</p> <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076487"></a>
                <div class="h4 cb section-type-section  ">
                  <div class="heading-text "> Study Characteristics </div>
                </div>
                <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076488"></a>
                <p class="para">A total of 29 studies were included in the meta-analyses, of which 26 had youth symptom reports and 3
                  studies<sup><a href="#poi210043r39" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">39</a></sup><sup>,<a href="#poi210043r42" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">42</a></sup><sup>,<a href="#poi210043r48" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">48</a></sup>
                  had parent reports of child symptoms. As outlined in <a href="#poi210043t1" class="table-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-figure-table">Table 1</a>, across all 29 studies, 80 879 participants were included, of which
                  the mean (SD) perecentage of female individuals was 52.7% (12.3%), and the mean age was 13.0 years (range, 4.1-17.6 years). All studies provided binary reports of sex or gender. Sixteen studies (55.2%) were from East Asia, 4 were
                  from Europe (13.8%), 6 were from North America (20.7%), 2 were from Central America and South America (6.9%), and 1 study was from the Middle East (3.4%). Eight studies (27.6%) reported having racial or ethnic minority participants
                  with the mean across studies being 36.9%. Examining study quality, the mean score was 3.10 (range, 2-4; eTable 3 in the
                  <a class="supplement-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-supplemental" href="#note-POI210043-1">Supplement</a>).</p> <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076490"></a>
                <div class="h4 cb section-type-section  ">
                  <div class="heading-text "> Pooled Prevalence of Clinically Elevated Depressive Symptoms in Youth During COVID-19 </div>
                </div>
                <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076491"></a>
                <p class="para">The pooled prevalence from a random-effects meta-analysis of 26 studies revealed a pooled prevalence rate of 0.25 (95% CI, 0.21-0.30;
                  <a href="#poi210043f1" class="figure-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-figure-table">Figure 1</a>) or 25.2%. The funnel plot was symmetrical (eFigure 2 in the
                  <a class="supplement-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-supplemental" href="#note-POI210043-1">Supplement</a>); however, the Egger test was statistically significant (intercept, −9.5; 95% CI, −18.4 to −0.48;
                  <i>P</i> = .02). The between-study heterogeneity statistic was significant (<i>Q</i> = 4675.91; <i>P</i> &lt; .001; <i>I</i><sup>2</sup> = 99.47). Significant moderators are reported below, and all moderator analyses are presented
                  in <a href="#poi210043t2" class="table-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-figure-table">Table 2</a>.</p> <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076494"></a>
                <p class="para">As the number of months in the year increased, so too did the prevalence of depressive symptoms (<i>b</i> = 0.26; 95% CI, 0.06-0.46). Prevalence rates were higher as child age increased (<i>b</i> = 0.08; 95% CI,
                  0.01-0.15), and as the percentage of female individuals (<i>b</i> = 0.03; 95% CI, 0.01-0.05) in samples increased. Sensitivity analyses removing low-quality studies were conducted (ie, scores of
                  2)<sup><a href="#poi210043r32" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">32</a></sup><sup>,<a href="#poi210043r43" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">43</a></sup>
                  (eTable 4 in the <a class="supplement-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-supplemental" href="#note-POI210043-1">Supplement</a>). Moderators remained significant, except for age, which became nonsignificant
                  (<i>b</i> = 0.06; 95% CI, −0.02 to 0.13; <i>P</i> = .14).</p> <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076495"></a>
                <div class="h4 cb section-type-section  ">
                  <div class="heading-text "> Pooled Prevalence of Clinically Elevated Anxiety Symptoms in Youth During COVID-19 </div>
                </div>
                <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076496"></a>
                <p class="para">The overall pooled prevalence rate across 25 studies for elevated anxiety was 0.21 (95% CI, 0.17-0.24; <a href="#poi210043f2" class="figure-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-figure-table">Figure 2</a>)
                  or 20.5%. The funnel plot was symmetrical (eFigure 3 in the <a class="supplement-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-supplemental" href="#note-POI210043-1">Supplement</a>) and the Egger test was nonsignificant
                  (intercept, −6.24; 95% CI, −14.10 to 1.62; <i>P</i> = .06). The heterogeneity statistic was significant (<i>Q</i> = 3300.17; <i>P</i> &lt; .001; <i>I</i><sup>2</sup> = 99.27). Significant moderators are reported below, and all
                  moderator analyses are presented in <a href="#poi210043t3" class="table-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-figure-table">Table 3</a>.</p> <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076499"></a>
                <p class="para">As the number of months in the year increased, so too did the prevalence of anxiety symptoms (<i>b</i> = 0.27; 95% CI, 0.10-0.44). Prevalence rates of clinically elevated anxiety was higher as the percentage of female
                  individuals in the sample increased (<i>b</i> = 0.04; 95% CI, 0.01-0.07) and also higher in European countries (<i>k</i> = 4; rate = 0.34; 95% CI, 0.23-0.46; <i>P</i> = .01) compared with East Asian countries (<i>k</i> = 14;
                  rate = 0.17; 95% CI, 0.13-0.21; <i>P</i> &lt; .001). Lastly, the prevalence of clinically elevated anxiety was higher in studies deemed to have poorer quality (<i>k</i> = 21; rate = 0.22; 95% CI, 0.18-0.27; <i>P</i> &lt; .001)
                  compared with studies with better study quality scores (<i>k</i> = 4; rate = 0.12; 95% CI, 0.07-0.20; <i>P</i> &lt; .001). Sensitivity analyses removing low quality studies (ie, scores of
                  2)<sup><a href="#poi210043r32" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">32</a></sup><sup>,<a href="#poi210043r43" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">43</a></sup>
                  yielded the same pattern of results (eTable 5 in the <a class="supplement-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-supplemental" href="#note-POI210043-1">Supplement</a>).</p>
                <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076500"></a>
                <div class="h3 cb section-type-section  ">
                  <div class="heading-text thm-col sb-sc"> Discussion </div>
                </div>
                <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076501"></a>
                <p class="para">The current meta-analysis provides a timely estimate of clinically elevated depression and generalized anxiety symptoms globally among youth during the COVID-19 pandemic. Across 29 samples and 80 879 youth, the pooled
                  prevalence of clinically elevated depression and anxiety symptoms was 25.2% and 20.5%, respectively. Thus, 1 in 4 youth globally are experiencing clinically elevated depression symptoms, while 1 in 5 youth are experiencing
                  clinically elevated anxiety symptoms. A comparison of these findings to prepandemic estimates (12.9% for depression<sup><a href="#poi210043r2" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">2</a></sup> and
                  11.6% for anxiety<sup><a href="#poi210043r1" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">1</a></sup>) suggests that youth mental health difficulties during the COVID-19 pandemic has likely doubled.</p>
                <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076502"></a>
                <p class="para">The COVID-19 pandemic, and its associated restrictions and consequences, appear to have taken a considerable toll on youth and their psychological well-being. Loss of peer interactions, social isolation, and reduced
                  contact with buffering supports (eg, teachers, coaches) may have precipitated these increases.<sup><a href="#poi210043r3" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">3</a></sup> In addition, schools are
                  often a primary location for receiving psychological services, with 80% of children relying on school-based services to address their mental health
                  needs.<sup><a href="#poi210043r54" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">54</a></sup> For many children, these services were rendered unavailable owing to school closures.</p>
                <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076503"></a>
                <p class="para">As the month of data collection increased, rates of depression and anxiety increased correspondingly. One possibility is that ongoing social
                  isolation,<sup><a href="#poi210043r6" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">6</a></sup> family financial
                  difficulties,<sup><a href="#poi210043r55" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">55</a></sup> missed milestones, and school
                  disruptions<sup><a href="#poi210043r3" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">3</a></sup> are compounding over time for youth and having a cumulative association. However, longitudinal research
                  supporting this possibility is currently scarce and urgently needed. A second possibility is that studies conducted in the earlier months of the pandemic (February to March
                  2020)<sup><a href="#poi210043r12" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">12</a></sup><sup>,<a href="#poi210043r51" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">51</a></sup>
                  were more likely to be conducted in East Asia where self-reported prevalence of mental health symptoms tends to be
                  lower.<sup><a href="#poi210043r56" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">56</a></sup> Longitudinal trajectory research on youth well-being as the pandemic progresses and in pandemic recovery phases
                  will be needed to confirm the long-term mental health implications of the COVID-19 pandemic on youth mental illness.</p> <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076504"></a>
                <p class="para">Prevalence rates for anxiety varied according to study quality, with lower-quality studies yielding higher prevalence rates. It is important to note that in sensitivity analyses removing lower-quality studies, other
                  significant moderators (ie, child sex and data collection time point) remained significant. There has been a rapid proliferation of youth mental health research during the COVID-19 pandemic; however, the rapid execution of these
                  studies has been criticized owing to the potential for some studies to sacrifice methodological quality for methodological
                  rigor.<sup><a href="#poi210043r21" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">21</a></sup><sup>,<a href="#poi210043r57" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">57</a></sup>
                  Additionally, several studies estimating prevalence rates of mental illness during the pandemic have used nonprobability or convenience samples, which increases the likelihood of bias in
                  reporting.<sup><a href="#poi210043r21" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">21</a></sup> Studies with representative samples and/or longitudinal follow-up studies that have the potential to
                  demonstrate changes in mental health symptoms from before to after the pandemic should be prioritized in future research.</p> <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076505"></a>
                <p class="para">In line with previous research on mental illness in childhood and adolescence,<sup><a href="#poi210043r58" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">58</a></sup> female sex was associated
                  with both increased depressive and anxiety symptoms. Biological susceptibility, lower baseline self-esteem, a higher likelihood of having experienced interpersonal violence, and exposure to stress associated with gender inequity may
                  all be contributing factors.<sup><a href="#poi210043r59" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">59</a></sup> Higher rates of depression in older children were observed and may be due to puberty and
                  hormonal changes<sup><a href="#poi210043r60" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">60</a></sup> in addition to the added effects of social isolation and physical distancing on older children who
                  particularly rely on socialization with
                  peers.<sup><a href="#poi210043r6" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">6</a></sup><sup>,<a href="#poi210043r61" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">61</a></sup>
                  However, age was not a significant moderator for prevalence rates of anxiety. Although older children may be more acutely aware of the stress of their parents and the implications of the current global pandemic, younger children may
                  be able to recognize changes to their routine, both of which may contribute to similar rates of anxiety with different underlying mechanisms.</p> <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076506"></a>
                <p class="para">In terms of practice implications, a routine touch point for many youth is the family physician or pediatrician’s office. Within this context, it is critical to inquire about or screen for youth mental health
                  difficulties. Emerging research<sup><a href="#poi210043r42" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">42</a></sup> suggests that in families using more routines during COVID-19, lower child depression
                  and conduct problems are observed. Thus, a tangible solution to help mitigate the adverse effects of COVID-19 on youth is working with children and families to implement consistent and predictable routines around schoolwork, sleep,
                  screen use, and physical activity. Additional resources should be made available, and clinical referrals should be placed when children experience clinically elevated mental distress. At a policy level, research suggests that social
                  isolation may contribute to and confer risk for mental health
                  concerns.<sup><a href="#poi210043r4" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">4</a></sup><sup>,<a href="#poi210043r5" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">5</a></sup>
                  As such, the closure of schools and recreational activities should be considered a last resort.<sup><a href="#poi210043r62" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">62</a></sup> In addition, methods
                  of delivering mental health resources widely to youth, such as group and individual telemental health services, need to be adapted to increase scalability, while also prioritizing equitable access across diverse
                  populations.<sup><a href="#poi210043r63" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">63</a></sup></p> <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076507"></a>
                <div class="h4 cb section-type-section  ">
                  <div class="heading-text "> Limitations </div>
                </div>
                <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076508"></a>
                <p class="para">There are some limitations to the current study. First, although the current meta-analysis includes global estimates of child and adolescent mental illness, it will be important to reexamine cross-regional differences
                  once additional data from underrepresented countries are available. Second, most study designs were cross-sectional in nature, which precluded an examination of the long-term association of COVID-19 with child mental health over
                  time. To determine whether clinically elevated symptoms are sustained, exacerbated, or mitigated, longitudinal studies with baseline estimates of anxiety and depression are needed. Third, few studies included racial or ethnic
                  minority participants (27.6%), and no studies included gender-minority youth. Given that racial and ethnic minority<sup><a href="#poi210043r64" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">64</a></sup>
                  and gender-diverse
                  youth<sup><a href="#poi210043r65" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">65</a></sup><sup>,<a href="#poi210043r66" class="ref-link section-jump-link" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-references">66</a></sup>
                  may be at increased risk for mental health difficulties during the pandemic, future work should include and focus on these groups. Finally, all studies used self- or parent-reported questionnaires to examine the prevalence of
                  clinically elevated (ie, moderate to high) symptoms. Thus, studies using criterion standard assessments of child depression and anxiety disorders via diagnostic interviews or multimethod approaches may supplement current findings
                  and provide further details on changes beyond generalized anxiety symptoms, such symptoms of social anxiety, separation anxiety, and panic.</p> <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076509"></a>
                <div class="h3 cb section-type-section  ">
                  <div class="heading-text thm-col sb-sc"> Conclusions </div>
                </div>
                <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076510"></a>
                <p class="para">Overall, this meta-analysis shows increased rates of clinically elevated anxiety and depression symptoms for youth during the COVID-19 pandemic. While this meta-analysis supports an urgent need for intervention and
                  recovery efforts aimed at improving child and adolescent well-being, it also highlights that individual differences need to be considered when determining targets for intervention (eg, age, sex, exposure to COVID-19 stressors).
                  Research on the long-term effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on mental health, including studies with pre– to post–COVID-19 measurement, is needed to augment understanding of the implications of this crisis on the mental health
                  trajectories of today’s children and youth.</p> <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076511"></a>
                <div class="h3 cb section-type-acknowledgements  has-back-to-top">
                  <a href="#top" class="section-jump-link back-to-top" data-tab-toggle=".tab-nav-full-text">Back to top</a>
                  <div class="heading-text thm-col sb-sc"> Article Information </div>
                </div>
                <p class="authorInfoSection"><strong>Corresponding Author:</strong> Sheri Madigan, PhD, RPsych, Department of Psychology University of Calgary, Calgary, AB T2N 1N4, Canada
                  (<a href="mailto:sheri.madigan@ucalgary.ca" target="_blank">sheri.madigan@ucalgary.ca</a>).</p>
                <p class="para"><strong>Accepted for Publication:</strong> May 19, 2021.</p>
                <p class="parapublished-online"><strong>Published Online:</strong> August 9, 2021. doi:<a href="http://jamanetwork.com/article.aspx?doi=10.1001/jamapediatrics.2021.2482" target="_blank">10.1001/jamapediatrics.2021.2482</a></p>
                <p class="paraauthor-contributions"><strong>Author Contributions:</strong> Drs Racine and Madigan had full access to all of the data in the study and take responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data
                  analysis.</p>
                <p class="para"><i>Concept and design: </i>Racine, Madigan.</p>
                <p class="para"><i>Acquisition, analysis, or interpretation of data: </i>All authors.</p>
                <p class="para"><i>Drafting of the manuscript: </i>Racine, McArthur, Eirich, Zhu, Madigan.</p>
                <p class="para"><i>Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: </i>Racine, Cooke, Eirich, Madigan.</p>
                <p class="para"><i>Statistical analysis: </i>Racine, McArthur.</p>
                <p class="para"><i>Administrative, technical, or material support: </i>Madigan.</p>
                <p class="para"><i>Supervision: </i>Racine, Madigan.</p>
                <p class="parafinancial-disclosure"><strong>Conflict of Interest Disclosures:</strong> Dr Racine reported fellowship support from Alberta Innovates. Dr McArthur reported a postdoctoral fellowship award from the Alberta Children’s
                  Hospital Research Institute. Ms Cooke reported graduate scholarship support from Vanier Canada and Alberta Innovates Health Solutions outside the submitted work. Ms Eirich reported graduate scholarship support from the Social
                  Science and Humanities Research Council. No other disclosures were reported.</p>
                <p class="para"><strong>Additional Contributions:</strong> We acknowledge Nicole Dunnewold, MLIS (Research and Learning Librarian, Health Sciences Library, University of Calgary), for her assistance with the search strategy, for which
                  they were not compensated outside of their salary. We also acknowledge the contribution of members of the Determinants of Child Development Laboratory at the University of Calgary, in particular, Julianna Watt, BA, and Katarina
                  Padilla, BSc, for their contribution to data extraction, for which they were paid as research assistants.</p> <a class="article-section-id-anchor" id="248076512"></a>
                <div class="h3 cb section-type-references  ">
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Global Prevalence of Depressive and Anxiety Symptoms in Children and Adolescents
During COVID-19: A Meta-analysis | Adolescent Medicine | JAMA Pediatrics | JAMA
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Figure 1.  Forest Plots of the Pooled Prevalence of Clinically Significant
Depressive Symptoms in Youth During the COVID-19 Pandemic
View LargeDownload


Contributing studies for clinically elevated depression symptoms are presented
in order of largest to smallest prevalence rate. Square data markers represent
prevalence rates, with lines around the marker indicating 95% CIs. The diamond
data marker represents the overall effect size based on included studies.

Figure 2.  Forest Plots of the Pooled Prevalence of Clinically Significant
Anxiety Symptoms in Youth During the COVID-19 Pandemic
View LargeDownload


Contributing studies for clinically elevated anxiety symptoms are presented in
order of largest to smallest prevalence rate. Square data markers represent
prevalence rates, with lines around the marker indicating 95% CIs. The diamond
data marker represents the overall effect size based on included studies.

Table 1.  Characteristics of Studies Included
View LargeDownload


Table 2.  Results of Moderator Analyses for the Prevalence of Depressive
Symptoms in Children and Adolescence During COVID-19
View LargeDownload


Table 3.  Results of Moderator Analyses for the Prevalence of Anxiety Symptoms
in Children and Adolescence During COVID-19
View LargeDownload



Supplement.

eTable 1. Example Search Strategy from Medline

eTable 2. Study Quality Evaluation Criteria

eTable 3. Quality Assessment of Studies Included

eTable 4. Sensitivity analysis excluding low quality studies (score=2) for
moderators of the prevalence of clinically elevated depressive symptoms in
children and adolescence during COVID-19

eTable 5. Sensitivity analysis excluding low quality studies (score=2) for
moderators of the prevalence of clinically elevated anxiety symptoms in children
and adolescence during COVID-19

eFigure 1. PRISMA diagram of review search strategy

eFigure 2. Funnel plot for studies included in the clinically elevated
depressive symptoms

eFigure 3. Funnel plot for studies included in the clinically elevated anxiety
symptoms

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Hawke  LD, Hayes  E, Darnay  K, Henderson  J.  Mental health among
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doi:10.31234/osf.io/kprd9
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   Racine N, McArthur BA, Cooke JE, Eirich R, Zhu J, Madigan S. Global
   Prevalence of Depressive and Anxiety Symptoms in Children and Adolescents
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Original Investigation
August 9, 2021


GLOBAL PREVALENCE OF DEPRESSIVE AND ANXIETY SYMPTOMS IN CHILDREN AND ADOLESCENTS
DURING COVID-19: A META-ANALYSIS

Nicole Racine, PhD, RPsych1,2; Brae Anne McArthur, PhD, RPsych1,2; Jessica
E. Cooke, MSc1,2; et al Rachel Eirich, BA1,2; Jenney Zhu, BA1,2;
Sheri Madigan, PhD, RPsych1,2
Author Affiliations Article Information
 * 1Department of Psychology, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
 * 2Alberta Children’s Hospital Research Institute, Calgary, Alberta, Canada

JAMA Pediatr. 2021;175(11):1142-1150. doi:10.1001/jamapediatrics.2021.2482
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   Anita Slomski
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   Effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on Adolescents With Eating Disorders
   Thonmoy Dey, BSc; Zachariah John Mansell, BSc; Jasmin Ranu, BSc




Key Points

Question  What is the global prevalence of clinically elevated child and
adolescent anxiety and depression symptoms during COVID-19?

Findings  In this meta-analysis of 29 studies including 80 879 youth globally,
the pooled prevalence estimates of clinically elevated child and adolescent
depression and anxiety were 25.2% and 20.5%, respectively. The prevalence of
depression and anxiety symptoms during COVID-19 have doubled, compared with
prepandemic estimates, and moderator analyses revealed that prevalence rates
were higher when collected later in the pandemic, in older adolescents, and in
girls.

Meaning  The global estimates of child and adolescent mental illness observed in
the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic in this study indicate that the
prevalence has significantly increased, remains high, and therefore warrants
attention for mental health recovery planning.

Abstract

Importance  Emerging research suggests that the global prevalence of child and
adolescent mental illness has increased considerably during COVID-19. However,
substantial variability in prevalence rates have been reported across the
literature.

Objective  To ascertain more precise estimates of the global prevalence of child
and adolescent clinically elevated depression and anxiety symptoms during
COVID-19; to compare these rates with prepandemic estimates; and to examine
whether demographic (eg, age, sex), geographical (ie, global region), or
methodological (eg, pandemic data collection time point, informant of mental
illness, study quality) factors explained variation in prevalence rates across
studies.

Data Sources  Four databases were searched (PsycInfo, Embase, MEDLINE, and
Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials) from January 1, 2020, to
February 16, 2021, and unpublished studies were searched in PsycArXiv on March
8, 2021, for studies reporting on child/adolescent depression and anxiety
symptoms. The search strategy combined search terms from 3 themes: (1) mental
illness (including depression and anxiety), (2) COVID-19, and (3) children and
adolescents (age ≤18 years). For PsycArXiv, the key terms COVID-19, mental
health, and child/adolescent were used.

Study Selection  Studies were included if they were published in English, had
quantitative data, and reported prevalence of clinically elevated depression or
anxiety in youth (age ≤18 years).

Data Extraction and Synthesis  A total of 3094 nonduplicate titles/abstracts
were retrieved, and 136 full-text articles were reviewed. Data were analyzed
from March 8 to 22, 2021.

Main Outcomes and Measures  Prevalence rates of clinically elevated depression
and anxiety symptoms in youth.

Results  Random-effect meta-analyses were conducted. Twenty-nine studies
including 80 879 participants met full inclusion criteria. Pooled prevalence
estimates of clinically elevated depression and anxiety symptoms were 25.2% (95%
CI, 21.2%-29.7%) and 20.5% (95% CI, 17.2%-24.4%), respectively. Moderator
analyses revealed that the prevalence of clinically elevated depression and
anxiety symptoms were higher in studies collected later in the pandemic and in
girls. Depression symptoms were higher in older children.

Conclusions and Relevance  Pooled estimates obtained in the first year of the
COVID-19 pandemic suggest that 1 in 4 youth globally are experiencing clinically
elevated depression symptoms, while 1 in 5 youth are experiencing clinically
elevated anxiety symptoms. These pooled estimates, which increased over time,
are double of prepandemic estimates. An influx of mental health care utilization
is expected, and allocation of resources to address child and adolescent mental
health concerns are essential.


Introduction

Prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, rates of clinically significant generalized
anxiety and depressive symptoms in large youth cohorts were approximately 11.6%1
and 12.9%,2 respectively. Since COVID-19 was declared an international public
health emergency, youth around the world have experienced dramatic disruptions
to their everyday lives.3 Youth are enduring pervasive social isolation and
missed milestones, along with school closures, quarantine orders, increased
family stress, and decreased peer interactions, all potential precipitants of
psychological distress and mental health difficulties in youth.4-7 Indeed, in
both cross-sectional8,9 and longitudinal studies10,11 amassed to date, the
prevalence of youth mental illness appears to have increased during the COVID-19
pandemic.3 However, data collected vary considerably. Specifically, ranges from
2.2%12 to 63.8%13 and 1.8%12 to 49.5%13 for clinically elevated depression and
anxiety symptoms, respectively. As governments and policy makers deploy and
implement recovery plans, ascertaining precise estimates of the burden of mental
illness for youth are urgently needed to inform service deployment and resource
allocation.

Depression and generalized anxiety are 2 of the most common mental health
concerns in youth.14 Depressive symptoms, which include feelings of sadness,
loss of interest and pleasure in activities, as well as disruption to regulatory
functions such as sleep and appetite,15 could be elevated during the pandemic as
a result of social isolation due to school closures and physical distancing
requirements.6 Generalized anxiety symptoms in youth manifest as uncontrollable
worry, fear, and hyperarousal.15 Uncertainty, disruptions in daily routines, and
concerns for the health and well-being of family and loved ones during the
COVID-19 pandemic are likely associated with increases in generalized anxiety in
youth.16

When heterogeneity is observed across studies, as is the case with youth mental
illness during COVID-19, it often points to the need to examine demographic,
geographical, and methodological moderators. Moderator analyses can determine
for whom and under what circumstances prevalence is higher vs lower. With regard
to demographic factors, prevalence rates of mental illness both prior to and
during the COVID-19 pandemic are differentially reported across child age and
sex, with girls17,18 and older children17,19 being at greater risk for
internalizing disorders. Studies have also shown that youth living in regions
that experienced greater disease burden2 and urban areas20 had greater mental
illness severity. Methodological characteristics of studies also have the
potential to influence the estimated prevalence rates. For example, studies of
poorer methodological quality may be more likely to overestimate prevalence
rates.21 The symptom reporter (ie, child vs parent) may also contribute to
variability in the prevalence of mental illness across studies. Indeed, previous
research prior to the pandemic has demonstrated that child and parent reports of
internalizing symptoms vary,22 with children/adolescents reporting more
internalizing symptoms than parents.23 Lastly, it is important to consider the
role of data collection timing on potential prevalence rates. While feelings of
stress and overwhelm may have been greater in the early months of the pandemic
compared with later,24 extended social isolation and school closures may have
exerted mental health concerns.

Although a narrative systematic review of 6 studies early in the pandemic was
conducted,8 to our knowledge, no meta-analysis of prevalence rates of child and
adolescent mental illness during the pandemic has been undertaken. In the
current study, we conducted a meta-analysis of the global prevalence of
clinically elevated symptoms of depression and anxiety (ie, exceeding a clinical
cutoff score on a validated measure or falling in the moderate to severe symptom
range of anxiety and depression) in youth during the first year of the COVID-19
pandemic. While research has documented a worsening of symptoms for children and
youth with a wide range of anxiety disorders,25 including social anxiety,26
clinically elevated symptoms of generalized anxiety are the focus of the current
meta-analysis. In addition to deriving pooled prevalence estimates, we examined
demographic, geographical, and methodological factors that may explain
between-study differences. Given that there have been several precipitants of
psychological distress for youth during COVID-19, we hypothesized that pooled
prevalence rates would be higher compared with prepandemic estimates. We also
hypothesized that child mental illness would be higher among studies with older
children, a higher percentage of female individuals, studies conducted later in
the pandemic, and that higher-quality studies would have lower prevalence rates.

Methods
Search Strategy and Selection Criteria

This systematic review was registered as a protocol with PROSPERO
(CRD42020184903) and the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and
Meta-analyses (PRISMA) reporting guideline was followed.27 Ethics review was not
required for the study. Electronic searches were conducted in collaboration with
a health sciences librarian in PsycInfo, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled
Trials (CENTRAL), Embase, and MEDLINE from inception to February 16, 2021. The
search strategy (eTable 1 in the Supplement) combined search terms from 3
themes: (1) mental illness (including depression and anxiety), (2) COVID-19, and
(3) children and adolescents (age ≤18 years). Both database and subject headings
were used to search keywords. As a result of the rapidly evolving nature of
research during the COVID-19 pandemic, we also searched a repository of
unpublished preprints, PsycArXiv. The key terms COVID-19, mental health, and
child/adolescent were used on March 8, 2021, and yielded 38 studies of which 1
met inclusion criteria.

The following inclusion criteria were applied: (1) sample was drawn from a
general population; (2) proportion of individuals meeting clinical cutoff scores
or falling in the moderate to severe symptom range of anxiety or depression as
predetermined by validated self-report measures were provided; (3) data were
collected during COVID-19; (4) participants were 18 years or younger; (5) study
was empirical; and (6) studies were written in English. Samples of participants
who may be affected differently from a mental health perspective during COVID-19
were excluded (eg, children with preexisting psychiatric diagnoses, children
with chronic illnesses, children diagnosed or suspected of having COVID-19). We
also excluded case studies and qualitative analyses.

Five (N.R., B.A.M., J.E.C., R.E. and J.Z.) authors used Covidence software
(Covidence Inc) to review all abstracts and to determine if the study met
criteria for inclusion. Twenty percent of abstracts reviewed for inclusion were
double-coded, and the mean random agreement probability was 0.89; disagreements
were resolved via consensus with the first author (N.R.). Two authors (N.R. and
B.A.M.) reviewed full-text articles to determine if they met all inclusion
criteria and the percent agreement was 0.80; discrepancies were resolved via
consensus.

Data Extraction

When studies met inclusion criteria, prevalence rates for anxiety and depression
were extracted, as well as potential moderators. When more than 1 wave of data
was provided, the wave with the largest sample size was selected. For 1 study in
which both parent and youth reports were provided,26 the youth report was
selected, given research that they are the reliable informants of their own
behavior.28 The following moderators were extracted: (1) study quality (see the
next subsection); (2) participant age (continuously as a mean); (3) sex (%
female in a sample); (4) geographical region (eg, East Asia, Europe, North
America), (5) informant (child, parent), (6) month in 2020 when data were
collected (range, 1-12). Data from all studies were extracted by 1 coder and the
first author (N.R.). Discrepancies were resolved via consensus.

Study Quality

Adapted from the National Institute of Health Quality Assessment Tool for
Observation Cohort and Cross-Sectional Studies, a short 5-item questionnaire was
used (eTable 2 in the Supplement).29 Studies were given a score of 0 (no) or 1
(yes) for each of the 5 criteria (validated measure; peer-reviewed, response
rate ≥50%, objective assessment, sufficient exposure time) and summed to give a
total score of 5. When information was unclear or not provided by the study
authors, it was marked as 0 (no).

Data Analysis

All included studies are from independent samples. Comprehensive Meta-Analysis
version 3.0 (Biostat) software was used for data analysis. Pooled prevalence
estimates with associated 95% confidence intervals around the estimate were
computed. We weighted pooled prevalence estimates by the weight of the inverse
of their variance, which gives greater weight to large sample sizes.

We used random-effects models to reflect the variations observed across studies
and assessed between-study heterogeneity using the Q and I2 statistics. Pooled
prevalence is reported as an event rate (ie, 0.30) but interpreted as prevalence
(ie, 30.0%). Significant Q statistics and I2 values more than 75% suggest
moderator analyses should be explored.30 As recommended by Bornstein et al,30 we
examined categorical moderators when k of 10 or higher and a minimum cell size
of k more than 3 were available. A P value of .05 was considered statistically
significant. For continuous moderators, random-effect meta-regression analyses
were conducted. Publication bias was examined using the Egger test31 and by
inspecting funnel plots for symmetry.

Results

Our electronic search yielded 3094 nonduplicate records (eFigure 1 in the
Supplement). Based on the abstract review, a total of 136 full-text articles
were retrieved to examine against inclusion criteria, and 29 nonoverlapping
studies10,12,13,17,19,20,26,32-53 met full inclusion criteria.

Study Characteristics

A total of 29 studies were included in the meta-analyses, of which 26 had youth
symptom reports and 3 studies39,42,48 had parent reports of child symptoms. As
outlined in Table 1, across all 29 studies, 80 879 participants were included,
of which the mean (SD) perecentage of female individuals was 52.7% (12.3%), and
the mean age was 13.0 years (range, 4.1-17.6 years). All studies provided binary
reports of sex or gender. Sixteen studies (55.2%) were from East Asia, 4 were
from Europe (13.8%), 6 were from North America (20.7%), 2 were from Central
America and South America (6.9%), and 1 study was from the Middle East (3.4%).
Eight studies (27.6%) reported having racial or ethnic minority participants
with the mean across studies being 36.9%. Examining study quality, the mean
score was 3.10 (range, 2-4; eTable 3 in the Supplement).

Pooled Prevalence of Clinically Elevated Depressive Symptoms in Youth During
COVID-19

The pooled prevalence from a random-effects meta-analysis of 26 studies revealed
a pooled prevalence rate of 0.25 (95% CI, 0.21-0.30; Figure 1) or 25.2%. The
funnel plot was symmetrical (eFigure 2 in the Supplement); however, the Egger
test was statistically significant (intercept, −9.5; 95% CI, −18.4 to −0.48;
P = .02). The between-study heterogeneity statistic was significant
(Q = 4675.91; P < .001; I2 = 99.47). Significant moderators are reported below,
and all moderator analyses are presented in Table 2.

As the number of months in the year increased, so too did the prevalence of
depressive symptoms (b = 0.26; 95% CI, 0.06-0.46). Prevalence rates were higher
as child age increased (b = 0.08; 95% CI, 0.01-0.15), and as the percentage of
female individuals (b = 0.03; 95% CI, 0.01-0.05) in samples increased.
Sensitivity analyses removing low-quality studies were conducted (ie, scores of
2)32,43 (eTable 4 in the Supplement). Moderators remained significant, except
for age, which became nonsignificant (b = 0.06; 95% CI, −0.02 to 0.13; P = .14).

Pooled Prevalence of Clinically Elevated Anxiety Symptoms in Youth During
COVID-19

The overall pooled prevalence rate across 25 studies for elevated anxiety was
0.21 (95% CI, 0.17-0.24; Figure 2) or 20.5%. The funnel plot was symmetrical
(eFigure 3 in the Supplement) and the Egger test was nonsignificant (intercept,
−6.24; 95% CI, −14.10 to 1.62; P = .06). The heterogeneity statistic was
significant (Q = 3300.17; P < .001; I2 = 99.27). Significant moderators are
reported below, and all moderator analyses are presented in Table 3.

As the number of months in the year increased, so too did the prevalence of
anxiety symptoms (b = 0.27; 95% CI, 0.10-0.44). Prevalence rates of clinically
elevated anxiety was higher as the percentage of female individuals in the
sample increased (b = 0.04; 95% CI, 0.01-0.07) and also higher in European
countries (k = 4; rate = 0.34; 95% CI, 0.23-0.46; P = .01) compared with East
Asian countries (k = 14; rate = 0.17; 95% CI, 0.13-0.21; P < .001). Lastly, the
prevalence of clinically elevated anxiety was higher in studies deemed to have
poorer quality (k = 21; rate = 0.22; 95% CI, 0.18-0.27; P < .001) compared with
studies with better study quality scores (k = 4; rate = 0.12; 95% CI, 0.07-0.20;
P < .001). Sensitivity analyses removing low quality studies (ie, scores of
2)32,43 yielded the same pattern of results (eTable 5 in the Supplement).

Discussion

The current meta-analysis provides a timely estimate of clinically elevated
depression and generalized anxiety symptoms globally among youth during the
COVID-19 pandemic. Across 29 samples and 80 879 youth, the pooled prevalence of
clinically elevated depression and anxiety symptoms was 25.2% and 20.5%,
respectively. Thus, 1 in 4 youth globally are experiencing clinically elevated
depression symptoms, while 1 in 5 youth are experiencing clinically elevated
anxiety symptoms. A comparison of these findings to prepandemic estimates (12.9%
for depression2 and 11.6% for anxiety1) suggests that youth mental health
difficulties during the COVID-19 pandemic has likely doubled.

The COVID-19 pandemic, and its associated restrictions and consequences, appear
to have taken a considerable toll on youth and their psychological well-being.
Loss of peer interactions, social isolation, and reduced contact with buffering
supports (eg, teachers, coaches) may have precipitated these increases.3 In
addition, schools are often a primary location for receiving psychological
services, with 80% of children relying on school-based services to address their
mental health needs.54 For many children, these services were rendered
unavailable owing to school closures.

As the month of data collection increased, rates of depression and anxiety
increased correspondingly. One possibility is that ongoing social isolation,6
family financial difficulties,55 missed milestones, and school disruptions3 are
compounding over time for youth and having a cumulative association. However,
longitudinal research supporting this possibility is currently scarce and
urgently needed. A second possibility is that studies conducted in the earlier
months of the pandemic (February to March 2020)12,51 were more likely to be
conducted in East Asia where self-reported prevalence of mental health symptoms
tends to be lower.56 Longitudinal trajectory research on youth well-being as the
pandemic progresses and in pandemic recovery phases will be needed to confirm
the long-term mental health implications of the COVID-19 pandemic on youth
mental illness.

Prevalence rates for anxiety varied according to study quality, with
lower-quality studies yielding higher prevalence rates. It is important to note
that in sensitivity analyses removing lower-quality studies, other significant
moderators (ie, child sex and data collection time point) remained significant.
There has been a rapid proliferation of youth mental health research during the
COVID-19 pandemic; however, the rapid execution of these studies has been
criticized owing to the potential for some studies to sacrifice methodological
quality for methodological rigor.21,57 Additionally, several studies estimating
prevalence rates of mental illness during the pandemic have used nonprobability
or convenience samples, which increases the likelihood of bias in reporting.21
Studies with representative samples and/or longitudinal follow-up studies that
have the potential to demonstrate changes in mental health symptoms from before
to after the pandemic should be prioritized in future research.

In line with previous research on mental illness in childhood and adolescence,58
female sex was associated with both increased depressive and anxiety symptoms.
Biological susceptibility, lower baseline self-esteem, a higher likelihood of
having experienced interpersonal violence, and exposure to stress associated
with gender inequity may all be contributing factors.59 Higher rates of
depression in older children were observed and may be due to puberty and
hormonal changes60 in addition to the added effects of social isolation and
physical distancing on older children who particularly rely on socialization
with peers.6,61 However, age was not a significant moderator for prevalence
rates of anxiety. Although older children may be more acutely aware of the
stress of their parents and the implications of the current global pandemic,
younger children may be able to recognize changes to their routine, both of
which may contribute to similar rates of anxiety with different underlying
mechanisms.

In terms of practice implications, a routine touch point for many youth is the
family physician or pediatrician’s office. Within this context, it is critical
to inquire about or screen for youth mental health difficulties. Emerging
research42 suggests that in families using more routines during COVID-19, lower
child depression and conduct problems are observed. Thus, a tangible solution to
help mitigate the adverse effects of COVID-19 on youth is working with children
and families to implement consistent and predictable routines around schoolwork,
sleep, screen use, and physical activity. Additional resources should be made
available, and clinical referrals should be placed when children experience
clinically elevated mental distress. At a policy level, research suggests that
social isolation may contribute to and confer risk for mental health
concerns.4,5 As such, the closure of schools and recreational activities should
be considered a last resort.62 In addition, methods of delivering mental health
resources widely to youth, such as group and individual telemental health
services, need to be adapted to increase scalability, while also prioritizing
equitable access across diverse populations.63

Limitations

There are some limitations to the current study. First, although the current
meta-analysis includes global estimates of child and adolescent mental illness,
it will be important to reexamine cross-regional differences once additional
data from underrepresented countries are available. Second, most study designs
were cross-sectional in nature, which precluded an examination of the long-term
association of COVID-19 with child mental health over time. To determine whether
clinically elevated symptoms are sustained, exacerbated, or mitigated,
longitudinal studies with baseline estimates of anxiety and depression are
needed. Third, few studies included racial or ethnic minority participants
(27.6%), and no studies included gender-minority youth. Given that racial and
ethnic minority64 and gender-diverse youth65,66 may be at increased risk for
mental health difficulties during the pandemic, future work should include and
focus on these groups. Finally, all studies used self- or parent-reported
questionnaires to examine the prevalence of clinically elevated (ie, moderate to
high) symptoms. Thus, studies using criterion standard assessments of child
depression and anxiety disorders via diagnostic interviews or multimethod
approaches may supplement current findings and provide further details on
changes beyond generalized anxiety symptoms, such symptoms of social anxiety,
separation anxiety, and panic.

Conclusions

Overall, this meta-analysis shows increased rates of clinically elevated anxiety
and depression symptoms for youth during the COVID-19 pandemic. While this
meta-analysis supports an urgent need for intervention and recovery efforts
aimed at improving child and adolescent well-being, it also highlights that
individual differences need to be considered when determining targets for
intervention (eg, age, sex, exposure to COVID-19 stressors). Research on the
long-term effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on mental health, including studies
with pre– to post–COVID-19 measurement, is needed to augment understanding of
the implications of this crisis on the mental health trajectories of today’s
children and youth.

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Article Information

Corresponding Author: Sheri Madigan, PhD, RPsych, Department of Psychology
University of Calgary, Calgary, AB T2N 1N4, Canada (sheri.madigan@ucalgary.ca).

Accepted for Publication: May 19, 2021.

Published Online: August 9, 2021. doi:10.1001/jamapediatrics.2021.2482

Author Contributions: Drs Racine and Madigan had full access to all of the data
in the study and take responsibility for the integrity of the data and the
accuracy of the data analysis.

Concept and design: Racine, Madigan.

Acquisition, analysis, or interpretation of data: All authors.

Drafting of the manuscript: Racine, McArthur, Eirich, Zhu, Madigan.

Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: Racine,
Cooke, Eirich, Madigan.

Statistical analysis: Racine, McArthur.

Administrative, technical, or material support: Madigan.

Supervision: Racine, Madigan.

Conflict of Interest Disclosures: Dr Racine reported fellowship support from
Alberta Innovates. Dr McArthur reported a postdoctoral fellowship award from the
Alberta Children’s Hospital Research Institute. Ms Cooke reported graduate
scholarship support from Vanier Canada and Alberta Innovates Health Solutions
outside the submitted work. Ms Eirich reported graduate scholarship support from
the Social Science and Humanities Research Council. No other disclosures were
reported.

Additional Contributions: We acknowledge Nicole Dunnewold, MLIS (Research and
Learning Librarian, Health Sciences Library, University of Calgary), for her
assistance with the search strategy, for which they were not compensated outside
of their salary. We also acknowledge the contribution of members of the
Determinants of Child Development Laboratory at the University of Calgary, in
particular, Julianna Watt, BA, and Katarina Padilla, BSc, for their contribution
to data extraction, for which they were paid as research assistants.

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