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REALCLEARPOLITICS - LIVE OPINION, NEWS, ANALYSIS, VIDEO AND POLLS * Investigations * Politics * Policy * Markets * World * Defense * Energy * Health * Science * Religion * Education * Sports * History * Books & Culture * Florida * Pennsylvania * Life Subscribe × * Polls * Latest Polls * Biden Job Approval * Direction of Country * Political Leaders Favorability * Biden Approval on Issues * Election 2022 Polls * Generic Congressional Ballot * Election 2024 Polls * State of the Union Polls * Election 2022 * Latest 2022 Polls * Senate Polls * Governor Polls * House Polls * Generic Ballot * Senate Map * House Map * Governors Map * All Election Polls * Election Calendar * Video * Writers * Tom Bevan * Carl M. Cannon * Sean Trende * Susan Crabtree * Philip Wegmann * Columnist * J. Peder Zane * Bill Scher * A.B. Stoddard * Frank Miele * Contributors * Bill King * Jared D. Carl * L. Sandy Maisel * Richard Porter * Luis Farias * Ann Ravel * Jessica Curtis * Wendell L. 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Sandy Maisel * Richard Porter * Luis Farias * Ann Ravel * Jessica Curtis * Wendell L. Willkie II * Lance Trover * William A. Pierce * Steve McIntosh * Mary Vought * Adam Brandon * Russell Muirhead * Josef Joffe * Mark Glennon * Haley Barbour * Marco Rubio * Ted Dabrowski * Sen. Rob Portman * John Hart * Sandy Maisel * Lou Cannon * Charles Lipson * Anneke E. Green * Peter Berkowitz * Myra Adams * Joel Kotkin * Articles * Opinion Research * Newsletters * Podcasts * Cartoons * Links * Publishing * Speakers * Contact * About * Media Kit * Polls * Latest Polls * Biden Job Approval * Direction of Country * Political Leaders Favorability * Biden Approval on Issues * Election 2022 Polls * Generic Congressional Ballot * Election 2024 Polls * State of the Union Polls * Election 2022 * Latest 2022 Polls * Senate Polls * Governor Polls * House Polls * Generic Ballot * Senate Map * House Map * Governors Map * All Election Polls * Election Calendar * Video * Writers * Tom Bevan * Carl M. Cannon * Sean Trende * Susan Crabtree * Philip Wegmann * Columnist * J. Peder Zane * Bill Scher * A.B. Stoddard * Frank Miele * Contributors * Bill King * Jared D. Carl * L. Sandy Maisel * Richard Porter * Luis Farias * Ann Ravel * Jessica Curtis * Wendell L. Willkie II * Lance Trover * William A. Pierce * Steve McIntosh * Mary Vought * Adam Brandon * Russell Muirhead * Josef Joffe * Mark Glennon * Haley Barbour * Marco Rubio * Ted Dabrowski * Sen. Rob Portman * John Hart * Sandy Maisel * Lou Cannon * Charles Lipson * Anneke E. Green * Peter Berkowitz * Myra Adams * Joel Kotkin * Opinion Research * Newsletters * Podcast * Publishing * Speakers * Donate Subscribe Login 54°F Partly cloudy in Nuremberg, BY Search for weather location Full Forecast › * Investigations * Politics * Policy * Markets * World * Defense * Energy * Health * Science * Religion * Education * Sports * History * Books & Culture * Florida * Pennsylvania * Life Latest News Home Election 2022 THURSDAY, OCTOBER 27 * Wednesday, October 26 * Tuesday, October 25 * Monday, October 24 * Sunday, October 23 * Saturday, October 22 * Friday, October 21 * Thursday, October 20 Set this view as default? Yes No Set this view as default? Yes No Parents Are Furious About the State of Education in U.S. Angela Morabito, FOX News Polarization Means There Are Limits to GOP Midterm Gains Ed Kilgore, NY Magazine Crime Is Out of Control--Here Is My Plan To Fix It Mehmet Oz, RealClearPolitics It's Vital for Democrats To Sweep Pennsylvania Ross Barkan, The Guardian How Fetterman Arrived at Tuesday Night's Humiliation Salena Zito, DC Examiner Democrats Should Focus on Cost of Living Imperative David Dayen, Am. Prospect A Searing Indictment of Biden Admin's Energy Policies Robert Bryce, RealClearEnergy It's Official: Meta Is a Disaster John Herrman, New York Magazine Corrupt Media Don't Care How Much Money They Lose Mollie Hemingway, Federalist Smack Dab in the Middle: On the Evenly Divided Electorate Eric Felten, RCP Tim Robbins and the Lost Art of Finding Common Ground Matt Taibbi, Substack Pennsylvania (InsiderAdvantage): Senate: Oz (R) +3 | Governor: Shapiro (D) +8 0 seconds of 1 minute, 29 secondsVolume 0% Press shift question mark to access a list of keyboard shortcuts Keyboard ShortcutsEnabledDisabled Play/PauseSPACE Increase Volume↑ Decrease Volume↓ Seek Forward→ Seek Backward← Captions On/Offc Fullscreen/Exit Fullscreenf Mute/Unmutem Seek %0-9 facebook twitter linkedin reddit Email Linkhttps://cdn.jwplayer.com/previews/2WqVA4Iy Copied Embed<iframe src="//content.jwplatform.com/players/2WqVA4Iy-EAYoNgFe.html" width="320" height="260" frameborder="0" scrolling="auto"></iframe> Copied Auto360p360p180p Live 00:03 01:26 01:29 More Videos 01:41 John Fetterman's Plan To Lower The Cost Of Higher Education: "Significant Investment," "Reduce The Tuition" 03:03 Sen. Coons: Fetterman Debate "Was Hard To Watch;" "His Answers Were At Times Halting, But Authentic" 02:58 Ted Cruz Debates "The View" Hosts About Election Legitimacy: "Hillary Clinton Said 2016 Was Illegitimate" 05:05 Lee Zeldin: We Can Beat Unlikeable And Corrupt New York Gov. Kathy Hochul 03:36 NSC Spokesman Kirby: There Was No "Meltdown" In The White House Over OPEC Production Cuts 05:52 RCP's Wegmann: If You Overemphasize Social Issues At The Expense Of Fiscal Issues, You Come Across As Fringe Close MORE FROM REAL CLEAR Investigations: Zero Emissions From EVs? Not So Much - John Murawski, RCI Markets: BlackRock Conflates, Confuses on Energy - Scott Shepard, RCMarkets Policy: Rise of the Biomedical Security State - Aaron Kheriaty, RealClearPolicy Life: The Newest Trend in Music Is Not New at All - Trish Rooney, IH Sports: Why This World Series Is Throwback to '50s - Evan Bleier VIDEOS Klain On Biden's Midterm Message: "Incomes Up, Prices Down, Economic Growth" Lindsey Graham: Herschel Walker Winning Would Change The Entire Narrative Of The Left That Republicans Are Racist Buzzfeed McCarthy: There's No Argument For Using Strategic Petroleum Reserve Except The Political Argument Buzzfeed John Della Volpe: Expect A Generation Z Wave At The Polls, 40% Say They Will Definitely Vote RealClearPolitics Election 2022 Senate House Governor Battle for Senate 46 Dem 6 GOP 48 RCP Projection GOP +3 Pick-Ups Top Senate Races RCP Average PennsylvaniaFetterman (D) +0.3New HampshireHassan (D) +3.4North CarolinaBudd (R) +4.5NevadaLaxalt (R) +1.2ArizonaKelly (D) +1.5GeorgiaWalker (R) +0.6OhioVance (R) +2.2WisconsinJohnson (R) +3.3ColoradoBennet (D) +7.5WashingtonMurray (D) +8.5FloridaRubio (R) +7.4ConnecticutBlumenthal (D) +11.0 RCP Senate Projection | Latest Senate Polls Generic Ballot Republicans +2.3 RCP Projection GOP +12 to +49 | Avg +30 RCP House Map | Latest House Polls Governor Races 14 Dem 12 GOP 24 RCP Projection GOP +3 Pick-Ups Top Governor Races RCP Average MichiganWhitmer (D) +3.1WisconsinEvers (D) +0.5MinnesotaWalz (D) +2.5ArizonaLake (R) +3.2NevadaLombardo (R) +2.4New MexicoLujan Grisham (D) +3.5OregonDrazan (R) +1.7New YorkHochul (D) +6.1PennsylvaniaShapiro (D) +6.7GeorgiaKemp (R) +7.4TexasAbbott (R) +8.3FloridaDeSantis (R) +11.2 RCP Governor Projection | Latest Governor Polls RCP MORNING EDITION GOP Support Rises, With Inflation Driving Voters Page & Elbeshbishi, USA Today The Switcheroos of the Two Parties Victor Davis Hanson, American Greatness A Big Unknown: Can Democrats Outrun the Biden Admin? Harry Enten, CNN How Did Biden Admin Botch the Energy Situation This Badly? Larry Kudlow, FOX Biz Difficult Truths Laid Bare in the Fetterman-Oz Debate Li Zhou, Vox An Excruciating, Disqualifying Debate in Pennsylvania Guy Benson, Townhall Colleges Should Bring Back Testing Requirements Michael Bloomberg, Bloomberg A Reckoning Is Here as Children's Test Scores Decline Bethany Mandel, Deseret News Can Parents Turn Michigan Red Like They Did Virginia? Shawn Fleetwood, Federalist Students Lost a Lot of Ground. Overreacting Won't Help Sara Rimm-Kaufman, LAT What Border Crisis? What Biden Fiasco? Tim Graham, NewsBusters Democrats Race To Save a Blue State Gone Purple Matthew Schantin, RealClearPolitics Hochul on the Ropes in New York Seth Barron, City Journal Targeting Blumenthal & Schumer, PAC Aims To Expand Map Seamus Brennan, AMAC There's Nothing Left To Stop Musk From Owning Twitter Kevin Dugan, NY Magazine The Left's New Gatekeepers--and How To Stop Them Michael Lind, Tablet Magazine Zero Emissions From Electric Cars? That Claim Has Zero Basis John Murawski, RCI Latest Polls: GA Sen/Gov, OR Gov, OH Sen/Gov, CT-5, Generic, AZ Sen/Gov EDITORIALS Democrats Disconnected From Voters' Concerns Boston Herald Learning Loss Is Bad Everywhere, and Demands Action Los Angeles Times Fetterman Should in Good Conscience Drop Out of PA Race New York Post How the World Should Deal With Xi's New China Bloomberg REAL CLEAR POLITICS ELECTION 2022 RealClearPolitics - Battle for Senate RCP Senate Map 46 Dem 6 Toss Ups GOP 48 RCP Senate Projection 47 Dem (GOP +3) GOP 53 RCP Average 12 Days to Election Day 12 Days to Election Polls Underestimated Adjusted 10/27 Poll Average Adjusted 10/27 Poll Average Adjusted 10/27 Poll Average Adjusted 10/27 Poll Average RCP Projection November 8 RCP Projection November 8 RCP Projection November 8 RCP Projection November 8 State RCP Average 2020 2018 2016 Polls Under- estimated Pennsylvania Pennsylvania Penn. PA Fetterman +0.3 Fetterman +0.3 Fetterman +0.3 Fetterman +0.3 Biden +4.9 D +4.9 D +4.9 Casey +16.0 D +16.0 D +16.0 Clinton +5.0 D +5.0 D +5.0 GOP 4.2 Oz +3.9 Oz +3.9 Oz +3.9 Oz +3.9 GOP Hold New Hampshire New Hampshire N.H. NH Hassan +3.4 Hassan +3.4 Hassan +3.4 Hassan +3.4 Biden +11.0 D +11.0 D +11.0 - - - Clinton +6.5 D +6.5 D +6.5 GOP 5.0 Bolduc +1.6 Bolduc +1.6 Bolduc +1.6 Bolduc +1.6 Dem Hold Nevada Nevada Nevada NV Laxalt +1.2 Laxalt +1.2 Laxalt +1.2 Laxalt +1.2 Biden +5.2 D +5.2 D +5.2 Heller +1.7 R +1.7 R +1.7 Clinton +2.0 D +2.0 D +2.0 Dem 1.5 Masto +0.3 Masto +0.3 Masto +0.3 Masto +0.3 GOP Pick Up Arizona Arizona Arizona AZ Kelly +1.5 Kelly +1.5 Kelly +1.5 Kelly +1.5 Biden +3.2 D +3.2 D +3.2 McSally +0.7 R +0.7 R +0.7 Clinton +1.5 D +1.5 D +1.5 GOP 1.6 Masters +0.1 Masters +0.1 Masters +0.1 Masters +0.1 GOP Pick Up Georgia Georgia Georgia GA Walker +0.6 Walker +0.6 Walker +0.6 Walker +0.6 Biden +0.8 D +0.8 D +0.8 - - - Trump +2.8 R +2.8 R +2.8 GOP 1.4 Walker +2.0 Walker +2.0 Walker +2.0 Walker +2.0 12/6 Runoff North Carolina North Carolina N.C. NC Budd +4.5 Budd +4.5 Budd +4.5 Budd +4.5 Biden +1.8 D +1.8 D +1.8 - - - Clinton +2.4 D +2.4 D +2.4 GOP 4.6 Budd +9.1 Budd +9.1 Budd +9.1 Budd +9.1 GOP Hold Florida Florida Florida FL Rubio +7.4 Rubio +7.4 Rubio +7.4 Rubio +7.4 Biden +2.1 D +2.1 D +2.1 Nelson +3.2 D +3.2 D +3.2 Clinton +1.2 D +1.2 D +1.2 GOP 3.7 Rubio +11.1 Rubio +11.1 Rubio +11.1 Rubio +11.1 GOP Hold Washington Washington Washington WA Murray +8.5 Murray +8.5 Murray +8.5 Murray +8.5 Biden +21.5 D +21.5 D +21.5 - - - Clinton +13.0 D +13.0 D +13.0 Dem 1.0 Murray +9.5 Murray +9.5 Murray +9.5 Murray +9.5 Dem Hold Wisconsin Wisconsin Wisconsin WI Johnson +3.3 Johnson +3.3 Johnson +3.3 Johnson +3.3 Biden +4.6 D +4.6 D +4.6 Baldwin +10.6 D +10.6 D +10.6 Clinton +6.7 D +6.7 D +6.7 GOP 3.7 Johnson +7.0 Johnson +7.0 Johnson +7.0 Johnson +7.0 GOP Hold Ohio Ohio Ohio OH Vance +2.2 Vance +2.2 Vance +2.2 Vance +2.2 Trump +0.6 R +0.6 R +0.6 Brown +12.4 D +12.4 D +12.4 Trump +1.1 R +1.1 R +1.1 GOP 6.9 Vance +9.1 Vance +9.1 Vance +9.1 Vance +9.1 GOP Hold RealClearPolitics - Battle for Senate RCP Senate Map 46 Dem 6 Toss Ups GOP 48 RCP Senate Projection 47 Dem (GOP +3) GOP 53 REAL CLEAR POLITICS ELECTION 2022 RealClearPolitics - Battle for Governor RCP Governor Map 14 Dem 12 Toss Ups GOP 24 RCP Governor Projection 19 Dem (GOP +3) GOP 31 RCP Average 12 Days to Election Day 12 Days to Election Polls Underestimated Adjusted 10/27 Poll Average Adjusted 10/27 Poll Average Adjusted 10/27 Poll Average Adjusted 10/27 Poll Average RCP Projection November 8 RCP Projection November 8 RCP Projection November 8 RCP Projection November 8 State RCP Average 2020 2018 2016 Polls Under- estimated Arizona Arizona Arizona AZ Lake +3.2 Lake +3.2 Lake +3.2 Lake +3.2 Biden +3.2 D +3.2 D +3.2 Ducey +15.7 R +15.7 R +15.7 Clinton +1.5 D +1.5 D +1.5 GOP 2.4 Lake +5.6 Lake +5.6 Lake +5.6 Lake +5.6 GOP Hold Nevada Nevada Nevada NV Lombardo +2.4 Lombardo +2.4 Lombardo +2.4 Lombardo +2.4 Biden +5.2 D +5.2 D +5.2 Laxalt +0.8 R +0.8 R +0.8 Clinton +2.0 D +2.0 D +2.0 Dem 0.9 Lombardo +1.5 Lombardo +1.5 Lombardo +1.5 Lombardo +1.5 GOP Pick Up New Mexico New Mexico N.M. NM Lujan Grisham +3.5 Lujan Grisham +3.5 Grisham +3.5 Grisham +3.5 Biden +14.5 D +14.5 D +14.5 (3-way race) (3-way) (3-way) Clinton +8.5 D +8.5 D +8.5 GOP 2.1 Grisham +1.4 Grisham +1.4 Grisham +1.4 Grisham +1.4 Dem Hold Minnesota Minnesota Minn. MN Walz +2.5 Walz +2.5 Walz +2.5 Walz +2.5 Biden +6.0 D +6.0 D +6.0 Walz +8.8 D +8.8 D +8.8 Clinton +5.0 D +5.0 D +5.0 Dem 0.1 Walz +2.6 Walz +2.6 Walz +2.6 Walz +2.6 Dem Hold Wisconsin Wisconsin Wisconsin WI Evers +0.5 Evers +0.5 Evers +0.5 Evers +0.5 Biden +4.6 D +4.6 D +4.6 Evers +3.6 D +3.6 D +3.6 Clinton +6.7 D +6.7 D +6.7 GOP 4.6 Michels +4.1 Michels +4.1 Michels +4.1 Michels +4.1 GOP Pick Up Michigan Michigan Michigan MI Whitmer +3.1 Whitmer +3.1 Whitmer +3.1 Whitmer +3.1 Biden +7.8 D +7.8 D +7.8 Whitmer +9.0 D +9.0 D +9.0 Clinton +6.0 D +6.0 D +6.0 GOP 3.9 Dixon +0.8 Dixon +0.8 Dixon +0.8 Dixon +0.8 GOP Pick Up Pennsylvania Pennsylvania Penn. PA Shapiro +6.7 Shapiro +6.7 Shapiro +6.7 Shapiro +6.7 Biden +4.9 D +4.9 D +4.9 Wolf +16.8 D +16.8 D +16.8 Clinton +5.0 D +5.0 D +5.0 GOP 3.0 Shapiro +3.7 Shapiro +3.7 Shapiro +3.7 Shapiro +3.7 Dem Hold Georgia Georgia Georgia GA Kemp +7.4 Kemp +7.4 Kemp +7.4 Kemp +7.4 Biden +0.8 D +0.8 D +0.8 Kemp +1.6 R +1.6 R +1.6 Trump +2.8 R +2.8 R +2.8 GOP 0.9 Kemp +8.3 Kemp +8.3 Kemp +8.3 Kemp +8.3 GOP Hold Florida Florida Florida FL DeSantis +11.2 DeSantis +11.2 DeSantis +11.2 DeSantis +11.2 Biden +2.1 D +2.1 D +2.1 Gillum +4.5 D +4.5 D +4.5 Clinton +1.2 D +1.2 D +1.2 GOP 4.2 DeSantis +15.4 DeSantis +15.4 DeSantis +15.4 DeSantis +15.4 GOP Hold RealClearPolitics - Battle for Governor RCP Governor Map 14 Dem 12 Toss Ups GOP 24 RCP Governor Projection 19 Dem (GOP +3) GOP 31 TRUSTWORTHY ELECTIONS Sponsored Curation Powered By: ESSENTIAL READING Fortifying Election Security Through Poll Worker Policy The smooth functioning of elections relies on... Ranked-Choice Voting: Legal Challenges and Considerations for Congress Ranked-choice voting (RCV) is an alternative... IN THE NEWS * Nicole Moeder et al., ABC News Ballot Paper Shortage Could Cause Problems on Election Day * Fred Lucas, Daily Signal Lawmakers Want to Know Why Pennsylvania Sent Out 240,000 Unverified Ballots MULTIMEDIA Are We Ready to Run Our Elections? ‘We Are Seeing a Dramatic Effort to Decrease Access to Voting in America’ The Critical Role Secretaries of State Will Play in Midterm Elections REAL CLEAR POLITICS ELECTION 2022 RealClearPolitics - Battle for House Generic Congressional Ballot Republicans +2.3 RCP House Map 173 Dem 37 Toss Ups GOP 225 Date State Previous Status New StatusDems Toss Ups GOPPick-Up RangeAvg GainAverage Gain10/27NM3NM3Leans D»»»Toss Up17337225R +12 to +49R +30.510/27CA9CA9Leans D»»»Toss Up17337225R +12 to +49R +30.510/26KS3KS3Leans R»»»Toss Up17535225R +12 to +47R +29.510/26MI8MI8Toss Up»»»Leans R17535225R +12 to +47R +29.510/26WI3WI3Leans R»»»Likely R17535225R +12 to +47R +29.510/21MN2MN2Toss Up»»»Leans R17535225R +12 to +47R +29.510/21NH1NH1Toss Up»»»Leans R17535225R +12 to +47R +29.510/21NY19NY19Toss Up»»»Leans R17535225R +12 to +47R +29.510/21PA17PA17Toss Up»»»Leans R17535225R +12 to +47R +29.510/21IL14IL14Leans D»»»Toss Up17535225R +12 to +47R +29.510/17CT2CT2Leans D»»»Toss Up17638221R +8 to +46R +27.010/17GA2GA2Leans D»»»Toss Up17638221R +8 to +46R +27.010/17PA6PA6Likely D»»»Leans D17638221R +8 to +46R +27.010/17PA12PA12Safe D»»»Likely D17638221R +8 to +46R +27.010/17VA10VA10Likely D»»»Leans D17638221R +8 to +46R +27.0View Full Race Change Page » RealClearPolitics - Battle for House Generic Congressional Ballot Republicans +2.3 RCP House Map 173 Dem 37 Toss Ups GOP 225 POLITICAL LANDSCAPE REPUBLICANS FIND THEIR FOOTING ON ABORTION Earlier this week, Republican Sen. Marco Rubio stood his ground on a debate stage at the Lake Worth campus of Palm Beach College. His opponent is seasoned Democratic lawmaker Val Demings, a black congresswoman and former police chief, and the discussion had turned to abortion rights – terrain that Democrats believe favor them and give Demings and other Senate candidates a chance to alter the exp Read More more from Political Landscape * Heritage Action Cuts $1M Attack Ad Targeting Cheri Beasley * Laxalt Keeps It Simple, Keeps It Close in Pivotal Senate Race * Doubt-Free, America's Schools Warm to Climate Change Activism * RCI's Left-to-Right Guide to Politicized Capitalism BIDEN ADMINISTRATION MOST CATHOLIC VOTERS DON’T SHARE CATHOLIC PRESIDENT’S PRIORITIES President Biden walked on stage in the dark of the Howard Theatre and declared the coming midterms, then just three weeks away, “the most consequential election in our history.” Insisting that abortion was on the ballot this year, Biden promised that if Democrats kept their majorities, they would codify Roe v. Wade in federal law. “I want to remind us all how we felt that day,” Biden told Read More more from Biden Administration * Zero Emissions From Electric Cars? That Claim Has Zero Basis * Republicans Would Love To See Biden Hit the Campaign Trail * Mollie Hemingway: By Democrat Standards, Biden Pressuring Saudis On Oil Prices Is An Impeachable Offense * Biden Mostly Mum on Student Debt Relief While Traveling Country ANALYSIS & COMMENTARY HANSON: THE SWITCHEROOS OF THE TWO PARTIES Our two parties have both changed, and that explains why one will win, and one lose in the midterm elections.The old Democrats have faded away after being overwhelmed by radicals and socialists.Moderates who once embraced former President Bill Clinton's opportunistic "third way" are now either irrelevant or nonexistent.Once considered too wacky and socialist to be taken seriously, Senator Bernie S Read More more from Analysis & Commentary * Schantin: Democrats Race To Save a Blue State Gone Purple * Lipson: Violent Crime Is Driving a Red Wave * Bonjean & Rochlin: ‘Woke’ Businesses, Meet the New Republican Congress * Cortes: CDC’s Child Vaccine Move Puts Dem Candidates on the Hot Seat REAL CLEAR POLITICS ELECTION 2022 * Pennsylvania Senate - Oz vs. Fetterman - InsiderAdvantage*: Fetterman (D) 45, Oz (R) 48 * Pennsylvania Governor - Mastriano vs. Shapiro - InsiderAdvantage*: Shapiro (D) 50, Mastriano (R) 42 * Georgia Senate - Walker vs. Warnock - Rasmussen Reports: Walker (R) 48, Warnock (D) 43 * Georgia Governor - Kemp vs. Abrams - Rasmussen Reports: Kemp (R) 51, Abrams (D) 41 * Nevada Senate - Laxalt vs. Cortez Masto - Trafalgar Group (R)*: Laxalt (R) 50, Masto (D) 46 * Nevada Governor - Lombardo vs. Sisolak - Trafalgar Group (R)*: Lombardo (R) 51, Sisolak (D) 44 * Oregon Governor - Drazan vs. Kotek vs. Johnson - Trafalgar Group (R): Drazan (R) 42, Kotek (D) 40, Johnson (I) 13 * Ohio Senate - Vance vs. Ryan - Cygnal (Tracking): Vance (R) 49, Ryan (D) 44 * Ohio Governor - DeWine vs. Whaley - Cygnal (Tracking): DeWine (R) 56, Whaley (D) 35 * Connecticut 5th District - Logan vs. Hayes - The Hill/Emerson: Logan (R) 48, Hayes (D) 47 * 2022 Generic Congressional Vote - InsiderAdvantage: (R) 48, (D) 44 * 2022 Generic Congressional Vote - USA Today/Suffolk: (R) 49, (D) 45 * Arizona Governor - Lake vs. Hobbs - FOX 10/InsiderAdvantage: Lake (R) 54, Hobbs (D) 43 * Arizona Senate - Masters vs. Kelly - FOX 10/InsiderAdvantage*: Kelly (D) 45, Masters (R) 43 * Arizona Governor - Lake vs. Hobbs - Data for Progress (D)**: Lake (R) 50, Hobbs (D) 46 * Arizona Senate - Masters vs. Kelly - Data for Progress (D)**: Kelly (D) 47, Masters (R) 47 * Florida Senate - Rubio vs. Demings - Data for Progress (D)**: Rubio (R) 51, Demings (D) 44 * Florida Governor - DeSantis vs. Crist - Data for Progress (D)**: DeSantis (R) 54, Crist (D) 42 * Florida Senate - Rubio vs. Demings - Univ. of North Florida: Rubio (R) 54, Demings (D) 43 * Florida Governor - DeSantis vs. Crist - Univ. of North Florida: DeSantis (R) 55, Crist (D) 41 * Wisconsin Senate - Johnson vs. Barnes - Data for Progress (D)**: Johnson (R) 51, Barnes (D) 46 * Wisconsin Governor - Michels vs. Evers - Data for Progress (D)**: Evers (D) 48, Michels (R) 49 * Nevada Senate - Laxalt vs. Cortez Masto - Data for Progress (D)**: Laxalt (R) 49, Masto (D) 48 * Nevada Governor - Lombardo vs. Sisolak - Data for Progress (D)**: Lombardo (R) 48, Sisolak (D) 47 * North Carolina Senate - Budd vs. Beasley - Marist: Budd (R) 49, Beasley (D) 45 Battle for Senate 46 Dem 6 GOP 48 Latest Senate Polls Battle for House 173 Dem 37 GOP 225 Latest House Polls 2022 Governor Races 14 Dem 12 GOP 24 Latest Governor Polls TODAY'S TOPICS * Economy * U.S. Mortgage Rates Top 7% for the First Time Since 2002 * Economy Returned to Growth in Q3, But Recession Fears Persist * Meta Shares Plunge 23% on Missed Earnings, Big Spending on Metaverse * Battle for Senate * Nevada (Trafalgar): Laxalt +4 * Pennsylvania (InAdv): Oz (R) +3 * Georgia (Ras): Walker (R) +5 * Arizona (FOX10): Kelly (D) +2 * Ohio (Cygnal): Vance +5 * RCP Projection: GOP +3 | 53R, 47D * 2022 Election * New Polling Shows Catholic Voters May Hold Key in Six Swing States * Schumer to Biden: 'The State Where We're Going Downhill Is Georgia' * Oregon Might Elect Its First Republican Governor in 40 Years * House Democrats Rush To Defend Their Record on Crime * Republicans Target a Top House Democrat as Winds Shift to the Right * State House Battle * Oregon (Trafalgar): Drazan (R) +2 * Pennsylvania (IA): Shaprio (D) +8 * Georgia (Ras): Kemp (R) +10 * RCP Projection: GOP +3 | 31R, 19D * Biden Administration * 1.8 Million More Illegal Immigrants in US Since Start of Biden Admin * Biden Zeroes In On Economic Message as Campaign Winds Down * Biden's Low Job Approval Ratings Weigh On Undecided Voters * Biden Tells Trans Activist Restrictions on Treatment for Kids Is 'Immoral' * Political Landscape * Mayra Flores Responds After Being Rejected From Hispanic Caucus * Pennsylvania House Moves to Impeach Philly's Progressive D.A. * Sen. Robert Menendez (D-NJ) Under Federal Criminal Investigation * Facebook Slapped With Largest Campaign Finance Fine in History * THE RCP TAKEAWAY PODCAST * CARL CANNON'S AM NOTE * Real Clear Politics * Events * RCP on Twitter * RCP on Facebook Most Recent by RCP * Most Catholic Voters Don’t Share Catholic President’s Priorities -Philip Wegmann * North America Goes South: The Plan To Dismantle USA -Frank Miele * Republicans Find Their Footing on Abortion -Susan Crabtree * Heritage Action Super PAC Cuts $1M Attack Ad Targeting Beasley -Philip Wegmann * Midterms Just Bump in the Road for Mainstream Propagandists -J. Peder Zane * Will GOP Call for Calm and Peace on Election Day? -A.B. Stoddard Our Writers Tom Bevan Carl M. Cannon Susan Crabtree Philip Wegmann Sean Trende A.B. Stoddard * Most Read * Last 24 Hours * Difficult Truths Laid Bare in the Fetterman-Oz Debate - Li Zhou, Vox * Democrats Race To Save a Blue State Gone Purple - Matthew Schantin, RealClearPolitics * The Switcheroos of the Two Parties - Victor Davis Hanson, American Greatness * A Disatrous Debate Night for Democrats - Kaylee White, Washington Examiner * Last 7 Days * Senate Forecast: 3 Key States Slipping Away From Dems - Ryan King, DC Examiner * A Disatrous Debate Night for Democrats - Kaylee White, Washington Examiner * How Big Will the Red Wave Be? - Josh Hammer, The American Spectator * * RealClearPolitics Election 2022 Senate House Governor Battle for Senate 46 Dem 6 GOP 48 RCP Projection GOP +3 Pick-Ups Top Senate Races RCP Average PennsylvaniaFetterman (D) +0.3New HampshireHassan (D) +3.4North CarolinaBudd (R) +4.5NevadaLaxalt (R) +1.2ArizonaKelly (D) +1.5GeorgiaWalker (R) +0.6OhioVance (R) +2.2WisconsinJohnson (R) +3.3ColoradoBennet (D) +7.5WashingtonMurray (D) +8.5FloridaRubio (R) +7.4ConnecticutBlumenthal (D) +11.0 RCP Senate Projection | Latest Senate Polls Generic Ballot Republicans +2.3 RCP Projection GOP +12 to +49 | Avg +30 RCP House Map | Latest House Polls Governor Races 14 Dem 12 GOP 24 RCP Projection GOP +3 Pick-Ups Top Governor Races RCP Average MichiganWhitmer (D) +3.1WisconsinEvers (D) +0.5MinnesotaWalz (D) +2.5ArizonaLake (R) +3.2NevadaLombardo (R) +2.4New MexicoLujan Grisham (D) +3.5OregonDrazan (R) +1.7New YorkHochul (D) +6.1PennsylvaniaShapiro (D) +6.7GeorgiaKemp (R) +7.4TexasAbbott (R) +8.3FloridaDeSantis (R) +11.2 RCP Governor Projection | Latest Governor Polls Recommended Politics * Politics * Markets * World * Science * History * Future * Energy * Health * Policy * Religion * Defense * Sports * Education * Books * Investigations * Public Affairs * Zero Emissions From Electric Cars? 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