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INDEPENDENT THINKING: HAS DONALD TRUMP CHANGED US FOREIGN POLICY FOREVER?

The prospect of a second Trump or Biden presidency raises questions about
America’s commitments to NATO, Ukraine and beyond.

Audio
8 March 2024 30 minute listen




FEATURED CONTENT

Expert comment


BIDEN’S UNUSUAL STATE OF THE UNION TIED HIS FOREIGN POLICY TO DEFENDING
DEMOCRACY AT HOME

Foreign policy played a prominent part in Biden’s efforts to distinguish his
vision from Donald Trump – in a campaigning and fiery speech.

8 March 2024 3 minute READ
Video


THE ROLE OF THE UK IN THE GLOBAL TRADE LANDSCAPE

Watch the keynote address from our 2024 Global Trade conference by The Rt Hon
Kemi Badenoch MP, Secretary of State, Department for Business and Trade.

8 March 2024 30 minute watch
Expert comment


THIS TIME HAITI REALLY IS ON THE BRINK. THE US AND UN MUST ACT TO RESTORE ORDER

However painful previous interventions have been, Haitians cannot be abandoned
to the rule of criminal gangs.

7 March 2024 3 minute READ
Expert comment


HOW GEOPOLITICAL COMPETITION IN THE BLACK SEA IS REDEFINING REGIONAL ORDER

Containing Russia requires a holistic view of Black Sea security that considers
how this is interlinked with the security of adjacent regions.

7 March 2024 4 minute READ
International Affairs


INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS MARCH ISSUE

The free to access issue includes a special section on NATO at 75, policy
papers, book reviews and research articles on Russian foreign policy, Myanmar,
global sovereign debt and more.

7 March 2024


INDEPENDENT THINKING

A weekly international affairs podcast hosted by our director, Bronwen Maddox,
in conversation with leading policymakers, journalists and Chatham House
experts, providing insight on the latest international issues.

Listen to the latest episode




TRENDING ISSUES


ISRAEL AND PALESTINE

Research includes work on the ongoing peace process, Palestine’s accession to
the ICC, and the constantly evolving situation in Gaza.


WAR IN UKRAINE

Examining how Ukraine can be best supported to end the Russian invasion, and
successfully rebuild its society, infrastructure, and economy.


US FOREIGN POLICY

US global influence remains strong but is seen as being in decline - especially
economically - as China, India and Russia begin to exert more influence.


NORTH ATLANTIC TREATY ORGANIZATION (NATO)

It is widely accepted that NATO is the premier security organization in Europe,
but its overall purpose in a post-cold war world remains contested.


IRAN

Research examines Iran’s domestic politics, social change, and prospects for
economic reform, alongside Iran’s role in regional conflicts.


YEMEN

Research focuses on the civil war and resulting humanitarian crisis, in addition
to its impact on the economy and the role of factions such as the Houthis.

On
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LATEST CONTENT

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Audio


INDEPENDENT THINKING: HAS DONALD TRUMP CHANGED US FOREIGN POLICY FOREVER?

The prospect of a second Trump or Biden presidency raises questions about
America’s commitments to NATO, Ukraine and beyond.

8 March 2024 30 minute listen
Expert comment


THE WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION SHOULD REORIENT FROM RULE-MAKING TO DIALOGUE

Yet again, a WTO ministerial is being criticized for producing little of
substance. But the Organization provides an opportunity for powers like the US,
China, EU and India to agree pragmatic ways forward.

8 March 2024 4 minute READ
Expert comment


HOW FOREIGN POLICY MIGHT IMPACT THE OUTCOME OF THE US ELECTION

Divisions over key foreign policy issues, from the war in Ukraine to Gaza, could
play a pivotal role in determining the outcome of the 2024 presidential
election.

6 March 2024 3 minute READ
Research paper


IDENTIFYING CO-PARTIES TO ARMED CONFLICT IN INTERNATIONAL LAW

As diverse forms of cooperation between states, international organizations and
non-state groups increasingly shape armed conflicts, the need for legal clarity
on who qualifies as a party to conflict has never been greater.

6 March 2024
Audio


AFRICA AWARE: FROM NIGERIA TO LIBYA: LINKED THROUGH MIGRATION AND ARMED CONFLICT

This episode discusses transnational links between the movement of people and
armed conflict – from Edo State in Nigeria, through Niger, to Libya.

4 March 2024 1 minute READ
News release


SUSTAINABILITY ACCELERATOR MICROGRANTS 2024: OPEN FOR APPLICATIONS

£1000 grants are available for innovative and engaging ideas to deliver a fair
and sustainable future.

4 March 2024 1 minute READ
Expert comment


IRAN’S ELECTORAL FACADE

A historic low turnout points to declining public interest amid uninspiring
leadership choices.

4 March 2024 3 minute READ
Expert comment


THE SOUTH AFRICAN ELECTION CAMPAIGN SEASON MARKS A SHIFT TO A VOLATILE NEW
POLITICS

ANC domination is anticipated to give way to national and provincial coalition
deal-making between very different parties. But the constitution was designed to
accommodate this change.

1 March 2024 3 minute READ
Audio


INDEPENDENT THINKING: IRAN’S ELECTIONS: WHAT’S AT STAKE FOR THE MIDDLE EAST?

Iranians are boycotting the first elections since the death of Mahsa Amini. Why?
And is the world ready for a nuclear Iran?

1 March 2024 30 minute listen
Expert comment


RUSSIA’S INFLUENCE IN KAZAKHSTAN IS INCREASING DESPITE THE WAR IN UKRAINE

Some hoped the war would pivot Astana’s foreign policy towards the West – but
economic ties with Moscow have deepened.

29 February 2024 3 minute READ
Expert comment


THE GAZA WAR IS TESTING HEZBOLLAH’S STRATEGIC CAPABILITY

Hezbollah knows escalation would hurt Iran and erode its support in Lebanon,
forcing it to prioritize survival over any effort to exploit the situation.

28 February 2024 3 minute READ
Expert comment


HOW THE UK COULD BECOME A GLOBAL LEADER IN THE SUBSEA DOMAIN

As it searches for an appropriate global role after Brexit, the UK has the
potential to become the centre of gravity for subsea technology.

27 February 2024 3 minute READ
Video


UK DEFENCE POLICY IN A HEIGHTENED SECURITY LANDSCAPE

Watch the keynote address from our security and defence conference, delivered by
the UK Chief of the Defence Staff, Admiral Sir Tony Radakin.

27 February 2024 40 minute watch
Expert comment


SWEDEN BRINGS BENEFITS FOR NATO BUT ACCESSION DELAY RAISES DIFFICULT QUESTIONS

Sweden’s membership will strengthen NATO, but the delays associated with its
accession has revealed several concerns about the credibility and future of the
alliance.

27 February 2024 3 minute READ
Expert comment


THE SECOND FAILED TRIDENT TEST: TIME TO SCRAP OR EXPAND BRITAIN’S NUCLEAR
CAPABILITIES?

The potential nuclear threats posed by Russia and China are complicated by the
possibility of a second Trump presidency.

26 February 2024 3 minute READ
Expert comment


THE FAILED TRIDENT TEST HIGHLIGHTS AN IMBALANCE IN UK DEFENCE STRATEGY

Failed tests may help the UK improve the reliability of its independent nuclear
deterrent. But such events raise concerns about a lack of investment in
non-nuclear defences.

26 February 2024 3 minute READ
Audio


INDEPENDENT THINKING: IS ALEXEI NAVALNY’S DEATH A WATERSHED MOMENT FOR RUSSIA?

Alexei Navalny’s death leaves more questions than answers about the future of
Russia. Why?

23 February 2024 30 minute listen
Expert comment


THE AU TOOK IMPORTANT ACTION ON CYBERSECURITY AT ITS 2024 SUMMIT – BUT MORE IS
NEEDED

Leading African Union member states continue to delay ratification of the Malabo
convention, limiting harmonized African policymaking on cybersecurity.

23 February 2024 3 minute READ
News release


NEW PAPER ON TRANSATLANTIC CHINA POLICY PUBLISHED IN COLLABORATION WITH RUSI

Paper argues US and Europe need to think about the ‘endgame’ for their
respective China policies.

22 February 2024 1 minute READ
Expert comment


CHINA’S ‘RENMINBI TRAP’: THE ECONOMY NEEDS A WEAKER CURRENCY, BUT BEIJING IS
UNABLE TO ACT

Weakening the currency should be relatively straightforward. But the adverse
reaction of China’s trading partners, past experience, and Xi Jinping’s
ambitions for the renminbi could combine to prevent it.

22 February 2024 3 minute READ
Expert comment


HAS PAKISTAN’S NEW COALITION GOVERNMENT BEEN HANDED A POISONED CHALICE?

Simmering tension between the two coalition partners threatens to hobble the
capacity of the new government to tackle the multiple crises facing Pakistan.

21 February 2024 3 minute READ
News release


AFRICA PROGRAMME LAUNCHES ‘A CONTINENT IN CONVERSATION’ SERIES AT AU SUMMIT

The discussion series brings together African stakeholders to discuss the
continent’s response to geopolitical trends.

21 February 2024 2 minute READ
Expert comment


COULD THE UNITED STATES BE HEADED FOR A NATIONAL DIVORCE?

There is a growing divide in US society and politics along old civil war battle
lines – and the election could make things worse.

20 February 2024 3 minute READ
Expert comment


UKRAINE MEANS ENLARGEMENT IS AGAIN THE EU’S PRIORITY – BUT NOT FOR THE REASONS
IT CLAIMS

The European Union is using an old tool for a new purpose as it looks to its
defence

19 February 2024 3 minute READ
Expert comment


ALEXEI NAVALNY’S MOST POWERFUL LEGACY IS URGING RUSSIANS TO IMAGINE THEIR
COUNTRY WITHOUT PUTIN

Much like his life’s work, Navalny’s death shows the corrupt brutality of
Vladimir Putin’s Russia.

17 February 2024 3 minute READ
Audio


INDEPENDENT THINKING: WHAT DOES PRABOWO SUBIANTO’S ELECTION MEAN FOR INDONESIA?

Indonesians have voted in the ‘grandfather figure’ who was a former general in
the Suharto dictatorship. Why?

16 February 2024 30 minute listen
Expert comment


‘CONTINUITY’ PRABOWO MEANS CHANGE FOR INDONESIA

Prabowo Subianto used the endorsement of the popular outgoing president to win
power - but is unlikely to govern as Jokowi’s ‘proxy’.

15 February 2024 3 minute READ
Expert comment


LABOUR’S DITCHED £28 BILLION CLIMATE PLEDGE SENDS THE WRONG MESSAGE ON UK COP
ENERGY COMMITMENTS

The pledge was an important signal to international partners about future energy
policy. Dropping it increases doubts about the credibility of UK plans should
Labour win the election later this year.

14 February 2024 3 minute READ
Video


APPLYING THE PLEA OF NECESSITY TO CYBER OPERATIONS

Dr Talita Dias explains the plea of necessity in international law and how it
applies to cyberspace.

14 February 2024 3 minute watch
Expert comment


AS TRUMP THREATENS NATO, IS IT TIME FOR EUROPE TO GET ITS ACT TOGETHER?

Donald Trump’s threats to NATO allies must unite European leaders in the defence
of Europe.

13 February 2024 3 minute READ
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UPCOMING EVENTS

View all upcoming events
Conference


ENERGY TRANSITIONS 2024

Join industry experts, decision makers and senior leaders to explore the race
for energy sovereignty, affordable energy infrastructure, industrial transition
pathways, the future of renewable technologies and critical materials.

12 March 2024 TO 13 March 2024 — 8:00AM TO 12:30PM
Open event


HOW HAS MENA TURMOIL AFFECTED EXTERNAL POWERS’ INTERESTS?

Experts assess how China, Russia, the UK and the USA are responding to crisis in
the region.

14 March 2024 — 2:00PM TO 3:00PM
Members event


HOW SAFE IS AMERICA’S DEMOCRACY?

In a critical election year, experts look at the threats to American democracy.

14 March 2024 — 6:00PM TO 7:00PM
Research event


MAKING SANCTIONS WORK AS A FOREIGN POLICY TOOL

How is the use of sanctions evolving and what are the challenges of using them
as a foreign policy tool?

19 March 2024 — 9:00AM TO 10:30AM
Members event


THE NEW COLD WAR

How the US-China relationship will shape the next decade. A reception will
follow this event.

19 March 2024 — 6:00PM TO 7:00PM
Members event


EXTRAORDINARY GENERAL MEETING

Chatham House members are invited to join for the nomination to the office of
Chatham House President.

21 March 2024 — 2:45PM TO 3:15PM
Research event


DEVELOPING NEW RESPONSES TO DISINFORMATION

What is missing in responses to disinformation, and what new perspectives are
needed?

21 March 2024 — 4:00PM TO 5:15PM
Research event


US AND UK PRIORITIES IN THE MIDDLE EAST

This roundtable will focus on the future of US and UK policy toward the Middle
East.

25 March 2024 — 12:00PM TO 1:00PM
Research event


THE IMPACTS OF EU CIRCULAR TEXTILES POLICIES ON TRADING PARTNERS

WCEF2024 Accelerator session: how to drive the creation of a more inclusive EU
circular textiles policy design framework.

17 April 2024 — 2:00PM TO 3:30PM
Research event


NATIONAL AND REGIONAL CIRCULAR ECONOMY ROAD MAPS AND STRATEGIES: A GLOBAL
STOCKTAKE

WCEF 2024 Accelerator Session: Sharing findings from the world’s first global
stocktake of national circular economy roadmaps.

18 April 2024 — 2:00PM TO 3:30PM
Research event


SURVIVING IN CONFLICT

Exploring humanitarian arrangements.

24 April 2024 — 5:00PM TO 6:30PM
Conference


CYBER 2024

Join senior policymakers and industry experts in a day of discussion and thought
leadership to understand why those in this sector need to remain agile to the
ever-changing, digital world.

5 June 2024 — 9:00AM TO 6:00PM
Special event


LONDON CONFERENCE 2024

The year of elections and a world in conflict.

20 June 2024 — 8:00AM TO 7:00PM
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LATEST EVENT RECORDINGS

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Research event Recording


JOINING IN WARS

How states, international organizations and armed groups become parties to armed
conflict.

6 March 2024 — 5:00PM TO 6:30PM
Open event Recording


HOW RUSSIA IS GOVERNED

Can Putin’s regime maintain stability?

5 March 2024 — 6:00PM TO 7:00PM
Open event Recording


NIGER’S COUP AND REGIONAL SECURITY IMPLICATIONS

Experts discuss recent developments in Niger and transnational conflict dynamics
across the Sahel.

29 February 2024 — 12:00PM TO 1:00PM
Research event Recording


ATTACKS IN THE RED SEA

Yemen experts and policymakers will discuss the impact and trajectory of the
instability in the Red Sea followed by an interview with General Tareq Saleh,
Presidential Leadership Council (PLC).

29 February 2024 — 11:00AM TO 1:15PM
Open event Recording


GEORGIA’S EUROPEAN OPPORTUNITY

Salome Zourabichvili, President of Georgia, examines prospects for upcoming
elections and foreign relations.

28 February 2024 — 6:00PM TO 7:00PM
Research event Recording


WHO IS WINNING IN THE BLACK SEA?

How has the Russian invasion redefined security and geopolitics in the Black Sea
region?

28 February 2024 — 2:00PM TO 3:30PM
Open event Recording


ENDING THE RUSSO-UKRAINIAN WAR: SCENARIOS AND CONSEQUENCES

Chatham House experts outline some of the possible scenarios for how the end of
fighting might come about and the consequences emanating from each scenario.

26 February 2024 — 6:00PM TO 7:00PM
Open event Recording


UNDERSTANDING THE ROLE OF ARMED ACTORS ACROSS THE MIDDLE EAST

Experts assess the power and motivations of different groups in the Middle East
crisis.

22 February 2024 — 3:00PM TO 4:00PM
Members event Recording


A STORM IN THE WESTERN BALKANS

What are the security challenges facing the region?

12 February 2024 — 5:00PM TO 6:00PM
Research event Recording


CPTPP AND THE ECONOMIC ORDER IN THE INDO-PACIFIC

What do the UK and Japan bring to the table on the CPTPP, and what are the
implications for the trade liberalization agenda?

8 February 2024 — 1:00PM TO 2:00PM
Research event Recording


INDONESIA’S ELECTIONS: NEW PRESIDENT, NEW PARLIAMENT, SAME OLD POLITICS?

Experts discuss the possible outcomes of the February elections.

7 February 2024 — 9:00AM TO 10:00AM
Research event Recording


RUSSIA’S USE OF ABDUCTION, TORTURE AND SEXUAL VIOLENCE IN WAR

How Russia employs these crimes as a part of their military strategy.

6 February 2024 — 3:00PM TO 5:30PM
Members event Recording


PAKISTAN’S ELECTION: REGIONAL IMPLICATIONS OF DOMESTIC INSTABILITIES

Experts assess whether Pakistan’s elections can bring the country stability and
the impact on regional security.

6 February 2024 — 12:30PM TO 1:30PM
Members event Recording


RESISTING RUSSIAN INFORMATION WARFARE: LESSONS FROM UKRAINE

What can democracies learn from Russia’s cyber and information warfare in
Ukraine?

30 January 2024 — 6:00PM TO 7:00PM
Open event Recording


UNDERSTANDING THE ROLE OF IRAN IN REGIONAL ESCALATION

A panel of experts will discuss Iran’s approach and role in regional tensions.

25 January 2024 — 12:30PM TO 1:30PM
Research event Recording


NEGOTIATING PEACE IN THE DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO

Panellists will reflect on the potential for a negotiated settlement in response
to armed group violence in eastern DRC.

24 January 2024 — 1:00PM TO 2:30PM
Open event Recording


THE DIRECTOR’S ANNUAL LECTURE 2024

Bronwen Maddox looks ahead to the challenges of the year and sets out
recommendations for change.

23 January 2024 — 6:00PM TO 7:00PM
Research event Recording


WHERE IS US FOREIGN POLICY HEADING?

Elbridge Colby, former US Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Strategy and
Force Development, discusses the direction of future policy.

17 January 2024 — 2:00PM TO 3:00PM
Research event Recording


REPERCUSSIONS OF US-UK STRIKES ON YEMEN

Experts discuss the US-UK response to the Houthi Red Sea attacks, the regional
spill over of the Gaza war and the possibility of broader conflict in the Middle
East.

16 January 2024 — 4:30PM TO 5:30PM
Members event Recording


TEN CONFLICTS TO WATCH IN 2024

This event examines the most dangerous wars and crises through the lens of
International Crisis Group’s flagship annual report Ten Conflicts to Watch.

11 January 2024 — 6:00PM TO 7:00PM
Open event Recording


ISRAEL-PALESTINE: HOW IS THE WAR CHANGING ISRAELI POLITICS?

Experts discuss the implications of the war in Gaza on Benjamin Netanyahu,
Israeli society and the country’s relations in the region.

10 January 2024 — 3:00PM TO 4:00PM
Open event Recording


TAIWAN VOTES: A LOOK AT THE 2024 ELECTIONS

Experts discuss the impact on regional stability and international relations.

10 January 2024 — 12:00PM TO 1:00PM
Research event Recording


REGIONALIZATION OF CONFLICT IN THE HORN OF AFRICA

Panellists discuss the increasing regionalization of conflict in the Horn of
Africa, and how it has become entangled with national interests.

14 December 2023 — 1:00PM TO 2:15PM
Research event Recording


WHAT DID WE ACHIEVE AT COP28?

Experts share insights on the key achievements and challenges emerging from the
UAE.

14 December 2023 — 12:00PM TO 1:00PM
Research event Recording


SOUTHEAST ASIA: SEEKING BALANCE AMID US-CHINA RIVALRY

How can Southeast Asian governments manage growing US-China tensions and what
can outside powers do to engage with the region more effectively?

14 December 2023 — 9:30AM TO 10:30AM
Open event Recording


ISRAEL-PALESTINE: WHAT NEXT FOR PALESTINIANS?

A panel of experts will discuss the future of Palestinian society, leadership
and aspirations for statehood.

13 December 2023 — 3:00PM TO 4:00PM
Research event Recording


KENYA’S FOREIGN POLICY IMPERATIVES

In conversation with HE Musalia Mudavadi EGH, Prime Cabinet Secretary and
Cabinet Secretary for Foreign and Diaspora Affairs, Republic of Kenya.

7 December 2023 — 1:30PM TO 2:30PM
Research event Recording


THE UN CYBERCRIME CONVENTION: IMPLEMENTING A TREATY AND MANAGING RISKS

Reflecting on the new draft text of the convention, this discussion considers
the risks a new cybercrime treaty might pose and how can they be mitigated.

6 December 2023 — 12:00PM TO 1:30PM
Members event Recording


MYTHS VERSUS REALITY: SMALL BOATS, MIGRATION AND THE EUROPEAN COURT OF HUMAN
RIGHTS

Experts deconstruct the recent UK Supreme Court case, its significance for the
government’s ‘Rwanda policy’ and the implications for the UK and the wider
world.

30 November 2023 — 6:00PM TO 7:00PM
Members event Recording


INDIA: THE NEXT GLOBAL SUPERPOWER?

Experts discuss the opportunities and challenges presented by India’s growing
global ambitions.

29 November 2023 — 1:00PM TO 2:00PM
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