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Breadcrumb
 1. Home
 2. Global Economics
 3. Global Economics Update
 4. What to make of the latest disruption in the Red Sea


WHAT TO MAKE OF THE LATEST DISRUPTION IN THE RED SEA



4th January 2024

The redirecting of trade ships away from the Red Sea and the associated rise in
shipping costs are unlikely to lead to a resurgence in global inflation.
However, if the warfare underpinning the disruption to shipping escalates into a
wider regional conflict, that would pose inflationary risks via higher energy
prices.


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DETAILS

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 * Inflation
 * International Trade & Balance of Payments
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 * Middle East
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WRITTEN BY

Simon MacAdam

Senior Global Economist

Lily Millard

Assistant Economist

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RELATED

Global Economics Update

SHIPPING DISRUPTION UNLIKELY TO ALTER INFLATION’S COURSE

The rerouting of trade ships away from the Red Sea has come at a time of
disruption to shipping elsewhere in the world, but it is unlikely to alter the
broad pattern of falling core inflation in 2024...

21st December 2023 · 6 mins read

Global Economics Update

WEAK PMIS SUGGEST SOFT START FOR INDUSTRY IN 2024

Although the manufacturing PMIs have overstated the weakness of industry for a
while, the big picture from December’s surveys was that global industrial
activity was barely growing at the end of 2023...

2nd January 2024 · 3 mins read

Long Run Update

WHICH COUNTRIES WILL STRUGGLE TO SHRINK FISCAL DEFICITS?

Most major DMs need to shrink their primary budget deficits significantly and,
for various reasons, most are likely to find it hard to do so. This will
exacerbate growing worries about fiscal...

20th December 2023 · 4 mins read

Global Economics Update

YOUR QUESTIONS AFTER THE LATEST CENTRAL BANK MEETINGS

We recently held an online Drop-In session to discuss the December policy
meetings and the outlook for monetary policy in the year ahead. (See a recording
here .) This Update answers several of the...

18th December 2023 · 5 mins read


UPCOMING EVENTS

EM DROP-IN: IS TURKEY’S POLICY SHIFT THE REAL DEAL?

9th January 2024



DROP-IN: 2024 US CRE OUTLOOK – ANOTHER YEAR OF DOUBLE-DIGIT VALUE FALLS

10th January 2024



US DROP-IN: DECEMBER CPI AND THE FED’S 2024 PATH BACK TO ITS 2% INFLATION TARGET

11th January 2024



DROP-IN: 2024 EM OUTLOOK – BIG GROWTH DIVERGENCE IN A BIG ELECTION YEAR

11th January 2024



ASIA DROP-IN: TAIWAN ELECTION 2024 – DOMESTIC AND GLOBAL IMPLICATIONS

15th January 2024



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