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* AMERICA'S TRADE POLICY Subscribe: * rss * mail-to * About * WITA * Advisory Committee * NextGenTrade™ * NextGenTrade™ Content * NextGenTrade™ Events * NextGen Voices * Blogs * TPP/TTIP * WTO Negotiations and Issues * Bilateral Issues * Agriculture * Labor * Environment * Trade Data * U.S. Policies * TPA * Development * Foreign Policy * Interviews * Bill Lane Commentary * Archive * Research Library * Topics * Dictionary * Trade Acronyms * Video Library * TPP Videos * Contact * Advertise on WITA & ATP * Subscribe AMERICA'S TRADE POLICY WHAT WE’RE TWEETING * MODERNIZING NAFTA FOR 21ST CENTURY WORKERS Although President Trump promised that the revised [NAFTA] will yield more and better jobs, there is little evidence that policymakers are thinking creatively about how to use NAFTA to create such opportunities. And if the negotiations don’t succeed, Trump has threatened to withdraw from NAFTA, which could cause job loss for thousands of workers in all three countries. * HOW BLOCKCHAIN IS CHANGING TRACK AND TRACE In August last year, UK company Provenance announced a scheme to track tuna on the blockchain. In this pilot, Indonesian fishermen sent a text on the company’s blockchain-based app every time they successfully reeled one in. The fish was automatically registered as a digital asset that had been caught legally and sustainably. * NAFTA: IT’S NOT GOING AWAY WITHOUT A FIGHT Will the U.S. withdraw from NAFTA? Should you move your operations out of Mexico? These are two of the most-asked questions these days. The short answer is that nobody—even people who say they do—knows for sure. The longer answer is complicated. It is probably “no” in both cases, but like all things these days, the answer takes longer than 140 characters to explain. * ARE GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAINS STILL THE FUTURE OF TRADE? After the initial rapid recovery from the Great Recession, global trade growth has slowed dramatically. There is as yet no consensus on the causes of the slowdown, or on its ultimate consequences. The maturing of global supply chains is one compelling explanation. next prev * LOSING GROUND: THE UNITED STATES, FREE TRADE AREAS, AND THE WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION › Share | By Guy Erb & Scott Sommers // Wednesday, May 2, 2018 WASHINGTON, DC – April, 2018 Over the past twenty-five years US production and export of goods and services have flourished while technological innovation and competition from imports have reduced employment in some US manufacturing industries. In response to the undoubted problems of some industries and to concerns about the US deficit in traded goods, the Trump Administration withdrew from the Trans Pacific Partnership (TPP); repeatedly threatened to withdraw from the North American Free Trade Area (NAFTA); stated its strong preference for bilateral trade agreements; highlighted a long-standing US criticism of the dispute settlement procedures of the World Trade Organization (WTO); and announced tariff increases to protect US producers of washing machines, solar panels, aluminum, and steel. Taken together, those actions threaten a reversal of the trade policies that the United States has pursued for over eighty years. The likely results would be a weaker US economy and reduced US access to global markets. The responsibility for the retrenchment doesn’t fall entirely on today’s policy makers. For many years the US Congress, federal and state governments, and corporations have failed to provide adequate support and retraining to the US workers and communities adversely affected by technology and trade. We should not be surprised by grass roots hostility to international trade. MORE * Comments Off on Losing Ground: the United States, Free Trade Areas, and the World Trade Organization * MAKE A COMMENT Topics: America's Trade Agreements, Globalization, Trade Policy, U.S. Policies * TRUMP, TRADE WARS, AND THE FORGOTTEN MAN › Share | By C. Donald Johnson // Tuesday, April 17, 2018 WASHINGTON, DC – April, 2018–In a tweet that reads like “Newspeak” from Orwell’s 1984, President Trump declares: “Trade wars are good, and easy to win.” In truth, of course, both assertions are dangerously wrong, though emblematic of the president’s contempt for the system of trade rules built under American leadership out of the wreckage of war to bring economic stability and prevent trade wars. Trump’s take on trade is an old refrain. On election night 2016, he promised: “The forgotten man will never be forgotten again.” His populist rhetoric isn’t original. He has borrowed an old fraud used on the working class for political purposes and simply repackaged it for a modern sale. Throughout the Gilded Age, from the end of the Civil War to the beginning of the Great Depression, monopolist robber barons colluded with corrupt politicians to maintain prohibitive tariffs under the plea that import protection was needed for the prosperity of the workingman. As the argument went, even marginally lower tariff rates—often exaggerated as “free trade”—would lead to the “pauper wages” of Europe. Generations of industry lobbyists and plutocrats have obtained protection from government under the pretense of helping the working class. MORE * Comments Off on Trump, Trade Wars, and the Forgotten Man * MAKE A COMMENT Topics: Globalization * ON THE CURRENT STATE OF THE WORLD TRADING SYSTEM › Share | By Alan Wolff // Friday, April 6, 2018 WASHINGTON, DC – April 4, 2018–My object today is to sort through the noiseof the current tempest over trade and to assess fundamentally where matters stand, how we came to be where we are at present, where the opportunities and challenges lie, and how best to proceed. The promise of Buenos Aires What I would most like to talk to you about today is the pathbreaking, and more to the point, path-finding WTO Ministerial meeting that took place a few short months ago in Buenos Aires in mid-December. Buenos Aires was phenomenally positive for the world trading system in terms of potential. An exceptionally important turning point was achieved. For the first time in modern memory, trading countries, members of the WTO, are able to address new horizons in the WTO without preconceived agreed notions as to outcomes or process. MORE * Comments Off on On the Current State of the World Trading System * MAKE A COMMENT Topics: Globalization * THE DARK MATTER OF TRADE › Share | By Ricardo Hausmann // Thursday, March 29, 2018 CAMBRIDGE –March 28, 2018–Donald Trump has argued that trade wars are easily won by the country with the deficit, because the other party has more to lose. But just as trade has moved from goods to services and on to knowledge, so may trade wars, with a tariff on steel answered by a tax on Amazon or Google. If you are flying a plane, it is useful to know how to keep it level. To do so, you must be able to read the instruments. If the plane is flying level, but you think it is heading down, you may pull back on the yoke and put the plane into a stall. This is what may be happening today with US trade policy. At the core of the problem are two questions: whether the United States has a trade deficit, and, if so, what to do about it. The Trump administration says the US does have a deficit, and that the solution is an easy-to-win trade war. MORE * Comments Off on The Dark Matter of Trade * MAKE A COMMENT Topics: Globalization * BRICS-PLUS: ALTERNATIVE GLOBALIZATION IN THE MAKING? › Share | By Yaroslav Lissovolik // Friday, February 9, 2018 MOSCOW–July, 2017 –Against the backdrop of waning integration impulses in the developed world, the largest developing economies are forging ahead with new initiatives directed at revitalizing regional integration. China in particular appears to exhibit activism in building new development institutions (Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank–AIIB), mega-regional projects (‘One Belt One Road’) as well as new economic alliances across the globe. Nonetheless, in the past several years even as the activism of BRICS countries in building economic alliances across the globe has increased, the development of the BRICS formation itself lacked vigour. MORE * Comments Off on BRICS-Plus: Alternative Globalization in The Making? * MAKE A COMMENT Topics: Globalization * THE BROKEN MULTILATERAL TRADE DISPUTE SYSTEM › Share | By Terence P. Stewart // Wednesday, February 7, 2018 INTRODUCTION WASHINGTON, DC – February 7th, 2018 – The World Trade Organization (WTO) came into existence on January 1, 1995, twenty-three years ago. One significant new feature of the global trading system was a WTO dispute settlementsystem that provided both the opportunity for appeals from panel decisions and made the final decisions (whether by a panel or the Appellate Body) “binding,” i.e., the decision could not be blocked by the losing party. This was a major change from how disputes were handled and resolved under the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT). Over time, many WTO Members have expressed strong support for the dispute settlement system and general approval with its overall performance. Even so, many countries have also pointed to procedural and systemic problems in the functioning of the dispute settlement system. The United States, under various administrations – Republican and Democratic alike – has been in the forefront of such criticism. The concerns that prior Administrations expressed from time to time are receiving increased attention under the current Administration. One of the serious concerns which has been identified by the United States and other WTO Members is the increasing tendency of the dispute settlement process to displace or erode the negotiation function of the WTO. U.S. Trade Representative Lighthizer highlighted this concern in December 2017 at the WTO ministerial (MC11) in Buenos Aires. MORE * Comments Off on The Broken Multilateral Trade Dispute System * MAKE A COMMENT Topics: Globalization * UNDERSTANDING THE DECLINE OF U.S. MANUFACTURING EMPLOYMENT › Share | By Susan N. Houseman // Friday, February 2, 2018 KALAMAZOO, MI–January, 2018–The manufacturing sector experienced a precipitous and historically unprecedented decline in employment in the 2000s, which coincided with a surge in imports, weak growth in exports, and a yawning trade deficit. The plight of U.S. manufacturing featured prominently in the 2016 presidential election, with candidates Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders arguing that globalization had severely damaged U.S. factories. This argument resonated in many American communities and may have played a role in the election of President Trump. MORE * Comments Off on Understanding the Decline of U.S. Manufacturing Employment * MAKE A COMMENT Topics: Globalization * FREE TRADE OR WOMEN’S RIGHTS? › Share | By Kate Lappin // Friday, January 12, 2018 CHIANG MAI, THAILAND–January, 2018–After 30 years of neoliberal globalization, it has been increasingly acknowledged that austerity, privatization, deregulation of finance, markets and corporations, and trade and investment liberalization have had a devastating and discriminatory impact on women. United Nations experts, treaty bodies and international nongovernmental organizations have heard the persistent critiques of civil society groups and recognize that neoliberalism has a discriminatory and adverse impact on women. In a remarkable turnaround, even the International Monetary Fund is now conscious of the evidence that neoliberal policies are driving inequalities. It is now clear that neoliberalism is sexist and is simply incapable of supporting gender equitable and just sustainable development. MORE * Comments Off on Free Trade or Women’s Rights? * MAKE A COMMENT Topics: Globalization * STARTED THE DIGITAL TRADE WARS HAVE: DELINEATING THE REGULATORY BATTLEGROUNDS › Share | By Dan Ciuriak & Maria Ptashkina // Tuesday, January 9, 2018 GENEVA –January 9, 2018–The digital transformation has facilitated old modes of trade and business models and enabled the creation of entirely new ones. This piece suggests a classification of the modes in which trade is conducted as it progressively shifts into the digital or digitally-facilitated realm. The authors further identify the areas where resistance has been encountered and introduce the approaches taken by the major digital economy players in framing regulations for digital and digitally-enabled trade. Net neutrality, data localisation, privacy, and conditions of competition are just a few of the regulatory battlegrounds in the digital trade wars that have been brewing with the digital transformation. The war is global in scope and the stakes are high. The opening manoeuvres include a proclamation by the United States that data must be free to flow across borders and a move to dismiss net neutrality, advantaging its Hanseatic League of superstar firms that dominate the Cloud and the Web. This has been countered by China with its Great Digital Firewall, behind which, ever playing the long game, it is grooming its own national champions. The European Alliance, although distracted by political fissures, has moved to tax income flows generated in the digital realm while it formulates strategies to defend its interests – if only it could define exactly what those are. The talk goes on. The small open economies meet in council to weigh their options for alignment. And, yes, there is a rag-tag network of digital warriors, whose pens are mightier than their swords, mobilising to defend the threatened Digital Commons from Imperial enclosure and thereby to ward off the dystopias that litter Netflix. MORE * Comments Off on Started the digital trade wars have: Delineating the regulatory battlegrounds * MAKE A COMMENT Topics: Globalization * THE PROTECTIONIST’S PROGRESS: YEAR 1 › Share | By Uri Dadush // Wednesday, December 13, 2017 December 2017 Excerpt from the paper “The Protectionist’s Progress: Year 1” by Uri Dadush, OCP Policy Center. The full study can be found at http://www.ocppc.ma ABSTRACT President Trump’s actions on trade have not quite matched his rhetoric, but the worst may be to come. Though the political opposition to his protectionism is formidable, so are his conviction and determination and he possesses a wide array of instruments to pursue his goals. The trade doctrine he has espoused makes for trade policy instability both at home and abroad. It may lead to a large deterioration in the operating environment of international business. America’s trade dependent industries and her trading partners should not wait. They need to anticipate and deter the administration’s actions. Policies must be adjusted to minimize the damage to world trade. MORE * Comments Off on The Protectionist’s Progress: Year 1 * MAKE A COMMENT Topics: Globalization, Trade Policy, U.S. Policies Older Posts Home Subscribe to: Posts (Atom) View full site DAILY TRADE NEWS U.S. FILES COMPLAINTS WITH WTO AGAINST TRADING PARTNERS The U.S. fired back at lawsuits other countries have filed with the World Trade Organization over Trump steel and aluminum tariffs, escalating a trade dispute with some of America’s closest allies. MEXICO’S PRESIDENT-ELECT CALLS FOR NAFTA AGREEMENT IN LETTER TO TRUMP Mexico president-elect Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador called on U.S. President Donald Trump to pursue renewed North American Free Trade Agreement negotiations aimed at a final agreement including all three countries in the pact. THREE TAKES ON TRUMP TRADE POLICY The tumult President Donald Trump has unleashed on global trade has left both markets and politicians wondering where he is going with this. There have been three main schools of thought, each leading to very different predictions about the future. One school is now defunct, one is popular, and one is correct. EUROPE COULD SUFFER COLLATERAL DAMAGE IN US-CHINA TRADE WAR European businesses are unsettled as they watch the U.S. and China collide over trade. And for good reason: the nascent global trade war could represent the biggest single threat to the economic upswing that has helped the region get past its financial crisis. WANT TO WIN THE TRADE WAR? LONG THE DOLLAR Trade wars are good, and easy to win — that’s a Donald Trump assertion which is giving succor to dollar bulls.They see the greenback as a better haven than gold should the tariff tit-for-tat intensify. Four months after the U.S. president shocked equity markets with his vision of higher duties on imports to America, investors are discovering catalysts that should help the nation’s currency withstand trade turbulence better than gold. AIRBUS CEO ENDERS: WE’RE WORRIED A GLOBAL TRADE WAR WILL UNDERMINE AIR TRAFFIC Airbus Chief Executive Tom Enders said on Wednesday he is worried an escalation in a U.S. trade dispute with other countries could trigger retaliation that could impact air traffic. “Of course we’re worried if this escalates,” Enders told reporters following a visit with employees at a Bombardier plane factory near Montreal. “If there are retaliatory measures … this could impact air traffic. We very much hope this is not going to be the case.” TRADE WAR WINNER IS WHO LOSES LEAST AS U.S. DUTIES LOOM U.S. President Donald Trump’s assertion that trade wars are “good, and easy to win” is fake news if economists are to be believed. CHINA’S EXPORT GROWTH TO U.S. ABRUPTLY SLOWS AS TARIFFS NEAR BEIJING—China’s customs agency unexpectedly issued trade data that showed growth in exports to the U.S. slowing, though analysts dismissed the figures as part of Beijing’s messaging campaign in its tariff battle with Washington. JPMORGAN WARNS A TRADE WAR MAY TRIGGER CHINA CORPORATE DEFAULTS An escalation of trade tensions could add to defaults in China’s financial system, which is already in the midst of a deleveraging campaign, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. TRADE FIGHT THREATENS FARM BELT BUSINESSES Many farmers, who depend on shipments overseas for one-fifth of the goods they produce, say they are anxious. WORLD’S BIGGEST TRADING BLOC A STEP CLOSER AFTER TOKYO MEETING Asian trade ministers took another step toward creating what could be the world’s biggest trading bloc on Sunday, expressing hope that a deal could be signed by the end of this year. TRUMP STANDS FIRM ON TRADE, EVEN AS FOREIGN TARIFFS BEGIN KICKING IN President Trump defiantly stood by his tariffs on Sunday as Canada hit back hard, Mexico elected a new leader who seems prepared to confront him, and the European Union issued a scathing condemnation of his policy as “in effect, a tax on the American people.” THE EU WILL REJECT THERESA MAY’S SINGLE MARKET FOR GOODS BREXIT PROPOSAL The European Union will reject any Brexit deal which allows the UK to remain in the single market for goods, a source close to the bloc’s negotiating team has told Business Insider. TARIFF THREATS PUMMEL YUAN IN ONE OF ITS WORST MONTHS ON RECORD The Chinese yuan suffered one of its worst months on record, tumbling 3.4% against the dollar in June and marking its largest monthly decline in nearly two decades. TRUMP WANTS ‘FREE AND OPEN TRADE’, BUT TARIFFS HAVE AN END GOAL: KUDLOW While the White House’s chief economic adviser wouldn’t go as far as to say that President Trump’s steel and aluminum tariffs are a negotiating tactic to gain leverage for a free trade system, he did acknowledge that the president has a vision of free and open trade. HARLEY RIDERS ARE AS POLITICALLY DIVIDED AS THE REST OF AMERICA ‘My love for HD won’t change,’ Hog-riding Clinton voter says. MNUCHIN WINS A ROUND IN THE WHITE HOUSE BATTLE OVER CHINA Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin won a battle inside the Trump administration over trade policy this week after a series of setbacks as he tries to ease economic tensions with China. CHINA DEFENDS WTO RECORD AS TRADE FIGHT LOOMS China defended its record in fulfilling commitments to the World Trade Organization, while sidestepping U.S. criticisms that its market openings and protection of intellectual property have fallen short. THE US-CHINA TRADE SPAT ISN’T ENDANGERING THE GLOBAL SYSTEM, SAYS FORMER WTO REP The U.S. and China may be ramping up their trade rhetoric in a series of tit-for-tat threats, but Hong Kong’s former representative to the World Trade Organization, Stuart Harbinson, says the system isn’t currently in danger. CHINESE STOCKS GOT PUMMELLED AS INVESTORS GET SPOOKED BY TRUMP’S TRADE WAR The escalation of trade tensions between the US, China, and numerous other major economies, is having a significant negative impact on Chinese markets, with stocks in the world’s second largest economy suffering major losses. IN LOUISIANA, TRUMP’S TRADE WAR SPOOKS AMERICA’S BIGGEST PORT To understand what a trade war means for America, go to the Mississippi. Follow the mud-brown river past Louisiana’s chemical plants, oil refineries, granaries, ports, and the rail networks and highways that spring from its fingers. CHINA AND THE EU ARE TEAMING UP TO FIGHT BACK AGAINST TRUMP’S TRADE WAR The European Union and China are teaming up to rewrite global trade rules, their latest move in a wider fightback against the trade war Donald Trump has launched as part of his “America First” agenda.The two powers usually find themselves on opposite sides in economic disputes. The EU has long blamed China for flooding its markets with cheap steel, and has imposed its own steep tariffs on Beijing. CHINESE STOCKS ENTER BEAR MARKET AS TRADE WAR HEATS UP The gloom is deepening for Chinese stocks. The benchmark Shanghai Composite slid into bear market territory on Tuesday, closing more than 20% below its recent high in January. The index fell 0.5% on the day.Chinese stocks have come under pressure in recent weeks from concerns over an economic slowdown and an emerging trade war with the United States. THE TRADE WAR FINALLY GOT REAL: DEALBOOK BRIEFING Corporate America is starting to stand against tariffs. President Trump’s trade war is beginning to have a material impact on American businesses — but his White House can’t seem to agree on what its next play should be.Harley-Davidson said yesterday that it would move some production offshore. The reason: to avoid European Union tariffs responding to those of the Trump administration. GLOBAL STOCKS SLIDE AS TRADE TENSIONS THREATEN GROWTH Global stocks headed lower Monday, as investors continued to parse the impact of a trade spat between the U.S. and China. The Stoxx Europe 600 fell 1.1% in the European morning, with the trade-heavy German Dax down 1.4%. The automobile sector, which analysts see as particularly exposed to trade, led the losses and fell 2%. TRUMP THREATENS TARIFFS ON EUROPEAN AUTO IMPORTS IN ESCALATION OF TRADE DISPUTE President Trump on Friday reiterated his threat to place a hefty tariff on automobiles imported from the European Union if the trading bloc doesn’t remove tariffs placed on a variety of U.S. products as part of an escalating trade war he triggered. TRUMP WON’T PLAY BALL ON TRADE, SO EUROPE IS GOING STRAIGHT TO CHINA With President Donald Trump shaking the world trade order, the European Union is working with China to ensure that multilateral trade doesn’t come to an abrupt end. THE FED MADE A MOVE, TRADE WARS ARE ON, AND HOME PRICES OUT WEST ARE HEATING UP The Federal Reserve lifted its benchmark rate by a quarter of a percentage point on Wednesday. That’s the second hike this year, and experts now predict a total of four interest rate increases in 2018. Raising rates means the Fed has confidence in the economy, but it can also make borrowing money more expensive. STRANGE BEDFELLOWS: TRUMP TRADE FIGHT BRINGS JAPAN AND CHINA TOGETHER President Donald Trump’s tough line on trade with China has finally given Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe something to agree with Beijing about. POMPEO ISSUES A WARNING TO THE WORLD ON TRADE Secretary of State Mike Pompeo went to the cradle of America’s car industry on Monday and issued a tough warning to allies and adversaries alike, saying that trading relationships with even close partners were “out of whack” and accusing China of engaging in an “unprecedented level of larceny.” SENATE BRACES FOR TRUMP SHOWDOWN OVER CHINESE TELECOM GIANT The Senate is speeding toward a confrontation with President Trump over his plan to revive the Chinese telecommunications giant ZTE. EURO FALLS AND DOLLAR NEARS SEVEN-MONTH HIGH AS TRADE TENSIONS WEIGH LONDON (Reuters) – The euro fell back toward three-week lows on Monday as the escalating threat of a global trade war and a dispute in Germany’s governing coalition weighed on the single currency. U.S.-CHINA TRADE STANDOFF WEIGHS ON GLOBAL SHARES Global stocks fell at the start of the week, as escalating trade tensions between the U.S. and China weighed on investors’ risk appetite. MARKETS SHRUG OFF TRUMP TRADE WAR Stock markets have brushed off President Trump’s contentious performance at the Group of Seven summit, continuing to climb despite increased concerns about an escalating trade war. CHINA’S ECONOMY IS SLOWING JUST AS TRUMP READIES A TRADE BEATING China’s economy fell short of expectations and its central bank chose not to follow the Federal Reserve in raising borrowing costs, adding fresh caution on the outlook for global growth as trade tensions with the U.S. escalate. DEMOCRATS POUNCE ON TRUMP TRADE WAR IN MIDTERMS President Donald Trump’s “America first” trade crackdown increasingly has the look of a first-rate campaign issue for Democrats in their uphill bid to take the Senate this fall. TRUMP’S TRADE WAR COULD MESS UP THE FED’S PLANS The Federal Reserve is widely expected to raise interest rates on Wednesday for the second time this year. But its plans going forward have been thrown into confusion thanks to President Donald Trump. CAN TRUMP COMMAND POLITICAL SUPPORT WITHOUT REAL PROGRESS ON TRADE AND N. KOREA? President Trump is now embarked on two ambitious foreign policy initiatives — redrawing the rules of international trade and defanging a nuclear-armed North Korea — that represent significant personal gambles. The question is, can he gain something politically from these efforts in the absence of demonstrable accomplishments? TARIFFS ON SUGAR, SHOES MEAN HIGHER COSTS FOR CONSUMERS President Donald Trump rails about tariffs and paints the United States as a victim of unfair trade practices, but experts in international commerce say the reality is a lot murkier: We impose tariffs on a diverse array of imports — even though some experts say American consumers would be better off without them. ASIAN STOCKS EDGE HIGHER AND DOLLAR FIRMS; TRUMP-KIM SUMMIT IN THE SPOTLIGHT Most major Asian markets closed higher on Tuesday as a landmark meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un took place in Singapore and ahead of central bank meetings in the coming days. THE RETURN OF THE POLITICAL-RISK TRADE After a long period where investors mostly shrugged them off, political risks are once again taking a front seat in moving markets. HERE’S WHY STOCK-MARKET INVESTORS ARE SO RELAXED ABOUT TRADE WARS AND NORTH KOREA Investors remained nonchalant about rising prospects of a global trade war following a weekend summit meeting of Group of Seven leaders that ended on an astoundingly bitter note. It could be that traders simply have bigger concerns, some of which might come into play as a week jam-packed with potential market moving events gets under way. EUROPEAN UNION LAUNCHES WTO CHALLENGE TO U.S. TARIFFS BRUSSELS—The European Union fired its first shot Friday against U.S. steel and aluminum tariffs, launching a World Trade Organization challenge and vowing swift duties on American exports, in a sign that the bloc would go blow-for-blow with President Donald Trump over trade. CANADIAN DOLLAR HIT HARDEST AS TRADE WOES RESURFACE: INSIDE G-10 The Canadian dollar fell against all its major peers after U.S. President Donald Trump revoked his support for a joint Group-of-Seven statement and criticized his neighboring leader Justin Trudeau. ‘FOOL TRADE’: TRUMP CONTINUES TO RIP G7 IN TWEETSTORM (CNN)-US President Donald Trump continued to excoriate his Group of 7 summit allies in a series of tweets from Singapore, where he is due to meet North Korean leader Kim Jong Un in a historic summit Tuesday. JAPAN, US ARE WORKING ON THEIR FIRST TRADE TALKS IN JULY UNDER NEW FRAMEWORK Japan and the United States are working to hold their first bilateral trade talks under a new framework in July, Japan’s Foreign Ministry said, in a sign Washington may ratchet up pressure on Tokyo to open up its markets. TARIFFS AREN’T THE BIGGEST PROBLEM FOR AMERICAN EXPORTERS President Donald Trump has complained about tariffs on American products while imposing, or threatening, new ones on imports. Key trading partners are responding with retaliatory tariffs of their own. TRADE TENSIONS RISK UNDERMINING THE G-7 Pity the participants in the Group of Seven meeting this weekend. THE BREXIT MYTH OF NO-STRINGS FRICTIONLESS TRADE Take a wooden pallet and stick two sets of mundane goods on to it — Chinese plastic cutlery and British cuddly toys. As it trucks towards Dover, ask yourself the following question: how will this consignment enter the EU after Brexit? RECORD OIL EXPORTS HELP CUT U.S. TRADE GAP The U.S. exported a record amount of oil and fuel in April, helping to narrow the nation’s trade gap while giving the economy a lift. CHINA SAYS IT DOES NOT WANT U.S. TRADE FRICTIONS TO ESCALATE China’s Commerce Ministry said on Thursday that the country does not want an escalation of trade frictions with the United States, and that some specific progress was made in the latest round of talks that concluded over the weekend. AS TARIFF SPAT HEATS UP, U.S. FARMERS FACE TIGHTER MARKETS U.S. farmers, already losing sales to China, are facing new threats to sales in other big overseas markets as trade tensions spread globally. MEXICO HITS U.S. WITH TARIFFS, ESCALATING GLOBAL TRADE TENSIONS WASHINGTON — Mexico hit back at the United States on Tuesday, imposing tariffs on around $3 billion worth of American pork, steel, cheese and other goods in response to the Trump administration’s steel and aluminum levies, further straining relations between the two countries as they struggle to rewrite the North American Free Trade Agreement. GOP SENATORS WANT TO LIMIT TRUMP’S POWER ON TRADE Senate Republicans worried about a possible trade war with U.S. allies Canada, Mexico and the European Union are pushing a plan to give Congress the final say over some trade actions. TRADE TENSIONS, OIL PRICE SEEN AS THREAT TO GLOBAL GROWTH The United States is pressing European allies to ready more NATO battalions, ships and planes for combat, officials say, in a fresh move to shore up NATO’s deterrence against a potential Russian attack. U.S.-CHINA TRADE TALKS: Q&A WITH FORMER U.S. TRADE REP ON WHAT CEOS CAN EXPECT GOING FORWARD Facing the potential of a loss in profits and closed foreign markets amid a U.S.-ignited trade war, farmers here are expressing anxiety about President Donald Trump’s negotiations with a growing number of foreign nations. THESE U.S. INDUSTRIES COULD FEEL THE BITE OF A TRADE WAR President Donald Trump’s zeal for tariffs has yet to derail the global economic outlook. THESE U.S. INDUSTRIES COULD FEEL THE BITE OF A TRADE WAR U.S. businesses are bracing for the impact of a potential trade battle between the U.S. and some of its closest allies. TRUMP ULTIMATELY WANTS A WORLD WITH NO TRADE TARIFFS: WHITE HOUSE ADVISOR White House legislative director Marc Short told CNBC that President Donald Trump wants trade to be on a “level playing field.” TRUMP’S TRADE WAR IS ALREADY HURTING AMERICAN WHISKEY DISTILLERS The consequences of the Trump administration’s steel and aluminum tariffs are already being felt across global markets. But the makers of one iconic American product say they stand to suffer more than most: bourbon whiskey distillers. PRESIDENT TRUMP SAYS ERA OF UNFAIR TRADE DEALS “ARE OVER” President Donald Trump says the days of the U.S. being taken advantage of in trade deals “are over” in a harshly worded statement responding to Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s criticism of new steel and aluminum tariffs. FORMER OFFICE DEPOT CEO: USING TARIFFS TO BOLSTER TRADE LEVERAGE IS WORKING FOR TRUMP President Donald Trump is imposing tariffs to bolster trade leverage — and it’s working, Steve Odland, president and CEO of the Committee for Economic Development, a Washington think tank, told CNBC. TRUMP TRADE POLICIES THREATEN 2.6 MILLION US JOBS, CHAMBER OF COMMERCE SAYS President Trump’s strict stance on trade could put 2.6 million American jobs at risk, the head of the Chamber of Commerce says. ABE: JAPAN ‘CANNOT ACCEPT’ NEW TARIFFS ON U.S. AUTO IMPORTS Japan’s Prime Minister Shinzo Abe says his government “cannot accept” new U.S. tariffs on imported automobiles, as is reportedly being considered as a possible next move by the White House. U.S. IS POISED TO IMPOSE STEEL AND ALUMINUM TARIFFS ON EUROPEAN UNION WASHINGTON — The Trump administration is poised to impose steel and aluminum tariffs on the European Union, and possibly on Canada and Mexico, this week when a temporary exemption expires as trade talks remain at an impasse, according to a person familiar with the White House discussions. US FACTORIES SHIFT INTO ‘HIGHER GEAR’ DESPITE TRADE WORRIES, FED SAYS U.S. factories ramped up production in late April and early May despite the risk of a global trade war, but soft consumer spending kept the economy growing at a moderate rate, the Federal Reserve reported on Wednesday. TRUMP’S TRADE WAR WITH CHINA LOOKS LIKE IT’S BACK ON It was just last week that US Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin said the Trump administration was going to hold off on hitting China with punishing new tariffs as part of an effort to put “the trade war on hold.” TRADE TENSIONS, OIL PRICE SEEN AS THREAT TO GLOBAL GROWTH PARIS (AP) — An international economic watchdog says threatened new trade barriers and rising oil prices could hurt long-awaited global economic growth. CHINA SLAMS SURPRISE U.S. TRADE ANNOUNCEMENT, SAYS IT’S READY TO FIGHT China on Wednesday lashed out at Washington’s unexpected statement that it will press ahead with tariffs and restrictions on investments by Chinese companies, saying Beijing was ready to fight back if Washington was looking to ignite a trade war. ROSS GOES FROM TRUMP ‘KILLER’ TO ‘PAST HIS PRIME’ Investor Wilbur Ross was brought into the administration as one of President Donald Trump’s “killers” – but in recent months, the commerce secretary has been increasingly marginalized, with his agency widely seen in the White House as a mess. TRUMP IS GIVING JAPAN’S SHINZO ABE A HARD TIME ON TRADE DESPITE THEIR PERSONAL FRIENDSHIP Tariffs on steel, threats of car import levies and intense pressure for a two-way economic deal: despite warm personal ties, U.S. President Donald Trump is giving Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe a decidedly tough time on trade. EU SEEKS LAST-MINUTE TARIFF REPRIEVE TO AVOID TRADE TENSIONS The Europen Union is seeking a last-minute deal witht he U.S. to avoid inflaming global trade tensions as President Donald Trump prepares to impose tariffs on steel and aluminum imports at the end of the month. U.S.-CHINA TRADE TALKS: Q&A WITH FORMER U.S. TRADE REP ON WHAT CEOS CAN EXPECT GOING FORWARD Following threats of a trade war and new tariffs, the United States and China appear to have agreed on a framework for a trade agreement. WHITE HOUSE OFFICIAL: TRUMP COULD TAKE A HARDER LINE ON TRADE WITH CHINA NOW THAT THE KIM JONG UN SUMMIT IS OFF The cancellation of a summit between the United States and North Korea casts doubt on prospects for trade negotiations between the U.S. and China – and could result in the Trump administration taking a harder line on China, a White House official told CNBC. IN AUTO TARIFFS, A HIGH-STAKES GAME OF CHICKEN Global auto makers have long touted their ability to turn on a dime: They can ramp up or dial back production in response to the market. They say they can even pivot from producing certain cars to SUVs at the same factory in a matter of weeks. GERMANY’S ANGELA MERKEL STRESSES DIALOGUE ON TRADE, TECH AND HUMAN RIGHTS IN CHINA (BEIJING) — German Chancellor Angela Merkel on Thursday stressed the importance of dialogue with China during a visit to Beijing that comes amid shared concerns over trade with the United States and Washington’s rejection of the Iran nuclear deal. STOCKS SLIDE AS TRUMP CALLS OFF NORTH KOREA SUMMIT: MARKETS WRAP U.S. stocks turned lower after President Donald Trump said his planned June meeting with North Korea’s leader won’t take place. Treasuries extended gains and the dollar fell. TRUMP CALLS FOR NEW TARIFFS ON IMPORTED CARS AND TRUCKS, ESCALATING TRADE WARS WASHINGTON — President Trump called for tariffs on imported cars, trucks and auto parts Wednesday, potentially expanding to the auto industry the same protectionist measures he’s threatened on aluminum and steel. CHINA’S TRADE DEAL WITH U.S. LEAVES GERMANY SQUEEZED IN MIDDLE China’s pledge to buy more American goods as part of a deal to avert a trade war with the U.S. puts Germany on the spot. As China’s biggest European trading partner, with a total volume of some $179 billion last year, Germany is first in line to suffer the impact of any reduction in business. NAFTA TALKS STALLED ON U.S. AUTO DEMANDS Talks to renegotiate the North American Free Trade Agreement have reached a stalemate, with Mexico and the U.S. accusing one another of intransigence and inconsistency after missing a key deadline. WALL STREET OPENS LOWER AS OPTIMISM OVER TRADE TALKS RECEDES Wall Street slipped at the open on Wednesday as U.S. President Donald Trump cast fresh doubts over current U.S.-China trade talks and investors awaited a Federal Reserve report for cues on pace of future interest rate hikes. HERE’S WHAT FORTUNE 500 CEOS THINK ABOUT TRUMP’S POLICIES, THE GLOBAL ECONOMY, AND FACEBOOK The CEOs of Fortune 500 companies are an optimistic bunch this year, with the majority seeing a stronger economy and increased employment, topped off by reduced tax bills. Almost three-quarters believe the U.S. is the still best place in the world to invest money. And most don’t see a recession hitting in the next two years. What worries them? A possible trade war with China and increased regulation (although most favor tougher regulation for Facebook). RUSSIA ADOPTS BILL THAT COULD STYMIE TRADE WITH US MOSCOW — Russia’s parliament on Tuesday adopted a wide-ranging bill that could freeze crucial exports to the United States and imports to Russia from the U.S. and other countries. U.S. MAY SEEK TO REDUCE IMPORTS OF IDENTIFIED CRITICAL MINERALS The Trump administration is expected to begin taking steps to ease the United States’ dependency on imports of 35 minerals deemed by the Department of the Interior to be critical to U.S. security and economic prosperity. Such steps are likely to include efforts to reduce imports, boost domestic production, and find viable alternatives. CHINA PLANS UP TO $200 BILLION IN TRADE CONCESSIONS, BUT SKEPTICISM ABOUNDS WASHINGTON — President Trump, facing an economic war with China and a momentous meeting with North Korea, is considering a trade deal with Beijing that would soothe tensions and clear the way for his historic encounter with Kim Jong-un. But it would risk abandoning the president’s broader goal of punishing China for years of pressuring American companies to hand over sensitive technology. TRADE WAR FEARS EBB AS U.S., CHINA AGREE TO CONTINUE TALKS BEIJING/WASHINGTON (Reuters) – Washington and Beijing both claimed victory on Monday as the world’s two largest economies stepped back from the brink of a global trade war and agreed to hold further talks to boost U.S. exports to China. THE LONG AND DIFFICULT ROAD TO A U.S.-U.K. TRADE DEAL The British government has said it wants to leave the European Union’s customs union so it can pursue trade deals elsewhere in the world. Of those, the biggest prize would be an agreement with the U.S., the U.K.’s biggest national trading partner. HUAWEI PROBE ADDS TO U.S.-CHINA TRADE TENSION AHEAD OF TALKS News of a broad U.S. investigation of Huawei Technologies Co. over possible Iran sanctions violations adds to the tension over trade as senior U.S. officials head to China in the coming days in hopes of a deal. AHEAD OF MERKEL TRIP TO U.S., GERMANY DOWNBEAT ON TRADE TARIFFS Germany expects U.S. tariffs on European steel and aluminum products to kick in on May 1, a senior government official said before Chancellor Angela Merkel travels to Washington to meet U.S. President Donald Trump on Friday. THE US DOLLAR IS BREAKING OUT THIS WEEK, BOOSTED BY TRADE TALKS AND HIGHER RATES The dollar has been moving higher, crushing doubters and trading more on rising U.S. interest rates than on President Donald Trump’s trade threats.The dollar index was up a half percent Wednesday, to above 91 and it has gained nearly 2 percent in the past week. TRUMP IS PUSHING HARD TO REACH NAFTA AGREEMENT, BOTH WITH TRADING PARTNERS AND WITH CONGRESS With critical political deadlines fast approaching, the Trump administration is racing to strike a deal on a revamped North American Free Trade Agreement by early May — with an eye toward forcing a congressional vote on a new pact by the end of the year. ENERGY, A BRIGHT SPOT IN NAFTA TALKS, BOGGED DOWN BY DISPUTE OVER RULE CHANGE The Trump administration is at odds with American companies over a proposed rule change to the North American Free Trade Agreement that is endangering a bright spot—energy—in contentious treaty talks. U.S. FUND MANAGERS BRACE FOR TRADE WAR WITH FOCUS ON PRICING POWER NEW YORK (Reuters) – Investors’ fears of an all-out trade war between the United States and China is prompting U.S. stock fund managers to hunt for companies that can easily pass on higher costs to their consumers. CHINA ‘WELCOMES’ MNUCHIN’S OFFER TO HOLD TRADE TALKS IN BEIJING China said Sunday it would “welcome” direct trade talks with the United States in Beijing. “China has received a message from the US about its willingness to hold bilateral trade talks in Beijing,” the Chinese Commerce Ministry said in a brief statement Sunday. “China welcomes this move.” U.S.-CHINA TRADE WAR IS BAD NEWS FOR GOOGLE’S EXPANSION In February, a Google executive appeared at a tech conference in Barcelona touting a new, low-cost smartphone outfitted with a custom version of the company’s popular mobile operating system. CUBA’S CASTRO SHARPLY CRITICIZES TRUMP FOREIGN AND TRADE POLICY HAVANA (Reuters) – Cuba’s Raul Castro sharply criticized Donald Trump on Thursday, saying the U.S. president’s foreign policy was “neo-colonial” and unjustly punished trade partners like China and Europe, while seeking to isolate Cuba and its allies. U.S. QUESTIONS COSCO’S TAKEOVER OF CARGO TERMINAL IN LONG BEACH A U.S. national-security review has raised concerns about Chinese state-run conglomerate Cosco Shipping Holdings Co. taking control of a large container terminal in Long Beach, Calif., according to people familiar with the matter. TRADE CRITICS APPLAUD TRUMP ACTIONS, CRINGE AT RHETORIC Fans of President Trump’s trade and tariff policies have to contend with a persistent distraction to their efforts to shape the debate on the issue: Trump himself. CHINA HITS $957 MILLION U.S. SORGHUM TRADE WITH FRESH DUTY China will impose temporary anti-dumping deposits on U.S. sorghum imports from Wednesday, adding to trade tensions between the world’s biggest economies. Soybean meal futures climbed on concerns the oilseed could be targeted next. CHINA TAKING DIRECT AIM AT US WITH INDO-PACIFIC TRADE STRATEGY, EXPERT SAYS Beijing’s plan to open up “China’s Hawaii” as a gateway for Indo-Pacific investment and economic ties is an attempt to counter the United States’ efforts to form alliances against China in the region, analysts say. TRUMP IS CHANGING TRADE RULES BUT HE’S ONLY ONE MEMBER OF THE WTO, GLOBAL TRADE BODY LEADER SAYS President Donald Trump might be disrupting the status quo surrounding international trade but he’s only one member of the World Trade Organization (WTO), according to the executive director of its joint agency, the International Trade Centre (ITC). TOKYO FEARS TRUMP COULD LINK SECURITY WITH TRADE AT SUMMIT WITH ABE TOKYO — Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe could find his oft-touted close ties with Donald Trump sorely tested at a summit this week in which Tokyo fears the U.S. leader will to try to link vital security matters with touchy trade topics. TRUMP SAYS U.S. COULD REJOIN TPP IF DEAL IMPROVED. HOW HARD WOULD IT BE? SINGAPORE/WELLINGTON (Reuters) – U.S. President Donald Trump said last week he would reconsider joining the landmark Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) trade agreement, if it were a “substantially better” deal than the one offered to President Barack Obama. TRUMP PUSH FOR QUICK NAFTA DEAL SLOWED BY DIVISION ON TOP ISSUES President Donald Trump’s push for a quick resolution to Nafta talks is being stymied by persistent differences among the U.S., Canada and Mexico over a handful of the make-or-break issues. MEXICO AWAITS DETAILS OF PLAN TO BRING AUTO ENGINES TO U.S., OFFICIALS SAY A U.S. proposal that automobiles should be built in high-wage areas within the NAFTA region is partly aimed at increasing engine production in the United States, and more details on the plan are expected this week, Mexican officials said. CHINA’S XI RENEWS VOW TO OPEN ECONOMY, CUT TARIFFS AS U.S. TRADE ROW DEEPENS TORONTO (Reuters) – While much of his pledges were reiterations of previously announced reforms that foreign businesses say are long overdue, Xi’s comments sent stock markets and the U.S. dollar higher on hopes of a compromise that could avert a trade war. CANADIAN DOLLAR SEEN HIGHER AS NAFTA RISK PREMIUM FADES: POLL TORONTO (Reuters) – The trade-sensitive Canadian dollar is set to advance over the coming year as prospects improve for a revamped NAFTA trade deal and the Bank of Canada continues to raise interest rates, a Reuters poll of currency strategists showed on Friday. NAFTA TRIO MEETS WITH OPTIMISM GROWING FOR A DEAL Senior ministers from the three Nafta countries are gathering in Washington amid growing signs of optimism that they could find common ground on the toughest issues. TRUMP TOUTS FALLING ALUMINUM PRICES AS REASON TO NOT FEAR TARIFFS President Donald Trump said falling aluminum prices are evidence that his tariffs aren’t impacting the U.S. economy. But in reality the price of the metal declined because he exempted Canada and Mexico from the tariffs. US TREASURY YIELDS RISE AS TARIFF CONCERNS ABATE U.S. government debtyields rose on Thursday as Wall Street’s fears of a global trade war with China appeared to ease. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note was higher at around 2.826 percent at 1:11 p.m. ET, while the yield on the 30-year Treasury bond was higher at 3.064 percent. Bond yields move inversely to prices. TRUDEAU SEES ‘SIGNIFICANT’ PROGRESS IN NAFTA TALKS Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said Nafta talks have picked up momentum, the latest signal a framework deal could soon be reached. CHINA SEEKS WTO DISPUTE RESOLUTION WITH U.S. OVER STEEL, ALUMINUM TARIFFS SHANGHAI (Reuters) – China’s commerce ministry said on Thursday it has initiated a World Trade Organization (WTO) dispute resolution procedure over U.S. tariffs on its import of steel and aluminum. COMMERCE SECRETARY WILBUR ROSS: CHINA TARIFFS AMOUNT TO ONLY 0.3% OF US GDP Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross told CNBC on Wednesday that China’s new tariffs do not represent a threat to the United States. China’s tariffs “amount to about three-tenths of a percent of our GDP. So, it’s hardly a life-threatening activity,” Ross said in a “Squawk Box” interview. “It’s relatively proportionate to the tariffs we put on based on the intellectual property.” U.S. FLOATS TALKS AFTER CHINA STRIKES BACK IN TRADE FIGHT WASHINGTON/BEIJING (Reuters) – President Donald Trump’s administration said on Wednesday talks with Beijing could resolve an escalating U.S.-China trade fight after China retaliated against U.S. proposals to slap tariffs on $50 billion in Chinese goods by targeting key American imports with similar duties. TRUMP THREAT SPURS INDIA, SOUTH KOREA TO CUT TRADE SURPLUSES As President Donald Trump railed against a growing trade deficit last year, two countries in Asia quietly cut their bilateral surpluses with the U.S. It’s unclear what they got in return. FOREX-YEN SUPPORTED BY WORRIES OVER U.S.-CHINA TRADE DISPUTE SINGAPORE/TOKYO, April 3 (Reuters) – The yen held firm on Tuesday as escalating U.S.-China trade tensions stirred up fears over the outlook for global growth, sapping investors’ risk appetite. The dollar was little changed at 105.96 yen, struggling to gain traction after having fallen for three straight trading days, and trading below a two-week high around 107.00 yen set on March 28. ASIANS STOCKS FALL ON US-CHINA TRADE TENSIONS BEIJING (AP) — Asian stocks fell for a second day Tuesday amid jitters about U.S.-Chinese trade tensions and mounting public scrutiny of technology companies. Markets in China, Japan and South Korea all declined. The dollar temporarily dipped against the Japanese yen rose as currency traders looked for a safe haven but rebounded later. MEXICO EXPECTS MEETING OF MINISTERS TO DECIDE SCOPE OF NAFTA DEAL BASICS MEXICO CITY (Reuters) – The United States, Mexico and Canada have made significant advances on reworking the NAFTA trade deal and ministers will meet in the coming days to determine the scope to agree on the basics of a deal, Mexico’s economy minister said on Monday. CHINA HITS THE UNITED STATES WITH TARIFFS ON $3 BILLION OF EXPORTS China is showing the United States that it will make good on its trade threats. The Chinese government said that tariffs on about $3 billion worth of US imports are going into effect Monday, hitting 128 products ranging from pork, meat and fruit to steel pipes. CHINA HITS US WITH NEW TARIFFS ON 128 IMPORTS China announced Sunday that it is implementing new tariffs on more than 120 U.S. imports in response to President Trump’s recent decision to increase taxes on imported steel and aluminum. ON EASTER SUNDAY, TRUMP THREATENS TO END DACA AND ‘STOP’ NAFTA President Donald Trump loosed a series of hardline immigration statements after wishing his followers a “HAPPY EASTER!” on Twitter Sunday. He was seen entering a church moments after the tweets posted. TRUMP SCORES HIS FIRST REVISED TRADE DEAL, WITH SOUTH KOREA President Donald Trump secured his first revamp of a U.S. trade deal, after reaching an agreement this week with South Korea that would allow American automakers greater access to that country’s markets, senior administration officials said on Tuesday night. US-CHINA TRADE DEFICIT IS SET TO KEEP ON RISING, YALE’S STEPHEN ROACH SAYS Washington’s trade imbalance with Beijing — the stated motivation behind President Donald Trump’s punitive tariffs — will continue expanding in the years ahead, according to Yale University’s Stephen Roach. WTO CHIEF SEES NO SIGN OF U.S. WALKING AWAY FROM WTO GENEVA (Reuters) – There is no sign that the United States is distancing itself from the World Trade Organization, and negotiations are underway to avert a global trade war, WTO Director-General Roberto Azevedo said in a BBC interview broadcast on Wednesday. DOW SURGES 669 POINTS AS TRADE WAR FEARS COO The Dow surged 669 points — its third-biggest point gain in history — and had its best day in two and a half years. Investors were cheered by signs that the United States and China are talking behind the scenes to avoid a clash between the world’s two biggest economies. A TRADE WAR WILL HURT THOSE TRUMP SAYS HE’S FIGHTING FOR, SAYS NOBEL-WINNING ECONOMIST A trade war between the United States and China would ultimately hurt the very people President Donald Trump says he’s aiming to protect, according to a Nobel Prize-winning economist. U.S. SEEKS CHINA TRADE MOVES ON AUTOS, FINANCIALS, CHIPS: SOURCE Top Trump administration officials are asking China to cut tariffs on imported cars, allow foreign majority ownership of financial services firms and buy more U.S.-made semiconductors in negotiations to avoid plans to slap tariffs on a host of Chinese goods and a potential trade war. SOME ASIAN MARKETS RECOVERED AS THE US SAID IT WILL EXEMPT SOUTH KOREA FROM STEEL TARIFFS Some Asian markets recovered in late-afternoon trade on Monday as news emerged that the United States agreed to exempt South Korea from steel tariffs. AUSTRALIA WON’T ‘PLAY GAMES’ AMID HEIGHTENED FEARS OF A GLOBAL TRADE WAR, MINISTER SAYS Australia will not attempt to deceive any of its trading partners in order to gain an advantage when negotiating future trade commitments, Trade Minister Steven Ciobo told CNBC Monday. THE US AND CHINA ARE IN TALKS TO TRY TO AVOID A TRADE WAR President Donald Trump ramped up tensions last week by ordering tariffs on about $50 billion worth of Chinese goods just weeks after announcing of sanctions on steel and aluminum imports. Beijing has responded with plans to target $3 billion worth of US products and warnings that it’s ready to inflict more pain. APPLE, GOOGLE, IBM CEOS HEAD TO CHINA WITH TRADE WAR BREWING Leaders of Apple Inc., Google and other U.S. technology giants head to China this weekend to pursue a familiar goal: To do more business in the world’s most populous nation. The effort has had mixed results, at best, in the past. TRUMP, XI ENTER ROCKIER PHASE AS U.S.-CHINA TRADE FIGHT HEATS UP President Donald Trump is gearing up to impose $50 billion in tariffs on China, intensifying a long-running dispute over unfair trade practices and possibly endangering a personal relationship as well. CANADA SAYS IT’S OPTIMISTIC ABOUT NAFTA TALKS, BUT IT’S ALSO DIVERSIFYING TRADE TIES Canada is feeling positive about how NAFTA talks are playing out, but it will continue to develop its trade ties elsewhere, the country’s minister of international trade said on Friday. LOBBYISTS WANT TO USE NAFTA TO FAST-TRACK TRUMP’S AGENDA While officials from the U.S., Canada and Mexico try to hammer out a new North American Free Trade Agreement, lobbyists in Washington are using the deal’s rewrite to advance a broad legislative agenda making it easier for U.S. companies to build factories, move cargo and export coal. FINLAND’S PRIME MINISTER LAMBASTS ‘SHORT-SIGHTED’ TRUMP TRADE POLICY The trade war being threatened by U.S. President Donald Trump is a “short-sighted” move that has small economies particularly worried. CHINA CALLS U.S. REPEAT ABUSER OF WORLD TRADE RULES China accused the United States of “repeatedly abusing” international trade rules, as Beijing braced on Thursday for an imminent announcement from U.S. President Donald Trump slapping more tariffs on Chinese imports. IS A TRADE WAR THE ONLY OPTION? President Donald Trump’s forays into trade war statecraft—his embrace of steel and aluminum tariffs, and his forthcoming levies on Chinese products in response to alleged intellectual property theft—are poor strategies for addressing U.S. interests. US TRADE GROUPS URGE TRUMP TO AVOID TARIFFS AGAINST CHINA Forty-five U.S. trade associations representing some of the largest companies in the country are urging President Donald Trump not to impose tariffs on China, warning it would be “particularly harmful” to the U.S. economy and consumers. US TRADE REGULATOR LAUNCHES BLOCKCHAIN WORKING GROUP The U.S. Federal Trade Commission (FTC) has created a Blockchain Working Group to examine the ways in which the technology, particularly cryptocurrencies, will affect its objectives. WTO CHIEF SAYS U.S. WANTS REFORM IN TRADE BODY, HAS RAISED CONCERNS NEW DELHI (Reuters) – The United States has raised concerns about the functioning of the World Trade Organisation and asked for reforms, WTO Director General Roberto Azevedo said on Monday, as global trade tensions increased. TRUMP’S STIMULUS WILL MAKE THE DEFICIT WITH CHINA WORSE, NOT BETTER, SAYS CREDIT SUISSE ECONOMIST President Donald Trump’s pro-business policies such as corporate tax cuts will, ironically, worsen the U.S. trade and current account deficits, Credit Suisse said Monday. LARGE U.S. RETAILERS URGE TRUMP NOT TO HIT CHINA WITH TARIFFS WASHINGTON (Reuters) – Several large U.S. retail companies, including Wal-Mart Inc, Target Corp, Best Buy Co Inc and Macy’s Inc, on Monday sent President Donald Trump a letter urging him not to impose massive tariffs on goods imported from China. CALIFORNIA’S LARGEST STEEL COMPANY WORRIED IT COULD BE HARMED BY TRUMP’S TARIFFS California’s largest steel company is worried it could be harmed by President Donald Trump’s move to impose 25 percent tariffs on steel imports. U.S. SENATORS URGE TRUMP TO BE MORE ‘SURGICAL’ ON TRADE HOUSTON (Reuters) – Two influential U.S. senators pushed President Donald Trump on Friday to be more nuanced in his approach to trade in the wake of his controversial decision to impose tariffs on most steel and aluminum imports. MNUCHIN SAYS U.S. WANTS TARIFF EXEMPTIONS DECIDED IN TWO WEEKS Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said the U.S. wants to negotiate exemptions for steel and aluminum tariffs before they take effect in two weeks, as pressure grows from allies who are threatening retaliation if the duties are applied to them. TRUMP’S MASSIVE NEW TARIFFS COULD END UP COSTING AMERICA 146,000 JOBS The new tariffs on steel and aluminum proposed by President Donald Trump could end up being a net negative for American workers, according to a new study. The Trade Partnership, a consulting firm that does research on international trade, found that the tariffs could cost the US around 146,000 jobs. U.S. PUSHES NAFTA TALKS PACE, WARNS OF POLITICAL HEADWINDS MEXICO CITY (Reuters) – Mexican and U.S. officials pushed on Monday to speed up NAFTA negotiations, with the United States floating the idea of reaching an agreement “in principle” in coming weeks to avoid political headwinds later this year. WHITE HOUSE: TRUMP TELLS TRUDEAU HE WANTS ‘FAIR’ NAFTA DEAL WASHINGTON—President Donald Trump spoke with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau on Monday night about trade and the North American Free Trade Agreement negotiations in Mexico City, the White House said Tuesday. TRUMP SUMMONS STEEL, ALUMINUM EXECUTIVES FOR MEETING ON TRADE CURBS WASHINGTON—The Trump administration has summoned steel and aluminum executives on short notice for a White House meeting on Thursday, telling some of them that an announcement could be made then on long-awaited curbs on steel and aluminum imports in the name of protecting national security, according to people familiar with the matter. AMID NAFTA TALKS, MEXICO AIRS CONCERNS OVER U.S. STEEL TARIFFS MEXICO CITY (Reuters) – Mexico’s economy minister met with top U.S. trade officials on Wednesday midway through the latest push to renegotiate the NAFTA trade deal, as concerns about steel added to trade tensions between the two countries. NAFTA NEGOTIATORS AGREE TO REGULATORY BEST PRACTICES, SOURCE SAYS Negotiators from the U.S., Canada and Mexico finished work on regulatory best practices for Nafta, the first official “chapter” completed in the latest talks in Mexico City, according to a person with knowledge of the process. UK MUST BE ABLE TO INFLUENCE EU TRADE DEALS AFTER BREXIT – CORBYN COVENTRY, England (Reuters) – British opposition leader Jeremy Corbyn said on Monday that Britain must be able to influence the European Union’s trade deals if the country signs up to a new customs union with the bloc after Brexit. CHINA’S NEW ECONOMIC GURU IS TRYING TO STOP A US TRADE WAR As trade tensions escalate between the US and China, one of President Xi Jinping’s most trusted advisers is paying a visit to Washington. Liu He, a Harvard graduate and senior Chinese Communist Party official, is in the US this week to talk about trade and other issues affecting the relationship between the world’s two largest economies. U.S. NAFTA AUTOS NEGOTIATOR CALLED FROM MEXICO FOR CONSULTATIONS: OFFICIALS MEXICO CITY (Reuters) – The U.S. negotiator for regional content requirements in autos flew back to Washington from a NAFTA round in Mexico on Monday to talk with car companies, officials said, in a development some hoped would lead to progress on the contentious issue. PROMOTION WOULD GIVE NAVARRO DEEPER INFLUENCE OVER TRADE POLICY White House trade adviser Peter Navarro, who was sidelined last year after repeatedly clashing with President Donald Trump’s more moderate advisers, could soon be granted a title change that would give him more direct influence over the administration’s trade agenda, according to three people familiar with the issue. NEGOTIATORS SEEK PROGRESS ON NAFTA DESPITE FRESH TRUMP TENSION The U.S. negotiator for regional content requirements in auto flew back to Washington from a NAFTA round in Mexico on Monday to talk with cars companies, officials said, in a development some hoped would lead to progress on the contentious issue. TRUMP TRADE SANCTIONS AIMED AT CHINA COULD ENSNARE CANADA WASHINGTON — China is the main target of possible tough new United States trade measures against low-priced imports of steel and aluminum. But the sanctions threaten to ensnare America’s closest allies, particularly Canada. U.S. TREASURY OFFICIAL SLAMS CHINA’S ‘NON-MARKET BEHAVIOR’ The U.S. Treasury’s top diplomat ramped up his criticisms of China’s economic policies on Wednesday, accusing Beijing of “patently non-market behavior” and saying that the United States needed stronger responses to counter it. WHITE HOUSE REACHES OUT TO LABOR UNIONS ON TRADE POLICY President Donald Trump sought input Wednesday from the largest labor unions in the U.S. on trade policy, including the talks to renegotiate the North American Free Trade Agreement. AUSTRALIAN LEADER TO RAISE CHINA, TRANS-PACIFIC TRADE DEAL IN TRUMP TALKS China’s rising power and a resurgent trans-Pacific trade pact will be at the top of the agenda when Australian Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull and U.S. President Donald Trump meet in Washington this week, an Australian official said on Thursday. AUSTRALIAN PM TO TALK NORTH KOREA, TRADE IN FRIDAY MEETING WITH TRUMP Australian Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull is headed to the U.S. Wednesday, and is expected to talk with President Trump about the Trans Pacific Partnership during a Friday meeting. ENHANCING U.S. TRADE IN A GLOBAL ECONOMY Trade across international borders has motivated economic analysts since at least the 19th century, when the economist David Ricardo invoked the example of wine LAWMAKER INTEREST IN NAFTA INTENSIFIES AMID TRUMP MOVES The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) has never been more popular on Capitol Hill. The three-nation trade agreement that has long come under fire from both parties is getting a rousing defense amid a push from the Trump administration to either renegotiate or scrap the deal altogether. SOUTH KOREA TARGETS U.S. TRADE REMEDIES IN NEW WTO DISPUTE South Korea launched a World Trade Organization dispute that argued a key provision of the U.S.’s anti-dumping and countervailing investigations violated international trade rules. EU WARNS IT WILL RETALIATE IF HIT BY U.S. TRADE CURBS BRUSSELS (Reuters) – The European Commission said on Tuesday it had expressed its concern to Washington about possible measures to curb imports of steel and aluminum and warned that it was ready to react if its industry was hit. LAWMAKER INTEREST IN NAFTA INTENSIFIES AMID TRUMP MOVES The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) has never been more popular on Capitol Hill. EURO AREA INTERNATIONAL TRADE IN GOODS SURPLUS €25.4 BN The first estimate for euro area (EA19) exports of goods to the rest of the world in December 2017 was €180.7 billion, an increase of 1.0% compared with December 2016 (€179.0 bn). Imports from the rest of the world stood at €155.3 bn, a rise of 2.5% compared with December 2016 (€151.4 bn). As a result, the euro area recorded a €25.4 bn surplus in trade in goods with the rest of the world in December 2017, compared with +€27.6 bn in December 2016. Intra-euro area trade rose to €142.4 bn in December 2017, up by 2.8% compared with December 2016. INDIA’S JANUARY TRADE DEFICIT WIDENS TO $16.30 BLN- TRADE MINISTRY Trade between Russia and Germany has increased by about a quarter in the past 12 months. The surge came despite sanctions which the European Union imposed against Moscow for its alleged role in the Ukraine conflict. U.S. ITC DETAILS WHY IT REJECTED CSERIES DUTIES, SAYS BOEING NOT HURT An independent U.S. trade body on Wednesday said it rejected hefty U.S. duties on Bombardier’s CSeries jets partly because Boeing lost no sales or revenue when Delta Air Lines ordered the aircraft in 2016 from the Canadian planemaker. GERMAN-RUSSIAN TRADE PICKING UP SHARPLY Trade between Russia and Germany has increased by about a quarter in the past 12 months. The surge came despite sanctions which the European Union imposed against Moscow for its alleged role in the Ukraine conflict. WTO BOSS STANDS UP FOR GLOBAL TRADE AGAINST POPULIST TIDE DUBAI: Roberto Azavedo, director general of the World Trade Organization, mounted a staunch defense of his organization, which has come under attack from rising anti-globalist and populist sentiment in the US and Britain. CANADA TO FACE U.S. TRADE PROBLEMS EVEN IF NAFTA IS SIGNED: OTTAWA VIENNA (Reuters) – Canada sends 75 percent of its goods exports to the United States and is vulnerable to what Ottawa complains is increasing U.S. protectionism since President Donald Trump took power in January 2017. BOEING’S BIGGEST TRADE FIGHT COULD SPARK A U.S. CONFRONTATION WITH EUROPE VIENNA (Reuters) – Boeing’s lawyers, still smarting from the shock of losing their U.S. trade-court case against Bombardier’s CSeries jets, are now awaiting an imminent ruling in a bigger trade fight over government subsidies. BREXIT TO MEAN WIDESPREAD EU SPENDING CUTS: BUDGET COMMISSIONER VIENNA (Reuters) – The European Union will have to cut spending in nearly all areas to deal with the gap that net contributor Britain leaves after its departure, Budget Commissioner Guenther Oettinger said on Monday. TRUMP PROMISES ‘BIG WEEK’ FOR INFRASTRUCTURE, EYES FOREIGN AID The White House on Monday will release principles for a $1.5 trillion infrastructure overhaul, a plan that will focus on public-private partnerships and funding from state and local governments. US WITHDRAWAL FROM TPP A “VERY SERIOUS MISTAKE – CUTLER NEW YORK: In the wake of recent efforts to revive the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) on Japan’s initiative, former deputy US trade representative, Wendy Cutler called the US withdrawal from the TPP a “very serious mistake.” U.S. SENATORS EXPRESS OPTIMISM ABOUT NAFTA AFTER TRUMP MEETING WASHINGTON (Reuters) – Republican U.S. senators left a trade-focused meeting with President Donald Trump on Wednesday expressing optimism that Trump is less likely to scuttle the NAFTA trade pact than previously feared, and would press ahead with talks to modernize it. GRASSLEY MEETS WITH TRUMP TO TALK TRADE DES MOINES — With Iowa’s agriculture economy hanging in the balance, U.S. Sen. Chuck Grassley spent a chunk of his day Wednesday working to ensure the preservation of a key international trade agreement. ANNOYED WITH CANADA, US TRADE CZAR FLOATS IDEA OF SEPARATE NAFTA DEALS: LAWMAKER WASHINGTON — The United States trade czar is expressing frustration with Canada in the NAFTA negotiations, even floating the idea of concluding a quick agreement with Mexico and sorting out a deal with Canada later, according to an American lawmaker who attended a meeting with him Wednesday. LAWMAKERS, FARM GROUPS AIM AT PRESERVING NAFTA Antsy and in hopes of a “first, do no harm” negotiation, Missouri lawmakers and farm producer groups spoke Tuesday about the importance of keeping intact the North American Free Trade Agreement … or something like it. U.S. TRADE LIKELY TO MODESTLY DRAG GDP GROWTH IN COMING QUARTERS In November, the U.S. trade deficit had widened to USD 50.5 billion, recording the first time that the deficit surpassed USD 50 billion since March 2012. There was widespread strength on both the export and import side of the ledger. In the September to November period, the value of exports rose 6 percent year-on-year. ECONOMY: U.S. TRADE GAP HITS $566 BILLION IN 2017, HIGHEST SINCE 2008 The U.S. trade deficit hit the highest level in nine years in 2017, defying President Donald Trump’s efforts to bring more balance to America’s trade relationships. MALAYSIA, SINGAPORE LAUNCH NEW TRADE LINK TO BOOST LIQUIDITY Singapore and Malaysia announced plans on Tuesday for a new trading link between their stock markets by the end of the year that will help lower trading costs and encourage cross-border investments. AUSTRALIA TOUTS BENEFITS OF U.S. REJOINING TPP In a Washington, D.C. speech Monday, an Australian trade official stressed the benefits of the U.S. rejoining the Trans-Pacific Partnership. GLOBAL ECONOMY WEEK AHEAD: U.S. TRADE DEFICIT, CHINA TRADE SURPLUS, BOE MEETING The week ahead will feature data on the U.S. trade deficit and China’s trade surplus, while central bankers in Australia, Brazil and the U.K. will make monetary policy decisions. INDIA-US TRADE ESTIMATED TO TOUCH $140 BILLION IN 2017: USISPF Trade between India and the US is estimated to have jumped substantially from USD 118 billion in 2016 to USD 140 billion in 2017, according to an advocacy group that aims to promote bilateral trade. NAFTA UNCERTAINTY RISKS POTENTIAL INVESTMENTS, PORT CEO WARNS As the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) negotiations drag on, Eduardo Campirano, CEO of Port of Brownsville in south Texas, can only cross his fingers. ‘WE WILL FIX’ TRADE DEALS: TRUMP STAYS MUM ON NAFTA THREAT WASHINGTON — Facing scores of his fellow Republicans publicly pleading with him not to cancel NAFTA, U.S. President Donald Trump refrained from his oft-stated threat to scrap the continental pact while promising to fix trade deals during his prime-time address Tuesday. SMITH PLEADS CASE FOR AGRICULTURAL TRADE AT NAFTA NEGOTIATIONS Forget the stalemate over immigration and spending. Right now, Republicans are most worried about President Donald Trump’s trade policy. GOP SENATORS URGE TRUMP TO STAY IN NAFTA A large group of Republican senators including Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) wrote to President Trump on Tuesday urging him not to withdraw from the North American Free Trade Agreement. TRUMP HINTS AT FIGHT OVER $1 TRILLION TRADE WITH EUROPE President Trump has warned that the U.S. administration may soon address “very unfair” trade with the European Union. CHINA COULD TARGET U.S. FIRMS IF TRUMP LEVIES TARIFFS, GROUP WARNS BEIJING — Chinese officials have warned that they will retaliate against American companies if President Trump imposes tariffs on China, an American business group said on Tuesday, with airplanes and agricultural products among the likely targets. REPUBLICANS SEEK TO TAME TRUMP ON TRADE Forget the stalemate over immigration and spending. Right now, Republicans are most worried about President Donald Trump’s trade policy. A SOCIAL NETWORK FOR BUYERS AND SELLERS TO BOOST INTERNATIONAL TRADE WITH ITS CRYPTO CURRENCY Despite the fact that Facebook and LinkedIn are used by millions today, these social networks seem to miss a major trump card in future – they do not use Blockchain. Meanwhile, a startup called TraDove has become the premier B2B social network based on Blockchain. PM INAUGURATES FREE TRADE ZONE, FIRST INTERNATIONAL GWARDAR EXPO Prime Minister Shahid Khaqan Abbasi on Monday inaugurated free trade zone and first International Gwadar Expo in Gwadar. During the two-day expo, foreign personalities, members of the diplomatic community and businessmen from across the globe would take part. DAVOS: TRUMP LAUNCHES ATTACK ON ‘PREDATORY’ TRADE President Donald Trump has launched a fierce attack on “predatory” trade practices, warning trading partners at the World Economic Forum in Davos that the US will not tolerate unfair trade. READ PRESIDENT TRUMP’S FULL REMARKS ON TRADE DEALS TO CNBC Trump said he could rethink the massive Trans-Pacific Partnership trade agreement, but only if the United States got a better deal. He also said the U.S. had a “good chance” to renegotiate the North American Free Trade Agreement, but said he could still terminate the deal. US COULD REJOIN TRANS-PACIFIC TRADE PACT IF BETTER DEAL IS REACHED U.S. President Donald Trump said Thursday the United States would rejoin 11 other nations in the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade compact if it can get “a much better deal than we had” in the accord agreed to by former President Barack Obama. US WANTS MORE TRADE NOT LESS, TREASURY SECRETARY MNUCHIN SAYS Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said Thursday he wants to increase the level of U.S. trade but warned that measures will be taken where trade practices are deemed unfair. U.S. SPARKS FEARS OF TRADE WAR AS TRUMP ARRIVES IN DAVOS DAVOS, Switzerland (Reuters) – A day after sending the dollar reeling with comments supportive of a weak U.S. currency, U.S Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said the Trump administration was not seeking a trade war but would defend its economic interests. PROPOSED NAFTA CHANGES COULD IMPACT FEDERAL IT On the campaign trail, Donald Trump called the 1993 North American Free Trade Agreement, “the single worst trade deal ever approved in this country” and vowed to renegotiate the agreement. NAFTA’S FATE UNCERTAIN AHEAD OF MONTREAL ROUND OF TALKS OTTAWA — The NAFTA trade agreement’s future hangs in the balance this week as negotiators from the United States, Canada and Mexico try to settle major differences over revamping a pact that President Donald Trump has threatened to abandon. U.S. IMPOSES NEW TARIFFS, RAMPING UP ‘AMERICA FIRST’ TRADE POLICY WASHINGTON—President Donald Trump slapped steep tariffs on imports of solar panels and washing machines, kicking off his second year in office by showing he is ready to start implementing his long-promised “America First” trade policy. CORPORATE CANADA URGED TO UP ITS GAME IN PROMOTING NAFTA WITH AMERICANS OTTAWA _ For all of Canada’s efforts to promote the North American Free Trade Agreement on U.S. soil, there are concerns one important voice from the north has been a little quieter than the rest: Canadian business. CHINA SAYS UNITED STATES IS REAL THREAT TO GLOBAL TRADE, NOT ITSELF BEIJING (Reuters) – The United States, not China, threatens the global trade system, China’s foreign ministry said on Monday, after U.S. President Donald Trump’s administration called U.S. support for Beijing’s joining the World Trade Organization in 2001 a mistake. MONTREAL MEETINGS ON NAFTA COULD IMPACT THOUSANDS OF MISSOURI WORKERS The fate of tens of thousands of Missouri jobs could hinge on trade talks set to resume this week in Montreal. Negotiators from the United States, Canada and Mexico will gather for another round of North American Free Trade Agreement negotiations. The U.S. wants to rework the deal, or possibly withdraw altogether. TRUMP TO FACE MIXED WELCOME AT ELITE DAVOS GATHERING DAVOS, Switzerland — In Davos this week, participants can experience “a day in the life of a refugee.” Or hear about ways to uphold the Paris climate accord and promote free trade. Or rub elbows with any number of leaders of African countries. NAFTA TALKS SEEN ENDING HAPPILY, DESPITE GROWLS FROM TRUMP BENGALURU/SAO PAULO (Reuters) – The North American Free Trade Agreement will probably be renegotiated successfully with only marginal changes, said a large majority of economists in a Reuters poll, despite the Trump administration’s saber-rattling. OIL FALLS AFTER IEA POINTS TO RISING U.S. PRODUCTION LONDON—Oil prices fell Friday, as a leading energy monitor predicted U.S. crude production would hit a record high this year, surpassing output from Saudi Arabia and rivaling that of Russia. TILLERSON: US WILL DISCOURAGE INTERNATIONAL TRADE WITH ASSAD’S SYRIA Tillerson said the U.S. would “discourage economic relationships” between Syria and other countries until Assad is no longer in power. He also noted the U.S. would work to diminish Iran’s influence in the country, accusing Iran of financially propping up Assad’s government. TRUMP SAYS TERMINATING NAFTA WOULD YIELD THE ‘BEST DEAL’ IN RENEGOTIATIONS President Donald Trump on Wednesday said that terminating the North American Free Trade Agreement would result in the “best deal” to revamp the 24-year-old trade pact with Canada and Mexico in favor of U.S. interests. UNITED STATES: USITC RESPONDS TO TRADE REPRESENTATIVE’S REQUEST TO IDENTIFY ‘UNFORESEEN DEVELOPMENTS’ THAT LED TO SOLAR CELL DECISION US International Trade Commission’s response to unforeseen developments signals strong administration action on solar cell tariffs. UNITED STATES: INDUSTRY STAKEHOLDERS CREATE NEW COALITION TO ADVOCATE FOR NAFTA A broad group of stakeholders in the food system joined together to create a new coalition to advocate for America’s involvement in free trade agreements, specifically the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). U.S. OIL INDUSTRY SET TO BREAK RECORD, UPEND GLOBAL TRADE HOUSTON (Reuters) – Surging shale production is poised to push U.S. oil output to more than 10 million barrels per day – toppling a record set in 1970 and crossing a threshold few could have imagined even a decade ago. WISCONSIN RELIED ON NAFTA FOR 2016 EXPORTS MADISON, Wis. (AP) — Nearly half of Wisconsin’s dairy, fruit and vegetable exports went to Canada and Mexico last year, raising concerns amid the uncertain future of the North American Free Trade Agreement. KILLING NAFTA WOULD COST 300,000 AMERICAN JOBS, ANALYSIS SAYS It would cost the United States 300,000 jobs, cut economic growth, hurt stocks and cause prices for consumer goods to rise, according to an analysis. US OIL INDUSTRY SET TO BREAK RECORD, UPEND GLOBAL TRADE HOUSTON (Reuters)-Surging shale production is poised to push U.S. oil output to more than 10 million barrels per day – toppling a record set in 1970 and crossing a threshold few could have imagined even a decade ago. EU TRADE CHIEF LAMENTS THE DECLINE OF US TRADE LEADERSHIP The EU Commissioner for Trade criticized Washington for effectively relinquishing the US’ role as a leader in global trade. US AND CHINA PREPARES FOR TRADE CLASH OF THE TITANS SHANGHAI—The last time Washington mobilized for a trade war, Ronald Reagan was president and Japan the adversary. TRUMP’S TRADE POLICIES COULD CANCEL OUT THE BENEFITS OF TAX REFORM, EY SAYS Tax reforms may help the United States score more investments from both local and foreign companies, but those benefits could be offset by the Trump administration’s protectionist trade policies, a major accounting firm said Friday. MEXICO PRIVATE SECTOR SAYS OPEN TO TALKS ON NAFTA AUTO RULES MEXICO CITY (Reuters) – The leader of one of Mexico’s top business lobbies said on Thursday the private sector was open to discussing rules of origin for autos produced in North America, a major sticking point in talks to renegotiate the NAFTA trade pact. NAFTA SUPPORTERS USE STOCK MARKET TO TRY TO DISSUADE TRUMP FROM WITHDRAWING FROM TRADE DEAL When President Trump met with six Republican senators last week to talk about trade, the lawmakers issued a stark warning: Implementing an unrestrained “America first” agenda — such as withdrawing from the North American Free Trade Agreement — would endanger stock prices that have soared since his election. ‘CANADA HAS JUST DETONATED A BOMB’: TRADE RELATIONS WITH U.S. PLUMMET AFTER WTO COMPLAINT OTTAWA — Canada launched the opening salvo in a trade war with the United States Wednesday, lodging an international complaint about the superpower’s use of punitive duties. EXCLUSIVE: CANADA INCREASINGLY CONVINCED TRUMP WILL PULL OUT OF NAFTA LONDON, Ontario (Reuters) – Canada is increasingly convinced that President Donald Trump will soon announce the United States intends to pull out of NAFTA, two government sources said on Wednesday, sending the Canadian and Mexican currencies lower and hurting stocks. U.S. TRADE DEFICIT RISES MORE THAN EXPECTED TO A NEAR 6-YEAR HIGH ON RECORD IMPORTS The U.S. trade deficit increased more than expected in November as imports of goods surged to a record high amid strong domestic demand, making it likely that trade will subtract from economic growth in the fourth quarter. CHAMBER’S DONOHUE SAYS WITHDRAWAL FROM NAFTA WOULD BE ‘GRAVE MISTAKE’ U.S. Chamber of Commerce President Tom Donohue on Wednesday touted the importance of global trade for the nation’s growing economy, arguing that abandoning trade deals would ultimately undermine the expansion. U.S. TARIFFS COULD HIT CORNER BROOK PULP AND PAPER The Government of Newfoundland and Labrador is anxiously awaiting word from the U.S. Department of Commerce on possible new tariffs for Canadian newsprint. U.S. MAY GET FIRST LNG IMPORT FROM RUSSIA DESPITE SANCTIONS: REPORT (Reuters) – A vessel that may be carrying liquefied natural gas from Russia’s new Yamal LNG export terminal could be heading to the United States despite sanctions against the company that operates the Russian facility, according to a report by S&P Global Platts and Thomson Reuters shipping data. NAFTA TRADE VALUE JUMPS 7.9% IN OCTOBER U.S.-NAFTA freight totaled $100.6 billion in October 2017 as all five major transportation modes carried more freight by value with North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) partners Canada and Mexico during the month compared to October 2016, according to data released by the U.S. Department of Transportation’s Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS). GOP ANXIOUS WITH TRUMP ON TRADE Republican senators from farm states are stepping up pressure on President Trump ahead of a key round of trade negotiations scheduled later this month. TRUMP SPEAKS TO FARMERS, HIGHLIGHTING TAXES AND TRADE President Donald Trump promoted his administration’s accomplishments for rural America in a speech before the American Farm Bureau Federation Convention in Nashville, Tennesse on Monday. WHITE HOUSE PREPARING FOR TRADE CRACKDOWN President Donald Trump’s administration is preparing to unveil an aggressive trade crackdown in the coming weeks that is likely to include new tariffs aimed at countering China’s and other economic competitors’ alleged unfair trade practices, according to three administration officials. TRUMP PREPARING TO UNVEIL NEW TRADE RESTRICTIONS ON CHINA: REPORT The Trump administration is set to unveil tougher trade measures for China in the coming weeks to combat alleged unfair trade practices, Politico reported Sunday. TRADE DISPUTE INVOLVING NEWSPRINT CAUSING HEARTBURN FOR MANY U.S. NEWSPAPERS, PRINTERS A petition by a paper maker in Washington state has set off alarm bells at newspapers and printing plants across the country whose leaders say the outcome could drastically increase newsprint costs, adding more financial pressure to an industry already struggling with the drain of advertising and subscription revenue in recent years. NAFTA EXIT NEGATIVE FOR U.S. AUTOS During 2017, President Donald Trump’s administration made three major policy moves relevant to the U.S. auto industry. US TRADE DEFICIT HITS $50.5 BILLION, BIGGEST SINCE 2012 WASHINGTON-The U.S. trade deficit rose to $50.5 billion in November, the largest imbalance in nearly six years, as imports and exports both hit records. AMERICAN RAILWAYS SUPPORT NAFTA In an op-ed published this morning, the Association of American Railroads argued that abandoning NAFTA would be a mistake and that Canada, Mexico and the United States should be looking for ways to improve the trade deal. SENATORS URGE TRADE RELIEF FOR OHIO WHIRLPOOL WORKERS The International Trade Commission has ruled that workers at Whirlpool Corp.’s facility in Clyde were hurt by unfair washing machine imports by Samsung and LG. CANADA’S MINISTER OF AGRICULTURE AND AGRI-FOOD TO PROMOTE TRADE AND NAFTA AT AMERICAN FARM BUREAU FEDERATION ANNUAL CONVENTION IN TENNESSEE NASHVILLE, TN, Jan. 4, 2018 /CNW/ – The Honourable Lawrence MacAulay, Minister of Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, will visit Tennessee from January 5 to 8, 2018, where he will deliver a keynote address to the American Farm Bureau Federation’s annual convention and participate in activities to promote Canada-U.S. trade. NAFTA WITHDRAW THREATS PUT TRANSPORTATION JOBS IN JEOPARDY Withdraw threats by President Donald Trump regarding the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) are putting transportation jobs at risk. TRUMP’S TRADE POLICY BOOSTS EXPORTS — OF CANADIAN LOBSTER CENTREVILLE, Nova Scotia — This lobster factory on a windswept bay in eastern Canada is so remote that its workers have to drive for miles just to get cellphone service. But Gidney Fisheries is truly global, with its lobsters landing on plates in Paris and Shanghai through trade agreements hammered out in far-off capitals. IOWA SOYBEAN ASSOCIATION FEARS NAFTA WITHDRAWAL (Washington, D.C.) — Trade officials will continue discussions regarding the future of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) in Canada. US AND AUSTRALIA MEET TO REVIEW BILATERAL FTA Officials from the United States and Australia held a meeting earlier this month of the US-Australia Free Trade Agreement (FTA) Joint Committee to review the implementation of the FTA. Both sides agreed that the FTA is a cornerstone of the trade and investment relationship between the two countries and noted that bilateral goods and services trade has increased substantially for both countries since the agreement’s entry into force. MINNESOTA FARMERS FEAR LOSING MILLIONS IF U.S. LEAVES NAFTA ST. PAUL, Minn. — Minnesota farmers fear they could lose millions of dollars if the United States leaves the North American Free Trade Agreement. NAFTA NEGOTIATIONS COULD AFFECT AVOCADO AND BEER PRICES WASHINGTON (KFTA) — Negotiations surrounding the North American Free Trade Agreement are on uncertain footing after the first series of meetings in December, as changes to NAFTA could fundamentally alter the way the U.S., Canada and Mexico trade goods. EU-JAPAN TRADE DEAL WORRISOME FOR U.S. FARM EXPORTS A recent trade deal between the European Union and Japan will have mixed impacts for American farm exports but is part of a discouraging trend, experts say. TRUMP’S NEW NATIONAL SECURITY STRATEGY SETS THE STAGE FOR DEEPER INDIA-US TIES The United States (US) released its latest National Security Strategy (NSS) document on 18 December. By and large, these releases are more important for the intent they express than any actual policy decisions, and the Trump administration’s first NSS is ripe with symbolism. MINNESOTA FARMERS FEAR EXIT FROM NAFTA COULD COST THEM MILLIONS Minnesota farmers are following the NAFTA negotiations — which enter their fifth month in January — with one eye on their pocketbooks. TRUMP’S TARIFF DECISION LOOMS LARGE FOR SOLAR COMPANY’S SALE SolarWorld Americas Inc., one of two U.S. solar manufacturers asking President Donald Trump for tariffs on imported panels, says the move could revive a struggling industry. It may also boost the company’s value ahead of a potential sale. CONGRESSIONAL LAWMAKERS URGE ‘STRONG AND EFFECTIVE’ REMEDIES IN SOLAR TRADE CASE A bipartisan group of 11 Congressional lawmakers have petitioned President Trump for “strong and effective” trade remedies for imported solar equipment under Section 201 of the 1974 Trade Act. A pair of United States-based manufacturers, Suniva and SolarWorld, sought import relief earlier this year. US FINALIZES HEFTY DUTIES IN BOMBARDIER-BOEING TRADE CASE The United States on Wednesday finalized steep duties against Bombardier C Series commercial jets, a move that may further inflame tensions over ongoing negotiations of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). TRUMP’S THREATS TO PULL OUT OF NAFTA CONCERN MANY IN ARIZONA At CAID Industries’ factory in Tucson, welders build massive tanks and steel silos used by mining and oil and gas companies. Setting up shop here, just 70 miles from the border, wasn’t by chance. NEW SECURITY STRATEGY FOCUSES ON BORDER SECURITY, TRADE The United States will focus on border security and trade competitiveness along with classic military threats in its new security policy. ROSS: US STILL OPEN TO TTIP The Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP)—a proposed agreement between the United States and the European Union—hasn’t made many headlines lately and some speculated that it would suffer the same fate as the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), from which President Donald Trump withdrew in the early days of his presidency. RUSSIA AND CHINA OBJECT TO NEW ‘AMERICA FIRST’ SECURITY DOCTRINE MOSCOW — Officials in Russia and China pushed back on Tuesday against the characterization of their countries as threats to the United States in a new national security doctrine published by the White House a day earlier. ENERGY INDUSTRY CONFRONTS THE NAFTA DOLDRUMS WASHINGTON – President Donald Trump sent shock waves through the Texas business world when he opened up the North American Free Trade Agreement for renegotiation four months ago. NAFTA WASHINGTON TALKS SAID TO LEAVE MAJOR DIFFERENCES UNTOUCHED WASHINGTON (Reuters) – NAFTA negotiatiors made some progress on less controversial issues this week but left untouched the thorniest subjects of autos, dispute settlement and an expiry clause to be tackled at pivotal talks in January in Montreal. TRUMP TO ANNOUNCE NEW NATIONAL SECURITY STRATEGY ON TRADE WITH CHINA BEIJING (Reuters) – China’s Foreign Ministry on Monday defended trade with the United States as a win-win scenario ahead of a speech by U.S. President Donald Trump laying out a new national security strategy that makes clear that China is a competitor. REPUBLICAN GOVERNORS MEET WITH PENCE OVER NAFTA CONCERNS WASHINGTON (Reuters) – Republican governors from four U.S. states on Thursday met with Vice President Mike Pence to voice deep concerns over proposed changes to NAFTA that could affect jobs and manufacturing in their states, officials who attended the meeting said. IN D.C., ARKANSAS GOVERNOR ARGUES FOR NAFTA WASHINGTON — Eliminating the North American Free Trade Agreement, as President Donald Trump has threatened, would undermine Arkansas’ economy, Gov. Asa Hutchinson told administration officials Thursday at the White House. TEHAMA COUNTY HOSTS GLOBAL TRADE AND SMALL BUSINESS WORKSHOP Red Bluff >> Those interested in opening or expanding a small business in Tehama County were offered the chance to learn what resources are available in California at the Global Trade and Small Business Workshop held Thursday at the Red Bluff Community Center. WTO MEETING ENDS IN DISCORD, MINISTERS URGE SMALLER-SCALE TRADE TALKS BUENOS AIRES/WASHINGTON (Reuters) – The World Trade Organization failed to reach any new agreements on Wednesday, ending a three-day ministerial conference in discord in the face of stinging U.S. criticism of the group and vetoes from other countries. LIGHTHIZER DEFENDS U.S. AGRICULTURE AT WTO MINISTERIAL ARLINGTON, Virginia — U.S. Wheat Associates (USW) thanks U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer for his efforts to defend U.S. agriculture against attempts to weaken the World Trade Organization (WTO) rules on domestic support in agriculture. The Buenos Aires Ministerial would be a failure if the trade liberalizing mission of the WTO were to take a massive step backwards through a permanent exemption for market price supports for certain major agriculture producers. ‘TIT-FOR-TAT’ TRADE WAR WITH CHINA COULD HURT US COMPANIES: FORMER TOP US NEGOTIATOR The US should avoid a “tit-for-tat” trade war with China because it could hit US companies through higher costs, disrupted supply chains and battered consumers, a former top US trade negotiator has warned. CHAIRMAN ROBERTS: “TRADE IS MORE THAN A PRODUCT CROSSING A BORDER” WASHINGTON, D.C. – U.S. Senator Pat Roberts, R-Kan., Chairman of the Senate Committee on Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry, today addressed the Washington International Trade Association, highlighting the benefits of NAFTA to American agriculture and the numerous associated American jobs. U.S., EU, JAPAN SLAM MARKET DISTORTION IN SWIPE AT CHINA BUENOS AIRES (Reuters) – The United States, European Union and Japan vowed on Tuesday to work together to fight market-distorting trade practices and policies that have fueled excess production capacity, naming several key features of China’s economic system. U.S. FINDS ALLIES TO CHALLENGE CHINA’S TRADE TACTICS The U.S. finds itself isolated in its efforts to temper support for globalization. It’s having greater success rallying rich countries to rein in a common rival: China. At the World Trade Organization meeting this week in Buenos Aires, the U.S., European Union and Japan agreed to target excess capacity in important industries and called on countries to curb state financing. While the declaration didn’t name China, it’s an implicit warning to President Xi Jinping that they’re losing tolerance with its state-driven model. TRUMP’S NAFTA THREAT WORRIES NORTHWEST’S CHRISTMAS TREE GROWERS WASHINGTON — In the cheerless days of the last recession, as Americans were spending less on Christmas trees, Oregon’s evergreen growers spotted an opportunity. Demand had been growing for Northwest-grown firs in Mexico, and the U.S. had a surplus. Agricultural officials from both countries forged a relationship that nearly doubled U.S. tree exports over four years, to $22.6 million in 2015. One in six of the state’s Christmas trees are now trucked south of the border. SENATORS PUSH FOR FAIR REWRITING OF NAFTA Senators from the Farm Belt continue to reflect the anxiety of their constituents over the economic impact of renegotiating the North American Free Trade Agreement. Agriculture remains one of the economic sectors most affected by President Trump’s directive to refashion the 23-year-old trade agreement with Mexico and Canada GOLDMAN SACHS EXPECTS US TO ANNOUNCE NAFTA PULLOUT US demands in NAFTA negotiations are impossible for Canada and Mexico to accept. The positions will ultimately lead to an impasse and the US will announce its intention to pullout of the agreement. “For now, U.S. Trade Representative [Robert] Lighthizer looks willing to let the talks fail unless he can secure major concessions,” they wrote. “While we expect the rising odds of tax reform to put less pressure on the trade agenda, we do not expect passage of tax reform will raise the odds of a successful Nafta renegotiation, so a withdrawal announcement looks more likely than not even if tax reform is enacted soon.” FIVE ‘EXTREME’ NAFTA PROPOSALS BY U.S. THAT CANADA WILL NOT ACCEPT, ACCORDING TO OUR LEAD NEGOTIATOR OTTAWA — Canada’s chief negotiator for an update to the North American Free Trade Agreement says some of the United States’ proposals are “completely unworkable.” Steve Verheul told a House of Commons committee Monday that Canada will not accept the most “extreme” demands coming from President Donald Trump’s administration, implying that his Mexican counterparts are of the same mind. TRUDEAU STEPS UP ON TRADE FOR CANADA, AS AMERICA UNDER TRUMP PULLS BACK OTTAWA — Prime Minister Justin Trudeau landed in Beijing on Sunday, with expanding trade with China at the top of his agenda. As the United States under President Trump becomes increasingly protectionist, Canada is moving in the opposite direction. Along with 10 other nations, Canada is trying to revive the Trans-Pacific Partnership, a trade deal championed by the Obama administration and abandoned by Mr. Trump. It is in trade talks with numerous other countries and free-trade groups — including India, Japan and Singapore. And in late September its broad free-trade pact with Europe clicked into action. ECONOMISTS’ TAKE ON GOP TAX CUTS AND NAFTA WASHINGTON – Economists expect the GOP tax overhaul to provide a modest boost to the US economy, but they’re increasingly worried that a rewrite of the North American Free Trade Agreement will take a toll on growth. The National Association of Business Economics survey found that forecasters expect tax law changes to add 0.2 percentage points of growth to the US economy, down slightly from what they expected in the previous NABE survey in September. The survey was taken Nov. 6-15, before the Senate passed a major tax overhaul early Saturday. STERLING SPIKES ON NEWS OF UK-IRELAND BORDER BREAKTHROUGH Britain and the EU have reportedly agreed to avoid a hard border on the island of Ireland, preventing what many have called a “political calamity” and potentially severe economic fallout for the Republic of Ireland, for whom the U.K. is a crucial trading partner. CANADA’S TRUDEAU IN CHINA ON VISIT FOCUSED ON TRADE Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau began a visit to China focused on trade Monday with a stop at social media giant Sina, where he talked up the advantages of travel to his homeland. Accompanied by four Cabinet ministers, Trudeau was due to hold talks with Chinese Premier Li Keqiang on Monday before meeting with President Xi Jinping the following day. E.U., SOUTH AMERICA NEGOTIATORS GUNNING FOR MASSIVE TRADE DEAL BY CHRISTMAS In a time of a growing global protectionist tide, the sought-after agreement seven years in the making between Europe and South America would cover $100 billion in annual bilateral trade. And the deal would act as a stark contrast to President Donald Trump’s decision to pull the U.S. away from potential trade deals with Europe and Asia that until not long ago were considered major boons to the flow of world commerce. TRUMP’S IDEA OF NEW NAFTA DEAL IS ‘TAKE, TAKE, TAKE,’ CANADIAN ENVOY SAYS The United States promised Canada and Mexico a new “win, win, win” NAFTA deal, but the Trump administration’s approach is more like “take, take, take,” Canada’s ambassador to the United States told POLITICO. CAMBODIAN GARMENT MAKERS SEEK CONTINUED SUPPORT AFTER EU TRADE ACCESS THREAT PHNOM PENH (Reuters) – Cambodian garment makers on Friday urged international buyers not to turn away from the country amid concerns that its access to vital EU trade preferences could be under threat after the main opposition party was dissolved last month. US JOINS TRADE FIGHT AGAINST CHINA AT WTO WASHINGTON — The United States is joining a fight against China at the World Trade Organization in a decision likely to ratchet up tensions between Washington and Beijing.The U.S. is supporting the European Union in a dispute over China’s status at the WTO, which rules on trade disputes. U.S. REBUKES CHINA FOR BACKING OFF MARKET EMBRACE The Trump administration rebuked China for not being tough enough over North Korea’s nuclear program and said the Asian country is backsliding on market-oriented reforms.The U.S. wants to work with other major economies to come up with a united response to what America sees as China’s foot dragging on economic changes, ranging from reforming state-owned enterprises to curbing the ruling party’s role in the economy, said David Malpass, the Treasury’s undersecretary of international affairs. BREXIT BRITAIN LOOKS TO CHINA THE UK WANTS TO ATTRACT MORE TRADE AND INVESTMENT FROM CHINA ONCE IT LEAVES THE EU. With Britain leaving the world’s second-largest economy — the European Union — and its future trading relationship with the bloc still uncertain, ministers like Fox are looking to closer ties with the world’s other economic powerhouses. After the U.S. — turning inward under Trump — the plumpest target is China. THE UNITED STATES MAY BE PUSHING CANADA TOWARD ‘FREE TRADE’ WITH CHINA Just days ahead of a Beijing visit, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has yet to decide on whether to launch talks on a free trade deal that China has long pressed for and could face a cool reception over his government’s decision to snub Chinese interest in Bombardier. China wants a free trade pact similar to the ones it has with Australia and New Zealand but Trudeau, aware of domestic unease at the idea, is moving slowly. TRUMP SEEKS DETAILS ON SOLAR IMPORTS BEFORE SETTING TARIFFS President Donald Trump’s trade representative requested more details about how low-cost imported solar panels have harmed U.S. manufacturers as the White House considers imposing tariffs. US TO INVESTIGATE CHINESE ALUMINIUM TRADE The US has announced another trade investigation, this time targeting China’s aluminium industry. The inquiry will examine if aluminium alloy sheet is being sold below cost or with the help of government subsidies and could lead to tariffs. The US called it an “historic” probe intended to advance President Donald Trump’s tough-on-trade agenda. It is initiating the investigation itself, not responding to a complaint from a US company, as is usual. AS GLOBAL TRADE GETS SET TO BOOM, FREIGHT FORWARDER DHL GETS READY WITH MASSIVE EXPANSION The freight forwarding firm DHL is never afraid to jump first. While many other Western companies hesitated when China began opening up its central and western realms, DHL plowed ahead, opening new hubs in places that are now some of the most economically dynamic cities in the world. When the international media was harbingering the coming collapse of China in 2014 as growth slid to a 24-year low, DHL upped their stakes in the country by 50%, tacking on six new logistics facilities that are set to open in 2020 — a year when China is now predicted to be stronger than ever. CANADA OPENS WTO CASE AGAINST UNITED STATES OVER LUMBER DUTIES OTTAWA (Reuters) – Canada on Tuesday formally opened a case against the United States at the World Trade Organization over a recent Commerce Department decision to impose duties on Canadian lumber exports, the foreign ministry said. ENDING NAFTA WOULD HURT GROWTH, COMPETITIVENESS OF UNITED STATES, CANADA: REPORT DETROIT (Reuters) – Terminating the North American Free Trade Agreement would harm the U.S. and Canadian economies and reduce their competitiveness versus Asia and Europe, a report issued by the Bank of Montreal (BMO.TO) said on Monday. NEBRASKA’S FARMERS REALLY NEED NAFTA With the fifth round of negotiations on the North American Free Trade Agreement, Nebraskans whose livelihoods are tied to agriculture are nervous. Uncertainty surrounding the pact between the United States, Canada and Mexico — from which President Donald Trump has repeatedly threatened to withdraw — has caused Mexican buyers to begin searching for other sources in case they lose access to the U.S. producers they’ve long trusted. THE NAFTA YEARS HAVE BEEN TERRIBLE FOR MEXICAN GROWTH What’s the opposite of a growth miracle? Whatever the term, it applies in spades to Mexico in the Nafta era. Poor countries are expected to grow faster than rich ones, and they need to. Trade agreements are supposed to help. Yet by almost any benchmark — certainly the ones trumpeted by the deal’s architects a quarter-century ago — the Mexican economy’s performance has been dismal. NO IRISH BORDER DEAL BEFORE EU TRADE AGREEMENT: BRITISH MINISTER LONDON (Reuters) – Britain will not resolve the question of the Irish border after Brexit until it has also agreed the outline of a trade deal with the European Union, the country’s International Trade Minister Liam Fox said on Sunday. TRADE HIGH ON TRUDEAU’S AGENDA FOR VISIT TO CHINA NEXT WEEK Trade will be high on the agenda when Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau visits China next week in a bid to boost business ties with the world’s second-largest economy. CHINA OCTOBER SERVICES TRADE DEFICIT NARROWS TO $17.8 BILLION – FX REGULATOR BEIJING (Reuters) – China’s trade deficit in services narrowed to $17.8 billion in October from $22.2 billion in September, the foreign exchange regulator said on Monday. NAFTA TALKS SPUTTER AS PARTIES REJECT U.S. HARD LINE The quest to renew Nafta is slowing to a crawl as Canada and Mexico tiptoe around America’s most controversial proposals, throwing into doubt the ability of the three nations to reach a quick deal. The U.S. is frustrated with the reluctance of Canada and Mexico to present counter-proposals on key issues such as regional content rules for cars, which could make or break a deal. Mexico and Canada continue to portray key U.S. demands as unworkable, and are holding out hope the Trump administration will bow to pressure from U.S. lawmakers and corporations to keep core elements of the deal alive. CANADA, MEXICO TO REBUFF U.S. OVER NAFTA GOALS AS TALKS BOG DOWN MEXICO CITY (Reuters) – Canada and Mexico will rebuff the United States over its demand for tougher NAFTA automotive content rules, top officials said on Monday as negotiations to renew the treaty bogged down with only a few months to go. U.S. President Donald Trump is threatening to quit NAFTA, which has reshaped the continent’s auto sector over the past 23 years, unless major changes can be made to return manufacturing jobs to the United States. MAKING MANUFACTURING GREAT AGAIN WOULD ADD $530 BILLION TO GDP The U.S. manufacturing sector has weathered a bumpy road over the course of the past two decades – but successfully righting the country’s industrial ship would mean an economic windfall of $530 billion, according to a new report from The McKinsey Global Institute. NAFTA NEGOTIATIONS: WHAT’S IN IT FOR THE U.S.-MEXICO ENERGY TRADE? The U.S. trade relationship with Mexico has been under the spotlight since last year’s presidential campaign. The pledge by Donald Trump to renegotiate the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) – including a withdrawal option – was premised on two central arguments: that the U.S. is losing manufacturing jobs to Mexico and that trade with Mexico is contributing substantially to a gaping U.S. trade deficit. CANADA, MEXICO TO QUESTION U.S. AUTO CONTENT DEMANDS AT NAFTA TALKS MEXICO CITY (Reuters) – Canada and Mexico will not make counterproposals to U.S. demands for tougher NAFTA automotive content rules but instead will offer rebuttals and pepper American negotiators with technical questions on Monday, people familiar with the talks said. Canada will make a presentation arguing U.S. demands would cause serious damage to U.S. as well as North American automotive manufacturing, a Canadian source with knowledge of the negotiations said. NAFTA NEGOTIATIONS SHIFT DOWN A GEAR The latest Nafta talks have proven far less dramatic than the fireworks of earlier rounds, though any deal remains far off as Mexico and Canada hold out hope the U.S. will soften its demands. The fifth round of talks, which began in Mexico City on Nov. 15 and wraps up on Tuesday, is the first held without the top trade chiefs from the three countries. MEXICO BRISTLES AT U.S. PROPOSAL THAT WOULD BENEFIT AT&T IN NAFTA MEXICO CITY (Reuters) – Mexico shot down a proposal by the United States to include provisions in the North America Free Trade Agreement that would benefit AT&T Inc (T.N), Mexico’s Economy Minister Ildefonso Guajardo said on Wednesday. “AT&T, which is North American, asked its government to reflect its interests in the negotiation,” Guajardo said in an interview on local radio without specifying the details of the U.S. proposal. “You cannot have an agreement… that gives a tailor’s cut, a perfect handiwork, to a specific company.” TRUMP’S TRADE POLICY IS LIFTING EXPORTS. OF CANADIAN LOBSTER. CENTREVILLE, Nova Scotia — This lobster factory on a windswept bay in eastern Canada is so remote that its workers have to drive for miles just to get cellphone service. But Gidney Fisheries is truly global, with its lobsters landing on plates in Paris and Shanghai through trade agreements hammered out in far-off capitals. Of late, these trade pacts have been shifting in the factory’s favor, giving it an advantage over its American competitors. A new trade agreement between Canada and the European Union has slashed tariffs on imports of Canadian lobsters. That means more 747s filled with Christmas-red crustaceans will depart from Nova Scotia for European markets this winter — and more revenue will flow to Gidney fisheries MEXICO TO RESPOND TO TOUGH U.S. PROPOSALS AT FIFTH NAFTA ROUND MEXICO CITY (Reuters) – Mexico will respond to U.S. demands for changes in content rules for autos and an automatic expiration clause in the NAFTA trade deal when negotiations on reworking the accord begin again this week, a top government official said on Tuesday. A fifth round of talks to overhaul the North American Free Trade Agreement starts on Wednesday in Mexico City, notable for U.S. demands that the U.S. Chamber of Commerce has labeled “poison pills.” REPUBLICANS AND DEMOCRATS JOINED FORCES IN SUPPORT OF NAFTA BY SENDING SERIES OF LETTERS TO TRUMP American lawmakers have escalated their campaign against the Trump administration’s handling of the NAFTA negotiations, slamming White House policies in a series of letters this week. Separate letters have criticized the administration’s push for a so-called sunset clause in the agreement; its proposal on auto-parts rules of origin; and its idea of using international agreements as the vehicle for lowering the U.S. trade deficit. USTR ANNOUNCES NEW ENFORCEMENT PRIORITIES FOR GSP US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer has announced a new effort to ensure beneficiary countries are meeting the eligibility criteria of the Generalized System of Preferences (GSP) trade preference program. This new effort includes a heightened focus on concluding outstanding GSP cases and a new interagency process to assess beneficiary country eligibility. This interagency process complements the current petition receipt and public input process for country practice reviews, which will remain unchanged THE NEXT BIG WORRY FOR MARKETS—NAFTA FAILS AND TRADE WARS ERUPT As trade negotiators prepare to meet in Mexico this week, Wall Street is increasingly worried the 23-year-old NAFTA trade deal could fall apart, creating the potential for new trade clashes in North America and around the globe. Analysts say tough “America first” trade talk from President Donald Trump in Vietnam last week raised new concerns about his opposition to deals like the North American Free Trade Agreement with Mexico and Canada. Trump has pushed for the renegotiation of NAFTA, and he has also threatened to withdraw from it, something analysts say appears to be increasingly possible. TRANS-PACIFIC PARTNERSHIP MOVES FORWARD WITHOUT US On January 23, three days into his administration, President Donald Trump withdrew from the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), a trade agreement with eleven other countries. Many thought that was the end of TPP. But last Saturday, at the APEC Summit that Trump also attended, the 11 remaining countries agreed on a blueprint for finalizing the deal— without the United States. THINKING THE UNTHINKABLE ON NAFTA IS TRADER DOOMSDAY PREP Lurking around the Nafta negotiations that resume Wednesday is a small yet unnerving possibility: The $1 trillion trade pact unravels completely, taking the Mexican peso and Canadian dollar down with it. “There’s about a 10 percent chance that one side completely walks away,” said Shawn Snyder, head of investment strategy at Citi Personal Wealth Management in New York. “That would be a significant event.” AMERICANS GENERALLY POSITIVE ABOUT NAFTA, BUT MOST REPUBLICANS SAY IT BENEFITS MEXICO MORE THAN U.S. As Mexico prepares to host the fifth round of negotiations over the 23-year-old North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), most Americans (56%) say that the pact is good for the United States, while just a third (33%) say it is bad. < LAURA INGRAHAM EXCLUSIVE INTERVIEW WITH U.S. TRADE REPRESENTATIVE ROBERT LIGHTHIZER On Saturday, November 4th, Laura Ingraham sat down for this exclusive interview with U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer TRUMP PITCHES ‘AMERICA FIRST’ TRADE POLICY AT ASIA-PACIFIC SUMMIT DANANG, Vietnam — President Trump pitched a go-it-alone, “America First” trade policy to a gathering of nations on Friday that once pinned their economic hopes on a regional pact led by the United States, vowing to protect American interests against foreign exploitation. US-CHINA DEALS SIGNED AMID RISING TRADE DEFICIT BEIJING – US and Chinese companies on Wednesday signed business deals the two sides valued at $9 billion during a visit by President Donald Trump in a tradition aimed at blunting criticism of Beijing’s trade practices. RATIONAL SELF-INTEREST IS AT THE HEART OF THE U.S.-SOUTH KOREA RELATIONSHIP. President Donald Trump’s visit to South Korea this week highlights a historic time for the two countries. It comes just weeks after a heated war of words between Trump and North Korea’s Kim Jong Un at the recent United Nations meeting. Equally important, it comes as the U.S. and South Korea undergo a top to bottom reevaluation of conventional wisdom that has long guided the internal policies of each country and our economic ties with each other. Few bilateral economic and security relationships have such far reaching consequences. Korea is America’s sixth largest two-way trading partner, with a whopping $112.2 billion in 2016. It would be sufficient to examine the relationship just from the perspective of connected technology trade; for example, Apple and the Korean Samsung together account for two-thirds of smartphones in U.S., and Korean Kakao is a leading social network/gaming/taxi platform with more than 100 million users. But the trade between our countries extends well beyond mobile phones and apps, to vehicles, connected appliances, machinery, pharmaceuticals and fuels. U.S. SEEKS RESTRICTIONS ON MEXICAN TRUCKING UNDER NAFTA The U.S. has proposed another difficult change to the North American Free Trade Agreement that could eventually restrict long-haul Mexican truckers from operating in the country, according to people familiar with the discussions. American negotiators asked to remove Mexico’s long-haul industry from a Nafta chapter on cross-border services, according to an industry official familiar with the proposal who isn’t authorized to speak publicly. That could open the door to restrictions on truckers, as losing Nafta trade protections and advantages would make it harder for Mexico to challenge any future U.S. requirements on trucks such as new safety checks. TRUMP PLEDGES TO CHANGE “OUT OF KILTER” US-CHINA TRADE RELATIONSHIP Donald Trump pledged on Thursday to change a US-China trade and economic relationship that is “far out of kilter” as he began a day of meetings in Beijing with his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping. “The US really has to change its policies because they’ve gotten so far behind China,” the US president told Mr Xi ahead of a meeting of their two delegations in the Great Hall of the People. “It’s too bad past administrations allowed it to get so far out of kilter,” Mr Trump added. TRUMP’S TRADE ENDGAME COULD BE THE UNDOING OF GLOBAL RULES What if President Trump’s ultimate goal is to kill the World Trade Organization? When Robert Lighthizer, Mr. Trump’s top trade negotiator, cut his teeth on trade diplomacy, back during the presidency of Ronald Reagan, the United States had an idiosyncratic way of solving its grievances over trade: asking its trading partners to curb their exports, or else. A BIPARTISAN U.S. TRADE POLICY? LIGHTHIZER WILL FACE CHALLENGES The role of “sunny optimist” may seem a strange fit for a Trump administration trade official, but U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer tried it on recently. In a discussion about renegotiating the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), he mused about returning “to the days where there was a substantial majority of people in both parties that voted for these trade agreements. … That is my objective right now. I want to have a huge number of Republicans and a huge number of Democrats.” NAFTA TALKS CAUSING BUSINESS UNCERTAINTY: RIO TINTO EXECUTIVE The current state of talks to update the NAFTA trade pact is creating uncertainty among businesses and could hurt investments and growth, Rio Tinto Aluminium (RIO.L) chief executive Alf Barrios said on Wednesday. Canada and Mexico say several U.S. proposals for modernizing the North American Free Trade Agreement are unacceptable, prompting increasing concern that Washington could walk away from the trilateral deal. RESPONDING TO TRUMP, CHINA SAYS NEVER SOUGHT TRADE SURPLUS Responding to remarks by U.S. President Donald Trump, a Chinese spokeswoman on Thursday said the country never intentionally sought a trade surplus with the United States and that some frictions are inevitable. Trump on Wednesday said the U.S. trade deficit with China was “through the roof,” calling it “so big and bad that it’s embarrassing saying what the number is.” NORTH KOREA, TRADE, BUSINESS DEALS: HIGH ASIA STAKES FOR TRUMP President Donald Trump embarks Friday on a five-nation tour through Asia — his longest foreign trip yet — where he’ll confront some of the most significant tests of his national security and economic agendas. Trump arrives in Asia amid deepening concerns over North Korea’s nuclear and ballistic missile programs. Key allies in Tokyo and Seoul will be looking for reassurance in the face of dangerous provocations from Kim Jong Un and bellicose statements from the U.S. president himself. Trump hopes to court China into exerting more pressure on Kim’s regime U.S. TRADE PANEL SET TO RECOMMEND SOLAR TRADE TARIFFS Federal trade officials on Tuesday will recommend measures to safeguard struggling domestic solar panel manufacturers against cheap imports in a closely watched case that could have a major impact on the price of U.S. solar power. The vote by the U.S. International Trade Commission is a major milestone in a case that has divided the solar industry for the last six months. The panel’s proposals, which could include tariffs, a quota or other trade remedies, will be delivered to President Donald Trump, who will make a final decision later this year. CHINESE AMBASSADOR RESPONDS TO TRUMP’S TRADE COMPLAINTS: ‘LOOK IN THE MIRROR’ China’s ambassador on Monday brushed off the Trump administration’s complaints that Beijing is employing predatory trade and economic practices to bully and intimidate neighbors, suggesting that the United States “look in the mirror because they might be describing themselves.” Ambassador Cui Tiankai’s comments during a briefing with reporters came as President Trump prepares to leave Washington at week’s end for a 12-day swing through five Asian nations, including China, during which the main topics are expected to be confronting North Korea and discussions on U.S. trade relations in the region. GLOBAL TRADE REBOUNDS STRONGLY While US President Trump tries to cut off the United States from globalization and Britain turns away from the EU, global trade carries on and is movely more nicely than expected. The IMF and WTO are set to increase their growth forecasts. MEXICO FEELS MORTGAGED TO NAFTA. TIME TO REFINANCE. Secession was the talk of Mexico’s biggest business summit this week. Not the latest news from Catalonia, but the idea that Mexico lost its independence and ought to do something about it. An entire national model has been based on catering to the North American Free Trade Agreement, the 23-year-old accord that links commerce between Mexico, the U.S. and Canada. There’s regret that not much thought was given to what could go wrong. TRUMP-HEAVY STATES AT BIGGEST RISK OF TRADE, NAFTA DISRUPTION President Donald Trump to this point has made good on his campaign promises of scrapping trade deals he feels are unfair to U.S. workers – despite warnings from some analysts over the potential repercussions from the collapse of decades-old trade arrangements. Trump withdrew the U.S. from Trans-Pacific Partnership negotiations shortly after taking office – a move Democratic rival Hillary Clinton also promised on the campaign trail to consider. ‘ARMY’ OF LOBBYISTS HITS CAPITOL HILL TO PRESERVE NAFTA Automakers, retailers and other business leaders stormed Capitol Hill on Tuesday in an extraordinary show of force against a Republican president they fear will cripple or kill the North American Free Trade Agreement, an outcome business leaders said could devastate their profits and harm the United States’ ability to compete in a global market. More than 130 representatives from an array of industries met with senators on Tuesday to ratchet up pressure on lawmakers — many of whose constituents work for companies dependent on Nafta — to keep the deal intact. MEXICO FEELS MORTGAGED TO NAFTA. TIME TO REFINANCE. Secession was the talk of Mexico’s biggest business summit this week. Not the latest news from Catalonia, but the idea that Mexico lost its independence and ought to do something about it. An entire national model has been based on catering to the North American Free Trade Agreement, the 23-year-old accord that links commerce between Mexico, the U.S. and Canada. There’s regret that not much thought was given to what could go wrong. BANK OF AMERICA: 2 CHARTS SHOW WHY RIPPING UP NAFTA WOULDN’T SOLVE TRUMP’S BIG ISSUES WITH THE DEAL It’s no secret that President Donald Trump isn’t a fan of NAFTA. Throughout his campaign, he promised to rip up trade deals, specifically zeroing in on the North American Free Trade Agreement, the US’s trade deficit with Mexico, and the US’s loss of manufacturing jobs. The evidence available, however, favors the position that changing NAFTA would neither reduce the US’s trade deficit nor meaningfully increase its manufacturing jobs, according to two charts shared by Bank of America Merrill Lynch’s Carlos Capistran and Ethan S. Harris in a recent report to clients. TRUMP-HEAVY STATES AT BIGGEST RISK OF TRADE, NAFTA DISRUPTION President Donald Trump to this point has made good on his campaign promises of scrapping trade deals he feels are unfair to U.S. workers – despite warnings from some analysts over the potential repercussions from the collapse of decades-old trade arrangements. Trump withdrew the U.S. from Trans-Pacific Partnership negotiations shortly after taking office – a move Democratic rival Hillary Clinton also promised on the campaign trail to consider. EVEN A NAFTA COLLAPSE WON’T KEEP COMPANIES FROM MOVING TO MEXICO It wasn’t supposed to be like this, but the folks who help U.S. companies set up production in Mexico say they’re having a solid year. Tecma Group has more business than ever in its three decades doing relocation. In just the last few weeks, it aided a maker of cleaning equipment and a packaging company make the move south. Chicago-based Mexico Consulting Associates has three new prospects interested in Mexico. AUTO INDUSTRY TELLS TRUMP ‘WE’RE WINNING WITH NAFTA’ Major automakers, suppliers and auto dealers are launching a new coalition on Tuesday to urge U.S. President Donald Trump not to withdraw from the North American Free Trade Agreement. Auto trade associations representing General Motors Co (GM.N) Toyota Motor Corp (7203.T), Volkswagen AG (VOWG_p.DE), Hyundai Motor Co (005380.KS), Ford Motor Co (F.N) and nearly every other major automaker, are part of the coalition dubbed “Driving American Jobs” and backing an advertising campaign to convince the White House and voters that the agreement has been crucial in boosting U.S. automotive sector production and jobs. TRADE DEFICITS ARE IRRELEVANT When George Allen was an NFL head coach in the 1970s, his philosophy was: “Winning isn’t everything; it’s the only thing.” President Trump shares that philosophy. He sees trade surpluses as evidence of winning and deficits as evidence of losing. So, his administration is renegotiating NAFTA to reduce or erase the U.S. trade deficit with Mexico (we have a surplus with Canada). And it demanded a renegotiation of the Korea-US Free Trade Agreement reduce or erase the U.S. trade deficit with South Korea. The Koreans grudgingly acquiesced. STORMS IMPACT U.S. JOB MARKET; TRADE EXPECTED TO BOLSTER ECONOMY WASHINGTON (Reuters) – The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits fell more than expected last week, but the continued impact of Hurricanes Harvey and Irma on the data made it difficult to get a clear picture of the labor market. AS TRUMP PREPARES FOR VISIT TO ASIA AND CHINA’S XI, U.S. INCREASINGLY FINDS ITSELF BEHIND A WALL As Donald Trump prepares for his first trip to Asia as president early next month, including a meeting in Beijing with Chinese President Xi Jinping, it’s worth looking at the wall that he has been able to build, this one around the United States. IS DONALD TRUMP REALLY GOING TO DESTROY NAFTA? Donald Trump is a politician who rose to prominence based on his knack for crafting catchy and deep-cutting sound-bites. As president, however, his ability to comprehend complex public policy issues doesn’t appear to extend much beyond the range of a 140 character limit. U.S. BUSINESSES FEAR NAFTA DOOMED; MEXICO WARNS OF CONSEQUENCES MEXICO CITY/WASHINGTON (Reuters) – The most powerful U.S. business lobby accused the Trump administration on Tuesday of making “poison pill proposals” to sabotage talks aimed at modernizing NAFTA, as negotiators began gathering in Washington for fresh trade talks. TRADE DEFICITS ARE IRRELEVANT When George Allen was an NFL head coach in the 1970s, his philosophy was: “Winning isn’t everything; it’s the only thing.” President Trump shares that philosophy. He sees trade surpluses as evidence of winning and deficits as evidence of losing. So, his administration is renegotiating NAFTA to reduce or erase the U.S. trade deficit with Mexico (we have a surplus with Canada). And it demanded a renegotiation of the Korea-US Free Trade Agreement reduce or erase the U.S. trade deficit with South Korea. The Koreans grudgingly acquiesced. STORMS IMPACT U.S. JOB MARKET; TRADE EXPECTED TO BOLSTER ECONOMY WASHINGTON (Reuters) – The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits fell more than expected last week, but the continued impact of Hurricanes Harvey and Irma on the data made it difficult to get a clear picture of the labor market. TRUMP THREATENED TO KILL THE SOUTH KOREA TRADE DEAL, BUT NOW THE US HAS CHANGED ITS TONE The U.S. President Donald Trump’s threats to terminate the U.S. trade agreement with South Korea ended up spurring support for the deal — and now both parties are striking a conciliatory tone. WASHING MACHINE WARS: U.S. BACKS WHIRLPOOL IN TRADE FIGHT WITH SAMSUNG The U.S. International Trade Commission (ITC) voted 4-0 in Whirlpool’s (WHR) favor on Thursday, ruling that a “surge” of washing machines from Samsung (SSNLF) and LG (LPL) have “seriously injured” domestic manufacturers. U.S. TRADE DEFICIT SHRANK IN AUGUST AS EXPORTS ROSE WASHINGTON — Rising exports and falling imports shrank the United States’ trade deficit in goods and services to the lowest level in nearly a year, data released Thursday by the Commerce Department showed. TRUMP-THAILAND TALKS: WHAT TO EXPECT? You know those awkward dinner parties when the two people you didn’t invite are all anyone can talk about? Well, imagine for a moment the conversation between Thailand’s Prime Minister, Prayuth Chan-ocha, and the US President Donald Trump. It is likely to be dominated by two countries that have preoccupied President Trump’s brain space (and his social media feed) of late: North Korea and China. But there are other things on the agenda – trade and defence ties for instance are likely to be discussed as well. TOP US NAFTA NEGOTIATOR SEES NO PROBLEM WITH PACE OF TALKS The top U.S. negotiator at talks to modernize the NAFTA trade pact on Monday dismissed questions about why his team had so far failed to produce specific proposals on key issues, saying “I don’t see a problem.” Officials from the United States, Mexico and Canada are in Ottawa for the third of seven planned rounds of talks. The U.S. delegation has yet to unveil its precise position on several points, prompting concerns the process to update the 1994 pact could drag on beyond the scheduled end-December finish. LATIN AMERICA’S DELICATE DANCE WITH CHINA When Peru’s President Pedro Pablo Kuczynski welcomed his Bolivian counterpart Evo Morales for a bilateral summit in Lima earlier this month, a long-mooted interoceanic train was on the agenda once again. The idea is for the railway to run more than 2,000 miles from Brazil’s Atlantic coast, potentially cutting through the Amazon and over the Andes, to one of Peru’s Pacific ports. The megaproject would be a massive feat of engineering, comparable in scope and geostrategic purpose to the Panama Canal. IN TRUMP ERA, BOEING’S TRADE DISPUTE BOILS OVER INTO A ‘MULTICOUNTRY FEUD’ Boeing is no stranger to disputes with foreign competitors, but a rising tide of protectionism has turned its most recent trade disagreement into an international throw down. On Tuesday, the Commerce Department is expected to announce a decision on Boeing’s allegation that Bombardier, a Canadian jet maker, was able to sell new aircraft in the United States at unfairly low prices because of subsidies it received from the Canadian government. PRESIDENT TRUMP WANTS PROTECTIONIST MEASURES AGAINST CHINESE SOLAR POWER. THAT’S GOING TO HURT U.S. FIRMS. On Friday, the U.S. International Trade Commission, a federal body, ruled that U.S. solar manufacturers are being injured by solar product imports. This gives the Trump administration an opportunity to increase duties on imported solar equipment, which would raise the costs of solar energy for companies and households in the United States. HERE’S THE SCARIEST PART OF NAFTA, ACCORDING TO COMMERCE SECRETARY WILBUR ROSS Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross told CNBC on Friday that autos and auto parts are a key area in overhauling the 1994 North American Free Trade Agreement. The “scariest part” of NAFTA as it’s currently written is that autos and auto parts make up nearly all of the U.S. trade deficit with Mexico and Canada, Ross said on “Squawk Box. CHINESE CREDIT DOWNGRADE ‘NEGATIVE MOOD MUSIC’ AHEAD OF PARTY CONGRESS China’s long-term credit rating on Thursday received its second downgrade from a major credit agency this year – and its first from Standard & Poor’s Global Ratings in nearly 20 years – as analysts warned of elevated “economic and financial risks” in the world’s second-largest economy. S&P in a statement Thursday indicated China’s considerable credit growth in recent years had “contributed to strong real GDP growth and higher asset prices” but that “it has also diminished financial stability to some extent.” TRUMP TEAM READIES FOR NAFTA FIGHT OVER MAKING GOODS IN AMERICA As negotiators from Canada, Mexico and the United States head to Ottawa this weekend for a third round of North American Free Trade Agreement talks, the Trump administration is releasing data it says proves the playing field is tilted against American manufacturers. A Commerce Department report released on Friday contains data showing the United States is playing a diminished role in manufacturing products that are bought and sold around the continent. Meanwhile, countries outside of North America — like China — are capitalizing on Nafta’s weak rules and benefiting from the trade agreement, the report said. CHINA COMMERCE MINISTRY SAYS SOME COUNTRIES’ UNILATERALISM POSES CHALLENGE TO GLOBAL TRADE China’s commerce ministry, taking aim at the United States, said on Thursday that some countries’ unilateralism is an unprecedented challenge to global trade. The comment from Ministry of Commerce spokesman Gao Feng at a news conference was in response to a question about recent trade actions taken by the United States. AMERICA HOLDS THE WORLD TRADE ORGANISATION HOSTAGE TRADE EIGHT months into Donald Trump’s presidency, the rules-based system of global trade remains intact. Threats to impose broad tariffs have come to nothing. Some ominous investigations into whether imports into America are a national-security threat are on hold. Mr Trump looks less a hard man than a boy crying wolf. WTO SAYS GLOBAL TRADE REBOUNDING, PROTECTIONISM STILL A RISK Global trade is rebounding strongly but risks remain, the World Trade Organization said on Thursday, with commerce expected to grow by 3.6 percent in 2017, well above last year’s 1.3 percent. The forecast marks a sharp upward revision of the WTO’s April estimate, when it foresaw growth of 2.4 percent and in a range of 1.8-3.6 percent, due to a high level of political and economic uncertainty. MOST CANADIANS SAY WALK AWAY FROM NAFTA IF IT’S ‘A BAD DEAL’ A vast majority of Canadians say the government should ditch NAFTA if current renegotiations end in a “bad deal for Canadians and the environment.” In an EKOS poll carried out for the Council of Canadians, 77 per cent of respondents said Canada would be better off with no deal than a bad deal; 48 per cent strongly agreed. US TRADE ENVOY SAYS WTO DISPUTE SETTLEMENT IS ‘DEFICIENT’ The WTO dispute settlement system is “deficient” and has often ruled in favor of free trade that overlooks details of a trade agreement, U.S. trade envoy Robert Lighthizer said on Monday. Speaking at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, Lighthizer, a trade lawyer, made clear that the administration was poised to push for major changes to the global trade system during upcoming meetings of the Geneva-based trade body. WTO member countries will meet in Buenos Aires on Dec 10. EU CHAMBER WARNS CHINA: OPEN ECONOMY FASTER OR RISK BACKLASH A business group urged China on Tuesday to carry out promises to open its economy and warned that inaction might fuel a backlash against free trade amid mounting U.S. and European criticism. The European Union Chamber of Commerce said in a report that Beijing is backtracking in some areas, including by imposing new restrictions on food imports, express delivery and legal services. It proposed hundreds of possible changes to open the state-dominated economy wider or simplify rules in fields from cosmetics to medical devices. TRUMP TO PUNISH CHINA OUTSIDE WTO U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer said Monday that the Trump Administration is drawing up plans to punish China outside the World Trade Organization. Speaking at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington, Lighthizer said the government is looking for “other ways” to defend American companies and workers from the effects of China’s subsidized trade. PUSH FOR NAFTA OVERHAUL MAY FALL SHORT, U.S. NEGOTIATOR SAYS WASHINGTON — The top United States trade negotiator said Monday that it was unclear whether Canada, Mexico and the United States could reach a deal to overhaul the North American Free Trade Agreement within the ambitious timetable set by the Trump administration. ROSS: NORTH KOREA PROBLEM WON’T STOP U.S. FROM CRACKING DOWN ON CHINA TRADE Speaking at POLITICO’s Pro Policy Summit, Ross said resolving the nuclear missile problem is the administration’s “No. 1 priority.” “The primary responsibility of the president is to protect the American people, so that has to be the sine qua non,” Ross said. But, he added, there is “nothing logically inconsistent with that and having a trade policy that’s better economically for us.” NAFTA TALKS TARGET STUBBORNLY LOW MEXICAN WAGES Now, U.S. and Canadian trade officials and labor advocates want to use the Nafta renegotiation to prod Mexico into raising its wages. “Higher wages in Mexico are in the interests of Mexico and the U.S.,” economist Peter Navarro, a trade adviser to President Donald Trump, told The Wall Street Journal recently. “Without this adjustment Mexico will never have a robust middle class, and our middle class will wither if not die.” TRUMP THREATENS TO SCRAP NAFTA IN SUNDAY MORNING TWEET U.S. President Donald Trump renewed his threat to scrap NAFTA and ripped on trading partners Canada and Mexico in a tweet early on Sunday, days before the three countries were scheduled to hold a second round of negotiations on rewriting the 23-year-old agreement. “We are in the NAFTA (worst trade deal ever made) renegotiation process with Mexico & Canada. Both being very difficult, may have to terminate?” he wrote. U.S. GOODS TRADE DEFICIT WIDENS IN JULY; RETAIL INVENTORIES FALL The U.S. goods trade deficit increased in July as exports fell, suggesting that trade would make a modest contribution to economic growth in the third quarter. The Commerce Department said on Monday the goods trade gap increased 1.7 percent to $65.1 billion last month. Exports declined 1.3 percent, weighed down by an 8.0 percent tumble in shipments of motor vehicles. U.S. BEGINS NAFTA NEGOTIATIONS WITH HARSH WORDS The renegotiation of the North American Free Trade Agreement is off to a rocky start. The Trump administration lectured Canada and Mexico on the failures of the current agreement at an opening news conference Wednesday morning, while behind closed doors negotiators began to seek significant concessions from America’s neighbors. CHINA BANS NORTH KOREA IRON, LEAD, COAL IMPORTS AS PART OF U.N. SANCTIONS China announced a ban on imports of iron ore, iron, lead and coal from North Korea on Monday, increasing the economic pressure on the Pyongyang regime, as it moved to implement a package of sanctions put together by the U.N. Security Council. The ban will take effect from Tuesday, the Ministry of Commerce announced, although China will continue to clear goods that have already arrived in port until Sept. 5. MAYBE IT’S TIME TO TRADE WITH NORTH KOREA Let’s add a fourth option to the three options most often heard when the subject is North Korea and the nuclear threat it poses to the United States: Trade with North Korea. Or, I should say, rapidly increase what is now our limited trade with North Korea. TRUMP TO LAUNCH INVESTIGATION INTO CHINA TRADE VIOLATIONS The Trump administration will take steps Monday to launch an investigation into Chinese intellectual property violations that could result in severe trade penalties, a threat the United States could wield to pressure Beijing into improving its economic behavior and doing more to contain North Korea’s nuclear threat. The president plans to sign an executive memorandum Monday afternoon directing his top trade negotiator to determine whether to investigate China for harming intellectual property, innovation and technology, senior administration officials said in a conference call Saturday morning. USITC RULES TAIWAN FIBER EXPORTS HURT U.S.; PROBE TO CONTINUE The U.S. International Trade Commission (ITC) has made a preliminary decision that exports of Taiwanese and South Korea polyester fiber firms have caused damage to the polyester fiber industry in the U.S. because of their unfairly low prices. “There is a reasonable indication that a U.S. industry is materially injured by reason of imports of low melt polyester staple fiber from Korea and Taiwan that are allegedly sold in the United States at less than fair value,” the ITC said in a statement. FOOD IS AT THE CENTER OF US-UK TRADE CONCERNS President Trump has promised a “big, big” free trade agreement with the U.K. once that country leaves the European Union in 2019. The British cabinet is, however, split over the prospect. Some ministers believe that Britain should clinch a deal with the U.S. at any cost. But others fear that a free trade deal would lift the existing European ban on the importation of some controversial American farm products and that could undermine British food standards. BRITAIN SHOULDN’T ‘GO UP AGAINST’ U.S. IN TRADE TALKS The U.S. may not be the best country for Britain to start its post-Brexit trade agreements with, according to Adam Marshall, director general of the British Chambers of Commerce. “I wouldn’t want to go up against them, early on, when I’m just getting on my feet again as a country going into free trade agreements,” Marshall said in an interview on Bloomberg Television on Friday. “The U.S. trade representative is one of the best-oiled machines in the world when it comes to negotiating trade deals.” TRUMP EDGES CLOSER TO A TRADE WAR WITH CHINA, THANKS TO ALUMINUM FOIL The United States has decided to levy an import tax on shipments of aluminum foil from China, penalizing the country for what U.S. trade officials say are unfair subsidies of its products.It’s a decision that could add to mounting tensions between the world’s two biggest economies over trade, as the Trump administration considers a wide array of trade measures that would clamp on Chinese trade violations and the aluminum sector in particular. GET READY. NAFTA TALKS ARE COMING SOON Talks to renegotiate NAFTA — one of Trump’s chief campaign promises — begin in a week in Washington.Trump blames NAFTA for an exodus of manufacturing jobs to Mexico. He also credits his criticism of the free trade agreement as a key factor in his election. KORUS REDUX? This may seem like something you’ve heard before, but the administration is seeking to modernize an existing U.S. free trade agreement. This time, it’s the United States-Korea Free Trade Agreement, better known as KORUS. U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE ISSUES AFFIRMATIVE PRELIMINARY COUNTERVAILING DUTY DETERMINATION ON ALUMINUM FOIL FROM THE PEOPLE’S REPUBLIC OF CHINA The U.S. Today, U.S. Secretary of Commerce Wilbur Ross announced the affirmative preliminary determination in the countervailing duty (CVD) investigation of aluminum foil from the People’s Republic of China (China), preliminary finding that Chinese exporters of aluminum foil received countervailing subsidies 16.56 to 80.97 percent. The Commerce Department will instruct U.S. Customs and Border Protection to collect cash deposits from importers of aluminum foil from China based on these preliminary rates. U.S. TRADE COMMISSION NOW INVESTIGATING APPLE IN QUALCOMM PATENT DISPUTE The U.S. International Trade Commission is investigating Qualcomm’s claims that Apple is violating several of its patents related to mobile technologies in several of its iPhone models. Qualcomm is seeking a ban on imports of the iPhone models that allegedly infringe on its IP. Earlier this year, Apple sued Qualcomm for $1 billion, alleging that the company was collecting royalties on patents that it had “nothing to do with.” In April, Apple announced that it would no longer be paying Qualcomm any royalties as it pursued legal action against them. CHINA USES FORCED LABOUR TO EXPORT PRODUCTS TO UNITED STATES, SAYS REPORT China uses forced labour to export products to United States, says report. The report titled ‘US Exposure to Forced Labour Exports from China: Developments since the US Trade Facilitation and Trade Enforcement Act of 2015’ states that the value of the Chinese forced labour exports to the US is unknown as China’s forced labour industry has long been opaque. CHINA ALUMINUM FOIL MAKERS TO CHALLENGE U.S DUMPING DUTIES: SOURCES China’s top aluminum foil producers are preparing a legal defense challenging a preliminary U.S. ruling on Wednesday that would impose hefty penalties on imports from the world’s top producers, two sources familiar with the matter said. Loften Aluminum, China’s top foil exporter to the United States, is joining 11 other firms to fight the ruling, the first such case since the inauguration of U.S. President Donald Trump, an official at the company said on condition of anonymity. RURAL AMERICA FEELS THE EFFECTS OF TRUMP’S TRADE POLICIES There was a fascinating piece in Politico yesterday on the country’s agricultural sector, which has struggled for a while, but which saw an exciting new opportunity take shape last year. The Trans-Pacific Partnership (or TPP) was seen as “a lifeline,” offering Rural America a chance to reach millions of new, international customers. Donald Trump, a fierce opponent of the trade pact for reasons he’s never been able to explain in any detail, was quick to close that window. Now America’s rural exporters are watching other countries reach deals on their own, leaving the United States on the sidelines. TRUMP HAS NOT BEEN ‘SMART ENOUGH’ ON CHINA TRADE POLICIES, ANALYST SAYS President Donald Trump’s latest plan to take action against China over trade issues has some watchers worried about a trade war. Others say Trump is on the right track in his efforts to retaliate against the United States’ largest trading partner for alleged violations. TRUMP’S STALLED TRADE AGENDA LEAVES INDUSTRIES IN THE LURCH Donald J. Trump promised Americans that they would be exhausted from “winning” on trade under his presidency. But nearly seven months after Mr. Trump took office, the industries he vowed to protect have become tired of something else: waiting.After beginning his presidency with a bang by withdrawing from the Trans-Pacific Partnership pact in January, Mr. Trump has accomplished little else of significance when it comes to reorienting deals with other countries. Instead, his administration has been struggling to work through the complicated rules that dictate international commerce. All the while, they are learning that bold campaign promises are hard to keep when many voices advocate different plans. CHINA’S INTERNATIONAL TRADE GROWS LESS THAN EXPECTED, SURPLUS WITH US DIPS China on Tuesday reported July exports were up 7.2 percent in dollar terms, while imports were up 11.0 percent in dollar terms. Both were lower than expected. Analysts polled by Reuters expected a 10.9 percent rise in Chinese exports in July from a year ago in dollar terms. July imports were forecast to increase 16.6 percent in dollar terms. TRUMP ADMINISTRATION’S AFRICA POLICY IN FOCUS AT AGOA TRADE TALKS With the Trump administration’s trade agenda focused on reining in China and renegotiating the North American Free Trade agreement, Africa has barely appeared on the radar screen.That could change this week as President Donald Trump’s top trade negotiator and other senior U.S. officials head to the West African nation of Togo to review a Clinton-era free trade pact with sub-Saharan Africa, in the administration’s first high-level delegation to visit the region. TRUMP’S TRADE PULLOUT ROILS RURAL AMERICA EAGLE GROVE, Iowa — On a cloud-swept landscape dotted with grain elevators, a meat producer called Prestage Farms is building a 700,000-square-foot processing plant. The gleaming new factory is both the great hope of Wright County, which voted by a 2-1 margin for Donald Trump, and the victim of one of Trump’s first policy moves, his decision to pull out of the Trans-Pacific Partnership. GLOBALIZATION THRIVES IN ASIA AS EXPORT REVIVAL BUOYS GROWTH For all the talk of globalization’s retreat amid the mercantilist rhetoric of Donald Trump, it’s proving to be a very different story in Asia. Exports are resurgent, governments are pursuing free-trade deals, and rather than bringing jobs back home, American automakers are planning new facilities in China. That early-2017 angst over potential for a trade war is now turning into recognition there’s been something of a trade bonanza as the global economy’s strongest synchronized upswing in seven years drives demand for Asian-made goods. PRESIDENT TRUMP’S TRADE POLICY IS VALID AT ITS CORE In May 2017 the U.S. trade balance was -$46.5 billion, meaning that amount was subtracted from U.S. GDP in May of 2017. The unfavorable trade balance, as identified by President Trump, has been caused largely by China and Mexico. U.S. TRADE DEFICIT NARROWS AS EXPORTS HIT 2-1/2-YEAR HIGH The U.S. trade deficit fell sharply in June as exports increased to their highest level in 2-1/2 years, a positive development for the economy.The Commerce Department said on Friday the trade gap decreased 5.9 percent to $43.6 billion, the lowest level since October 2016. May’s trade deficit was revised slightly down to $46.4 billion from the previously reported $46.5 billion. U.S. BUSINESSES FEAR TRUMP MISHANDLING OF CHINA IP, TRADE PROBE In the latest delay of a White House trade move, a planned Friday announcement of President Donald Trump’s trade action against China has been postponed, two people familiar with the matter said. Sources previously told POLITICO Trump was slated to hold an event at the White House on Friday in which he would direct U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer to open an investigation under Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974 over what the administration views as Chinese violations of U.S. intellectual property rights and forced technology transfer. TRUMP DELAYS ANNOUNCEMENT OF TRADE ACTION AGAINST CHINA In the latest delay of a White House trade move, a planned Friday announcement of President Donald Trump’s trade action against China has been postponed, two people familiar with the matter said. Sources previously told POLITICO Trump was slated to hold an event at the White House on Friday in which he would direct U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer to open an investigation under Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974 over what the administration views as Chinese violations of U.S. intellectual property rights and forced technology transfer. USTR OFFICIALLY STARTS REEXAMINATION OF FTA WITH SOUTH KOREA The Office of the U.S. Trade Representative announced recently it would begin a reexamination of the U.S.-Korea Free Trade Agreement by formally notifying South Korea the United States will call a special joint committee meeting to discuss the trade agreement and consider changes.Per the KORUS agreement, the joint committee is mandated to meet within 30 days, but U.S. trade promotion authority law also requires 90 days of notice to the Congress of the administration’s intent to renegotiate, which has not yet happened. TRUMP GETTING READY TO GO AFTER CHINA ON TRADE His administration is moving closer to launching an investigation into whether Chinese trade practices are unfair, a senior administration official said. That step could ratchet up tensions between the world’s two largest economies.The investigation, which could result in tariffs or other measures, will include the issue of the theft of American intellectual property, the official said. The potential probe, which could be announced as soon as this week, was first reported by digital news service Axios. IN RARE BIPARTISAN DISPLAY,DEMOCRATS BACK TRUMP ON CHINA TRADE PROBE Three top Democratic senators, in a rare show of bipartisanship, on Wednesday urged U.S. President Donald Trump to stand up to China as he prepares to launch an inquiry into Beijing’s intellectual property and trade practices in coming days.Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer pressed the Republican president to skip the investigation and go straight to trade action against China. RUSSIA SAYS NEW U.S. SANCTIONS AMOUNT TO DECLARING ‘TRADE WAR’ Russian officials and lawmakers on Wednesday vented their frustration with U.S. President Donald Trump’s decision to sign a bill imposing new sanctions on Russia, warning that it will erode global stability and fuel conflicts. In an emotional Facebook post, Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev described the move as a humiliating defeat for Trump. The Russian Foreign Ministry warned of possible new retaliatory measures. SENATE DEMOCRATS SEEK TO OUTDO TRUMP ON TRADE Senate Democrats on Wednesday began an effort to outdo President Trump on a signature issue: protecting American workers from foreign competition. Democrats, outflanked by Mr. Trump in the 2016 presidential campaign, are seeking to recapture the loyalty of voters convinced that globalization is eroding their fortunes and prospects. MANUFACTURERS ARE SPLIT ON DEMOCRATS’ GET-TOUGH TRADE PLAN U.S. manufacturers gave mixed reviews Wednesday to Democrats’ new bare-knuckled trade proposals that aim to protect American workers and crack down on businesses that move overseas. Among other ideas, the blueprint would impose a 35% tax on companies that move their headquarters abroad and make it easier to penalize China for manipulating its currency to gain a trade advantage. FREE-TRADE IS A TWO-WAY STREET The Trump administration recently celebrated the workers and businesses that make this country great. The purpose of “Made in America Week” was to recognize that, when given a fair chance to compete, Americans can make and sell some of the best, most innovative products in the world. TRUMP ADMINISTRATION IS SAID TO OPEN BROAD INQUIRY INTO CHINA’S TRADE PRACTICES TThe White House is preparing to open a broad investigation into China’s trade practices, according to people with knowledge of the Trump administration’s plans, amid growing worries in the United States over a Chinese government-led effort to make the country a global leader in microchips, electric cars and other crucial technologies of the future.The move, which could come in the next several days, signals a shift by the administration away from its emphasis on greater cooperation between Washington and Beijing, in part because administration officials have become frustrated by China’s reluctance to confront North Korea over its nuclear and ballistic missile programs. CANADA SENDS NEW DIPLOMATS TO THE U.S. FOR NAFTA TALKS The Trudeau government is beefing up its team in the United States as it prepares a full court press to defend Canada’s interests in the looming renegotiation of the North American Free Trade Agreement.Sources say the government is creating a new position of deputy ambassador to the U.S. and is filling it with one of this country’s foremost trade experts: Kirsten Hillman. SENATE DEMOCRATS PUSH TRADE AS LATEST POLICY PLATFORM As the Senate’s August recess approaches, Democrats are looking ahead to the next policy item on their agenda — trade.On Wednesday morning, Senate Democrats will roll out their latest trade policy proposals. Among them are the creation of the American Jobs Security Council — an entity that can veto proposed foreign purchases of U.S. companies — along with an independent trade prosecutor to go after foreign countries so companies don’t need to rely on the World Trade Organization, and principles for any renegotiation of the controversial North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). U.S. SAYS IT WILL FIGHT ‘DISTORTIONS’ CAUSED BY CHINA’S ECONOMY The U.S. said it will combat the “distortions” to the world economy created by China’s economic system, especially in markets for steel and aluminum.In a report to Congress, the U.S. Trade Representative’s office said its primary goal is to defend the government’s ability to impose duties on China for dumping goods at artificially low prices or unfairly subsidizing Chinese firms. China’s economic system, which doesn’t operate based on market principles, is hurting American workers and industries, USTR said a report on its enforcement priorities to the Senate Finance and House Ways and Means committees. TRUMP’S TOP TRADE NOMINEES HAVE STRONG LINKS TO U.S. BEEF AND GROWTH HORMONE LOBBIES Donald Trump’s nominee to be the U.S. chief agricultural trade negotiator previously called for the U.S. to walk away from trade talks with the EU if it refused to drop its ban on beef reared with antibiotics and growth supplements, Energydesk can reveal.The news could have implications for the UK’s attempts to strike a post-Brexit trade deal with the U.S., with reports suggesting the U.S. agricultural sector wants to weaken UK food standards—including the ban on growth hormones—to help boost its meat exports. ‘HORRIBLE DEAL’ OR ‘GOLD STANDARD’: THE KOREA-U.S. TRADE PACT For President Donald Trump, the free trade agreement with South Korea is a “job killer” — a “horrible deal” that’s costing the U.S. $40 billion a year.The architects of the deal on both sides disagree with Trump’s characterization of the deal, which was heralded as a “gold standard” for FTAs when it came into force in 2012, and still has strong advocates in the American business community as well as in Korea. CABINET DINNER TO LAUNCH SEVEN ROUNDS OF NAFTA TALKS A high-level dinner of cabinet members from Canada, the U.S. and Mexico will mark the start of NAFTA negotiations this month, followed by a seven-course diet of negotiating rounds crammed in rapid succession. As their negotiating teams arrive in Washington for the talks starting Aug. 16, sources say the cabinet members leading the process, including Canada’s Foreign Affairs Minister Chrystia Freeland, will hold a dinner to mark the occasion. SOUTH KOREA NAMES NEW TRADE MINISTER AMID U.S. PUSH TO AMEND FTA South Korean President Moon Jae-in on Sunday appointed a former top envoy who had negotiated a free trade agreement with the United States as his new minister for trade, at a time when Washington is seeking to amend the deal.Kim Hyun-chong, a U.S.-trained lawyer, was instrumental in framing South Korea’s negotiating position on the deal for then president Roh Moo-hyun, who surprised the country by choosing to initiate talks for the trade agreement. U.S. HOPES NAFTA UPDATE AVOIDS PITTING FARMS AGAINST MANUFACTURERS U.S. Agriculture Secretary Sonny Perdue said on Friday he hoped farm business with Mexico would not suffer due to President Donald Trump’s drive to get a better deal for manufacturers. Speaking before talks between the United States, Mexico and Canada to revamp the 23-year-old North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), which will begin on Aug. 16 in Washington, Perdue said NAFTA had caused problems for some sectors, but not others. CHINA SAYS NO LINK BETWEEN NORTH KOREA AND CHINA-U.S. TRADE There is no link between North Korea’s nuclear program and China-U.S. trade, a senior Chinese official said on Monday, after U.S. President Donald Trump said China had done nothing for the United States on North Korea.Trump, in tweets on Saturday, said America’s “foolish past leaders” had allowed China to make billions of dollars a year in trade and that he was disappointed in Beijing for not solving the problem. PERDUE: FARM LABOR FIX NOT LIKELY TO SURFACE IN NAFTA TALKS Farms and ranches throughout the country won’t see their labor shortages solved by a renegotiation of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA).In a call with reporters while visiting Mexico ahead of the trade talks, U.S. Agriculture Secretary Sonny Perdue said labor issues likely wouldn’t be addressed during formal negotiations among the United States, Mexico and Canada, set to begin August 16th. TRADE POLICY FORUM MEETING BETWEEN INDIA, US UNLIKELY TO BE HELD THIS YEAR In what may contribute to growing uncertainty in trade ties between India and the US, the annual bilateral trade policy forum (TPF) meeting between the two countries is unlikely to be held this year, amid a growing feeling in the US that such high-level talks have not delivered intended results.Established in 2005, TPF seeks to resolve outstanding bilateral issues between the two countries and promote trade and investment through focused discussions under various working groups such as on agriculture, tariff and non-tariff barriers, services, investment and innovation. SCRAPPED CANADA-U.S. BORDER TAX PLAN SHOWS TRUMP’S LISTENING, LIBERALS SUGGEST Canadian officials are praising a U.S. decision to drop a contentious border tax proposal, suggesting its death signals an open-mindedness in the Trump administration on open borders and free trade.Canada is pleased to see the decision, Foreign Affairs Minister Chrystia Freeland said Thursday, noting on Twitter that both economies prosper together. VALUE OF U.S. DEALS IN CHINA SINKS ON RISING TRADE TENSIONS U.S. corporate acquisitions in China collapsed to their lowest level for 14 years in the first half of this year, as trade tensions between the two countries and uncertainty about Chinese government regulations took a toll on deal making.The value of mergers and acquisitions involving American companies in China dropped 32 percent to just $523 million in the six months to June 30 from $771 million in the same period last year, and were down 87 percent from $4 billion in the first six months of 2015, according to Thomson Reuters data. FACING TRADE WAR WITH TRUMP, EUROPE REDISCOVERS ITS SWAGGER If U.S. President Donald Trump really wants a trade war, Brussels is more than happy to give him one.Trump could hardly have chosen a worse moment to threaten to slap tariffs on the European steel industry. COMMERCE SECRETARY SAYS ‘COMPLEXITY’ HAS STALLED TRUMP STEEL PROTECTION PLAN President Donald Trump’s pledge to quickly provide big import protection to U.S. steelmakers has gotten bogged down in “complexity,” with no clear deadline for completion, Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross told Congress on Thursday, according to lawmakers who attended the briefing.”The secretary used the word ‘complexity’ more than any other word,” Michigan Democratic Rep. Sander Levin told reporters. US-MEXICO BORDER MAYORS WORRY ABOUT NAFTA MAKEOVER The first meeting of the U.S.-Mexico Border Mayors Association since Donald Trump became president of the United States was marked Thursday by worries that more limits on trade could stifle economic growth in a region of 12 million people stretching from the Pacific Ocean to the Gulf of Mexico.The 17 city leaders paid little attention to Trump’s plans to build a “big, beautiful wall” separating the two countries and to add 5,000 Border Patrol agents, focusing instead on how the U.S., Mexico and Canada are preparing to overhaul the 23-year-old North American Free Trade Agreement, one of Trump’s favorite punching bags. FOWL MATTERS: WILL BRITAIN REALLY REJECT U.S. TRADE DEAL OVER CHICKENS? Speaking to BBC Radio Wednesday morning, the U.K.’s secretary for the environment, food, and rural affairs, Michael Gove, said Britain would not accept a deal with the U.S. that included chickens treated with chlorine.”We need to be in a position as we leave the European Union to be leaders in environmental and in animal welfare standards,” said Gove. TRUMP ADMINISTRATION STEPS IN ON FISHING LIMITS, AND THE IMPLICATIONS COULD RIPPLE The Trump administration, in an unprecedented decision, has rejected the recommendation of a commission that has long overseen fishing issues along the East Coast, raising deep concerns about political meddling in the ongoing preservation of fragile stocks from Maine to Florida. More specifically, the decision by Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross has stirred worries about the consequences for summer flounder, one of the most fished species in the Northeast. The decline of summer flounder could have a wider impact across the region’s marine ecosystem. AMID RESISTANCE, TRUMP BACKS AWAY FROM CONTROVERSIAL TRADE PLAN President Trump said Tuesday that his administration is delaying a long-awaited verdict on whether to restrict imports of foreign steel, again punting on a decision that has divided U.S. industries and his own administration, as well as strained ties with some of the country’s closest allies and trading partners.“[W]e’re waiting till we get everything finished up between health care and taxes and maybe even infrastructure,” the president told the Wall Street Journal. USTR LIGHTHIZER: TRUMP CHALLENGING CHINA’S INDUSTRIAL POLICIES – RADIO INTERVIEW The top U.S. trade negotiator said late on Tuesday that President Donald Trump is determined to challenge China’s use of unfair subsidies and “non-economic” industrial policy to build up export industries that are costing American jobs. U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer, in a rare media interview, said that the Trump administration would work to hold China’s practices to the rules of the World Trade Organization, an organization that he has criticized for being ineffective in enforcing fair trade. US-UK TRADE TALKS OVERSHADOWED BY CHLORINATED CHICKEN Hopes of securing a post-Brexit U.S.-U.K. trade deal have come under threat in the first day of talks amid concerns over chlorinated chicken imports.Britain’s International Trade Secretary Liam Fox has insisted that the issue of poultry imports is “a detail of the very end stage of one sector” but British campaigners insist that a proposed bilateral trade deal with the U.S. would lower British food standards. YOU MAY SOON BE ABLE TO TRADE OPTIONS ON BITCOIN, ETHEREUM An image of Bitcoin and US currencies is displayed on a screen as delegates listen to a panel of speakers during the Interpol World Congress in Singapore on July 4, 2017. Roslan Rahman | AFP | Getty Images The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission announced Monday it unanimously approved digital currency-trading platform LedgerX for clearing derivatives.LedgerX initially plans to clear bitcoin options, the release said. QUALCOMM ACCUSES TECH GROUP OF ‘MISDIRECTING’ TRADE REGULATORS Qualcomm Inc (QCOM.O) fired back in its case against Apple Inc (AAPL.O) on Monday, accusing its critics of waging a “coordinated effort aimed at misdirecting” trade regulators. Earlier this month, Qualcomm filed a complaint with the U.S. International Trade Commission seeking to ban iPhones that use chips “other than those supplied by Qualcomm affiliates.” B.C. PREMIER HORGAN TO MEET WITH U.S. COMMERCE SECRETARY OVER SOFTWOOD LUMBER B.C. Premier John Horgan will meet with the U.S. Secretary of Commerce when he heads to Washington this week to make a case for a deal to resolve the softwood-lumber dispute, which threatens the province’s single-largest export to the United States.The Commerce Department confirmed that Mr. Horgan will meet with Wilbur Ross, who was appointed to U.S. President Donald Trump’s cabinet earlier this year. Mr. Horgan’s office did not say who else the Premier will meet while he’s in Washington. U.S. NAFTA PROPOSALS POSITIVE FOR MEXICO DEBT, MOODY’S SAYS U.S. trade representatives’ proposals to update the North American Free Trade Agreement point to the possibility of increased trade flows between Mexico and the United States, Moody’s Investors Service says in a fresh analysis.With the first round of Nafta negotiations to begin Aug. 16, and clarity last week from the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR) on where things are headed, here are excerpts from a report authored by Moody’s Jaime Reusche. HERE’S WHAT COULD COME OUT OF THE UK TRADE SECRETARY’S MEETING WITH WILBUR ROSS Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross is to welcome British Trade Secretary Liam Fox on Monday to begin discussions for a new trade deal between the two countries. The pair will be joined by U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer for the two-day talks that aim to lay out a continuity agreement allowing businesses from the two countries to continue trading after Brexit. BRITISH BUSINESS CHIEF WARNS AGAINST SWIFT US TRADE DEAL A headlong rush into a “politically attractive” trade deal with the US risks exposing British companies to hostile takeovers and handing American firms the upper hand, one of Britain’s leading business figures has warned. THIS OBSCURE NAFTA CHAPTER COULD BE CANADA’S DEAL-BREAKER AGAIN On Oct. 1, 1987, days before the U.S. and Canada signed their biggest-ever trade deal, then-Prime Minister Brian Mulroney shocked the Americans by walking away from the negotiating table. WHY A U.K. TRADE DEAL WILL BE HARDER THAN TRUMP THINKS Britain and the United States will kick off informal talks on a trade deal when U.K. officials visit Washington Monday. President Trump has said that he expects a “very big” and “very powerful” deal that’s good for both countries to be reached “very, very quickly.” FINANCE, FARMING ARE FOCUS OF U.K.-U.S. TRADE TALKS, FOX SAYS Removing commercial barriers with the U.S. could generate an additional 40 billion pounds ($52 billion) in trade with the U.K. by 2030, Trade Secretary Liam Fox said Sunday as he warned that reaching a deal won’t be easy. CHINA SAYS U.S. TALKS COVERED JOINT EFFORTS ON EXCESS STEEL CAPACITY eeking a more positive spin on U.S.-China economic talks viewed as ending in discord, China said on Thursday that the two sides agreed to “active and effective measures” to reduce global excess steel production capacity.The statement issued a day after the talks by the Chinese embassy in Washington did not elaborate on the measures discussed by U.S. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross and Chinese Commerce Minister Zhong Shan on Wednesday. TRUMP’S NAFTA COULD BE BIG WIN FOR AMAZON, E-COMMERCE The Trump administration this week published a list of goals for the upcoming renegotiation of NAFTA, the free trade agreement between the United States, Canada and Mexico. There are no guarantees, but experts say Trump’s trade vision could boost e-commerce sites like Amazon (AMZN, Tech30) and eBay (EBAY) — helping create American jobs and closing the trade deficit with Mexico. TRUMP’S MODEST PROPOSAL FOR A NAFTA REVAMP Donald Trump has gone squishy by stages on the North American Free Trade Agreement, which he once called “the worst trade deal maybe ever signed anywhere.” In April, aides persuaded him not to abrogate the 23-year-old trade pact with Canada and Mexico. On July 17, moderates scored another victory: The Office of the U.S. Trade Representative released objectives for renegotiating Nafta that aim to tune it up, not gut it. TRUMP ADMINISTRATION’S NAFTA DEMANDS MAKE SENSE: UNION PACIFIC CEO The list of priorities U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer released this week for the renegotiation of NAFTA with Mexico and Canada is reasonable and in line with what the Trump administration has promised to focus on, the head of America’s largest railroad said on Thursday.”It was a very reasonable document,” Union Pacific Corp Chief Executive Lance Fritz said in an interview about a list of priorities released this week by Lighthizer. FIVE KEY NAFTA BATTLEGROUNDS TO WATCH WHEN NEGOTIATIONS GET UNDERWAY U.S.-initiated negotiations to overhaul the North American Free Trade Agreement are bound to be long and hard. Canadian officials maintain that Mexico is the real target of President Donald Trump’s determination to renegotiate what he considers to be a bad deal for America. EXCLUSIVE: U.S., CANADA, MEXICO AGREE ON FAST-PACED NAFTA TALKS – SOURCES U.S., Mexican and Canadian officials have agreed to an aggressive timetable to renegotiate the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), sources said, aiming to conclude early next year to avoid Mexico’s 2018 presidential elections.The plan is to hold seven rounds of talks at three-week intervals, according to two Mexican officials who asked not to be identified because of the sensitivity of the issue. CORPORATE LOBBYING HELPED DERAIL BORDER TAX -SENIOR U.S. REPUBLICAN An aggressive corporate lobbying effort to derail a Republican-backed border tax has forced lawmakers working on tax reform to seek alternatives, Kevin Brady, chairman of the tax-writing U.S. House Ways and Means Committee, said on Wednesday.The proposed border adjustment tax on U.S. companies that move jobs abroad and import products back into the U.S. market was meant to be a linchpin of a Republican tax overhaul in the House of Representatives. WHEN WILL THE OTHER SHOE DROP IN U.S.-CHINA ECONOMIC RELATIONS After an unexpectedly amicable start to U.S.-China relations under President Trump, including high-level economic talks Wednesday, many are wondering when the other shoe will drop.Trump early on was preoccupied with the North American Free Trade Agreement and then on trade rivals such as Germany, largely giving China, the biggest U.S. trading partner, a pass. U.S. STEEL TARIFFS LIKELY TO TRIGGER SWIFT EU ‘SAFEGUARD’ After an unexpectedly amicable start to U.S.-China relations under President Trump, including high-level economic talks Wednesday, many are wondering when the other shoe will drop.Trump early on was preoccupied with the North American Free Trade Agreement and then on trade rivals such as Germany, largely giving China, the biggest U.S. trading partner, a pass. TRADE TALKS FIZZLE AS CHINA REBUFFS KEY TRUMP TEAM DEMAND U.S. officials fell short of securing ambitious gains in trade with China in a meeting Wednesday and news conferences planned to cap off the event were canceled as the two countries wrapped up 100 days of trade talks.The United States unsuccessfully pressed China to make a substantial commitment to cut its steel production, according to people with knowledge of the matter, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to comment on private discussions. U.S., CHINA SIDESTEP DISCORD TO FOCUS ON MORE BALANCED TRADE U.S. and Chinese economic chiefs sidestepped their differences over North Korea and steel imports ahead of a high-level forum in which the Trump administration is seeking clear from China to open its markets. “There remains serious imbalances which we must work to rectify,” Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross said Tuesday in Washington at an event organized by the U.S.-China Business Council, a nonprofit group representing more than 200 American companies that do business in China. “It is time to re-balance our trade and investment relationship in a more fair, equitable and reciprocal direction.” U.S. MAKES LOWER TRADE DEFICIT TOP PRIORITY IN NAFTA TALKS WASHINGTON (Reuters) – The United States on Monday launched the first salvo in the renegotiation of the 23-year-old North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), saying its top priority for the talks was shrinking the U.S. trade deficit with Canada and Mexico. US-CHINA TRADE RIFTS RESURFACE EVEN AFTER FRIENDLY SUMMIT Cake and conversation, it seems, can go only so far to mend longstanding economic rifts between the United States and China. Three months after President Donald Trump and his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping, shared chocolate cake at an amiable summit in Florida, tensions between the world’s two biggest economies are flaring again. U.S. AND CHINESE EXECUTIVES TO MEET ON NATIONS’ ECONOMIC RELATIONS Leaders of major United States companies with deep ties to China will meet on Tuesday with their Chinese counterparts to try to ease the increasingly rocky economic relationship between the countries. On Tuesday, Wilbur L. Ross, the secretary of commerce, will host a daylong meeting in Washington with more than 20 business leaders from the United States and China. TRUMP’S NAFTA GOALS DRAW FROM TPP, CAMPAIGN PLEDGES The Trump administration today released long-awaited goals for renegotiating NAFTA, borrowing heavily from the discarded Trans-Pacific Partnership agreement and putting a strong emphasis on reducing the bilateral trade deficits with Canada and Mexico. “Too many Americans have been hurt by closed factories, exported jobs, and broken political promises,” U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer said in a statement released along with the goals. “Under President [Donald] Trump’s leadership, USTR will negotiate a fair deal.” WHITE HOUSE UNDER PRESSURE TO DROP GARRETT AS EX-IM BANK NOMINEE President Donald Trump is standing behind former Rep. Scott Garrett, his choice to head the Export-Import Bank, amid escalating pressure from business groups to pull the plug on the nomination. “Scott Garrett is imminently [sic] qualified to lead the Ex-Im Bank,” White House spokeswoman Natalie Strom said in a statement to POLITICO. “The President stands behind his nomination and is looking forward to his confirmation.” U.S. MAKES LOWERING THE TRADE DEFICIT A TOP PRIORITY IN NAFTA TALKS The United States on Monday launched the first salvo in the renegotiation of the 23-year-old North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), saying its top priority for the talks was shrinking the U.S. trade deficit with Canada and Mexico. In a much-anticipated document sent to lawmakers, U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer said he would seek to reduce the trade imbalance by improving access for U.S. goods exported to Canada and Mexico under the three-nation pact. CHINA’S STEEL, ALUMINUM OUTPUT AT RECORD AS U.S. MULLS PENALTIES BEIJING/MELBOURNE (Reuters) – China churned out record amounts of steel and aluminum in June as producers rushed to cash-in on rallying prices in the wake of a drive by Beijing to crack down on output of low-grade metal. That could fuel concerns the world’s top steel producer will export more metal, stoking global oversupply and fanning tensions with the United States after it accused the nation of flooding international markets with cheap aluminum and steel. TRUMP’S TEAM IS READY FOR A TRADE WAR OVER STEEL The Trump administration expects other countries to retaliate against its planned restrictions on steel imports, but Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross told lawmakers the move could be a necessary step to draw countries like China into new negotiations. IT’S SHOW TIME: TRUMP TO REVEAL HIS HOPES FOR NAFTA WASHINGTON — After campaigning and complaining about NAFTA for two years, Donald Trump is about to start doing some explaining: the U.S. president is poised to release a list as early as today revealing how he wants to change the deal. American law requires that the administration publish a list of its objectives entering trade negotiations. U.S.-CHINA TRADE TALKS SPUTTERING AT 100-DAY DEADLINE SHANGHAI/BEIJING (Reuters) – Bilateral talks aimed at reducing the U.S. trade deficit with China have yielded some initial deals, but U.S. firms say much more needs to be done as a deadline for a 100-day action plan expires on Sunday. The negotiations, which began in April, have reopened China’s market to U.S. beef after 14 years and prompted Chinese pledges to buy U.S. liquefied natural gas. American firms have also been given access to some parts of China’s financial services sector. U.S. FARM LOBBY TURNS UP HEAT ON TRUMP TEAM AS NAFTA TALKS NEAR With talks to renegotiate the NAFTA trade pact just weeks away, U.S. farm groups and lawmakers from rural states are intensifying lobbying of President Donald Trump’s administration with one central message: leave farming out of it. Trump blames the North American Free Trade Agreement – the “worst trade deal ever” in his words – for millions of lost manufacturing jobs and promises to tilt it in America’s favor. MEXICO INDUSTRY EYES NAFTA CHANGES TO FIND COMMON GROUND WITH TRUMP Mexican industry is exploring revising trade rules to ensure U.S. workers benefit from a renegotiated North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) to address head-on U.S. President Donald Trump’s biggest beef with the treaty. With talks due to start next month between the United States, Mexico and Canada, Mexican officials have stressed the need to craft a new deal that would strengthen the region against competitors, particularly in Asia. TRUMP TO GET A RANGE OF OPTIONS TO CURB STEEL IMPORTS: SENATORS BUENOS AIRES (Reuters) -U.S. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross said on Thursday he will present to President Donald Trump a range of options to restrict steel imports on national security grounds, according to senators who met with Ross. Senator Sherrod Brown said that Ross “pretty much committed” to announcing these options next week as part of Commerce’s review of whether steel imports are threatening U.S. national security under a 1962 trade law. U.S. PLANS TALKS SOON TO REVAMP SOUTH KOREA TRADE DEAL, SOURCES SAY BUENOS AIRES (Reuters) – President Donald Trump’s administration notified South Korea that the U.S. wants to revise the trade deal between the two nations, setting the stage for talks to begin within a month. U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer requested a special session between the countries to discuss possible “amendments and modifications,” he said in a letter on Wednesday to South Korean Trade Minister Joo Hyung-hwan. TARIFF FIGHT ROILS ARGENTINA’S SHALE PATCH AS MACRI OPENS TRADE BUENOS AIRES (Reuters) – Argentina needs oil rigs to develop its vast shale oil and gas resources. The United States has plenty of idle equipment laying around after its own unconventional drilling boom cooled. But moving that machinery from the plains of Texas to the windswept Patagonian desert is proving complex and costly for global oil majors who say Argentina’s protectionist past is slowing efforts to spark its own shale revolution. . HOW FREE TRADE CAN MAKE YOU FAT The North American Free Trade Agreement may have dramatically changed the Canadian diet by boosting consumption of high-fructose corn syrup, a new study suggests. CHINA ENVOY SAYS NORTH KOREA TRADE GROWTH PICTURE ‘DISTORTED’ China’s ambassador to the United States has said reports of trade growth between his country and North Korea, in spite of international efforts to press Pyongyang to give up its nuclear and missile programs, give “a distorted picture.” DONALD TRUMP PUTS US IN A CLUB OF ONE It wasn’t quite the G19 summit, but President Donald Trump’s approach to foreign affairs is severely straining global cohesion on key issues like climate change and free trade, exchanging an aggressive, traditional American leadership role for isolation in a club of one. Don’t expect him to apologize, though. UK-U.S. TRADE DEAL WILL NOT MAKE UP FOR LEAVING THE EU: MINISTER A post-Brexit trade deal with the United States would not be enough to make up for leaving the European Union, British justice minister David Lidington said on Sunday, tempering Prime Minister Theresa May’s enthusiasm about the U.S. offer. May had warmly welcomed assurances on Saturday by U.S. President Donald Trump that a “very powerful” trade deal with Britain would be reached “very, very quickly” after Britain leaves the EU. TRUMP HAILS G-20 ‘SUCCESS.’ OTHERS SEE POLITICAL CHAOS AND AMERICAN DECLINE. The fallout of Trump’s first face-to-face meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin was still being measured on Sunday. The one tangible outcome of the meeting was a limited cease-fire in southern Syria (more on that later in the newsletter), which swung into effect on Sunday. THE EU-JAPAN TRADE DEAL IS THE WAKE-UP CALL DONALD TRUMP NEEDS Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe made an unscheduled stop in Brussels Thursday on his way to the G20 Summit in Hamburg, Germany. There, he and European Council President Donald Tusk proudly announce d the conclusion of a new EU-Japan trade deal. CHINA HITS BACK ON TRUMP N KOREA TRADE CLAIM It follows a tweet from Donald Trump that highlighted an “almost 40%” rise in bilateral trade between the two nations in the first quarter of 2017. China didn’t dispute that number, but state media suggested the president’s comment was unfair and selective. AS E.U. AND JAPAN STRENGTHEN TRADE TIES, U.S. RISKS LOSING ITS VOICE LONDON — In the master plan advanced by President Trump, an unabashedly aggressive United States is supposed to reclaim its rightful perch as the center of the commercial universe, wielding its economic dominance to dictate the rules of global trade. AT G-20, E.U. WARNS OF TRADE WAR IF TRUMP IMPOSES RESTRICTIONS ON STEEL HAMBURG — Leaders of the European Union warned sharply on Friday that President Trump risks a trade war if he imposes restrictions on steel imports, a mark of deep divisions as a summit of leaders of major world economies got underway. SPURNED BY TRUMP, CHINA AND MEXICO TALK ABOUT A TRADE DEAL President Trump threatened to slap tariffs on China and Mexico during his campaign. Now the two nations could team up for their own trade deal. China’s ambassador to Mexico, Qiu Xiaoqi, emphasized that China is ready to talk to Mexico about a “free trade agreement.” NO SUCH THING AS ‘FRICTIONLESS’ TRADE, BARNIER WARNS BRITAIN The European Union’s chief Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier warned British ministers and businesses who are calling for “frictionless trade” with the EU after Britain leaves that that is “not possible”. Addressing an EU business forum in Brussels on Thursday, Barnier said London’s “red lines” for a future trade relationship meant Britain was definitely leaving the single market and the customs union, and only membership of both allowed “frictionless” trading arrangements. CHINA TRADE WITH NORTH KOREA UP BUT IMPORTS OFF China’s trade with North Korea has risen despite Beijing’s promise to enforce U.N. sanctions over the North’s nuclear program, but Chinese purchases of most North Korean exports have fallen. Customs data show total trade in the first five months of this year rose 15 percent from a year earlier, driven by North Korea’s purchases of Chinese oil and consumer goods. THE E.U.-JAPAN TRADE DEAL: WHAT’S IN IT AND WHY IT MATTERS The European Union and Japan announced a broad agreement on Thursday that would lower barriers on virtually all the goods traded between them, a pointed challenge to President Trump on the eve of a summit meeting of world leaders in Germany. The agreement still needs further negotiation and approval before it can take effect, but it is aimed at giving both economies some zip after years in the doldrums. WORLD LEADERS SIGNAL FREE-TRADE PLANS — WHETHER TRUMP JOINS OR NOT In a pointed challenge to President Trump’s “America first” agenda, leaders of the world’s biggest economies this week are touting an approach that breaks with the past 20 years of global trade — sidestep the United States entirely.In the days leading up to this week’s Group of 20 summit in Hamburg, leaders from Germany, Japan and elsewhere are discussing new free-trade agreements that exclude U.S. automakers and manufacturers. TRUMP PROMISED TO MAKE TRADE FAIR AGAIN. IS HE SUCCEEDING? One year ago, Donald Trump took the stage in a small town in Pennsylvania and set out an agenda for his trade policy. In the speech, Trump made seven promises to change America’s “failed trade policy.” Given his brief time in office, Trump appears to be well on his way to accomplishing many of these goals. By our count, he has fulfilled one of his promises, broken two, and is partly on the way to completing four others. TRUMP’S TRADE CHOICE: FOLLOW THE POSTWAR ORDER OR BLOW IT UP It seems President Trump is ready to start rolling back globalization. Let’s hope he doesn’t blow up the postwar economic order. While Mexican negotiators waited for the United States to make its first move in its proposed renegotiation of the North American Free Trade Agreement, the president last week turned on the invective against another trade deal he called unfair — that negotiated by the Obama administration with South Korea. TRUMP AND EU OFFER STARKLY DIFFERENT TRADE VISIONS AT G-20 Competing visions of world trade are set to collide at the Group of 20 summit of world leaders in Hamburg, Germany, this week. U.S. President Donald Trump’s “America First” approach faces off against the European Union and its support for free trade, with the Europeans touting a new, far-reaching pact it is completing with Japan. COMMERZBANK AND FRAUNHOFER IML COLLABORATE ON BLOCKCHAIN-BASED TRADE FINANCE Commerzbank and the Fraunhofer Institute for Material Flow and Logistics IML in Dortmund are working on “supply chains of the future”, including blockchain and automated processes that run on top of them, sometimes called ‘smart contracts’. The institute combines its heavyweight supply chain expertise to a space that is currently one of the busiest areas of technology – the digitisation of trade finance and the tracking of physical goods using synchronously appended distributed ledgers. PRESIDENT TRUMP DELIVERS TOUGH TRADE TALK DURING VISIT BY SOUTH KOREA’S NEW LEADER President Trump opened his meeting Friday with newly elected South Korean President Moon Jae-in with tough trade talk, announcing he is renegotiating a 5-year-old trade deal between their two countries that was a joint legacy of Presidents George W. Bush and Obama. Yet it was unclear from his and administration aides’ remarks how significant a break Trump was making with a free-trade agreement that had broad support when it was approved in Congress. TRUMP RISKS GLOBAL TRADE WAR IF HE RESTRICTS IMPORTS OF STEEL AND ALUMINUM Chinese and European diplomats have warned Donald Trump against reported plans to restrict imports of steel and aluminum – a strategy that risks triggering a global trade war. By invoking a rarely used law from the cold war era, the US president could limit imports of goods deemed critical to national defence and satisfy the “America first” elements of his support base. SENATE DEM WANTS TO REWRITE ONLINE TRADE RULES IN NAFTA Sen. Ron Wyden (D-Ore.) wants the U.S. to renegotiate the online trade provisions in the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). The top Democrat on the Senate Finance Committee called for reducing tariffs and red tape on small online sellers, moving to stop data localization, and a “balanced approach to copyright” that “ensures the free flow of ideas around the world” during a speech organized by the Internet Association at the Capitol on Thursday. WHAT TRUMP’S IMPENDING TRADE WAR COULD MEAN FOR THE UK US President Donald Trump is considering launching what would amount to an international trade war by imposing significant tariffs on major exporters of steel and other goods, reports suggested on Friday. News site Axios reports that Trump essentially intends to penalise China for what he sees as the country deliberately flooding the market with cheap goods, thus making American products uncompetitive. However, Axios suggests Trump favours blanket tariffs on imports, regardless of where they come from. TRUMP TO PRESS SOUTH KOREA LEADER ON TRADE AS NORTH KOREA LOOMS U.S. President Donald Trump will press South Korean President Moon Jae-in to solve trade differences over cars and steel in meetings in Washington focusing on the nuclear threat from North Korea. Concerns about the U.S. military’s THAAD missile defense system and China’s role in the region also are likely to come up in talks between Trump and Moon at the White House. SOLAR TRADE CASE, WITH TRUMP AS ARBITER, COULD UPEND MARKET Millions of Americans now get their electricity, at least in part, from the solar panels that have rapidly spread throughout the country since 2010, thanks to their sharply declining cost. For customers — including homeowners, businesses and utilities — as well as for the companies that promote and install them, cheap solar panels have been a good thing. TRUMP PLOTS TRADE WARS AGAINST CABINET’S ADVICE: REPORT President Trump is set on imposing high tariffs on steel and other imports, despite push back from the majority of his Cabinet, according to Axios. The Friday report said Trump and a few of advisers are committed to putting tariffs on steel, and potentially other imports such as aluminum, paper, semiconductors, and appliances. TRUMP’S TRADE PLAN SETS UP GLOBAL CLASH OVER ‘AMERICA FIRST’ STRATEGY The Trump administration is quietly preparing sweeping new trade policies to defend the U.S. steel industry, a move that could reverberate across global economies and incite other countries to retaliate. In a bid to keep his campaign promise to crack down on unfair trade practices, President Donald Trump is weighing trade restrictions on steel imports from countries like China, according to two administration officials.. TRUMP’S PLAN TO SLAP TARIFFS ON STEEL IMPORTS CARRIES BIG ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL RISKS President Trump was standing on the banks of the Ohio River, and as barges loaded with West Virginia coal floated by, he noted that half the United States’ steel is produced within 250 miles and told the crowd that soon “the steel folks are going to be very happy.” Within that same distance lies the bulk of the U.S. auto industry, which the president also has promised to protect. CANADA-U.S. LUMBER SPAT IS LIKELY TO DRAG ON AFTER DUTY MOVE A longstanding dispute over softwood lumber shipments from Canada to the U.S. is likely to drag on, according to people closely following the saga, despite reports that a deal could be reached soon. Major hurdles remain before a new agreement would be possible, said a Canadian government official who asked not to be identified because they weren’t authorized to comment publicly on the subject. TRUMP CONSIDERING TRADE ACTION AGAINST CHINA: REPORT President Trump is considering taking trade actions against China, Reuters reported Wednesday. Three senior administration officials told Reuters that the president is considering putting an import tariff on Chinese steel. TRUMP, SOUTH KOREA’S MOON TO SHOW UNITED FRONT DESPITE TRADE DIFFERENCES President Donald Trump and South Korean President Moon Jae-in may present a unified front over North Korea at the White House on Thursday and Friday, but tension over trade could puncture their effort to strengthen the U.S.-South Korea relationship. Moon, making his first trip to the United States since becoming his country’s leader, will join Trump and his wife, Melania, for dinner in the White House State Dining Room Thursday night ahead of meetings on Friday that are expected to touch on North Korea’s nuclear program, China’s role in the region and the U.S. military’s THAAD missile defense system. LIGHTHIZER LAYS OUT US TRADE POLICY AGENDA, NAFTA HEARINGS GET UNDERWAY US Trade Representative (USTR) Robert Lighthizer discussed with lawmakers the Trump administration’s trade policy priorities for the coming year, covering areas such as the renegotiation of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) and the upcoming WTO ministerial conference. The first hearing was held under the Senate Finance Committee on Wednesday 21 June, with another hearing held under the House Ways and Means Committee on Thursday 22 June. These meetings came just days ahead of the USTR public hearings on NAFTA, which are taking place this week from 27-29 June. THE REALLY, REALLY COLD CHAIN: EXPLORING CRYOGENIC SHIPPING Sometimes, just plain “cold” isn’t cold enough. It’s a familiar issue for shippers of valuable biologics — like tissue samples — where cellular degradation is a risk. Fortunately, there’s an answer for businesses that need to keep things cooler than cool: cryogenic shipping. COMPANIES WORK TO CONTAIN FALLOUT FROM GLOBAL CYBERATTACK Global firms scrambled to cope with fallout from a cyberattack that disrupted computers across Europe and the U.S., as A.P. Moeller-Maersk , AMKBY 1.23% the world’s biggest containership operator, shuttering terminals around the world. Many firms affected said their day-to-day operations hadn’t been significantly affected, but said they had been forced to isolate computer systems. TRUMP GROWING FRUSTRATED WITH CHINA, WEIGHS TRADE STEPS: OFFICIALS President Donald Trump is growing increasingly frustrated with China over its inaction on North Korea and bilateral trade issues and is now considering possible trade actions against Beijing, three senior administration officials told Reuters. The officials said Trump was looking at options including tariffs on steel imports, which Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross already has said he is considering as part of a national security study of the U.S. steel industry. PERRY EYES ENERGY PACT WITH MEXICO, CANADA AMID NAFTA CHANGE The U.S. has a unique opportunity to develop a “North American energy strategy” with Canada and Mexico, Energy Secretary Rick Perry said, striking a conciliatory tone with the other members of the North American Free Trade Agreement. While President Donald Trump has blasted Nafta and moved to renegotiate it, Perry referred to the upcoming talks to rework the 1994 trade pact as a “massage” of it, saying it presents an opportunity to bolster energy ties, not enact new trade barriers. VULNERABLE ‘CHOKEPOINTS’ THREATEN GLOBAL FOOD SECURITY, EXPERTS WARN More than a dozen supply chains and trade routes that facilitate global food trade are vulnerable to unforeseen crises or climate change, according to a new report. Analysts at Chatham House, the U.K.-based think tank, released a report Tuesday identifying 14 critical junctures, or “chokepoints,” through which large volumes of global food trade pass that could be vulnerable to major disruption if they are not properly maintained—an issue that could adversely affect global food supply and prices. VULNERABLE ‘CHOKEPOINTS’ THREATEN GLOBAL FOOD SECURITY, EXPERTS WARN More than a dozen supply chains and trade routes that facilitate global food trade are vulnerable to unforeseen crises or climate change, according to a new report. Analysts at Chatham House, the U.K.-based think tank, released a report Tuesday identifying 14 critical junctures, or “chokepoints,” through which large volumes of global food trade pass that could be vulnerable to major disruption if they are not properly maintained—an issue that could adversely affect global food supply and prices. TRUMP COULD START A TRADE WAR THIS WEEK His administration could slap big tariffs on shipments of steel from other countries, claiming they pose a risk to national security. The tariffs can go as high as Trump wants — and could easily trigger retaliatory measures by other countries, hurting other American industries. TRUMP URGES INDIA’S MODI TO FIX DEFICIT, BUT STRESSES STRONG TIES U.S. President Donald Trump urged Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi to do more to relax Indian trade barriers on Monday during talks in which both leaders took great pains to stress the importance of a strong U.S.-Indian relationship. At a closely watched first meeting between the two, Trump and Modi appeared to get along well. CHINA’S PREMIER, LI KEQIANG, PRAISES FREE TRADE, IN CONTRAST TO TRUMP Premier Li Keqiang of China reaffirmed on Tuesday his country’s desire to be seen as the world’s new leader in globalization and free trade, but he offered no specifics on how China might lower its own trade barriers, which are among the steepest of any large country. Speaking at the opening of a World Economic Forum conference in northeastern China, Mr. Li portrayed his country as deeply committed to a continued opening up to international competition. TRUMP’S PLAN TO MAKE AMERICAN STEEL GREAT AGAIN COULD SET OFF GLOBAL TRADE WARS President Trump is on the brink of striking at China’s behemoth steel industry through an obscure trade loophole in US law. But if he actually pulls it off, it will be US allies, not China, that will feel the brunt of it — and they could end up retaliating with harsh measures of their own, sending us down a path to global trade wars. According to reports, we are just days away from finding out what the White House is planning to do as it concludes its investigation into whether steel imports into the US constitute a threat to national security, which was announced in late April. U.S. LAWMAKERS URGE TRUMP TO PRESS INDIA’S MODI ON TRADE, INVESTMENT Leading U.S. congressmen have called on President Donald Trump to press Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi to remove barriers to U.S. trade and investment when they meet for the first time on Monday. The lawmakers, from the Republican and Democratic parties, said in a letter to Trump that high-level engagement with India had failed to eliminate major trade and investment barriers and had not deterred India from imposing new ones. EUROPE AND JAPAN NEAR TRADE DEAL AS U.S. TAKES PROTECTIONIST PATH The European Union and Japan are close to sealing one of the largest trade agreements ever, a deal that could further isolate the United States as President Trump forges a protectionist path. The deal, which brings together two giants encompassing a quarter of the world’s economy, would be a potent symbol of free trade during a time of populist backlash over globalization. LAWMAKERS WANT MEETING WITH TRUMP ADMINISTRATION TO TAKE US-MEXICO BORDER TRADE Two Texas lawmakers on Thursday called on U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer to meet with them and others whose districts border Mexico. Sen. John Cornyn (Texas), the Senate majority whip, and Rep. Henry Cuellar (D-Texas) sent a letter to Lighthizer, asking for a meeting to discuss the Trump administration’s developing plan to update the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). U.S. TRADE REPRESENTATIVE SAYS HE IS ‘TROUBLED’ BY FORD’S CHINA MOVE U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer said on Thursday he would support taking action against U.S. automaker Ford’s decision to move some production to China if the shift was because of “non-economic reasons.” Lighthizer, who was appearing before a panel of U.S. senators, did not give details on the factors that could trigger action from the administration of President Donald Trump or what sort of action it might take. U.S. SUSPENDS BEEF IMPORTS FROM BRAZIL The United States on Thursday suspended imports of fresh beef from Brazil because of safety concerns, dealing a blow to one of Brazil’s biggest industries just months after Brazilian investigators accused food inspectors of accepting bribes. In a statement announcing the decision, Agriculture Secretary Sonny Perdue said, “Ensuring the safety of our nation’s food supply is one of our critical missions.” AS TRUMP FORGES HIS OWN VIEW OF US-INDIA BILATERAL TIES, CHALLENGE FOR MODI IS TO BUILD ON THE GAINS OF PAST THREE YEARS Prime Minister Modi goes to Washington next week at the midpoint of his term and at the start of President Trump’s. The challenge facing Prime Minister Modi, as President Trump starts shaping his view of US-India bilateral ties, is to build on the gains of the past three years. NAFTA CURRENCY RULES PORTEND TOUGH U.S., SOUTH KOREA TRADE FIGHT U.S. government signals that it will push for a ban on currency manipulation in the North American Free Trade Agreement have attracted little attention, as Mexico and Canada are rarely accused of gaming the foreign-exchange market. The strategy is likely to prove more contentious when the Trump administration turns its attention to South Korea. GERMAN EXPORTS TO ASIA SURGE, CALMING NERVES OVER PROTECTIONIST BACKLASH German exports to Asia are rising strongly this year in a trend that could mitigate the risks to Europe’s largest economy should U.S. President Donald Trump make good on his protectionist promises.Figures released on Wednesday showed Germany’s exports to China rising 12% in the first four months of the year compared with the same period in 2016. FOR THOUSANDS OF U.S. AUTO WORKERS, DOWNTURN IS ALREADY HERE Wall Street is fretting that the U.S. auto industry is heading for a downturn, but for thousands of workers at General Motors Co factories in the United States, the hard times are already here. Matt Streb, 36, was one of 1,200 workers laid off on Jan. 20 – inauguration day for Republican U.S. President Donald Trump – when GM canceled the third shift at its Lordstown small-car factory here. U.S. TRADE REPRESENTATIVE LIGHTHIZER SAYS NO DEADLINE SET FOR NAFTA DEAL U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer said on Wednesday there was no deadline for completing NAFTA trade talks between the United States, Canada and Mexico even as lawmakers warned that U.S. business would be hurt by prolonged negotiations. “There is no deadline. My hope is that we can get it done by the end of the year, but there are a lot of people who think that is completely unrealistic,” Lighthizer told a Senate Finance Committee hearing to discuss the USTR’s budget. ALUMINUM INDUSTRY SCRAMBLES TO ALIGN TRUMP’S TRADE GUNS: ANDY HOME Aluminum industry executives will line up on Thursday to have their say on whether foreign imports into the United States pose a threat to the country’s security.The Section 232 investigation was announced by the Department of Congress on April 27 and follows hot on the heels of a similar probe into U.S. steel imports, the results of which are pending. AFTER YEARS OF TALKS, JAPAN, EU NEAR ‘BROAD AGREEMENT’ ON FREE TRADE PACT Japan and the European Union are nearing a broad agreement on a free trade pact, Japanese Foreign Minister Fumio Kishida and a senior EU trade official agreed on Wednesday, the foreign ministry said. Japan and the European Union have been negotiating an Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) since 2013 to promote trade and investment by eliminating tariffs and improving investment rules. BREXIT: UK CAVES IN TO EU DEMAND TO AGREE DIVORCE BILL BEFORE TRADE TALKS British negotiators have capitulated to key European demands for a phased approach to Brexit talks, agreeing to park discussions on free trade until they have thrashed out the cost of the multibillion-euro UK divorce settlement. Putting a brave face on a concession that may further strengthen the tactical dominance of the EU, the Brexit secretary, David Davis, insisted his initial retreat remained consistent with long-term government strategy. TRUMP SPARKS RUSH OF NAFTA LOBBYING Lobbyists are gearing up for the looming renegotiation of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), a sweeping trade pact of critical importance to the United States, Canada and Mexico. Trade officials from the three nations will take the lead at the negotiating table, but business leaders are already working to build consensus around possible changes to the agreement. PERDUE LAUDS NAFTA AS BOON FOR FARMERS AS RENEGOTIATION LOOMS U.S. Agriculture Secretary Sonny Perdue and his counterparts from Canada and Mexico lauded Nafta’s benefits to farmers as they began to lay the foundation for broader negotiations to modify an accord that President Donald Trump once called a “disaster.” Canadian Agriculture Minister Lawrence MacAulay and Mexican Agriculture Secretary Jose Calzada met with Perdue Tuesday in Georgia for what the U.S. secretary said would be candid talks on “irritants” in the three-way trade relationship. UPDATE: CHILE, BRAZIL COULD OFFER RESPITE TO U.S.-CANADA LUMBER DISPUTE On April 24, the Trump administration put an end to the tariff-free lumber trade between Canada and the United States. The White House imposed a 24 percent duty on Canadian lumber imports as an anti-dumping measure to counter the Canadian government’s support of the logging industry. Yet another tariff is expected later this month that could bring the total tax on these imports up to 30 percent, according to RBC Capital Markets’ estimates. PERDUE MEETING ON AGRICULTURE A PRELUDE TO NAFTA RENEGOTIATION Agriculture Secretary Sonny Perdue meets Tuesday with his counterparts from Canada and Mexico for what he called candid talks on “irritants” in the three-way trade relationship that will be a prelude to a renegotiation of Nafta set to begin later this summer. New rules on Canada’s dairy-supply system and how Mexico plans to enforce a recently concluded agreement limiting its sugar exports to the U.S. will be among the topics of discussion when Purdue plays host to Canadian Agriculture Minister Lawrence MacAulay and Mexican Agriculture Secretary Jose Calzada in Savannah, Georgia. MERKEL PLEDGES TO PUSH FOR FREE TRADE AT G-20 SUMMIT German Chancellor Angela Merkel pledged Tuesday to strive for a broad, rules-based and fair agreement on global trade at the meeting of Group of 20 leaders next month, aiming to convince the U.S. of the benefits of open markets. “We will do everything in our power to achieve an agreement as broad as possible in Hamburg,” Ms. Merkel said. COMMERCE SECRETARY WILBUR ROSS TALKS TRADE One of the most notable political trends over the past 18 months—and one with the potential to affect companies across many industries—has been voter pushback against globalization and free trade. Indeed, following the Brexit vote in the U.K. and Donald Trump’s victory in the U.S. presidential election, nations are rethinking how they should trade with each other. CHINA THINK TANK SAYS TRADE DETENTE WITH U.S. MAY NOT ENDURE China isn’t likely to have a trade war with the U.S. this year, though 2018 is harder to predict, according to former Vice Commerce Minister Wei Jianguo. The world’s largest trading nation hopes dialog will help ease tensions and aims to make progress on agreements before President Trump visits the country, Wei told reporters in Beijing Monday. TRUMP FACES HIS BIGGEST TRADE DECISION YET The White House is on the cusp of a major decision about whether to impose new restrictions on steel imports, a choice that has divided President Trump’s administration while sparking global fears about a burgeoning trade war. The Commerce Department has for months been evaluating whether steel imports pose a threat to national security, and it is expected within days to present Trump with its finding and a recommendation, which Trump could quickly adopt or decide to take a different course. THIS FORMER NEW ZEALAND MINISTER WILL LEAD BREXIT TRADE TALKS U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May named a former New Zealand diplomat, Crawford Falconer, to be the government’s chief trade negotiations adviser, charging him with helping to broker new trade deals with the rest of the world as Britain prepares to leave the European Union. Falconer and his team will develop and negotiate free trade agreements and market access accords with nations outside of the EU, the Department for International Trade said on Friday in an statement. TRUMP TO CLAMP DOWN ON CUBA TRAVEL, TRADE, CURBING OBAMA’S DETENTE President Donald Trump on Friday will announce plans to tighten restrictions on Americans traveling to Cuba and clamp down on U.S. business dealings with the island’s military, rolling back parts of former President Barack Obama’s historic opening to Havana. US-MEXICO SUGAR DEAL BRINGS RELIEF BUT TRADE RISKS REMAIN There were collective sighs of relief this week in the US corn belt at the prospect of the Mexican and US governments’ trade deal over sugar being finalized. The agreement — widely regarded as a dress rehearsal for the NAFTA renegotiation’s — involves a reduction in the amount of refined sugar that Mexico exports to the US, while also imposing an 8 per cent increase in its price, which reduced the competitiveness vis-à-vis American produce. THE BIGGEST TRUMP-ERA TRADE DISPUTE MAY BE OVER AIRLINES. HERE’S WHAT’S HAPPENING. The trade dispute that some call the biggest in history continues to simmer. For over two years, American, Delta and United Airlines have claimed that their competitors in the Gulf — Emirates, Etihad and Qatar Airways — are receiving billions of dollars in government subsidies, violating the spirit of bilateral air service agreements. CANADA-EU TRADE DEAL’S JULY 1 TARGET THREATENED BY NEW CHEESE DISPUTE Plans to bring most of Canada’s new trade deal with the European Union into effect by July 1 may be unravelling due to a new dispute over who gets to import EU cheese. Under the terms of the Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA), Canada has agreed to allow nearly 18,000 additional tonnes of European cheese to be imported tariff free. EU, JAPAN LAUNCH BIG PUSH TO SEAL TRADE DEAL BY JULY Japanese and European negotiators are redoubling efforts to seal a political agreement early next month on what would be the EU’s biggest free trade deal. Sources from five EU countries said the goal of the latest whirlwind of diplomatic activity is for Japanese Prime Minister Shinzō Abe to jet into Brussels for a summit July 5 or 6, ahead of a G20 summit in Hamburg on July 7. TRUMP’S CUBA MOVES MAY CHILL LONG-SOUGHT U.S. FARM EXPORT PUSH A rollback of Obama administration efforts to open Cuba to U.S. tourism and trade may chill a rebound in agricultural sales to the island nation, setting back a farm-lobby push that’s weathered two decades. U.S. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson signaled Tuesday that changes would come as soon as Friday, when President Donald Trump visits Miami. PANAMA ESTABLISHES TIES WITH CHINA, FURTHER ISOLATING TAIWAN TAIPEI, Taiwan – Panama has severed diplomatic relations with Taiwan in favor of recognizing China, the latest in a series of developments adding to the island’s isolation on the world stage and raising questions about waning American influence under President Trump. Panama’s decision handed Beijing a diplomatic victory at a time when Mr. Trump, in hopes of securing cooperation on issues like trade and North Korea’s nuclear ambitions, has retreated from the confrontational stances he took toward China as a candidate. SHALE OIL BOOM TO HURT OPEC WELL INTO 2018 In its first forecast for 2018, the International Energy Agency said Wednesday it expected countries outside the cartel to increase production by about 1.5 million barrels per day, outstripping the growth in global demand. The U.S. alone will account for about half that increase in supply, the IEA said. EU SET TO COMMIT TO CLIMATE DEAL, FREE TRADE IN TRUMP REBUFF European Union leaders are planning to use a summit next week to declare their commitment to global free trade and the Paris climate accord in a rebuff to U.S. President Donald Trump. The bloc’s 28 leaders will issue a statement rejecting protectionism and underlining that the Paris agreement is a “cornerstone for global efforts to effectively tackle climate change, and cannot be renegotiated,” according to a draft for the June 22-23 summit obtained by Bloomberg. IS TRUMP BECOMING MORE FRIENDLY TO TRADE? President Trump continued with his promise to put “America First” recently when he withdrew the United States from the Paris Climate Accord. This followed his week of visits in Europe where he did not reaffirm the collective defense provision of NATO (later reaffirmed). Both of these policy positions, although shocking, were in line with what the President’s past views. The foreign reaction was swift . German Chancellor Angela Merkel summed it up by saying that Europe would have to look to its own devices and could no longer depend on the “others” – clearing meaning only one – the United States. TRADE JOBS IN SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA HAVE JUMPED, BUT POLICY AND LABOR CHALLENGES LOOM Southern California has experienced a boost in trade and logistics employment in the last decade, but policy and labor challenges lie ahead, according to a new economic report. Trade-related jobs increased nearly 10% from 2005 to 2015, more than double the overall regional employment increase of 4.2%, the report released Monday by the Los Angeles County Economic Development Corp. found. Warehousing and logistics jobs led the charge, jumping 55.1% over the decade, said the report, titled “Trade & Logistics in Southern California.”. MEXICO CITY’S MAYOR CALLS FOR CARLOS SLIM, OTHER MEXICAN BILLIONAIRES TO INFLUENCE NAFTA TALKS What role should Mexico’s billionaires play in the upcoming renegotiation of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), the trade pact with Mexico and Canada that the Trump Administration has proposed be renegotiated? Miguel Angel Mancera, Mexico City’s Mayor and a possible 2018 presidential contender, has called for the creation of a 12-member group of Mexico’s richest men to try to influence from the sidelines the remake of what Donald Trump has labeled “the worst trade deal” ever. Top on Mancera’s list is Carlos Slim Helú, Mexico’s richest person. ROSS CONFIDENT ADMINISTRATION CAN NEGOTIATE BETTER TRADE TERMS Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross expressed confidence that the Trump administration can achieve better trade terms through negotiations with trading partners, rather than immediately turning to tariffs or other punitive measures that could generate retaliation or other economic repercussions. President Donald Trump, who repeatedly warned in his 2016 campaign about imposing tariffs or exiting international deals, this year decided not to pull out of the North American Free Trade Agreement and instead announced . QATAR CRISIS TO SPEED THE RISE OF ASIA’S SPOT LNG TRADE SINGAPORE — Qatar’s isolation by other Arab nations has dealt a strong hand to Japanese utilities in talks reviewing long-term gas contracts with the top LNG exporter, likely accelerating a shift to a more openly traded global market for the fuel. If Japan gets its way in the periodic contract review, the world’s biggest buyer of LNG would have to import more short-notice supplies from producers such as the United States, another step away from rigid deals that run for decades towards a more active spot market. U.S. AND EU CLAIM VICTORY IN BOEING SUBSIDY CASE NEW YORK (CNNMoney) — The World Trade Organization issued a ruling Monday to settle a dispute between the European Union and United States over subsidies received by Boeing. Officials on both sides of the Atlantic quickly sought to portray the decision as a victory for their domestic airline industries. “This decision is a tremendous victory for American manufacturers and workers,” said U.S. Trade Representative Ron Kirk in a statement. CHINA, SINGAPORE SEEK TO EXPEDITE RCEP TRADE TALKS China and Singapore will do their best to expedite talks on the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), Singapore’s foreign minister said, calling the potential pact a statement on the importance of free trade. The Beijing-backed RCEP has been given new impetus by U.S. President Donald Trump’s withdrawal from the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) trade agreement, to which China is not party. ASIA AND EUROPE SET TO BEAR THE BURDEN OF US TRADE PROTECTIONISM Donald Trump has repeatedly promised to take on China and its trade practices. But according to a new study, it is US allies in Asia and Europe that are set to bear the burden of a new wave of US protectionism shaping up to be the largest seen in decades. The study released on Monday by a leading expert on trade disputes and protectionism comes as US Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross hurries to deliver within days a plan to impose new restrictions on steel imports, arguing that the country’s national security is at stake. . U.S. BUSINESS GROUP URGES TRADE FIXES AHEAD OF CHINA’S PARTY CONGRESS A U.S. business lobby in China said on Thursday that Washington should use leverage afforded by China’s desire to avoid trade frictions with the United States ahead of its Communist Party Congress this fall in order to fix market access discrepancies. Beijing and Washington agreed to 100 days of trade talks after U.S. President Donald Trump met his counterpart Xi Jinping in April, aimed at cutting last year’s $347 billion U.S. trade in goods deficit with the world’s second largest economy. TREASURIES – BUND TRADE IS ABOUT TO GET INTERESTING In recent years, many investors have been burned by their conviction that the price of German bonds would fall relative to U.S. Treasuries of the same maturity, as the yield on the 10-year bund dipped for the first time into negative territory. But with the return of consistent growth and a reduction in near-term political risk in the euro zone, options prices indicate that interest rates are more likely to increase than decrease in Europe’s largest economy. This is a significant departure from a number of months ago, when options market prices were neutral as to the direction of rates in Germany. IN SOUTH CAROLINA, GERMANY IS CONSIDERED A PARTNER, NOT A TRADE RIVAL President Donald Trump has objected to Germany’s trade surplus with the United States, reportedly singling out its auto industry success for criticism. But in South Carolina, an early primary state that helped propel him to the Republican nomination, the Germans aren’t seen as an overseas rival but as a valued economic partner. ANALYST: THE ‘TRUMP TRADE’ HAS TURNED INTO A ‘TRUMP FADE’ With former FBI Director James Comey’s testimony before the Senate Intelligence Committee and the elections in the U.K. today, those headlines alone could have been enough to stir the market.. PORT BANS CHOKE QATAR’S COMMODITY TRADE AS GAS SUPPLY WORRIES GROW U.S. President Donald Trump joined in the dispute on Tuesday, saying leaders he met on a Middle East trip had warned him that Doha was funding “radical ideology” after he had demanded they take action to stop financing militant groups. Qatar vehemently denies the accusations made against it. Qatar is now unable to load crude oil onto supertankers together with other Gulf-based grades, and price agency S&P Global Platts said it would not automatically include the country in its Middle East price benchmark. TRUMP TRADE’S DEMISE SENDS A CLEAR NEGATIVE MESSAGE The euphoria in markets following Donald Trump’s U.S. presidential election victory that came to be known as the Trump trade is stumbling. Last week’s decision by Trump to pull out of the Paris climate accord bolstered the perception that the U.S. may be become a more isolated player on the world stage, negatively affecting the dollar. The market for U.S. Treasuries is taking note of these developments amid signs that the economy is having trouble gaining steam, as evidenced by a precipitous flattening of the yield curve. THE PESO WAS SUPPOSED TO BE A CAN’T-MISS TRUMP TRADE, BUT IT’S COMPLETELY REVERSED The Mexican peso has recovered all its losses versus the U.S. dollar made since President Donald Trump was elected, discounting the worst fears of a trade war between the U.S. and its southern neighbor. “The peso is on a big round trip,” said Robert Sinche, chief global strategist at Amherst Pierpont. Dollar/peso, at 18.34 was up more than 12 percent since Jan. 1 and about right where it was before the election. MEXICO AGREES TO SUGAR TRADE DEAL, BUT U.S. REFINERS REMAIN UNHAPPY MEXICO CITY — Mexico agreed to demands from the United States to cut exports of refined sugar, striking a deal on Tuesday in a contentious trade negotiation that was closely watched as a prologue to talks on renegotiating the North American Free Trade Agreement. The dispute stemmed from complaints by American sugar refiners that Mexico was taking advantage of unfair trade practices to dump refined sugar in the American market and at the same time limit the amount of raw sugar it exported to American refineries.. THE HIGH COST OF THE ANTI-TRADE WAVE There is no topic about which both parties have spewed more economic nonsense than trade. Preying on populist ignorance and xenophobic fears, politicians have taken something that is unarguably of tremendous value to the United States and turned it into an evil. You’d think that trade was making us poorer. SUGAR-TRADE NEGOTIATIONS BETWEEN US AND MEXICO EXTENDED Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross on Monday extended the deadline for sugar trade negotiations between the United States and Mexico by 24 hours, saying extra time was needed to complete “final technical consultations” for a deal. U.S. GROWTH BUMPED DOWN AMID TRUMP TAX, TRADE UNCERTAINTY Citing “substantial” risks related to uncertainty from President Donald Trump’s trade, tax and economic agendas, the World Bank on Sunday revised down its 2017 growth projections for the United States. The international body now predicts the U.S. economy will expand at a clip of just 2.1 percent in 2017, according to its latest Global Economic Prospects report. WHAT’S AT STAKE FOR AGRICULTURE IN NAFTA RENEGOTIATIONS As President Donald Trump’s administration sifts through its trade toolbox, preparing to tinker with the North American Free Trade Agreement, the agriculture world is holding its breath. NAFTA’s inception in the 1990s contributed to a boom in agriculture trade between the U.S., Canada and Mexico. There’s a general consensus that the agreement isn’t perfect – as made evident by Canada’s recent dairy policy adjustments and America’s newly announced lumber tariffs. WORLD BANK SAYS TRADE, MANUFACTURING TO BOOST 2017 GLOBAL GROWTH The World Bank on Sunday maintained its forecast that global growth will improve to 2.7 percent this year, citing a pickup in manufacturing and trade, improved market confidence and a recovery in commodity prices. The update of the multilateral development lender’s Global Economic Prospects report marked the first time in several years that its June forecasts were not reduced from those published in January due to rising growth risks. TRUMP’S OILY TRADE DEFICIT Last week, the U.S. Commerce Department announced that, year-to-date, the U.S. goods and services trade deficit increased 13.4 percent over the same period in 2016. All but three weeks of this January-April deficit expansion occurred on President Donald Trump’s watch. Since he has made a fetish of trade deficits and promised to “fix” them, it may be worth delving into the details to see what happened. BIG MARKET MOVERS: INVESTORS AREN’T QUITE READY TO RE-PULL TRIGGER ON TRUMP TRADE It was a good week for the U.S. stock market — at least compared to recent weeks. Even after the “soft” Friday jobs report, the market kept grinding higher, especially big growth stocks, which in the past week saw their biggest inflow in the past four months, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch data. Talk of the beleaguered Trump Trade has even been replaced by talk, among some, of a Trump Trade restart. SUGAR TALKS MAY HINT AT TRUMP APPROACH TO U.S.-MEXICO TRADE MEXICO CITY — The sugar barons of Florida, Alfonso and José Fanjul, have been equal-opportunity political donors for decades, showering largess on the campaigns of Democrats and Republicans alike to ensure that lawmakers will protect the American sugar industry. TRUMP TALKS TOUGH ON TRADE, BUT HIS TEAM IS TREADING LIGHTLY WASHINGTON — President Trump has called the Trans-Pacific Partnership deal a “rape” of the United States. He has scolded Germany for being “very bad” on trade because it runs a surplus. And in April he said that he was “psyched” to terminate the North American Free Trade Agreement with Canada and Mexico, only to reverse course. US FACES STRUGGLE TO EASE NERVOUS ASIAN ALLIES’ FEARS OF A RETREAT When James Mattis speaks at the Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore on Saturday, the US defence secretary will face a very different landscape from the one that greeted his predecessor at last year’s event. At the Asian defence forum in 2016, Ashton Carter chided China over its actions in the South China Sea, warning that it risked “erecting a Great Wall of self-isolation”. At the same time, then president Barack Obama was pushin g Congress — ultimately unsuccessfully — to back the Trans-Pacific Partnership, a 12-nation trade deal that was the economic arm of his Asia “pivot”. WIDER U.S. TRADE GAP MAY SIGNAL DRAG ON SECOND-QUARTER GROWTH U.S. demand for foreign-made goods climbed and exports declined, causing the trade deficit to widen in April, which may restrain the pace of economic growth this quarter, Commerce Department data showed Friday. Highlights of Trade Balance (April) • Gap increased 5.2% to $47.6b (forecast was $46.1b) from a revised $45.3b in March TRUMP COULD START A TRADE WAR BY DITCHING THE PARIS CLIMATE ACCORD President Trump has risked starting a trade war by deciding to pull the U.S. out of the Paris climate accord. That’s the assessment of trade experts who argue that other countries could respond by slapping tariffs on American products that are cheaper to produce as a result of the move. US, EU OFFICIALS TO EXAMINE NEXT STEPS FOR TRADE TIES The US and the EU are planning to develop a “joint action plan” on trade, reports suggest, after leaders met in Brussels, Belgium, late last week. US President Donald Trump met with European Council President Donald Tusk and European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker in the Belgian capital. The meeting came as part of a larger trip that the new American president was making overseas, which also included attending the G7 leaders’ summit in Taormina, Italy, among other stops. TRUMP TARGETS GERMAN TRADE, AND THE SOUTH GRIMACES GREER, S.C. — No matter that this small Southern city sits squarely in the middle of Trump country: The president, with his criticism of German trade policy, was setting off alarm bells in the mind of Mayor Richard W. Danner. SPEED LIMITS ON TRADE TALKS The Trump administration flamboyantly discarded the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) upon taking office. Team members cast doubt on the fate of ongoing talks with Europe. There was a near brush with terminating the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). This would all seem to suggest a relatively tranquil time ahead for trade negotiators. TRUMP HOSTS PRIME MINISTER PHUC OF VIETNAM AND ANNOUNCES TRADE DEALS WASHINGTON — President Trump welcomed the prime minister of Vietnam to the Oval Office on Wednesday, cutting business deals and discussing the transfer of a Coast Guard cutter to a onetime enemy that the United States now views as a front-line defender against an expansionist China. TRUMP TRADE’S SO DEAD YOU MAY AS WELL BUY IT, SAYS CITIGROUP Citigroup Inc. says it may be time to bet on Donald Trump. With inflation trending lower and economic growth picking up globally, “Trumponomics” — tax cuts and increased government spending — has largely lost its grip on asset markets, Citi strategists led by Jeremy Hale wrote in a recent note. That’s made the risk-reward equation for the medium-term reflation trade favorable, they wrote. CHINA TURNS TRADE SCREWS ON GERMAN CARS Talks on car sales between Chinese Prime Minister Li Keqiang and German Chancellor Angela Merkel on Wednesday are likely to influence EU trade policy for years. China, ever the master of divide-and-rule tactics when confronting EU trade policy, has threatened to impose a car quota system that could seriously dent the sales of Germany’s blue-riband industry, affecting brands such as Volkswagen, BMW, Audi, Mercedes and Porsche. BLIND SPOTS IN TRUMP’S TRADE TIRADE AGAINST GERMANY WASHINGTON – The last time relations between the United States and Europe were this bad – in the spring of 2003, during the buildup to the invasion of Iraq – the administration of George W. Bush decided to “punish France and forgive Russia,” in a phrase attributed to the national security adviser at the time, Condoleezza Rice. Now, President Trump has flipped the formula, punishing Germany while largely ignoring France. US SHALE, TRADE AND SANCTIONS WORRY RUSSIAN FINANCE MINISTER AS ECONOMY GETS BACK ON TRACK As Russia’s economy show signs of improving, its Finance Ministry remains positive on the outlook yet doesn’t expect to let its guard down just yet. “We see that the Russian economy has started to develop at a higher rate. It has come out of recession this year and we anticipate annual growth of around 2 percent,” Anton Siluanov, finance minister for Russia, told CNBC Tuesday via a translator. THIS REMOTE FACTORY IS WHERE TRUMP MAY FINALLY DRAW THE LINE ON TRADE HAWESVILLE, Ky. — When Bill Hughes went to fight in Iraq in 2003, members of his Army unit lined their vehicles with scrap metal, sandbags and bulletproof vests to protect themselves from roadside bombs. By the time his younger brother Ryan Young was in Iraq in 2008, the vehicles were made of a high-purity aluminum alloy that was much more effective at absorbing the blast. VIETNAM LOOKS TO SALVAGE OBAMA TRADE GAINS IN TRUMP VISIT Vietnamese Prime Minister Nguyen Xuan Phuc has a tough task when he visits the White House this week: Convince President Donald Trump to advance trade ties that blossomed under the Obama administration. To do so, Phuc plans to highlight all the U.S. jobs his nation supports through imports of American goods like airplanes, engine turbines and maize. G-7 LEADERS AGREE TO MAINTAIN SANCTIONS ON RUSSIA, FIGHT PROTECTIONISM — UPDATE TAORMINA, Italy — The Group of Seven nations struck deals on sanctions against Russia and global trade, overcoming disputes on two issues that threatened to pit U.S. President Donald Trump against the other six leaders. The nations agreed at a summit Saturday to maintain sanctions on Russia for its interference in Ukraine until the conditions of a peace process negotiated in Minsk, Belarus are fulfilled. They also promised to go further if Moscow’s behavior warrants tougher action. TRUMP ADMINISTRATION NEARING COMPLETION OF CUBA POLICY REVIEW: SOURCES The Trump administration is nearing completion of a policy review to determine how far it goes in rolling back former President Barack Obama’s engagement with Cuba and could make an announcement next month, according to current and former U.S. officials and people familiar with the discussions. President Donald Trump’s advisers are crafting recommendations that could call for tightening some of the trade and travel rules that Obama eased in his rapprochement with Havana but which are expected to stop short of breaking diplomatic relations restored in 2015 after more than five decades of hostility, the sources said. US TRADE DEFICIT UNEXPECTEDLY SWELLS, INVENTORIES DECLINE The US received a fresh batch of soft data on Thursday as the trade deficit widened and inventories declined signalling a potential drag on growth in the second quarter. An advanced reading of the US trade deficit swelled by 3.8 per cent to $67.6bn in April, from $65.1bn he previous month, the Census Bureau said. That compared with economists’ expectations that the deficit would shrink to $64.5bn. COHN ACKNOWLEDGES TRUMP CALLED GERMANY ‘VERY BAD ON TRADE’ Donald Trump’s top economic adviser acknowledged that the president said Germany is “very bad” when it comes to flooding the U.S. with cars, but insisted it wasn’t a dig at one of the U.S.’s most important allies. “He said, ‘They’re very bad on trade,’ but he doesn’t have a problem with Germany,” Gary Cohn, director of the National Economic Council, said as Trump joined a meeting of the Group of Seven leaders in Sicily. “He said his dad is from Germany. He said, ‘I don’t have a problem with Germany, I have a problem with German trade’.” WHAT DOES THE US PAY FOR TRADE DEALS? There is an interesting trade debate occurring on the editorial pages of the Wall Street Journal. First, the economist Chad Bown and the lawyer Alan Sykes ventured to correct Trump administration misunderstandings of the multilateral trading system. G-7 DEADLOCKED ON CLIMATE AND TRADE AS CANADA PRESSES ITS CASE Group of Seven nations remain at odds over what pledges — if any — to make on climate change and trade as leaders began a two-day summit in Sicily, Canadian officials said. In a pair of briefings Friday morning, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s government pledged to push for action on environmental issues and advocate for trade, while making clear there is no agreement. G-7 nations haven’t yet settled on wording for pledges on either climate or trade, a Canadian government official told reporters in one briefing. CHINA WRITES 117-PAGE WISH LIST FOR ‘WIN-WIN’ U.S. TRADE TIES China has drawn up a list of concessions it says can help deliver a “win-win” trade relationship with the U.S. The government wants to beef up infrastructure cooperation with the U.S. and accept greater imports of goods ranging from soybeans to aircraft, according to a 117-page document released by the Ministry of Commerce on Thursday. The report also recognizes the Trump administration’s grievances with China and globalization, urging “balanced development” of ties from now on. TRUMP FACES ROUGHER RECEPTION IN NATO, EU MEETINGS After a warm welcome in the Middle East and a “fantastic” visit with the pope, U.S. President Donald Trump walks on shakier ground on Thursday when European Union and NATO leaders will press him on defense, trade, and environmental concerns. The Republican president, midway through his first foreign trip since taking office, has basked in the glow of favorable receptions in Riyadh and Jerusalem, where leaders lauded his harsh words for Iran. DEFICITS IN TRADE AND DEFICITS IN UNDERSTANDING And therein lies the first major difference between the 1960s and today: The dollar is fully flexible, with markets determining the exchange rate, rendering trade imbalances self-correcting. So why has America been recording a large, persistent trade deficit, and why isn’t the dollar devaluing? It’s due to the second major difference: The investment-based demand for foreign currencies—which we momentarily set aside—has ballooned. People no longer exchange currencies just to buy foreign goods. THIS ‘TRUMP TRADE’ DOESN’T NEED CONGRESS AND THAT’S WHY WALL STREET LIKES IT While most of the so-called Trump trades require the president to successfully team up with a Republican-led Congress to make business-friendly laws, there’s one group of companies that Trump alone can help and already has, according to Wall Street. “Our conversations with trade lawyers have noted that the Trump administration has had a ‘chilling effect’ with respect to growing trade with the United States, especially in Asia,” said Credit Suisse research analysts Curt Woodworth and Serena Rocha Calejon in a report Wednesday. JOINT STATEMENT BETWEEN JAPAN AND THE WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION On 22 May 2017, H.E. Mr. Shinzo Abe, Prime Minister of Japan received H.E. Mr. Roberto Azevêdo, Director-General of the World Trade Organization (WTO) in Tokyo. The Director-General also held meetings with H.E. Mr. Fumio Kishida, Minister for Foreign Affairs, H.E. Mr. Yuji Yamamoto, Minister of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries, H.E. Mr. Yosuke Takagi, State Minister of Economy, Trade and Industry and H.E. Mr. Motome Takisawa, Parliamentary Vice-Minister for Foreign Affairs. NEW TRUMP TRADE REP LIGHTHIZER SPARS OVER PROTECTIONISM IN ASIA In a stormy first foray abroad for Robert Lighthizer, the new U.S. Trade Representative disagreed over protectionism with Asian and Pacific countries that look sceptically at the Trump administration’s “fair trade” agenda. With the United States on one side and the 20 other members of the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) forum on the other at a meeting in Vietnam, a planned joint statement had to be scrapped because of these differences. MODERNIZING TRADE FOR NAFTA AND BEYOND In the 25 years since the conclusion of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), the American software industry has transformed. It has evolved from floppy disks and desktop computing to cloud computing, smart devices, and data analytics. Innovation moves quickly, and those changes continue at a rapid rate – artificial intelligence, blockchain, and “smart” contracts are each reshaping how software is developed and used. TRUMP BUDGET WANTS TO HALVE OIL STOCKPILE, OPEN ARCTIC REFUGE TO DRILLING U.S. President Donald Trump’s White House wants to sell half of the nation’s emergency oil stockpile and open the Alaska National Wildlife Refuge to drilling as part of plans to balance the budget over the next 10 years, documents by the administration showed. The White House budget, which will be delivered to Congress on Tuesday, is meant as a proposal and may not take effect in its current form. But it reveals the administration’s policy hopes, which include ramping up American energy output. AUSTRALIA OPENS NEW TRADE HORIZON IN LATIN AMERICA CANBERRA—Australia plans to begin free trade talks on Wednesday with Peru, hoping to use a resulting pact to broaden commerce with three more Latin American countries and help counter a U.S. tide of protectionism. The talks come days after trade ministers from Australia and the 10 other countries remaining in the Trans-Pacific Partnership met in a push to revise the pact without Washington. President Donald Trump withdrew the U.S. in January. UPDATE 2-CHINA, RUSSIA SET UP WIDE-BODY JET FIRM IN NEW CHALLENGE TO BOEING, AIRBUS SHANGHAI, May 22 (Reuters) – China and Russia on Monday completed the formal registration of a joint venture to build a wide-body jet, kick-starting full-scale development of a program aimed at competing with market leaders Boeing Co and Airbus SE. State plane makers Commercial Aircraft Corp of China Ltd (COMAC) and Russia’s United Aircraft Corp (UAC) said at a ceremony in Shanghai the venture would aim to build a “competitive long range wide-body commercial aircraft.” TURKEY, RUSSIA SIGN MEMORANDUM ON LIFTING TRADE RESTRICTIONS: TURKISH SOURCES ANKARA (Reuters) – Turkey and Russia signed a memorandum on lifting trade restrictions against each other, Turkish presidential sources said on Monday, after Ankara and Moscow agreed at a meeting this month to settle trade disputes. The memorandum was signed by Turkish Deputy Prime Minister Mehmet Simsek and his Russian counterpart Arkady Dvorkovich in Istanbul, the sources said. DUMPED BY TRUMP, REMAINING TPP NATIONS VOW TO FORGE AHEAD The 11 countries left in the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade agreement have backed a proposal to continue with the pact, despite U.S. President Donald Trump pulling out of it in January, New Zealand’s trade minister said. Todd McClay, who chaired the meeting on the sidelines of an Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation meeting in Hanoi, Vietnam, on Sunday suggested the path was open for the U.S. to rejoin if it changed its mind. TRUMP’S TRADE REP BRINGS ‘AMERICA FIRST’ POLICY TO ASIA-PACIFIC SUMMIT U.S. President Donald Trump’s new trade representative held his first face-to-face meetings with some key partners on Saturday as the United States charts an “America First” policy that has upended the old global order and sparked fears of protectionism. Robert Lighthizer met ministers from Canada and Japan on the sidelines of a gathering of Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) countries in Vietnam’s capital, Hanoi, the biggest trade meeting since Trump took office. PRESIDENT TRUMP’S CLAIM THAT ‘WE ALWAYS LOSE’ IN U.S.-CANADA TRADE DISPUTES “I don’t know who the people are that would put us into a NAFTA, which was so one-sided. … Wilbur [Ross, the secretary of commerce] will tell you that, you know, like, at the court in Canada, we always lose. Well, the judges are three Canadians and two Americans. We always lose. But we’re not going to lose any more. And so it’s very, very unfair.” — President Trump, in an interview with the Economist, May 4, 2017 This new talking point by the president on NAFTA, the North American Free Trade Agreement, piqued our interest. We wondered: What court in Canada with a majority of Canadian judges rules against the United States in trade matters? COUNTRIES ACTING ALONE POSE MAIN RISK TO TRADE SYSTEM, WTO SAYS The biggest risk to the global trade order is one country taking unilateral action that disrespects the system, according to World Trade Organization Director-General Roberto Azevedo. “This temptation exists whenever you have a very sluggish economy, where you have near-stagnation, the tendency to find solutions looking inward is higher,” Azevedo said in an interview Saturday on the sidelines of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation trade ministers meeting in Hanoi, Vietnam. TRUMP TRADE OFFICIALS PREFER TRI-LATERAL NAFTA DEAL: U.S. SENATORS The Trump administration’s top trade officials hope to keep the North American Free Trade Agreement as a trilateral deal in negotiations with Canada and Mexico to revamp the 23-year-old pact, senators said on Tuesday. Several members of the Senate Finance Committee said Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross and new U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer told them in a closed door meeting that they would prefer the current three-nation format but left open the possibility of parallel bilateral agreements with Canada and Mexico. CAN ASIA REACH HIGH-INCOME? In a single generation, Asia has transformed itself from a low-income continent to a middle-income one. In 1991 more than 90 percent of the region’s population still lived in low-income countries. By 2015, more than 95 percent lived in middle-income countries (Figure 1). Rapid growth propelled most of the region—including the most populous countries of China, India, and Indonesia—into middle-income status. Is the continent now on its way to reaching high income in the next generation? TRADE PACT DUMPED BY TRUMP COULD BE REVIVED AT ASIA-PACIFIC MEETING Japan and other remaining members of the Trans Pacific Partnership will this weekend decide how to revive the trade agreement ditched by U.S. President Donald Trump. Their trade ministers will talk on the sidelines of an Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) meeting in Hanoi, Vietnam, where newly appointed U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer is also due to give more detail of Washington’s trade plans. U.K. CONSERVATIVE PARTY SETS IN STONE PLAN TO LEAVE EU CUSTOMS UNION LONDON—The U.K.’s governing Conservative Party confirmed Thursday it intended to extract Britain from the European Union’s customs union as well as the single market as it published its manifesto for a national election on June 8. The party, which opinion polls suggest will be returned to government with an increased majority, also opened the way to some financial settlement with the EU after Brexit—sidestepping a likely early sticking point in Brexit negotiations likely to start next month. The U.K. is expected formally withdraw from the EU in early 2019. NEW ZEALAND PRIME MINISTER HAILS JAPAN’S ROLE IN TPP BEFORE MEETING ABE New Zealand Prime Minister Bill English said Wednesday ahead of his meeting with Prime Minister Shinzo Abe in Tokyo that both countries “can and will” take a leading role in securing the future of the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade pact following the withdrawal of the United States. REFLECTIONS ON THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE WTO’S TRADE FACILITATION AGREEMENT More than three years after its adoption at the Bali ministerial conference, the WTO’s Trade Facilitation Agreement (TFA) entered into force in February 2017. The time has now come for the multilateral trade body’s African member states to set in motion their implementation efforts. MEXICO: WE’LL TALK NAFTA BUT DON’T DARE USE TARIFFS Mexican officials are happy to renegotiate a trade deal with President Trump and his team to make it more balanced. But they warn their US counterparts: Don’t play tough and slap taxes on us. EU-SINGAPORE INVESTMENT DEAL REQUIRES MEMBER STATE RATIFICATION, RULES ECJ Europe’s top court has said EU member states must sign off on some issues related to investment in a key trade deal with Singapore, in a judgment that could set a precedent for a post-Brexit trade pact with the UK. JAPANESE PM ABE SAYS IT IS HIS ‘STRONG WISH’ THAT THE US RETURNS TO THE TPP Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe said Monday that his country would continue pushing for a trans-Pacific trade deal, but he hoped the U.S. would rejoin the pact. JAPAN AND NEW ZEALAND AGREE TO AIM FOR PROGRESS ON TPP BY NOVEMBER Japan and New Zealand confirmed they will aim to reach an agreement with other signatories to move the Trans-Pacific Partnership forward by November despite the withdrawal of the United States. FORMER U.S. TRADE REPRESENTATIVE URGES RENEGOTIATION WITH CHINA TOKYO—The U.S. trade representative during China’s accession to the World Trade Organization in 1999 on Tuesday accused Chinese President Xi Jinping of accelerating reversals in liberalizing changes, resulting in discrimination against U.S. companies. TRADE GROUPS APPEAL TO BEIJING TO POSTPONE CYBERSECURITY LAW BEIJING — A coalition of 54 global business groups appealed to Chinese authorities Monday to postpone enforcing a cybersecurity law they warned violates Beijing’s free-trade pledges and might harm information security. U.S. FIRMS WANT IN ON CHINA’S GLOBAL ‘ONE BELT, ONE ROAD’ SPENDING XUZHOU, China — As China plans to build a raft of roads, rail lines, ports and airports across Asia, Africa and Europe, skeptics say Chinese companies will be the only real winners from the ambitious initiative. LIGHTHIZER APPROVAL AS TRADE REP PAVES WAY FOR NAFTA TALKS The U.S. Senate confirmed President Donald Trump’s pick as top trade negotiator, clearing the way for the administration to reset relations starting with the North American Free Trade Agreement. JAPAN PITCHES IDEA OF FIVE-NATION TPP: SOURCES An idea has emerged that the Trans-Pacific Partnership can take effect among at least five nations including Japan, Australia and New Zealand, instead of 12, sources involved in the negotiations said. U.S. ALUMINUM SECTOR URGES BRITAIN, EU TO UNITE AGAINST CHINA Representatives of the U.S. aluminum industry are speaking to EU counterparts and have written to British Prime Minister Theresa May urging action against what they says are “massive illegal subsidies” in China that threaten Western jobs. US TRADE DEFICIT NARROWS IN MARCH The U.S. trade deficit narrowed in March to the lowest level since October as both exports and imports fell. But the politically sensitive trade gap with China rose. TRUMP SAYS NORTH KOREA IS “MAYBE MORE IMPORTANT” THAN BETTER TRADE DEAL WITH CHINA President Trump said China’s help in dealing with North Korea is “worth making not as good a trade deal for the United States.” “I think that, frankly, North Korea is maybe more important than trade,” he said in an interview that aired Sunday on CBS News’ “Face the Nation.” GERMANY’S MERKEL ARRIVES IN UAE TO TALK TRADE AND REFUGEES While in Abu Dhabi, Merkel will discuss the upcoming G20 summit and urge leaders to do more to take in refugees. But an Emirates official has warned that Germany should be vigilant about possible security risks at home. HOW TRUMP’S TARIFF AGAINST CANADA COULD LEAD TO A TRADE WAR Earlier this week, the Trump administration announced a preliminary decision to impose a 20% tariff on Canadian softwood lumber imports. The move stems from an ongoing trade issue that dates back at least to the Reagan administration, which is poised to hurt both the US and Canadian economies if the countries can’t resolve it.” CHINA PUSHES FOR TIGHTER DUMPING RULES IN WTO FILING China has proposed tightening the rules on when countries can impose anti-dumping and anti-subsidy tariffs, saying their use was rising and that such charges were often misused and distorted international trade.” TRUMP SLAPS DUTY ON CANADIAN LUMBER, INTENSIFYING TRADE FIGHT U.S. President Donald Trump intensified a trade dispute with Canada, slapping tariffs of up to 24 percent on imported softwood lumber in a move that drew swift criticism from the Canadian government, which vowed to sue if needed.” RUSSIA-U.S. TRADE UP 25% IN 2017 AS TRUMP OFFERS THUMB’S DOWN ON EXXON MOBIL WAIVER President Trump put the kibosh last Friday on Exxon Mobil’s request to be allowed to resume a venture with a Russian oil company. That’s a not-particularly-surprising decision given the FBI and congressional investigations under way regarding Russia’s efforts to undermine the 2016 election and Trump associates’ contacts with Russian pre- and post-election as well as the fact that his Secretary of State, Rex Tillerson, is the former CEO of the oil company.” IMF MEMBERS SET ASIDE TRADE SPLIT AS FRENCH VOTE RATTLES NERVES International Monetary Fund members on Saturday dropped a pledge to fight protectionism amid a split over trade policy and turned their attention to another looming threat to global economic integration: the first round of France’s presidential election.” FINANCE LEADERS DEFEND TRADE, WORRY ABOUT THOSE LEFT BEHIND BARRIERS World finance leaders, confronted by a growing backlash against globalization, will seek to build support for free trade by finding ways to help those left behind. World Bank President Jim Yong Kim said he was “very much aware of the fact that there are many who have not benefited from globalization, who are very angry at the fact that they have not benefited.” U.S. AND INDONESIA SEEK TO CUT TRADE AND INVESTMENT BARRIERSD Indonesia and the United States agreed on Friday to find ways to reduce barriers to U.S. companies operating in Southeast Asia’s largest economy, visiting U.S. Vice President Mike Pence and Jakarta’s investment chief said. PACER PLUS NEGOTIATIONS CONCLUDED The 14 countries participating will sign the agreement in Tonga in June. PACER Plus is expected to enhance the economic development of Pacific island countries through greater regional trade and economic integration with Australia and New Zealand. JAPAN’S EXPORTS RISE IN MARCH, TRADE FRICTION FEARS CLOUD OUTLOOK Japan’s exports rose in March at the fastest pace in more than two years as increased shipments of car parts and steel signaled that expanding overseas demand could help boost the country’s notoriously slow economic growth. Exports rose 12.0 percent in March from a year ago, more than the median estimate of 6.7 percent annual growth. EURO AREA INTERNATIONAL TRADE IN GOODS SURPLUS €17.8 BN-€1.7 BN SURPLUS FOR EU28 The first estimate for euro area (EA19) exports of goods to the rest of the world in February 2017 was €170.3 billion, an increase of 4% compared with February 2016 (€163.2 bn). Imports from the rest of the world stood at €152.6 bn, a rise of 5% compared with February 2016 (€144.9 bn). JAPAN BACK DOWN BRINGS TPP BACK FROM THE DEAD A surprising about-face by Japan has resurrected the Trans Pacific Partnership, a regional free trade deal considered dead after US President Donald Trump withdrew from the agreement following his election. RCEP FACING A CRITICAL DEADLINE ASEAN is well on its way to becoming a global leader for regional integration and an important step in this process is on deadline. The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) negotiations, which were to have been substantially concluded at the end of 2015, will now enter the 18th round in May. IMF WARNINGS OF US PROTECTIONISM ‘RUBBISH’, SAYS ROSS Warnings of US protectionism by Christine Lagarde, head of the International Monetary Fund, and others are “rubbish”, Donald Trump’s top trade official has said in a new attack on the big trade surpluses of China, Europe and Japan. Speaking ahead of the arrival in Washington of global finance officials for this week’s IMF and World Bank spring meetings, commerce secretary Wilbur Ross said those accusing the Trump administration of protectionism were firing at the wrong target. CANADA AGREES ON FREE TRADE WITH ITSELF DOING business across Canada is not for the impatient. Its ten provinces and three territories see themselves as quasi-countries. They set standards and write laws with little regard for what their neighbours are doing. In Ontario petrol must be at least 5% ethanol; Manitoba insists on an 8.5% blend. Each province has its own ideas of how much grain dust people can be exposed to, and what sort of packages coffee creamer should come in. CHINA EXPORTS RISE 16.4%; TRADE SURPLUS RETURNS China’s exports and trade surplus increased more than expected in March on improved global demand, underpinning expectations that next week’s read on growth in the first quarter will show steady economic momentum. CANADA AGREES ON FREE TRADE WITH ITSELF DOING business across Canada is not for the impatient. Its ten provinces and three territories see themselves as quasi-countries. They set standards and write laws with little regard for what their neighbours are doing. In Ontario petrol must be at least 5% ethanol; Manitoba insists on an 8.5% blend. Each province has its own ideas of how much grain dust people can be exposed to, and what sort of packages coffee creamer should come in. POST-BREXIT TRADE DEAL WITH INDIA ‘WORTH EXTRA £2 BILLION TO BRITISH ECONOMY’ Britain will be able to increase its exports to India by more than £2 billion per year after Brexit by cutting EU red tape, a new analysis has found. The UK currently faces significant tariffs on its trade with India because of the European Union’s failure to agree a free trade deal. WORLD TRADE SEEN GROWING 2.4 PERCENT IN 2017, UNCERTAINTY WEIGHS: WTO World trade is on track to expand by 2.4 percent this year, though there is “deep uncertainty” about economic and policy developments, particularly in the United States, the World Trade Organization (WTO) said on Wednesday. POST-BREXIT TRADE DEAL WITH INDIA ‘WORTH EXTRA £2 BILLION TO BRITISH ECONOMY’ Britain will be able to increase its exports to India by more than £2 billion per year after Brexit by cutting EU red tape, a new analysis has found. The UK currently faces significant tariffs on its trade with India because of the European Union’s failure to agree a free trade deal. EU SEES ‘RENEWED SENSE OF URGENCY’ IN TRADE TALKS WITH JAPAN The European Union and Japan are showing renewed urgency in talks on a free-trade agreement, with EU Trade Commissioner Cecilia Malmstrom urging both sides to meet a year-end deadline in the face of increasing protectionist sentiment. EURASIA IS ON THE RISE. WILL THE US BE LEFT ON THE SIDELINES? The world’s biggest geopolitical trend today is not America First, or the global war on terror, or Brexit, or the renewed Cold War with Russia. It is the economic integration of Europe with Asia, especially the European Union with China. Europe and Asia co-inhabit the world’s largest landmass, Eurasia. They are increasingly connected economically as well. Trump’s protectionism and bellicosity will speed up the integration of Europe and Asia, and threaten to leave the United States on the sidelines. TRUMP’S QUICK WINS ON CHINA TRADE WON’T WIPE OUT THE DEFICIT President Trump toned down his rhetoric when he met his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping, late last week. This was not the start of a trade war some had feared. There was no repeat of claims that China was stealing U.S. jobs by manipulating its currency. There was also no grand bargain between the leaders of the world’s two biggest economies. Instead, they agreed to a “100-day plan” for talks, according to U.S. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross. THE TRADE DEFICIT WITH CHINA IS A PROBLEM — BUT NOT FOR THE REASON TRUMP THINKS There are many potential sources of conflict between the world’s two largest economies. But President Trump has forecast that his meeting Thursday and Friday with Chinese President Xi Jinping would be a “very difficult one” for a particular reason: Trade deficits. WHY INDIA COULD BE THE WINNER OF A U.S.-CHINA TRADE WAR The prospect of a trade war between China and the U.S. elicits frequent warnings of the risk to the global economy. India sees it somewhat differently. CHINA MARKET ACCESS IN SPOTLIGHT AS FIRST TRUMP-XI MEETING NEARS Henry Paulson used to urge his Chinese counterparts during trade and investment talks to help him keep America’s markets open to them by increasing access to theirs. TRADE AFTER THE TRANS-PACIFIC PARTNERSHIP In mid-March, ministers and high-level representatives from nations that have signed on to the Trans-Pacific Partnership, as well as China, Colombia and South Korea, met for the first time since the Trump administration withdrew from the trade accord. The signal from Viña del Mar, Chile, where the meeting took place, was clear: Multilateral trade and Pacific integration are alive and kicking. U.S. TRADE DEFICIT DROPS 10% IN FEBRUARY The U.S. trade deficit sank almost 10% in February, aided by an increase in exports to a 26-month high and a plunge in imports of autos, cellphones and other consumer goods. The deficit fell to $43.6 billion in February, more than canceling out a big increase in January that raised the nation’s trade gap to a five-year high of $48.2 billion. Figures are seasonally adjusted. TRADE AFTER THE TRANS-PACIFIC PARTNERSHIP In mid-March, ministers and high-level representatives from nations that have signed on to the Trans-Pacific Partnership, as well as China, Colombia and South Korea, met for the first time since the Trump administration withdrew from the trade accord. The signal from Viña del Mar, Chile, where the meeting took place, was clear: Multilateral trade and Pacific integration are alive and kicking. KOREA FILES COMPLAINT WITH WTO AGAINST CHINA’S THAAD RETALIATION Korea has filed a complaint with the World Trade Organization panel against China for its economic retaliation against the country’s decision to deploy a U.S. anti-missile system in the said country. This has been raised during the WTO meeting in Zurich, Switzerland last March 28 to 30. 2017 NATIONAL TRADE ESTIMATE REPORT The National Trade Estimate Report on Foreign Trade Barriers (NTE) is an annual series that surveys significant foreign barriers to U.S. exports. The report provides, where feasible, quantitative estimates of the impact of these foreign practices on the value of U.S. exports. Information is also included on actions taken to eliminate barriers. TRUMP TRADE CRACKDOWN ‘NOT ABOUT CHINA’ Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is doubling down on a push to deepen ties with China, with Canada’s new envoy signaling he can move ahead on a free-trade deal without quickly advancing extradition treaty talks. TRUMP TRADE CRACKDOWN ‘NOT ABOUT CHINA’ President Donald Trump is expected to sign two executive orders targeting the US trade deficit, ahead of Chinese President Xi Jinping’s state visit. One order will include a study looking at causes of the deficit by examining unpaid duties and foreign trade abuses. UK TRIGGERS BREXIT, STARTS EYEING UP MIDDLE EAST International trade minister Liam Fox has said that the UK is already in informal talks with 12 countries around the world, many of which are in the Middle East. Free trade agreements, lucrative arms deals, human rights concerns: let’s look at what the government has done so far in the region post-Brexit vote. BREXIT QUESTION DRAWS U.S, RUSSIAN, CHINESE INTEREST AT WTO China, Russia and the United States said on Monday they were taking an interest in Brexit, a World Trade Organization source said, after a question about a tricky but vital reform required by Britain arose at the Geneva-based trade body. NZ, CHINA FTA UPGRADE AGREED AMONG SLEW OF NEW DEALS New Zealand Prime Minister Bill English and China Premier Li Keqiang signed off a series of cooperation deals spanning trade, customs, travel and climate change and confirmed commencement of official talks on an upgrade to the nine-year old free-trade agreement between the two countries. TRADE, GLOBALIZATION FOCUS OF CHINESE PREMIER’S AUSTRALIAN VISIT Chinese Premier Li Keqiang is in Australia for a five-day visit that will focus on boosting global trade. China is Australia’s largest export market, responsible for nearly a third of its total exports, according to the government. BRAZIL MEAT SCANDAL DEEPENS AS CHINA, EU BAR SOME IMPORTS A scandal over expired meats in Brazil deepened on Monday with the European Union and China deciding to halt some meat imports from Latin America’s largest nation. The developments represent a major blow to Brazil, one of the world’s largest exporters of meat, which is struggling to emerge from its worst recession in decades. S KOREA COMPLAINS TO WTO ABOUT CHINA OVER THAAD South Korea has appealed to the World Trade Organization to determine if the Chinese government is treating South Korean companies unfairly. Seoul claims Beijing is retaliating economically over its deployment of a US anti-missile defence system. JAPAN’S ABE AND GERMANY’S MERKEL TALK UP FREE TRADE, URGE ‘SLUGGISH’ EU TO SIGN KEY DEAL Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and German Chancellor Angela Merkel on Sunday urged the European Union (EU) to finally sign a free trade deal with Japan following nearly four years of negotiations. TREASURY’S MNUCHIN FENDS OFF PUSH TO REJECT PROTECTIONISM U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin rebuffed a concerted push by world finance chiefs Saturday to disavow protectionism, fanning fears that the Trump administration’s pursuit of an “America First” policy could ignite global trade conflicts. TRUMP DOESN’T WANT TRADE WARS, TREASURY SECRETARY MNUCHIN SAYS U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said on Thursday that the Trump administration has no desire to get into trade wars, but certain trade relationships need to be re-examined to make them fairer for U.S. workers. USTR NOMINEE LIGHTHIZER OUTLINES TRADE STANCE IN SENATE HEARING Robert Lighthizer, the nominee for the post of US Trade Representative (USTR), testified during a Senate confirmation hearing on Tuesday 14 March that he would work to implement President Donald Trump’s “America first” vision on trade, while fielding questions from lawmakers on topics ranging from the renegotiation of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) to his planned stance on China. CHINA LOOKS TO G-20 MEETING FOR MORE CLARITY ON TRUMP POLICY FOG Watching. Observing. Waiting. That’s China’s stance as U.S. President Donald Trump’s new administration works on crafting its trade policy, according to Commerce Minister Zhong Shan. TRUMP’S USTR NOMINEE PLEDGES TOUGH ENFORCEMENT OF U.S. TRADE LAWS President Donald Trump’s choice for the top U.S. trade negotiator on Tuesday pledged an “America First” strategy to aggressively enforce U.S. laws and trade deals to stop unfair imports and push China to scrap excess factory capacity. TRUMP’S TRADE ‘HAMMER’ AIMS TO POUND CHINA, MEXICO AND THE WTO The trade talks on steel imports were dragging on, and Robert Lighthizer didn’t care for the Japanese offer. So he folded it into a paper airplane and launched it across his desk at Japan’s lead negotiator. REPUBLICANS POSE GROWING CHALLENGE TO TRUMP’S TRADE AGENDA Republican lawmakers are showing increasing resistance to President Donald Trump’s trade agenda, worried that his plans could hurt exports from their states and undermine longstanding U.S. alliances. STEVEN MNUCHIN TO FOCUS ON CURRENCIES AS G-20 GIRDS FOR TRUMP ERA US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin plans to use his debut at a Group of 20 meeting in Germany this week to drive home the message that the US won’t tolerate countries that engage in currency devaluation to gain an edge in trade, according to people familiar with the matter. EU’S MALMSTRÖM PUSHES FOR DEEPER TRADE TIES IN ASIA-PACIFIC REGION Boosting economic ties with the Asia-Pacific region is one of the main items on the EU trade docket this week, as the bloc’s top trade official travels to Singapore and the Philippines for talks on advancing various initiatives. ADIDAS CEO DOESN’T SWEAT POTENTIAL U.S. BORDER TAX Adidas CEO Kasper Rorsted says the sporting-goods giant isn’t feeling too much pressure from a potential border adjustable tax that would levy a 20% tax on goods imported into the United States. US TRADE DEFICIT JUMPS TO 5-YEAR HIGH OF $48.5 BILLION The U.S. trade deficit jumped in January to the highest level in nearly five years as a flood of mobile phones and other consumer products widened America’s trade gap with China. The result underscores the challenges facing President Donald Trump in fulfilling a campaign pledge to reduce America’s trade deficits. CIOBO DEFENDS VISA RULES AS INDONESIA AND AUSTRALIA SEEK TO CEMENT TRADE DEAL Australia’s trade minister, Steve Ciobo, has defended tough visa entry requirements for Indonesian students ahead of a high level visit to the country to complete an Australia-Indonesia trade deal. Australia’s prime minister, Malcolm Turnbull, will join Ciobo and a delegation of 120 Australian business people for the Indonesia-Australia Business Week (IAWB). TRUMP THREATENS TO TEAR UP THE TRADE RULE BOOK The framework of rules for global trade has withstood some fearsome ructions over the past few years. The rise of China, which aroused resentment about job losses across the world; the global financial crisis and the threat of renewed global protectionism; mounting inequality within some rich countries frequently blamed on trade: all have strained the World Trade Organisation’s ability to keep the peace. BREXIT COULD HELP EU STRIKE FREE TRADE DEAL WITH INDIA, MEPS BELIEVE The EU believes it may stand a better chance of striking a free trade deal with India after the UK leaves the union, despite the importance Britain attaches to trade with its old colony. ARAB, AFRICAN MINISTERS CALL FOR ENHANCED TRADE The International Islamic Trade Finance Corporation (ITFC) in partnership with the Islamic Development Bank (IDB) and the Minister Delegate for Industry, Trade, Investment, and Digital Economy, in charge of Morocco’s Foreign Trade organised a forum of the Arab-Africa Trade Bridges Programme (AATB) on 22-23 February in Rabat. TRUMP’S CHINA TRADE THREAT LOOMS LARGE OVER TAIWAN ECONOMY Call it collateral damage. If Donald Trump delivers on threats to put punishing tariffs on Chinese goods, plenty of pain would be felt in Taiwan, a de facto U.S. ally that Beijing considers a breakaway province. WTO’S TRADE FACILITATION AGREEMENT ENTERS INTO FORCE A major milestone for the global trading system was reached on 22 February 2017 when the first multilateral deal concluded in the 21 year history of the World Trade Organization entered into force. In receiving four more ratifications for the Trade Facilitation Agreement (TFA), the WTO has obtained the two-thirds acceptance of the agreement from its 164 members needed to bring the TFA into force. TRUMP ADMINISTRATION CONSIDERS CHANGE IN CALCULATING U.S. TRADE DEFICIT The Trump administration is considering changing the way it calculates U.S. trade deficits, a shift that would make the country’s trade gap appear larger than it had in past years, according to people involved in the discussions. JUNCKER WARNS UK ON PRE-BREXIT BILATERAL TRADE DEALS AS LONDON EYES BEIJING European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker has warned the UK it cannot negotiate bilateral trade deals in the period before it leaves the EU. London, meanwhile, is eyeing up China with talk of a ‘golden era.’ ASIA TRADE PACT ON TRICKY GROUND OVER FREE MIGRATION An Asian trade pact in focus after President Donald Trump pulled out of a rival deal has struck trouble over an issue that’s tripped up politicians from Europe to the U.S. — borders. CHINA FOREIGN MINISTER MEETS WITH NEW ZEALAND, AUSTRALIA OFFICIALS ON TRADE The past fortnight has seen ministerial-level meetings in Canberra and Auckland on trade, as China’s foreign minister travelled to the Australian and New Zealand cities to discuss deepening trade ties with the two nations respectively, officials say. U.S. FIRMS IN CHINA SEE CHANCE FOR RESET ON MARKET ACCESS A frustrated American business community in China is increasingly lining up behind the Trump administration’s strident calls for a tit-for-tat approach with Beijing on trade and investment. IF TRUMP CHANGED TACK ON NATO, CAN HE U-TURN ON THE IMF AND WTO? Donald Trump did not assume the US presidency as a committed multilateralist. On that, partisans of all political persuasions can agree. Among his most controversial campaign statements were some suggesting that Nato was obsolete, a position that bodes ill for his attitude to other multilateral organisations and alliances.. TRADE FACILITATION AGREEMENT: WHY TFA IS A KEY STEP TOWARDS DEMOCRATISATION OF TRADE, ECOMMERCE ” Multilateralism seems down and out. So does trade liberalisation. Any suggestion that the UN or the WTO may bring about meaningful progress increasingly falls onto disbelieving ears. To be sure, the pace of globalisation has been rapid. The resulting feeling of nervousness is, therefore, comprehensible.” TRUDEAU SAYS EU MUST SPREAD BENEFITS OR RISK TRADE’S DECLINE ” The trade pact between Canada and the European Union approved this week could be one of last multilateral trade deals unless policy makers share the benefits more widely, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau told European lawmakers.” MEXICO’S FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT UP IN FOURTH QUARTER Foreign direct investment in Mexico grew in the fourth quarter from the third quarter and from a year earlier, despite fears of a freeze following the election of Donald Trump to the U.S. presidency. TRUMP MAY WITHDRAW U.S. FROM WTO, OUTSIDE ADVISOR SAYS During the presidential transition period, Dan DiMicco, the former CEO of Nucor Steel Corp., was thought to be the likely choice to be the U.S. Trade Representative in the Trump administration. PANAMA SEEKS $210 MLN TRADE SANCTIONS AGAINST COLOMBIA AT WTO Panama wants to impose $210 million of annual trade sanctions on Colombia, according to a filing published by the World Trade Organization on Monday, after winning a legal challenge against a so-called “money laundering” tariff. EU AND OTHERS GEAR UP FOR WTO CHALLENGE TO US BORDER TAX The EU and other US trading partners have begun laying the groundwork for a legal challenge to a US border tax proposal in a move that could trigger the biggest case in World Trade Organisation history. THESE COUNTRIES COULD BE TRUMP’S NEXT TRADE WAR TARGETS India, Indonesia, Malaysia and Vietnam have largely escaped U.S. President Donald Trump’s glare on trade, but he may yet come looking. The U.S. runs trade deficits with all of them, in some cases quite big ones. CHINA SEEKS TO CALM FEARS OVER CAPITAL CONTROLS China’s top foreign exchange regulator says the country will not follow the “old road of capital controls”, as the government seeks to reassure investors that their money will not be trapped in China following recent measures to restrict capital outflows. CANADA’S TRUDEAU OPENS TALKS WITH TRUMP AIMING TO BOOST TRADE Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau on Monday opened talks at the White House with U.S. President Donald Trump, seeking to nurture economic ties while avoiding tensions over issues such as immigration on which the two are sharply at odds. TRADE DEALS ARE COMPLICATED BECAUSE TRADE IS COMPLICATED The new administration has introduced Washington to a new mantra on trade. Complicated multilateral trade deals, such as the Trans-Pacific Partnership or NAFTA, are a thing of the past. “No longer will we enter into these massive deals, with many countries, that are thousands of pages long — and which no one from our country even reads or understands,” President Trump promised on the campaign trail. TRUMP’S NEXT TRADE TARGET: EUROPE’S SCOOTERS AND CHEESE Washington has a prime opportunity to slap 100 percent tariffs on key EU exports. Iconic European products ranging from Roquefort cheese to Vespa scooters will soon be in Donald Trump’s sights. FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT INTO EMERGING MARKETS SEEN FALLING TO POST-CRISIS LOWS Forecast suggests another dour year of capital flows and economic growth for emerging markets EU, LATIN AMERICAN COUNTRIES MOVE TO DEEPEN TRADE TIES Efforts on behalf of the EU and Mexico to modernise a sixteen-year old free trade agreement have been ramped up, following a phone call between EU Trade Commissioner Cecilia Malmström and Mexican Economy Secretary Ildefonso Guajardo Villareal last week. THE PITFALLS OF RENEGOTIATING NAFTA A revision of the North American trade deal will not give Donald Trump what he wants BRAZIL CHALLENGES CANADA AT WTO OVER BOMBARDIER AID Brazil opened a formal complaint against Canada at the World Trade Organization (WTO) on Wednesday, accusing the country of distorting the global aerospace industry with subsidies for plane maker Bombardier Inc. U.S. CHAMBER OF COMMERCE WARNS AGAINST TEARING UP NAFTA TRADE DEAL Trade agreements have been central to American politics for some years. The idea that renegotiating trade agreements will “make America great again” by substantially increasing job creation and economic growth swept Donald Trump into office. REVOKING TRADE DEALS WILL NOT HELP AMERICAN MIDDLE CLASSES Trade agreements have been central to American politics for some years. The idea that renegotiating trade agreements will “make America great again” by substantially increasing job creation and economic growth swept Donald Trump into office. GLOBAL FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT FELL 13% IN 2016, BUT MODEST RECOVERY EXPECTED IN 2017 “FDI recovery continues along a bumpy road. Particularly of concern is the sharp drop-off in manufacturing investment projects, which play such an important role in generating badly needed productivity improvements in developing economies,” UNCTAD Secretary-General Mukhisa Kituyi said. U.S. TAX PLAN WOULD BREAK WTO RULES, LAWYERS SAY, AS EU BUSINESS FRETS A proposed U.S. corporate tax reform would almost certainly contravene international trade rules if implemented, lawyers told Reuters, risking the biggest dispute in the history of the World Trade Organization. SENATORS: CAREFUL HOW WE RENEGOTIATE NAFTA While renegotiations could strengthen and modernize NAFTA, any effort to impose new restrictions or barriers on our ability to trade with Mexico and Canada will have serious consequences for Arizona, including massive job losses for workers and dramatically higher costs for consumers. TRUMP TRADE EXPERT RIPS GERMANY FOR ‘MANIPULATING’ EURO In his first week in office, U.S. President Donald Trump withdrew the United States from the Trans-Pacific Partnership, thereby dealing a massive blow to U.S. trade relations with allies and partners in Asia. For week two, Team Trump has set its sights on wrecking U.S. trade with Europe. TRUMP’S TRADE WAR MAY HAVE ALREADY BEGUN America’s traditional allies are on the lookout for new friends. They have heard the mantra “America First” from the new president, divining a Trump doctrine: global cooperation last. Europeans have taken note of Mr. Trump’s denigration of the European Union and his apparent esteem for the Russian president, Vladimir V. Putin. In Asia and Latin America, leaders have absorbed the deepening possibility that Mr. Trump will deliver on threats to impose punitive tariffs on Mexican and Chinese imports, provoking a trade war that will damage economic growth and eliminate jobs around the world. A TRUMP TRADE AGENDA Both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton ran against trade in the 2016 presidential election. The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), in particular, became the symbol of all of globalization’s ills. But, like President Obama, President Trump will soon discover that trade is an opportunity to favorably define a presidency. TRUMP TO SEEK QUICK PROGRESS WITH JAPAN’S ABE ON REPLACEMENT TRADE DEAL President Donald Trump will seek quick progress toward a bilateral trade agreement with Japan in place of a broader Asia-Pacific deal he abandoned this week, when Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe visits the White House next month, an official in the Trump administration said on Thursday. WAYS & MEANS CHAIR BRADY DEFENDS BORDER ADJUSTABILITY AS WTO-COMPLIANT House Ways & Means Committee Chairman Kevin Brady (R-TX) defended the House GOP’s tax blueprint — particularly its border adjustability provision — by saying he is “very confident” the bill would withstand World Trade Organization challenges if it became law, though he expects other countries to criticize the move nonetheless.” CHINA TO INCLUDE AUTOS, NEW ENERGY, GRAPHENE INTO OVERCAPACITY CUTS More industries are likely to be included in China’s drive to cut excess capacity, which so far has focused on steel and coal, a report said Monday, as President Xi Jinping vowed to “reduce low-end and inefficient supply.” IT’S OFFICIAL: TRIPS HEALTH AMENDMENT IN EFFECT, FIRST EVER TO A WTO AGREEMENT More than a decade after World Trade Organization member states approved the first-ever legal amendment to a WTO agreement, the change to the international intellectual property agreement has entered into effect. Five more members ratified the amendment in recent days, bringing supporters over the minimum needed to put into effect for the amendment aimed at boosting exports of medical products made under compulsory licence. CHINA IN POLE POSITION TO SHAPE REGIONAL TRADE AGREEMENTS AFTER TRUMP QUITS TPP China is in a strong position to set the agenda for trade in the region after US President Donald Trump officially abandoned the Trans-Pacific Partnership, leaving its other 11 members searching for an alternative deal. WILL HOUSE REPUBLICANS’ “BORDER ADJUSTABLE” TAX PLAN CAUSE A TRADE WAR? (SPOILER: MAYBE NOT!) Perhaps the highest legislative priority for House Republicans in the 115th Session of Congress is an overhaul of the United States’ antiquated and onerous corporate tax code. TPP WITHDRAWAL TRUMP’S FIRST EXECUTIVE ACTION MONDAY, SOURCES SAY President Donald Trump on Monday will start to unravel the behemoth trade deal he inherited from his predecessor, as two sources familiar with the matter told CNN he plans to sign an executive order to withdraw from the negotiating process of the Trans-Pacific Partnership. U.S. FILES TRADE CHALLENGE AGAINST CANADA OVER WINE The Obama administration on Wednesday launched a trade challenge against Canada’s treatment of U.S. wines, arguing the rules in place undermine fair competition. DALIO SAYS MULTINATIONAL CORPORATIONS ARE THREATENED BY POPULISM Ray Dalio, the billionaire founder of hedge-fund giant Bridgewater Associates, said the rise of populism threatens multinational corporations and is the biggest force in the world today. U.S. LAUNCHES WTO COMPLAINT OVER CHINESE ALUMINUM SUBSIDIES The Obama administration on Thursday launched a new complaint against Chinese aluminum subsidies at the World Trade Organization, accusing Beijing of artificially expanding its global market share with cheap state-directed loans and subsidized energy. U.S. LAUNCHES WTO COMPLAINT OVER CHINESE ALUMINUM SUBSIDIES The Obama administration on Thursday launched a new complaint against Chinese aluminum subsidies at the World Trade Organization, accusing Beijing of artificially expanding its global market share with cheap state-directed loans and subsidized energy. TRUMP’S NEXT SUPPLY CHAIN TARGET: BIG PHARMA In a press conference today, Donald Trump launched an attack on the pharmaceutical industry. He called for their manufacturing facilities to return to US production. WAYS AND MEANS REPUBLICANS READY TO GROW THE ECONOMY, HELP AMERICANS In the U.S. House Ways and Means Committee—which has jurisdiction over taxes, international trade, health care, several anti-poverty programs, Medicare, and Social Security—our six Subcommittees are preparing ambitious agendas to grow our economy and help Americans of all walks of life. FIAT MAY HALT PRODUCTION IN MEXICO IF DONALD TRUMP RAISES TARIFFS Fiat Chrysler Automobiles Chief Executive Sergio Marchionne said on Monday that if tariffs set in a Trump administration on vehicles made in Mexico and imported to the United States are too high, the company may end Mexican production. AS 2017 APPROACHES, EU PREPARES FOR BUSY YEAR ON TRADE AND INVESTMENT AGENDA The coming year is expected to be a pivotal one for the 28-nation EU bloc, as it embarks on the next chapter of the “Brexit” process and sees elections in various large member states, while also working to advance its foreign trade and investment agenda on multiple fronts. U.S. CHALLENGES CHINA’S GRAIN IMPORT QUOTAS AT WTO The United States on Thursday launched a challenge to China’s use of tariff-rate quotas (TRQs) for rice, wheat and corn at the World Trade Organization, charging that Beijing’s administration of the program breached its WTO commitments and hurt U.S. farm exports. BREXIT TRADE DEAL COULD TAKE 10 YEARS, SAYS UK’S AMBASSADOR A post-Brexit UK-EU trade deal might take 10 years to finalise and still fail, the UK’s top diplomat in Brussels has privately told the government. EUROPEAN COMPANIES WITH CHINESE SUPPLY-CHAINS BRACE FOR NEW ANTI-DUMPING FRAMEWORK An approaching World Trade Organization deadline makes higher prices likelier for European goods made with parts and materials imported from China. WALLONIA PROPOSES NEW RULES FOR NEGOTIATING INTERNATIONAL TRADE DEALS The Belgian region of Wallonia, which gained worldwide notoriety by keeping the CETA agreement and an EU-Canada summit hostage for several days, unveiled the Namur Declaration on Monday (5 December), proposing a new way to negotiate international trade treaties. KEY GOP LAWMAKERS NONCOMMITTAL ON TRUMP’S 35 PERCENT TARIFF THREAT FOR U.S. COMPANIES Senate Finance Committee Chairman Orrin Hatch (R-UT) and his counterpart in the House, Ways & Means Committee Chairman Kevin Brady (R-TX), have so far declined to support or oppose President-elect Donald Trump’s threat to punish U.S. companies with a 35 percent tariff for moving operations abroad. MOST US MANUFACTURING JOBS LOST TO TECHNOLOGY, NOT TRADE The US did indeed lose about 5.6m manufacturing jobs between 2000 and 2010. But according to a study by the Center for Business and Economic Research at Ball State University, 85 per cent of these jobs losses are actually attributable to technological change — largely automation — rather than international trade. EGA MINISTERS FAIL TO REACH ANTICIPATED DEAL FOLLOWING NEGOTIATIONS Ministers of countries negotiating an Environmental Goods Agreement were unable to bridge divides and strike a deal in Geneva following what was supposed to be the final round of negotiations and a concluding ministers meeting on the plurilateral initiative. LAWMAKERS IN EU, CANADA BEGIN CONSIDERATION OF CETA TRADE DEAL The next stage in the approval process for the EU-Canada trade pact is now getting underway, officials say, with parliamentary committees in Europe preparing to vote on the accord in the coming weeks. On the other side of the Atlantic, the deal has already been tabled in the Canadian parliament for legislative consideration. PETERSON INSTITUTE PRESIDENT: ‘I DON’T THINK THE TPP WILL DIE’ Adam Posen, the president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, thinks the Trump administration ultimately will remain part of the Trans-Pacific Partnership if Japan and other TPP countries make a strong case for the deal. “I don’t think the TPP will die,” Posen told a Japanese newspaper . IS THIS HOW WE’LL MAKE THINGS IN 2030? Manufacturing and production systems will be completely transformed by the Fourth Industrial Revolution – a period characterized by a fusion of technologies that is blurring the lines between the physical, digital, and biological spheres. WTO PANEL FINDS ONE WASHINGTON STATE TAX BREAK FOR BOEING VIOLATES RULES A World Trade Organization dispute settlement panel on Nov. 28 issued a report finding that one of the seven Washington State tax incentives given to Boeing challenged by the European Union constitutes a prohibited subsidy contingent on the use of domestic over foreign goods. IN TEXAS, BUSINESS OWNERS HOPE DONALD TRUMP’S NAFTA RHETORIC IS JUST TALK “How are you going to go in and end a trade agreement that has been in place for more than 20 years where the economy of North Texas is so intertwined with the economies of Canada and Mexico?” JAPAN TO FORM $900M INVESTMENT FUND WITH RUSSIA Japanese and Russian state-backed lenders will create a fund to jointly invest in Moscow’s priority development projects, part of efforts to promote better business and diplomatic ties. APEC LEADERS VOW TO FIGHT PROTECTIONISM, LOOK TO CHINA ON TRADE Pacific Rim leaders vowed on Sunday to fight protectionism and Chinese officials said more countries are looking to join a China-led trading bloc after Donald Trump’s election victory raised fears the United States would scrap free trade deals. INSIDE DONALD TRUMP’S ECONOMIC TEAM, TWO VERY DIFFERENT VIEWS Mr. Trump captured the presidency with a small coterie of advisers whose public views diverge sharply on several fronts, most vividly on trade policy, which the president-elect made a centerpiece of his campaign. CANADA, MEXICO LEADERS TO DISCUSS NAFTA STRATEGY THIS WEEKEND: SOURCE The leaders of Mexico and Canada will hold talks this weekend on the potential impact that a Donald Trump presidency could have on the NAFTA trade pact, a source close to the matter said on Thursday. FINANCE COMMITTEE REPUBLICANS STRESS NEED TO WORK WITH TRUMP ON TRADE, TPP Just over week after the election of Donald Trump effectively eliminated the chances for a vote on the Trans-Pacific Partnership this year, Republican members of the Senate Finance Committee said they see a path forward in working with the president-elect on trade policy — including the possibility of making changes to TPP. PACIFIC RIM LEADERS EYE CHINA LEAD ON TRADE AFTER TRUMP WIN Leaders of Pacific rim nations gathered in Peru on Friday, looking to China to salvage hopes for regional trade as prospects of a Donald Trump presidency in the United States sounded a possible death knell for the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) free trade pact. STEVE MNUCHIN AND WILBUR ROSS SHORTLISTED FOR TOP ECONOMIC ROLES Trump signals he plans to pursue pro-growth and business friendly economic policy. U.S. IMPORT PRICES FIRMING Prices for foreign goods shipped to the U.S. rose in October, a sign of firming inflation driven by higher fuel costs. The import-price index, measuring the cost of goods ranging from Canadian oil to Chinese electronics, rose 0.5% from a month earlier, the Labor Department said Tuesday. Economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal expected prices to rise 0.3%. OBAMA ADVISERS ‘CLEAR-EYED’ ABOUT TPP’S FATE IN THE LAME-DUCK Ahead of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation forum leaders’ summit, Obama administration officials this week said they are “clear-eyed” about the prospects of a lame-duck vote on the Trans-Pacific Partnership, citing statements from leaders on Capitol Hill who have ruled out that possibility. DONALD TRUMP’S NAFTA PLAN WOULD CONFRONT GLOBALIZED AUTO INDUSTRY The tens of thousands of parts that make up any vehicle often come from multiple producers in different countries and travel back and forth across borders several times. This is a tenet of modern manufacturing: Where a product is ultimately assembled increasingly has little bearing on where its component parts are made. EXPERTS WEIGH IN: WHAT THIS ELECTION MEANS FOR U.S. FOREIGN POLICY AND NEXT STEPS e U.S. election season was watched with great interest around the world, and with good reason—with the office of the presidency comes great power in the domain of international affairs. We asked Brookings foreign policy experts what this election means for U.S. foreign policy (both in general and for a particular region or issue they work on), as well as what key recommendation they’d make to the incoming president. JAPAN DEFIES TRUMP, APPROVES TPP TRADE PACT Japan’s lower house of parliament has passed the contentious Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) free trade deal, a move largely viewed as an empty gesture because the US president-elect flatly rejects it. US ELECTION: WORLD PREPARES FOR NEW ERA FOLLOWING SURPRISE TRUMP WIN Donald Trump will be the 45th president of the United States, winning the Electoral College vote in the world’s largest economy. The outcome – which has surprised pollsters, policy analysts, and even campaign officials themselves – has shaken global markets, as both the US and the international community begin to react to new leadership in Washington that promises to break with decades of previous policies. REPUBLICANS MAINTAIN SENATE MAJORITY, KEEP CONTROL OF FINANCE COMMITTEE The Republican party has maintained its edge in the Senate, according to the AP’s tally, allowing the GOP to keep control of the Finance Committee. U.S. BUSINESSES BRACE FOR UNCERTAINTY Donald Trump’s surprise victory leaves large U.S. businesses bracing for revamped trade pacts and a potential crackdown on overseas operations, but the promise of lower corporate tax rates at home. EUROPEAN CARMAKERS FEAR TRUMP FALLOUT ON TRADE, IRAN Germany’s mighty automakers wasted little time on Wednesday in voicing concern that Donald Trump’s election as U.S. president may damage trade, and with it their business…Trump’s surprise victory will rattle groups including BMW that have invested heavily in Mexican production to serve the U.S. market – as well as posing a potential threat to investments by Renault and PSA in Iran. NEW GLOBAL TRADE ALERT SYSTEM LAUNCHED TO BOOST MARKET ACCESS FOR DEVELOPING COUNTRIES A new online alert system designed to help government agencies and small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) keep track of the latest information on regulatory requirements for international trade was launched today (8 November) by the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (DESA), the World Trade Organization (WTO) and the International Trade Centre (ITC). THE LAST, BEST HOPE FOR A GOOD TRADE DEAL But the best chance for the TPP would be action under Obama, since he is openly for it. If, as seems likely, the Trans-Pacific Partnership doesn’t pass in the next few weeks, it will represent the triumph of a vocal minority over the national interest. UK EAGER TO HAVE FREE TRADE AGREEMENT WITH INDIA: NIRMALA The UK is “eager” to have a free trade agreement (FTA) with India as the pact is expected to further boost economic ties between the two. “Yes, they are eager to have an FTA. They certainly look at India as one of the potential FTA partners. We are also happy to engage with them,” Commerce and Industry Minister Nirmala Sitharaman told reporters here. BREXIT EU-UK TRADE NEGOTIATIONS WILL BE ‘VERY TOUGH’: WTO CHIEF Trade deals between the U.K. and European Union (EU) post-Brexit are likely to be “tough”, the head of the World Trade Organization (WTO) told CNBC. CHINA AND RUSSIA AIM TO INCREASE TRADE TURNOVER TO $200 BILLION BY 2020 Chinese premier Li Keqiang capped his tour through the One Belt, One Road’s hinterland with a stop in St. Petersburg, Russia to meet with his Russian counterpart Dmitry Medvedev. The 21st regular meeting of the Russian and Chinese heads of government came with the usual raft of agreements and memorandums. IS CHINA READY TO MAKE THE GREAT LEAP FORWARD TO SET GLOBAL TRADE RULES? In the 15 years since joining the World Trade Organisation, China has leaped from six to two in the world’s economic rankings and become the globe’s biggest trading nation. Now China is seeking to match that economic might with a greater say over the rules underpinning the trading system, challenging the dominance of the United States and Europe. HOW AFRICANS VIEW CHINESE INVESTMENT Strategic collaboration with Africa has become a priority in the global North, East, and West. Powers that once saw the African continent primarily as a source of raw materials now focus on “partnership” and “development,” following the lead of the U.S. African Growth and Opportunities Act (AGOA) in highlighting mutual benefits of investment and trade. CHINA FIRMS EYE ‘MADE IN VIETNAM’ WINDFALL – IF OBAMA’S TPP SURVIVES Even as doubts linger over the future of U.S. President Barack Obama’s TPP once he leaves office, early moves by China Inc to leverage off Vietnam’s lower factory wages – about a third that of China’s – show a re-centering of the world’s factory activity. INDIA IS THE LAND OF OPPORTUNITY FOR BRITAIN AS IT LEAVES THE EUROPEAN UNION Relationships between nations are meant to be reinvented from time to time, as Theresa May clearly hopes to do during her visit to India this week. And history has its own way of giving opportunities to do that. As Brexit moves through its paces, one such opportunity beckons India and the UK, two nations bound by shared history going back centuries. SMART REFORMS COULD IMPROVE SRI LANKA’S EXPORTS: WORLD BANK “Sri Lanka’s leading firms have risen to standards of global excellence, demonstrating that world class levels of operational performance, efficiency, and innovation can be achieved with the right management, technology and worker training,” said Idah Pswarayi-Riddihough, World Bank Country Director for Sri Lanka and the Maldives. IN INDIA WITH THERESA MAY Today, the smog across Delhi is just a little bit lighter. Prime Minister Theresa May arrived yesterday on her first international trade mission to hear, and read, a devastating wave of frustration and hurt about how India views our tight visa controls on students. US TRADE OFFICIALS PREPARE FOR A POST-ELECTION LANDSCAPE ON TPP “With less than one week remaining until US voters go to the polls, officials both from the current Obama administration as well as from other Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) countries are ramping up their efforts to build support for ratifying the 12-country pact.” U.S. WINE, SPIRITS GROUPS CHARGE CANADIAN RESTRICTIONS VIOLATE TRADE OBLIGATIONS “Two U.S. groups representing the wine and distilled spirits industries are claiming measures instituted by Canadian provinces that give favorable treatment to domestic wines and spirits run counter to Canada’s international trade obligations.” MORE PAIN AHEAD FOR OCEAN SHIPPING “The overcapacity that has plagued ocean shipping firms in recent years will only grow wider in the coming years, The Boston Consulting Group Inc. said in a report.” EU-MERCOSUR DEAL HITS FRESH SETBACK “The President of South American trade bloc Mercosur’s parliament (Parlasur) thinks that the EU’s current tabled offer is “unsatisfactory” and made it clear that it shouldn’t be signed in its current form. EurActiv Spain reports.” HOW U.S. ELECTION MAY IMPACT FACTORIES IN MEXICO “The U.S. presidential election is still days away but the impact of the campaign and its outsized focus on Mexico already are being felt in the market for warehouses and factories in border towns like Juarez, Monterrey and Saltillo.” MAERSK CALLS A TENTATIVE BOTTOM TO CONTAINER SHIPPING WOES “The world’s biggest container shipping line on Wednesday called a tentative bottom to the woes afflicting the industry even as it reported its second quarterly loss in a row.” OBAMA MAKES A LONG-SHOT BID FOR TPP TRADE DEAL “President Barack Obama is forging ahead with a long-shot bid to bring a 12-nation Pacific trade agreement to a vote in Congress immediately after an election that has stirred deep antitrade sentiments in both parties.” U.S. COMMODITY GROUPS CALL FOR ADDRESSING EU BIOTECH ISSUES IN TTIP TALKS “The U.S. Grains Council and USA Rice are calling on U.S. negotiators to address within the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership the European Union’s “asynchronous approval process” of biotechnology traits as well as the EU’s low-level presence policy.” 7 WAYS INTERNATIONAL TRADE IS LIKE BASEBALL “The sounds of baseball in October mean the postseason and the World Series. Meanwhile, the sounds of international trade policy bashing can only mean an election around the corner. Turns out we can learn a lot about international trade policy from baseball. Let’s take a look at seven lessons.” SOUTH KOREA THROWS ITS SHIPBUILDERS A $9.6 BILLION LIFELINE “South Korea plans to spend $9.6 billion on ships from local yards to stave off the collapse of its shipbuilding industry, the latest evidence of the wrenching impact of a prolonged slump in global trade.” U.S. BUSINESS GROUPS SET SIGHTS ON CUBA “U.S. business officials are headed south this week to explore ways for American companies to boost business in Cuba and to scope out opportunities for foreign direct investment, setting up alongside companies from other nations at the annual Havana International Trade Fair. THE DOMESTIC BUSINESS CASE FOR TPP “Ratification of the 12-nation trade deal would be an historic, against-the-odds victory for President Obama. But the urgent need for action has less to do with his legacy and more to do with economic and political realities.”. JAPAN’S LARGEST SHIPPING FIRMS TO MERGE CONTAINER OPERATIONS “Japan’s three largest shipping companies said Monday they would merge their container shipping operations to create the world’s sixth-largest player in an effort to cope with a global decline in the container business.”. WTO AIRBUS RULING CONTAINS ‘SERIOUS’ LEGAL ERRORS, EU SAYS “The European Union said the World Trade Organization committed several “serious errors” when it found that EU member states failed to eliminate billions of dollars of illegal subsidies for the European aircraft consortium, Airbus Group SE.”. UPS CEO SEEING GREATER COMMITMENT FROM OBAMA ADMINISTRATION ON TPP DEAL “The top executive at United Parcel Service Inc (UPS.N) said on Thursday he is seeing a greater commitment from President Barack Obama’s administration on getting the Trans Pacific Partnership (TPP) deal completed despite negative election campaign rhetoric about free trade agreements.”. ENVIRONMENTAL GOODS AGREEMENT NEGOTIATORS PREPARE FOR DECEMBER DEADLINE “A group of 17 WTO members – counting the 28-nation EU as one – negotiating tariff cuts on select environmental goods will engage in a busy schedule of consultations over the coming weeks in a bid to secure a deal in time for a ministerial meeting in early December.”. WHAT THE CHINA TRADE WARRIORS GET WRONG “After three intense presidential debates, Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump managed to agree on at least one thing: The Trans-Pacific Partnership is bad for America, in part because many trade deals have supposedly caused trade deficits. Unfortunately, they’re both wrong.”. EU-CANADA TRADE DEAL: BELGIANS BREAK CETA DEADLOCK “Belgian political leaders have reached a consensus in support of the Ceta trade deal between the EU and Canada, Prime Minister Charles Michel has said.”. EU SETS BELGIUM AN ULTIMATUM ON CETA “The European Union is giving Belgium until Monday evening to decide whether it will agree to sign a trade deal with Canada after a Belgian region has persistently refused to support the accord, Belgian and EU officials said.”. SERVICES INDUSTRY WAITING ON ENFORCEMENT OF TPP DATA FIX FOR NON-TISA COUNTRIES “With less than a month to go before lawmakers return to Capitol Hill for a lame-duck session that could involve a vote on the Trans-Pacific Partnership, members of the services industry are waiting for the Obama administration to present them with an enforceable solution to address a ban on data localization for the financial services sector in TPP countries that are not part of the Trade in Services Agreement.”. MAJOR BANKS MARK FIRST-EVER INTERNATIONAL TRADE USING BLOCKCHAIN TECH “The first cross-border transaction between banks using multiple blockchain applications has taken place, Commonwealth Bank of Australia and Wells Fargo & Co said on Monday, resulting in a shipment of cotton to China from the United States.”. THINK TANKS WEIGH IN ON WHERE THE NEXT ADMINISTRATION WILL TAKE TRADE POLICY “A diverse cross-section of think tanks has analyzed the potential trade policies of the two presidential candidates, and in recent reports and blogs offered detailed assessments — and some skepticism — about where the next administration is likely to go on trade matters.”. BRITAIN THWARTS EU HOPES OF TOUGHER TRADE STANCE ON CHINA “The U.K. has raised the stakes in its first major fight with the EU’s biggest countries since the Brexit referendum by rejecting pleas for tougher trade defenses against China.”. CHINESE GROUP MULLS $700 MILLION STEEL INVESTMENT IN PHILIPPINES “China’s Baiyin Nonferrous Group Co. agreed to consider setting up a stainless steel plant in the Philippines that could cost as much as $700 million, as part of a wider push to boost trade and economic ties between the two countries.”. AS EU-CANADA SUMMIT APPROACHES, PRESSURE GROWS TO REACH CETA CONSENSUS “The European Council is due to begin a two-day leaders’ meeting on Thursday, where they are expected to confirm whether they are in a position to sign a negotiated trade deal with Canada. The gathering is being pegged as a pivotal moment for the future credibility of the EU’s foreign trade policy and watched as a litmus test for global economic integration more broadly.”. CHINA SCORES WTO VICTORIES AGAINST SOME U.S. ANTI-DUMPING METHODS “China won the bulk of a World Trade Organization complaint against certain U.S. methods of determining anti-dumping duties on Chinese products in a WTO dispute panel ruling released on Wednesday.”. USTR FROMAN CALLS FOR “PRAGMATIC MULTILATERALISM” IN CHARTING WTO COURSE “US Trade Representative Michael Froman issued a call for fellow WTO members to follow a growing trend of “pragmatic multilateralism,” particularly as they work to chart a path toward the organisation’s next ministerial conference in Buenos Aires, Argentina, and beyond.”. AUTO POWERHOUSE SLOVAKIA EYES POST-BREXIT UK CAR INDUSTRY “Car industry giant Slovakia is showcasing itself as a global centre for auto assembly during its EU presidency amidst warnings by foreign car firms they may leave the UK in the event of a hard Brexit.”. RISE IN GLOBAL TRADE THE TONIC THE WORLD ECONOMY NEEDS: REUTERS POLL “The world economy needs international trade to pick up, according to Reuters polls of hundreds of economists who see no end yet to the aggressive monetary stimulus through which central banks have tried to prop up inflation.”. BELGIAN REGION OF WALLONIA BLOCKS EU-CANADA TRADE DEAL “Lawmakers in the small Belgian region of Wallonia today (14 October) voted to block an EU-Canada trade deal in a move set to have serious implications for future trade talks with the US and a non-EU UK.”. ITC NOW ACCEPTING MISCELLANEOUS TARIFF BILL PETITIONS “The International Trade Commission has opened up its miscellaneous tariff petition process for companies and members of the public who feel they qualify for duty suspensions or reductions on certain products.”. JAPAN MAKES EARLY PUSH IN ASIA TO RATIFY TPP TRADE DEAL “The Japanese parliament began debating the Trans-Pacific Partnership, hoping to boost its chances in the U.S. after the presidential election, although some see the strategy backfiring.”. EU APPEALS AGAINST WTO RULING IN DISPUTE OVER AIRBUS SUBSIDIES “The European Union launched an appeal on Thursday against a World Trade Organization (WTO) panel finding last month that it had failed to rein in billions of dollars of subsidies to planemaker Airbus.”. WORLD BANK-IMF ANNUAL MEETINGS CALL FOR TACKLING INEQUALITY, SUPPORTING TRADE “The Annual Meetings of the World Bank Group and International Monetary Fund (IMF) drew to a close on Sunday, following a weekend of intense discussions on how to tackle the challenge of inequality and address a growing distrust in many countries of globalisation, particularly in a context of persistently slow growth.”. HOW ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE WILL KILL SOME JOBS BUT CREATE OTHERS “The Obama administration may be headed for the exits, but it continues to focus on the impact of artificial intelligence on the economy and the nation at large.”. EU LOSS IN BIODIESEL WTO APPEAL SHARPLY LIMITS RESPONSES TO CHINA NME EXPIRATION “The European Commission’s toolbox to maintain significant AD duties on Beijing after key provisions of its World Trade Organization Accession Protocol expire in just under two months has been greatly diminished due to a final legal defeat at the World Trade Organization in a dispute over the legality of using third-country data to establish AD duties, expert sources told Inside U.S. Trade.”. CHINA TRADE: ANOTHER WEAK SIGNAL FOR GLOBAL ECONOMY “Chinese trade data for September was surprisingly dour. Exports contracted 10% from a year earlier. Imports of things like coal, iron ore and oil didn’t fall in volume terms, which should provide some solace to commodities bulls.”. TTIP NEGOTIATORS CONCLUDE FIFTEENTH ROUND, PLEDGE TO PUSH FORWARD “Negotiators for the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) concluded their fifteenth round last week, touting advances and pledging to make additional progress in the coming months, even as the talks’ long-term future remains unclear.”. DIGITAL PRINTING FUELS SPEED TO MARKET “Fast is the new black in fashion today and many brands are turning to digital printing to help them respond to an increasingly want-now market.”. WHY TPP MATTERS FOR THE U.S. SERVICES SECTOR “Trade agreements, like the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), would significantly benefit the largest and fastest growing sector in the U.S. economy. Services account for 78 percent of total U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) and 82 percent of the American workforce.”. WTO MEMBERS DEBATE NEW PROPOSALS TO EASE GLOBAL FLOW OF SERVICES “WTO members welcomed efforts to reinvigorate services negotiations at a meeting of the Working Party on Domestic Regulation on 6 October 2016. Under discussion were two new proposals — on a trade facilitation agreement for services and on new disciplines for measures relating to the licensing and qualification of services suppliers.”. EUROPEAN COMMISSION PARALYSED OVER DATA FLOWS IN TISA TRADE DEAL “European Commission officials have struck a deal that could put a clause guaranteeing international data flows into a trade agreement with 22 countries outside the bloc, including the United States and Australia. But the Commission is in deadlock over whether to cave to pressure from the US despite criticism that salvaging the pact on services could undermine EU privacy law.”. OCTOBER SURPRISE? AMERICANS SUPPORT A US ENGAGED WITH WORLD, SURVEY FINDS. “Despite the isolationist notes in the presidential election, Americans prefer to remain engaged with the world, a new survey says.”. IMF WARNS U.S. RATE HIKE COULD DISRUPT ASIAN CAPITAL FLOWS “A disorderly reaction to possible U.S. interest rate hikes could disrupt capital flows and heighten asset price volatility in Asia, the International Monetary Fund said on Thursday.”. FORGET BRUSSELS, BREXIT’S TOUGHEST BATTLEGROUND IS THE WTO “Negotiating Brexit with 27 occasionally hostile EU states will turn out to be the easy task for the U.K.”. LEW: TPP CAN GET DONE IN THE LAME-DUCK SESSION “Treasury Secretary Jack Lew on Thursday expressed confidence that Congress will pass President Obama’s signature trade agreement after the November elections.”. FREE TRADE AGREEMENTS HAVE BEEN GOOD FOR AMERICA “Is our large trade imbalance a result of too many free trade agreements (FTA’s) or a result of not having enough of them? FTA’s, by definition, help level the playing field. When FTA’s are not in place countries often tilt that field against US producers through tariffs and non-tariff barriers to trade.”. BRAZIL, ARGENTINA CLASH WITH VENEZUELA OVER MERCOSUR MEMBERSHIP “The Presidents of Brazil and Argentina have expressed their concern over the deteriorating political and economic situation in Venezuela. Both governments have renewed their warning that they intend to withdraw the country’s active membership of the regional trading bloc Mercosur.”. CHINA, GEORGIA SIGN PRELIMINARY TRADE PACT “China and Georgia on Wednesday signed a preliminary free trade agreement that is expected to take effect from the end of 2017.”. THE ULTIMATE DISRUPTIVE TECHNOLOGY 3D PRINTING WILL NOT ONLY CHANGE THE WAY WE TRADE; IT WILL CHANGE THE WAY WE LIVE “3D printing and the disaggregation and diffusion of product design and manufacturing – which will touch all tangible items – will massively disrupt existing economic models and render much of today’s national trade and health and safety regulation anachronistic and ineffective.”. TPP FAILURE WILL BE US’S LOSS, CHINA’S GAIN, EXIM BANK BOSS SAYS “”We really can’t afford to sit on the sidelines and lose out,” Hochberg said on the sidelines of the India Economic Summit of the World Economic Forum in New Delhi. “If we don’t do TPP, China is ready to engage with them.””. CHINA’S FOREIGN TRADE STILL FACES BIG DOWNWARD PRESSURE: XINHUA “China’s foreign trade still faces big downward pressure despite some improvement in August, Xinhua news agency reported on Tuesday, citing Shen Danyang, a spokesman for the Ministry of Commerce. NAFTA COMES UNDER FIRE IN CAMPAIGN, BUT SCRAPPING TRADE DEAL WOULD COME AT SIGNIFICANT COSTS “The view among mainstream economists is that NAFTA has raised incomes in the U.S. while costing it thousands of manufacturing jobs. Whether you view the agreement as a plus or a minus, the reality is that the U.S., Canada and Mexico are now a single integrated economy.” SOUTH ASIA CONSOLIDATES TOP GROWTH SPOT, NEEDS TO IGNITE PRIVATE INVESTMENT TO STAY ON TRACK ” South Asia has defied a sluggish world economy and solidified its lead as the fastest growing region in the world in 2016, a new World Bank report said today. Led by solid performance in India, economic growth is expected to gradually accelerate from 7.1 percent in 2016 to 7.3 percent in 2017.” AUSTRIA’S CHANCELLOR SEES CETA NEGOTIATIONS ON RIGHT TRACK “Austria’s government yesterday (3 October) seemed to have found common ground on a free trade agreement between the European Union and Canada with Chancellor Christian Kern, who has criticised the pact in the past, saying negotiations were on the right track.” IMF LOWERS U.S. ECONOMIC FORECAST, WARNS OF RISKS OF ANTI-TRADE POLICIES “The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday downgraded its forecast for the U.S. economy and warned that “persistent stagnation” here and abroad could add more fuel to a populist backlash against trade and immigration that would further stifle growth.” HIGHLIGHTS: BRITISH PM MAY ON BREXIT, ARTICLE 50 AND TRADE “The referendum result was clear. It was legitimate. It was the biggest vote for change this country has ever known. Brexit means Brexit – and we’re going to make a success of it” Prime Minister Theresa May said Sunday. ZIMBABWE: CHINESE INVESTORS TO PARTNER SMES Chinese investors are raring to partner with local small business enterprises to develop this country, SMEs representatives who recently attended the 20th China International Fair for Investment and Trade (CIFIT) have said. The 10 delegates last week briefed Small and Medium Enterprises Minister Sithembiso Nyoni on their trip to CIFIT which ran from September 8-11. WTO FORUM WINDS DOWN WITH E-COMMERCE IN SPOTLIGHT The World Trade Organization’s annual public forum will wrap up today after three days of panel discussions and question-and-answer sessions focused, broadly, on inclusive trade — with a significant number of those centering on electronic commerce. EU AND US TRADE NEGOTIATORS SEEK TO GET TTIP TALKS BACK ON TRACK Trade negotiators will meet in New York next week to search for common ground on the controversial EU-US trade deal, which has been buffeted by strong opposition on both sides of the Atlantic. IF TPP FAILS, CHINA TAKES ADVANTAGE The administration of US President Barack Obama is moving into its final three months in office and the trajectory of one of its signature foreign policy initiatives – the US “rebalance” to the Asia-Pacific – remains unclear. EU AT RISK OF BILLIONS IN SANCTIONS OVER FAILURE TO END JET AID The European Union failed to eliminate subsidies to planemaker Airbus Group SE that were previously found to violate trade rules, the World Trade Organization said in a ruling that opens the door to billions of dollars in sanctions against Brussels. CHAIRMAN LEVIN APPLAUDS WTO FINDINGS ON ILLEGAL SUBSIDIES TO AIRBUS Click here to read Ways and Means Committee Chairman Sander M. Levin’s (D-MI) statement applauding the World Trade Organization’s panel report that found Airbus received illegal subsidies from the European Union WTO EXPECTED TO RULE AGAINST EU ON AIRBUS SUBSIDIES LONDON—The World Trade Organization is expected to rule Thursday that the European Union failed to adequately eliminate illegal subsidies to plane maker Airbus Group SE, according to people familiar with the finding. WHO HATES TRADE AGREEMENTS? SURPRISINGLY, NOT VOTERS. WASHINGTON — Few issues in this campaign cycle seem as toxic as trade: Both major-party presidential candidates oppose President Obama’s 12-nation Trans-Pacific Partnership, and congressional leaders, having refused all year to vote on the trade accord until after the election, suggest they will not do so even then — potentially killing the largest regional trade pact in history. So that must mean voters are overwhelmingly opposed, right? Wrong. PERU PRESIDENT CALLS TPP’S EXCLUSION OF CHINA ‘WORRISOME’ Peru’s new president said Monday it was “worrisome” that China is not part of the 12-nation Trans-Pacific Partnership but his government would seek ratification for U.S. President Barack Obama’s signature trade deal. ABE DEFENDS MONETARY POLICY AHEAD OF BOJ, PUSHES FOR TPP TRADE PACT On the eve of a key Bank of Japan meeting, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe defended his country’s economic initiatives and aggressive monetary policy before a group of investors and executives in New York. GERMANY’S GABRIEL GETS GREEN LIGHT TO SUPPORT EU-CANADA TRADE DEAL Germany appeared set on Monday to back an ambitious trade accord between the European Union and Canada after the leader of the Social Democrats (SPD), junior partner in the ruling coalition, overcame left-wing resistance to the deal within his party. PROTESTS IN GERMANY AGAINST TRANSATLANTIC TTIP AND CETA TRADE DEALS The EU and the US began negotiating the trade deal in 2013, aiming to create the world’s biggest free trade market with 850 million consumers. A new round of talks is due to start in October, and President Obama says he wants the deal to be concluded before he leaves office in January. VIETNAM DELAYS TPP RATIFICATION IN CRUCIAL BLOW TO OBAMA’S AMBITIONS Vietnam’s government has opted to delay the ratification of the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), in an unexpected blow to U.S. President Barack Obama’s final uphill push for the trade deal’s approval. A government official told Reuters on Friday that Hanoi would not include ratifying the TPP on the agenda for its next parliament session, which begins on October 20. That means that the earliest the Vietnamese National Assembly could approve the trade pact is now early 2017. MALCOLM TURNBULL URGES US CONGRESS TO RATIFY TRANS-PACIFIC PARTNERSHIP The Australian prime minister’s comments to travelling reporters in New York come as President Barack Obama is making what is being characterised in the US as last-ditch efforts to persuade Congress to support the controversial deal. The presidential hopefuls Donald Drumpf and Hillary Clinton oppose it. OBAMA MAKES LAST-DITCH PUSH FOR VOTE ON TRANS-PACIFIC PARTNERSHIP TRADE DEAL A business-led advisory committee known as the President’s Export Council is expected Wednesday to call on Congress to pass the Trans-Pacific Partnership agreement in the “lame duck” session at the end of the year. CHINA CUTTING DUTIES ON IT PRODUCTS FOR WTO MOST FAVORED NATIONS China will cut import tariffs for over 200 information technology products for the World Trade Organization’s (WTO) most favored nations from September 15, the Ministry of Finance said on Wednesday. A PLEA FOR SCIENCE-BASED STANDARDS IN TTIP The EU’s preference for the “precautionary principle” over science-based decision-making is a barrier to transatlantic trade in the meat industry. TTIP and regulatory convergence would benefit both EU and US farmers, argues Barry Carpenter. TPP STILL HAS A CHANCE DESPITE VENOM FROM PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES, JACK LEW SAYS The Trans-Pacific Partnership has obvious benefits despite the beating it has taken on the campaign trail, Treasury Secretary Jack Lew said Tuesday. “The TPP on its face should be a clear plus. And we’re going to continue making that case,” Lew said at the 2016 Delivering Alpha conference. BAYER AND MONSANTO TO MERGE IN MEGA-DEAL THAT COULD RESHAPE WORLD’S FOOD SUPPLY Bayer first made a $62 billion offer for Monsanto in May and has increased its bid over months of negotiations. The all-cash deal is valued at about $128 a share, making it the weightiest all-cash buyout in history, beating the $60 billion deal between brewers Anheuser-Busch and InBev in 2008. U.S. CHALLENGES CHINA GRAIN SUBSIDIES AT WTO The Obama administration filed a challenge against China Tuesday at the World Trade Organization, accusing Beijing of breaking trade rules on its price supports for domestic production of rice, wheat and corn. The U.S. Trade Representative’s office said China’s “market price support” for the grains is nearly $100 billion above the WTO limits, and amounts to an artificial incentive for Chinese farmers to increase output. It’s the 14th complaint brought against China by the Obama administration at the WTO. US IN FINAL DRIVE TO SECURE EUROPE TRADE DEAL The Obama administration is launching a final push to salvage negotiations on a trans-Atlantic free trade zone before it leaves office — despite growing political opposition in Europe. U.S. TRADE PANEL AFFIRMS HOT-ROLLED STEEL DUTIES ON SEVEN COUNTRIES The U.S. International Trade Commission handed another victory to American steelmakers on Monday, affirming most of the recent anti-dumping and anti-subsidy duties on hot-rolled flat steel imports from Australia, Brazil, Britain, Japan, the Netherlands, South Korea and Turkey. GROWING ROLE OF SMES IN ASEAN ECONOMIC COMMUNITY The contribution of SMEs to economic growth, employment and development in the region plays an important part in achieving equitable economic development and regional economic integration. BRAZIL SET TO LAUNCH TRADE CASE AGAINST THE U.S. OVER STEEL Brazil will most likely launch a new trade dispute against the United States at the World Trade Organization over its decision to raise duties on some Brazilian steel imports, Trade Minister Marcos Pereira told Reuters. CARGO FROM BANKRUPT HANJIN SHIP MOVING IN U.S., NEW FUNDS PLEDGED A portion of the $14 billion in cargo trapped at sea by the bankruptcy of Hajin Shipping Co Ltd (117930.KS) began moving out of a California port on Monday as shareholders and executives of the South Korean firm pledged funds to help resolve the turmoil created by its collapse. THE US WILL HAVE ZERO CREDIBILITY IN ASIA IF TPP FAILS, EX-CIA OFFICIAL WARNS The U.S. political impasse on the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) trade deal is a “brewing disaster” that could be a significant setback for U.S. engagement in Asia, a China scholar said Friday. UPCOMING TRADE EVENTS JULY 18, 2018: “ANNUAL AWARDS DINNER” PAST EVENTS 4/18/2018 TRADE COUNSELS AND THE ROLE OF CONGRESS IN FORMULATING U.S. TRADE POLICY On Wednesday, April 18th, WITA welcomed an expert panel to discuss the role of Congress in regulating commerce with foreign nations. 4/13/2018 CAN THE WTO BE SAVED FROM ITSELF? On Friday, April 13th, WITA hosted an expert discussion of U.S. concerns with the dispute settlement process at the WTO, and what can be done to update the system to address those concerns. 3/15/2018 BREXIT: STATUS AND OUTLOOK AT ONE YEAR On Tuesday, March 15th, WITA welcomed an expert panel to discuss the political and social issues at the heart of the Brexit negotiations as well as the business interests in an amicable divorce. 3/13/2018 THE GREAT WALL: TRADE ENFORCEMENT IN THE AGE OF TRUMP On Tuesday, March 13th, WITA welcomed an expert panel to discuss the recently announced tariffs on aluminum and steel and what these measures may mean for U.S. workers, firms, and consumers. 2/23/18 GOVERNORS & PREMIERS ON NAFTA: A VIEW FROM STATES AND PROVINCES On Friday, February 23rd, WITA is honored to welcome the Governor of Colorado, the Premiers of Quebec and Ontario, and the Governor of Querétaro, Mexico to discuss what the renegotiation of the North American Free Trade Agreement means to U.S and Mexican states and Canadian provinces. 2/15/2018 IMPLICATIONS OF TAX REFORM ON INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND INVESTMENT On Thursday, February 15th, WITA hosted a panel discussion by tax and economic experts on the implications of the 2018 tax reform on the future of the international trade and investment in the US. 2/5/18 CONVERSATION WITH AMBASSADOR JOE HOCKEY ON TRADE IN THE ASIA-PACIFIC REGION AND WITA’S ANNUAL MEMBERS’ MEETING & RECEPTION On Monday, February 5th, Australia’s Ambassador to the United States the Hon. Joe Hockey and the Financial Times’ World Trade Editor, Shawn Donnan discussed the future of trade in the Asia-Pacific. 1/24/18 WHAT’S HAPPENING TO TRADE AROUND THE WORLD? On Wednesday, January 24th, WITA welcomed Ambassadors from Singapore, Mozambique, the European Delegation to the United States, Chile, and the Republic of Ghana, for a discussion on what is happening around the world of trade outside the United States. 12/12/17 DISCUSSION OF AGRICULTURE, TRADE AND AMERICAN LEADERSHIP WITH AMB. MAX BAUCUS, CHAIRMAN PAT ROBERTS, AND GRANT ALDONAS On Tuesday, December 12th, WITA welcomed Amb. Max Baucus, Chairman Pat Roberts and Grant Aldonas on a discussion of agriculture, trade, and american leadership. 12/7/17 WITA NAFTA SERIES: ENERGY AND THE NAFTA On Thursday, December 7th, WITA analyzed NAFTA’s energy chapter and what energy means for American, Canadian, and Mexican industries. 11/15/17 WITA NAFTA SERIES: THE ART AND IMPACT OF WITHDRAWAL FROM THE NAFTA On Wednesday, November 15th, WITA examined what may happen if the President announces that he plans to withdraw America from its most significant free trade agreement. 11/09/17 WITA NAFTA SERIES: MANUFACTURING IN NORTH AMERICA On Thursday, November 9th WITA examined what NAFTA means for U.S. and North American manufacturing, and what the future will hold in a modernized NAFTA. 10/26/17 WITA “GATT@70” TRADE COMMUNITY RECEPTION On October 26, 2017, WITA held a reception to celebrate the 70th anniversary of the signing of the GATT. The event payed homage to the belief of the 23 nations that signed the original GATT in October 1947 10/19/17 WITA NAFTA SERIES: NORTH AMERICAN SUPPLY CHAINS On Thursday, October 19th, WITA welcomed President and CEO of Union Pacific, Lance Fritz to the Ronald Reagan Center for a discussion on North American Supply Chains. 10/5/17 WITA NAFTA SERIES: TRADE DISPUTE SETTLEMENT (CHAPTERS 19 & 20) On October 5th, 2017, WITA continued its NAFTA series with an event focused on Trade Dispute Settlement (Chapters 19 & 20). The event featured: Elaine Feldman, Pierre Elliott Trudeau Foundation, former Assistant Deputy Minister for North America, and Deputy Permanent Representative of Canada to the World Trade Organization. David Yocis, Picard, Kentz & Rowe, represents the US Lumber 10/4/17 THE AGRICULTURE TRADE AGENDA: A DISCUSSION WITH THE UNITED STATES SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE, SONNY PERDUE On Wednesday, October 4, 2017 WITA hosted the U.S. Secretary of Agriculture, Sonny Perdue, to discuss America’s agricultural trade agenda. 9/13/17 WITA NAFTA SERIES: WHAT’S IN STORE FOR FOOD & AGRICULTURE? On Wednesday, August 13th, WITA held its second NAFTA Series Event on the future of North American Food and Agriculture. The Event focused on what’s in store for food and agriculture with the ongoing negotiations of NAFTA . 7/20/2017 WITA NAFTA SERIES- KICKOFF EVENT On Thursday, July 20th, WITA launched it’s signature NAFTA Series to examine some of the more vexing issues that will face the three governments as they work to update the 25 year-old trade agreement. Panelists discussed critical issues for the negotiations including dispute settlement procedures, the interests of organized labor, and what the American business and agriculture communities hope to see in an updated agreement. 2017 ANNUAL DINNER RECAP On Wednesday, July 12, 2017 the Washington International Trade Association (WITA) and Washington International Trade Foundation (WITF) hosted their 23nd Annual Awards Dinner (#TradeProm) at the Ronald Reagan Building and International Trade Center. Honorees included Senator Jeff Flake (R-AZ), Congressman Rick Larsen (D-WA), and Meredith Broadbent, former Chairwoman of the United States International Trade Commission (USITC). WITA’S NEXTGENTRADE™: THE FUTURE OF US-BRAZIL TRADE RELATIONS On Thursday, June 22nd, WITA held a NextGenTrade™ Event on the Future of US-Brazil Trade Relations. The Event focused on the future of US-Brazil trade relations and examined the US-Brazil trade relationship and opportunities for the future. WITA’S NEXTGENTRADE™: IS BLOCKCHAIN THE FUTURE FOR TRADE? On June 15th, 2017 the Washington International Trade Association held an event: Is Blockchain the Future for Trade?. At this event WITA’s speakers explored the future of trade through the lens of the business and work in the 21st Century. INTENSIVE TRADE SEMINAR: SPRING SESSION On Wednesday, May 3rd, WITA held the second event in its NextGenTrade™ signature series on the Future of Trade and Global Value Chains. Discussants examined how trade policy should be adapted to anticipate the future of global value chains and supply chains. GLOBAL VALUE CHAINS AND THE TRADE POLICY OF THE FUTURE On Wednesday, May 3rd, WITA held the second event in its NextGenTrade™ signature series on the Future of Trade and Global Value Chains. Discussants examined how trade policy should be adapted to anticipate the future of global value chains and supply chains. THE FUTURE OF TRADE, BUSINESS, WORK AND POLITICS IN A 5G WORLD On Friday, April 28th WITA hosted the first event on its NextGenTrade’s ™ signature series on Global Value Chains looking at five mega trends that are shaping the future of trade, business, work and politics. DO TRADE DEFICITS MATTER? On March 31st, the same day that President Trump is issuing his Executive Orders on trade enforcement and trade deficits, WITA hosted an event that looked at the significance of trade deficits to our overall economy. A panel of experts debated whether bilateral trade deficits are a measure of an effective trade policy and if they should they drive a renegotiation of existing trade agreements. THE TRADE LAW TOOLBOX On March 23rd, WITA hosted an event that examined the various enforcement provisions in U.S. trade laws that could be used by the new administration. A panel of experts discussed how this agenda may unfold over the next four years and analyzed the impact it might have on U.S. jobs, American consumers, and the global trading system. THE PAST, PRESENT, AND FUTURE OF US-CHINA TRADE The US and China have been trading with each other for over 200 years. On Thursday, February 17, WITA examined the past, present, and future direction of US-China trade relations. NAFTA 2.0? On Thursday, February 9, before a standing-room only crowd, WITA examined what revisiting the 23-year old agreement might look like. Experts discussed the legal and political implications of renegotiating NAFTA, and and did a deep dive into several critical industries and what changes to the Agreement might mean for their sectors. BORDER ADJUSTMENT TAXES, TAX REFORM AND TRADE WITA held a signature event looking at the Brady-Ryan tax reform blueprint, and their proposal to tax imports from around the world. The event featured two expert panels, one examined the Brady-Ryan plan in the context of existing US and global tax regimes, and the second heard from industry supporters and opponents of the proposal. WHAT’S NEXT FOR TRADE IN A TIME OF CHANGE On Thursday, December 15, WITA took a tour of the global trade and investment landscape at an event moderated by Steve Lamar, Executive Vice President of American Apparel & Footwear Association and WITA Board President. ARMCHAIR & PANEL DISCUSSION ON TPP’S CONSUMER IMPACT THE NEW RULES & DISCIPLINES OF A 21ST CENTURY AGREEMENT TPP SERIES: IMPACT ON MANUFACTURING TPP SERIERS: WHAT’S AT STAKE FOR AGRICULTURE? TPP SERIES: WHAT WILL TPP MEAN FOR THE STATES? TPP SERIES: SERVICES TPP SERIES: INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY RIGHTS THE FUTURE IS NOW: DIGITAL TRADE IN THE TPP ABOUT THE BLOGGERS "The opinions expressed on this site do not reflect the opinions of the Washington International Trade Association Board of Directors or any employee thereof, unless expressly identified." SUBMIT HERE Click below for submissions guidelines and submit your blog post to ATP today! Click here! POLITICO – MORNING TRADE * EU to give Biden lifeline with tariff truce December 18, 2023 By Ari Hawkins * West: China’s sway over Hong Kong threatens WTO December 11, 2023 By Ari Hawkins * Raimondo chides Congress on China tech threat December 4, 2023 By Ari Hawkins * After dairy ruling, warnings of a weaker USMCA November 27, 2023 By Ari Hawkins * APEC unites on WTO reform, as war frays ties November 20, 2023 By Ari Hawkins FEATURED BOOKS Purchase the Book BLOG TOPICS * Agriculture * America's Trade Agreements * Asia-Pacific * Bilateral Issues * Border Adjustment Tax * Brexit * CETA * China * Courts * Development * Energy * Environment * Europe * FDI * Foreign Policy * Global Supply Chains * Globalization * Guest Blogs * ICT * Interviews * ISDS * Justice * Labor * NAFTA * NextGenTrade * PTAs * TFA * TPA * TPP/TTIP * Trade Data * Trade Policy * Trade Remedies * U.S. Policies * WTO * * About * Topics * Interviews * Archive * Contact Us © Copyright 2023. 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