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$

BTC $95,202 +2.53% ETH $3,599 +6.56% BNB $648 +4.97% SOL $240 +3.14% XRP $1.45
+6.02% TON $6.31 +3.10%
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Vince Quill
7 hours ago


ALTSEASON DELAYED DUE TO LACK OF FRESH RETAIL CAPITAL — KI YOUNG JU

Investors rotate into altcoins along a risk curve, starting with large-cap
assets and eventually migrating into riskier low-cap coins.

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CryptoQuant founder and CEO Ki Young Ju recently argued that altcoin season — a
period of rapidly appreciating altcoin prices typically following a Bitcoin BTC
$95,202 bull market — will require new capital injections from retail traders to
commence.

The quantitative analyst wrote that institutional money is already tied up
within exchange-traded funds, and the institutional investors, who own crypto
indirectly through investment vehicles, are unlikely to rotate gains from
blue-chip assets like BTC or Ether ETH $3,598.44 into altcoins. Ju wrote:

> “For altcoins to reach a new all-time high market capitalization, they will
> require a significant influx of fresh capital to crypto exchanges. The altcoin
> market cap below its previous ATH indicates reduced fresh liquidity from new
> exchange users.”

“Altcoins should focus on developing independent strategies to attract new
capital rather than relying on Bitcoin’s momentum,” the analyst concluded while
clarifying that he is still “bullish” on altcoins.

Bitcoin market capitalization vs. altcoin market capitalization. Source: Ki
Young Ju

Related: Current Bitcoin price ceiling projected at $135K — Ki Young Ju


REIGNITING RETAIL FOMO

The CryptoQuant CEO wrote that reigniting retail FOMO (fear of missing out) is
central to attracting fresh capital that will drive altcoin prices higher —
particularly altcoins with a smaller market capitalization.

In October 2024, popular trader Willy Woo said that altcoin seasons would weaken
with each market cycle. The trader told his followers on social media:

> “There will be echo fractals of mid-caps and low-caps pumping after BTC pumps
> as investors chase returns higher on the risk curve. This is a normal part of
> markets, and we see this in equities — it's just alt seasons will be weaker
> each cycle on from the great 2017 alt bubble.”

Several indicators may signal that retail traders are already catching FOMO.
Open interest in the Ether futures market reached a new high on Nov. 27 —
indicating heightened market interest and a potential bull run for the smart
contract asset that could spill over into other cryptocurrencies.

Retail investors also purchased approximately $100 million in MicroStrategy
shares during the past seven days. The stock has become a favorite among traders
— particularly retail traders who view MicroStrategy as a leveraged Bitcoin bet.

Magazine: Bitcoin dominance will fall in 2025: Benjamin Cowen, X Hall of Flame

Explore more articles like this

Subscribe to the Markets Outlook newsletter

Get critical insights to spot investment opportunities, mitigate risks, and
refine your trading strategies. Delivered every Monday


Subscribe

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 * #Altcoin
 * #Retail
 * #rally


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