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Loading... FUND MONITORS PTY LTD www.fundmonitors.com © Copyright 2023 Printed: 24 October 2023 5:38 AM * Managed Funds * Peer Groups * Fund Selector * Watch List * Index Report * Tools and Analytics * Portfolios * Custom Statistics * Research * Portfolio Optimiser * News * About Us * Compare Plans * Our Business * Manager Portal Register LOGIN Forgotten password? Click here COMPARE & TRACK OVER 700 MANAGED FUNDS Learn More About AFM 45 Day Premium Trial Your browser does not support the video tag. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- COMPARE AND TRACK OVER 700 MANAGED FUNDS Check the Education videos at the bottom of this page to make the most of what's on offer. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- COMPARE AND TRACK OVER 700 MANAGED FUNDS Welcome to FundMonitors.com - Trusted, Targeted Research for Self-Directed Investors and Financial Advisors. Use the Peer Group Analysis to Compare Funds, and a free FACT Sheet covering every fund for registered users. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- COMPARE AND TRACK OVER 700 MANAGED FUNDS Subscribers can access Narrative Performance Reports, Performance Summaries with Peer Group Rankings, or full Performance Analysis. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- COMPARE AND TRACK OVER 700 MANAGED FUNDS Check the Education videos at the bottom of this page to make the most of what's on offer. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- COMPARE AND TRACK OVER 700 MANAGED FUNDS Welcome to FundMonitors.com - Trusted, Targeted Research for Self-Directed Investors and Financial Advisors. Use the Peer Group Analysis to Compare Funds, and a free FACT Sheet covering every fund for registered users. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- COMPARE AND TRACK OVER 700 MANAGED FUNDS Subscribers can access Narrative Performance Reports, Performance Summaries with Peer Group Rankings, or full Performance Analysis. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- COMPARE AND TRACK OVER 700 MANAGED FUNDS Check the Education videos at the bottom of this page to make the most of what's on offer. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- About AFM 45 Day Premium Trial * Webinars * Events October 2023 Getting the Most out of the Fund Monitors Database Date 24 Oct 2023 4:00 PM to 4:30 PM Link Register now! Notes To help you get a better understanding of the www.fundmonitors.com database, we schedule fortnightly webinars to help you learn to navigate the database and get the most of its powerful fund information. Details November 2023 Altor AltFi Income Fund - September 2023 Quarterly Webinar Update Date 1 Nov 2023 3:00 PM to 3:30 PM Link Register Now! Notes Join Altor's CIO Ben Harrison for the September 2023 Quarterly Update on our Private Credit strategy, the Altor AltFi Income Fund. Details November 2023 RBA - Monetary Policy Decision Date 7 Nov 2023 2:30 PM to 3:00 PM Where 65 Martin Place, Sydney Link News & Announcements Details More events FIND A FUND FUNDS FOUND Click on a fund to view it's profile, or collect a number of funds and click "View Table" to compare them. PEER GROUP ANALYSIS VIEW ALL» Index Selector Links 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year Alternatives 6.76% 8.70% 5.59% Digital Assets 32.64% 63.18% 37.71% Equity Alternative - Asia 4.60% 2.01% 1.46% Equity Alternative - Australia 7.73% 10.39% 6.85% Equity Alternative - Global 8.97% 9.73% 6.54% Equity Long - Asia 6.32% 7.54% 4.40% Equity Long - Large Cap - Australia 13.05% 11.19% 7.09% Equity Long - Large Cap - Global 18.84% 9.83% 9.13% Equity Long - Mid/Small Cap - Global 16.92% 7.81% 6.79% Equity Long - Small/Mid Cap - Australia 10.07% 8.60% 6.46% Fixed Income - Bonds 2.39% -0.86% 1.33% Fixed Income - Credit 6.11% 2.78% 3.68% Fixed Income - Debt 10.58% 8.18% 7.71% Fixed Income - Hybrid Credit 7.10% 6.13% 5.68% Infrastructure 6.52% 9.06% 7.80% Multi-Sector 4.94% 6.47% 5.08% Property 0.69% 8.60% 6.99% HEDGE CLIPPINGS Hedge Clippings | 20 October 2023 20 Oct 2023 - FundMonitors.com Last week Hedge Clippings noted that "Central Bank Speak" involves the specialised art of covering all bases and potential outcomes, whilst not actually confirming what you're really thinking, or going to do. The exception of course is... Read more... 20 OCT 2023 - HEDGE CLIPPINGS | 20 OCTOBER 2023 By: FundMonitors.com Hedge Clippings | 20 October 2023 Last week Hedge Clippings noted that "Central Bank Speak" involves the specialised art of covering all bases and potential outcomes, whilst not actually confirming what you're really thinking, or going to do. The exception of course is when they actually raise or cut rates, in which case they refer you back to their previous comments, and basically say "I told you so", or "don't say we didn't warn you." So while US markets are tossing up between rates staying as they are, or possibly rising one more time, Jerome Powell's overnight comment that "a range of uncertainties, both old and new complicate our task of balancing the risk of tightening monetary policy too much, against the risk of tightening too little" didn't actually say anything we didn't know, except they haven't made their mind up yet. To be fair to Powell, and the RBA's Michele Bullock if it comes to that, the US economy is evenly poised, balanced between trying to re-bottle inflation to get it back to the 2% target, maintaining sufficient growth and employment, and without risking "unnecessary harm to the economy" as he puts it. Powell's problem is that achieving both is a very difficult balancing act. The market is currently betting on the Fed holding the line at their upcoming meeting at the end of this month, but has no such certainty looking forward to December. Back home, the ABS released their Australian labour force figures, and on the surface, little had changed. Unemployment decreased fractionally on seasonally adjusted terms to 3.6%, with total employment edging up by just 6,600 but with full-time jobs decreasing by 39,900 offset by part-time jobs increasing by 46,500. The RBA wouldn't have been too pleased with those numbers in their efforts to return the cash rate to their preferred 2-3% target band, having previously indicated that unemployment around 4.5% is necessary to cool the economy, and thereby tame inflation. Next week's September CPI figure, due on Wednesday, followed by PPI results on Friday, will give a clearer picture of the outlook. Meanwhile, the minutes of the RBA's September meeting revealed the board didn't consider a rate cut as an option - it was either leave rates as they are, or increase them by 0.25%. That's likely to be the case again at their next meeting due on Cup Day. At this stage, we'd still favour an extension of the "pause" but wouldn't want to bet the house on it. As the previous governor was keen to say, "it's a very narrow path." -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- News & Insights -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10k Words | October 2023 | Equitable Investors Market Commentary | Glenmore Asset Management -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- September 2023 Performance News Kardinia Long Short Fund Delft Partners Global High Conviction Strategy Quay Global Real Estate Fund (Unhedged) Digital Asset Fund (Digital Opportunities Class) Bennelong Concentrated Australian Equities Fund Cyan C3G Fund DS Capital Growth Fund Emit Capital Climate Finance Equity Fund -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- If you'd like to receive Hedge Clippings direct to your inbox each Friday JOIN OUR MAILING LIST * Insights and Fund News * Videos & Recordings 24 Oct 2023 Australian Secure Capital Fund - Market Update Author: Australian Secure Capital Fund The first weekend of October saw the number of auctions decline significantly on the previous week (1215, down from 2,648), as is common on long... Read more 24 OCT 2023 - AUSTRALIAN SECURE CAPITAL FUND - MARKET UPDATE By: Australian Secure Capital Fund Australian Secure Capital Fund - Market Update August Australian Secure Capital Fund October 2023 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The first weekend of October saw the number of auctions decline significantly on the previous week (1215, down from 2,648), as is common on long weekends, caused by the AFL Public Holiday and the King's Birthday. Sydney recorded the most auctions of the capital cities, with 730 taking place, followed by Melbourne and Brisbane with 203 and 110 respectively. Adelaide and Canberra just missed out on triple digit figures, with 83 and 74 respectively, whilst just 13 and 2 auctions occurred in Perth and Tasmania respectively. Whilst the number of auctions declined for the week, clearance rates remained strong at 70.3% across the combined capitals (up from 59.7% last year). This was driven by Adelaide, Sydney and Brisbane all recording above 70% clearance rates with 79.3%, 71.7% and 70.7% respectively. Melbourne and Canberra also had moderate clearance rates of 66.0% and 62.5% respectively. The property market continued to grow yet again with a 0.8% rise for the month of September, taking quarterly growth to 2.2%. Adelaide experienced the largest monthly growth of 1.7%, followed by Brisbane and Perth with 1.3% each. Sydney, Melbourne, Canberra and Darwin all experienced growth with 1%, 0.3%, 0.2% and 0.1% respectively, whilst Hobart was the only capital city to fall in September with -0.6%. Quarterly data is similar, again with Adelaide leading the way (4.3%), closely followed by Brisbane (3.9%), Perth (3.6%) and Sydney (2.5%). Melbourne and Darwin both increased 1.3% for the quarter, with Canberra at 0.4%. Again, Hobart is the only capital to not experience growth, falling by 0.2% for the quarter. Whilst many economists predicted a softening in property prices in the later stages of 2023, dwelling values have remained strong. As we head into the spring and summer selling season, we may see supply increase slightly but the market remains extremely tight. Clearance Rates & Auctions Week of the 3rd of October 2023 Property Values as of 2nd of October 2023 MEDIAN DWELLING VALUES AS OF 2ND OF OCTOBER 2023 QUICK INSIGHTS HIGHER BLOCKS MEANS LOWER COSTS In defiance of its own planning rules and legislation a local council in Melbourne has intervened to approve another two extra storeys on an apartment building development. The move was done under pressure to triple the proportion of affordable housing the development might offer. As the urgency of a tight rental and housing market continues to grow we may very well be seeing similar occurrences throughout the capitals as local councils realise they have a role to play. Source: Australian Financial Review VACANCY LATENCY Vacancy rates have once again dipped below the threshold and rents are likely to rise once more in the next quarter. Without more supply from inner city developers and less demand from migration and those who cannot afford to buy, the situation will only continue. A suburb of particular has been Ryde, in New South Wales which has recorded a year-to-date rise of 17% in rents. Source: Australian Financial Review DEVELOP OR SELL Dan Andrews stepped down as Victorian Premier last month and his replacement is keen to make a name for herself. Jacinta Allan's government has now widened the vacant land tax to include areas outside Melbourne and long-abandoned plots in the inner city. The tax now applies to residential properties which are unoccupied for more than six months a year in the hope that homeowners will either develop the land or sell to someone who will. Source: Australian Financial Review Author: Filippo Sciacca, Director - Investor Relations, Asset Management and Compliance -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Funds operated by this manager: ASCF High Yield Fund, ASCF Premium Capital Fund, ASCF Select Income Fund 23 Oct 2023 Performance Report: 4D Global Infrastructure Fund... Author: FundMonitors.com The 4D Global Infrastructure Fund (Unhedged) has risen by +15.6% over the past 12 months. Since inception in March 2016, the fund has returned +8.55%... Read more 23 OCT 2023 - PERFORMANCE REPORT: 4D GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE FUND (UNHEDGED) By: FundMonitors.com [Current Manager Report if available] 23 Oct 2023 Investment Perspectives: The housing fate from... Author: Quay Global Investors As interest rates rise, investment activity falls, reducing activity across the construction sector. This article discusses the impact interest rates... Read more 23 OCT 2023 - INVESTMENT PERSPECTIVES: THE HOUSING FATE FROM INTEREST RATES By: Quay Global Investors ATTACHED FILESInvestment Perspectives: The housing fate from interest rates (pdf format) 20 Oct 2023 Performance Report: Emit Capital Climate Finance... Author: FundMonitors.com The Emit Capital Climate Finance Equity Fund has returned +35.85% p.a. since inception in August 2019, an outperformance of +26.38% relative to the... Read more 20 OCT 2023 - PERFORMANCE REPORT: EMIT CAPITAL CLIMATE FINANCE EQUITY FUND By: FundMonitors.com [Current Manager Report if available] 20 Oct 2023 Performance Report: Bennelong Concentrated... Author: FundMonitors.com The Bennelong Concentrated Australian Equities Fund has risen by +5.29% over the past 12 months. Since inception in February 2009, the fund has... Read more 20 OCT 2023 - PERFORMANCE REPORT: BENNELONG CONCENTRATED AUSTRALIAN EQUITIES FUND By: FundMonitors.com [Current Manager Report if available] 19 Oct 2023 Performance Report: DS Capital Growth Fund Author: FundMonitors.com The DS Capital Growth Fund has risen by +13.88% over the past 12 months. Since inception in January 2013, the fund has returned +12.29% per annum, an... Read more 19 OCT 2023 - PERFORMANCE REPORT: DS CAPITAL GROWTH FUND By: FundMonitors.com [Current Manager Report if available] 19 Oct 2023 Australian Corporate Performance in Indigenous... Author: Tyndall Asset Management With the upcoming Voice referendum in Australia, the nation stands on the cusp of a significant constitutional change, emphasising the acknowledgment... Read more 19 OCT 2023 - AUSTRALIAN CORPORATE PERFORMANCE IN INDIGENOUS RECONCILIATION. By: Tyndall Asset Management Australian Corporate Performance in Indigenous reconciliation. Tyndall Asset Management October 2022 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- With the upcoming Voice referendum in Australia, the nation stands on the cusp of a significant constitutional change, emphasising the acknowledgment of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islanders as the original inhabitants and the establishment of an Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Voice to Parliament. Here we aim to assess Australian corporate performance in the context of the indigenous reconciliation journey, particularly focusing on Reconciliation Action Plans and their varying stages. RECONCILIATION ACTION PLANS Reconciliation Action Plans (RAPs) seek to enable organisations to take meaningful action to advance reconciliation. Based around the core pillars of relationships, respect and opportunities, RAPs aim to provide tangible and substantive benefits for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples, increase economic equity and supporting First Nations self-determination. THE FOUR STAGES OF A RAP ARE AS FOLLOWS: 1. Reflect: At this stage, organisations acknowledge the need for change and express their commitment to reconciliation. This stage, which normally takes around 12 months, involves building relationships and cultural awareness within the workplace. 2. Innovate: The Innovate stage focuses on implementing specific initiatives and programs that promote meaningful engagement and partnerships with indigenous communities. This stage normally takes around two years. 3. Stretch: Organisations at the Stretch stage are dedicated to integrating reconciliation into their core operations and actively seeking opportunities to advance indigenous participation, employment, and procurement. This stage normally takes around 2-3 years. 4. Elevate: The Elevate stage signifies a comprehensive and sustained approach to reconciliation, incorporating significant changes in organisational policies, practices, and cultural competency, ultimately striving for measurable outcomes. CORPORATE PERFORMANCE AND RAPS There are presently 43 companies in the S&P/ASX 100 with RAPs in place. These companies are distributed across the Reflect, Innovate, Stretch, and Elevate stages. Notably, 57 companies in the ASX 100 do not have RAPs, suggesting that there is room for growth in corporate engagement in indigenous reconciliation. The breakdown of companies by RAP stage and their associated values in the ASX 100 is as follows: * Reflect: 12 companies with a total value of $300 billion * Innovate: 14 companies with a total value of $125 billion * Stretch: 10 companies with a total value of $400 billion * Elevate: 7 companies with a total value of $120 billion Figure 1: S&P/ASX 100 RAP Breakdown (number) Source: IRESS, Reconciliation Australia, Tyndall AM, Oct 2023. Figure 2: S&P/ASX 100 RAP breakdown (total market cap) Source: IRESS, Reconciliation Australia, Tyndall AM, Oct 2023. Additionally, sector-wise analysis demonstrates varying levels of engagement with RAPs: * Financial sector companies exhibit substantial engagement, with 12 out of 19 companies having RAPs. * The industrial and property trusts sectors also demonstrate significant engagement, with 7 out of 14 and 6 out of 10 companies having RAPs, respectively. * Conversely, sectors including consumer discretionary, consumer staples, healthcare, and information technology lag behind in terms of RAP adoption. Figure 3: S&P/ASX 100 RAP breakdown by industry Source: IRESS, Reconciliation Australia, Tyndall AM, Oct 2023. Specifically relating to the Voice referendum, it is interesting to note that 14 of the top 20 listed companies in Australia have expressed public support for the Voice. Somewhat surprisingly, of these 14 companies only 11 currently have RAPs. Less surprisingly, none of those 11 companies are at the Reflect stage and the majority are at the Elevate stage or beyond - essentially companies that are more progressed in their own reconciliation journey. Figure 4: S&P/ASX 20 Voice Support Source: IRESS, Reconciliation Australia, Tyndall AM, Oct 2023. INCORPORATING RECONCILIATION INTO OUR ESG APPROACH ESG has always been a critical part of the Tyndall investment process. More recently we have added structure to the process via the development of an ESG scorecard amongst other longstanding initiatives including active ESG engagement and independent thought on ESG related matters. While social issues and diversity and inclusion performance have always been considered, we have recently updated our scorecard to specifically reflect where companies are at in their RAP journey. Conclusion Regardless of the outcome of the Voice referendum, it is clear that corporate Australia will play an increasingly significant role in progressing indigenous reconciliation efforts. This includes fostering genuine relationships, creating inclusive workplaces, and supporting initiatives that empower Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples. The pre-Voice referendum assessment of Australian corporate performance in the indigenous reconciliation journey through RAPs reveals both progress and areas for improvement. While a notable number of companies have embraced reconciliation through the RAP framework, a significant proportion is yet to make a commitment. Encouragingly, there appears a growing understanding and acknowledgment of the need to meaningfully engage with indigenous communities. Author: Michael Ward, Senior Research Analyst -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Funds operated by this manager: Tyndall Australian Share Concentrated Fund, Tyndall Australian Share Income Fund, Tyndall Australian Share Wholesale Fund 18 Oct 2023 Performance Report: Cyan C3G Fund Author: FundMonitors.com The Cyan C3G Fund returned -3.28% in September, outperforming the ASX Small Ordinaries by +0.76%. Since inception in August 2014, the fund has... Read more 18 OCT 2023 - PERFORMANCE REPORT: CYAN C3G FUND By: FundMonitors.com [Current Manager Report if available] 18 Oct 2023 Performance Report: Digital Asset Fund (Digital... Author: FundMonitors.com The Digital Asset Fund (Digital Opportunities Class) rose by +0.37% in September. Since inception in May 2021, the fund has returned +23.69% per... Read more 18 OCT 2023 - PERFORMANCE REPORT: DIGITAL ASSET FUND (DIGITAL OPPORTUNITIES CLASS) By: FundMonitors.com [Current Manager Report if available] 18 Oct 2023 European student accommodation: testing the theory Author: abrdn As the new academic year kicks off, students in Europe are confronted with a shortage of good-quality student accommodation. Relative to the UK, the... Read more 18 OCT 2023 - EUROPEAN STUDENT ACCOMMODATION: TESTING THE THEORY By: abrdn European student accommodation: testing the theory abrdn October 2023 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- As the new academic year kicks off, students in Europe are confronted with a shortage of good-quality student accommodation. Relative to the UK, the purpose-built student accommodation (PBSA) market in Europe is at a much earlier stage in its evolution. The demand for higher education in Europe is rising, driven by a steady increase in domestic and international students. In 2002, only 22.5% of adults living in the EU were educated to degree level. By 2021, that figure had risen to 40% - the European Commission's long-term target [1]. Momentum remains strong, with access to tertiary education still under the spotlight. In 2022, student enrollments increased or remained stable in 87% of European cities. Rising international student populations are further exacerbating the demand in Europe, too. With limited supply, these fundamental drivers are creating a compelling opportunity for investors to source long-term stable cashflows from the sector. Investment in European PBSA hit €15.4 billion in 2022. This was 47% higher than 2021, 37% higher than 2019 (pre-Covid levels), and 39% higher than the five-year average. Our research on more mature PBSA markets, like the UK, demonstrates how this opportunity can evolve. > The demand for higher education in Europe is rising, driven by a steady > increase in domestic and international students EXAMINING THE PROVISION RATE In 2022, PBSA occupancy rates averaged 98% in Europe's major cities [2], a level that far exceeds commercial real estate sectors. The demand has also been counter-cyclical to gross domestic product. When there's a downturn in the economy, the demand for student beds rises as more people either enter tertiary education or extend their studies beyond undergraduate degrees. Even during the pandemic and strict lockdowns, university admissions remained resilient and even grew in some cases. However, the provision rates tell the true story. The average provision rate (defined as the student-to-bed ratio) in Europe is 25%. This ranges from 4% in Italy to 33% in the UK. At a city level, London is 31%, Amsterdam is 29%, Copenhagen is 21% and Munich is 15% [3]. With high inflation, debt and construction costs, development activity is insufficient to absorb current and future demand from both domestic and overseas students. Even if all planned developments go ahead, the European provision rate will remain less than 15%. This leaves students at the mercy of individual landlords in the private rental market, which can mean they end up living further away from university campuses. Private accommodation is often more costly because of open-market rents, non-inclusive energy bills, travel, and extra costs for entertainment and facilities. Importantly, a lesser 'student experience' means institutions risk falling behind the current expectations of domestic and international students in an increasingly competitive environment. 'INTERNATIONALISATION' IN HIGHER EDUCATION 'Internationalisation' is the process of integrating cross-border students into European institutions [4]. The top 10 universities in Europe are in the UK and Germany, of which international students account for between 19% and 73% (London School of Economics 73%, University of Oxford 42%, ETH Zurich 41%, and LMU Munich 19%) [5]. This proportion has grown considerably in recent years, owing to a rise in English Taught Bachelors (ETBs), which accommodate a broader range of students. The UK, Germany, the Netherlands and Italy comprise the largest population of English-taught students. International students tend to want higher standards of accommodation in bespoke premises, with higher security than domestic students. A shortage of suitable PBSA stock is a limiting factor for institutions that want to attract this important source of revenue. For investors, this type of PBSA can provide scope for specialisation, with higher premium units and longer-term lets available for overseas students. Chart: Countries accounting for highest past enrolments Source: Studyportals, abrdn, June 2023 DIVERSIFYING THE STUDENT BASE For European PBSA assets, it is less common for investors to have a lease with a university or a business operator. It is more typical to have exposure to individual tenants and turnover. This is critical as the risk of higher void rates can have a more direct impact on performance in European PBSA. Schemes that are backed by a diverse range of international students tend to support more resilient cashflows. Where there is a strong dependency on one source of international student, there is a risk that the source slows or is diverted. Brexit is a good example of a structural shift that can happen almost overnight. The number of EU students coming to the UK plummeted by 50% in 2022, after Brexit-related changes meant they lost their discount on tuition fees. Non-EU international students have filled these places, but this has changed the dynamic in the UK market. In addition, student visa reforms and anti-immigration laws hinder future enrollment rates from Europe, in particular. In the UK, the highest number of international students are from China, India and the US. European student flows are more fragmented, though, driven by a shared colonial history, languages, politics and geographical relationships. In France, most students are from Africa, given the shared colonial ties; Portugal has the most Brazilian students because of their colonial and economic links; and Austria and Germany receive students from each other as they share a common language and are neighbouring countries. The chart shows the differences in student flows and the implied opportunities and risks within the international student mix. The diverse range of international students is a distinct advantage for European PBSA. With the UK government introducing stricter policies, EU institutions are an emerging alternative for international students. This trend could allow the EU to close the gap on the UK. It's not a one-way ticket, though. The Netherlands is another maturing PBSA market that is home to many top universities and international students. But it could cap international student enrollment and recruitment in the future. The tight housing market in major Dutch cities is a major political issue and there are simply not enough beds to supply all students with good-quality accommodation. IT'S ALL ABOUT DISTINCTION Given the demand and supply fundamentals, we believe there will be strong potential opportunities for investors to grow meaningful allocations in good-quality and well-located European PBSA. The deglobalisation trend that has been fuelled by geopolitics, means investors cannot simply 'wing it' when it comes to European PBSA. It is important to focus on the best university towns and cities, backed by the most diverse range of student flows, and a strong and growing domestic student population. 1. 3-22042020-BP-EN.pdf (europa.eu) 2. Bonard report, 2022 3. CBRE report (May 2023) 4. European Parliament study on internationalisation of higher education - EAIE 5. Times Higher Education Author: Hong Bui, Real Estate Investment Analyst, Europe, abrdn -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Funds operated by this manager: Aberdeen Standard Actively Hedged International Equities Fund, Aberdeen Standard Asian Opportunities Fund, Aberdeen Standard Australian Small Companies Fund, Aberdeen Standard Emerging Opportunities Fund, Aberdeen Standard Ex-20 Australian Equities Fund (Class A), Aberdeen Standard Focused Sustainable Australian Equity Fund, Aberdeen Standard Fully Hedged International Equities Fund, Aberdeen Standard Global Absolute Return Strategies Fund, Aberdeen Standard Global Corporate Bond Fund, Aberdeen Standard International Equity Fund, Aberdeen Standard Multi Asset Real Return Fund, Aberdeen Standard Multi-Asset Income Fund 19 Oct 2023 Australian Corporate Performance in Indigenous... Author: Tyndall Asset Management With the upcoming Voice referendum in Australia, the nation stands on the cusp of a significant constitutional change, emphasising the acknowledgment... Read more 19 OCT 2023 - AUSTRALIAN CORPORATE PERFORMANCE IN INDIGENOUS RECONCILIATION. By: Tyndall Asset Management Australian Corporate Performance in Indigenous reconciliation. Tyndall Asset Management October 2022 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- With the upcoming Voice referendum in Australia, the nation stands on the cusp of a significant constitutional change, emphasising the acknowledgment of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islanders as the original inhabitants and the establishment of an Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Voice to Parliament. Here we aim to assess Australian corporate performance in the context of the indigenous reconciliation journey, particularly focusing on Reconciliation Action Plans and their varying stages. RECONCILIATION ACTION PLANS Reconciliation Action Plans (RAPs) seek to enable organisations to take meaningful action to advance reconciliation. Based around the core pillars of relationships, respect and opportunities, RAPs aim to provide tangible and substantive benefits for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples, increase economic equity and supporting First Nations self-determination. THE FOUR STAGES OF A RAP ARE AS FOLLOWS: 1. Reflect: At this stage, organisations acknowledge the need for change and express their commitment to reconciliation. This stage, which normally takes around 12 months, involves building relationships and cultural awareness within the workplace. 2. Innovate: The Innovate stage focuses on implementing specific initiatives and programs that promote meaningful engagement and partnerships with indigenous communities. This stage normally takes around two years. 3. Stretch: Organisations at the Stretch stage are dedicated to integrating reconciliation into their core operations and actively seeking opportunities to advance indigenous participation, employment, and procurement. This stage normally takes around 2-3 years. 4. Elevate: The Elevate stage signifies a comprehensive and sustained approach to reconciliation, incorporating significant changes in organisational policies, practices, and cultural competency, ultimately striving for measurable outcomes. CORPORATE PERFORMANCE AND RAPS There are presently 43 companies in the S&P/ASX 100 with RAPs in place. These companies are distributed across the Reflect, Innovate, Stretch, and Elevate stages. Notably, 57 companies in the ASX 100 do not have RAPs, suggesting that there is room for growth in corporate engagement in indigenous reconciliation. The breakdown of companies by RAP stage and their associated values in the ASX 100 is as follows: * Reflect: 12 companies with a total value of $300 billion * Innovate: 14 companies with a total value of $125 billion * Stretch: 10 companies with a total value of $400 billion * Elevate: 7 companies with a total value of $120 billion Figure 1: S&P/ASX 100 RAP Breakdown (number) Source: IRESS, Reconciliation Australia, Tyndall AM, Oct 2023. Figure 2: S&P/ASX 100 RAP breakdown (total market cap) Source: IRESS, Reconciliation Australia, Tyndall AM, Oct 2023. Additionally, sector-wise analysis demonstrates varying levels of engagement with RAPs: * Financial sector companies exhibit substantial engagement, with 12 out of 19 companies having RAPs. * The industrial and property trusts sectors also demonstrate significant engagement, with 7 out of 14 and 6 out of 10 companies having RAPs, respectively. * Conversely, sectors including consumer discretionary, consumer staples, healthcare, and information technology lag behind in terms of RAP adoption. Figure 3: S&P/ASX 100 RAP breakdown by industry Source: IRESS, Reconciliation Australia, Tyndall AM, Oct 2023. Specifically relating to the Voice referendum, it is interesting to note that 14 of the top 20 listed companies in Australia have expressed public support for the Voice. Somewhat surprisingly, of these 14 companies only 11 currently have RAPs. Less surprisingly, none of those 11 companies are at the Reflect stage and the majority are at the Elevate stage or beyond - essentially companies that are more progressed in their own reconciliation journey. Figure 4: S&P/ASX 20 Voice Support Source: IRESS, Reconciliation Australia, Tyndall AM, Oct 2023. INCORPORATING RECONCILIATION INTO OUR ESG APPROACH ESG has always been a critical part of the Tyndall investment process. More recently we have added structure to the process via the development of an ESG scorecard amongst other longstanding initiatives including active ESG engagement and independent thought on ESG related matters. While social issues and diversity and inclusion performance have always been considered, we have recently updated our scorecard to specifically reflect where companies are at in their RAP journey. Conclusion Regardless of the outcome of the Voice referendum, it is clear that corporate Australia will play an increasingly significant role in progressing indigenous reconciliation efforts. This includes fostering genuine relationships, creating inclusive workplaces, and supporting initiatives that empower Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples. The pre-Voice referendum assessment of Australian corporate performance in the indigenous reconciliation journey through RAPs reveals both progress and areas for improvement. While a notable number of companies have embraced reconciliation through the RAP framework, a significant proportion is yet to make a commitment. Encouragingly, there appears a growing understanding and acknowledgment of the need to meaningfully engage with indigenous communities. Author: Michael Ward, Senior Research Analyst -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Funds operated by this manager: Tyndall Australian Share Concentrated Fund, Tyndall Australian Share Income Fund, Tyndall Australian Share Wholesale Fund 12 Oct 2023 Ferrari: The case for RACE (RACE IM) Author: Alphinity Investment Management Ferrari is one of the world's most iconic brands. It's also an amazing stock. Ferrari was founded in Italy in the 1940s and was spun off from... Read more 12 OCT 2023 - FERRARI: THE CASE FOR RACE (RACE IM) By: Alphinity Investment Management Ferrari: The case for RACE (RACE IM) Alphinity Investment Management September 2023 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Ferrari is one of the world's most iconic brands. It's also an amazing stock. Ferrari was founded in Italy in the 1940s and was spun off from Stellantis in 2016 under the ticker RACE IM. The IPO price was EUR43 and Ferrari is currently trading at ~EUR300 for a 600% return since listing. The analysis below outlines the Case for RACE and highlights 4 main reasons to why we love the stock. RACE Stock Price Since Listing in 2016 Reason #1: High margin, high return, high growth business Ferrari has achieved the holy trinity of high returns, high growth and a reasonable valuation. RACE boasts gross margins of ~50%, net margins of over 20% and an ROE of approximately 40%. This margin and non-cyclical earnings profile is why Ferrari is typically considered a luxury stock like Hermes, rather than an auto stock like GM, Ford or even Mercedes. Point #2: A+ industry structure leads to earnings visibility and upgrades When I was a student at Harvard Business School I did many case studies applying the Porter's 5 Forces Framework. The 5 Forces is an analytical tool developed by Michael Porter in the late 1970s to analyse industry structure and competitive environments. From this perspective, Ferrari is literally the textbook case of an A+ company. They are a heritage brand with incredibly high barriers to entry, they have few competitors, few substitutes, price insensitive customers with very little bargaining power, and a supply chain that is localised and very difficult to replicate. The net result is that Ferrari has an immense level of control over its own earnings and strong earnings visibility. Management upgraded its FY23 revenue guidance, adjusted EBIT margin guidance as well as adjusted EPS and FCF estimates at the last result. More importantly, this upgrade cycle is a consistent pattern shown by RACE management since listing. Reason #3: Impressive Brand Recognition and Unique Positioning Among Auto Peers Ferrari is repeatedly recognised as one of the world's leading brands and they are confident in what their brand stands for and who their target customer is. Most auto meetings these days are focused on the transition to EVs and the rise of autonomous driving (AD). While these are important strategic directions for the auto sector as a whole, it often feels like the companies are in a RACE (no pun intended) to out electrify and out tech each other. Ferrari is refreshingly contrarian on both these fronts. Ferrari management has made a strong commitment NOT to get into autonomous driving (AD). The whole point of buying a Ferrari is to drive it yourself! While Ferrari is a leader in hybrids with approximately 45% of deliveries already in the hybrid space, it's first fully electric car will not be presented until 2025 with the first deliveries the following year. They do not expect pure EVs to be more than 5% of total shipments by 2026. Part of this is strategic positioning that one of the great joys (so I am told) of owning a Ferrari is the vrooooom, sound it makes when you start the ICE engine. EVs don't vroom so Ferrari plans to continue to develop ICE engines into the 2030s. Reason #4: Technological leader Technological leadership comes in part from the company's F1 racing pedigree. Scuderia Ferrari has been racing in the Formula 1 World Championship since the series was launched in 1950. RACE transfers technologies initially developed for racing to its road cars, which reinforces the brand identity and the scarcity value of the vehicles. Examples include steering wheel paddles for gear shifting, the use and development of composite materials, which make cars lighter and faster, and technology related to hybrid propulsion. RACE road cars have also benefited from the know-how acquired in the wind tunnel by racing car development teams, enjoying greater stability as they reach high speeds. Investment Risks Of course, no stock is without risks. For Ferrari, the main risks are that it is a single brand, single product company and therefore lack the diversification of a luxury stock like LVMH or a more diversified auto company like Mercedes or Tesla. From a governance perspective, this is still to some extent a family endeavour with the Agnelli family de facto controlling approximately 51% of the voting rights of the company. Finally, Euronext Milan is not the most liquid market so the Average Daily Traded Value (ADTV) of Ferrari as a EUR50 billion market cap company, is less than it would be if it was traded in the US or France. Conclusion The case for RACE is clear. Ferrari is a high margin, high return, high growth company operating in a competitive environment with high barriers to entry, few competitors, leading technology and loyal customers. What's not to like about Ferrari? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Funds operated by this manager: Alphinity Australian Share Fund, Alphinity Concentrated Australian Share Fund, Alphinity Global Equity Fund, Alphinity Sustainable Share Fund -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclaimer The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your personal circumstances, financial needs or objectives. Before acting on any information, you should consider the appropriateness of it and the relevant product having regard to your objectives, financial situation and needs. In particular, you should seek independent financial advice and read the relevant Product Disclosure Statement or other offer document and the relevant Target Market Determination (available on the Apply Now page on this website) before making a decision whether to buy or hold a financial product. 11 Oct 2023 Who will benefit from the energy transition? Author: Magellan Asset Management Net Zero is not a new ambition for governments and companies, with some sectors like utilities focused on this climate risk for quite some time now. ... Read more 11 OCT 2023 - WHO WILL BENEFIT FROM THE ENERGY TRANSITION? By: Magellan Asset Management Who will benefit from the energy transition? Magellan Asset Management September 2023 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Net Zero is not a new ambition for governments and companies, with some sectors like utilities focused on this climate risk for quite some time now. David Costello, CFA, Portfolio Manager - Energy Transition Strategy discusses the opportunities we see from the energy transition and companies that may benefit from this transition. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Funds operated by this manager: Magellan Global Fund (Hedged), Magellan Global Fund (Open Class Units) ASX:MGOC, Magellan High Conviction Fund, Magellan Infrastructure Fund, Magellan Infrastructure Fund (Unhedged), MFG Core Infrastructure Fund -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Important Information: This material has been delivered to you by Magellan Asset Management Limited ABN 31 120 593 946 AFS Licence No. 304 301 ('Magellan') and has been prepared for general information purposes only and must not be construed as investment advice or as an investment recommendation. This material does not take into account your investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs. This material does not constitute an offer or inducement to engage in an investment activity nor does it form part of any offer documentation, offer or invitation to purchase, sell or subscribe for interests in any type of investment product or service. You should obtain and consider the relevant Product Disclosure Statement ('PDS') and Target Market Determination ('TMD') and consider obtaining professional investment advice tailored to your specific circumstances before making a decision about whether to acquire, or continue to hold, the relevant financial product. A copy of the relevant PDS and TMD relating to a Magellan financial product may be obtained by calling +61 2 9235 4888 or by visiting www.magellangroup.com.au. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results and no person guarantees the future performance of any financial product or service, the amount or timing of any return from it, that asset allocations will be met, that it will be able to implement its investment strategy or that its investment objectives will be achieved. This material may contain 'forward-looking statements'. Actual events or results or the actual performance of a Magellan financial product or service may differ materially from those reflected or contemplated in such forward-looking statements. This material may include data, research and other information from third party sources. Magellan makes no guarantee that such information is accurate, complete or timely and does not provide any warranties regarding results obtained from its use. This information is subject to change at any time and no person has any responsibility to update any of the information provided in this material. Statements contained in this material that are not historical facts are based on current expectations, estimates, projections, opinions and beliefs of Magellan. Such statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, and undue reliance should not be placed thereon. No representation or warranty is made with respect to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information contained in this material. Magellan will not be responsible or liable for any losses arising from your use or reliance upon any part of the information contained in this material. Any third party trademarks contained herein are the property of their respective owners and Magellan claims no ownership in, nor any affiliation with, such trademarks. Any third party trademarks that appear in this material are used for information purposes and only to identify the company names or brands of their respective owners. No affiliation, sponsorship or endorsement should be inferred from the use of these trademarks. This material and the information contained within it may not be reproduced, or disclosed, in whole or in part, without the prior written consent of Magellan. ATTACHED FILESThe three factors driving stock returns (pdf format) 3 Oct 2023 Webinar Recording 26 September 2023| Getting the... Author: FundMonitors.com To help you get a better understanding of the www.fundmonitors.com database, watch this webinar recording to help you learn to navigate the database... Read more 3 OCT 2023 - WEBINAR RECORDING 26 SEPTEMBER 2023| GETTING THE MOST OUT OF THE FUND MONITORS DATABASE By: FundMonitors.com Webinar Recording | Getting the Most Out of the Fund Monitors Database FundMonitors.com 26 September 2023 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- To help you get a better understanding of the www.fundmonitors.com database, watch this webinar recording to help you learn to navigate the database and get the most out of its powerful fund analytics. The webinar covered the following: * Accessing the site * Selecting and comparing funds * Peer group analysis * Building and managing a watchlist * Creating a portfolio * Building custom reports * FACTORS Research 28 Sep 2023 The Rate Debate - Ep 42: Inflation has peaked Author: Yarra Capital Management Outgoing Reserve Bank governor Philip Lowe finished his tenure as he began by keeping rates on hold as inflation cools. With inflation... Read more 28 SEP 2023 - THE RATE DEBATE - EP 42: INFLATION HAS PEAKED By: Yarra Capital Management The Rate Debate - Ep 42: Inflation has peaked Yarra Capital Management September 2023 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Outgoing Reserve Bank governor Philip Lowe finished his tenure as he began by keeping rates on hold as inflation cools. With inflation past its peak, can we expect rate cuts on the horizon, and could a softening of China's economy bring them even closer, or will services inflation drive the incoming governor Michele Bullock to deliver a rate rise later this year? Darren is joined by special guest Roy Keenan, Co-Head of Fixed Income, to explore this and the outlook for credit markets in episode 42 of The Rate Debate. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Funds operated by this manager: Yarra Australian Equities Fund, Yarra Emerging Leaders Fund, Yarra Enhanced Income Fund, Yarra Income Plus Fund 13 Sep 2023 Quay podcast: How high rates are impacting REITs Author: Quay Global Investors Quay's Co-Principal and Portfolio Manager, Justin Blaess, speaks with Bennelong Account Director, Jodie Saw, about the impact of high rates on REITs... Read more 13 SEP 2023 - QUAY PODCAST: HOW HIGH RATES ARE IMPACTING REITS By: Quay Global Investors Quay podcast: How high rates are impacting REITs Quay Global Investors September 2023 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Quay's Co-Principal and Portfolio Manager, Justin Blaess, speaks with Bennelong Account Director, Jodie Saw, about the impact of high rates on REITs (less of an issue than most expect), the mismatch between supply and demand (the main drivers of return), the opportunities emerging globally, and Quay's long-term earnings outlook. Timestamps: * 0:46 - The impact of high rates on REITs * 4:01 - Quay's view on bank values and the risks across sectors * 7:33 - The mismatch between supply and demand in the real estate market * 8:51 - The opportunities for REITs in the USA, UK and Europe * 11:11 - ... and how Quay is capitalising on these opportunities * 11:58 - The team's long-term earnings outlook -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Funds operated by this manager: Quay Global Real Estate Fund (AUD Hedged), Quay Global Real Estate Fund (Unhedged) For more insights from Quay Global Investors, visit quaygi.com -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The content contained in this audio represents the opinions of the speakers. The speakers may hold either long or short positions in securities of various companies discussed in the audio. This commentary in no way constitutes a solicitation of business or investment advice. It is intended solely as an avenue for the speakers to express their personal views on investing and for the entertainment of the listener. 12 Sep 2023 Cultivating change - Nestlé's leading approach... Author: Magellan Asset Management In this episode, Magellan's Portfolio Manager Elisa Di Marco, and Investment Analyst, Tracey Wahlberg discuss how environmental values are driving... Read more 12 SEP 2023 - CULTIVATING CHANGE - NESTLÉ'S LEADING APPROACH ON SUSTAINABILITY AND CREATING SHARED VALUE By: Magellan Asset Management Episode 37: Cultivating change - Nestlé's leading approach on sustainability and creating shared value Magellan Asset Management August 2023 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- In this episode, Magellan's Portfolio Manager Elisa Di Marco, and Investment Analyst, Tracey Wahlberg discuss how environmental values are driving corporate culture with Rob Cameron, Nestlé's Global Head of Public Affairs. They talk through the company's net zero approach, and its commitment in leading its supply chain to embrace regenerative agriculture, recycling, packaging innovation and human rights. And Rob Cameron explains how these initiatives benefit shareholders, through growth opportunities and cost discipline. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Funds operated by this manager: Magellan Global Fund (Hedged), Magellan Global Fund (Open Class Units) ASX:MGOC, Magellan High Conviction Fund, Magellan Infrastructure Fund, Magellan Infrastructure Fund (Unhedged), MFG Core Infrastructure Fund -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Important Information: This material has been delivered to you by Magellan Asset Management Limited ABN 31 120 593 946 AFS Licence No. 304 301 ('Magellan') and has been prepared for general information purposes only and must not be construed as investment advice or as an investment recommendation. This material does not take into account your investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs. This material does not constitute an offer or inducement to engage in an investment activity nor does it form part of any offer documentation, offer or invitation to purchase, sell or subscribe for interests in any type of investment product or service. You should obtain and consider the relevant Product Disclosure Statement ('PDS') and Target Market Determination ('TMD') and consider obtaining professional investment advice tailored to your specific circumstances before making a decision about whether to acquire, or continue to hold, the relevant financial product. A copy of the relevant PDS and TMD relating to a Magellan financial product may be obtained by calling +61 2 9235 4888 or by visiting www.magellangroup.com.au. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results and no person guarantees the future performance of any financial product or service, the amount or timing of any return from it, that asset allocations will be met, that it will be able to implement its investment strategy or that its investment objectives will be achieved. This material may contain 'forward-looking statements'. Actual events or results or the actual performance of a Magellan financial product or service may differ materially from those reflected or contemplated in such forward-looking statements. This material may include data, research and other information from third party sources. Magellan makes no guarantee that such information is accurate, complete or timely and does not provide any warranties regarding results obtained from its use. This information is subject to change at any time and no person has any responsibility to update any of the information provided in this material. Statements contained in this material that are not historical facts are based on current expectations, estimates, projections, opinions and beliefs of Magellan. Such statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, and undue reliance should not be placed thereon. No representation or warranty is made with respect to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information contained in this material. Magellan will not be responsible or liable for any losses arising from your use or reliance upon any part of the information contained in this material. Any third party trademarks contained herein are the property of their respective owners and Magellan claims no ownership in, nor any affiliation with, such trademarks. Any third party trademarks that appear in this material are used for information purposes and only to identify the company names or brands of their respective owners. No affiliation, sponsorship or endorsement should be inferred from the use of these trademarks. This material and the information contained within it may not be reproduced, or disclosed, in whole or in part, without the prior written consent of Magellan. ATTACHED FILESThe three factors driving stock returns (pdf format) 8 Sep 2023 Sorting bubbles from justified inflations! Author: Alphinity Investment Management Since Chat GPT3 crashed onto the scene at the end of 2022, the world has been swept up in (generative) Artificial Intelligence (AI) euphoria. AI... Read more 8 SEP 2023 - SORTING BUBBLES FROM JUSTIFIED INFLATIONS! By: Alphinity Investment Management Sorting bubbles from justified inflations! Alphinity Investment Management August 2023 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Since Chat GPT3 crashed onto the scene at the end of 2022, the world has been swept up in (generative) Artificial Intelligence (AI) euphoria. AI related stocks have all rallied, companies have expanded their capital plans and gone to great lengths to explain how and why they use AI, and analysts have sharpened their bull case scenarios for future growth opportunities. We've seen similar transformative technology breakthrough exuberance rise and fall in the past, such as Web 3, the metaverse and crypto architecture last year. Is AI just another tech bubble about to implode? Or something much more substantive? The answer is yes to both. In this note, we expand on why we remain excited about the use cases and subsequent earnings potential that can be built off the back of AI in the future and why we believe this technology shift, and the value that it can create, is real. Investors however need to be very selective as the monetisation potential of AI will flow through different elements of the chain at various levels an at different times. Two clear early winners in our view are Microsoft and Nvidia. The AI induced rally The release of Chat GPT did bring the technology sector heavily back into focus in the first half of the year with the Mega (or profitable) Tech index rallying 64% to the end of July. But this reborn tech euphoria also dragged the Unprofitable Tech stocks 37% higher, to outperform the broader US market by more than 40% and 15% respectively. AI enthused rally has boosted profitable and unprofitable tech stocks YTD There is undoubtedly an element of AI froth that has come into the technology sector, as some companies have seen AI potential wash into their share prices before a clear articulation of how the earnings that will back these valuations will emerge. And we have seen the downside of this where companies such as Data Dog and Palantir have had solid falls after earnings disappointments, while some of the air has also come out of other companies such as MongoDB, Snowflake and Salesforce. We expect the market to become more discerning in terms of wanting to see a clearer monetisation path to determine who the key winners will be as opposed to the broad lifting of almost all boats even tangentially brushing up against the AI theme that we have seen so far this year. Use cases of generative AI In terms of winners in the AI space, it is all about a clear identification of use cases. AI is not a new theme. The difference now is generative AI developments expand these technological capabilities and put them within the reach of hundreds of millions of new users each month. The IDC estimates the global AI market will see 19% compound annual growth between now and 2026 to reach US$900bn while Goldman Sachs predicts generative AI alone could drive 7% or an almost $7trn increase in annual global GDP growth over the coming decade. There are various elements of the tech ecosystem where value will emerge to varying degrees. At the front end you have the key enablers such as semiconductor designers like Nvidia that will benefit along with foundry businesses like TSMC and Samsung and the semiconductor equipment players such as ASML, Applied Materials and Lam Research who supply them. Then you shift towards the infrastructure names such as networks businesses like Arista, and the cloud players that span Microsofts Azure, Amazons AWS and Googles GCP. But the really exciting opportunities should emerge beyond the initial enablers and infrastructure players and be in those businesses that can create applications based on AI. Established businesses such as ServiceNow, Workday and Salesforce are working to embed AI within their current offering, but the real opportunity is likely to be in the emergence of a business that applies AI to a deep revenue pool and owns that vertical. Whether that be in healthcare, finance or customer service, there is potential for an AI leader to emerge that could be the next big tech name in 5yrs. AI offers a plethora of investment opportunities, but not all created equal Source: Alphinity, 31 July 2023 Two clear early winners currently - Microsoft & Nvidia Investing in AI is like investing in any other idea for Alphinity; find the investment ideas that are showing earnings leadership, come wrapped in a quality business, and are bound by a reasonable valuation. In AI it comes down to identifying a tangible use case and the monetisation potential that flows off the back of this to driving earnings outperformance, exceptional returns and valuation upside. Microsoft and Nvidia are two clear early winners in AI that display these characteristics. Microsoft (MSFT) - Well positioned for broad secular trends in technology and a leader in AI Microsoft has multiple legs of opportunity flowing from AI. At the front end, it has announced pricing for its AI infused M365 co-pilot product at $30per user per month. Applying this pricing to Microsoft's 250m commercial users of it's higher value products, we estimate Co-pilot can drive an extra $27bn in revenue, or 13%, over a 3-5yr period, assuming a conservative 30% penetration rate. There is also the uplift in consumption that will run through Microsofts cloud business Azure, a potentially simpler Ai product for the extra 200m commercial users on simple product sets, plus incremental gains from any shift in search traffic from Google to Bing. Wrap this together and while the Microsoft share price has risen in 1H23, investors are currently paying 30x Price to Earnings for a business that can grow mid-teens over the next 3 with multiple growth drivers. MSFT offers tangible AI monetisation Source: Alphinity, Bloomberg, 31 July 2023 Nvidia (NVDA) - Global leader in Graphics Processing Units with generative AI a gamechanger Nvidia is the other key initial beneficiary from AI, with their most recent result generating an almost unprecedented upgrade in earnings expectations for a business of its scale. Generative Ai is all about GPU's given their ability to run calculations and simulations in parallel; the key tasks for AI. And Nvidia sits front and centre as the leader in terms of GPU performance coupled with a powerful software capability making their GPU's flexible and programmable. The key to the Nvidia investment case is ensuring that the current demand is not just a flash in the pan. To our mind, there is sustainability to this demand given that generative AI has triggered a shift in data centre infrastructure from CPU's towards GPU's. With around $1tr of datacentre infrastructure installed, and this infrastructure turning over around every 4 years, this provides rich structural tailwinds that should drive Nvidia earnings for years to come. On our estimates, NVDA should generate around $30bn in datacentre revenue this year (2/3rds of total revenue). If we push the shift from CPU to GPU through our discounted cashflow model, we estimate that datacentre revenues can increase to $80bn CY27. Investors are paying c40x FY24 Price/Earnings, with what looks like growth to come for the years ahead. Revenue & margin uplifts driving unprecedented EPS upgrades over next two years Source: Alphinity, Bloomberg, 31 July 2023 In summary, AI is an exciting investment opportunity, with many growth tangents still to be discovered. But like any investment, investors need to be able to have a line of sight to the earnings potential and be disciplined in terms of what they pay for these companies to ensure that they are not riding a bubble that may eventually pop. Authors: Elfreda Jonker, Client Portfolio Manager & Investment Specialist and Trent Masters, Global Portfolio Manager -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Funds operated by this manager: Alphinity Australian Share Fund, Alphinity Concentrated Australian Share Fund, Alphinity Global Equity Fund, Alphinity Sustainable Share Fund -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclaimer The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your personal circumstances, financial needs or objectives. Before acting on any information, you should consider the appropriateness of it and the relevant product having regard to your objectives, financial situation and needs. In particular, you should seek independent financial advice and read the relevant Product Disclosure Statement or other offer document and the relevant Target Market Determination (available on the Apply Now page on this website) before making a decision whether to buy or hold a financial product. 29 Aug 2023 The Rate Debate - Ep 41: Uncertainty abounds in... Author: Yarra Capital Management Amidst ongoing economic uncertainties, the RBA has seen fit to keep rates on hold for a consecutive month and wait to see how the lagging effects of... Read more 29 AUG 2023 - THE RATE DEBATE - EP 41: UNCERTAINTY ABOUNDS IN THE FACE OF ECONOMIC CHALLENGES By: Yarra Capital Management The Rate Debate - Ep 41: Uncertainty abounds in the face of economic challenges Yarra Capital Management August 2023 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Amidst ongoing economic uncertainties, the RBA has seen fit to keep rates on hold for a consecutive month and wait to see how the lagging effects of 12 rate hikes play out. While inflation is decelerating, uncertainty abounds over consumer spending, falling productivity and wage growth. Will the central bank's aim to deliver a soft landing make it harder to get inflation back to target, meaning that this pause is short-lived? Darren is joined by special guest Phil Strano, Senior Portfolio Manager in charge of credit research, to explore this and more in episode 41 of The Rate Debate. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Funds operated by this manager: Yarra Australian Equities Fund, Yarra Emerging Leaders Fund, Yarra Enhanced Income Fund, Yarra Income Plus Fund 28 Aug 2023 What really matters in investing Author: Magellan Asset Management Global Portfolio Managers, Arvid Streimann and Nikki Thomas dissect what's important and what's a distraction in the investment world. They talk us... Read more 28 AUG 2023 - WHAT REALLY MATTERS IN INVESTING By: Magellan Asset Management What really matters in investing Magellan Asset Management August 2023 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Global Portfolio Managers, Arvid Streimann and Nikki Thomas dissect what's important and what's a distraction in the investment world. They talk us through where they are currently finding opportunities and how they are positioning the portfolio to benefit from structural tailwinds. Investment Analyst, Emma Henderson joins them to provide a deep dive into our restaurant holdings and why we like them. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Funds operated by this manager: Magellan Global Fund (Hedged), Magellan Global Fund (Open Class Units) ASX:MGOC, Magellan High Conviction Fund, Magellan Infrastructure Fund, Magellan Infrastructure Fund (Unhedged), MFG Core Infrastructure Fund -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Important Information: This material has been delivered to you by Magellan Asset Management Limited ABN 31 120 593 946 AFS Licence No. 304 301 ('Magellan') and has been prepared for general information purposes only and must not be construed as investment advice or as an investment recommendation. This material does not take into account your investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs. This material does not constitute an offer or inducement to engage in an investment activity nor does it form part of any offer documentation, offer or invitation to purchase, sell or subscribe for interests in any type of investment product or service. You should obtain and consider the relevant Product Disclosure Statement ('PDS') and Target Market Determination ('TMD') and consider obtaining professional investment advice tailored to your specific circumstances before making a decision about whether to acquire, or continue to hold, the relevant financial product. A copy of the relevant PDS and TMD relating to a Magellan financial product may be obtained by calling +61 2 9235 4888 or by visiting www.magellangroup.com.au. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results and no person guarantees the future performance of any financial product or service, the amount or timing of any return from it, that asset allocations will be met, that it will be able to implement its investment strategy or that its investment objectives will be achieved. This material may contain 'forward-looking statements'. Actual events or results or the actual performance of a Magellan financial product or service may differ materially from those reflected or contemplated in such forward-looking statements. This material may include data, research and other information from third party sources. Magellan makes no guarantee that such information is accurate, complete or timely and does not provide any warranties regarding results obtained from its use. This information is subject to change at any time and no person has any responsibility to update any of the information provided in this material. Statements contained in this material that are not historical facts are based on current expectations, estimates, projections, opinions and beliefs of Magellan. Such statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, and undue reliance should not be placed thereon. No representation or warranty is made with respect to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information contained in this material. Magellan will not be responsible or liable for any losses arising from your use or reliance upon any part of the information contained in this material. Any third party trademarks contained herein are the property of their respective owners and Magellan claims no ownership in, nor any affiliation with, such trademarks. Any third party trademarks that appear in this material are used for information purposes and only to identify the company names or brands of their respective owners. No affiliation, sponsorship or endorsement should be inferred from the use of these trademarks. This material and the information contained within it may not be reproduced, or disclosed, in whole or in part, without the prior written consent of Magellan. ATTACHED FILESThe three factors driving stock returns (pdf format) ONLINE APPLICATONS Free, simple and secure Olivia123 - the fast simple and secure online alternative to completing paper based application forms. Apply for a Fund FEATURED FUNDS EDUCATION Your browser does not support the video tag. Your browser does not support the video tag. Your browser does not support the video tag. Your browser does not support the video tag. Your browser does not support the video tag. Your browser does not support the video tag. Your browser does not support the video tag. Your browser does not support the video tag. WHAT OUR CLIENTS SAY "I've been subscribing to AFM for over two years and love it. 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