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OECD GOVERNMENT BORROWING EXPECTED TO RISE TO RECORD $15.8 TRILLION THIS YEAR
March 07, 2024 at 04:30 am EST
Share
By Paul Hannon
Total borrowing by governments in rich countries is set to hit a record high of
$15.8 trillion this year, with the cost of making interest payments rising over
coming years as bonds issued before the inflation surge mature, the Organization
for Economic Cooperation and Development said.
In a report on global debt, the Paris-based research body said Thursday that
gross borrowing--which includes refinancing maturing bonds as well as new
issuance--rose to $14.1 trillion in 2023 from $12.1 trillion in 2022. That total
is set to rise further in 2024, and will surpass the previous peak of $15.4
trillion in 2020, when governments borrowed heavily to support households and
businesses during the Covid-19 pandemic.
The refinancing of bonds will hit a record high of $12.6 trillion this year as
many of the bonds issued during the pandemic mature. However, the surge in
inflation that followed the pandemic has pushed interest rates higher, and the
OECD estimates that the average cost of new borrowing for governments increased
to 4% in 2023 from 1% in 2021.
As a consequence, the cost to governments of making interest payments rose to
2.9% of annual economic output in 2023 from 2.3% in 2021, and further rises are
in store. The OECD said replacing maturing bonds with new securities paying a
higher rate will raise the cost of making interest payments by another half a
percentage point of economic output by 2026.
Governments will also face the challenge of finding buyers for their debt as one
major source of demand is withdrawn, with many central banks now selling
government bonds they purchased in the years following the global financial
crisis in an effort to boost growth and inflation.
The OECD said central banks in its member countries own government bonds with a
value equivalent to 30% of annual economic output, roughly matching the increase
in total government debt since the financial crisis.
"As central banks begin to shrink their balance sheets through quantitative
tightening, the net supply of bonds to be absorbed by the broader market will
increase to record levels," the OECD said. "This will result in a growing share
of bonds being held by more price sensitive investors, such as the non-bank
financial sector and households."
The OECD expects outstanding government debt in its member countries will rise
to $56 trillion this year from $54 trillion in 2023. It said the U.S. share of
the total debt stock has risen "notably" over recent years, accounting for
almost half of the total in 2023, or double its 2008 share.
Write to Paul Hannon at paul.hannon@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
03-07-24 0429ET
Share
© Dow Jones - 2024
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BOEING
+4.50%
INSULET CORPORATION
+3.65%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ALBEMARLE CORPORATION
-5.18%
DELL TECHNOLOGIES INC.
-5.67%
ORACLE CORPORATION
-6.67%
SUPER MICRO COMPUTER, INC.
-8.20%
MODERNA, INC.
-9.07%
Created with Highcharts 9.3.3Technology TechnologyConsumer Cyclicals Consumer
CyclicalsConsumer Non-CyclicalsConsumer … Consumer Non-CyclicalsConsumer
…Healthcare HealthcareFinancials FinancialsEnergyEne… EnergyEne…Basic
MaterialsBasic Materi… Basic MaterialsBasic Materi…Industrials
IndustrialsUtilities UtilitiesReal Estate Real Estate
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Rankings -- North America --DOW JONESMexico IPCNasdaq 100Nasdaq CompositeRussell
2000Toronto TSXUS 500 -- Europe --AEXAEX All SharesAMXASCXASEATXBEL 20BEL All
SharesBEL MidBel SmallCAC 40CAC Large 60CAC Mid & SmallCAC Mid 60CAC Next 20CAC
SmallDAXEuro Stoxx 50Finland OMXH 25FTSE 100FTSE-MIBIBEX 35MDAXOMX Copenhagen
20OMX Nordic 40OMX Oslo 20OMX Stockholm PIPEA (Liste Indicative)PEA PMEPolska
100PSI 20S&P United KingdomSBF 120SDAXSMISRD FranceSRD Long OnlyStoxx Europe
600Stoxx Europe 600 trStoxx Italy 20Stoxx Italy 45Stoxx Italy TMISweden OMXS
30Swiss Market (Mid Cap) Total Return Index - CHFSwiss Market (SMI) Gross Total
Return Index - CHFSwiss Middle Companies Total Return Index - CHF TecDAXWIG
20 -- Asia, Pacific --ASX 200BIST 100Hang SengKOSPI CompositeMSCI Pacific ex
JapanNifty 100Nifty 50Nifty 500Nikkei 225Pacific 500SENSEX 30SET 50Shanghai
CompositeSingapore 100Solar Value ChainTaiwan TWSETokyo TOPIX -- South
America --CaracasIbovespaMSCI EM LATIN AMERICA -- Middle East --CASE
30Tadawul All Share TASIUAE 50 -- --Ireland ISEQ Overall IndexPEA PME
(Liste Indicative)
ALPHABET INC.
+5.59%
CHARTER COMMUNICATIONS, INC.
+3.28%
TESLA, INC.
+2.87%
T-MOBILE US, INC.
+2.03%
GILEAD SCIENCES, INC.
+1.93%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PDD HOLDINGS INC.
-5.29%
APPLOVIN CORPORATION
-6.27%
SUPER MICRO COMPUTER, INC.
-8.20%
MODERNA, INC.
-9.07%
MONGODB, INC.
-16.92%
Created with Highcharts 9.3.3Technology TechnologyConsumer CyclicalsConsume…
Consumer CyclicalsConsume…Consumer Non-CyclicalsConsumer N… Consumer
Non-CyclicalsConsumer N…Healthcare HealthcareBasic MaterialsBa… Basic
MaterialsBa…Industrials IndustrialsUtilitiesUti… UtilitiesUti…
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Currency / Forex
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0.9498
+0.03%
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1.4177
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20.1683
+0.03%
USD / BRL
6.0599
-0.31%
USD / INR
84.8590
+0.00%
USD / CNY
7.2495
-0.14%
USD / JPY
151.8220
-0.01%
USD / AUD
1.5695
+0.06%
USD / KRW
1,434.5600
+0.08%
USD / HKD
7.7742
+0.00%
USD / GBP
0.7828
+0.03%
USD / CHF
0.8828
+0.00%
Forex
Commodities
GOLD
2,694.96
-0.03%
CRUDE OIL (WTI)
68.25
-0.01%
CRUDE OIL (BRENT)
72.04
+0.24%
SILVER
31.88
-0.04%
PLATINUM
939.50
-0.01%
Commodities
Cryptocurrencies
BITCOIN
96,053.90
-1.32%
ETHEREUM
3,625.77
-2.38%
SOLANA (SOL/USD)
212.27
-2.09%
BINANCE COIN
671.00
-2.70%
RIPPLE
2.08
-6.10%
Cryptocurrencies
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