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Home > GJS > Vol. 81 (2023)

 


GEORGIA JOURNAL OF SCIENCE

ARTICLE TITLE

Making the Error Bar Overlap Myth a Reality: Comparative Confidence Intervals



AUTHORS

Frank S. Corotto, University of North GeorgiaFollow




ABSTRACT

Many interpret error bars to mean that if they do not overlap the difference is
statistically “significant”. This overlap rule is really an overlap myth; the
rule does not hold true for any conventional type of error bar. There are rules
of thumb for estimating P values, but it would be better to show error bars for
which the overlap rule holds true. Here I explain how to calculate comparative
confidence intervals which, when plotted as error bars, let us judge
significance based on overlap or separation. Others have published on these
intervals (the mathematical basis goes back to John Tukey) but here I advertise
comparative confidence intervals in the hope that more people use them. Judging
statistical “significance” by eye would be most useful when making multiple
comparisons, so I show how comparative confidence intervals can be used to
illustrate the results of Tukey test. I also explain how to use of comparative
confidence intervals to illustrate the effects of multiple independent variables
and explore the problems posed by heterogeneity of variance and repeated
measures. When families of comparative confidence intervals are plotted around
means, I show how box-and-whiskers plots make it easy to judge which intervals
overlap with which. Comparative confidence intervals have the potential to be
used in a wide variety of circumstances, so I describe an easy way to confirm
the intervals’ validity. When sample means are being compared to each other,
they should be plotted with error bars that indicate comparative confidence
intervals, either along with or instead of conventional error bars.



RECOMMENDED CITATION

Corotto, Frank S. (2023) "Making the Error Bar Overlap Myth a Reality:
Comparative Confidence Intervals," Georgia Journal of Science, Vol. 81, No. 2,
Article 11.
Available at: https://digitalcommons.gaacademy.org/gjs/vol81/iss2/11


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Critical values for 0.15 CCIs


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