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Close Info We use cookies for security purposes, to improve your experience on our site and tailor content for you. Our Privacy Statement explains how we use cookies. Skip to main content Skip to main navigation Skip to search input Toggle menu here Menu * Westpac home IQ-logo-desktop IQ-logo-mobile Sign in Sign in Sign out Subscribe My account Search Close Search Go * Padlock Sign in * Padlock Open Sign out * Write Subscribe * Person My account * House Home * House Home Close Close House * Sign in * Economics * Markets * Thought leadership * About us * Sign in Sign in * Economics Economics * Markets Markets * Thought leadership Thought leadership * About us About us * Westpac IQ * Economics * Markets * Thought leadership * About us WESTPAC IQ #rba RBA TO LIFT THE CASH RATE TO 3.35% BY FEBRUARY 2023 July 22 2022 • Clock 5 mins We have revised our terminal cash rate forecast in this tightening cycle to 3.35% from 2.6%. The RBA clearly assesses the neutral cash rate as being above our own assessment. They are likely to continue tightening aggressively given the fear of rising inflation expectations. By Bill Evans Chief Economist Popular topics * RBA RBA * Housing Housing * Currencies Currencies * Sustainable finance Sustainable finance * Commodities Commodities * ESG ESG * Consumer Sentiment Consumer Sentiment * AUD AUD Authors * Bill Evans Bill Evans * Michael Gordon Michael Gordon * Robert Rennie Robert Rennie * Elliot Clarke Elliot Clarke * Andrew Hanlan Andrew Hanlan * Matthew Hassan Matthew Hassan * Justin Smirk Justin Smirk * Damien McColough Damien McColough * Sean Callow Sean Callow * See all authors See all authors ECONOMICS Australia and NZ weekly 25 July 2022 #australia AUSTRALIA AND NZ WEEKLY 25 JULY 2022 July 22 2022 • 5 mins Friday edition: analysis and forecasts for this week's key releases By Bill Evans, Andrew Hanlan, Matthew Hassan & 6 more Justin Smirk, Elliot Clarke, Ryan Wells, Michael Gordon, Satish Ranchhod & Nathan Penny Cliff Notes: inflation still of paramount concern as risks to activity build #cliffnotes CLIFF NOTES: INFLATION STILL OF PARAMOUNT CONCERN AS RISKS TO ACTIVITY BUILD July 22 2022 • 7 mins Key insights from the week that was. By Elliot Clarke & Ryan Wells #newzealand NZ AGRICULTURAL INSIGHT 22 JULY 2022 July 22 2022 • 2 mins The latest developments in New Zealand's agri markets from Senior Agri Economist Nathan Penny. By Nathan Penny #newzealand NZ WEEKLY ECONOMIC INSIGHT 22 JULY 2022 July 21 2022 • 2 mins A two-minute round-up on the New Zealand economy and markets from Senior Economist Satish Ranchhod. By Satish Ranchhod Leading Index growth rate slows in June #leadingindex LEADING INDEX GROWTH RATE SLOWS IN JUNE July 20 2022 • 10 mins The six-month annualised growth rate in the Westpac-Melbourne Institute Leading Index, which indicates the likely pace of economic activity relative to trend three to nine months into the future, slowed to 0.40% in June from 0.56% in May. By Bill Evans #dairy NZ DAIRY UPDATE 20 JULY 2022 July 20 2022 • 3 mins The latest developments in the dairy sector. By Nathan Penny Board Minutes point to 50 basis point increase in August #rba BOARD MINUTES POINT TO 50 BASIS POINT INCREASE IN AUGUST July 18 2022 • 5 mins The RBA Board has lifted the intensity of its rhetoric in the July Minutes. The option of a 25 basis point increase is quickly dismissed, economic prospects are upbeat, while the need to contain inflationary expectations is paramount, another 50 basis points in August seems highly likely. By Bill Evans China shows its strength in the midst of adversity #china CHINA SHOWS ITS STRENGTH IN THE MIDST OF ADVERSITY July 18 2022 • 5 mins A short video update from the Westpac Economics team. By Elliot Clarke June Quarter CPI Preview #consumer JUNE QUARTER CPI PREVIEW July 18 2022 • 8 mins Housing, food and auto fuel driving the Q2 spike but widespread price pressures continue to push core inflation By Justin Smirk #inflation NZ CPI REVIEW Q2 2022 July 18 2022 • 5 mins Consumer prices rose 1.7% in the June quarter. That took the annual inflation rate to 7.3%, its highest level since 1990. By Satish Ranchhod Yield Targets and Bond Buying an Assessment #rba YIELD TARGETS AND BOND BUYING AN ASSESSMENT July 18 2022 • 8 mins The RBA introduced a Yield Target rather than Bond Buying in March 2020 as part of its Unconventonal Policy response to COVID. At the time it was a more effective, low cost alternative. The costs and benefits of bond buying by all central banks during COVID, when fiscal policy played a key role, need serious scrutiny. By Bill Evans #inflation NZ FIRST IMPRESSIONS CONSUMERS PRICE INDEX JUNE QUARTER 2022 July 17 2022 • 2 mins Consumer prices rose 1.7% in the June quarter. That took the annual inflation rate to 7.3%, its highest level since 1990. Inflation pressures are widespread and likely to persist for some time yet. Today’s result reinforces our forecast for a series of further OCR hikes over the coming months. By Satish Ranchhod #newzealand WEEKLY ECONOMIC COMMENTARY 18 JULY 2022 July 17 2022 • 10 mins Analysis and forecasts of the economy and markets, along with previews of data for the week ahead. By Westpac New Zealand Economics Australia and NZ weekly 18 July 2022 #australia AUSTRALIA AND NZ WEEKLY 18 JULY 2022 July 17 2022 • 5 mins Monday's re-issue edition: analysis and forecasts for this week's key release By Bill Evans, Andrew Hanlan, Matthew Hassan & 6 more Justin Smirk, Elliot Clarke, Ryan Wells, Michael Gordon, Satish Ranchhod & Nathan Penny Card activity starting to hint at rate hike impacts #cardtracker CARD ACTIVITY STARTING TO HINT AT RATE HIKE IMPACTS July 15 2022 • 5 mins The Westpac Card Tracker Index declined over the first two weeks of July, falling 3pts to 106.5, the lowest weekly read since an Easter-related low in mid-April. The latest weekly index read still means annual growth in card activity is running at a robust pace, 6.5pts above its pre-COVID pace. By Matthew Hassan RBA 50bp hike confirmed for August with no scope for September pause #rba RBA 50BP HIKE CONFIRMED FOR AUGUST WITH NO SCOPE FOR SEPTEMBER PAUSE July 15 2022 • 5 mins We now expect the RBA to delay its pause to October with a 25bp increase in September to follow on from our 50bp hike forecast for August. By moving the forecast rate hike in December forward to September we have not changed our terminal rate forecast of 2.6%. By Bill Evans Cliff Notes: yet another hit to confidence #cliffnotes CLIFF NOTES: YET ANOTHER HIT TO CONFIDENCE July 14 2022 • 7 mins Key insights from the week that was. By Elliot Clarke & Ryan Wells Long-term financial forecasts 15 July 2022 #forecasts LONG-TERM FINANCIAL FORECASTS 15 JULY 2022 July 14 2022 • 7 mins Key financial forecasts and projections to end-2025. By Andrew Hanlan, Bill Evans, Elliot Clarke & 3 more Justin Smirk, Matthew Hassan & Westpac Australia Economics The US economy: stagnation is the key risk #inflation THE US ECONOMY: STAGNATION IS THE KEY RISK July 14 2022 • 5 mins A short video update from the Westpac Economics team. By Elliot Clarke #newzealand NZ WEEKLY ECONOMIC INSIGHT 15 JULY 2022 July 14 2022 • 2 mins A two-minute round-up on the New Zealand economy and markets from NZ Acting Chief Economist Michael Gordon. By Michael Gordon Australia and NZ weekly 18 July 2022 #australia AUSTRALIA AND NZ WEEKLY 18 JULY 2022 July 14 2022 • 5 mins Friday edition: analysis and forecasts for this week's key releases By Bill Evans, Andrew Hanlan, Matthew Hassan & 6 more Justin Smirk, Elliot Clarke, Ryan Wells, Michael Gordon, Satish Ranchhod & Nathan Penny Australia and NZ weekly 18 July 2022 #australia AUSTRALIA AND NZ WEEKLY 18 JULY 2022 July 14 2022 • 5 mins Friday edition: analysis and forecasts for this week's key releases By Bill Evans, Andrew Hanlan, Matthew Hassan & 6 more Justin Smirk, Elliot Clarke, Ryan Wells, Michael Gordon, Satish Ranchhod & Nathan Penny Inflation Chart Pack #inflation INFLATION CHART PACK July 14 2022 • 5 mins A pictorial review of Q1 CPI and current inflationary pressures. By Justin Smirk #inflation NZ CPI PREVIEW Q2 2022 July 14 2022 • 3 mins We expect the upcoming Consumers Price Index will show that New Zealand consumer prices rose by 1.4% in the June quarter. By Satish Ranchhod June Labour Force Survey - continuing to test full employment #employment JUNE LABOUR FORCE SURVEY - CONTINUING TO TEST FULL EMPLOYMENT July 13 2022 • 10 mins Total employment - 88.4k from 60.6k (unrevised from 60.6k). Unemployment rate - 3.5% from 3.9% (unrevised 3.9%). Participation rate - 66.8% from 66.7% (unrevised 66.7%). By Justin Smirk #housing NZ FIRST IMPRESSIONS: REINZ HOUSE SALES AND PRICES, JUNE 2022 July 13 2022 • 2 mins The New Zealand housing market softened again in June, with a further slump in sales and a continued drift lower in prices. By Michael Gordon #rbnz RBNZ MONETARY POLICY REVIEW, JULY 2022 July 13 2022 • 2 mins The Reserve Bank increased the OCR by another 50 basis points to 2.50% as widely expected. By Michael Gordon #consumersentiment INTEREST RATES AND INFLATION DRIVE FURTHER FALL IN CONSUMER SENTIMENT July 12 2022 • 7 mins A short video from Westpac's Chief Economist, Bill Evans. By Bill Evans Australian business conditions & confidence, June 2022 #businessconditions AUSTRALIAN BUSINESS CONDITIONS & CONFIDENCE, JUNE 2022 July 12 2022 • 10 mins June: confidence evaporates, conditions elevated for now. Business conditions: down 2pts to +13. Business confidence: down 5pts to +1. By Andrew Hanlan Rate hikes and surging inflation push sentiment to new lows #consumersentiment RATE HIKES AND SURGING INFLATION PUSH SENTIMENT TO NEW LOWS July 12 2022 • 7 mins The Westpac Melbourne Institute Index of Consumer Sentiment fell 3.0% to 83.8 in July, from 86.4 in June. The survey, covering 1200 respondents, was conducted over the four days from July 4 to July 7. By Bill Evans #rbnz RBNZ READY RECKONER JULY 2022 July 12 2022 • 2 mins The Ready Reckoner assesses how recent data will affect the RBNZ's OCR projections. By Michael Gordon Australia’s arrivals and departures, June #consumer AUSTRALIA’S ARRIVALS AND DEPARTURES, JUNE July 11 2022 • 10 mins June: visitor flows begin to normalise. Arrivals: 736.7k, Departures: 885.3k By Ryan Wells Australia & NZ weekly 11 July 2022 #australia AUSTRALIA & NZ WEEKLY 11 JULY 2022 July 11 2022 • 5 mins Monday's re-issue edition: analysis and forecasts for this week's key releases By Bill Evans, Andrew Hanlan, Matthew Hassan & 6 more Justin Smirk, Elliot Clarke, Ryan Wells, Michael Gordon, Satish Ranchhod & Nathan Penny #retail NZ FIRST IMPRESSIONS: RETAIL CARD SPENDING, JUNE 2022 July 11 2022 • 2 mins Retail spending levels remained broadly steady in June as expected. However, with prices charging higher, the amount of goods we’re actually able to purchase is being eroded. And the pressure on household budgets is set to become more pronounced over the coming months. By Satish Ranchhod #newzealand WEEKLY ECONOMIC COMMENTARY – STEPPING UP TO THE PLATE, STILL SWINGING HARD July 10 2022 • 10 mins Analysis and forecasts of the economy and markets, along with previews of data for the week ahead. By Westpac New Zealand Economics Why we expect another 50 basis points in August and then a pause #rba WHY WE EXPECT ANOTHER 50 BASIS POINTS IN AUGUST AND THEN A PAUSE July 8 2022 • 5 mins The case is strong for another 50 basis point lift in the RBA cash rate in August to move the cash rate into the neutral zone from stimulatory and emphasise its commitment to restoring inflation to the target range. Then a pause in to assess the impact of the rapid 175 basis points of tightening. An eventual shift back to 25 basis point increments is likely after the next Inflation Report is available for the November Board meeting. By Bill Evans #newzealand NZ WEEKLY ECONOMIC INSIGHT - 8 JULY 2022 July 8 2022 • 2 mins A two-minute round-up on the New Zealand economy and markets from NZ Acting Chief Economist Michael Gordon. By Michael Gordon #newzealand NZ AGRICULTURAL INSIGHT - 8 JULY 2022 July 8 2022 • 2 mins The latest developments in New Zealand's agri markets from Senior Agri Economist Nathan Penny. By Nathan Penny Westpac Market Outlook July 2022 #marketoutlook WESTPAC MARKET OUTLOOK JULY 2022 July 7 2022 • 15 mins Our latest thinking on Australia, markets and the global economy. By Andrew Hanlan, Bill Evans, Elliot Clarke & 5 more Justin Smirk, Matthew Hassan, Michael Gordon, Ryan Wells & Satish Ranchhod #rbnz PREVIEW OF RBNZ JULY 2022 MONETARY POLICY REVIEW July 7 2022 • 2 mins We expect the Reserve Bank to raise the Official Cash Rate by another 50 basis points to 2.50% next week. By Michael Gordon #nzagriupdate NZ DAIRY UPDATE FIRST IMPRESSIONS 6 JULY 2022 July 6 2022 • 2 mins Dairy auction prices followed other commodities down overnight as commodity market sentiment turned gloomy on concerns around the growth prospects for the global economy, including the impact of sky-high commodity prices on demand. By Nathan Penny RBA Board raises the cash rate by 50 basis points; we expect another 50 in August #rba RBA BOARD RAISES THE CASH RATE BY 50 BASIS POINTS; WE EXPECT ANOTHER 50 IN AUGUST July 5 2022 • 5 mins The RBA Board lifted the cash rate by 50 basis points to 1.35%.That move was expected. The details in the Statement indicate nothing to dissuade us that the next move in August, following the release of the June quarter Inflation Report, will also be 50 basis points. To support our view that the Board will then pause we will need to see a significantly different Statement in August than we have seen in June and July. By Bill Evans #newzealand NZ FIRST IMPRESSIONS: NZIER QUARTERLY SURVEY OF BUSINESS OPINION, JUNE QUARTER 2022 July 4 2022 • 3 mins Despite the fall in economic confidence, the NZIER’s June quarter survey of business opinion highlighted resilient economic conditions in recent months, along with continued strong inflation pressures. That’s consistent with our forecast for another 50bp move from the RBNZ next week. By Satish Ranchhod #newzealand WEEKLY ECONOMIC COMMENTARY – TAKING STOCK OF HOUSING July 3 2022 • 10 mins Analysis and forecasts of the economy and markets, along with previews of data for the week ahead. By Westpac New Zealand Economics #newzealand NZ FIRST IMPRESSIONS: BUILDING CONSENTS, MAY 2022 July 1 2022 • 2 mins Consent issuance was close to expectations in May, easing just 0.5%. The level of residential building consents remains strong, but it has flattened off. The peak in the home building cycle is coming into clearing focus. By Satish Ranchhod #newzealand NZ WEEKLY ECONOMIC INSIGHT - 1 JULY 2022 July 1 2022 • 2 mins A two-minute round-up on the New Zealand economy and markets from NZ Acting Chief Economist Michael Gordon. By Michael Gordon #newzealand NZ FIRST IMPRESSIONS: NEW ZEALAND-EU FREE TRADE AGREEMENT ANNOUNCED June 30 2022 • 2 mins New Zealand and the European Union have concluded negotiations on a “free trade agreement.” Negotiating a deal with one of world’s most protectionist economic blocs was always going to be difficult and as such the benefits for broader New Zealand Inc. are modest. By Nathan Penny #confidence NZ FIRST IMPRESSIONS: ANZBO BUSINESS CONFIDENCE, JUNE 2022 June 30 2022 • 2 mins The latest ANZBO business confidence survey points to a further cooling in activity. However, the survey did not point to any material easing of inflation pressures. By Satish Ranchhod #confidence WESTPAC MCDERMOTT MILLER REGIONAL CONFIDENCE Q2 2022 June 28 2022 • 5 mins An assessment of how households view the economic prospects for their respective regions, the economy as a whole and their own financial circumstances over the next 12 months. By Nathan Penny #employment FIRST IMPRESSIONS: NZ MONTHLY EMPLOYMENT INDICATOR, MAY 2022 June 28 2022 • 2 mins Filled jobs rose 0.3% in May, and have now fully unwound the Omicron-related drop in February and March. More broadly, employment growth has slowed in recent months, but there is no sign yet that the demand for workers has turned. By Michael Gordon Australia & NZ Weekly 27 June 2022 #rba AUSTRALIA & NZ WEEKLY 27 JUNE 2022 June 26 2022 • 5 mins Monday's re-issue: analysis and forecasts for this week's key releases By Bill Evans, Andrew Hanlan, Matthew Hassan & 6 more Justin Smirk, Elliot Clarke, Michael Gordon, Nathan Penny, Ryan Wells & Satish Ranchhod #newzealand WEEKLY ECONOMIC COMMENTARY – CONSUMER CONFIDENCE PLUMMETS TO LOWEST LEVEL ON RECORD June 26 2022 • 10 mins Analysis and forecasts of the economy and markets, along with previews of data for the week ahead. By Westpac New Zealand Economics Cliff Notes: the trade-off between inflation and growth #inflation CLIFF NOTES: THE TRADE-OFF BETWEEN INFLATION AND GROWTH June 23 2022 • 5 mins Key insights from the week that was. By Elliot Clarke & Ryan Wells #employment WESTPAC MCDERMOTT MILLER EMPLOYMENT CONFIDENCE INDEX, JUNE 2022 June 23 2022 • 7 mins Full analysis of key NZ market events or data releases. By Michael Gordon #confidence WESTPAC MCDERMOTT MILLER EMPLOYMENT CONFIDENCE Q2 2022 June 22 2022 • 5 mins The Employment Confidence Index fell 5 points to 108.5 in June, giving back most of the gains made in March. By Michael Gordon RBA to hike rates by 50 basis points in both July and August – terminal rate to reach 2.6% #rates RBA TO HIKE RATES BY 50 BASIS POINTS IN BOTH JULY AND AUGUST – TERMINAL RATE TO REACH 2.6% June 22 2022 • 5 mins We have lifted our forecast for the RBA’s terminal rate from 2.35% to 2.6%. That entails a 50 basis point lift in the cash rate at the August meeting (revised up from 25 basis points) prior to a pause in September. The last hike is expected be 25 basis points in February. By Bill Evans Volatility in commodities continues #commodities VOLATILITY IN COMMODITIES CONTINUES June 22 2022 • 8 mins May was a volatile month for commodities with no clear overall trend. Westpac’s Export Price Index is best described as flat but there have been big swings within this. By Justin Smirk #dairy NZ DAIRY UPDATE 22 JUNE 2022 June 21 2022 • 3 mins The latest developments in the dairy sector. By Nathan Penny RBA Board Minutes and Governor's Speech #rba RBA BOARD MINUTES AND GOVERNOR'S SPEECH June 21 2022 • 5 mins The RBA Board Minutes for June emphasise that the decision to tighten by 50 basis points in June was driven by an upward revision to inflation and the “ highly stimulatory” rate setting. The size and timing of future rate increases will be dictated by the incoming data and the outlook. Policy is still highly stimulatory and a 50 basis point increase in July seems highly likely.” By Bill Evans Leading Index slowing but still positive #consumersentiment LEADING INDEX SLOWING BUT STILL POSITIVE June 21 2022 • 10 mins The six-month annualised growth rate in the Westpac-Melbourne Institute Leading Index, which indicates the likely pace of economic activity relative to trend three to nine months into the future, fell from 1.09% in April to 0.58% in May. By Bill Evans #nzconsumerconfidence WESTPAC MCDERMOTT MILLER CONSUMER CONFIDENCE Q2 2022 June 20 2022 • 5 mins Consumer confidence has fallen sharply in recent months as household budgets have been squeezed by higher mortgage rates and increases in living costs. By Satish Ranchhod Australian Chamber–Westpac Business Survey 2022 Q2 #manufacturing AUSTRALIAN CHAMBER–WESTPAC BUSINESS SURVEY 2022 Q2 June 20 2022 • 15 mins Business conditions continued to forge ahead in Q2, at 64.5 up from 56.7 in Q1, as weather/omicron related disruptions were worked through. Supply headwinds remained intense, with shortages of materials and labour difficult to find, leading to higher prices and margin squeeze. By Westpac Australia Economics Australia & NZ Weekly 20 June 2022 #rba AUSTRALIA & NZ WEEKLY 20 JUNE 2022 June 19 2022 • 5 mins Monday's re-issue: analysis and forecasts for this week's key releases By Bill Evans, Andrew Hanlan, Matthew Hassan & 6 more Justin Smirk, Elliot Clarke, Michael Gordon, Nathan Penny, Ryan Wells & Satish Ranchhod The FOMC’s fight against inflation risks a US recession #inflation THE FOMC’S FIGHT AGAINST INFLATION RISKS A US RECESSION June 19 2022 • 5 mins A short video update from the Westpac Economics team. By Elliot Clarke #newzealand WEEKLY ECONOMIC COMMENTARY – THAT’S NOT A RECESSION… June 19 2022 • 10 mins Analysis and forecasts of the economy and markets, along with previews of data for the week ahead. By Westpac New Zealand Economics #nzregions WESTPAC REGIONAL ROUNDUP JUNE 2022 June 17 2022 • 20 mins This report assesses recent economic activity in regional New Zealand, providing an outlook for each region. By Paul Clark Cliff Notes: confidence lost #cliffnotes CLIFF NOTES: CONFIDENCE LOST June 16 2022 • 7 mins Key insights from the week that was. By Elliot Clarke & Ryan Wells #gdp NZ GDP REVIEW, MARCH QUARTER 2022 June 16 2022 • 3 mins GDP dipped by 0.2% in the March quarter, close to our forecast of a flat result. By Michael Gordon The FOMC’s aggressive response to inflation is a big risk for growth #inflation THE FOMC’S AGGRESSIVE RESPONSE TO INFLATION IS A BIG RISK FOR GROWTH June 15 2022 • 5 mins We now see an additional 75bps of hikes to end-2022 to a peak of 3.375%. But this is likely to stall the US economy. By Elliot Clarke May Labour Force - A 48 year low in unemployment plus a record high for participation #employment MAY LABOUR FORCE - A 48 YEAR LOW IN UNEMPLOYMENT PLUS A RECORD HIGH FOR PARTICIPATION June 15 2022 • 10 mins Total employment: 60.6k from 4.4k (revised from 4k), Unemployment rate: 3.9% from 3.9% (unrevised 3.9%), Participation rate: 66.7% from 66.4% (revised 66.3%). By Justin Smirk #gdp FIRST IMPRESSIONS: NZ GDP, Q1 2022 June 15 2022 • 1 min New Zealand's GDP fell by 0.2% in the March quarter, with the disruptive effects of Covid continuing to rumble through the economy. By Michael Gordon Solid lift in the minimum wage #wages SOLID LIFT IN THE MINIMUM WAGE June 14 2022 • 5 mins The Fair Work Commission grants the largest increase in the minimum wage since its introduction in 1997. By Justin Smirk #inflation INFLATION AND RATE HIKES DRAG SENTIMENT TOWARDS HISTORIC LOWS June 14 2022 • 3 mins A short video from Westpac's Chief Economist, Bill Evans. By Bill Evans Inflation and rate hikes drag sentiment towards historic lows #inflation INFLATION AND RATE HIKES DRAG SENTIMENT TOWARDS HISTORIC LOWS June 14 2022 • 7 mins The Westpac Melbourne Institute Consumer Sentiment fell 4.4% in June from 90.4 in May to 86.4 in June. By Bill Evans #marketoutlook MARKET OUTLOOK IN CONVERSATION PODCAST – JUNE 2022 June 14 2022 • 35 mins Inflation, monetary policy’s response and the economic consequences are the focus this month. By Andrew Hanlan, Bill Evans, Elliot Clarke & 2 more Justin Smirk & Matthew Hassan Australia’s arrivals and departures, May #consumer AUSTRALIA’S ARRIVALS AND DEPARTURES, MAY June 14 2022 • 10 mins May: slower pace but strong underlying detail. Arrivals: 651.1k, +77.2k mth, +536.5k yr. Departures: 664.0k, +57.3k mth, +556.7k yr By Ryan Wells Australian business conditions & confidence, May 2022 #australianconsumersentiment AUSTRALIAN BUSINESS CONDITIONS & CONFIDENCE, MAY 2022 June 13 2022 • 10 mins May: conditions ease but still elevated, confidence moderates. Business conditions: ease 3pts to +16. Business confidence: down 4pts to +6. By Andrew Hanlan #marketoutlook MARKET OUTLOOK IN CONVERSATION PODCAST – JULY 2022 June 12 2022 • 35 mins Global recession fears continue to grow as the costs related to geopolitical uncertainty, rapid inflation and rising interest rates are felt. By Bill Evans, Elliot Clarke, Justin Smirk & 1 more & Matthew Hassan #newzealand WEEKLY ECONOMIC COMMENTARY – DAIRY’S BACK ON THE HORSE June 12 2022 • 10 mins Analysis and forecasts of the economy and markets, along with previews of data for the week ahead. By Westpac New Zealand Economics #gdp NZ GDP PREVIEW, MARCH QUARTER 2022 June 10 2022 • 2 mins We estimate that GDP was flat in the March quarter. This is a downgrade from our earlier forecast of a 0.6% rise, due to some softness in the final batch of sectoral data releases. By Michael Gordon Westpac Market Outlook June 2022 #marketoutlook WESTPAC MARKET OUTLOOK JUNE 2022 June 9 2022 • 15 mins Our latest thinking on Australia, markets and the global economy. By Andrew Hanlan, Bill Evans, Elliot Clarke & 5 more Justin Smirk, Matthew Hassan, Michael Gordon, Ryan Wells & Satish Ranchhod Australia & NZ Weekly 13 June 2022 #rba AUSTRALIA & NZ WEEKLY 13 JUNE 2022 June 9 2022 • 5 mins Friday edition: analysis and forecasts for this week's key releases By Bill Evans, Andrew Hanlan, Matthew Hassan & 6 more Justin Smirk, Elliot Clarke, Michael Gordon, Nathan Penny, Ryan Wells & Satish Ranchhod Long-term financial forecasts 10 June 2022 #forecasts LONG-TERM FINANCIAL FORECASTS 10 JUNE 2022 June 9 2022 • 7 mins Key financial forecasts and projections to end-2025. By Andrew Hanlan, Bill Evans, Elliot Clarke & 3 more Justin Smirk, Matthew Hassan & Westpac Australia Economics Some more thoughts on the RBA #rba SOME MORE THOUGHTS ON THE RBA June 9 2022 • 5 mins Our profile for the RBA tightening cycle entails an end to the cycle at a cash rate of 2.35% by February next year. The pace of the cycle will be comparable with other central banks. That will rely on an easing in inflation pressures through 2023 from 6.6% in 2022 to 3% in 2023 and a sharp slowdown in growth from 4% in 2022 to 2% in 2023. By Bill Evans Cliff Notes: 50bp hikes signal global central bank determination to contain inflation #inflation CLIFF NOTES: 50BP HIKES SIGNAL GLOBAL CENTRAL BANK DETERMINATION TO CONTAIN INFLATION June 9 2022 • 5 mins Key insights from the week that was. By Elliot Clarke & Ryan Wells Westpac Card Tracker, 10 June 2022 #retail WESTPAC CARD TRACKER, 10 JUNE 2022 June 9 2022 • 10 mins The Westpac Card Tracker Index has started the month stronger after a minor dip in late May, rising +0.7pts in the week ending in June 4. At 109.4 the national index means annual growth in card activity is continuing to run over 9pts above its pre-COVID pace. By Matthew Hassan #dairy NZ DAIRY UPDATE 8 JUNE 2022 June 7 2022 • 3 mins The latest developments in the dairy sector. By Nathan Penny #consumersentiment RBA HIKES 50 BP'S; EXPECT ANOTHER IN JULY June 7 2022 • 7 mins A short video from Westpac's Chief Economist, Bill Evans. By Bill Evans As a perfect storm hits power bills inflation is set to surge #inflation AS A PERFECT STORM HITS POWER BILLS INFLATION IS SET TO SURGE June 6 2022 • 10 mins Energy prices driving an outsized price shock but state energy rebates means the full impact is delayed until the end of the year. By Justin Smirk RBA Board raises the cash rate by 50 basis points; another 50 in July #inflation RBA BOARD RAISES THE CASH RATE BY 50 BASIS POINTS; ANOTHER 50 IN JULY June 6 2022 • 5 mins We expect the Board will decide on another 50 basis point increase in July. By front loading the moves it can firmly establish its inflation fighting commitment. The cash rate is then likely to move in 25 basis point increments with a pause as the Board moves above neutral to a peak in February of 235 basis points. By Bill Evans #trade AUSTRALIA'S TRADE ACCOUNT: MAY 2022 June 6 2022 • 5 mins Trade surplus, a record high in May, at $16.0bn, led by resources. Surplus, $16.0bn. Prev. $13.2bn. Exports 9.5% Imports 5.8%. By Andrew Hanlan #newzealand WEEKLY ECONOMIC COMMENTARY – BUILDING A MYSTERY June 6 2022 • 10 mins Analysis and forecasts of the economy and markets, along with previews of data for the week ahead. By Westpac New Zealand Economics Australia & NZ weekly 6 June 2022 #forecasts AUSTRALIA & NZ WEEKLY 6 JUNE 2022 June 5 2022 • 10 mins Monday's re-issue edition: analysis and forecasts for this week's key releases. By Andrew Hanlan, Elliot Clarke, Matthew Hassan & 5 more Justin Smirk, Ryan Wells, Michael Gordon, Satish Ranchhod & Nathan Penny We expect the RBA Board will take the right decision and lift the cash rate by 0.4% next week #rba WE EXPECT THE RBA BOARD WILL TAKE THE RIGHT DECISION AND LIFT THE CASH RATE BY 0.4% NEXT WEEK June 3 2022 • 7 mins The RBA is almost certain to raise the cash rate next week. Since the decision to make the first move on May 3 we have consistently argued that the best decision will be to move by 40 basis points. By Bill Evans #newzealand NZ WEEKLY ECONOMIC INSIGHT - 3 JUNE 2022 June 3 2022 • 2 mins A two-minute round-up on the New Zealand economy and markets from NZ Acting Chief Economist Michael Gordon. By Michael Gordon #construction NZ FIRST IMPRESSIONS: BUILDING WORK PUT IN PLACE, MARCH QUARTER 2022 June 2 2022 • 3 mins Total construction activity rose by 3.2% in the March quarter. That was a little stronger than our forecast, but was well ahead of the average market pick. By Satish Ranchhod #rba AUSTRALIA & NZ WEEKLY 6 JUNE 2022 June 2 2022 • 5 mins Friday edition: analysis and forecasts for this week's key releases. By Bill Evans, Andrew Hanlan, Matthew Hassan & 6 more Justin Smirk, Elliot Clarke, Michael Gordon, Nathan Penny, Ryan Wells & Satish Ranchhod #forecasts AUSTRALIAN ECONOMIC GROWTH FORECASTS LOWERED TO 4% IN 2022 AND 2% IN 2023 June 2 2022 • 4 mins Increased stress for the household sector and a major downward revision to the dwelling construction cycle have lowered our growth forecasts in 2022 from 4.5% to 4.0% and 2.5% to 2.0% in 2023. Still, 2022 is a strong year for growth, as the economy reopens and households take advantage of their high savings rates and solid balance sheets. By Bill Evans #dwellingapprovals AUS HOUSING FINANCE ROLLS OVER June 2 2022 • 6 mins Owner-occ. –7.3%mth, –12.8%yr; Investors: –4.8%mth, 37.1%yr; Total value approvals: –6.4%mth, +0.3%yr (all ex refi). By Matthew Hassan #cliffnotes CLIFF NOTES: A ROBUST FOUNDATION FOR CONTINUED GAINS June 2 2022 • 7 mins Key insights from the week that was. By Elliot Clarke #trade AUSTRALIA'S TRADE ACCOUNT: APRIL 2022 June 1 2022 • 5 mins Service exports up 9.6%, largest increase since 1986*. Surplus, $10.5bn. Prev. $9.7bn. Exports +1.0% Imports -0.7%. By Andrew Hanlan Financial(s) Matter June 2022 #financialservices FINANCIAL(S) MATTER JUNE 2022 June 1 2022 • 2 mins Investors remain committed to their long-term strategy despite global uncertainty. By Elliot Clarke #gdp FIRST IMPRESSIONS: AUSTRALIAN Q1 GDP June 1 2022 • 3 mins Output expands by a moderate 0.8%. Domestic demand robust at 1.6%. Weather disruptions and omicron wave disrupted production. Household saving ratio moderated in Q1, but still elevated at 11.4%. By Andrew Hanlan Aus housing market: correction begins #houseprices AUS HOUSING MARKET: CORRECTION BEGINS May 31 2022 • 4 mins May CoreLogic home value index: –0.3%mth; 11.7%yr. Rate hike triggers sharp fall in sales, dip in prices. By Matthew Hassan #gdp AUSTRALIAN Q1 GDP May 31 2022 • 5 mins Robust domestic demand early in 2022. Output performance constrained by disruptions. Q1 domestic demand: 1.6%qtr, 4.8% yr. Q1 real GDP: 0.8%qtr, 3.3% yr. By Westpac Australia Economics #australia AUSTRALIA'S CURRENT ACCOUNT: Q1 2022 May 31 2022 • 5 mins Surplus moderates to $7.5bn. Q1 Current a/c: $7.5bn (1.3% of GDP). Net export, ppts cont’n: -1.7qtr, -2.4yr. Terms of trade: 5.9qtr, 8.3%yr By Andrew Hanlan #audcurncy UK & EUROPE ECONOMIC UPDATE ON AUSTRALIA May 31 2022 • 5 mins Update on Australia for UK & European customers. By Bill Evans #newzealand NZ FIRST IMPRESSIONS: ANZBO BUSINESS CONFIDENCE, MAY 2022 May 31 2022 • 2 mins Confidence is down and concerns about inflation remain rife. By Satish Ranchhod #newzealand NZ FIRST IMPRESSIONS – BUILDING CONSENTS, APRIL 2022 May 31 2022 • 3 mins As expected, consent issuance pulled-back in April after last month’s jump in medium-density consents. Looking at the longer-term trend in consent issuance, the number of new homes being consented remains elevated, but has flattened off. By Satish Ranchhod #australia AUSTRALIAN BUSINESS INDICATORS SURVEY: Q1 2022 May 31 2022 • 5 mins A positive update. Inventory rebuild adds to growth. Nominal incomes post robust gains, led by company profits. By Andrew Hanlan #dwellingapprovals AUS DWELLING APPROVALS: ANOTHER LEG LOWER? May 30 2022 • 5 mins April –2.4%mth, –32.4%yr (vs mkt 0.5%). Volumes down but avg approval value soars on surging costs. By Matthew Hassan #australia AUSTRALIA & NZ WEEKLY 30 MAY 2022 May 30 2022 • 10 minutes Friday edition: analysis and forecasts for this week's key releases By Andrew Hanlan, Bill Evans, Elliot Clarke & 6 more Justin Smirk, Matthew Hassan, Michael Gordon, Nathan Penny, Ryan Wells & Satish Ranchhod Australia & NZ weekly 30 May 2022 #forecasts AUSTRALIA & NZ WEEKLY 30 MAY 2022 May 29 2022 • 5 mins Monday's re-issue edition: analysis and forecasts for this week's key releases. By Andrew Hanlan, Elliot Clarke, Matthew Hassan & 5 more Justin Smirk, Ryan Wells, Michael Gordon, Satish Ranchhod & Nathan Penny #china CHINA AND COVID-ZERO: STRENGTH TO BE SHOWN IN RECOVERY May 29 2022 • 3 mins With the affected regions of China now re-opening, we need to ask how quickly the economy can bounce, and how large the gain will be? By Elliot Clarke #newzealand WEEKLY ECONOMIC COMMENTARY – GO LARGE May 29 2022 • 10 mins Analysis and forecasts of the economy and markets, along with previews of data for the week ahead. By Michael Gordon, Nathan Penny, Satish Ranchhod & 1 more & Paul Clark #newzealand WEEKLY ECONOMIC COMMENTARY – GO LARGE May 29 2022 • 10 mins Analysis and forecasts of the economy and markets, along with previews of data for the week ahead. By Michael Gordon, Nathan Penny, Satish Ranchhod & 1 more & Paul Clark #australia AUSTRALIAN RETAIL SALES UP AGAIN May 27 2022 • 5 mins April sales: +0.9%mth (market +1.0%), +9.6%yr. Mixed detail suggests variety of forces at work. By Matthew Hassan #employment NZ FIRST IMPRESSIONS: NZ MONTHLY EMPLOYMENT INDICATOR, APRIL 2022 May 27 2022 • 2 mins Filled jobs rose 0.6% in April, rebounding from the effects of the Omicron wave earlier this year. Demand for workers remains strong, but any sign of a turnaround could have major implications for the monetary policy outlook. By Michael Gordon #fomc CLIFF NOTES: IN PURSUIT OF CAPACITY May 27 2022 • 5 min Key insights from the week that was. By Elliot Clarke & Ryan Wells #australia AUSTRALIAN Q1 CAPEX May 26 2022 • 5 mins Capex plans “upgraded” - in part on rising costs. Q1 real capex: -0.3%; equipment +1.2%. 2022/23 plans: Est 2 $130.5bn, 15% above Est 2 a yr ago. By Andrew Hanlan The 2022 PNG 100 CEO Survey #businessconditions THE 2022 PNG 100 CEO SURVEY May 26 2022 • 5 mins PNG Corporations shift their focus to domestic policy issues. By Justin Smirk #rbnz NZ FIRST IMPRESSIONS: RBNZ MONETARY POLICY STATEMENT, MAY 2022 May 25 2022 • 2 mins The Reserve Bank lifted the OCR by 50 basis points as widely expected, and signalled further large moves to come. While it’s a more assertive profile than we expected from the RBNZ today, it’s in line with our forecast of how 2022 will ultimately play out. By Michael Gordon #australia AUSTRALIAN CONSTRUCTION WORK 2022 Q1 May 25 2022 • 5 mins Australian construction activity. Slips at the start of 2022 on further disruptions. Q1: -0.9%qtr, +1.4%yr. By Andrew Hanlan #rbnz REVIEW OF RBNZ MAY 2022 MONETARY POLICY STATEMENT May 24 2022 • 3 mins The Reserve Bank increased the OCR by a further 50 basis points to 2% and signalled much more to come. By Michael Gordon #rba AUSTRALIA & NZ WEEKLY 23 MAY 2022 May 23 2022 • 10 min Monday's re-issue edition: analysis and forecasts for this week's key releases By Andrew Hanlan, Bill Evans, Elliot Clarke & 6 more Justin Smirk, Matthew Hassan, Michael Gordon, Nathan Penny, Ryan Wells & Satish Ranchhod #newzealand WEEKLY ECONOMIC COMMENTARY – DIFFERING VIEWS May 22 2022 • 10 mins Analysis and forecasts of the economy and markets, along with previews of data for the week ahead. By Westpac New Zealand Economics #housing WESTPAC HOUSING PULSE MAY 2022 May 20 2022 • 7 mins The inside word on Australia’s residential property market drawing on detailed insights from the Westpac Melbourne Institute Consumer Sentiment survey and Westpac Economics’ macro views. By Matthew Hassan #dairy NZ DAIRY UPDATE 18 MAY 2022 May 17 2022 • 3 mins The latest developments in the dairy sector. By Nathan Penny Leading Index eases but still in positive territory #consumersentiment LEADING INDEX EASES BUT STILL IN POSITIVE TERRITORY May 17 2022 • 3 mins The six-month annualised growth rate in the Westpac-Melbourne Institute Leading Index, which indicates the likely pace of economic activity relative to trend three to nine months into the future slowed to 0.88% in April from 1.69% in March. By Bill Evans Q1 Wage Price Index #wages Q1 WAGE PRICE INDEX May 17 2022 • 5 mins Australian wages: early signs wages are starting to pick up but still running behind inflation By Justin Smirk #qeo NZ ECONOMIC OVERVIEW – THE RIGHT AMOUNT OF PRESSURE May 16 2022 • 20 mins The Westpac NZ Economics Team’s flagship document covering the outlook for the New Zealand economy, government debt, the global economy, financial markets and the agricultural outlook. By Paul Clark, Michael Gordon, Nathan Penny & 1 more & Satish Ranchhod Australia & NZ weekly 16 May 2022 #forecasts AUSTRALIA & NZ WEEKLY 16 MAY 2022 May 15 2022 • 5 mins Monday's re-issue edition: analysis and forecasts for this week's key releases By Andrew Hanlan, Bill Evans, Elliot Clarke & 6 more Justin Smirk, Matthew Hassan, Michael Gordon, Nathan Penny, Ryan Wells & Satish Ranchhod #newzealand WEEKLY ECONOMIC COMMENTARY – THROWING THE DOORS OPEN May 15 2022 • 10 mins Analysis and forecasts of the economy and markets, along with previews of data for the week ahead. By Westpac New Zealand Economics Long-term financial forecasts 13 May 2022 #forecasts LONG-TERM FINANCIAL FORECASTS 13 MAY 2022 May 12 2022 • 3 mins Key financial forecasts and projections to end-2025. By Andrew Hanlan, Bill Evans, Elliot Clarke & 3 more Justin Smirk, Matthew Hassan & Westpac Australia Economics Australia & NZ weekly 16 May 2022 #forecasts AUSTRALIA & NZ WEEKLY 16 MAY 2022 May 12 2022 • 5 mins Friday edition: analysis and forecasts for this week's key releases By Andrew Hanlan, Bill Evans, Elliot Clarke & 6 more Justin Smirk, Matthew Hassan, Michael Gordon, Nathan Penny, Ryan Wells & Satish Ranchhod #consumersentiment INFLATION AND THE RATE INCREASE SINK CONSUMER SENTIMENT May 10 2022 • 7 mins A short video from Westpac's Chief Economist, Bill Evans. By Bill Evans #australia INFLATION AND RISING RATES SINK CONSUMER SENTIMENT May 10 2022 • 5 mins The Westpac-Melbourne Institute Index of Consumer Sentiment fell by 5.6% to 90.4 in May from 95.8 in April. By Bill Evans #marketoutlook MARKET OUTLOOK IN CONVERSATION PODCAST – MAY 2022 May 9 2022 • 3 mins Inflation and interest rate expectations have continued to build over the past month. In this edition, we focus on the implications for the Australian economy, particularly the housing sector and business investment. By Andrew Hanlan, Bill Evans, Elliot Clarke & 2 more Justin Smirk & Matthew Hassan Australia & NZ weekly 9 May 2022 #forecasts AUSTRALIA & NZ WEEKLY 9 MAY 2022 May 8 2022 • 5 mins Monday's re-issue edition: analysis and forecasts for this week's key releases. By Andrew Hanlan, Bill Evans, Elliot Clarke & 6 more Justin Smirk, Matthew Hassan, Michael Gordon, Nathan Penny, Ryan Wells & Satish Ranchhod #newzealand WEEKLY ECONOMIC COMMENTARY – OVERDOING IT? May 8 2022 • 10 mins Analysis and forecasts of the economy and markets, along with previews of data for the week ahead. By Westpac New Zealand Economics #nzhometruths NZ HOME TRUTHS MAY 2022 May 5 2022 • 2 mins New Zealand housing market insights from the Westpac Economics Team. By Michael Gordon Westpac Market Outlook May 2022 #marketoutlook WESTPAC MARKET OUTLOOK MAY 2022 May 5 2022 • 15 mins Our latest thinking on Australia, markets and the global economy. By Andrew Hanlan, Bill Evans, Elliot Clarke & 5 more Justin Smirk, Matthew Hassan, Michael Gordon, Ryan Wells & Satish Ranchhod Long-term financial forecasts 5 May 2022 #forecasts LONG-TERM FINANCIAL FORECASTS 5 MAY 2022 May 5 2022 • 5 mins Key financial forecasts and projections to end-2025. By Andrew Hanlan, Bill Evans, Elliot Clarke & 3 more Justin Smirk, Matthew Hassan & Westpac Australia Economics #nzindustryinsights INDUSTRY INSIGHT – PROFESSIONAL SERVICES May 5 2022 • 30 mins This report focuses on New Zealand’s professional services sector. Firms operating in this sector provide an ever-expanding range of knowledge-based services, from accounting, legal and architectural to management and engineering consulting. By Paul Clark #dairy NZ DAIRY UPDATE 4 MAY 2022 May 3 2022 • 3 mins The latest developments in the dairy sector. By Nathan Penny Australia & NZ weekly 2 May 2022 #forecasts AUSTRALIA & NZ WEEKLY 2 MAY 2022 May 1 2022 • 5 mins Monday's re-issue edition: analysis and forecasts for this week's key releases. By Andrew Hanlan, Bill Evans, Elliot Clarke & 6 more Justin Smirk, Matthew Hassan, Michael Gordon, Nathan Penny, Ryan Wells & Satish Ranchhod Long-term financial forecasts 29 April 2022 #forecasts LONG-TERM FINANCIAL FORECASTS 29 APRIL 2022 May 1 2022 • 5 mins Key financial forecasts and projections to end-2025. By Andrew Hanlan, Bill Evans, Elliot Clarke & 3 more Justin Smirk, Matthew Hassan & Westpac Australia Economics #newzealand WEEKLY ECONOMIC COMMENTARY – RUNNING TO CATCH UP May 1 2022 • 10 mins Analysis and forecasts of the economy and markets, along with previews of data for the week ahead. By Westpac New Zealand Economics #consumersentiment INTEREST RATES AND INFLATION WEIGH ON CONSUMER CONFIDENCE April 20 2022 • 8 mins A short video from Westpac's Chief Economist, Bill Evans. By Bill Evans #australia INFLATION AND INTEREST RATE CONCERNS CONTINUE TO WEIGH ON SENTIMENT April 12 2022 • 2 mins The Westpac-Melbourne Institute Index of Consumer Sentiment fell by 0.9% to 95.8 in April from 96.6 in March. By Bill Evans Show more articles Search for more articles MARKETS #credit WOODSIDE & SANTOS - A CLOSER LOOK July 22 2022 • 5 mins Subsequent to the release of quarterly production reports from Woodside and Santos, we have taken a look at the spreads and yields on the bonds issued by both entities in more detail given the levels available to investors on their USD outstandings, their RV when compared to issuance from similarly rated international oil players and the BBB Australian Corporate Universe, and the strengthening nature of their credit profiles. By Duncan Chellew Markets Daily #aud MARKETS DAILY July 21 2022 • 6 mins The ECB hiked by 50bp but the euro rose only modestly as Italy’s government collapsed. US bond yields tumbled on a poor business survey. AUD rose to 0.6930. Today’s calendar is dominated by flash July PMIs in various countries. By Sean Callow, Robert Rennie, Imre Speizer & 2 more Westpac Australia Economics & Jessica Ren #credit AROUND THE GROUNDS July 21 2022 • 5 mins Today's note includes comments on Woodside, Santos, Sydney & Melbourne Airport Passenger Numbers, Puma, Firstmac, La Trobe, and Zip. By Brendon Cooper, Duncan Chellew & Martin Jacques #credit AROUND THE GROUNDS July 21 2022 • 5 mins Today's note includes comments on Woodside, Santos, Sydney & Melbourne Airport Passenger Numbers, Puma, Firstmac, La Trobe, and Zip. By Brendon Cooper, Duncan Chellew & Martin Jacques #usd FINANCEAM July 21 2022 • 5mins The ECB hiked by 50bp – more than expected, but bond yields in Europe and the US fell on recession concerns. The USD is only slightly lower, while the S&P500 is up 1.0%. By Imre Speizer #whatspricedin WHAT'S PRICED IN July 21 2022 • 2 mins By Jessica Ren ForeX Focus: A$: One step forward… #fx FOREX FOCUS: A$: ONE STEP FORWARD… July 21 2022 • 15 mins The Aussie has outperformed most major currencies this week, with global equities finding some support and the US dollar cooling a little in line with Fed pricing. Price action should be cautious ahead of Australia’s key Q2 CPI data and the FOMC decision the next day. By Sean Callow, Richard Franulovich & Imre Speizer What's Priced In #whatspricedin WHAT'S PRICED IN July 21 2022 • 3 mins Monetary Policy Watch By Damien McColough & Jessica Ren #macro IN CONVERSATION July 21 2022 • 60 Westpac Economics and Strategy team in conversation. By Bill Evans, Justin Smirk, Richard Franulovich & 1 more & Damien McColough Markets Daily #aud MARKETS DAILY July 20 2022 • 6 mins Italian political woes and Russian gas curtailment threats initially weighed, but upbeat US earnings reports helped a rebound. The euro underperformed and AUD was little changed at 0.6890. Today we see policy decisions by the Bank of Japan and ECB. By Sean Callow, Robert Rennie, Imre Speizer & 2 more Westpac Australia Economics & Jessica Ren Strategy Views on a Page #macro STRATEGY VIEWS ON A PAGE July 20 2022 • 5 A quick summary of Westpac Strategy Group market views on a single page By Robert Rennie, Imre Speizer, Damien McColough & 1 more & Richard Franulovich #credit AROUND THE GROUNDS July 20 2022 • 5 mins Today's note includes the Wednesday Credit Chart and a look at AUD and USD major bank spreads, Pepper and Firstmac. By Brendon Cooper, Duncan Chellew & Martin Jacques #usd FINANCEAM July 20 2022 • 5mins Sentiment was mixed. Italian political woes and Russian gas curtailment threats initially weighed, but upbeat US earnings reports helped a rebound. The S&&P500 is up 0.8%, bond yields are slightly higher, while the USD is slightly higher. By Imre Speizer What's Priced In #whatspricedin WHAT'S PRICED IN July 20 2022 • 3 Monetary Policy Watch By Damien McColough & Jessica Ren Macro Bites #macrofocus MACRO BITES July 20 2022 • 5 Macro thoughts from Westpac's Market Strategists By Robert Rennie, Richard Franulovich, Damien McColough & 1 more & Jessica Ren #bonds NZGB TENDER PREVIEW July 20 2022 • 10mins A preview of the forthcoming weekly NZGB tender. By Imre Speizer #credit WEDNESDAY CREDIT CHART July 20 2022 • 5 mins In this week's charts we look at offshore issuance from Australian corporates and the spread pick up currently available for some issuers. By Duncan Chellew TCorp 8-Mar-2033 Tap - Fair Value Analysis #fairvalue TCORP 8-MAR-2033 TAP - FAIR VALUE ANALYSIS July 20 2022 • 5 We present our fair value estimates for the TCorp 8-Mar-2033 Tap By Jessica Ren Markets Daily #aud MARKETS DAILY July 19 2022 • 6 mins Reports that the ECB could hike by 50bp this week sparked a sharp US$ selloff, AUD bouncing to 0.6900. Equities were also upbeat. Today’s calendar includes a speech by RBA Governor Lowe and UK June CPI. By Sean Callow, Robert Rennie, Imre Speizer & 1 more & Westpac Australia Economics #macro YOU ARE INVITED July 19 2022 • 1 You are invited to a Westpac Economics and Strategy "In Conversation" hosted conference call on Wednesday, 20th July 2022 at 12-1pm AEST. By Damien McColough #credit AROUND THE GROUNDS July 19 2022 • 5 mins Today's note includes comments on BHP, Pepper, and SPPI. By Brendon Cooper, Duncan Chellew & Martin Jacques #usd FINANCEAM July 19 2022 • 5mins Sentiment was upbeat, buyers emerging to push the S&P500 up 2.6%, despite little fresh news of note. Bond yields rose and the US dollar fell, both following the risk-seeking theme on the day. Speculation the ECB could hike by 50bp tomorrow increased. By Imre Speizer What's Priced In #whatspricedin WHAT'S PRICED IN July 19 2022 • 3 Monetary Policy Watch By Damien McColough & Jessica Ren #nzinterestratepublications HOUSING NZ TENDER PREVIEW July 19 2022 • 15mins Wednesday’s tender of HNZ bonds will be an interesting gauge of demand. By Imre Speizer #nzd NZD FX WEEKLY July 19 2022 • 15mins A weekly update on the market for NZD crosses, plus outlooks. By Imre Speizer G10 FX Model: USD recession risk #model G10 FX MODEL: USD RECESSION RISK July 19 2022 • 3 mins There is plenty of precedent for USD resiliency in the face of recession fears. By Richard Franulovich Markets Daily #fxdaily MARKETS DAILY July 18 2022 • 6 mins US equities surrendered early gains and US yields rose, AUD easing back to 0.6810. Today’s calendar includes RBA July minutes and UK May unemployment and wages. By Sean Callow, Imre Speizer, Robert Rennie & 2 more Jessica Ren & Westpac Australia Economics Strategy Views on a Page #macro STRATEGY VIEWS ON A PAGE July 18 2022 • 5 A quick summary of Westpac Strategy Group market views on a single page By Robert Rennie, Imre Speizer, Damien McColough & 1 more & Richard Franulovich #credit AROUND THE GROUNDS July 18 2022 • 5 mins Today's note includes the Credit Fan and comments on ANZ & Suncorp, US Bank Reporting, Woolworths, and Mirvac & Dexus. By Brendon Cooper, Duncan Chellew & Martin Jacques #usd FINANCEAM July 18 2022 • 5mins US equities fell slightly, the S&P500 down 0.9%. Bond yields, though, rose, and the US dollar is lower. There was little new of note. By Imre Speizer #rates FOCUS ON POLICY AND INFLATION TO DOMINATE DOWN UNDER. - A$ & NZ$ RATES STRATEGY WEEKLY July 18 2022 • 20 We present our weekly outlook for the AU and NZ rates markets. By Damien McColough, Imre Speizer & Jessica Ren Aussie recovers from 2-year lows #aud AUSSIE RECOVERS FROM 2-YEAR LOWS July 18 2022 • 6 mins The A$ dipped to 2-year lows against the US$ last week but then returned to 0.6800 as talk of the Fed hiking by 1% faded. This week’s calendar includes RBA commentary and policy decisions by the ECB and BoJ. By Sean Callow Markets Daily #fxdaily MARKETS DAILY July 17 2022 • 6 mins Risk appetite improved Friday as US data showed easing price pressures. European and US equities made large gains while AUD/USD rose to 0.6790. By Sean Callow, Imre Speizer, Robert Rennie & 2 more Jessica Ren & Westpac Australia Economics #credit AROUND THE GROUNDS July 17 2022 • 3 mins Today's note includes comments on ANZ & Suncorp and the week ahead. By Brendon Cooper, Duncan Chellew & Martin Jacques #credit ANZ SEARCHING FOR SUN July 17 2022 • 3 mins ANZ announced that it has agreed to acquire Suncorp Bank from Suncorp Group for AUD4.9bn and at the same time has announced a AUD3.5bn (fully underwritten) entitlement offer to support the acquisition. By Brendon Cooper #usd FINANCEAM July 17 2022 • 5mins US equities were helped by mostly supportive economic data, the S&P500 closing up 1.9%. The defensive US dollar fell, while bond yields were little changed. By Imre Speizer What's Priced In #whatspricedin WHAT'S PRICED IN July 15 2022 • 3 Monetary Policy Watch By Damien McColough & Jessica Ren Strategy Views on a Page #macro STRATEGY VIEWS ON A PAGE July 15 2022 • 5 A quick summary of Westpac Strategy Group market views on a single page By Sean Callow, Robert Rennie, Imre Speizer & 1 more & Damien McColough Strategy Views on a Page #macro STRATEGY VIEWS ON A PAGE July 15 2022 • 5 A quick summary of Westpac Strategy Group market views on a single page By Robert Rennie, Imre Speizer, Damien McColough & 1 more & Richard Franulovich Corporate Morning Report #fx CORPORATE MORNING REPORT July 14 2022 • 6 mins Fed hawks cooled market expectations of a 100bp rate hike this month. The US dollar pared earlier gains, AUD recovering to 0.6750. Today’s calendar includes China Q2 GDP plus US June retail sales and July consumer sentiment and inflation expectations. By Sean Callow, Imre Speizer, Robert Rennie & 2 more Jessica Ren & Westpac Australia Economics FX Daily #fxdaily FX DAILY July 14 2022 • 6 mins Fed hawks cooled market expectations of a 100bp rate hike this month. The US dollar pared earlier gains, AUD recovering to 0.6750. Today’s calendar includes China Q2 GDP plus US June retail sales and July consumer sentiment and inflation expectations. By Sean Callow, Imre Speizer, Robert Rennie & 2 more Jessica Ren & Westpac Australia Economics Corporate Banking Morning Report #fx CORPORATE BANKING MORNING REPORT July 14 2022 • 6 mins Fed hawks cooled market expectations of a 100bp rate hike this month. The US dollar pared earlier gains, AUD recovering to 0.6750. Today’s calendar includes China Q2 GDP plus US June retail sales and July consumer sentiment and inflation expectations. By Sean Callow, Imre Speizer, Robert Rennie & 2 more Jessica Ren & Westpac Australia Economics #credit AROUND THE GROUNDS July 14 2022 • 3 mins Today's note includes comments on Aurizon, Lend Lease and Pepper, while JPM and MS kick off US bank earnings. By Brendon Cooper, Duncan Chellew & Martin Jacques #usd FINANCEAM July 14 2022 • 5mins US Fedspeak cooled market expectations of a 100bp rate hike later this month. The US dollar pared earlier gains. The S&P500 is down 0.3%, dented by company earnings reports. By Imre Speizer #usd FINANCEAM July 14 2022 • 5mins US equities were helped by mostly supportive economic data, the S&P500 closing up 1.9%. The defensive US dollar fell, while bond yields were little changed. By Imre Speizer #semigovernment SEMI SPREADS - HOW WIDE CAN THEY GO July 14 2022 • 10 mins We undertake a Q&A approach to providing our insights into the Semi Government bond spreads. By Damien McColough & Jessica Ren #fx FOREX FOCUS: I HEAR 75, DO I HEAR 100? July 14 2022 • 5 mins US inflation above 9% and Canada's surprise 100bp hike have stoked another bidding war in rate hike forecasts. RBA pricing is joining the frenzy, as Australia's booming jobs data fuels talk of 50bp becoming 75bp in August. By Imre Speizer, Robert Rennie & Sean Callow #securitisation ABSOLUTE COVERAGE SECURITISATION & COVERED BOND WEEKLY UPDATE 14TH JULY 2022 July 14 2022 • 8 mins This edition includes pricing details on RedZed's non-conforming RMBS, price guidance on Pepper PRS 33, an update from the AOFM on the SFSF at the end of June and our 1H securitisation update and accompanying video. By Martin Jacques #securitisation ABSOLUTE COVERAGE - 10 MINUTE ABS - 1H 2022 July 14 2022 • 8 mins 10 Minute ABS - A short video on the Australian Securitisation Market over 1H 2022 By Martin Jacques #securitisation ABSOLUTE COVERAGE SECURITISATION & COVERED BOND WEEKLY UPDATE 20TH JULY 2022 July 14 2022 • 6 mins An update on the Australian Securitisation and Covered Bond Markets. This edition includes new issuance from Pepper, our 1H 22 securitisation update and accompanying video, Q1 2022 ABS & RMBS Performance Watch from S&P and the latest mortgage prepayment data. By Martin Jacques Strategy Views on a Page #fx STRATEGY VIEWS ON A PAGE July 13 2022 • 5 mins A quick summary of Westpac Strategy Group market views on a single page. By Damien McColough, Imre Speizer, Robert Rennie & 1 more & Sean Callow #securitisation ABSOLUTE COVERAGE - AUSTRALIAN SECURITISATION 1H 2022 UPDATE July 5 2022 • 18 mins Australian Securitisation 1H 2022 - Update By Martin Jacques #aroundthegrounds AROUND THE GROUNDS July 1 2022 • 2 mins Today's note includes comments on AMP and APRA ADI Statistics. By Brendon Cooper, Duncan Chellew & Martin Jacques #aroundthegrounds AROUND THE GROUNDS June 30 2022 • 2 mins Today's note includes comments on Suncorp. By Brendon Cooper, Duncan Chellew & Martin Jacques #credit CREDIT CHART PACK - JUNE 2022 June 30 2022 • 10 minutes An overview of key news and trading themes for A$ credit markets through June 2022 By Duncan Chellew & Brendon Cooper #macro STRATEGY VIEWS ON A PAGE June 30 2022 • 3 mins A quick summary of Westpac Strategy Group market views on a single page By Richard Franulovich Forex Focus: 50bp not moving the dial for the A$? #fx FOREX FOCUS: 50BP NOT MOVING THE DIAL FOR THE A$? June 30 2022 • 15 mins After the flurry of central bank policy decisions, FX ranges have narrowed somewhat, but the US dollar remains on a sound footing. Given the poor global mood, the 50bp hike we expect from the RBA next week probably won't be enough to prevent the Aussie from slipping to fresh 2-year lows. By Sean Callow, Tim Riddell, Richard Franulovich & 1 more & Imre Speizer #financeam FINANCEAM June 30 2022 • 5 mins The risk averse mood persisted in Europe and to a lesser extent in the US, the S&P500 down 0.2%. The defensive US dollar rose, and bond yields fell. US GDP and German inflation undershot expectations. By Imre Speizer FX Daily #currencies FX DAILY June 29 2022 • 6 mins Sentiment turned sharply negative over the course of US trading. The defensive US dollar rose, AUD/USD slipping slightly to 0.6905. By Sean Callow, Imre Speizer, Tim Riddell & 4 more Robert Rennie, Jessica Ren, Duncan Chellew & Westpac Australia Economics #credit AROUND THE GROUNDS June 28 2022 • 7 mins Today's note includes comments on Singtel & Optus, Suncorp, Lendlease, Athena, and Firstmac. By Brendon Cooper, Duncan Chellew & Martin Jacques #sandp FINANCE AM PODCAST June 28 2022 • 3 mins There were mixed performances among asset classes amid quarter end portfolio rebalancing. The S&P500 is down 0.5% and bond yields are higher, while currencies were mixed. By Tim Riddell #securitisation WESTPAC ‘ABSOLUTE COVERAGE’ - SECURITISATION & COVERED BOND WEEKLY UPDATE 28TH JUNE 2022 June 28 2022 • 7 mins An update on the Australian Securitisation and Covered Bond Markets. This edition includes pricing details on transactions from National Australia Bank, NOW Finance & Angle Finance; new mandates from Firstmac Eagle & Athena Home Loans, and March arrears data from S&P. By Martin Jacques #bonds CORPORATE BANKING MORNING REPORT June 28 2022 • 7 mins Bond yields rose substantially but equities lacked direction, with limited inspiration from data or news. Currencies were mixed, the Aussie underperforming the G10, down slightly to 0.6925. Today’s local calendar is empty again while in the US data includes June consumer confidence and April house prices. By Jessica Ren, Duncan Chellew, Imre Speizer & 4 more Robert Rennie, Sean Callow, Tim Riddell & Westpac Australia Economics #bonds CORPORATE MORNING REPORT June 28 2022 • 7 mins Bond yields rose substantially but equities lacked direction, with limited inspiration from data or news. Currencies were mixed, the Aussie underperforming the G10, down slightly to 0.6925. Today’s local calendar is empty again while in the US data includes June consumer confidence and April house prices. By Jessica Ren, Duncan Chellew, Imre Speizer & 4 more Robert Rennie, Sean Callow, Tim Riddell & Westpac Australia Economics #fx STRATEGY VIEWS ON A PAGE June 28 2022 • 4 mins A quick summary of Westpac Strategy Group market views on a single page. By Damien McColough, Imre Speizer, Richard Franulovich & 1 more & Robert Rennie #fx DXY FAIR VALUE SCENARIOS June 28 2022 • 8 mins Regular update on our proprietary models, their directional signals and analysis on how they are shaping our market views. By Richard Franulovich #sandp FINANCE AM June 28 2022 • 8 min There were mixed performances among asset classes amid quarter end portfolio rebalancing. The S&P500 is down 0.5% and bond yields are higher, while currencies were mixed. By Tim Riddell #fx FX DAILY June 28 2022 • 7 mins Bond yields rose substantially but equities lacked direction, with limited inspiration from data or news. Currencies were mixed, the Aussie underperforming the G10, down slightly to 0.6925. Today’s local calendar is empty again while in the US data includes June consumer confidence and April house prices. By Jessica Ren, Duncan Chellew, Imre Speizer & 4 more Robert Rennie, Sean Callow, Tim Riddell & Westpac Australia Economics #fx STRATEGY VIEWS ON A PAGE June 27 2022 • 5 mins A quick summary of Westpac Strategy Group market views on a single page. By Damien McColough, Imre Speizer, Richard Franulovich & 1 more & Robert Rennie #aunzratesweekly POLICY REVISION TO SLOW, LIMITING FURTHER BOND SQUEEZES - A$ & NZ$ RATES STRATEGY WEEKLY June 27 2022 • 15 mins Summary of Rates themes in AU & NZ. By Imre Speizer, Damien McColough & Jessica Ren #aud A$ LOSES SOME YIELD SUPPORT AS RBA REBUFFS MARKET June 27 2022 • 5 mins The Aussie and Kiwi are softest in the G10 over the past week. Fragile risk sentiment and a startling slide in commodity prices are taking a toll. A relatively quiet global calendar suggests that equity sentiment could be pivotal in determining whether AUD/USD can remain clear of May’s lows around 0.6830. By Sean Callow Finance AM podcast #financeam FINANCE AM PODCAST June 27 2022 • 7 mins Risk sentiment improved further on Friday amid receding recession fears, the S&P500 closing up 3.1%. The defensive US dollar fell, while bond yields rose slightly. US inflation expectations were revised slightly lower. By Tim Riddell Finance AM #financeam FINANCE AM June 27 2022 • 7 mins Risk sentiment improved further on Friday amid receding recession fears, the S&P500 closing up 3.1%. The defensive US dollar fell, while bond yields rose slightly. US inflation expectations were revised slightly lower. By Tim Riddell #bonds AROUND THE GROUNDS June 26 2022 • 6 mins Today's note includes comments on Suncorp and Qantas. By Brendon Cooper, Duncan Chellew & Martin Jacques #nzconsumerconfidence NZ WEEKLY COMMENTARY 27 JUNE 2022 June 26 2022 • 10 mins Weekly commentary on the New Zealand economy. Previews major Australian, NZ and US data. By Satish Ranchhod Corporate Morning Report #aud CORPORATE MORNING REPORT June 26 2022 • 5 mins Risk sentiment improved further on Friday amid receding recession fears, the S&P500 closing up 3.1%. The defensive US dollar fell, AUD/USD up modestly to 0.6940. Bond yields rose slightly. US inflation expectations were revised slightly lower. Today’s light calendar includes US May durable goods orders. By Jessica Ren, Duncan Chellew, Robert Rennie & 3 more Sean Callow, Tim Riddell & Westpac Australia Economics Corporate Banking Morning Report #aud CORPORATE BANKING MORNING REPORT June 26 2022 • 5 mins Risk sentiment improved further on Friday amid receding recession fears, the S&P500 closing up 3.1%. The defensive US dollar fell, AUD/USD up modestly to 0.6940. Bond yields rose slightly. US inflation expectations were revised slightly lower. Today’s light calendar includes US May durable goods orders. By Jessica Ren, Duncan Chellew, Robert Rennie & 3 more Sean Callow, Tim Riddell & Westpac Australia Economics FX Daily #fxdaily FX DAILY June 26 2022 • 5 mins Risk sentiment improved further on Friday amid receding recession fears, the S&P500 closing up 3.1%. The defensive US dollar fell, AUD/USD up modestly to 0.6940. Bond yields rose slightly. US inflation expectations were revised slightly lower. Today’s light calendar includes US May durable goods orders. By Jessica Ren, Duncan Chellew, Robert Rennie & 3 more Sean Callow, Tim Riddell & Westpac Australia Economics #fomc FINANCE AM June 24 2022 • 6 min Recent global bond squeeze on the back of recession risks accelerated during European trading, before Powell underscored the Fed's resolve to fight inflation. By Tim Riddell Strategy Views on a Page #currencies STRATEGY VIEWS ON A PAGE June 24 2022 • 5 mins A quick summary of Westpac Strategy Group market views on a single page By Richard Franulovich, Robert Rennie, Imre Speizer & 1 more & Damien McColough #bonds CORPORATE MORNING REPORT June 24 2022 • 5 mins Bond yields fell sharply again. US equities posted late rebounds to close higher. Havens JPY, CHF and USD were strongest on the day, AUD/USD trimming losses to 0.6900. June PMIs were mostly weaker than expected. Today’s calendar includes comments from RBA Governor Lowe, Germany June IFO business sentiment and final US June consumer sentiment. By Robert Rennie, Duncan Chellew, Sean Callow & 3 more Tim Riddell, Jessica Ren & Westpac Australia Economics #bonds CORPORATE BANKING MORNING REPORT June 24 2022 • 5 mins Bond yields fell sharply again. US equities posted late rebounds to close higher. Havens JPY, CHF and USD were strongest on the day, AUD/USD trimming losses to 0.6900. June PMIs were mostly weaker than expected. Today’s calendar includes comments from RBA Governor Lowe, Germany June IFO business sentiment and final US June consumer sentiment. By Robert Rennie, Duncan Chellew, Sean Callow & 3 more Tim Riddell, Jessica Ren & Westpac Australia Economics #fxdaily FX DAILY June 24 2022 • 7 mins Bond yields fell sharply again. US equities posted late rebounds to close higher. Havens JPY, CHF and USD were strongest on the day, AUD/USD trimming losses to 0.6900. June PMIs were mostly weaker than expected. Today’s calendar includes comments from RBA Governor Lowe, Germany June IFO business sentiment and final US June consumer sentiment. By Robert Rennie, Duncan Chellew, Sean Callow & 3 more Tim Riddell, Jessica Ren & Westpac Australia Economics #bonds AROUND THE GROUNDS June 23 2022 • 8 mins Today's note includes comments on Mortgage Rates, US Bank Stress Tests, Vicinity Centres, Angle Finance, and SPIN Data. By Brendon Cooper, Duncan Chellew & Martin Jacques #fx STRATEGY VIEWS ON A PAGE June 23 2022 • 5 mins A quick summary of Westpac Strategy Group market views on a single page. By Damien McColough, Imre Speizer, Richard Franulovich & 1 more & Robert Rennie #bonds CORPORATE MORNING REPORT June 23 2022 • 8 mins Bond yields fell before and after Fed chair Powell’s testimony, which was less hawkish than expected. That appeared to help US equities recover from early losses to finish about flat. By Jessica Ren, Duncan Chellew, Imre Speizer & 4 more Robert Rennie, Sean Callow, Tim Riddell & Westpac Australia Economics #bonds CORPORATE BANKING MORNING REPORT June 23 2022 • 8 mins Bond yields fell before and after Fed chair Powell’s testimony, which was less hawkish than expected. That appeared to help US equities recover from early losses to finish about flat. By Jessica Ren, Duncan Chellew, Imre Speizer & 4 more Robert Rennie, Sean Callow, Tim Riddell & Westpac Australia Economics #acgb ACGB 10/20/30Y RV June 23 2022 • 2 mins Summary of Rates themes in AU & NZ. By Jessica Ren #bonds FX DAILY June 23 2022 • 7 mins Bond yields fell before and after Fed chair Powell’s testimony, which was less hawkish than expected. That appeared to help US equities recover from early losses to finish about flat. The US dollar lost momentum, AUD/USD trimming losses to 0.6925. By Jessica Ren, Duncan Chellew, Imre Speizer & 4 more Robert Rennie, Sean Callow, Tim Riddell & Westpac Australia Economics #bonds AROUND THE GROUNDS June 22 2022 • 8 mins Today's note includes comments on Fonterra, NAB, and Now Finance. By Brendon Cooper, Duncan Chellew & Martin Jacques #financeam FINANCE AM PODCAST June 22 2022 • 4 mins Bond yields fell before and after Fed chair Powell’s testimony, which was less hawkish than expected. That appeared to help equities, the S&P500 up 0.4%. The US dollar fell. By Imre Speizer #financeam FINANCE AM PODCAST June 22 2022 • 4 mins Bond yields fell before and after Fed chair Powell’s testimony, which was less hawkish than expected. That appeared to help equities, the S&P500 up 0.4%. The US dollar fell. By Imre Speizer #commodities FOREX FOCUS: COMMODITIES TELL THE STORY FOR A$ June 22 2022 • 10 mins Weekly flagship document covering our views on FX markets, directional biases and trading recommendations. By Richard Franulovich, Sean Callow, Tim Riddell & 1 more & Imre Speizer #securitisation WESTPAC ‘ABSOLUTE COVERAGE’ - SECURITISATION & COVERED BOND WEEKLY UPDATE 22ND JUNE 2022 June 22 2022 • 20mins An update on the Australian Securitisation and Covered Bond Markets. This edition includes details on new issuance from NAB, MoneyMe, RedZed, NOW Finance, Pepper & Angle Finance; RBA commentary on BBSW fallbacks and household liquidity buffers; and a comprehensive look by S&P at the impact of monetary policy on RMBS. By Martin Jacques Strategy Views on a Page #currencies STRATEGY VIEWS ON A PAGE June 22 2022 • 5 mins A quick summary of Westpac Strategy Group market views on a single page By Richard Franulovich, Robert Rennie, Imre Speizer & 1 more & Damien McColough #bonds AROUND THE GROUNDS June 21 2022 • 8 mins Today's note includes the Credit Fan and comments on Sydney Airport, Angle Finance, and NOW Finance. By Brendon Cooper, Duncan Chellew & Martin Jacques Wednesday Credit Chart #creditfan WEDNESDAY CREDIT CHART June 21 2022 • 3 mins We have analysed average sector movements (on both an ASW and Z-Spread basis) across Airports, Airlines, Utilities, and REIT’s. By Duncan Chellew #G10 THEMES: THE US’ TERMS OF TRADE ADVANTAGE June 21 2022 • 8 mins Regular update on our proprietary models, their directional signals and analysis on how they are shaping our market views. By Richard Franulovich #credit AROUND THE GROUNDS June 20 2022 • 8 mins Today's note includes comments on Vicinity Centres, SCA Property, APA, and NAB. By Brendon Cooper, Duncan Chellew & Martin Jacques #bonds WESTPAC ‘ABSOLUTE COVERAGE’ - SECURITISATION & COVERED BOND WEEKLY UPDATE 15TH JUNE 2022 June 14 2022 • 10 mins An update on the Australian Securitisation and Covered Bond Markets. This edition includes pricing details on RMBS from Suncorp, Brighten Home Loans and Pepper Money with their inaugural social bond; new mandates for non- conforming RMBS from Pepper & RedZed and a major bank transaction from NAB. In ABS, Plenti priced their second auto ABS, Wisr placed a personal loan ABS and first time issuer Angle Finance have mandated for an auto ABS. By Martin Jacques Wednesday Credit Chart #credit WEDNESDAY CREDIT CHART June 7 2022 • 3 mins This morning we have had a look at AUD major bank curves for both AUD v USD, where short end pricing varies significantly, and FRN v fixed in the AUD space given recent fixed outperformance. By Brendon Cooper #financeam FINANCE AM PODCAST June 2 2022 • 4 mins US equities rose, the S&P500 up 1.8%, and the defensive US dollar fell. Subdued labour data may have been read as Fed-friendly. Bond yields were contained. By Imre Speizer #financeam FINANCE AM June 2 2022 • 9 mins US equities rose, the S&P500 up 1.8%, and the defensive US dollar fell. Subdued labour data may have been read as Fed-friendly. Bond yields were contained. By Imre Speizer #fx FX DAILY June 2 2022 • 6 mins US equities rose for the first time this week. The US dollar showed a surprising degree of weakness. AUD/USD rallied to 6-week highs around 0.7265 with help from a 5% bounce in iron ore prices and firmer oil prices after the OPEC+ meeting. By Jessica Ren, Imre Speizer, Sean Callow & 1 more & Westpac Australia Economics #us CORPORATE BANKING MORNING REPORT June 2 2022 • 6 mins US equities rose for the first time this week. The US dollar showed a surprising degree of weakness. AUD/USD rallied to 6-week highs around 0.7265 with help from a 5% bounce in iron ore prices and firmer oil prices after the OPEC+ meeting. By Jessica Ren, Imre Speizer, Sean Callow & 1 more & Westpac Australia Economics #credit AUSTRALIAN CREDIT - JUNE 2022 MARKET UPDATE June 2 2022 • 6 mins An overview of key news and trading themes for Australian credit markets. By Brendon Cooper, Duncan Chellew & Martin Jacques #credit AROUND THE GROUNDS June 2 2022 • 4 mins Today's note includes comments on Wesfarmers and Plenti. By Brendon Cooper, Duncan Chellew & Martin Jacques #us CORPORATE MORNING REPORT June 2 2022 • 6 mins US equities rose for the first time this week. The US dollar showed a surprising degree of weakness. AUD/USD rallied to 6-week highs around 0.7265 with help from a 5% bounce in iron ore prices and firmer oil prices after the OPEC+ meeting. By Jessica Ren, Imre Speizer, Sean Callow & 1 more & Westpac Australia Economics #fx STRATEGY VIEWS ON A PAGE June 2 2022 • 3 mins A quick summary of Westpac Strategy Group market views on a single page. By Damien McColough, Imre Speizer, Richard Franulovich & 1 more & Sean Callow #fx FX DAILY June 1 2022 • 6 mins Bond yields jumped following a strong US manufacturing ISM survey. The US dollar bounced against JPY and European currencies, but AUD/USD was net unchanged at 0.7175. Equities were soft. By Jessica Ren, Imre Speizer, Sean Callow & 1 more & Westpac Australia Economics #financeam FINANCE AM PODCAST June 1 2022 • 4 mins Bond yields jumped following strong US economic data. The US dollar benefitted from higher yields, while equities fell, the S&P500 down 0.8%. Bank of Canada hiked by 50bp as was widely expected. By Imre Speizer #us CORPORATE MORNING REPORT June 1 2022 • 6 mins Bond yields jumped following a strong US manufacturing ISM survey. The US dollar bounced against JPY and European currencies, but AUD/USD was net unchanged at 0.7175. Equities were soft. By Jessica Ren, Imre Speizer, Sean Callow & 2 more Tim Riddell & Westpac Australia Economics #financeam FINANCE AM June 1 2022 • 9 mins Bond yields jumped following strong US economic data. The US dollar benefitted from higher yields, while equities fell, the S&P500 down 0.8%. Bank of Canada hiked by 50bp as was widely expected. By Imre Speizer #us CORPORATE BANKING MORNING REPORT June 1 2022 • 6 mins Bond yields jumped following a strong US manufacturing ISM survey. The US dollar bounced against JPY and European currencies, but AUD/USD was net unchanged at 0.7175. Equities were soft. By Jessica Ren, Imre Speizer, Sean Callow & 2 more Tim Riddell & Westpac Australia Economics #rates WHAT'S PRICED IN June 1 2022 • 2 minutes Monetary Policy Watch. By Damien McColough & Jessica Ren #macro STRATEGY VIEWS ON A PAGE May 31 2022 • 3 mins A quick summary of Westpac Strategy Group market views on a single page. By Richard Franulovich, Damien McColough, Jessica Ren & 1 more & Imre Speizer # Invalid Date NaN NaN • Show more articles Search for more articles THOUGHT LEADERSHIP Inside Asia-Pacific’s sustainable finance surge #sustainablefinance INSIDE ASIA-PACIFIC’S SUSTAINABLE FINANCE SURGE July 4 2022 • 5 mins Two Australian corporate leaders explain what’s changing for companies and investors as uptake of sustainable finance opportunities rapidly surges across the Asia-Pacific. By Economist Impact & Westpac Institutional Bank ESG Impact: What you need to know – June 2022 #esg ESG IMPACT: WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW – JUNE 2022 June 28 2022 • 5 mins In our June wrap of the latest ESG developments, Westpac Institutional Bank’s team of ESG experts explain what’s happening domestically and locally, why it matters, and what it means for you. By Michael Chen Data insights: a new currency for strategic growth #data DATA INSIGHTS: A NEW CURRENCY FOR STRATEGIC GROWTH June 9 2022 • 7 mins Westpac DataX gives business and government access to powerful data insights to inform decision-making and achieve growth through sophisticated data analytics. By Westpac Institutional Bank Navigating the digital highway #data NAVIGATING THE DIGITAL HIGHWAY June 8 2022 • 7 mins Digital connectivity and data have transformed the way organisations operate. Keeping pace with accelerating digital evolution is essential for long-term success. By Westpac Institutional Bank Hydrogen: Steps towards Australia’s powerhouse plan #hydrogen HYDROGEN: STEPS TOWARDS AUSTRALIA’S POWERHOUSE PLAN June 7 2022 • 7 mins CSIRO Hydrogen Industry Mission Leader Patrick Hartley outlines some of the key moves required for Australia to realise its plans to become a major hydrogen exporter in this Q+A for Westpac IQ. By Westpac Institutional Bank Valuing Nature - Seeing the Ecological Assets through the Trees #agriculture VALUING NATURE - SEEING THE ECOLOGICAL ASSETS THROUGH THE TREES May 29 2022 • 15 mins Is it possible to attach a monetary value to something as seemingly priceless as Nature? For Tasmanian forestry management and timber plantation company Forico, the answer is yes. By Westpac Institutional Bank ESG Impact: What you need to know - May 2022 #esg ESG IMPACT: WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW - MAY 2022 May 23 2022 • 10 mins In our May wrap of the latest ESG developments, Westpac Institutional Bank’s team of ESG experts explain what’s happening domestically and locally, why it matters, and what it means for you. By Michael Chen Realising Australia’s rare earths’ potential #esg REALISING AUSTRALIA’S RARE EARTHS’ POTENTIAL May 5 2022 • 10 mins Massive growth potential is anticipated for rare earths, the crucial raw materials for wind turbines and electric vehicle motors, which will play a central role in global decarbonisation efforts. By Westpac Institutional Bank Budget 2022: Analysis sector by sector #federalbudget BUDGET 2022: ANALYSIS SECTOR BY SECTOR April 11 2022 • 20 mins One-off payments to ease Australians’ cost-of-living pressures were this year’s Budget scene-stealers, but who will be the longer-term beneficiaries? Westpac Institutional Bank analysts reveal its impact by sector. By Westpac Institutional Bank Green lights for lithium producers #energy GREEN LIGHTS FOR LITHIUM PRODUCERS April 6 2022 • 10 mins Massive growth in the electric vehicle market has spurred global interest in Australia as a source of sustainably produced lithium. Two industry leaders share their insights with Westpac IQ on how the sector is powering ahead. By Westpac Institutional Bank Payments Innovation: Trends to watch in 2022 #payments PAYMENTS INNOVATION: TRENDS TO WATCH IN 2022 March 23 2022 • 15 mins Reform of Australia’s A$650 billion-a-day payments industry is long overdue, but will the changes come at the cost of creativity across this rapidly changing landscape? By Susan Muldowney Next Phase for Corporate Debt #sustainablefinance NEXT PHASE FOR CORPORATE DEBT March 16 2022 • 5 mins Financial markets are at the heart of era-defining changes happening in today’s world. How adequately the Australian market rises to the challenge will help define its own future and that of the whole economy. By Westpac Institutional Bank Sustainable finance hits fast forward #sustainablefinance SUSTAINABLE FINANCE HITS FAST FORWARD March 10 2022 • 1 mins A new survey by Economist Impact for Westpac Institutional Bank shows how sustainable finance is forging ahead as a core strategy for issuers and investors across the Asia Pacific, and what’s holding it back. By Westpac Institutional Bank How corporate treasurers are taking the lead on ESG #esg HOW CORPORATE TREASURERS ARE TAKING THE LEAD ON ESG February 23 2022 • 7 mins Corporate treasurers are increasingly engaging with the ESG goals of their organisations and turning to green finance products to help achieve their treasury objectives. By Westpac Institutional Bank The rapid rise of sustainable finance #sustainablefinance THE RAPID RISE OF SUSTAINABLE FINANCE December 12 2021 • 7 mins 2021 has been a massive year for sustainability broadly, and the ever-sharpening global focus can be clearly gauged by the rapid evolution and upward trajectory of sustainable finance. By Michael Chen Holding businesses accountable for sustainability #sustainablefinance HOLDING BUSINESSES ACCOUNTABLE FOR SUSTAINABILITY December 6 2021 • 15 mins Sustainability is indisputably now a top agenda item for all businesses and, while it presents many challenges for organisations, the welcome news is that greater clarity is looming around one of the persistent uncertainties: how to report? By Michael Chen SIBOS 2021: Key trends and themes #payments SIBOS 2021: KEY TRENDS AND THEMES November 29 2021 • 7 mins From innovative payments methods to new standards for interoperability, global financial leaders explored how banks are disrupting themselves and fast evolving at Sibos 2021. Here Westpac IQ talks to the key trends and themes to come out of the conference. By Westpac Institutional Bank Reforming Australia’s energy future #renewables REFORMING AUSTRALIA’S ENERGY FUTURE November 28 2021 • 10 mins Renewables sector concerns around a “fit-for-purpose” grid are expected to be tempered by the latest recommendations of the Energy Security Board, its Chairman Kerry Schott tells the AFR as part of Westpac Institutional Bank’s Reforming the Grid discussion. Cyber safety: New insights for countering threats #cybersecurity CYBER SAFETY: NEW INSIGHTS FOR COUNTERING THREATS October 14 2021 • 5 mins To maximise their cyber safety, businesses must learn to “drive defensively” in the face of ever mounting and evolving risks. Westpac experts highlighted critical actions to counter the most prevalent threats in a recent virtual forum. By Cameron Cooper Addressing social issues with sustainable finance #sustainablefinance ADDRESSING SOCIAL ISSUES WITH SUSTAINABLE FINANCE October 7 2021 • 10 mins A surge in socially driven sustainable finance brought on by COVID-19 looks set to endure. In this third report by Bloomberg Media Studios for Westpac IQ, we examine some of the key developments underway globally likely to accelerate further uptake. By Michael Chen Building muscle memory to tackle cyber risk #cybersecurity BUILDING MUSCLE MEMORY TO TACKLE CYBER RISK October 6 2021 • 7 mins Mature organisations must recognise today’s complex kaleidoscope of cybercrime is a business risk that will inevitably be realised – and plan accordingly, leading Australian cyber expert Alastair MacGibbon told a recent Westpac webcast. By Susan Muldowney Cybercrime’s rising scale of deceit #cybersecurity CYBERCRIME’S RISING SCALE OF DECEIT October 5 2021 • 3 mins Deception on the internet continues to grow by the day. One of the most intriguing forms of cyber deceit is the rapidly evolving field of fake people - better known as deepfakes. By Westpac Institutional Bank Wesfarmers' trailblazing Sustainability-Linked Bond #sustainabilitylinkedloans WESFARMERS' TRAILBLAZING SUSTAINABILITY-LINKED BOND September 15 2021 • 7 mins In a trailblazing issuance for the local market, Wesfarmers launched the first Australian dollar denominated sustainability-linked bond (SLB) in June this year, raising AUD 1 billion in a transaction that was enthusiastically over-subscribed by approximately 2.5 times. By Westpac Institutional Bank Closing the loop: Rethinking digital supply chains #data CLOSING THE LOOP: RETHINKING DIGITAL SUPPLY CHAINS September 7 2021 • 7 mins The transformative potential of data generated through digital supply chains is now capturing the attention of senior executive teams and boards as companies position themselves for greater resilience and growth in a post-pandemic world. By Georgia McCafferty Western Sydney: From growth dynamic to new dynamic #westernsydney WESTERN SYDNEY: FROM GROWTH DYNAMIC TO NEW DYNAMIC September 2 2021 • 7 mins The pandemic coincided with the end of a prolonged growth surge in Western Sydney, according to a new report that analyses the region’s past prosperity and explores what needs to change to boost its economic prospects in the post-pandemic future. By Lachlan Colqhoun Rebooting manufacturing will buoy the economy #manufacturing REBOOTING MANUFACTURING WILL BUOY THE ECONOMY August 29 2021 • 5 mins The outlook for Australian manufacturing is looking bright – from consumers turning their attention to locally-made goods and the onshoring of supply chains, to the economic boost for specific sectors from the Australian Government’s AUD1.5 billion Modern Manufacturing Strategy. However, in a recent Rebooting Manufacturing roundtable leading manufacturers identified key challenges to be addressed before the sector can be fully revitalised. 2021 trends to watch: BNPL on the money #payments 2021 TRENDS TO WATCH: BNPL ON THE MONEY July 28 2021 • 10 mins In a fast-changing payments landscape, buy-now-pay-later services are an increasingly powerful tool for businesses seeking to drive up revenue and deliver a superior payments customer experience. Here’s why. By Cameron Cooper Data and AI: The next revolution #data DATA AND AI: THE NEXT REVOLUTION July 26 2021 • 5 mins From honing competitive edge to solving complex social problems, adoption of data analytics and artificial intelligence is transforming the way businesses operate and informing government policymaking. By Westpac Institutional Bank Sustainable finance for a world in transition #sustainablefinance SUSTAINABLE FINANCE FOR A WORLD IN TRANSITION July 7 2021 • 7 mins In its second report on the fast-evolving field of sustainable finance for Westpac IQ, Bloomberg interviews leading international experts on the latest in transition finance and how the market is maturing. By Michael Chen How to develop a winning hybrid cloud strategy #cybersecurity HOW TO DEVELOP A WINNING HYBRID CLOUD STRATEGY July 5 2021 • 7 mins Migration of workloads to the cloud was one of the digital trends rapidly escalated by pandemic lockdowns. We explain what makes a hybrid cloud strategy fly. By Westpac Institutional Bank Cybercrime: Countering the latest threats #cybersecurity CYBERCRIME: COUNTERING THE LATEST THREATS June 1 2021 • 7 mins Cyber attacks on public sector organisations are on the rise, both in volume and levels of sophistication. Westpac experts deliver insights on the latest rouses of cyber criminals and how to counter them. By Cameron Cooper Western Sydney Aerotropolis: Next steps for lift-off #infrastructure WESTERN SYDNEY AEROTROPOLIS: NEXT STEPS FOR LIFT-OFF May 27 2021 • 7 mins Extensive rezoning of land has cleared the way for the fast-tracking of the Aerotropolis development in Western Sydney. Guests at a Westpac-sponsored event were given an update on progress. By Christopher Niesche & Westpac Institutional Bank Federal Budget 2021: Analysis by sector #federalbudget FEDERAL BUDGET 2021: ANALYSIS BY SECTOR May 25 2021 • 7 mins Widespread job creation is the attention-grabber in this year’s Federal Budget, Westpac Institutional Bank analysts explain its likely impacts, sector by sector. By Christopher Niesche & Westpac Institutional Bank Thinking like a hacker keeps organisations safe #cybersecurity THINKING LIKE A HACKER KEEPS ORGANISATIONS SAFE May 21 2021 • 7 mins The mass shift to digital, accelerated by the pandemic, has exposed networks and data to new cyber security risks. Ethical hacking is a vital resource in the first line of defence. By Westpac Institutional Bank Big opportunities in the RCEP trade deal #trade BIG OPPORTUNITIES IN THE RCEP TRADE DEAL May 11 2021 • 7 mins Australian businesses can look forward to massive potential opportunities predicted to come from the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership agreement. By Lachlan Colqhoun & Westpac Institutional Bank A clear-cut path for defining sustainable investments #sustainablefinance A CLEAR-CUT PATH FOR DEFINING SUSTAINABLE INVESTMENTS May 7 2021 • 7 mins Westpac IQ has partnered with Bloomberg Media Studios to examine the EU taxonomy and its likely impact on Australian businesses. By Michael Chen Digital game-changers in financial markets #digitisation DIGITAL GAME-CHANGERS IN FINANCIAL MARKETS March 30 2021 • 7 mins Digitisation is driving competitive edge in financial markets globally. Giulio Katis, Head of Financial Markets eCommerce at Westpac Institutional Bank, explains what’s on the way. By Westpac Institutional Bank KangaNews - The big renewal #renewables KANGANEWS - THE BIG RENEWAL March 29 2021 • 7 mins Westpac Institutional Bank is taking a lead position in Australia’s renewable-energy space – a key sector for investment growth. By Westpac Institutional Bank IWD 2021: The female changemakers in financial leadership #diversity IWD 2021: THE FEMALE CHANGEMAKERS IN FINANCIAL LEADERSHIP March 9 2021 • 7 mins In the final video in our series we discover how our four women executives chose to challenge to make it into top roles in finance. What were their game-changing experiences? By Westpac Institutional Bank IWD 2021: Four women in finance on their greatest career challenge #diversity IWD 2021: FOUR WOMEN IN FINANCE ON THEIR GREATEST CAREER CHALLENGE March 8 2021 • 7 mins Four months into her role as Group Chief Financial Officer at Qantas, Vanessa Hudson faced her greatest career challenge when she realised Australia’s national airline would lose all its forward revenue. By Westpac Institutional Bank IWD 2021: How does diversity bring on change? #diversity IWD 2021: HOW DOES DIVERSITY BRING ON CHANGE? March 7 2021 • 7 mins Four trailblazing women who ‘chose to challenge’ to make it into senior executive roles in finance share their compelling insights with Westpac IQ for International Women’s Day 2021. By Westpac Institutional Bank The emerging threat of deepfake technology #cybersecurity THE EMERGING THREAT OF DEEPFAKE TECHNOLOGY February 16 2021 • 7 mins Deepfake technology has mainly targeted individuals – particularly women – but there is now a growing expectation that the increased availability of technologies will, inevitably, be used by organised crime against businesses. By Westpac Institutional Bank 2021 trends: What’s next for payments? #payments 2021 TRENDS: WHAT’S NEXT FOR PAYMENTS? February 10 2021 • 7 mins The ever-dynamic payments space gained further momentum in 2020. Nish Dharmaratne, Global Head of Product, provides an insider view on some of the key payments trends to watch in 2021. By Christopher Niesche & Westpac Institutional Bank New directions for Australia's green bond market #esg NEW DIRECTIONS FOR AUSTRALIA'S GREEN BOND MARKET February 4 2021 • 7 mins Increasing emphasis on ESG in the wake of the pandemic looks set to power growth for green bonds and provide lift-off for further sustainability-focused bonds. By Susan Muldowney & Westpac Institutional Bank A burning issue: Turning waste into energy #infrastructure A BURNING ISSUE: TURNING WASTE INTO ENERGY December 10 2020 • 7 mins As Australia plays catch-up on turning waste into energy, this Westpac IQ cheat sheet explains how it works. By Cameron Cooper & Westpac Institutional Bank Show more articles Search for more articles Show more articles Search for more articles 20 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