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2022


US PRIVATE EQUITY OUTLOOK: H1 FOLLOW-UP

August 8, 2022

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Assessing our 2022 US PE predictions

At the start of 2022, PitchBook PE analysts made their predictions amid several
tailwinds. Midway through the year, inflation is raging as supply chains adjust
to pandemic-related shocks, and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has escalated
supply chain disruptions and further lifted inflationary pressures. Significant
market volatility has dampened PE’s previously fervent pace. We will observe how
the industry is affected in the rest of 2022.

A few of the predictions we revisit in our latest analyst note:
 
 * Prediction: Mega-funds will raise $250 billion in 2022, including the three
   largest-ever buyout funds. H1 2022 update: It is not yet clear whether this
   prediction will come true.

 
 * Prediction: The big five US public alternatives managers’ AUMs will eclipse
   $3 trillion in 2022. H1 2022 update: This prediction is not on pace to come
   true.

 
 * Prediction: At least 30 GP stakes deals will close, thereby setting a record.
   H1 2022 update: This prediction is not on pace to come true.

 
 * Prediction: PE firms will close at least 400 middle-market software deals. H1
   2022 update: This prediction is not on pace to come true.


Table of Contents

Mega-funds will raise $250 billion in 2022, including the three largest-ever
buyout funds. 3 The big five US public alternatives managers’ AUMs will eclipse
$3 trillion in 2022. 5 More private capital managers will go public in 2022 than
during any previous year. 7 At least 30 GP stakes deals will close, thereby
setting a record. 8 PE firms will close at least 400 middle-market software
deals. 10 At least 10 US PE-backed healthcare provider platforms will list
publicly, breaking 2021’s record. 12

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