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INVESTORS HEAVILY SEARCH APPLE INC. (AAPL): HERE IS WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW

Zacks Equity Research November 18, 2024

AAPL Quick QuoteAAPL

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Apple (AAPL Quick QuoteAAPL - Free Report) has been one of the most searched-for
stocks on Zacks.com lately. So, you might want to look at some of the facts that
could shape the stock's performance in the near term.

Shares of this maker of iPhones, iPads and other products have returned -4.3%
over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +1.1% change. The Zacks
Computer - Micro Computers industry, to which Apple belongs, has lost 3.6% over
this period. Now the key question is: Where could the stock be headed in the
near term?

While media releases or rumors about a substantial change in a company's
business prospects usually make its stock 'trending' and lead to an immediate
price change, there are always some fundamental facts that eventually dominate
the buy-and-hold decision-making.






EARNINGS ESTIMATE REVISIONS

Here at Zacks, we prioritize appraising the change in the projection of a
company's future earnings over anything else. That's because we believe the
present value of its future stream of earnings is what determines the fair value
for its stock.

We essentially look at how sell-side analysts covering the stock are revising
their earnings estimates to reflect the impact of the latest business trends.
And if earnings estimates go up for a company, the fair value for its stock goes
up. A higher fair value than the current market price drives investors' interest
in buying the stock, leading to its price moving higher. This is why empirical
research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate
revisions and near-term stock price movements.




For the current quarter, Apple is expected to post earnings of $2.34 per share,
indicating a change of +7.3% from the year-ago quarter. The Zacks Consensus
Estimate has changed -0.7% over the last 30 days.

The consensus earnings estimate of $7.43 for the current fiscal year indicates a
year-over-year change of +10.1%. This estimate has changed -1.5% over the last
30 days.

For the next fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $8.38 indicates a
change of +12.9% from what Apple is expected to report a year ago. Over the past
month, the estimate has changed -2.5%.

Having a strong externally audited track record, our proprietary stock rating
tool, the Zacks Rank, offers a more conclusive picture of a stock's price
direction in the near term, since it effectively harnesses the power of earnings
estimate revisions. Due to the size of the recent change in the consensus
estimate, along with three other factors related to earnings estimates, Apple is
rated Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).

The chart below shows the evolution of the company's forward 12-month consensus
EPS estimate:




12 MONTH EPS




REVENUE GROWTH FORECAST

While earnings growth is arguably the most superior indicator of a company's
financial health, nothing happens as such if a business isn't able to grow its
revenues. After all, it's nearly impossible for a company to increase its
earnings for an extended period without increasing its revenues. So, it's
important to know a company's potential revenue growth.

In the case of Apple, the consensus sales estimate of $124.25 billion for the
current quarter points to a year-over-year change of +3.9%. The $413.63 billion
and $452.58 billion estimates for the current and next fiscal years indicate
changes of +5.8% and +9.4%, respectively.




LAST REPORTED RESULTS AND SURPRISE HISTORY

Apple reported revenues of $94.93 billion in the last reported quarter,
representing a year-over-year change of +6.1%. EPS of $1.64 for the same period
compares with $1.46 a year ago.

Compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $94.56 billion, the reported
revenues represent a surprise of +0.39%. The EPS surprise was +10.07%.

The company beat consensus EPS estimates in each of the trailing four quarters.
The company topped consensus revenue estimates each time over this period.




VALUATION

No investment decision can be efficient without considering a stock's valuation.
Whether a stock's current price rightly reflects the intrinsic value of the
underlying business and the company's growth prospects is an essential
determinant of its future price performance.

While comparing the current values of a company's valuation multiples, such as
price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S) and price-to-cash flow (P/CF),
with its own historical values helps determine whether its stock is fairly
valued, overvalued, or undervalued, comparing the company relative to its peers
on these parameters gives a good sense of the reasonability of the stock's
price.

The Zacks Value Style Score (part of the Zacks Style Scores system), which pays
close attention to both traditional and unconventional valuation metrics to
grade stocks from A to F (an An is better than a B; a B is better than a C; and
so on), is pretty helpful in identifying whether a stock is overvalued, rightly
valued, or temporarily undervalued.




Apple is graded D on this front, indicating that it is trading at a premium to
its peers. Click here to see the values of some of the valuation metrics that
have driven this grade.




CONCLUSION

The facts discussed here and much other information on Zacks.com might help
determine whether or not it's worthwhile paying attention to the market buzz
about Apple. However, its Zacks Rank #3 does suggest that it may perform in line
with the broader market in the near term.




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PUBLISHED IN

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ZACKS' 7 BEST
STRONG BUY STOCKS FOR NOVEMBER, 2024

Our experts picked 7 Zacks Rank #1 Strong Buy stocks with the best chance to
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Recent stocks from this report have soared up to +67.5% within 30 days - this
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INVESTORS HEAVILY SEARCH SOUNDHOUND AI, INC. (SOUN): HERE IS WHAT YOU NEED TO
KNOW




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