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Monday, February 12, 2024
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Opinion|Trump Dreams of Economic Disaster

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Opinion

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Paul Krugman


TRUMP DREAMS OF ECONOMIC DISASTER

Jan. 11, 2024

Credit...Ioulex for The New York Times

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By Paul Krugman

Opinion Columnist

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guide to the big ideas shaping the world every weekday morning. Get it sent to
your inbox.

Did Donald Trump just say that he’s hoping for an economic crash? Not exactly.
But what he did say was arguably even worse, especially once you put it in
context.

And Trump’s evident panic over recent good economic news deepens what is, for
me, the biggest conundrum of American politics: Why have so many people joined —
and stayed in — a personality cult built around a man who poses an existential
threat to our nation’s democracy and is also personally a complete blowhard?

So what did Trump actually say on Monday? Strictly speaking, he didn’t call for
a crash, he predicted one, positing that the economy is running on “fumes” — and
that he hopes the inevitable crash will happen this year, “because I don’t want
to be Herbert Hoover.”

If you think about it, this isn’t at all what a man who believes himself to be a
brilliant economic manager and supposedly cares about the nation’s welfare
should say. What he should have said instead is something like this: My
opponent’s policies have set us on the path to disaster, but I hope the disaster
doesn’t come until I’m in office — because I don’t want the American people to
suffer unnecessarily, and, because I’m a very stable genius, I alone can fix it.



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But no, Trump says he wants the disaster to happen on someone else’s watch,
specifically and openly so that he won’t have to bear the responsibility.

Speaking of which, when did Trump start predicting economic disaster under
President Biden? The answer is before the 2020 election. In October 2020, for
example, he asserted that a Biden win would “unleash an economic disaster of
epic proportions.”

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Paul Krugman has been an Opinion columnist since 2000 and is also a
distinguished professor at the City University of New York Graduate Center. He
won the 2008 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences for his work on
international trade and economic geography. @PaulKrugman

A version of this article appears in print on Jan. 12, 2024, Section A, Page 22
of the New York edition with the headline: Trump Dreams of Economic Disaster.
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